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We create chemistry
for a sustainable future
150 years
Kurt Bock
Chairman of the Board
of Executive Directors
Hans-Ulrich
Engel
Chief Financial Officer
BASF Investor Day
Ludwigshafen
September 28, 2015
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 2
150 years
Cautionary note regarding
forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and
uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the
proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular,
statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies,
expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand.
BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with
respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ
materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent
uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better
or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance
on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject
to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-
looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the
extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 3
150 years
‘We create chemistry for a sustainable
future’ entering the 5th year
The chemical market will continue to grow at about 5% p.a. fueled by
 a growing middle class in emerging markets
 demand for innovations for higher living standards and more sustainable solutions
BASF wants to continue to grow above market focusing on
 adding value as One Company
 expansion of product portfolio downstream towards functionalized materials & solutions
 higher capex particularly in emerging markets
 increased investment in R&D
BASF is committed to delivering long-term shareholder value by
 growing EBITDA faster than sales
 earning a substantial EBIT after cost of capital
 steadily increasing its dividend
What did we say in 2011?
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 4
150 years
‘We create chemistry for a sustainable
future’ entering the 5th year
U.S. shale gas
was seen as an opportunity, but not as an industry game changer.
Portfolio pruning
Acquisitions were a strategic lever for growth –
we focused on portfolio pruning and smaller acquisitions.
What did we not mention in 2011?
Coal in China
We did not foresee the government’s move to incentivize coal over gas
for chemical production.
Oil & Gas
We were conspicuously silent about Oil & Gas –
maintain its share of Group sales, earnings and capex.
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 5
150 years
What do we want to achieve today and
tomorrow?
 Enable you to deep dive into our business portfolio and introduce
our business leaders to you
 Demonstrate how we drive value
 Highlight our approach to innovation and showcase specific
examples
 Provide a medium-term outlook
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 6
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 6
► Review of chemical industry’s landscape
► BASF growth and earnings review
► The way forward: Our priorities
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 6
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 7
150 years
 Low growth in Europe,
Japan and the U.S.
 Strong growth stimulus in
China with spillover effects to
other emerging markets
 Lower feedstock costs
 Proliferation of some
technologies resulted in
increased competition
 Faster build-up of significant
new capacities in China
resulted in overcapacities
 Faster than expected
commoditization in selected
product lines
Market dynamics have changed
since 2011
Fundamental trends intact; environment
for chemical industry more challenging
CAGR 2010 - 2015 2011 view today’s view
Global GDP 3.4% 2.6%
Industrial production 4.6% 3.2%
Chemical production
(excl. pharma)
4.9% 3.9%
► thereof growth contribution
of emerging markets
82% 91%
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 8
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 8
Lower predictability and higher volatility
in the economic environment
Soft commodity prices at peak and trough
(index 2007 = 100)
Precious metal prices
Exchange rates reflect geopolitical situations
(index 2010 = 100)
Highly volatile oil and natural gas prices
Brent (rhs)
USD/bbl
Henry Hub (lhs)
USD/MMBtu
Platinum
USD/troz
900
1,400
1,900
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15
Gold
USD/troz
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2
7
12
Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15
Brazilian Real USD
70
100
130
160
Jan-10 Dez-10 Nov-11 Oct-12 Sep-13 Aug-14 Jul-15
100
300
500
700
Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan-13 Nov-13 Aug-14 May-15
Soybeans Corn Grain
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 9
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 9
Chemicals remains a growth industry
…more food needed
by 2050
…more primary energy
consumption
by 2050
…of the world
population will live in
cities by 2050
Agriculture Health &
nutrition
Energy &
resources
TransportationConstruction
& housing
Consumer
goods
Chemistry as enabler for current and future needs
…people
by 2050
70% 50%>9bn
Electrical &
Electronics
30%
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 10
150 years
Emerging markets driving chemical
production growth above global GDP
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2010 2015 2020 2025
+0%
+3%
+0%
+3%
+2%
+5%
+3%
+4%
+1%
+2%
+3%
Global GDP
CAGR:
2.6%
Global GDP
CAGR:
3.0%
Real chemical production excl. pharma
(in billion USD)
CAGR*
3.9%
CAGR*
3.9%
CAGR*
3.8%
+5%
+3%
+3%
+1%
+2%
+2%
Global GDP
CAGR:
3.1%
+6%
Asia Pacific
South America
Middle East, Africa
Western Europe
Eastern Europe
North America
* Real chemical production excluding pharmaceuticals
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 11
150 years
China and India still have a huge
economic catch-up potential
GDP per capita, 2014
(in USD thousands)
54
47
7
2
USA Germany China India
Refrigerator ownership, 2013*
(percent of households)
* Or latest available
Passenger cars, 2014
(per 1,000 driving population)
918
618
86 27
USA Germany China India
Source: National Statistical Offices, ACEA, BASF
99 100 98
67
44
9
USA Germany China -
Urban
China -
Rural
India -
Urban
India -
Rural
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 12
150 years
R&D efforts in chemicals are increasing,
strongly driven by China
R&D spending* in chemicals excl. pharma
(in billion €)
Source: Feri Chemdata International* R&D spending of chemical companies within the respective countries (regardless of nationality)
30 28
26
24 23 24 25 24 25 25
28 30
33 32 31
1
1
1
1 1
2
2
2
3
3
4
6
8 9 9
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
10
20
30
40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
4140
35
32
28
27
26
27
262525
27
29
30
40
World excluding ChinaChina
Number of chemical patents
(in 1,000)
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 13
150 years
Innovations continue to drive growth
Replacement of
hang-on parts
Whole modules and
assembly-systems
Structural parts
Complete new
vehicle concepts
Current models
2010
* CO2 per km;
2015 2020 2025 2030
Lightweight composites help to reduce weight in automobiles
(Composite market potential)
Legislation on reduction of CO2 emissions in Europe
(Other countries such as Japan, South Korea, USA, China pursue similar trends)
143g* 120g* 95g*
75g*/**
** Under discussion
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 14
150 years
Raw material specifics drive regional
value chains
Coal Natural gas Naphtha Sugar
5-year average 2010-2014
(heating value in €/Gigajoule)
0
5
10
15
20
25
USA Europe Western China Brazil
 Shale gas driven
projects to supply
captive demand
and local markets
 Renewables still
with highest costs
 Selected projects
provide upside
opportunity
 No feedstock cost
advantage
 Further strengthening
of Verbund sites
 Focus on innovations
BASF adapts to benefit from local conditions
 Evaluation of coal-
based projects (e.g.
