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Mahindra War Room 2011
   Team Name: Heijunka
   Campus: IIM Ahmedabad
   Sector: Cleantech Sector
   Team Members
       Akshay Gautam – 2nd yr.: p10akshayg@iimahd.ernet.in
       Siddhartha Bhargava – 2nd yr.: p10siddharthab@iimahd.ernet.in
       Vinay Kumar – 2nd yr.: p10vinayk@iimahd.ernet.in
       Pratik Gupta – 2nd yr.: p10pratikg@iimahd.ernet.in
Team Heijunka

Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
Agenda

       About Us
       Solar Energy In India
           Summary: Growth of Solar Power Industry in India
           Opportunities in the Solar Space
           Mahindra Solar One: Presence across the Solar Value Chain
       Off-Grid Solar Market in India
           Identifying Customers in Off Grid Solar Space
           Off Grid Solar Systems: Marketing Plan
           Mahindra Solar One:Value Proposition
           Matching Needs of the Customers
           Other Issues



    3
About Us




    Akshay Gautam              Vinay Kumar               Pratik Gupta         Siddhartha Bhargava
    Education: B.Tech         Education: B.Tech     Education: Dual Degree      Education: B.Tech IIT
IIT Delhi, Computer Sc.   IIT Delhi, Mechanical     IIT Madras, Electronics      Roorke, Chemical
  Interned at: Nomura       Interned at: Reliance     Interned at: Nomura      Interned at: JP Morgan
   Investment Banking      Industries. Corp. Fin            Securities          Investment Banking
Work Exp: 10 months       Work Exp: 22 months       Work Exp: 3 years at      Work Exp: 3 years at
         at IBM                   at BPCL               Lehman/Nomura            Royal Dutch Shell

Worked on: Pharma,         Worked on: Forex         Worked on: Interest         Worked on: Metals
Retail, Consumer, Solar    Debt Structuring &        Rate Derivatives          Infrastructure, Power,
Energy, IT & Cleantech      Credit Profiling                                    Pharma & Cleantech




                                    Team Heijunka
                          strategizing for Cleantech Division
 4
Solar Energy In
     India
Solar Energy In India
                           Overview                                                  Indian Power Production (2009)
 Solar energy technologies consists of solar thermal technologies,
  which utilize sun's thermal energy and solar photovoltaic technology,                                 Oil             In 2008, the solar power
  which convert solar energy directly in to electricity                                                 36%             capacity was 10 MW
 Despite more than 5,000 Trillion kWh per year solar energy                                                            By 2022, 20GW of solar
  potential equivalent, solar power as of today has a negligible share:                                                 power is targeted
   Other than the high cost, some of the other challenges for the
     development of this sector in India includes; lack of standards,
     land acquisition problems, lack of consumer awareness etc.                                                         Unofficial targets of 10% of
   Solar energy is in a nascent stage in India, with less than 10 MW                                  Natural          power from solar, wind,
     of installed capacity. India has a total installed generation capacity                              Gas            hydro power and other
     of almost 167GW                                                           Coal
                                                                                                          9%            renewable energy sources by
 Due to Government's initiatives, the Indian solar energy sector is all       51%
                                                                                                     Nuclear            2015, and 15% by 2020 have
  set to grow rapidly in the coming future
   In January 2010, India launched the JNNSM program, which aims                               Hydro 2%                been decided
      to add 20,000 MW of solar power to India's capacity by 2022                                2%

  Indian Power Scenario (2009-10)                                               Capital Costs of Power Generation
 Capacity: Installed power capacity of approximately 167 GW                   $/Kw
  (2010), which is 4% of the global capacity                                                                                                   4751
 Consumption: The per capita power consumption (per year) in                 5000
  India is about 720 KWh (or units), which is less than 5% of the per
  capita consumption in USA, and less than 20% than that of China             4000
                                                                                                                                     3149
 Demand-Supply Gap: The electricity deficit was approximately
  10% (84 TWh) and the corresponding peak load deficit is 12.7%               3000
  (over 15 GW)                                                                                                              1869
 Lack of Grid Connectivity: Though 80% of rural areas have been              2000                               1500
                                                                                                1208    1290
  connected to electricity, less than 45% of rural households have
  access to electricity                                                       1000     398
 Losses: Transmission and distribution losses – 35-45%
 Future Trends: The power demand in India is set to explode in the              0
  coming years. Various estimates suggest that if (a very big IF indeed)               Gas      Wind    Coal   Hydro      Biomass    Solar Solar PV
  India wants to sustain a 8-9% GDP growth over the long term, it will                Turbine                                       Thermal
  need to have 4,00,000 MW of installed capacity by 2020

  6                                              Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Incentives for Solar Power Production
                                  Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission
 JNNSM Targets:
   To ramp up capacity of grid-connected solar power generation to 1000 MW by 2013, 4000 MW by 2017, 10000MW installed power by 2017 and
    20,000 MW or more by 2022
   To create favorable conditions for solar manufacturing capability, particularly solar thermal for indigenous production and market leadership
   To promote off grid applications, reaching 1000 MW by 2017 and 2000 MW by 2022
   To achieve 20 million sq. meters solar thermal collector area and deploy 20 million solar lighting systems for rural areas by 2022
Feed-in-Tariffs        Under the FITs, a power producer who feeds the grid with solar power will be compensated at a level higher than traditional coal
                        based power producers. The current rate is set at `18.80 per unit, which is much higher than `4 per unit which is the cost of
                        power production using traditional sources
Renewable              Existing legal framework under Electricity Act 2003 puts responsibility for promotion of renewable energy on states
Purchase               RPOs obligate the state electricity boards in India to purchase a minimum quantum of energy from renewable sources
Obligations            Currently, the minimum and maximum numbers are set at 5 and 10% respectively and vary across states
Capital Subsidies      The Solar Mission would also consider a capital subsidy of up to 30% (which would progressively decline over time) for
                        promoting innovative applications of solar energy
Fiscal incentives      The government also provides incentives such as 10-year tax holidays, accelerated depreciation, zero excise and customs-free
                        import of specific equipment
                       Through help from the IREDA, the government also will give a generation based incentive of `12 per unit for solar photovoltaic
                        and `10 per unit for solar thermal
Renewable              REC is a market-based instrument to promote renewable energy and facilitate renewable energy purchase obligations among
Energy                  various stakeholders. Under the proposed mechanism, the RECs will be issued to the renewable energy power producer. The
Certificates            RECs can be sold to sold to state electricity boards, for whom the purchase of RECs can be used to meet the RPOs. Thus RECs
                        enable states with abundant RECs to sell them to other states to help them meet their RPO targets




