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Global Recorded Music
Sales in Secular Decline
Dr. Augustine Fou
http://linkd.in/augustinefou
acfou @mktsci .com
January 2014
-1-

Augustine Fou
Digital Music Sales Decline
Overall for the full year 2013, digital
track sales fell 5.7% from 1.34 billion
units to 1.26 billion units while digital
album sales fell 0.1% to 117.6 million
units from the previous year’s total of
117.7 million, according to Nielsen
SoundScan.
Overall, album sales suffered an 8.4%
decline, dipping to 289.4 million units
from nearly 316 million units in 2012.
The CD declined 14.5% to 165.4
million units, down from 193.4 million
in the prior year, while vinyl continued
its ascension rising to 6 million units
from the 4.55 million the format tallied
in 2012. That means vinyl is now 2% of
album sales in the U.S; digital albums
comprise 40.6% and the CD is 57.2%
and cassettes and DVDs 0.2%.

Source: Billboard Biz Jan 3, 2014
-2-

Augustine Fou
Subscription vs Download
As more people stream
music, fewer will buy and
download digital tracks or
albums.

Source: Ipsos MediaCT Feb 2013 via The Atlantic

-3-

Augustine Fou
Global Recorded Music Sales
Increase in digital
sales and
performance
rights (licensing)
is not enough to
offset the overall
secular decline.

Source: ifpi, August 2013 via Music Industry Blog
-4-

Augustine Fou
Global Recorded Music Sales
Increase in digital
sales and
performance
rights (licensing)
is not enough to
offset the overall
secular decline.

Source: ifpi, March 2011 via AllthingsD

-5-

Augustine Fou
Streaming vs Downloads

Source: IFPI Dec 2013

-6-

Augustine Fou
Streaming Not Enough

-7-

Augustine Fou
YoY Growth of Music by Type

Mobile music is a good proxy for streamed music where neither album
nor individual track were purchased.

-8-

Augustine Fou
YoY Growth of Music by Type

-9-

Augustine Fou
Vinyl Sales Up 30% in 2013
Source: Nielsen
Soundscan, October
2013

- 10 -

Augustine Fou
Dr. Augustine Fou – Digital Consigliere
“I track trends and advise clients on
getting „on-trend‟ or more ideally getting
out in front of them to maximize
competitive advantage.”
FORMER CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER, HCG (OMNICOM)
MCKINSEY CONSULTANT
CLIENT SIDE / AGENCY SIDE EXPERIENCE
PROFESSOR AND COLUMNIST
ENTREPRENEUR / SMALL BUSINESS OWNER
PHD MATERIALS SCIENCE (MIT '95) AT AGE 23

ClickZ Articles: http://bit.ly/augustine-fou-clickz
Slideshares: http://bit.ly/augustine-fou-slideshares
LinkedIn: http://linkd.in/augustinefou

- 11 -

@acfou

Augustine Fou

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Global Recorded Music Sales in Secular Decline

  • 1. Global Recorded Music Sales in Secular Decline Dr. Augustine Fou http://linkd.in/augustinefou acfou @mktsci .com January 2014 -1- Augustine Fou
  • 2. Digital Music Sales Decline Overall for the full year 2013, digital track sales fell 5.7% from 1.34 billion units to 1.26 billion units while digital album sales fell 0.1% to 117.6 million units from the previous year’s total of 117.7 million, according to Nielsen SoundScan. Overall, album sales suffered an 8.4% decline, dipping to 289.4 million units from nearly 316 million units in 2012. The CD declined 14.5% to 165.4 million units, down from 193.4 million in the prior year, while vinyl continued its ascension rising to 6 million units from the 4.55 million the format tallied in 2012. That means vinyl is now 2% of album sales in the U.S; digital albums comprise 40.6% and the CD is 57.2% and cassettes and DVDs 0.2%. Source: Billboard Biz Jan 3, 2014 -2- Augustine Fou
  • 3. Subscription vs Download As more people stream music, fewer will buy and download digital tracks or albums. Source: Ipsos MediaCT Feb 2013 via The Atlantic -3- Augustine Fou
  • 4. Global Recorded Music Sales Increase in digital sales and performance rights (licensing) is not enough to offset the overall secular decline. Source: ifpi, August 2013 via Music Industry Blog -4- Augustine Fou
  • 5. Global Recorded Music Sales Increase in digital sales and performance rights (licensing) is not enough to offset the overall secular decline. Source: ifpi, March 2011 via AllthingsD -5- Augustine Fou
  • 6. Streaming vs Downloads Source: IFPI Dec 2013 -6- Augustine Fou
  • 8. YoY Growth of Music by Type Mobile music is a good proxy for streamed music where neither album nor individual track were purchased. -8- Augustine Fou
  • 9. YoY Growth of Music by Type -9- Augustine Fou
  • 10. Vinyl Sales Up 30% in 2013 Source: Nielsen Soundscan, October 2013 - 10 - Augustine Fou
  • 11. Dr. Augustine Fou – Digital Consigliere “I track trends and advise clients on getting „on-trend‟ or more ideally getting out in front of them to maximize competitive advantage.” FORMER CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER, HCG (OMNICOM) MCKINSEY CONSULTANT CLIENT SIDE / AGENCY SIDE EXPERIENCE PROFESSOR AND COLUMNIST ENTREPRENEUR / SMALL BUSINESS OWNER PHD MATERIALS SCIENCE (MIT '95) AT AGE 23 ClickZ Articles: http://bit.ly/augustine-fou-clickz Slideshares: http://bit.ly/augustine-fou-slideshares LinkedIn: http://linkd.in/augustinefou - 11 - @acfou Augustine Fou