BDO in Korla)
 Investments in
differentiated
products
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 15
150 years
Overcapacities in Asia will be absorbed
over time
BASF benefits from attractive cost positions
Source: BASF estimate
0
2.500
5.000
Acrylic acid Butanediol Caprolactam MDI TDI
Cashcosts
BASFclassicprocess
BASFnewprocess
Production capacity
Acrylic acid
cash cost curve, China
average cash costs
2015 in USD/kg
Overcapacities in Asia will persist for some years
(Industry capacities in kt, operating rate in percent)
~60%
~70%
~75% ~75%
~70%
BASFPlant3
BASFPlant2
Cashcosts
Production capacity
BASFPlant1
1,4-Butanediol (BDO)
cash cost curve, Asia
average cash costs
2015 in USD/kg
Capacity 2015 Est. operating rate
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 16
150 years
Climate change / Greenhouse gas reduction
 G7 call for “Decarbonization” by 2100
 Europe: Ambitious reduction of 40% by 2030 (base 1990)
 USA: Reduction target of 26-28% by 2025 (base 2005)
 China: Announced to stop emissions increase as of 2030
 Emissions trading introduced in South Korea, rollout in China planned for 2016
* TTIP: Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership; ** TPP: Trans-Pacific Partnership
Political environment more challenging,
but with opportunities for innovation
Chemical industry regulations
 EU: Focus on precautionary principle; regulatory topics such as Endocrine Disruptors
 South Korea and China: Similar regulatory structure as REACH
 USA: Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA) reform in progress,
implementation expected by 2016
Trade
 Upside through bilateral agreements, but…
– increasingly negative environment (in Europe) regarding TTIP*
– in the USA, TPP** faces stronger criticism than TTIP
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 17
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 17
► Review of chemical industry’s landscape
► BASF growth and earnings review
► The way forward: Our priorities
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 17
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 18
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 18
Components of growth
* 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted by IFRS 10 & 11
59,6
74,38,7
4,9 -1,7 2,8
20
40
60
80
2010 2014
Volumes
Prices
FX M&A
Sales* analysis 2010 – 2014
(in billion €)
Net sales 2010 Volumes Prices FX M&A
Sales CAGR
2010 - 2014
BASF Group
w/o Oil & Gas
51.4
+3.2
(+1.5% CAGR)
+3.9 -1.6 +2.2 +3.6%
Oil & Gas 8.2
+5.5
(+13.7% CAGR)
+1.0 -0.1 +0.6 +15.7%
5.7%
CAGR
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 19
150 years
 Functional crop care
 Personal care & food
 Omega-3 fatty acids
 Enzymes
 Battery materials
 Specialty plastics
 Selected assets in
Oil & Gas
 …
BASF
core business
Strong partnerships
 Gazprom
 Monsanto
 Petronas
 Shell
 Sinopec
 Statoil
 Total
 Yara
Selected transactions
2010 − 2014
Acquisitions
~ €4.5 billion sales
in emerging and
innovation-driven
businesses
Divestitures
 Styrenics
 Fertilizers
 Construction equipment,
flooring and wall systems
 Decorative paints in
Europe
 Selected assets in
Oil & Gas
 …
~ €7 billion sales*
in businesses with
limited fit and
differentiation
potential
Portfolio development towards more
market-driven and innovative businesses
* Includes sales of non-consolidated businesses (Styrenics, VNG participation)
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 20
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 20
Capital expenditures peaked in 2014,
reduction in coming years planned
* Investments in fixed assets, according to financial reporting (excl. non-consolidated. JV, financial assets), excluding additions to
property, plant and equipment resulting from acquisitions, capitalized exploration, restoration obligation and IT investments
Investments* 2010 – FC 2015
(in billion €)
Oil & GasBASF w/o Oil & Gas Depreciation & Amortization
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC 2015
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 21
150 years
Innovations drive sales
Sales from innovations*
(in billion €)
* Launched since 2011
1,0
2,6
4,8
7,3
10,0
0
2
4
6
8
10
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 22
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 22
Steady earnings growth
* 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted by IFRS 10 & 11; 2001 – 2009 as reported, without non-compensable foreign income taxes on oil production
EBIT and EBITDA*
(in billion €, 2001 - 2014)
3,7
4,7 4,6
7,0 7,2
8,4
8,9
7,7
6,5
9,9
11,2
10,0
10,4
11,0
5,9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1
2015
EBITEBITDA
0,7
2,2 2,2
4,5 4,8
5,5
6,0
4,6
2,8
6,7
8,0
6,7 7,2
7,6
4,0
CAGR
EBITDA
8.9 %
CAGR
EBIT
19.8 %
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 23
150 years
EBITDA peak performance of 2011 again
achieved in 2014
* 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted by IFRS 10 & 11
EBIT and EBITDA*
(in billion €, 2010-2014)
CAGR
EBITDA
2.8 %
CAGR
EBIT
3.3 %
9.9
11.2
10.0
10.4
11.0
5.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1 2015
EBITEBITDA
6.7
8.0
6.7
7.2
7.6
4.0
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 24
150 years
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Strong track record in operational
excellence
EBITDA
Sales
* Excl. companies with major IFRS 10/11 restatements, i.e. BASF YPC Nanjing, Libya onshore, other Oil & Gas and Catalysts companies
BASF Group* 2001–2014
(Index; CAGR 2001–2014)
Fixed Costs
CAGR
EBITDA
9%
CAGR
Sales
7%
CAGR
Fixed
Costs
3%
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 25
150 years
Best-in-class asset profitability –
Capital turnover improved by 2% p.a.*
EBITDA on total assets
(in %)
2001
DuPont
DSM
Dow
Celanese
Bayer
AkzoNobel
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
806040200
BASFSABIC
Degussa
Sales (in billion €)
2010
806040200
BASF
SABIC
Lanxess
Evonik
DuPont
DSM
Dow
Celanese
Bayer
AkzoNobel
EBIT (amount indicated by size of circle)* Capital turnover = sales over total assets
Sales (in billion €)
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 26
150 years
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
806040200
2010
BASF
SABIC
Lanxess
Evonik
DuPont
DSM
Dow
Celanese
Bayer
AkzoNobel
2014
0 20 40 60 80
BASF
Sales (in billion €)
* Capital turnover = sales over total assets
Sales (in billion €)
SABIC
Celanese
Dow
Bayer
DuPont
AkzoNobel
Evonik
Lanxess
DSM
Capital turnover slightly down due to
margin decline and growth investments
EBIT (amount indicated by size of circle)
EBITDA on total assets
(in %)
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 27
150 years
0
2