                    Indian Solar Industry is bound to get the strong impetus
                         both in terms of marketing and manufacturing
  7                                          Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Summary:
Growth of Solar Power Industry in India

                                                      Strong
                          Favorable
                                                   support from
                          Geography
                                                       govt.




                                 Fillip to the
          Huge power
             supply              Solar Power                         Ability to
                                                                   reach out to
          demand gap
          due to losses           Industry                          Rural India
                                    in India


                        Due to
                       polysilicon
                     oversupply, its                Lack of grid
                      prices have                     power
                        crashed                     availability




8                  Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Opportunities in the Solar Space
      On-Grid Projects                                                   EPC                                 Off-Grid Projects
 Solar power systems that are connected to           Engineering, Procurement and Construction        Solar power systems that are not connected
  the electricity grid otherwise known as grid         companies typically install and develop solar     to the electricity grid otherwise known as
  connected, grid tied, on-grid photovoltaic           power projects across the country                 off-grid photovoltaic systems generate
  systems generate electricity for home or                                                               electricity for home or place of work
                                                      An EPC typically helps to reduce business
  place of work and feed excess energy                 risk in site analysis, system design, project    They are typically installed in remote
  produced back into the electricity grid              financial feasibility, product selection,         locations where grid connectivity is very low
  system                                               construction execution, procurement, and          or electricity is otherwise very expensive
 There are two types of grid connect systems          on-going monitoring and support services
                                                                                                        Remote power systems are installed for a
  - Grid connected systems without a battery           and therefore selecting right EPC provider
                                                                                                         range of reasons, including:
                                                       holds key to successful and sustainable
  and Grid-tied systems with a battery backup
                                                       business revenue for developer                      Expensive grid connection
 There are many advantages of using a grid
  connected system                                       Plant design and Product requirement,            Desire to use renewable energy
   Simple to install                                     technology, specification and evaluation         Low running costs
   High efficiency                                      Procurement                                      Environmentally safe - no overhead wires
   Reliable                                             Panel structure, panel inverter, cable and
   Flexible                                                                                               Desire for independence from the grid
                                                          transformer installation




                            Given the lack of grid connectivity in rural areas,
                            Off-grid solar projects and EPC will drive growth
  9                                              Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Mahindra Solar One:
Presence across the Solar Value Chain




    Raw Material               Component                     Appliance                   EPC Players              Developer
     Suppliers                Manufacturers                 Manufacturer

Companies produce        Companies create the          Companies                    Generally, this is a     Companies in this part
Crystalline Silicon or   all-important pn-             manufacture thin-film        high-margin segment      of the value chain
Thin Film Silicon and    junction, coating and         modules consists of          as companies offer       actually deliver solar
other inputs that go     layering and this part        depositing PV material       end-to-end services to   power solutions to
into manufacturing a     of value chain is             on a substrate,              the customer             customers
solar cell               responsible for 14% of        structuring it into cells
                         a module's cost               to form a circuit


1. Tata BP Solar         1.   IndoSolar                1.   Punj Loyd               1.   Reliance Solar      1.   Zeba Solar
2. Moser Baer PV         2.   Titan Energy             2.   L&T/Sharp JV            2.   Mahindra Solar      2.   Titan Energy
                         3.   Moser Baer               3.   Moser Baer              3.   Azure Power         3.   Azure Power
                         4.   Tata BP Solar            4.   Tata BP Solar           4.   Tata BP Solar       4.   Mahindra Solar
                         5.   Kotak Urja



   10                                  Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Off-Grid Indian
 Solar Market
Off-Grid Solar Market in India
                          Overview                                                   Current & Future Off-Grid
 A key opportunity for solar power lies in decentralized and off-grid       Application            Units                    MW Power
  applications in remote and far-flung areas where grid penetration is
  neither feasible nor cost effective                                        Solar Street           125,000 - Current        -
 In India, close to 400 Mn people are not connected to the electricity      Lights                 20 Million - 2022
  grid, which makes the case for off-grid solar power production to
  reach rural areas all the more stronger                                    Home Systems           625,000 - Current        -
 Under the JNNSM, the government has set targets for
   Off-grid power production of 1000 MW by 2017                             Solar Lanterns         >1 Million - Current     -
   Providing solar lighting systems under the ongoing remote village
                                                                             Off-grid solar         -                        200 MW - 2013
      electrification programme of MNRE to cover about 10,000
      villages and hamlets                                                   applications                                    1000 MW - 2017
   Set up stand alone rural solar power plants                                                                              2000 MW - 2022
   Promotion of other off grid solar applications such as hybrid
                                                                             Villages               6800 - Current           -
      systems to meet power, heating and cooling energy requirements
      currently being met by use of diesel and other fossil fuels            Electrified            95,500 - Yet to be


