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FET
Future Enabling
Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




1° Encontro - 1 de outubro de 2011.
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES



Quais tecnologias podem revolucionar nosso futuro em um curto
prazo? E no longo prazo? De que forma?
Rádio Cognitivo? Internet do Futuro?
Inteligência Artificial Geral? Superinteligências? Self-Improving Software?
Nanotecnologia? Robótica? Self-Assembly Machines? Evolvable Hardware?
Brain-inspired Technologies?
Bio-inspired Technologies? Vida Artificial?
Autonomic Technologies?
Confluência Homem-Máquina? Transcendência?
Tecnologias Quânticas?
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




Objetivo
O objetivo é discutir cientificamente as tendências tecnológicas que podem se tornar realidade no curto,
médio e longo prazo, identificando oportunidades de pesquisa, desenvolvimento e inovação tecnológica.
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




Is it Possible to Predict Tecnology Evolution?
For a long time now people have been talking about technological evolution and the rate at which it occurs.

Very often, people cite Moore's Law as example of law being capable of predicting technological
developments in computing power.

More recently, Ray Kurzweil presented a theory for technological evolution and a new law that expands
Moore's Law to delineate the exponential growth of technological advances.
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




Kurzweil’s Law of Accelerated Returns
Two positive feedback loops occur during some technology evolution process.

The first loop occurs through the selection of the more capable techniques of a certain stage to build the
next stage.

This increases the rate of progress exponentially, reducing the time required to obtain the same results.
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




Kurzweil’s Law of Accelerated Returns
The second loop occurs when an evolutionary process becomes more
attractive than others and begins to catalyze more resources to it.

The result is that an evolutionary process with exponential returns
starts to evolve even faster, experiencing an additional exponential
growth over the first one.
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




Comunidades
Facebook
Future Networks and Enabling Technologies

Linkedin
Future Networks and Enabling Technologies
FET
Future Enabling Technologies
GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES




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Future Enabling Technologies - INATEL

  • 1. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES 1° Encontro - 1 de outubro de 2011.
  • 2. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Quais tecnologias podem revolucionar nosso futuro em um curto prazo? E no longo prazo? De que forma? Rádio Cognitivo? Internet do Futuro? Inteligência Artificial Geral? Superinteligências? Self-Improving Software? Nanotecnologia? Robótica? Self-Assembly Machines? Evolvable Hardware? Brain-inspired Technologies? Bio-inspired Technologies? Vida Artificial? Autonomic Technologies? Confluência Homem-Máquina? Transcendência? Tecnologias Quânticas?
  • 3. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Objetivo O objetivo é discutir cientificamente as tendências tecnológicas que podem se tornar realidade no curto, médio e longo prazo, identificando oportunidades de pesquisa, desenvolvimento e inovação tecnológica.
  • 4. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Is it Possible to Predict Tecnology Evolution? For a long time now people have been talking about technological evolution and the rate at which it occurs. Very often, people cite Moore's Law as example of law being capable of predicting technological developments in computing power. More recently, Ray Kurzweil presented a theory for technological evolution and a new law that expands Moore's Law to delineate the exponential growth of technological advances.
  • 5. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Kurzweil’s Law of Accelerated Returns Two positive feedback loops occur during some technology evolution process. The first loop occurs through the selection of the more capable techniques of a certain stage to build the next stage. This increases the rate of progress exponentially, reducing the time required to obtain the same results.
  • 6. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Kurzweil’s Law of Accelerated Returns The second loop occurs when an evolutionary process becomes more attractive than others and begins to catalyze more resources to it. The result is that an evolutionary process with exponential returns starts to evolve even faster, experiencing an additional exponential growth over the first one.
  • 7. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Comunidades Facebook Future Networks and Enabling Technologies Linkedin Future Networks and Enabling Technologies
  • 8. FET Future Enabling Technologies GRUPO DE DISCUSSÕES Próximo Encontro Data? Horário? Assunto? Método?