4
6
8
10
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
* EBIT BASF Group without activities not assigned to segments and noncompensable oil taxes
Cost of capitalEBIT*
EBIT* after cost of capital
(in billion €)
ROA 12.5% 15.5% 11.0% 11.5% 11.7%
Significant premium despite higher
investments
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 28
150 years
Free cash flow to recover after capex
peaked
Cash flow
(in billion €)
6,5
7,1
6,6
8,1
7,0
5,1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1 2015
Free cash flowOperating cash flow
3,9
3,7
2,6
3,2
1,7
2,3
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 29
150 years
BASF maintains solid A ratings with
Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1* 2015
* Last 12 months
Net debt / EBITDA, as reported
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 30
150 years
2,20
2,50
2,60
2,70
2,80
2,00
2,20
2,40
2,60
2,80
3,00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
 Delivered on progressive
dividend policy
 Supported by strong cash
flow generation
 ~€12 billion dividends paid
since 2010
 Dividend yield above 3% in
any given year since 2005
Delivering consistent, long-term
shareholder value
Dividend per share
(in €)  We want to increase or at least
maintain our dividend
Key facts
Progressive dividend policy
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 31
150 years
Capital allocation:
Source and use of funds – 2003-2014
0
10
20
30
40
Source Use Source Use Source Use
Source and use of funds
(in billion €)
Cash and financing
Depreciation
Financial
investments*
Divestitures
Earnings after tax
2003 - 2006 2007 - 2010 2011 - 2014
* And Other; ** Contractual Trust Agreement
total
28.5
total
30.9
total
41.5
32%
39%
9%
14%
6%
29%
12%
3%
30%
14%
13%
42%
43%
1%
7%
6%
33%
17%
3%
11%
25%
11% 51%
33%
8%
0%
9%
43%
20%
4%
8%
25%
0%
Dividend
Working capital
Share buy-back
Acquisitions
CTA*/**
Capex
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 32
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 32
► Review of chemical industry’s landscape
► BASF growth and earnings review
► The way forward: Our priorities
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 32
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 33
150 years
Fundamental trends intact; chemical
production growing faster than GDP
CAGR 2015 - 2020 2011 view today’s view
Global GDP 3.2% 3.0%
Industrial production 3.7% 3.5%
Chemical production (excl. pharma) 4.0% 3.9%
► thereof growth contribution of
emerging markets
89% 82%
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 34
150 years
 Emerging markets with lower growth dynamics
 Potential overcapacities due to shale gas induced US-investments
 Oil price has to go up: when, how much?
This will require constant adaptation:
 Balancing risks through diversified portfolio
 Flexibility of asset base
 Timing of strategic measures
Fundamental growth trends intact;
but increased volatility
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 35
150 years
Our strategic principles
We add value
as one company.
We innovate to make
our customers more
successful.
We drive
sustainable solutions.
We form
the best team.
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 36
150 years
 Grow sales and earnings faster than global chemical production,
driven by
– Continued focus on innovations
– Capital expenditures
– Acquisitions
– Operational excellence and Verbund advantages
 Continue to prune our portfolio
 Maintain industry-leading position in sustainability
 Focus on cash generation / conversion
The way forward:
Our priorities
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 37
150 years
Verbund remains the cornerstone
of BASF
Verbund generates
>€1 billion p.a. global
cost savings &
supports
sustainability
Intermediates
Cost efficient,
industrial scale
production for
catalysts template
Catalysts
Development,
production and
marketing of NOx
reduction catalyst
Example: Copper-Chabazite catalysts
Industry-leading technology for NOx control
HO-
N+
Verbund: the basis Verbund: a different perspective
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 38
150 years
Managing volatility: BASF almost perfectly
hedged on hydrocarbon price changes
BASF production and consumption of oil and gas
(in million boe, 2014)
BASF hydrocarbon consumption almost equals hydrocarbon production
Production of oil, liquids and gas Consumption of oil derivatives and gas
136
>100
Natural
gas
Oil and
liquids
Natural gas for energy
and as raw material
Naphtha and
other oil based
raw materials
31
105
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 39
150 years
Strategic lever:
Continuous portfolio development
Specialties and
solutions
Differentiated
commodities
target
(in % of
sales*)
~ 50% ~ 50%
Keep a balanced portfolio
Divestment of
businesses
e.g. due to
loss of
differentiation
Divestment of
businesses
e.g. due to
lower market
attractiveness
Commoditization leads to
restructuring
Growth
fields
Innovation
pipeline
Acquisitions
* Excluding Oil & Gas sales
 Attractive markets
 Differentiation by process
technologies and integration
 Attractive markets
 Differentiation by customer
proximity and innovations
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 40
150 years
 Provide a minimum return on
investment of 8% p.a. after tax
 Are EPS accretive by year three
at the latest
Financial acquisition criteria
 Generate profitable growth
above the industry average
 Are innovation-driven
 Offer a special value proposition
to customers
 Reduce earnings cyclicality
Strategic acquisition criteria
We want to acquire businesses which …
Strategic lever:
Acquisitions
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 41
150 years
Strategic lever:
Capital expenditures – our philosophy
Differentiated commodities
 With proprietary technology and/or Verbund advantages
 Focus on:
– emerging markets
– backward integration in the US
– upgrading our asset base in Europe
Specialties and solutions
 Incremental investments for new products
 Regional expansion of businesses
Oil & Gas
 Focus investment budget by active portfolio optimization to secure free cash flow
 Keep reserve-to-production ratio of approx. 10 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 42
150 years
Selected major capex projects
Implementation of increased capex
program will drive profitable growth
 Temporarily increased
capex is necessary
– to build the base for
further growth
– to strengthen our value
chains
– to increase our footprint
in emerging markets
 Capex peaked in 2014
with €5.4 billion**
Capex spending
* W/o China; ** Investments in property, plant and equipment (without acquisitions)
.
