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Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin

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Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin EPD Seminars King’s College London 1st November 2011 Ana Elisa Cascão Stockholm International Water Institute
The Nile River Basin THE REGION 10+1 riparian states 160 million inhabitants Underdeveloped (but growing) economies Conflict-stricken region Low levels of regional integration Complex hydropolitics
abc of Nile Basin Hydropolitics SECURITISATION HYDRO-SOVEREIGNTY COOPERATION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 Changing realpolitik : new geopolitical actors, corridors, dynamics, ... ‘ Land grabbing’: Growing economic interest for Nile natural resources Regional integration: Towards economic multilaterism Unilateralism: Unilateral hydraulic development
The Hydropolitical chessboard pre-2011 Official ‘ dyad’ UpstreamBloc
2011: Tipping point(s) in the hydropolitical trajectory in the Nile Basin
Implications of the several ‘events’?
Republic South Sudan: Referendum and independence
Egypt: Revolution and Fall of Mubarak
Burundi signs the Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA)
Ethiopia: Grand Renaissance Dam and Tripartite Committee
[object Object],[object Object],Thanks for your attention [email_address]

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Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin

  • 1. Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin EPD Seminars King’s College London 1st November 2011 Ana Elisa Cascão Stockholm International Water Institute
  • 2. The Nile River Basin THE REGION 10+1 riparian states 160 million inhabitants Underdeveloped (but growing) economies Conflict-stricken region Low levels of regional integration Complex hydropolitics
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 Changing realpolitik : new geopolitical actors, corridors, dynamics, ... ‘ Land grabbing’: Growing economic interest for Nile natural resources Regional integration: Towards economic multilaterism Unilateralism: Unilateral hydraulic development
  • 6. The Hydropolitical chessboard pre-2011 Official ‘ dyad’ UpstreamBloc
  • 7. 2011: Tipping point(s) in the hydropolitical trajectory in the Nile Basin
  • 8. Implications of the several ‘events’?
  • 9. Republic South Sudan: Referendum and independence
  • 10. Egypt: Revolution and Fall of Mubarak
  • 11. Burundi signs the Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA)
  • 12. Ethiopia: Grand Renaissance Dam and Tripartite Committee
  • 13.