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NEWSWATCH
                                                                              30th September 2011
                                                                                    Volume 11; Issue 37



In this Issue:
                             Lufthansa Orders 12 New Aircraft to Meet
                                         Soaring Demand
  Lufthansa orders
  12 new aircraft to         The Board members at Lufthansa have approved the order
  meet soaring               of 12 new aircraft as the airline seeks to meet soaring
  demand                     demand.

  India Leads EU            Of the aircraft, two Airbus A380s and one Airbus A330-300
  Levy on Airlines           will be deployed for Lufthansa German Airlines on long-
                             haul routes for an interim period.
  O'Leary claims BA
                             The decision was taken by the Board at its meeting earlier.
  group has sights on
  stake in Aer Lingus        There are also plans to order four Airbus A320s for
                             Lufthansa German Airlines.
  Boeing’s first 787
                             In addition, five new Embraer 195s will augment the
  Dreamliner lands
  in Tokyo                   Lufthansa Regional fleet.
                             The new, modern, fuel-efficient aircraft will be delivered
  Finnair To Slash          to the Group in stages from 2012.
  155 Jobs As It Cuts
  Costs                      The order has a list-price value of about one billion euros.
                             Commenting on the decision, Lufthansa Chief Executive
  WestJet, Emirates
  sign co-operation          Christoph Franz, said: “The moderate expansion of
  pact                       Lufthansa’s passenger fleet will serve primarily to ensure
                             that we can meet short-term requirements while
  Tajikistan’s Somon        modernising and consolidating our European fleet until
  Air Receives Its           such time as new aircraft technologies are available.
  First Boeing 737-
  900ER                      “It is the latest step in our ongoing strategy of deploying a
                             modern fleet in terms of fuel efficiency, operating costs,
  IBA Group News            noise and emissions.
                             “At the same time, the additional order for the Airbus
                             A380 and A330 will underpin our plans on long-haul routes
                             in the medium term.
                             “Along with the aircraft we have already ordered, which
                             will join our fleet over the next few years, it will increase
                             our ability to take targeted action and respond flexibly to
      IBA Group Ltd.         fluctuations in demand or market changes.”
         IBA House
       7 The Crescent        The order will be financed from the group’s cash reserves
    Leatherhead, Surrey
         KT22 8DY            or from external sources.
      United Kingdom
  Tel: +44 (0) 1372 224488
                             Lufthansa was recently recognised as Europe’s Leading
  Fax: +44 (0) 1372 224489   Airline by the prestigious World Travel Awards.
     www.ibagroup.com
                             Source: breakingtravelnews.com – 30th September 2011




                                                  Page 1
NEWSWATCH
                                                                30th September 2011
                                                                     Volume 11; Issue 37




          India Leads EU Levy on Airlines
India has gathered with more than 30 nations to create a
strategy to oppose the European Union’s Emissions Trading
Scheme (EU ETS), which will begin imposing charges on
carriers that fly into the 27 member states at the turn of the
year. Indian civil aviation minister Vayalar Ravi questioned
how the EU can dictate terms to other nations. He also
questioned why everyone would simply accept that.
The EU made the decision in 2008 that airlines should become
part of its ETS after discharges in Europe grew twice over in 20
years. It says emissions from international carriers now            IBA’s Comment:
account for 2%-3% of global greenhouse gas discharges. The           “The ETS has
programme already covers more than 11,000 power stations            met with a high
and factories located within the EU.
                                                                        level of
Airlines that fly into the EU will be made to purchase carbon
                                                                    opposition from
permits from January 2012 if they exceed the emission caps
set by the group of member states. Under the scheme, 85% of         IATA and some
the emission cap for airlines will be allocated free, and the        on-European
balance will be auctioned next year. These benchmarks were          countries. It is
set this week. European Commission director-general for
                                                                    surprising that
climate Jos Delbeke says the cost to meet emissions targets
could increase airfares for transatlantic services by between       this opposition
€2 and €12.                                                         has been raised
Measures by the EU to impose the carbon caps have garnered          so late. The ETS
protests from airline groups in the US, China, Russia and the       guidelines have
Middle East. In June, the China Air Transport Association said
                                                                      been in the
that the plan is illegal and unreasonable. The International Air
Transport Association (IATA) said earlier this week that it’s the     pipeline for
EU’s plan to break international law and attack the                 some time now”
sovereignty of other nations. Chief executive Tony Tyler said        – David Rushe
that the legislation will add $1.2 billion to airline costs next
year. The organisation has forecasted carriers to make only a
combined $4.9 billion profit for the year.
Over 30 members of the International Civil Aviation
Organization (ICAO) met in New Delhi this week to discuss the
EU ETS. The group has 190 members states, including China
and the US. Ravi said that his country’s aviation ministry was
hosting the two-day meeting, but he didn’t name any of the
nations that were to participate. He has called the ETS a
penalty on all foreign airlines operating to Europe. The