Care chemicals
Polymer dispersions
Polyurethane specialties
Specialty plastics
North America
Cracker flexibilization
and expansion
Battery materials
Dispersion polymers Asia Pacific*
South America
Automotive coatings
Crop protection products
Oil & Gas
Europe
Aroma chemicals
SAP
Crop protection products
Automotive catalysts
Butadiene
Admixture systems
Specialty plastics
Oil & Gas
China
Cracker expansion
Amines
Surfactants
Acrylic acid & SAP
Resins
Specialty plastics
Crop protection
products
Innovation Campus
Start-ups 2011 - 2014 Start-ups planned for 2015 - 2017
TDI complex
Precious metal
recycling
Specialty amines
Crop protection
products
Oil & Gas
Acrylic acid & SAP
Acrylates
Crop protection products
Oil & Gas
Chelating agents
Polyurethane systems
Formic acid
Butanediol expansion
Crop protection products
Ammonia
MDI
Polyamides
Butanediol / PolyTHF®
Neopentylglycol
Specialty amines
Ethylene oxide
Isononanol
Coating resins
Automotive catalysts
Process catalysts
Automotive catalysts
Polymer dispersions
Specialty plastics
Aroma chemicals
2-Ethylhexanoic acid
Polyisobutene
Innovation Campus
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 43
150 years
Strategic lever:
Innovations – our philosophy
 Allow for creativity
 Balance incremental und disruptive innovations
 Manage innovation pipeline efficiently on all levels
 Build on our global R&D Verbund
 Leverage external collaborations even more
 Align R&D activities with business models:
– Differentiated commodities
• Focus on improving processes and addressing raw material change
• Launch selected product innovations
– Specialties and solutions
• Develop new, tailored offerings in close collaboration with customers
• Pursue solution-oriented approach
 Keep annual R&D spending at ~3% of sales*
* W/o Oil & Gas
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 44
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 44
Strategic lever: Innovations
Industry 4.0
World of information and services Physical world / Industry 4.0
Media
Retail
Hotel
Taxi
2010 2015 20202000 2005
Logistics
Tools
Utilities and Energy
Process Industry
Consumer
goods
Electrical, Automotive, Farming
Construction
Healthcare
Computer performance and speed of information sufficient to impact physical world
Source: * Linley Group; ** T-Mobile
Chemical Industry
Computer performance*
(numbers of transistors per USD)
Telecommunications transmission speed**
(bits per second)
1 G
56 K
20 m
2.6 m
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 45
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 4545BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 46
150 years
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 46
Strategic lever: Innovations
Industry 4.0 will benefit BASF in the future
Applications along BASF’s value chain
Several opportunities identified at every step of BASF’s value chain
* Enterprise Resource Planning
Sourcing Marketing & Sales
Supply Chain
Manufacturing
Digital
business models
R&D
Predictive
maintenance
Verbund
optimization
ERP* integration with supplier
and customer
Predictive planning
Digital innovation
ecosystem
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 47
150 years
Strategic lever:
Innovations
Processes
ProductsSolutions
Innovation
types
Developing solutions for many aspects of life
(Innovation examples to be presented tomorrow)
Innovation types
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 48
150 years
Sustainability and transparency are key
to BASF’s strategy
Public recognition for sustainability and
transparency**
Clear sustainability targets, e.g.
 Greenhouse gases*
Target
2020
Status
2015
-34% -40%
* Per metric ton of sales products/excluding oil and gas production; ** Examples
 Lost-time injuries -55% -80%
Energy & climate protection
Safety, security and health
Portfolio evaluation completed
Global ESG Leaders Indices
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 49
150 years
CustomersBASFSuppliers
Energy & climate protection
 Greenhouse gas reduction* of 40% by 2020 (base 2002)
 Energy efficiency: Introduction of certified energy
management system at all major sites by 2020
Water
 Introduction of sustainable water management
at all relevant sites by 2025
Safety, health and security
 “Risk assessment” of products by 2020 >99%
 Health Performance Index** (annual goal) >0.9
 Lost-time injuries*** by 2025 0.5
 Process safety incidents*** by 2025 0.5
Employees
 Women in leadership positions
 Non-German senior executives
 Senior executives with international experience >80%
Evaluation of 70% of
relevant suppliers
with regard to their
sustainability
performance by
2020
Increase the share
of Accelerators from
23% to 28% by
2020
Strategic lever: Sustainability
Sustainability goals along the value chain
* Per metric ton of sales products/excluding oil and gas production; ** Highest possible score 1.0; *** Per one million work hours
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 50
150 years
2.6% 0.3%
 Novel methodology to screen
and steer our portfolio*
 23% Accelerators:
– outgrow their markets
by 2-10%
– deliver margins >10%
above the average
– represent >60% of BASF’s
R&D pipeline
 74% Performers
 <1% of Challenged products
* 60,000 product applications analyzed; covering 98.3% of the relevant portfolio or €66.3bn. in sales (2014 data)
Increase the share of Accelerators from 23% in 2014 to 28% by 2020
Strategic lever: Sustainability
Sustainable Solution Steering
23%
74.1%
Substantial sustainability
contribution in the value chain
Meets basic sustainability
standards in the market
Specific sustainability issue
which is actively addressed
Significant sustainability concern,
action plan in development
Sustainable
Solution
Steering
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 51
150 years
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2015 2018
Annual earnings contribution
(in million €)
 Targeted annual earnings
contribution of €1 billion by end
of 2018
 Optimization of processes and
structures in all regions, e.g.
– manufacturing
– incremental capacities
– productivity increase
 Project timeline: 2016–2018
DrivE program
Strategic lever: Operational excellence
DrivE with ~€1 bn earnings contribution
Former cost saving
programs pre 2008
NEXT 2008-2011 DrivE 2016-2018
STEP 2012-2015
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 52
150 years
 Utilize and expand unique Verbund integration
 Flexible business models
 Strong operational excellence
 Specialties and solutions:
– Focus on fast-moving, customer-facing end markets
– Differentiate through knowledge-based offerings, innovative and
sustainable products and solutions
 Differentiated commodities:
– Focus on integrated value chains with competitive advantages
– Differentiate through process innovations and stringent cost management
– Focused capex to support growth
Strategic direction chemicals business*:
Profitable growth
* Our chemicals business comprises of the Chemicals, Performance Products, Functional Materials & Solutions segment
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 53
150 years
 Continue profitable growth in all indications
 Differentiate through strong innovation pipeline
 Continue to expand our portfolio to Innovations beyond
Crop Protection
 Net sales target of €6 billion in 2015 and €8 billion in 2020
 25% average annual EBITDA* margin target
Strategic direction Agricultural Solutions:
Feeding a growing population
* Before special items
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 54
150 years
 Continue to generate industry-leading profit margins
 Continue to provide hydrocarbon hedge
 Strengthen E&P activities in core regions and activities with limited
exploration risk
 Focus on
– key partnerships
– operational excellence
– active portfolio management
 Keep ambitious production growth target for 2018 of ~190 million boe
 Generate strong free cash flow
Strategic direction Oil & Gas:
Selective growth in E&P
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 55
150 years
Profitability of BASF will grow faster than
global chemical production
 Sales growth*
Slightly faster than the global chemical production
 EBITDA growth
Well above global chemical production
 Remain a strong cash provider
Continuously generate high levels of free cash flow
Financial targets for next years
 Deliver attractive returns
Earn a significant premium on cost of capital
* Without considering Natural Gas Trading and Storage business
 Progressive dividend policy
We want to grow or at least maintain our dividend
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 56
150 years
 Grow sales and earnings faster than global chemical production, driven by
– Continued focus on innovations (R&D spending about 3% of sales*)
– Capital expenditures (slightly above depreciation levels)
– Acquisitions
– Operational excellence and Verbund advantages
(€1 billion program; 2016-2018)
 Continue to prune our portfolio
 Maintain industry-leading position in sustainability
 Focus on cash generation / conversion
The way forward:
Our priorities
* Excluding Oil & Gas sales
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 57
150 years
5 numbers to take home
150 years of excellence
billion free cash
flow*
billion
~€12
>€15
~€9
>€18
investments into R&D*
billion
billion
invested into new or expanded
capacities*
dividends paid*
* Aggregated figures 2010 - 2014BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 58
BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 58
150 years
150 years

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BASF Investor Day 2015

  • 1. We create chemistry for a sustainable future 150 years Kurt Bock Chairman of the Board of Executive Directors Hans-Ulrich Engel Chief Financial Officer BASF Investor Day Ludwigshafen September 28, 2015
  • 2. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 2 150 years Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward- looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
  • 3. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 3 150 years ‘We create chemistry for a sustainable future’ entering the 5th year The chemical market will continue to grow at about 5% p.a. fueled by  a growing middle class in emerging markets  demand for innovations for higher living standards and more sustainable solutions BASF wants to continue to grow above market focusing on  adding value as One Company  expansion of product portfolio downstream towards functionalized materials & solutions  higher capex particularly in emerging markets  increased investment in R&D BASF is committed to delivering long-term shareholder value by  growing EBITDA faster than sales  earning a substantial EBIT after cost of capital  steadily increasing its dividend What did we say in 2011?
