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Not Just Asleep at
the Wheel …
Dr. Augustine Fou
September 2013
-1-

Augustine Fou
Microsoft: 96% to 35%

Once dominant at 96% in 2007, Microsoft’s
“WinTel” monopoly will drop to 35% of
computing device Oses by 2012.

-2-

Augustine Fou
Nokia: 60% to 17%
Once dominant at 60% in
2007, Nokia’s Symbian has lost
ground to 17% of mobile OSes in
2011.

-3-

Augustine Fou
Blackberry: 53% to 4%

4.3%

Q3 2012

-4-

Augustine Fou
So What?
“Innovation is not a choice, but a necessity.
The companies that have systematized a
process to consistently do so will
consistently win; all others will fail, even
the once-dominant ones.”
- Dr. Augustine Fou

-5-

Augustine Fou
Innovation
New vs Old

-6-

Augustine Fou
The OLD “sucky” (and slow) Way
“Smart gadgets you
can wear are all the
rage, but Toshiba's
Computer Graphics
Watch prototype
kind of misses the
point.”

Source: Gizmodo, Jan 9, 2013
- 7 - @acfou

Augustine Fou
The NEW “da bomb” (nimble) Way
“Pebble Smartwatch
asked for $100k and
got $10M from
nearly 70k people
via crowdfunding
site Kickstarter and
will be shipping
their first products
in Jan 2013.”

Source: Kickstarter
- 8 - @acfou

Augustine Fou
Side-by-side Comparison
Toshiba Computer Graphics Watch
Time to develop:

Years
Cost to develop:

$$$$$
Market research:

$$$$
Status:

Prototype, ship date unknown
- 9 - @acfou

Pebble E-Ink SmartWatch
Time to develop:
Months

Cost to develop:
Customers gave them $10M
Market research:
70k people already bought
Status:
Manufacturing, shipping Jan 2013
Augustine Fou
Dr. Augustine Fou – Chief Digital Strategist
“I advise clients on when
marketing is no longer enough;
true innovation in the product or
service is required to survive.”
FORMER CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER, HCG (OMNICOM)
MCKINSEY CONSULTANT

CLIENT SIDE / AGENCY SIDE EXPERIENCE
PROFESSOR AND COLUMNIST
ENTREPRENEUR / SMALL BUSINESS OWNER
PHD MATERIALS SCIENCE (MIT '95) AT AGE 23
ClickZ Articles: http://www.clickz.com/author/1151/augustine-fou
Slideshares: http://www.slideshare.net/augustinefou
LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/augustinefou

- 10 -

Augustine Fou
Related Articles
Beginning of the End of the PC Market
By: Augustine Fou, April 2013
Innovation Old and New
By: Augustine Fou, January 2013
Innovating in a Digital World - Diginnovia
By: Augustine Fou, October 2012
Search Ad Effectiveness
By: Augustine Fou, May 2013
- 11 -

Augustine Fou
APPENDIX
- 12 -

Augustine Fou
Microsoft Online

- 13 -

Augustine Fou
Microsoft Kin Phones
1. Fuzzy Kin OS
Creates Confusion
2. Expensive for an
Incomplete
Smartphone
3. No Apps, No
Games
4. Lack of Cool
Factor
Source: Why Kin Phones Failed, Wired June 2010
- 14 -

Augustine Fou

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Not Just Asleep At The Wheel Running Into The Ground

  • 1. Not Just Asleep at the Wheel … Dr. Augustine Fou September 2013 -1- Augustine Fou
  • 2. Microsoft: 96% to 35% Once dominant at 96% in 2007, Microsoft’s “WinTel” monopoly will drop to 35% of computing device Oses by 2012. -2- Augustine Fou
  • 3. Nokia: 60% to 17% Once dominant at 60% in 2007, Nokia’s Symbian has lost ground to 17% of mobile OSes in 2011. -3- Augustine Fou
  • 4. Blackberry: 53% to 4% 4.3% Q3 2012 -4- Augustine Fou
  • 5. So What? “Innovation is not a choice, but a necessity. The companies that have systematized a process to consistently do so will consistently win; all others will fail, even the once-dominant ones.” - Dr. Augustine Fou -5- Augustine Fou
  • 7. The OLD “sucky” (and slow) Way “Smart gadgets you can wear are all the rage, but Toshiba's Computer Graphics Watch prototype kind of misses the point.” Source: Gizmodo, Jan 9, 2013 - 7 - @acfou Augustine Fou
  • 8. The NEW “da bomb” (nimble) Way “Pebble Smartwatch asked for $100k and got $10M from nearly 70k people via crowdfunding site Kickstarter and will be shipping their first products in Jan 2013.” Source: Kickstarter - 8 - @acfou Augustine Fou
  • 9. Side-by-side Comparison Toshiba Computer Graphics Watch Time to develop: Years Cost to develop: $$$$$ Market research: $$$$ Status: Prototype, ship date unknown - 9 - @acfou Pebble E-Ink SmartWatch Time to develop: Months Cost to develop: Customers gave them $10M Market research: 70k people already bought Status: Manufacturing, shipping Jan 2013 Augustine Fou
  • 10. Dr. Augustine Fou – Chief Digital Strategist “I advise clients on when marketing is no longer enough; true innovation in the product or service is required to survive.” FORMER CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER, HCG (OMNICOM) MCKINSEY CONSULTANT CLIENT SIDE / AGENCY SIDE EXPERIENCE PROFESSOR AND COLUMNIST ENTREPRENEUR / SMALL BUSINESS OWNER PHD MATERIALS SCIENCE (MIT '95) AT AGE 23 ClickZ Articles: http://www.clickz.com/author/1151/augustine-fou Slideshares: http://www.slideshare.net/augustinefou LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/augustinefou - 10 - Augustine Fou
  • 11. Related Articles Beginning of the End of the PC Market By: Augustine Fou, April 2013 Innovation Old and New By: Augustine Fou, January 2013 Innovating in a Digital World - Diginnovia By: Augustine Fou, October 2012 Search Ad Effectiveness By: Augustine Fou, May 2013 - 11 - Augustine Fou
  • 13. Microsoft Online - 13 - Augustine Fou
  • 14. Microsoft Kin Phones 1. Fuzzy Kin OS Creates Confusion 2. Expensive for an Incomplete Smartphone 3. No Apps, No Games 4. Lack of Cool Factor Source: Why Kin Phones Failed, Wired June 2010 - 14 - Augustine Fou