                                         Page 2
NEWSWATCH
                                                                 30th September 2011
                                                                       Volume 11; Issue 37

aviation industry is growing in India, and they can’t be
penalised for that, he added.
Binit Somaia, the director of South Asia for the Centre for Asia
Pacific Aviation (CAPA), said that, by making the ETS apply to
non-EU carriers, there is a feeling that the EU is stepping over
its authority. Retribution may take the form of equivalent
retaliation of taxes, restrictions on traffic rights for European
airlines and an impact on European planemakers.
Source: news.carrentals.co.uk – 30th September 2011




O'Leary claims BA group has sights on stake in
                 Aer Lingus                                           IBA’s Comment:
                                                                       “A BA stake in
The owner of British Airways may snap up the Irish
government's quarter stake in Aer Lingus, according to rival           Aer Lingus has
airline boss Michael O'Leary.                                             been long
                                                                       rumoured and
O'Leary, chief executive of Ryanair, said International Airlines
Group, which owns BA and Spanish flag carrier Iberia, appeared           would make
to be the most likely buyer of Dublin's 25 per cent stake in the      sense from BA’s
Irish airline.                                                          point of view,
Ryanair, which owns 29 per cent of its rival, said IAG would,            particularly
however, only buy Aer Lingus if the company's board made                   given Aer
clear it was not liable for a €400 million (£347.9m) pension            Lingus’ strong
scheme deficit for Aer Lingus staff.                                   branding in the
IAG plans to expand by buying other carriers, but it has not              UK and its
publicly expressed interest in buying the Aer Lingus stake and          dominance of
declined to elaborate on O'Leary's comments. An IAG                      the London
spokeswoman said: "We're not really commenting on it."                Heathrow-Dublin
Aer Lingus is understood to be considering joining a                    route – one of
transatlantic airline venture, such as those involving BA,               the world’s
Lufthansa and Air France-KLM, in the next few years after              busiest – which
dropping plans to become a member of a global airline alliance         has historically
such as Star Alliance. But Aer Lingus has warned the
                                                                           provided
government against selling its stake to a larger rival, saying this
                                                                       connections to
could undermine it by damaging existing partnerships.
                                                                         BA long haul
Ireland's transport minister was quoted as saying last week that
                                                                       flights for Irish
the government had received expressions of interest from
                                                                         passengers”
airlines and investment firms in its stake in the former state
carrier.                                                                – David Rushe

                                                      Page 3
NEWSWATCH
                                                              30th September 2011
                                                                   Volume 11; Issue 37


Chief Executive Christoph Mueller said Aer Lingus would prefer
a sale to an institutional investor as it would allow it to stay
outside major alliances and keep several bilateral deals.
Ryanair has twice had takeover bids for Aer Lingus rebuffed and
says it would be ready to sell its 30 per cent stake, allowing
another airline to take majority control.
Dublin has not yet decided whether to sell its stake, but it has
hinted it is open to a sale.
Source: Philip Waller, The Scotsman – 30th September 2011




 Boeing’s first 787 Dreamliner lands in Tokyo
The first 787 Dreamliner to go into service landed in Japan
yesterday, greeted by media, excited plane spotters and high       “Shinichiro Ito,
hopes that Boeing’s gamble on a mid-sized, lightweight aircraft
will pay off.                                                      president and

The plane — painted in the blue and white All Nippon Airways CEO of ANA, who
livery with red highlights — touched down at Tokyo’s Haneda travelled on the
airport shortly after 9:00 am (0000 GMT), three years after it
                                                                  aircraft from the
was originally promised to ANA.
                                                                       US after
The delivery comes after a string of technical mishaps and
delays that have cost US-based Boeing billions of dollars in lost receiving it from
or cancelled orders and seen it give ground to fierce rival Boeing, declared
Airbus.
                                                                        himself
But Shinichiro Ito, president and CEO of ANA, who travelled on
the aircraft from the US after receiving it from Boeing, “delighted” with
declared himself “delighted” with “the aircraft’s first             the aircraft’s
touchdown... after a trouble-free flight”.
                                                                          first
Boeing says the twin-aisle 787’s construction, partly from
                                                                    touchdown...
lightweight composite materials, means it consumes 20 per
cent less fuel than comparable planes, an attractive after a “trouble-
proposition for airlines facing soaring fuel costs. The company      free flight.”
has also been touting the larger windows, bigger luggage
storage bins and greater cabin humidity than conventional jets,
a factor it says will reduce passenger fatigue.