  • 4. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 4 150 years ‘We create chemistry for a sustainable future’ entering the 5th year U.S. shale gas was seen as an opportunity, but not as an industry game changer. Portfolio pruning Acquisitions were a strategic lever for growth – we focused on portfolio pruning and smaller acquisitions. What did we not mention in 2011? Coal in China We did not foresee the government’s move to incentivize coal over gas for chemical production. Oil & Gas We were conspicuously silent about Oil & Gas – maintain its share of Group sales, earnings and capex.
  • 5. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 5 150 years What do we want to achieve today and tomorrow?  Enable you to deep dive into our business portfolio and introduce our business leaders to you  Demonstrate how we drive value  Highlight our approach to innovation and showcase specific examples  Provide a medium-term outlook
  • 6. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 6 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 6 ► Review of chemical industry’s landscape ► BASF growth and earnings review ► The way forward: Our priorities BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 6
  • 7. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 7 150 years  Low growth in Europe, Japan and the U.S.  Strong growth stimulus in China with spillover effects to other emerging markets  Lower feedstock costs  Proliferation of some technologies resulted in increased competition  Faster build-up of significant new capacities in China resulted in overcapacities  Faster than expected commoditization in selected product lines Market dynamics have changed since 2011 Fundamental trends intact; environment for chemical industry more challenging CAGR 2010 - 2015 2011 view today’s view Global GDP 3.4% 2.6% Industrial production 4.6% 3.2% Chemical production (excl. pharma) 4.9% 3.9% ► thereof growth contribution of emerging markets 82% 91%
  • 8. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 8 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 8 Lower predictability and higher volatility in the economic environment Soft commodity prices at peak and trough (index 2007 = 100) Precious metal prices Exchange rates reflect geopolitical situations (index 2010 = 100) Highly volatile oil and natural gas prices Brent (rhs) USD/bbl Henry Hub (lhs) USD/MMBtu Platinum USD/troz 900 1,400 1,900 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Gold USD/troz 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2 7 12 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Brazilian Real USD 70 100 130 160 Jan-10 Dez-10 Nov-11 Oct-12 Sep-13 Aug-14 Jul-15 100 300 500 700 Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan-13 Nov-13 Aug-14 May-15 Soybeans Corn Grain
  • 9. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 9 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 9 Chemicals remains a growth industry …more food needed by 2050 …more primary energy consumption by 2050 …of the world population will live in cities by 2050 Agriculture Health & nutrition Energy & resources TransportationConstruction & housing Consumer goods Chemistry as enabler for current and future needs …people by 2050 70% 50%>9bn Electrical & Electronics 30%
  • 10. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 10 150 years Emerging markets driving chemical production growth above global GDP 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 2010 2015 2020 2025 +0% +3% +0% +3% +2% +5% +3% +4% +1% +2% +3% Global GDP CAGR: 2.6% Global GDP CAGR: 3.0% Real chemical production excl. pharma (in billion USD) CAGR* 3.9% CAGR* 3.9% CAGR* 3.8% +5% +3% +3% +1% +2% +2% Global GDP CAGR: 3.1% +6% Asia Pacific South America Middle East, Africa Western Europe Eastern Europe North America * Real chemical production excluding pharmaceuticals
  • 11. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 11 150 years China and India still have a huge economic catch-up potential GDP per capita, 2014 (in USD thousands) 54 47 7 2 USA Germany China India Refrigerator ownership, 2013* (percent of households) * Or latest available Passenger cars, 2014 (per 1,000 driving population) 918 618 86 27 USA Germany China India Source: National Statistical Offices, ACEA, BASF 99 100 98 67 44 9 USA Germany China - Urban China - Rural India - Urban India - Rural
  • 12. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 12 150 years R&D efforts in chemicals are increasing, strongly driven by China R&D spending* in chemicals excl. pharma (in billion €) Source: Feri Chemdata International* R&D spending of chemical companies within the respective countries (regardless of nationality) 30 28 26 24 23 24 25 24 25 25 28 30 33 32 31 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 6 8 9 9 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 10 20 30 40 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4140 35 32 28 27 26 27 262525 27 29 30 40 World excluding ChinaChina Number of chemical patents (in 1,000)
  • 13. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 13 150 years Innovations continue to drive growth Replacement of hang-on parts Whole modules and assembly-systems Structural parts Complete new vehicle concepts Current models 2010 * CO2 per km; 2015 2020 2025 2030 Lightweight composites help to reduce weight in automobiles (Composite market potential) Legislation on reduction of CO2 emissions in Europe (Other countries such as Japan, South Korea, USA, China pursue similar trends) 143g* 120g* 95g* 75g*/** ** Under discussion
  • 14. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 14 150 years Raw material specifics drive regional value chains Coal Natural gas Naphtha Sugar 5-year average 2010-2014 (heating value in €/Gigajoule) 0 5 10 15 20 25 USA Europe Western China Brazil  Shale gas driven projects to supply captive demand and local markets  Renewables still with highest costs  Selected projects provide upside opportunity  No feedstock cost advantage  Further strengthening of Verbund sites  Focus on innovations BASF adapts to benefit from local conditions  Evaluation of coal- based projects (e.g. BDO in Korla)  Investments in differentiated products
  • 15. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 15 150 years Overcapacities in Asia will be absorbed over time BASF benefits from attractive cost positions Source: BASF estimate 0 2.500 5.000 Acrylic acid Butanediol Caprolactam MDI TDI Cashcosts BASFclassicprocess BASFnewprocess Production capacity Acrylic acid cash cost curve, China average cash costs 2015 in USD/kg Overcapacities in Asia will persist for some years (Industry capacities in kt, operating rate in percent) ~60% ~70% ~75% ~75% ~70% BASFPlant3 BASFPlant2 Cashcosts Production capacity BASFPlant1 1,4-Butanediol (BDO) cash cost curve, Asia average cash costs 2015 in USD/kg Capacity 2015 Est. operating rate