  Drivers for Off-Grid Solar Power                                             JNNSM Off-Grid Eligible Projects
 Lack of Grid Connectivity: 40% of the Indian population still lacks         Various off-grid SPV applications which have a maximum capacity of
  access to the Grid                                                           100 kWp per site and decentralized solar thermal applications are
 Entrepreneurs: Entrepreneurs have come forward with innovative               eligible for being covered in JNNSM
  solutions to provide highly cost effective solar energy to rural India      Mini-grids for rural electrification with applications upto 250 kW
 Costs: A single-panel solar system goes for about $360, the same or          stand to benefit from JNNSM
  less than a year’s supply of black-market kerosene. And government          Some particular examples include:
  subsidies mean customers actually pay less than $300                          Power computers to assist learning in schools and hostels
 Government incentives: The Indian government is promoting the                 MIS to assist better management of forests
  use of solar energy in place of diesel because about 70 per cent of           Powering milk chilling plants
  the fuel is imported. About 15-20 per cent of India’s diesel                  Empowering women SHGs involved in Tussar reeling
  requirements is used for captive power generation applications                Cold chain management for Primary Health Centres
 Financial Incentives: Soft loans for projects, including a                    Street lighting and rural electrification
  component for working capital, capital subsidies                              Solar cookers, solar lanterns and heat collectors


  12                                           Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Identifying Customers in Off Grid Solar Space
             Commercial Segment                                                                 Industrial Segment
 Telecom Operators                                                             Captive Power Plants
   India has more than 2,50,000 cellphone towers that consume                    Increasing demand from industrial consumers, who are suffering
     about 2 billion litres of diesel every year                                   from inadequate power supply and high tariff rate, find captive
   Tata BP Solar has installed solar panels for Airtel, Nokia, Reliance,          generation as the best alternative for meeting their demand
     Siemens, Tata Teleservices and Vodafone among others
 Hospitals                                                                       Solar power may be used as a diesel replacement or the plant
   With hospitals needing round the clock power supply, it becomes                may be completely solar power based
     imperative and cost effective to use solar power as substitutes for          Some of the advantages include – 25 year life of the plant, decent
     diesel generators                                                             IRR for investors and recovery of fixed costs in the first 7-8 years
 Green Buildings                                                                 Use of Diesel based power plants for energy was the highest in textiles
   Integration of solar cells into glass panels to save electricity costs         (32.4%), automobiles (19.7%), cement (19.5%), food products
   Moser Baer used BIPV technology on the front of the exterior facade of         (18.9%), chemicals (15.8%) and engineering industries (15.5%)
     a shopping complex in Hyderabad
 Education
   Reliable power supply for schools in rural areas
 Retail
   Reliable lighting for retail stores and cold chains
 Street Lighting
                                                                                                    Public Utilities
   A complete street lighting system
   Existing Customers: Mahindra Solar one provides solar street lighting       Distribution Companies
     for rural electrification purposes                                           State distribution companies have to meet the RPO targets of 5%
 Banks                                                                           RPOs reflect the target set out in the national action plan—5% of
   Solar Power ATMs in rural areas                                                 renewable energy in 2010, followed by a 1 percentage point
   Tata BP Solar has electrified 400 to 500 bank branches across several           increase every year, leading to 10% in 2015 and 15% in 2020
     banks, including Bank of Baroda, Bank of India and rural co-operative        Some Indian states have achieved their RPO quotas
     banks such as the Karnataka                                                  As impressive as it seems, there are certain issues with relying
 Water Pumps                                                                       too heavily on state distribution companies – solar repurchase
   20 Mn agricultural water pumps run on subsidized diesel
                                                                                    add to liabilities of the discoms which may further burden them
 IT/Computing
   Solar Power to provide reliable backup                                          going forward
   Tata BP Solar has already executed a project for Tata Consultancy
     Services in Bhubaneswar that generates electricity of around 30 KW
 Hotels
   Solar power to provide electricity and hot water to guests

  13                                             Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Summary:
Identifying Customers in Off Grid Solar Space
Customers          Market Size   Size of off-        Type of           Generating             Currently      Future
                                 grid system       Technology            Leads               being tapped   Potential
                                    (KW)                                                                     (MW)
Commercial
Telecom Towers       1,200,000                      Photo Voltaic      Tower Operators          Partially       -
                                                                         such as Indus
Green Buildings        200           500            Photo Voltaic     Building Developers         Yes          100
                                                                          such as DLF
Hospitals             15,000         1200           Photo Voltaic     Hospital Operators          No          18,000
                                                                        such as Apollo
Banks                 20,000         100            Photo Voltaic                                 No          2,000

IT/Computing           500           900            Photo Voltaic    IT services operators        No           450
                                                                       such as Mahindra
                                                                            Satyam
Street Lighting      2,000,000       0.2            Photo Voltaic                                 Yes          400

Education                                           Photo Voltaic     Target rural schools        No            -

Water Pumps            3000          150            Photo Voltaic      Target subsidized          No           450
                                                                        water pumps
Industrial
Captive Power                                       Photo Voltaic      Target industrial          No
Plants 1                                                                   clusters
Public Utilities
Distribution                                        Photo Voltaic        Target state             No
Companies                                                                distribution
                                                                          companies




  14                                  Source: Street Research & own estimates
                                   1. Assumed for only textile companies in India
Off Grid Solar Systems: Marketing Plan
              Situation Analysis                                                     Market Opportunity
Customers        Commercial organizations and institutions            Based on current trends in the sector, there exists a huge
                  who use off-grid energy solutions and                 opportunity for the Company in off-grid solar power systems and
                  rooftop setups and Telecom towers which               the EPC business
                  use solar hybrid solutions                           Based on our estimates, there exists a tremendous opportunity in
                 The Company is exploring the possibility of           off-grid solar power and EPC businesses across commercial,
                  selling to other segments such as captive             industrial and public utilities segments across the country
                  power plants, public utilities and rural India       The key success factor for the Company lies in being able to provide
                                                                        end to end service to the customer – project feasibility studies,
Competitors      In on-grid solutions they face competition            design, procurement, installation, project management, support
                  from Titan Energy, Moser Baer and others              services and financing options
                 In off-grid solutions they face competition
                  from Reliance Solar, Tata BP Solar
                 In the EPC business they face competition
                  from SunBorne, Tata BP Solar