                                                   Page 4
NEWSWATCH
                                                               30th September 2011
                                                                    Volume 11; Issue 37


“It is an honour to have participated in an historic programme
for ANA and I have been extremely moved,” pilot Hideaki
Hayakawa told a news conference following the arrival.
“I feel there is a potential that the aircraft will make changes
in the aviation industry,” Hayakawa said, citing its fuel
economy, cost performance and comfort.
The windows are 30 per cent larger than those on the similar-
sized Boeing 767 and have an electric sunshade function that
enables passengers to control the amount of sunlight coming in
at the touch of a button.
One of the plane’s more striking features are the toilets which     “The mid-sized,
are equipped with electric seats with a bidet function              long-haul plane
commonly found across Japan, but not usually on international
                                                                    — which has an
flights.
                                                                      average list
“The bidet toilets are actually an option for ANA. But this is
something that obviously Japanese customers are used to              price of $202
having at their home,” said Rob Henderson, communications             million — is
director at Boeing Japan.
                                                                     crucial to the
“So I suppose what we could say is that flying in the air is now
an experience that’s much closer to their homes than it would         company’s
have been before,” Henderson said.                                  future. It is the
The 787 represents a big bet by Chicago-based aerospace and         firm’s first new
defence giant Boeing on cutting-edge technology and materials
for commercial aircraft.                                            design in more

The mid-sized, long-haul plane — which has an average list          than a decade,
price of $202 million — is crucial to the company’s future. It is   drawing on huge
the firm’s first new design in more than a decade, drawing on
                                                                      advances in
huge advances in aviation technology.
                                                                        aviation
With seating for up to 330 passengers, the 787 is Boeing’s
gamble that airlines will demand mid-size aircraft, rather than      technology.”
planes in the category of the mammoth A380, Airbus’s star.
Its development has been far from smooth — ANA had originally
been told to expect the first of its 55 ordered planes in early
2008.
But Boeing says that by the end of July this year it had 827 of
the new aircraft on order from dozens of carriers and leasing
companies around the world.
ANA president Ito said the new fleet of 787s will play a “key
part” in his plans for international expansion.



                                        Page 5
NEWSWATCH
                                                                30th September 2011
                                                                     Volume 11; Issue 37


The Japanese carrier is planning to begin the world’s first
commercial 787 service on the Tokyo to Hong Kong route in
October, followed by regular flights to Beijing and Frankfurt.
ANA, in common with other high-end carriers, is facing
increasing competition from budget airlines and is banking on
the 787 to boost demand and cut costs.
Source: main.omanobserver.om – 29th September 2011




    Finnair To Slash 155 Jobs As It Cuts Costs
Finnair said yesterday it will lay off 155 more workers as it
streamlines operations to cut costs and retain its competitive
edge.
The layoffs will mainly be in support functions and the
marketing and distribution sectors, the airline said.
CEO Mika Vehvilainen said it was necessary to increase
efficiency as "Finnair simply has to change to be able to meet
the increasingly tougher competition and take our share of           “Finnair simply
market growth."                                                      has to change to
Finnair's share price was down slightly, closing at €2.98 ($4.06)    be able to meet
on the Helsinki Stock Exchange.
                                                                     the increasingly
In March, the national carrier announced 450 layoffs in
technical services, and the transfer of dozens of other jobs as it       tougher
outsourced services.                                                 competition and
Finnair has been struggling to cut costs amid declining demand, take our share of
competition from budget airlines and overcapacity in the
                                                                 market growth.”
European airline sector. It has laid off hundreds of workers and
last year was plagued by several strikes, including by cabin         - Mika
crews, that cost it more than €25 million in lost earnings.        Vehvilainen
It also doubled an annual savings program to €200 million with
most cuts aimed at personnel costs.
Last month, Finnair reported a second-quarter loss of €23
million and announced a new savings target of €140 million
($191 million) by 2014. It said that profitability had not
matched expectations, citing increased competition from
budget airlines as "more efficient business models" had entered
the market.


                                                 Page 6
NEWSWATCH
                                                               30th September 2011
                                                                    Volume 11; Issue 37


Finnair PLC, which is 56 percent government-owned, flies to
about 50 destinations with a fleet of 65 aircraft. It employs
7,500 people — down from 7,600 a year earlier.
Source: The Associated Press – 29th September 2011




