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Seminario y Ronda  de Negocios Tecnología de  la Información Corea - Argentina Dr. Alejandro Prince Prince & Cooke Buenos Aires  28 septiembre 2009
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT adoption in Argentina  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT Adoption USA vs.  Argentina - Theoretical Time Penetration %
PC’s adoption USA vs.  Argentina - % households  USA Argentina
“ Rogers” status  Internet   users Mobile PCs Laggards Late majority Early majority Innovators & early ad .
Frank Bass:  innovation vs. imitation   argentine shape imitation Industrialized shape innovation Cumulated  sales Time period
Bass quotients Argentina PC, Mobile, Internet users & BB 0,690 0,400 0,700 0,245 q 0,004 0,007 0,001 0,005 P Broad Band Internet users Mobile PC´s Quot.
Strong & Resilient trends PC sales - thousands units
ICT market Argentina ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT + Cc Sector – Companies  Half of these HC works in the offer side, another half in large, medium private & public users. Double expected before 2015. 55 % & 99 % respectively is a Critical HR Almost 8.000 companies in ICT total industry + two thirds of employees with universitary or tertiary degrees  + one third, english fluent Annual demand: 15-25.000 employees
ICT + Cc Market evolution
ICT + Cc market vs. GDP 375.909 447.643 835.000 531.939 312.580 654.439 780.396 14.119 24.390 46.100 19.757 11.923 29.810 37.355 0 100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 700.000 800.000 900.000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 PBI 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000 Mercado TICC
IT market split
Telecomm  market split
Main ICT indicators in millions TV sets + 200 % households TV cable + 60  % households Ciber/hot-spots +  35.000 points
B2C e-commerce
Digital  decade 4,1 5,7 7,6 10 13 16 20 2,6 3,4 4 4,4 5,2 6 7 8,2 4,1 6,6 7,2 6,7 7,8 13,1 18,3 24,1 27,5 33,5 1,43 1,6 2,05 2,3 2,8 3,1 3,7 3,7 3,9 3,8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Usuarios de Internet (en millones de personas) PC's (en millones de unidades) Telefonía móvil (en millones de líneas en servicio) Clientes de Internet (en millones de conexiones
* 2  FIDE  (ajustado por inflación) Fuente: CCR en base a EPH INDEC / AAM /FIDE $2.200 * 2 Social structure Argentina 2007 Average monthly income per household 15 30 Indigents High class 25 25 Medium high Typical medium class Medium low Low class $9.500   $ 4.000   Poverty line Medium class basket 5 $ 2.200 $1.000 $500
PC’s vs. portables
Fixed vs. mobile lines  thousands - lines in service mobile fixed
Trends by sector  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trends  by technology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market needs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2009 ICT Market Scenario Medium to high probability Inflation around 20 % or less GDP growth, negative, around -2,0 % Dollar december: 4 argentine pesos ICT market growth: 9 - 11 %  Sustained mainly by : BB, mobile, IT S & Services
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Seminario CoreaArgentina Sep09

  • 1. Seminario y Ronda de Negocios Tecnología de la Información Corea - Argentina Dr. Alejandro Prince Prince & Cooke Buenos Aires 28 septiembre 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. ICT Adoption USA vs. Argentina - Theoretical Time Penetration %
  • 5. PC’s adoption USA vs. Argentina - % households USA Argentina
  • 6. “ Rogers” status Internet users Mobile PCs Laggards Late majority Early majority Innovators & early ad .
  • 7. Frank Bass: innovation vs. imitation argentine shape imitation Industrialized shape innovation Cumulated sales Time period
  • 8. Bass quotients Argentina PC, Mobile, Internet users & BB 0,690 0,400 0,700 0,245 q 0,004 0,007 0,001 0,005 P Broad Band Internet users Mobile PC´s Quot.
  • 9. Strong & Resilient trends PC sales - thousands units
  • 10.
  • 11. ICT + Cc Sector – Companies Half of these HC works in the offer side, another half in large, medium private & public users. Double expected before 2015. 55 % & 99 % respectively is a Critical HR Almost 8.000 companies in ICT total industry + two thirds of employees with universitary or tertiary degrees + one third, english fluent Annual demand: 15-25.000 employees
  • 12. ICT + Cc Market evolution
  • 13. ICT + Cc market vs. GDP 375.909 447.643 835.000 531.939 312.580 654.439 780.396 14.119 24.390 46.100 19.757 11.923 29.810 37.355 0 100.000 200.000 300.000 400.000 500.000 600.000 700.000 800.000 900.000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 PBI 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000 Mercado TICC
  • 16. Main ICT indicators in millions TV sets + 200 % households TV cable + 60 % households Ciber/hot-spots + 35.000 points
  • 18. Digital decade 4,1 5,7 7,6 10 13 16 20 2,6 3,4 4 4,4 5,2 6 7 8,2 4,1 6,6 7,2 6,7 7,8 13,1 18,3 24,1 27,5 33,5 1,43 1,6 2,05 2,3 2,8 3,1 3,7 3,7 3,9 3,8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Usuarios de Internet (en millones de personas) PC's (en millones de unidades) Telefonía móvil (en millones de líneas en servicio) Clientes de Internet (en millones de conexiones
  • 19. * 2 FIDE (ajustado por inflación) Fuente: CCR en base a EPH INDEC / AAM /FIDE $2.200 * 2 Social structure Argentina 2007 Average monthly income per household 15 30 Indigents High class 25 25 Medium high Typical medium class Medium low Low class $9.500 $ 4.000 Poverty line Medium class basket 5 $ 2.200 $1.000 $500
  • 21. Fixed vs. mobile lines thousands - lines in service mobile fixed
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. 2009 ICT Market Scenario Medium to high probability Inflation around 20 % or less GDP growth, negative, around -2,0 % Dollar december: 4 argentine pesos ICT market growth: 9 - 11 % Sustained mainly by : BB, mobile, IT S & Services
  • 27.