  • 16. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 16 150 years Climate change / Greenhouse gas reduction  G7 call for “Decarbonization” by 2100  Europe: Ambitious reduction of 40% by 2030 (base 1990)  USA: Reduction target of 26-28% by 2025 (base 2005)  China: Announced to stop emissions increase as of 2030  Emissions trading introduced in South Korea, rollout in China planned for 2016 * TTIP: Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership; ** TPP: Trans-Pacific Partnership Political environment more challenging, but with opportunities for innovation Chemical industry regulations  EU: Focus on precautionary principle; regulatory topics such as Endocrine Disruptors  South Korea and China: Similar regulatory structure as REACH  USA: Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA) reform in progress, implementation expected by 2016 Trade  Upside through bilateral agreements, but… – increasingly negative environment (in Europe) regarding TTIP* – in the USA, TPP** faces stronger criticism than TTIP
  • 17. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 17 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 17 ► Review of chemical industry’s landscape ► BASF growth and earnings review ► The way forward: Our priorities BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 17
  • 18. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 18 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 18 Components of growth * 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted by IFRS 10 & 11 59,6 74,38,7 4,9 -1,7 2,8 20 40 60 80 2010 2014 Volumes Prices FX M&A Sales* analysis 2010 – 2014 (in billion €) Net sales 2010 Volumes Prices FX M&A Sales CAGR 2010 - 2014 BASF Group w/o Oil & Gas 51.4 +3.2 (+1.5% CAGR) +3.9 -1.6 +2.2 +3.6% Oil & Gas 8.2 +5.5 (+13.7% CAGR) +1.0 -0.1 +0.6 +15.7% 5.7% CAGR
  • 19. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 19 150 years  Functional crop care  Personal care & food  Omega-3 fatty acids  Enzymes  Battery materials  Specialty plastics  Selected assets in Oil & Gas  … BASF core business Strong partnerships  Gazprom  Monsanto  Petronas  Shell  Sinopec  Statoil  Total  Yara Selected transactions 2010 − 2014 Acquisitions ~ €4.5 billion sales in emerging and innovation-driven businesses Divestitures  Styrenics  Fertilizers  Construction equipment, flooring and wall systems  Decorative paints in Europe  Selected assets in Oil & Gas  … ~ €7 billion sales* in businesses with limited fit and differentiation potential Portfolio development towards more market-driven and innovative businesses * Includes sales of non-consolidated businesses (Styrenics, VNG participation)
  • 20. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 20 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 20 Capital expenditures peaked in 2014, reduction in coming years planned * Investments in fixed assets, according to financial reporting (excl. non-consolidated. JV, financial assets), excluding additions to property, plant and equipment resulting from acquisitions, capitalized exploration, restoration obligation and IT investments Investments* 2010 – FC 2015 (in billion €) Oil & GasBASF w/o Oil & Gas Depreciation & Amortization 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC 2015
  • 21. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 21 150 years Innovations drive sales Sales from innovations* (in billion €) * Launched since 2011 1,0 2,6 4,8 7,3 10,0 0 2 4 6 8 10 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E
  • 22. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 22 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 22 Steady earnings growth * 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted by IFRS 10 & 11; 2001 – 2009 as reported, without non-compensable foreign income taxes on oil production EBIT and EBITDA* (in billion €, 2001 - 2014) 3,7 4,7 4,6 7,0 7,2 8,4 8,9 7,7 6,5 9,9 11,2 10,0 10,4 11,0 5,9 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1 2015 EBITEBITDA 0,7 2,2 2,2 4,5 4,8 5,5 6,0 4,6 2,8 6,7 8,0 6,7 7,2 7,6 4,0 CAGR EBITDA 8.9 % CAGR EBIT 19.8 %
  • 23. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 23 150 years EBITDA peak performance of 2011 again achieved in 2014 * 2010, 2011 indicative, adjusted by IFRS 10 & 11 EBIT and EBITDA* (in billion €, 2010-2014) CAGR EBITDA 2.8 % CAGR EBIT 3.3 % 9.9 11.2 10.0 10.4 11.0 5.9 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1 2015 EBITEBITDA 6.7 8.0 6.7 7.2 7.6 4.0
  • 24. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 24 150 years 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Strong track record in operational excellence EBITDA Sales * Excl. companies with major IFRS 10/11 restatements, i.e. BASF YPC Nanjing, Libya onshore, other Oil & Gas and Catalysts companies BASF Group* 2001–2014 (Index; CAGR 2001–2014) Fixed Costs CAGR EBITDA 9% CAGR Sales 7% CAGR Fixed Costs 3%
  • 25. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 25 150 years Best-in-class asset profitability – Capital turnover improved by 2% p.a.* EBITDA on total assets (in %) 2001 DuPont DSM Dow Celanese Bayer AkzoNobel 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 806040200 BASFSABIC Degussa Sales (in billion €) 2010 806040200 BASF SABIC Lanxess Evonik DuPont DSM Dow Celanese Bayer AkzoNobel EBIT (amount indicated by size of circle)* Capital turnover = sales over total assets Sales (in billion €)
  • 26. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 26 150 years 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 806040200 2010 BASF SABIC Lanxess Evonik DuPont DSM Dow Celanese Bayer AkzoNobel 2014 0 20 40 60 80 BASF Sales (in billion €) * Capital turnover = sales over total assets Sales (in billion €) SABIC Celanese Dow Bayer DuPont AkzoNobel Evonik Lanxess DSM Capital turnover slightly down due to margin decline and growth investments EBIT (amount indicated by size of circle) EBITDA on total assets (in %)
  • 27. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 27 150 years 0 2 4 6 8 10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 * EBIT BASF Group without activities not assigned to segments and noncompensable oil taxes Cost of capitalEBIT* EBIT* after cost of capital (in billion €) ROA 12.5% 15.5% 11.0% 11.5% 11.7% Significant premium despite higher investments
  • 28. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 28 150 years Free cash flow to recover after capex peaked Cash flow (in billion €) 6,5 7,1 6,6 8,1 7,0 5,1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1 2015 Free cash flowOperating cash flow 3,9 3,7 2,6 3,2 1,7 2,3
  • 29. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 29 150 years BASF maintains solid A ratings with Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H1* 2015 * Last 12 months Net debt / EBITDA, as reported
  • 30. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 30 150 years 2,20 2,50 2,60 2,70 2,80 2,00 2,20 2,40 2,60 2,80 3,00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014  Delivered on progressive dividend policy  Supported by strong cash flow generation  ~€12 billion dividends paid since 2010  Dividend yield above 3% in any given year since 2005 Delivering consistent, long-term shareholder value Dividend per share (in €)  We want to increase or at least maintain our dividend Key facts Progressive dividend policy
  • 31. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 31 150 years Capital allocation: Source and use of funds – 2003-2014 0 10 20 30 40 Source Use Source Use Source Use Source and use of funds (in billion €) Cash and financing Depreciation Financial investments* Divestitures Earnings after tax 2003 - 2006 2007 - 2010 2011 - 2014 * And Other; ** Contractual Trust Agreement total 28.5 total 30.9 total 41.5 32% 39% 9% 14% 6% 29% 12% 3% 30% 14% 13% 42% 43% 1% 7% 6% 33% 17% 3% 11% 25% 11% 51% 33% 8% 0% 9% 43% 20% 4% 8% 25% 0% Dividend Working capital Share buy-back Acquisitions CTA*/** Capex