    WestJet, Emirates sign co-operation pact
On Thursday, Emirates said its new “interline” agreement
paves the way for consumers departing on a WestJet flight for
Toronto to more easily catch Emirates at Pearson International
Airport. Bags will be transferred for Dubai-bound travellers
making such bookings.
The deal comes a year after Emirates lost a bid to expand on its      “Emirates’
own in Canada because of Ottawa’s refusal to grant new
landing rights. Transport Canada has defended the federal           partnership with
policy to restrict Emirates, arguing that there is sufficient         WestJet will
passenger seat capacity already between the United Arab
                                                                    allow travellers
Emirates and Canada.
                                                                     to explore our
“Emirates’ partnership with WestJet will allow travellers to
explore our vast network of diverse and remarkable                  vast network of
destinations with added ease and seamless connections,”               diverse and
Emirates Canadian manager Don McWilliam said in a statement.
                                                                remarkable
Emirates, owned by the Dubai government and Calgary-based
WestJet are independent carriers that don’t belong to an destinations with
airline alliance. Air Canada and Germany’s Lufthansa are part added ease and
of the Star Alliance, which competes against Emirates for
transatlantic traffic.                                           seamless

Emirates and the UAE feuded last year with Air Canada and     connections” -
Ottawa over the Dubai airline’s quest to gain more access to         Don McWilliam
Canada. The foreign carrier operates three round-trips a week
between Toronto and Dubai, but wants to boost its Pearson
schedule to a minimum of daily service, as well as target
Calgary and Vancouver in the long term as it expands in North
America. Earlier this week, Emirates said it plans to start daily
service to Dubai from Dallas in February and from Seattle in
March.




                                                     Page 7
NEWSWATCH
                                                              30th September 2011
                                                                   Volume 11; Issue 37


WestJet and Emirates said their commercial deal means that
consumers will be able to make reservations more easily by
calling their travel agent or securing a single booking through
Emirates instead of separate itineraries.
“The new arrangement makes global travel more accessible for
outbound passengers who can now connect to the Emirates
network via WestJet, travelling to Dubai and beyond to any of
the 114 destinations that Emirates flies,” the carriers said.        “The new
Consumers can also book through Emirates for flights from           arrangement
Dubai to connect to WestJet’s Canadian network.                     makes global
WestJet noted that passengers will need to take the train at        travel more
Pearson between its Terminal 3 and Emirates at Terminal 1.
                                                                 accessible for
West Jet’s other interline pacts include those from the
Oneworld alliance (British Airways, Qantas, Japan Airlines and     outbound
Dragonair), SkyTeam (Air France, Delta Air Lines, China passengers who
Airlines, China Eastern, Alitalia and Korean Air) and
                                                                can now connect
independent carrier El Al Israel.
The Calgary carrier has forged even closer partnerships through to the Emirates
“code-sharing” deals with two Oneworld members, American            network via
Airlines and Cathay Pacific, and as of this week, SkyTeam’s
                                                                      WestJet,
KLM.
                                                               travelling to
Ottawa refused demands by Emirates and Abu Dhabi-based
Etihad Airways for new landing rights at Pearson last October.  Dubai and
The UAE responded by ousting Canadian soldiers in November beyond to any of
from Camp Mirage, a staging base near Dubai that had been
used for nine years to supply the Afghanistan war.               the 114

Last December, the UAE imposed visa fees of up to $1,000 on destinations that
Canadian visitors, further escalating tensions between Canada      Emirates flies”
and the Arab country.
Air Canada and Lufthansa are seeking to protect their Frankfurt
hub, complaining that Emirates is unfairly siphoning off
lucrative international traffic by funnelling passengers through
Dubai and transferring them to destinations such as India and
China.
Source: Brent Jang, theglobeandmail.com – 29th September
2011




                                       Page 8
NEWSWATCH
                                                               30th September 2011
                                                                    Volume 11; Issue 37

    Tajikistan’s Somon Air Receives Its First
               Boeing 737-900ER
Boeing has delivered Tajikistan-based Somon Air’s first 737-
900ER, the carrier becoming in the process the first Central
Asian carrier to operate an aircraft featuring the new Boeing
Sky Interior.
The Boeing 737-900ER delivery also represents Somon Air’s first
direct purchase of a 737.
“This new interior will set Somon Air apart from other regional
operators by bringing a new, unmatched flying experience to
our valued customers,” says Jamshed Rahmonberdiev, chief
executive officer of Somon Capital, which owns Somon Air.
“Reliability and fuel efficiency are key considerations and the     IBA’s Comment:
737-900ER will contribute to our financial performance as well
                                                                     “The operator
as help us maintain our high standards of safety in accordance
with international air transportation standards.”                   base of the 737-
“We congratulate Somon Air on becoming the first carrier in         900ER continues
Central Asia to offer the enhanced 737 cabin experience to its      to grow in what
passengers,” says Marty Bentrott, Boeing Commercial Airplanes’
vice president of sales for Middle East, Russia and Central Asia.     has been a
“We look forward to playing a role in Somon’s future as it             strong 12
continues to expand its network.”
                                                                   months for the
The Boeing 737-900ER is the newest member of the Next-
                                                                   aircraft. It can
Generation 737 family and is also the highest capacity, longest-
range aircraft in Boeing’s single-aisle fleet. The 737 Boeing Sky now be seen as
Interior improves the passenger experience by providing new the second most
overhead bins, LED lighting, new designs for window reveals
and sculpted sidewalls.                                           attractive 737NG
As part of Boeing’s Humanitarian Delivery Flights program,         asset after the
Boeing partnered with Somon Air, the U.S. Department of               737-800”
State’s Humanitarian Program and Project HOPE to transport
medical supplies to Tajikistan’s capital Dushanbe.                  – David Rushe
The relief shipment of 2,852 pounds of medical supplies will
improve the quality of medical care for the less-privileged in
Tajikistan and help alleviate the shortage of medicines needed
for oncology, psychiatric health and in the treatment of
infectious diseases, according to Boeing.
“Boeing, through its Global Corporate Citizenship (GCC)
organization, supports humanitarian efforts around the world in
partnership with non-governmental agencies and non-profits
like Project HOPE,” says Liz Warman, director of GCC for the