                                                                                     Marketing Strategy
Company          The Company was set up in 2010 as a
                  subsidiary of Mahindra Cleantech Ventures,           Using Porter’s generic strategies framework, we expect the
                  and offers a range of solar solutions spanning        Company to be customer focused in segments such as:
                  on-grid solutions, EPC and off-grid solutions.         Off-Grid
                 They also build utility-scale solar power              Rural electrification
                  plants and provide turnkey EPC services                EPC projects
                                                                       The Company can also achieve superior performance by delivering
                                                                        value to customers through its expertise and its network of global
Context          Production of solar power in India has                suppliers and innovative financing
                  received a fillip from government incentives,
                  falling polysilicon prices and favorable
                  geography
                 More companies are expected to switch
                  from traditional fuel sources to solar as solar
                  power achieves grid parity

  15                                    Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Off Grid Solar Systems: Marketing Plan
                    Target Markets                                                               Marketing Mix
 Commercial                                                                 Product: Product offered includes solar power systems with the
   Telecom                                                                   promise of end-to-end service in EPC contracts
   Green buildings                                                          Price: Derived from costs incurred and consultation with company
   Hospitals                                                                 such that the Company makes a reasonable profit
   Banks                                                                    Place: The Company will target the business customers such as
   IT/Computing                                                              industrial clusters, telecom tower operators and banks to deploy off-
   Street Lighting                                                           grid solar power systems and EPC contracts
   Education                                                                Promotion: The Company should promote the product and service
   Water Pumps                                                               offerings via B2B channels such as events, national/international
 Industrial                                                                  exhibitions and event sponsorships. To convince potential customers
   Captive power plants                                                      to shift from conventional sources to solar power, the Company
 Public utilities                                                            should get its products accredited by well known names such as
   State Discoms                                                             TUV or CEC


               Positioning/Offering                                                          Contingency Plan
 The Company should position itself as an “end-to-end” service              With competition from several existing players in the EPC and off-
  provider to customers in off-grid solar power segments                      grid solar power systems, the Company anticipates pricing pressures
 The key success factor for the Company lies in being able to provide        on the systems it sells and inability to sell to many clients
  end to end service to the customer – project feasibility studies,          To deal with such a scenario, the Company envisages tight cost
  design, procurement, installation, project management, support              controls, procuring from many global suppliers, entering into long-
  services and financing options                                              term contracts with suppliers and efficient supply chain management
 The product helps meet different needs of the customers such as            The Company also will maintain a healthy capital cushion to manage
   Need for industries to get access to cheap and reliable power             enhanced capital requirement during construction
   Need to shift away from diesel and kerosene as fuels
   Environmentally friendly power solution
   Reliable Power supply




  16                                          Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Mahindra Solar One: Value Proposition
 Manufacturers & Financing partners                                            Value Proposition
                                                                Total project planning: The Company helps the customer
Global                             Access to Credit              with site analysis, system design, project financial feasibility and
                                                                 product selection
Procurement                                 globally
of solar cells                                                  Design of solar power plants: The Company works with the
                 Quality and                                     customer to design the power plant based on the exact
                 Reliability                                     requirements specified by him

                                                                Procurement and delivery: The Company has access to
                                                                 large and cost-effective supply arrangements with leading
                                                                 module, inverter and racking suppliers around the world. It also
                                                                 has established important relationships with major vendors that
                                                                 provide the balance of the major parts and components to the
                                                                 solar projects
        Costs                       Service
                                                                Turn key installations: The Company helps the customer
                                                                 with Panel structure, panel inverter, cable and transformer
                                                                 installation

                                                                Project management: The Company may leverage its
                                                                 experience while helping the customer manage requirements
                   Turn Key
                 Installations                                  Operation and maintenance: The Company is qualified and
Engineering,                           Operation,                has the capability to provide long-term operations, maintenance
                                                                 and monitoring support and services for the systems
Procurement &                     Maintenance and
Construction                           Monitoring               Financing: Assessment of available incentives (tax credits,
                                         Services                accelerated depreciation, state and utility solar rebates)
                                                                 Evaluation of financing options, if needed (e.g. leases and power
   Investors, Customers & Resellers                              purchase agreements) and Preparation of paperwork; filing for
                                                                 non-tax based incentives
 17                         Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Matching Needs of the Customers
Customers          Customer Needs                                                Value proposition
Commercial
Telecom Towers      Lower Capex Required                                         Switch to Opex model where solar system for the tower is
                                                                                   paid off through rental payments
                                                                                  Complete End-to-end solutions to telecoms
Green Buildings     Lower pollution and be environmentally friendly              Complete End-to-end solutions to developers
Hospitals           Reliable Power Supply                                        Solar Power can be used even as a backup
Banks               Banks and ATMs need to be connected to the central           Reliable power supply of off-grid solar systems works even
                     system at all times                                           where grid connectivity is poor
IT/Computing        Reliable Power Supply                                        Solar Power can be used even as a backup
Street Lighting     Environmentally friendly solution and cost effective         Complete End-to-end solutions
Education           Power computers in schools                                   Solar energy can power computers in schools in rural areas
Water Pumps         Need to shift away from diesel operated pumps                Solar powered pumps have longer lives, are efficient and
                                                                                   turn out to be cheaper in the long run
Industrial
Captive Power       Need for industries to get access to cheap and reliable      Complete End-to-end solutions starting from feasibility
Plants               power                                                         studies to procurement to installation
                                                                                  Innovative financial solutions help in setting up the power
                                                                                   plant
Public Utilities
Distribution        Need to buy solar energy to maintain binding RPO targets     Solar power plants help the discoms maintain RPO targets
Companies            annually




