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MONEY LAUNDERING  RESEARCH WITHIN A POSITIVIST PARADIGM PROFESSOR JACKIE HARVEY Newcastle Business School
Money Laundering ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Source: UNODC - UN Office on Drugs and Crime :  The Money Laundering Cycle http://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/money-laundering/laundrycycle.html Three Stages of Money Laundering Newcastle Business School
Global Scale Newcastle Business School Institution Estimate Year OECD $1.1 trillion (drug money) 1995 IBRD $300 - $500 billion 1995 IMF 2% - 5% GDP ($0.62 – 1.55 trillion) 1999 UN Up to $1.5 trillion 1999 FATF 2% global GDP up to $1.5 trillion 2001
Phantom or Fact? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Countermeasures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Theoretical Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Theoretical Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Vested Interest and the “Status Quo” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
The Relentless Expansion of Legislation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Money Laundering Offences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Impact Assessment – the Benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Impact Assessment – the Costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
The Regulatory Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Business Practice Newcastle Business School
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Risk Background Newcastle Business School
Expenditure on AML Compliance A profit maximising firm will invest in AML to the point where  costs  of compliance  just offset ‘costs’  or losses  arising from not  undertaking such  activity (AMLE) Expenditure Extent of AML Effort Cost of  compliance ‘ Cost’ of noncompliance AMLE Total cost Newcastle Business School
The Costs of Compliance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Reputation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Public Perception ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Rationalisation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Effectiveness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Effectiveness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Suspicious Activity Reports Newcastle Business School                                                          
Prosecutions *  All legislation refers to S49-53 Drug Trafficking Act 1994; Criminal Justice Act s93A-93D as amended by CJA 1993 s29-32 and POCA 2002 s327-334 Newcastle Business School                                                           All Legislation* 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 prosecutions 300 552 1327 2379 2318 convictions 123 207 595 1273 1348 sentenced 119 205 575 1244 1322 Of which POCA prosecutions 87 405 1295 2345 2281 convictions 15 123 566 1257 1330 sentenced 12 121 545 1229 1304
Prosecutions for Money Laundering
Conviction for Money Laundering Offences Newcastle Business School    Data for 2005 Number % Total Convicted 595 Of whom ‘sentenced’ 575 100% Conditional Discharge 54 9.4% Fined 53 9.2% Community Sentence 240 41.7% Suspended Sentence 29 5.0% Immediate Custody* 194 33.7% Otherwise Dealt With 5 0.9% *Average sentence length: 25.7 months
Asset Recovery ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Asset Recovery Restraints can be placed for any hypothetical value on assets ‘frozen’ in  advance of investigation – key is confiscation orders imposed by court But not all of these are recovered Newcastle Business School 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 £ £ £ Cash seizure 3.3m 8m 9.2m Restraint orders 27.2m 46.8m 128.8m Confiscation orders 14.5m 11.6m 29.7m Civil recovery n/a n/a 16.7m
Costs of the FIU *other agencies refers to ARA, NCS, NCIS and part of  Customs and Excise.  It was not possible to determine which of the costs and associated budget for HMRC was also transferred Newcastle Business School £million 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 SOCA 419.4 456.5 465.3 Total for other agencies* 279.5 282.8
Is it entering the Financial System? US DEA  seize $207 million, 200,000 Euros and 158,000 pesos in a drugs raid in Mexico http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dn/content/article/2007/07/24/AR2007072400150.html Newcastle Business School
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Evidence Newcastle Business School
Home Office ,[object Object],Newcastle Business School 2003/4 2004/5 2005/6 Largest single payment £1.01m £1.07m £0.91m Average payment size £11,122 £1,050 £7,832 Median payment size £491 £500 £300
Data Reliability - ARA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Newcastle Business School
Major Areas of Criminal Expenditure  (ARA Data) Newcastle Business School UK Property 471 houses £75.02m High value goods Cars, paintings, jewellery £  7.05m cash £  9.68m Financial assets Bank accounts, insurance, pensions shares £11.02m
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Key findings Newcastle Business School

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Money Laundering

  • 1. MONEY LAUNDERING RESEARCH WITHIN A POSITIVIST PARADIGM PROFESSOR JACKIE HARVEY Newcastle Business School
  • 2.
  • 3. Source: UNODC - UN Office on Drugs and Crime : The Money Laundering Cycle http://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/money-laundering/laundrycycle.html Three Stages of Money Laundering Newcastle Business School
  • 4. Global Scale Newcastle Business School Institution Estimate Year OECD $1.1 trillion (drug money) 1995 IBRD $300 - $500 billion 1995 IMF 2% - 5% GDP ($0.62 – 1.55 trillion) 1999 UN Up to $1.5 trillion 1999 FATF 2% global GDP up to $1.5 trillion 2001
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Expenditure on AML Compliance A profit maximising firm will invest in AML to the point where costs of compliance just offset ‘costs’ or losses arising from not undertaking such activity (AMLE) Expenditure Extent of AML Effort Cost of compliance ‘ Cost’ of noncompliance AMLE Total cost Newcastle Business School
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Suspicious Activity Reports Newcastle Business School                                                          
  • 26. Prosecutions * All legislation refers to S49-53 Drug Trafficking Act 1994; Criminal Justice Act s93A-93D as amended by CJA 1993 s29-32 and POCA 2002 s327-334 Newcastle Business School                                                           All Legislation* 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 prosecutions 300 552 1327 2379 2318 convictions 123 207 595 1273 1348 sentenced 119 205 575 1244 1322 Of which POCA prosecutions 87 405 1295 2345 2281 convictions 15 123 566 1257 1330 sentenced 12 121 545 1229 1304
  • 28. Conviction for Money Laundering Offences Newcastle Business School   Data for 2005 Number % Total Convicted 595 Of whom ‘sentenced’ 575 100% Conditional Discharge 54 9.4% Fined 53 9.2% Community Sentence 240 41.7% Suspended Sentence 29 5.0% Immediate Custody* 194 33.7% Otherwise Dealt With 5 0.9% *Average sentence length: 25.7 months
  • 29.
  • 30. Asset Recovery Restraints can be placed for any hypothetical value on assets ‘frozen’ in advance of investigation – key is confiscation orders imposed by court But not all of these are recovered Newcastle Business School 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 £ £ £ Cash seizure 3.3m 8m 9.2m Restraint orders 27.2m 46.8m 128.8m Confiscation orders 14.5m 11.6m 29.7m Civil recovery n/a n/a 16.7m
  • 31. Costs of the FIU *other agencies refers to ARA, NCS, NCIS and part of Customs and Excise. It was not possible to determine which of the costs and associated budget for HMRC was also transferred Newcastle Business School £million 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 SOCA 419.4 456.5 465.3 Total for other agencies* 279.5 282.8
  • 32. Is it entering the Financial System? US DEA seize $207 million, 200,000 Euros and 158,000 pesos in a drugs raid in Mexico http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dn/content/article/2007/07/24/AR2007072400150.html Newcastle Business School
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Major Areas of Criminal Expenditure (ARA Data) Newcastle Business School UK Property 471 houses £75.02m High value goods Cars, paintings, jewellery £ 7.05m cash £ 9.68m Financial assets Bank accounts, insurance, pensions shares £11.02m
  • 37.