                                        Page 9
NEWSWATCH
                                                                                                       30th September 2011
                                                                                                              Volume 11; Issue 37

     Northwest Region. “Our Humanitarian Delivery Flights program
     is another way we can continue leveraging our resources to
     help those in need.”
     Source: airlinesanddestinations.com – 28th September 2011




                                                 IBA Group News
    Press Releases & Presentations can be viewed in the News & Views section of our website, www.ibagroup.com
Conference Dates
5th – 6th October 2011 – UBM Aviation, Aircraft & Engine Finance & Leasing USA Conference, Chicago – Phil Seymour
will be speaking
31st October – 2nd November 2011 – Euromoney Asia Pacific School of International Aviation Finance, Hong Kong –
Stuart Hatcher will be presenting
3rd – 4th November – 12th Annual Asia Pacific AirFinance Conference – IBA will be speaking
7th - 8th November - Aircraft Asset Management Training Seminar, Dublin, Ireland
1st – 2nd December 2011 – Aviation Investors Summit, London – Phil Seymour and Owen Geach will be speaking
24th – 26th January 2012 – Euromoney 14th Annual International Aviation Finance Conference, Dublin – IBA is sponsoring
and will be speaking
Country Visits
- Owen Geach and Steve Fisk will be in Tokyo from 25th to 30th September 2011 - Please contact Owen Geach if you
would like to arrange a meeting: owen.geach@ibagroup.com


                          Phil Seymour’s Notes on the Week
Sometimes in life it is easy to be fast, and fast can be easy. It can also become confusing. Stelios appears to be
putting pressure on Easyjet, which he founded and still owns a considerable slice of, by threatening to create Fast
Jet. We await details but he cannot be serious surely? Is it not easier/cheaper to buy a few more shares and regain
control? Perhaps it is too complex an issue for me to comprehend.
Meanwhile, the first 787 really did deliver this week. It’s about 3 and a half years later than expected, and a little
bit heavier than envisaged. Let’s see if it delivers the passenger appeal that is promised. In summary, the delivery
was not fast or easy.


                                  Publications – 2011 Editions
                         Please contact marketing@ibagroup.com for more information.
Aircraft Values Book              Published in February 2011 & August 2011                                         £660 per year
Lease Rate Digest                  Published in February 2011 & August 2011                                        £360 per year
Engine Values Book                         Published in April 2011                                                  £650 per year
Maintenance Cost Journal                     Published Quarterly                                                    £200 per year
                   “Newswatch” is a free weekly round-up collated by IBA Group Ltd.
                    Go to our website to find the last year editions of Newswatch archived.
             To either SUBSCRIBE or UNSUBSCRIBE to this newsletter, please send an email to
                                marketing@ibagroup.com with your request.
The items in this document do not necessarily represent the opinion of IBA, and is intended to be for information purposes only.
 Therefore, IBA assumes no responsibility or legal liability for any action taken, or not taken, by the addressee, or by any other
                                  party, with regard to the information and views contained.
  As a leading independent aviation consultancy, IBA Group Ltd. offers technical advice, commercial business
                         solutions & asset valuations for our worldwide client base.
                                              Compiled & Edited by Mike Yeomans
                                                      www.ibagroup.com
                                       Tel: +44 (0)1372 224488 Fax: +44 (0)1372 224489


                                                                   Page 10
www.everestevents.co.uk


 NEW
London Aviation
Investors’ Summit                                                      2011
1-2 December 2011, Cumberland Hotel, London
CPD Credits Available