  18                                       Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Other Issues
                                                              Solar VS Diesel
                       Solar Power                                                       Diesel Generator
Life                    ~25 years                                                        ~8 years
Cost                    Higher Initial Cost                                              Lower Initial Cost
                        Lower operating expenses                                         Higher operating expenses
                        However with the subsidies in place, the Solar power             Subject to prices of diesel
                         project payback in the first 10 years
Pollution               The solar generator not only conserves power, but also           The diesel generator would produce continuous noise,
                         reduces pollution                                                 whereas the solar generator doesn’t
Efficiency              Efficient even when the utilization is low                       Highly Inefficient even when the utilization is low
Reliability             Typically less reliable when the weather is not sunny            Typically more reliable

                                                             Financing Issues
 The Company can leverage the potential of Mahindra Finance and country’s significant rural banking system to finance sustainable energy systems for
  poor rural households. Partnerships with regional rural banks, commercial banks, NGOs and rural farmer cooperatives will enable the company to
  develop innovative financial solutions for its customers
 The Company can help its customers obtain the necessary credit to purchase solar lighting and thermal systems. Much like, in the urban world, when
  considering other large purchases such as new homes or automobiles, the presence of credit facilitates purchasing. Since an energy service to an
  underserved household can represent several months of income, the provision of affordable and accessible credit is essential
 Financing Partners
   To assure that the customers have access to credit at the door-step, the Company can partner with commercial banks, regional rural banks (also
     called as grameen banks), and credit cooperatives
 Credit Terms
   Interest rates are based on the credit source and range from 5% to 14%. Customers typically put between 10-25% down, paying the balance over
     three to five years



  19                                           Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
Thank You

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Heijunka iim ahmedabad-cleantech

