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Paleo: Necessary, Not Sufficient
Seth Roberts
UC Berkeley & Tsinghua University
twoutopias@gmail.com
“It Works” Defense
• “I don’t give a *&%@ what detractors
say. Paleo/low-carb works for me.” –
Mark’s Daily Apple comment
• “The Ancestral health movement has
become popular because it works . . .
Millions have experienced its benefits.” –
Paul Jaminet
Problems with “It Works” Defense
• Many things work that are wrongly
explained
• Paleo includes theory – the theory
behind the advice. If you want better
advice or more advice, you want the
theory to be true.
Three Kinds of Paleoistas
1. Theorists give advice
2. Testers try the advice (does it work for
me?)
3. Me theorist & tester, micro ideas &
advice
My Interest in Paleo
• Self-experiments showed dermatologist
& I both wrong
• Can self-experiments improve sleep? 10
years of failure
• Finally: no breakfast  less early
awakening
• Breakfast not paleo. Start with mismatch
assumption?
6 Uses of Paleo Ideas
1. Morning faces & mood
2. Shangri-La Diet
3. Flaxseed oil & brain function
4. Fermented foods
5. Standing & sleep
6. Morning Vitamin D & sleep
What Examples Share
Paleo Idea + Non-Paleo Input
 Progress
Morning Faces & Mood
Problem Early awakening
Non-paleo input When we socialize
influences when we sleep
Paleo idea Stone Age people chatted
with neighbors in morning
Big new effect Seeing morning faces
improves mood the next day
Shangri-La Diet
Problem Obesity
Paleo idea Amount of energy stored
should depend on energy cost
Non-paleo input Rat experiments
Big new effect Calories without smell
cause weight loss
Flaxseed Oil & Brain Function
Problem How to do Shangri-La Diet?
Paleo idea Aquatic Ape Theory
Non-paleo input Nutrition experts rarely
study brain function
Big new effects 1. Flaxseed oil improves
balance and other measures of brain
function. 2. So does butter. 3. Removal of
mercury amalgam fillings improved brain
function.
Morning Vitamin D & Sleep
Problem Tara Grant’s poor sleep
Paleo idea Less sun exposure now than
long ago
Non-paleo input Morning sunlight
improves sleep, sunlight makes Vitamin D
Big new effect Morning Vitamin D
improves sleep
My Experience
What Worked Several Times
Mismatch Assumption + Guesses about
Ancient Life + Non-Paleo Input
What Never Worked
Mismatch Assumption + Guesses about
Ancient Life
Paleo Alone Can Be Misleading
Warinner Me
• diversity No reason to think
50% good, 50% bad
better than 100% good
• fresh fermented better
• whole foods supplements helpful
Warinner told listeners what they already
believed. Which I consider wrong or overstated
My Explanation
My Explanation
My Explanation
My Explanation
My Explanation
•Paleo helped me decide
where to look
•. . . but I needed more help
to find useful effects
AHS13 Seth Roberts — Paleo: Necessary But Not Sufficient
AHS13 Seth Roberts — Paleo: Necessary But Not Sufficient
AHS13 Seth Roberts — Paleo: Necessary But Not Sufficient

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AHS13 Seth Roberts — Paleo: Necessary But Not Sufficient

  • 1. Paleo: Necessary, Not Sufficient Seth Roberts UC Berkeley & Tsinghua University twoutopias@gmail.com
  • 2. “It Works” Defense • “I don’t give a *&%@ what detractors say. Paleo/low-carb works for me.” – Mark’s Daily Apple comment • “The Ancestral health movement has become popular because it works . . . Millions have experienced its benefits.” – Paul Jaminet
  • 3. Problems with “It Works” Defense • Many things work that are wrongly explained • Paleo includes theory – the theory behind the advice. If you want better advice or more advice, you want the theory to be true.
  • 4. Three Kinds of Paleoistas 1. Theorists give advice 2. Testers try the advice (does it work for me?) 3. Me theorist & tester, micro ideas & advice
  • 5. My Interest in Paleo • Self-experiments showed dermatologist & I both wrong • Can self-experiments improve sleep? 10 years of failure • Finally: no breakfast  less early awakening • Breakfast not paleo. Start with mismatch assumption?
  • 6. 6 Uses of Paleo Ideas 1. Morning faces & mood 2. Shangri-La Diet 3. Flaxseed oil & brain function 4. Fermented foods 5. Standing & sleep 6. Morning Vitamin D & sleep
  • 7. What Examples Share Paleo Idea + Non-Paleo Input  Progress
  • 8. Morning Faces & Mood Problem Early awakening Non-paleo input When we socialize influences when we sleep Paleo idea Stone Age people chatted with neighbors in morning Big new effect Seeing morning faces improves mood the next day
  • 9. Shangri-La Diet Problem Obesity Paleo idea Amount of energy stored should depend on energy cost Non-paleo input Rat experiments Big new effect Calories without smell cause weight loss
  • 10. Flaxseed Oil & Brain Function Problem How to do Shangri-La Diet? Paleo idea Aquatic Ape Theory Non-paleo input Nutrition experts rarely study brain function Big new effects 1. Flaxseed oil improves balance and other measures of brain function. 2. So does butter. 3. Removal of mercury amalgam fillings improved brain function.
  • 11. Morning Vitamin D & Sleep Problem Tara Grant’s poor sleep Paleo idea Less sun exposure now than long ago Non-paleo input Morning sunlight improves sleep, sunlight makes Vitamin D Big new effect Morning Vitamin D improves sleep
  • 12. My Experience What Worked Several Times Mismatch Assumption + Guesses about Ancient Life + Non-Paleo Input What Never Worked Mismatch Assumption + Guesses about Ancient Life
  • 13. Paleo Alone Can Be Misleading Warinner Me • diversity No reason to think 50% good, 50% bad better than 100% good • fresh fermented better • whole foods supplements helpful Warinner told listeners what they already believed. Which I consider wrong or overstated
  • 18. My Explanation •Paleo helped me decide where to look •. . . but I needed more help to find useful effects