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Key Benefits of attending:                                             Key Speakers
                                                                         Boeing
   Important Transport Industry Developments and Progress in             Airbus
   Aircraft/Airline Finance                                              Hello AG
   Analysing what potential investors want to know about active
                                                                         IBA
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                                                                         Norton Rose
   How to support airlines & lessors
                                                                         ECGD
   Comparisons with other investments, tax implications and type
   of documentation used, legal costs                                    Etihad Airways
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IBA Newswatch Volume 11 issue 37 - september 30

  • 1. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 In this Issue: Lufthansa Orders 12 New Aircraft to Meet Soaring Demand  Lufthansa orders 12 new aircraft to The Board members at Lufthansa have approved the order meet soaring of 12 new aircraft as the airline seeks to meet soaring demand demand.  India Leads EU Of the aircraft, two Airbus A380s and one Airbus A330-300 Levy on Airlines will be deployed for Lufthansa German Airlines on long- haul routes for an interim period.  O'Leary claims BA The decision was taken by the Board at its meeting earlier. group has sights on stake in Aer Lingus There are also plans to order four Airbus A320s for Lufthansa German Airlines.  Boeing’s first 787 In addition, five new Embraer 195s will augment the Dreamliner lands in Tokyo Lufthansa Regional fleet. The new, modern, fuel-efficient aircraft will be delivered  Finnair To Slash to the Group in stages from 2012. 155 Jobs As It Cuts Costs The order has a list-price value of about one billion euros. Commenting on the decision, Lufthansa Chief Executive  WestJet, Emirates sign co-operation Christoph Franz, said: “The moderate expansion of pact Lufthansa’s passenger fleet will serve primarily to ensure that we can meet short-term requirements while  Tajikistan’s Somon modernising and consolidating our European fleet until Air Receives Its such time as new aircraft technologies are available. First Boeing 737- 900ER “It is the latest step in our ongoing strategy of deploying a modern fleet in terms of fuel efficiency, operating costs,  IBA Group News noise and emissions. “At the same time, the additional order for the Airbus A380 and A330 will underpin our plans on long-haul routes in the medium term. “Along with the aircraft we have already ordered, which will join our fleet over the next few years, it will increase our ability to take targeted action and respond flexibly to IBA Group Ltd. fluctuations in demand or market changes.” IBA House 7 The Crescent The order will be financed from the group’s cash reserves Leatherhead, Surrey KT22 8DY or from external sources. United Kingdom Tel: +44 (0) 1372 224488 Lufthansa was recently recognised as Europe’s Leading Fax: +44 (0) 1372 224489 Airline by the prestigious World Travel Awards. www.ibagroup.com Source: breakingtravelnews.com – 30th September 2011 Page 1
  • 2. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 India Leads EU Levy on Airlines India has gathered with more than 30 nations to create a strategy to oppose the European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), which will begin imposing charges on carriers that fly into the 27 member states at the turn of the year. Indian civil aviation minister Vayalar Ravi questioned how the EU can dictate terms to other nations. He also questioned why everyone would simply accept that. The EU made the decision in 2008 that airlines should become part of its ETS after discharges in Europe grew twice over in 20 years. It says emissions from international carriers now IBA’s Comment: account for 2%-3% of global greenhouse gas discharges. The “The ETS has programme already covers more than 11,000 power stations met with a high and factories located within the EU. level of Airlines that fly into the EU will be made to purchase carbon opposition from permits from January 2012 if they exceed the emission caps set by the group of member states. Under the scheme, 85% of IATA and some the emission cap for airlines will be allocated free, and the on-European balance will be auctioned next year. These benchmarks were countries. It is set this week. European Commission director-general for surprising that climate Jos Delbeke says the cost to meet emissions targets could increase airfares for transatlantic services by between this opposition €2 and €12. has been raised Measures by the EU to impose the carbon caps have garnered so late. The ETS protests from airline groups in the US, China, Russia and the guidelines have Middle East. In June, the China Air Transport Association said been in the that the plan is illegal and unreasonable. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) said earlier this week that it’s the pipeline for EU’s plan to break international law and attack the some time now” sovereignty of other nations. Chief executive Tony Tyler said – David Rushe that the legislation will add $1.2 billion to airline costs next year. The organisation has forecasted carriers to make only a combined $4.9 billion profit for the year. Over 30 members of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) met in New Delhi this week to discuss the EU ETS. The group has 190 members states, including China and the US. Ravi said that his country’s aviation ministry was hosting the two-day meeting, but he didn’t name any of the nations that were to participate. He has called the ETS a penalty on all foreign airlines operating to Europe. The Page 2