  • 1. Mahindra War Room 2011  Team Name: Heijunka  Campus: IIM Ahmedabad  Sector: Cleantech Sector  Team Members  Akshay Gautam – 2nd yr.: p10akshayg@iimahd.ernet.in  Siddhartha Bhargava – 2nd yr.: p10siddharthab@iimahd.ernet.in  Vinay Kumar – 2nd yr.: p10vinayk@iimahd.ernet.in  Pratik Gupta – 2nd yr.: p10pratikg@iimahd.ernet.in
  • 2. Team Heijunka Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
  • 3. Agenda  About Us  Solar Energy In India  Summary: Growth of Solar Power Industry in India  Opportunities in the Solar Space  Mahindra Solar One: Presence across the Solar Value Chain  Off-Grid Solar Market in India  Identifying Customers in Off Grid Solar Space  Off Grid Solar Systems: Marketing Plan  Mahindra Solar One:Value Proposition  Matching Needs of the Customers  Other Issues 3
  • 4. About Us Akshay Gautam Vinay Kumar Pratik Gupta Siddhartha Bhargava Education: B.Tech Education: B.Tech Education: Dual Degree Education: B.Tech IIT IIT Delhi, Computer Sc. IIT Delhi, Mechanical IIT Madras, Electronics Roorke, Chemical Interned at: Nomura Interned at: Reliance Interned at: Nomura Interned at: JP Morgan Investment Banking Industries. Corp. Fin Securities Investment Banking Work Exp: 10 months Work Exp: 22 months Work Exp: 3 years at Work Exp: 3 years at at IBM at BPCL Lehman/Nomura Royal Dutch Shell Worked on: Pharma, Worked on: Forex Worked on: Interest Worked on: Metals Retail, Consumer, Solar Debt Structuring & Rate Derivatives Infrastructure, Power, Energy, IT & Cleantech Credit Profiling Pharma & Cleantech Team Heijunka strategizing for Cleantech Division 4
  • 6. Solar Energy In India Overview Indian Power Production (2009)  Solar energy technologies consists of solar thermal technologies, which utilize sun's thermal energy and solar photovoltaic technology, Oil In 2008, the solar power which convert solar energy directly in to electricity 36% capacity was 10 MW  Despite more than 5,000 Trillion kWh per year solar energy By 2022, 20GW of solar potential equivalent, solar power as of today has a negligible share: power is targeted  Other than the high cost, some of the other challenges for the development of this sector in India includes; lack of standards, land acquisition problems, lack of consumer awareness etc. Unofficial targets of 10% of  Solar energy is in a nascent stage in India, with less than 10 MW Natural power from solar, wind, of installed capacity. India has a total installed generation capacity Gas hydro power and other of almost 167GW Coal 9% renewable energy sources by  Due to Government's initiatives, the Indian solar energy sector is all 51% Nuclear 2015, and 15% by 2020 have set to grow rapidly in the coming future  In January 2010, India launched the JNNSM program, which aims Hydro 2% been decided to add 20,000 MW of solar power to India's capacity by 2022 2% Indian Power Scenario (2009-10) Capital Costs of Power Generation  Capacity: Installed power capacity of approximately 167 GW $/Kw (2010), which is 4% of the global capacity 4751  Consumption: The per capita power consumption (per year) in 5000 India is about 720 KWh (or units), which is less than 5% of the per capita consumption in USA, and less than 20% than that of China 4000 3149  Demand-Supply Gap: The electricity deficit was approximately 10% (84 TWh) and the corresponding peak load deficit is 12.7% 3000 (over 15 GW) 1869  Lack of Grid Connectivity: Though 80% of rural areas have been 2000 1500 1208 1290 connected to electricity, less than 45% of rural households have access to electricity 1000 398  Losses: Transmission and distribution losses – 35-45%  Future Trends: The power demand in India is set to explode in the 0 coming years. Various estimates suggest that if (a very big IF indeed) Gas Wind Coal Hydro Biomass Solar Solar PV India wants to sustain a 8-9% GDP growth over the long term, it will Turbine Thermal need to have 4,00,000 MW of installed capacity by 2020 6 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 7. Incentives for Solar Power Production Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission  JNNSM Targets:  To ramp up capacity of grid-connected solar power generation to 1000 MW by 2013, 4000 MW by 2017, 10000MW installed power by 2017 and 20,000 MW or more by 2022  To create favorable conditions for solar manufacturing capability, particularly solar thermal for indigenous production and market leadership  To promote off grid applications, reaching 1000 MW by 2017 and 2000 MW by 2022  To achieve 20 million sq. meters solar thermal collector area and deploy 20 million solar lighting systems for rural areas by 2022 Feed-in-Tariffs  Under the FITs, a power producer who feeds the grid with solar power will be compensated at a level higher than traditional coal based power producers. The current rate is set at `18.80 per unit, which is much higher than `4 per unit which is the cost of power production using traditional sources Renewable  Existing legal framework under Electricity Act 2003 puts responsibility for promotion of renewable energy on states Purchase  RPOs obligate the state electricity boards in India to purchase a minimum quantum of energy from renewable sources Obligations  Currently, the minimum and maximum numbers are set at 5 and 10% respectively and vary across states Capital Subsidies  The Solar Mission would also consider a capital subsidy of up to 30% (which would progressively decline over time) for promoting innovative applications of solar energy Fiscal incentives  The government also provides incentives such as 10-year tax holidays, accelerated depreciation, zero excise and customs-free import of specific equipment  Through help from the IREDA, the government also will give a generation based incentive of `12 per unit for solar photovoltaic and `10 per unit for solar thermal Renewable  REC is a market-based instrument to promote renewable energy and facilitate renewable energy purchase obligations among Energy various stakeholders. Under the proposed mechanism, the RECs will be issued to the renewable energy power producer. The Certificates RECs can be sold to sold to state electricity boards, for whom the purchase of RECs can be used to meet the RPOs. Thus RECs enable states with abundant RECs to sell them to other states to help them meet their RPO targets Indian Solar Industry is bound to get the strong impetus both in terms of marketing and manufacturing 7 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 8. Summary: Growth of Solar Power Industry in India Strong Favorable support from Geography govt. Fillip to the Huge power supply Solar Power Ability to reach out to demand gap due to losses Industry Rural India in India Due to polysilicon oversupply, its Lack of grid prices have power crashed availability 8 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 9. Opportunities in the Solar Space On-Grid Projects EPC Off-Grid Projects  Solar power systems that are connected to  Engineering, Procurement and Construction  Solar power systems that are not connected the electricity grid otherwise known as grid companies typically install and develop solar to the electricity grid otherwise known as connected, grid tied, on-grid photovoltaic power projects across the country off-grid photovoltaic systems generate systems generate electricity for home or electricity for home or place of work  An EPC typically helps to reduce business place of work and feed excess energy risk in site analysis, system design, project  They are typically installed in remote produced back into the electricity grid financial feasibility, product selection, locations where grid connectivity is very low system construction execution, procurement, and or electricity is otherwise very expensive  There are two types of grid connect systems on-going monitoring and support services  Remote power systems are installed for a - Grid connected systems without a battery and therefore selecting right EPC provider range of reasons, including: holds key to successful and sustainable and Grid-tied systems with a battery backup business revenue for developer  Expensive grid connection  There are many advantages of using a grid connected system  Plant design and Product requirement,  Desire to use renewable energy  Simple to install technology, specification and evaluation  Low running costs  High efficiency  Procurement  Environmentally safe - no overhead wires  Reliable  Panel structure, panel inverter, cable and  Flexible  Desire for independence from the grid transformer installation Given the