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sustainable economy
SWO seminar, 24 february 2010
Huw Robson | h.robson@forumforthefuture.org
forum for the future - who are we?

We are a charity committed to sustainable development.

Our vision is of business and communities thriving in a future
that’s environmentally sustainable and socially just.

Our mission is to find practical ways that private and public
organisations can deliver a sustainable future.

We work with business and organisations that have a top
level commitment to make their operations sustainable
JT Group
a sustainable economy:


 robust, stable and     one in which
 healthy economy over   resources are not
 the long term          used up faster than
                        nature renews them
global population figures


        2008                  2050
     6 million              9 million
       people               people
reduction in emissions needed:



                      by 2050
     80%
Global move to green economy

     Global                = Green economy $3,086B in 2007/8



      USA                 = $100B of $800B stimulus package



     China                 = McKinsey: China a ‘green’ economy by 2030


                                  Clean-tech predicted to outgrow automotive
   Germany                 =
                                  by 2020
                                           BERR: “Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis” 2009
              McKinsey: —"China's green revolution: Prioritizing technologies to achieve energy and environmental sustainability“2009
                                                                        UNEP — “Silver Lining to Climate Change - Green Jobs“ 2008
Global Market – LCEGS Sector




                    BERR: Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis 2009
LCEGS Sector – Top Ten

                            Market £Bn

                                                               United States (20.6%)
           107
                 93                                            China (13.5%)
          128                  629
    191                                                        Japan (6.3%)

     191                                                       India (6.3%)

                      411                                      Germany (4.2%)

                                                               United Kingdom (3.5%)

                                                               France (3.0%)
                               BERR: Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis 2009
Photovoltaic               Environmental
                             Consultancy       Contaminated
     Additional                                Land
     Energy                                                   Renewable
     Sources         Alternative            Water &           consulting
                     Fuel Vehicle           Waste Water
Energy
Management        Waste
Marine            Management                         Building
Pollution
             Environmental              Noise &      Technologies
Control                                 Vibration
             Monitoring
                                        Control           Geothermal
                        Air Pollution
  Wave & Tidal                                      Biomass
                      Wind                 Carbon                      Hydro
 Recovery &                                Capture
                         Contaminated      &          Carbon Finance
 Recycling               Land              Storage
the south west


good
fundamentals
the south west


good             necessary but
fundamentals     not sufficient
LCEGS by region




                  BERR: Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis 2009
the race has started ...

                 Economic Development Investment Plan
 Thames
                 focused on environmental research &
 Gateway
                 innovation + Institute for Sustainability
                 Pushing green New Deal for NE. New and
Newcastle        renewable energy industry. 3:1 leverage of
                 RDA funding.
                 Strategy: “Capturing the Potential – A green Jobs
   Wales         Strategy for Wales”. Steering regeneration
                 budget to green skills & Innovation.
                 ‘Sustainable Glasgow’ consortium, led by the
 Glasgow         University of Strathclyde, supported by
                 Scottish Govt. Aiming at most sustainable city.
Strong SW green sector – what would it look like?

                               Global
                             reputation




            Attracts                            Attracts
           employees                           businesses




                                            Strong
                  Attracts
                                          supporting
                investment
                                          eco-system
How do we do it?

Commit : ambition for SW to be Green jobs/Clean-tech leader

Prioritise: areas where SW has strong comparative advantage

Cross-link: to other strong regional sectors (creative/IT?)

Simple early interventions
   – media/materials; web; UK conference?
robust dimensions


                     Engineering




            Design                 Business
a SW sustainable economy?


 enormous prize
 long term opportunity
 some starting advantage
 plan to win – take action
thank you
Huw Robson | h.robson@forumforthefuture.org
forumforthefuture.org | registered charity no. 1040519
Sector groupings

Environmental                  Renewable Energy        Emerging Low Carbon
Air Pollution Control           Hydro                  Alternative Fuels *
Environmental Consultancy       Wave and Tidal         Alternative Fuels for Vehicles
Environmental Monitoring        Biomass                Additional Energy Sources
Marine Pollution Control        Wind *                 Carbon Capture and Storage
Noise and Vibration             Geothermal             Carbon Finance
Contaminated Land Remediation Solar PV*                Energy Management
Waste Management                Renewable Consulting   Building Technologies*
Recovery and Recycling
Water Supply and Wastewater Treatment*