  • 3. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 aviation industry is growing in India, and they can’t be penalised for that, he added. Binit Somaia, the director of South Asia for the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA), said that, by making the ETS apply to non-EU carriers, there is a feeling that the EU is stepping over its authority. Retribution may take the form of equivalent retaliation of taxes, restrictions on traffic rights for European airlines and an impact on European planemakers. Source: news.carrentals.co.uk – 30th September 2011 O'Leary claims BA group has sights on stake in Aer Lingus IBA’s Comment: “A BA stake in The owner of British Airways may snap up the Irish government's quarter stake in Aer Lingus, according to rival Aer Lingus has airline boss Michael O'Leary. been long rumoured and O'Leary, chief executive of Ryanair, said International Airlines Group, which owns BA and Spanish flag carrier Iberia, appeared would make to be the most likely buyer of Dublin's 25 per cent stake in the sense from BA’s Irish airline. point of view, Ryanair, which owns 29 per cent of its rival, said IAG would, particularly however, only buy Aer Lingus if the company's board made given Aer clear it was not liable for a €400 million (£347.9m) pension Lingus’ strong scheme deficit for Aer Lingus staff. branding in the IAG plans to expand by buying other carriers, but it has not UK and its publicly expressed interest in buying the Aer Lingus stake and dominance of declined to elaborate on O'Leary's comments. An IAG the London spokeswoman said: "We're not really commenting on it." Heathrow-Dublin Aer Lingus is understood to be considering joining a route – one of transatlantic airline venture, such as those involving BA, the world’s Lufthansa and Air France-KLM, in the next few years after busiest – which dropping plans to become a member of a global airline alliance has historically such as Star Alliance. But Aer Lingus has warned the provided government against selling its stake to a larger rival, saying this connections to could undermine it by damaging existing partnerships. BA long haul Ireland's transport minister was quoted as saying last week that flights for Irish the government had received expressions of interest from passengers” airlines and investment firms in its stake in the former state carrier. – David Rushe Page 3
  • 4. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 Chief Executive Christoph Mueller said Aer Lingus would prefer a sale to an institutional investor as it would allow it to stay outside major alliances and keep several bilateral deals. Ryanair has twice had takeover bids for Aer Lingus rebuffed and says it would be ready to sell its 30 per cent stake, allowing another airline to take majority control. Dublin has not yet decided whether to sell its stake, but it has hinted it is open to a sale. Source: Philip Waller, The Scotsman – 30th September 2011 Boeing’s first 787 Dreamliner lands in Tokyo The first 787 Dreamliner to go into service landed in Japan yesterday, greeted by media, excited plane spotters and high “Shinichiro Ito, hopes that Boeing’s gamble on a mid-sized, lightweight aircraft will pay off. president and The plane — painted in the blue and white All Nippon Airways CEO of ANA, who livery with red highlights — touched down at Tokyo’s Haneda travelled on the airport shortly after 9:00 am (0000 GMT), three years after it aircraft from the was originally promised to ANA. US after The delivery comes after a string of technical mishaps and delays that have cost US-based Boeing billions of dollars in lost receiving it from or cancelled orders and seen it give ground to fierce rival Boeing, declared Airbus. himself But Shinichiro Ito, president and CEO of ANA, who travelled on the aircraft from the US after receiving it from Boeing, “delighted” with declared himself “delighted” with “the aircraft’s first the aircraft’s touchdown... after a trouble-free flight”. first Boeing says the twin-aisle 787’s construction, partly from touchdown... lightweight composite materials, means it consumes 20 per cent less fuel than comparable planes, an attractive after a “trouble- proposition for airlines facing soaring fuel costs. The company free flight.” has also been touting the larger windows, bigger luggage storage bins and greater cabin humidity than conventional jets, a factor it says will reduce passenger fatigue. Page 4
  • 5. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 “It is an honour to have participated in an historic programme for ANA and I have been extremely moved,” pilot Hideaki Hayakawa told a news conference following the arrival. “I feel there is a potential that the aircraft will make changes in the aviation industry,” Hayakawa said, citing its fuel economy, cost performance and comfort. The windows are 30 per cent larger than those on the similar- sized Boeing 767 and have an electric sunshade function that enables passengers to control the amount of sunlight coming in at the touch of a button. One of the plane’s more striking features are the toilets which “The mid-sized, are equipped with electric seats with a bidet function long-haul plane commonly found across Japan, but not usually on international — which has an flights. average list “The bidet toilets are actually an option for ANA. But this is something that obviously Japanese customers are used to price of $202 having at their home,” said Rob Henderson, communications million — is director at Boeing Japan. crucial to the “So I suppose what we could say is that flying in the air is now an experience that’s much closer to their homes than it would company’s have been before,” Henderson said. future. It is the The 787 represents a big bet by Chicago-based aerospace