  • 32. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 32 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 32 ► Review of chemical industry’s landscape ► BASF growth and earnings review ► The way forward: Our priorities BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 32
  • 33. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 33 150 years Fundamental trends intact; chemical production growing faster than GDP CAGR 2015 - 2020 2011 view today’s view Global GDP 3.2% 3.0% Industrial production 3.7% 3.5% Chemical production (excl. pharma) 4.0% 3.9% ► thereof growth contribution of emerging markets 89% 82%
  • 34. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 34 150 years  Emerging markets with lower growth dynamics  Potential overcapacities due to shale gas induced US-investments  Oil price has to go up: when, how much? This will require constant adaptation:  Balancing risks through diversified portfolio  Flexibility of asset base  Timing of strategic measures Fundamental growth trends intact; but increased volatility
  • 35. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 35 150 years Our strategic principles We add value as one company. We innovate to make our customers more successful. We drive sustainable solutions. We form the best team.
  • 36. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 36 150 years  Grow sales and earnings faster than global chemical production, driven by – Continued focus on innovations – Capital expenditures – Acquisitions – Operational excellence and Verbund advantages  Continue to prune our portfolio  Maintain industry-leading position in sustainability  Focus on cash generation / conversion The way forward: Our priorities
  • 37. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 37 150 years Verbund remains the cornerstone of BASF Verbund generates >€1 billion p.a. global cost savings & supports sustainability Intermediates Cost efficient, industrial scale production for catalysts template Catalysts Development, production and marketing of NOx reduction catalyst Example: Copper-Chabazite catalysts Industry-leading technology for NOx control HO- N+ Verbund: the basis Verbund: a different perspective
  • 38. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 38 150 years Managing volatility: BASF almost perfectly hedged on hydrocarbon price changes BASF production and consumption of oil and gas (in million boe, 2014) BASF hydrocarbon consumption almost equals hydrocarbon production Production of oil, liquids and gas Consumption of oil derivatives and gas 136 >100 Natural gas Oil and liquids Natural gas for energy and as raw material Naphtha and other oil based raw materials 31 105
  • 39. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 39 150 years Strategic lever: Continuous portfolio development Specialties and solutions Differentiated commodities target (in % of sales*) ~ 50% ~ 50% Keep a balanced portfolio Divestment of businesses e.g. due to loss of differentiation Divestment of businesses e.g. due to lower market attractiveness Commoditization leads to restructuring Growth fields Innovation pipeline Acquisitions * Excluding Oil & Gas sales  Attractive markets  Differentiation by process technologies and integration  Attractive markets  Differentiation by customer proximity and innovations
  • 40. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 40 150 years  Provide a minimum return on investment of 8% p.a. after tax  Are EPS accretive by year three at the latest Financial acquisition criteria  Generate profitable growth above the industry average  Are innovation-driven  Offer a special value proposition to customers  Reduce earnings cyclicality Strategic acquisition criteria We want to acquire businesses which … Strategic lever: Acquisitions
  • 41. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 41 150 years Strategic lever: Capital expenditures – our philosophy Differentiated commodities  With proprietary technology and/or Verbund advantages  Focus on: – emerging markets – backward integration in the US – upgrading our asset base in Europe Specialties and solutions  Incremental investments for new products  Regional expansion of businesses Oil & Gas  Focus investment budget by active portfolio optimization to secure free cash flow  Keep reserve-to-production ratio of approx. 10 years
  • 42. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 42 150 years Selected major capex projects Implementation of increased capex program will drive profitable growth  Temporarily increased capex is necessary – to build the base for further growth – to strengthen our value chains – to increase our footprint in emerging markets  Capex peaked in 2014 with €5.4 billion** Capex spending * W/o China; ** Investments in property, plant and equipment (without acquisitions) . Care chemicals Polymer dispersions Polyurethane specialties Specialty plastics North America Cracker flexibilization and expansion Battery materials Dispersion polymers Asia Pacific* South America Automotive coatings Crop protection products Oil & Gas Europe Aroma chemicals SAP Crop protection products Automotive catalysts Butadiene Admixture systems Specialty plastics Oil & Gas China Cracker expansion Amines Surfactants Acrylic acid & SAP Resins Specialty plastics Crop protection products Innovation Campus Start-ups 2011 - 2014 Start-ups planned for 2015 - 2017 TDI complex Precious metal recycling Specialty amines Crop protection products Oil & Gas Acrylic acid & SAP Acrylates Crop protection products Oil & Gas Chelating agents Polyurethane systems Formic acid Butanediol expansion Crop protection products Ammonia MDI Polyamides Butanediol / PolyTHF® Neopentylglycol Specialty amines Ethylene oxide Isononanol Coating resins Automotive catalysts Process catalysts Automotive catalysts Polymer dispersions Specialty plastics Aroma chemicals 2-Ethylhexanoic acid Polyisobutene Innovation Campus
  • 43. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 43 150 years Strategic lever: Innovations – our philosophy  Allow for creativity  Balance incremental und disruptive innovations  Manage innovation pipeline efficiently on all levels  Build on our global R&D Verbund  Leverage external collaborations even more  Align R&D activities with business models: – Differentiated commodities • Focus on improving processes and addressing raw material change • Launch selected product innovations – Specialties and solutions • Develop new, tailored offerings in close collaboration with customers • Pursue solution-oriented approach  Keep annual R&D spending at ~3% of sales* * W/o Oil & Gas
  • 44. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 44 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 44 Strategic lever: Innovations Industry 4.0 World of information and services Physical world / Industry 4.0 Media Retail Hotel Taxi 2010 2015 20202000 2005 Logistics Tools Utilities and Energy Process Industry Consumer goods Electrical, Automotive, Farming Construction Healthcare Computer performance and speed of information sufficient to impact physical world Source: * Linley Group; ** T-Mobile Chemical Industry Computer performance* (numbers of transistors per USD) Telecommunications transmission speed** (bits per second) 1 G 56 K 20 m 2.6 m