Purple text = leading sub-sectors in SW
* = leading export subsectors in SW

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Huw Robson: Sustainable Economy

  • 1. sustainable economy SWO seminar, 24 february 2010 Huw Robson | h.robson@forumforthefuture.org
  • 2. forum for the future - who are we? We are a charity committed to sustainable development. Our vision is of business and communities thriving in a future that’s environmentally sustainable and socially just. Our mission is to find practical ways that private and public organisations can deliver a sustainable future. We work with business and organisations that have a top level commitment to make their operations sustainable
  • 4. a sustainable economy: robust, stable and one in which healthy economy over resources are not the long term used up faster than nature renews them
  • 5. global population figures 2008 2050 6 million 9 million people people
  • 6. reduction in emissions needed: by 2050 80%
  • 7. Global move to green economy Global = Green economy $3,086B in 2007/8 USA = $100B of $800B stimulus package China = McKinsey: China a ‘green’ economy by 2030 Clean-tech predicted to outgrow automotive Germany = by 2020 BERR: “Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis” 2009 McKinsey: —"China's green revolution: Prioritizing technologies to achieve energy and environmental sustainability“2009 UNEP — “Silver Lining to Climate Change - Green Jobs“ 2008
  • 8. Global Market – LCEGS Sector BERR: Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis 2009
  • 9. LCEGS Sector – Top Ten Market £Bn United States (20.6%) 107 93 China (13.5%) 128 629 191 Japan (6.3%) 191 India (6.3%) 411 Germany (4.2%) United Kingdom (3.5%) France (3.0%) BERR: Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis 2009
  • 10.
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  • 12.
  • 13. Photovoltaic Environmental Consultancy Contaminated Additional Land Energy Renewable Sources Alternative Water & consulting Fuel Vehicle Waste Water Energy Management Waste Marine Management Building Pollution Environmental Noise & Technologies Control Vibration Monitoring Control Geothermal Air Pollution Wave & Tidal Biomass Wind Carbon Hydro Recovery & Capture Contaminated & Carbon Finance Recycling Land Storage
  • 15. the south west good necessary but fundamentals not sufficient
  • 16. LCEGS by region BERR: Low Carbon and Environmental Goods and Services: an industry analysis 2009
  • 17. the race has started ... Economic Development Investment Plan Thames focused on environmental research & Gateway innovation + Institute for Sustainability Pushing green New Deal for NE. New and Newcastle renewable energy industry. 3:1 leverage of RDA funding. Strategy: “Capturing the Potential – A green Jobs Wales Strategy for Wales”. Steering regeneration budget to green skills & Innovation. ‘Sustainable Glasgow’ consortium, led by the Glasgow University of Strathclyde, supported by Scottish Govt. Aiming at most sustainable city.
  • 18. Strong SW green sector – what would it look like? Global reputation Attracts Attracts employees businesses Strong Attracts supporting investment eco-system
  • 19. How do we do it? Commit : ambition for SW to be Green jobs/Clean-tech leader Prioritise: areas where SW has strong comparative advantage Cross-link: to other strong regional sectors (creative/IT?) Simple early interventions – media/materials; web; UK conference?
  • 20. robust dimensions Engineering Design Business
  • 21. a SW sustainable economy? enormous prize long term opportunity some starting advantage plan to win – take action
  • 22. thank you Huw Robson | h.robson@forumforthefuture.org forumforthefuture.org | registered charity no. 1040519
  • 23. Sector groupings Environmental Renewable Energy Emerging Low Carbon Air Pollution Control Hydro Alternative Fuels * Environmental Consultancy Wave and Tidal Alternative Fuels for Vehicles Environmental Monitoring Biomass Additional Energy Sources Marine Pollution Control Wind * Carbon Capture and Storage Noise and Vibration Geothermal Carbon Finance Contaminated Land Remediation Solar PV* Energy Management Waste Management Renewable Consulting Building Technologies* Recovery and Recycling Water Supply and Wastewater Treatment* Purple text = leading sub-sectors in SW * = leading export subsectors in SW