lack of grid connectivity in rural areas, Off-grid solar projects and EPC will drive growth 9 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 10. Mahindra Solar One: Presence across the Solar Value Chain Raw Material Component Appliance EPC Players Developer Suppliers Manufacturers Manufacturer Companies produce Companies create the Companies Generally, this is a Companies in this part Crystalline Silicon or all-important pn- manufacture thin-film high-margin segment of the value chain Thin Film Silicon and junction, coating and modules consists of as companies offer actually deliver solar other inputs that go layering and this part depositing PV material end-to-end services to power solutions to into manufacturing a of value chain is on a substrate, the customer customers solar cell responsible for 14% of structuring it into cells a module's cost to form a circuit 1. Tata BP Solar 1. IndoSolar 1. Punj Loyd 1. Reliance Solar 1. Zeba Solar 2. Moser Baer PV 2. Titan Energy 2. L&T/Sharp JV 2. Mahindra Solar 2. Titan Energy 3. Moser Baer 3. Moser Baer 3. Azure Power 3. Azure Power 4. Tata BP Solar 4. Tata BP Solar 4. Tata BP Solar 4. Mahindra Solar 5. Kotak Urja 10 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 12. Off-Grid Solar Market in India Overview Current & Future Off-Grid  A key opportunity for solar power lies in decentralized and off-grid Application Units MW Power applications in remote and far-flung areas where grid penetration is neither feasible nor cost effective Solar Street 125,000 - Current -  In India, close to 400 Mn people are not connected to the electricity Lights 20 Million - 2022 grid, which makes the case for off-grid solar power production to reach rural areas all the more stronger Home Systems 625,000 - Current -  Under the JNNSM, the government has set targets for  Off-grid power production of 1000 MW by 2017 Solar Lanterns >1 Million - Current -  Providing solar lighting systems under the ongoing remote village Off-grid solar - 200 MW - 2013 electrification programme of MNRE to cover about 10,000 villages and hamlets applications 1000 MW - 2017  Set up stand alone rural solar power plants 2000 MW - 2022  Promotion of other off grid solar applications such as hybrid Villages 6800 - Current - systems to meet power, heating and cooling energy requirements currently being met by use of diesel and other fossil fuels Electrified 95,500 - Yet to be Drivers for Off-Grid Solar Power JNNSM Off-Grid Eligible Projects  Lack of Grid Connectivity: 40% of the Indian population still lacks  Various off-grid SPV applications which have a maximum capacity of access to the Grid 100 kWp per site and decentralized solar thermal applications are  Entrepreneurs: Entrepreneurs have come forward with innovative eligible for being covered in JNNSM solutions to provide highly cost effective solar energy to rural India  Mini-grids for rural electrification with applications upto 250 kW  Costs: A single-panel solar system goes for about $360, the same or stand to benefit from JNNSM less than a year’s supply of black-market kerosene. And government  Some particular examples include: subsidies mean customers actually pay less than $300  Power computers to assist learning in schools and hostels  Government incentives: The Indian government is promoting the  MIS to assist better management of forests use of solar energy in place of diesel because about 70 per cent of  Powering milk chilling plants the fuel is imported. About 15-20 per cent of India’s diesel  Empowering women SHGs involved in Tussar reeling requirements is used for captive power generation applications  Cold chain management for Primary Health Centres  Financial Incentives: Soft loans for projects, including a  Street lighting and rural electrification component for working capital, capital subsidies  Solar cookers, solar lanterns and heat collectors 12 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 13. Identifying Customers in Off Grid Solar Space Commercial Segment Industrial Segment  Telecom Operators  Captive Power Plants  India has more than 2,50,000 cellphone towers that consume  Increasing demand from industrial consumers, who are suffering about 2 billion litres of diesel every year from inadequate power supply and high tariff rate, find captive  Tata BP Solar has installed solar panels for Airtel, Nokia, Reliance, generation as the best alternative for meeting their demand Siemens, Tata Teleservices and Vodafone among others  Hospitals  Solar power may be used as a diesel replacement or the plant  With hospitals needing round the clock power supply, it becomes may be completely solar power based imperative and cost effective to use solar power as substitutes for  Some of the advantages include – 25 year life of the plant, decent diesel generators IRR for investors and recovery of fixed costs in the first 7-8 years  Green Buildings  Use of Diesel based power plants for energy was the highest in textiles  Integration of solar cells into glass panels to save electricity costs (32.4%), automobiles (19.7%), cement (19.5%), food products  Moser Baer used BIPV technology on the front of the exterior facade of (18.9%), chemicals (15.8%) and engineering industries (15.5%) a shopping complex in Hyderabad  Education  Reliable power supply for schools in rural areas  Retail  Reliable lighting for retail stores and cold chains  Street Lighting Public Utilities  A complete street lighting system  Existing Customers: Mahindra Solar one provides solar street lighting  Distribution Companies for rural electrification purposes  State distribution companies have to meet the RPO targets of 5%  Banks  RPOs reflect the target set out in the national action plan—5% of  Solar Power ATMs in rural areas renewable energy in 2010, followed by a 1 percentage point  Tata BP Solar has electrified 400 to 500 bank branches across several increase every year, leading to 10% in 2015 and 15% in 2020 banks, including Bank of Baroda, Bank of India and rural co-operative  Some Indian states have achieved their RPO quotas banks such as the Karnataka  As impressive as it seems, there are certain issues with relying  Water Pumps too heavily on state distribution companies – solar repurchase  20 Mn agricultural water pumps run on subsidized diesel add to liabilities of the discoms which may further burden them  IT/Computing  Solar Power to provide reliable backup going forward  Tata BP Solar has already executed a project for Tata Consultancy Services in Bhubaneswar that generates electricity of around 30 KW  Hotels  Solar power to provide electricity and hot water to guests 13 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 14. Summary: Identifying Customers in Off Grid Solar Space Customers Market Size Size of off- Type of Generating Currently Future grid system Technology Leads being tapped Potential (KW) (MW) Commercial Telecom Towers 1,200,000 Photo Voltaic Tower Operators Partially - such as Indus Green Buildings 200 500 Photo Voltaic Building Developers Yes 100 such as DLF Hospitals 15,000 1200 Photo Voltaic Hospital Operators No 18,000 such as Apollo Banks 20,000 100 Photo Voltaic No 2,000 IT/Computing 500 900 Photo Voltaic IT services operators No 450 such as Mahindra Satyam Street Lighting 2,000,000 0.2 Photo Voltaic Yes 400 Education Photo Voltaic Target rural schools No - Water Pumps 3000 150 Photo Voltaic Target subsidized No 450 water pumps Industrial Captive Power Photo Voltaic Target industrial No Plants 1 clusters Public Utilities Distribution Photo Voltaic Target state No Companies distribution companies 14 Source: Street Research & own estimates 1. Assumed for only textile companies in India