  • 45. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 45 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 4545BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech
  • 46. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 46 150 years BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 46 Strategic lever: Innovations Industry 4.0 will benefit BASF in the future Applications along BASF’s value chain Several opportunities identified at every step of BASF’s value chain * Enterprise Resource Planning Sourcing Marketing & Sales Supply Chain Manufacturing Digital business models R&D Predictive maintenance Verbund optimization ERP* integration with supplier and customer Predictive planning Digital innovation ecosystem
  • 47. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 47 150 years Strategic lever: Innovations Processes ProductsSolutions Innovation types Developing solutions for many aspects of life (Innovation examples to be presented tomorrow) Innovation types
  • 48. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 48 150 years Sustainability and transparency are key to BASF’s strategy Public recognition for sustainability and transparency** Clear sustainability targets, e.g.  Greenhouse gases* Target 2020 Status 2015 -34% -40% * Per metric ton of sales products/excluding oil and gas production; ** Examples  Lost-time injuries -55% -80% Energy & climate protection Safety, security and health Portfolio evaluation completed Global ESG Leaders Indices
  • 49. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 49 150 years CustomersBASFSuppliers Energy & climate protection  Greenhouse gas reduction* of 40% by 2020 (base 2002)  Energy efficiency: Introduction of certified energy management system at all major sites by 2020 Water  Introduction of sustainable water management at all relevant sites by 2025 Safety, health and security  “Risk assessment” of products by 2020 >99%  Health Performance Index** (annual goal) >0.9  Lost-time injuries*** by 2025 0.5  Process safety incidents*** by 2025 0.5 Employees  Women in leadership positions  Non-German senior executives  Senior executives with international experience >80% Evaluation of 70% of relevant suppliers with regard to their sustainability performance by 2020 Increase the share of Accelerators from 23% to 28% by 2020 Strategic lever: Sustainability Sustainability goals along the value chain * Per metric ton of sales products/excluding oil and gas production; ** Highest possible score 1.0; *** Per one million work hours
  • 50. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 50 150 years 2.6% 0.3%  Novel methodology to screen and steer our portfolio*  23% Accelerators: – outgrow their markets by 2-10% – deliver margins >10% above the average – represent >60% of BASF’s R&D pipeline  74% Performers  <1% of Challenged products * 60,000 product applications analyzed; covering 98.3% of the relevant portfolio or €66.3bn. in sales (2014 data) Increase the share of Accelerators from 23% in 2014 to 28% by 2020 Strategic lever: Sustainability Sustainable Solution Steering 23% 74.1% Substantial sustainability contribution in the value chain Meets basic sustainability standards in the market Specific sustainability issue which is actively addressed Significant sustainability concern, action plan in development Sustainable Solution Steering
  • 51. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 51 150 years 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2015 2018 Annual earnings contribution (in million €)  Targeted annual earnings contribution of €1 billion by end of 2018  Optimization of processes and structures in all regions, e.g. – manufacturing – incremental capacities – productivity increase  Project timeline: 2016–2018 DrivE program Strategic lever: Operational excellence DrivE with ~€1 bn earnings contribution Former cost saving programs pre 2008 NEXT 2008-2011 DrivE 2016-2018 STEP 2012-2015
  • 52. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 52 150 years  Utilize and expand unique Verbund integration  Flexible business models  Strong operational excellence  Specialties and solutions: – Focus on fast-moving, customer-facing end markets – Differentiate through knowledge-based offerings, innovative and sustainable products and solutions  Differentiated commodities: – Focus on integrated value chains with competitive advantages – Differentiate through process innovations and stringent cost management – Focused capex to support growth Strategic direction chemicals business*: Profitable growth * Our chemicals business comprises of the Chemicals, Performance Products, Functional Materials & Solutions segment
  • 53. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 53 150 years  Continue profitable growth in all indications  Differentiate through strong innovation pipeline  Continue to expand our portfolio to Innovations beyond Crop Protection  Net sales target of €6 billion in 2015 and €8 billion in 2020  25% average annual EBITDA* margin target Strategic direction Agricultural Solutions: Feeding a growing population * Before special items
  • 54. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 54 150 years  Continue to generate industry-leading profit margins  Continue to provide hydrocarbon hedge  Strengthen E&P activities in core regions and activities with limited exploration risk  Focus on – key partnerships – operational excellence – active portfolio management  Keep ambitious production growth target for 2018 of ~190 million boe  Generate strong free cash flow Strategic direction Oil & Gas: Selective growth in E&P
  • 55. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 55 150 years Profitability of BASF will grow faster than global chemical production  Sales growth* Slightly faster than the global chemical production  EBITDA growth Well above global chemical production  Remain a strong cash provider Continuously generate high levels of free cash flow Financial targets for next years  Deliver attractive returns Earn a significant premium on cost of capital * Without considering Natural Gas Trading and Storage business  Progressive dividend policy We want to grow or at least maintain our dividend
  • 56. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 56 150 years  Grow sales and earnings faster than global chemical production, driven by – Continued focus on innovations (R&D spending about 3% of sales*) – Capital expenditures (slightly above depreciation levels) – Acquisitions – Operational excellence and Verbund advantages (€1 billion program; 2016-2018)  Continue to prune our portfolio  Maintain industry-leading position in sustainability  Focus on cash generation / conversion The way forward: Our priorities * Excluding Oil & Gas sales
  • 57. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 57 150 years 5 numbers to take home 150 years of excellence billion free cash flow* billion ~€12 >€15 ~€9 >€18 investments into R&D* billion billion invested into new or expanded capacities* dividends paid* * Aggregated figures 2010 - 2014BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 58
  • 58. BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote Speech 58 150 years 150 years