  • 15. Off Grid Solar Systems: Marketing Plan Situation Analysis Market Opportunity Customers  Commercial organizations and institutions  Based on current trends in the sector, there exists a huge who use off-grid energy solutions and opportunity for the Company in off-grid solar power systems and rooftop setups and Telecom towers which the EPC business use solar hybrid solutions  Based on our estimates, there exists a tremendous opportunity in  The Company is exploring the possibility of off-grid solar power and EPC businesses across commercial, selling to other segments such as captive industrial and public utilities segments across the country power plants, public utilities and rural India  The key success factor for the Company lies in being able to provide end to end service to the customer – project feasibility studies, Competitors  In on-grid solutions they face competition design, procurement, installation, project management, support from Titan Energy, Moser Baer and others services and financing options  In off-grid solutions they face competition from Reliance Solar, Tata BP Solar  In the EPC business they face competition from SunBorne, Tata BP Solar Marketing Strategy Company  The Company was set up in 2010 as a subsidiary of Mahindra Cleantech Ventures,  Using Porter’s generic strategies framework, we expect the and offers a range of solar solutions spanning Company to be customer focused in segments such as: on-grid solutions, EPC and off-grid solutions.  Off-Grid  They also build utility-scale solar power  Rural electrification plants and provide turnkey EPC services  EPC projects  The Company can also achieve superior performance by delivering value to customers through its expertise and its network of global Context  Production of solar power in India has suppliers and innovative financing received a fillip from government incentives, falling polysilicon prices and favorable geography  More companies are expected to switch from traditional fuel sources to solar as solar power achieves grid parity 15 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 16. Off Grid Solar Systems: Marketing Plan Target Markets Marketing Mix  Commercial  Product: Product offered includes solar power systems with the  Telecom promise of end-to-end service in EPC contracts  Green buildings  Price: Derived from costs incurred and consultation with company  Hospitals such that the Company makes a reasonable profit  Banks  Place: The Company will target the business customers such as  IT/Computing industrial clusters, telecom tower operators and banks to deploy off-  Street Lighting grid solar power systems and EPC contracts  Education  Promotion: The Company should promote the product and service  Water Pumps offerings via B2B channels such as events, national/international  Industrial exhibitions and event sponsorships. To convince potential customers  Captive power plants to shift from conventional sources to solar power, the Company  Public utilities should get its products accredited by well known names such as  State Discoms TUV or CEC Positioning/Offering Contingency Plan  The Company should position itself as an “end-to-end” service  With competition from several existing players in the EPC and off- provider to customers in off-grid solar power segments grid solar power systems, the Company anticipates pricing pressures  The key success factor for the Company lies in being able to provide on the systems it sells and inability to sell to many clients end to end service to the customer – project feasibility studies,  To deal with such a scenario, the Company envisages tight cost design, procurement, installation, project management, support controls, procuring from many global suppliers, entering into long- services and financing options term contracts with suppliers and efficient supply chain management  The product helps meet different needs of the customers such as  The Company also will maintain a healthy capital cushion to manage  Need for industries to get access to cheap and reliable power enhanced capital requirement during construction  Need to shift away from diesel and kerosene as fuels  Environmentally friendly power solution  Reliable Power supply 16 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 17. Mahindra Solar One: Value Proposition Manufacturers & Financing partners Value Proposition  Total project planning: The Company helps the customer Global Access to Credit with site analysis, system design, project financial feasibility and product selection Procurement globally of solar cells  Design of solar power plants: The Company works with the Quality and customer to design the power plant based on the exact Reliability requirements specified by him  Procurement and delivery: The Company has access to large and cost-effective supply arrangements with leading module, inverter and racking suppliers around the world. It also has established important relationships with major vendors that provide the balance of the major parts and components to the solar projects Costs Service  Turn key installations: The Company helps the customer with Panel structure, panel inverter, cable and transformer installation  Project management: The Company may leverage its experience while helping the customer manage requirements Turn Key Installations  Operation and maintenance: The Company is qualified and Engineering, Operation, has the capability to provide long-term operations, maintenance and monitoring support and services for the systems Procurement & Maintenance and Construction Monitoring  Financing: Assessment of available incentives (tax credits, Services accelerated depreciation, state and utility solar rebates) Evaluation of financing options, if needed (e.g. leases and power Investors, Customers & Resellers purchase agreements) and Preparation of paperwork; filing for non-tax based incentives 17 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 18. Matching Needs of the Customers Customers Customer Needs Value proposition Commercial Telecom Towers  Lower Capex Required  Switch to Opex model where solar system for the tower is paid off through rental payments  Complete End-to-end solutions to telecoms Green Buildings  Lower pollution and be environmentally friendly  Complete End-to-end solutions to developers Hospitals  Reliable Power Supply  Solar Power can be used even as a backup Banks  Banks and ATMs need to be connected to the central  Reliable power supply of off-grid solar systems works even system at all times where grid connectivity is poor IT/Computing  Reliable Power Supply  Solar Power can be used even as a backup Street Lighting  Environmentally friendly solution and cost effective  Complete End-to-end solutions Education  Power computers in schools  Solar energy can power computers in schools in rural areas Water Pumps  Need to shift away from diesel operated pumps  Solar powered pumps have longer lives, are efficient and turn out to be cheaper in the long run Industrial Captive Power  Need for industries to get access to cheap and reliable  Complete End-to-end solutions starting from feasibility Plants power studies to procurement to installation  Innovative financial solutions help in setting up the power plant Public Utilities Distribution  Need to buy solar energy to maintain binding RPO targets  Solar power plants help the discoms maintain RPO targets Companies annually 18 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research
  • 19. Other Issues Solar VS Diesel Solar Power Diesel Generator Life  ~25 years  ~8 years Cost  Higher Initial Cost  Lower Initial Cost  Lower operating expenses  Higher operating expenses  However with the subsidies in place, the Solar power  Subject to prices of diesel project payback in the first 10 years Pollution  The solar generator not only conserves power, but also  The diesel generator would produce continuous noise, reduces pollution whereas the solar generator doesn’t Efficiency  Efficient even when the utilization is low  Highly Inefficient even when the utilization is low Reliability  Typically less reliable when the weather is not sunny  Typically more reliable Financing Issues  The Company can leverage the potential of Mahindra Finance and country’s significant rural banking system to finance sustainable energy systems for poor rural households. Partnerships with regional rural banks, commercial banks, NGOs and rural farmer cooperatives will enable the company to develop innovative financial solutions for its customers  The Company can help its customers obtain the necessary credit to purchase solar lighting and thermal systems. Much like, in the urban world, when considering other large purchases such as new homes or automobiles, the presence of credit facilitates purchasing. Since an energy service to an underserved household can represent several months of income, the provision of affordable and accessible credit is essential  Financing Partners  To assure that the customers have access to credit at the door-step, the Company can partner with commercial banks, regional rural banks (also called as grameen banks), and credit cooperatives  Credit Terms  Interest rates are based on the credit source and range from 5% to 14%. Customers typically put between 10-25% down, paying the balance over three to five years 19 Source: MNRE, Indian Power Ministry, Street Research