and firm’s first new defence giant Boeing on cutting-edge technology and materials for commercial aircraft. design in more The mid-sized, long-haul plane — which has an average list than a decade, price of $202 million — is crucial to the company’s future. It is drawing on huge the firm’s first new design in more than a decade, drawing on advances in huge advances in aviation technology. aviation With seating for up to 330 passengers, the 787 is Boeing’s gamble that airlines will demand mid-size aircraft, rather than technology.” planes in the category of the mammoth A380, Airbus’s star. Its development has been far from smooth — ANA had originally been told to expect the first of its 55 ordered planes in early 2008. But Boeing says that by the end of July this year it had 827 of the new aircraft on order from dozens of carriers and leasing companies around the world. ANA president Ito said the new fleet of 787s will play a “key part” in his plans for international expansion. Page 5
  • 6. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 The Japanese carrier is planning to begin the world’s first commercial 787 service on the Tokyo to Hong Kong route in October, followed by regular flights to Beijing and Frankfurt. ANA, in common with other high-end carriers, is facing increasing competition from budget airlines and is banking on the 787 to boost demand and cut costs. Source: main.omanobserver.om – 29th September 2011 Finnair To Slash 155 Jobs As It Cuts Costs Finnair said yesterday it will lay off 155 more workers as it streamlines operations to cut costs and retain its competitive edge. The layoffs will mainly be in support functions and the marketing and distribution sectors, the airline said. CEO Mika Vehvilainen said it was necessary to increase efficiency as "Finnair simply has to change to be able to meet the increasingly tougher competition and take our share of “Finnair simply market growth." has to change to Finnair's share price was down slightly, closing at €2.98 ($4.06) be able to meet on the Helsinki Stock Exchange. the increasingly In March, the national carrier announced 450 layoffs in technical services, and the transfer of dozens of other jobs as it tougher outsourced services. competition and Finnair has been struggling to cut costs amid declining demand, take our share of competition from budget airlines and overcapacity in the market growth.” European airline sector. It has laid off hundreds of workers and last year was plagued by several strikes, including by cabin - Mika crews, that cost it more than €25 million in lost earnings. Vehvilainen It also doubled an annual savings program to €200 million with most cuts aimed at personnel costs. Last month, Finnair reported a second-quarter loss of €23 million and announced a new savings target of €140 million ($191 million) by 2014. It said that profitability had not matched expectations, citing increased competition from budget airlines as "more efficient business models" had entered the market. Page 6
  • 7. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 Finnair PLC, which is 56 percent government-owned, flies to about 50 destinations with a fleet of 65 aircraft. It employs 7,500 people — down from 7,600 a year earlier. Source: The Associated Press – 29th September 2011 WestJet, Emirates sign co-operation pact On Thursday, Emirates said its new “interline” agreement paves the way for consumers departing on a WestJet flight for Toronto to more easily catch Emirates at Pearson International Airport. Bags will be transferred for Dubai-bound travellers making such bookings. The deal comes a year after Emirates lost a bid to expand on its “Emirates’ own in Canada because of Ottawa’s refusal to grant new landing rights. Transport Canada has defended the federal partnership with policy to restrict Emirates, arguing that there is sufficient WestJet will passenger seat capacity already between the United Arab allow travellers Emirates and Canada. to explore our “Emirates’ partnership with WestJet will allow travellers to explore our vast network of diverse and remarkable vast network of destinations with added ease and seamless connections,” diverse and Emirates Canadian manager Don McWilliam said in a statement. remarkable Emirates, owned by the Dubai government and Calgary-based WestJet are independent carriers that don’t belong to an destinations with airline alliance. Air Canada and Germany’s Lufthansa are part added ease and of the Star Alliance, which competes against Emirates for transatlantic traffic. seamless Emirates and the UAE feuded last year with Air Canada and connections” - Ottawa over the Dubai airline’s quest to gain more access to Don McWilliam Canada. The foreign carrier operates three round-trips a week between Toronto and Dubai, but wants to boost its Pearson schedule to a minimum of daily service, as well as target Calgary and Vancouver in the long term as it expands in North America. Earlier this week, Emirates said it plans to start daily service to Dubai from Dallas in February and from Seattle in March. Page 7
  • 8. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 WestJet and Emirates said their commercial deal means that consumers will be able to make reservations more easily by calling their travel agent or securing a single booking through Emirates instead of separate itineraries. “The new arrangement makes global travel more accessible for outbound passengers who can now connect to the Emirates network via WestJet, travelling to Dubai and beyond to any of the 114 destinations that Emirates flies,” the carriers said. “The new Consumers can also book through Emirates for flights from arrangement Dubai to connect to WestJet’s Canadian network. makes global WestJet noted that passengers will need to take the train at travel more Pearson between its Terminal 3 and Emirates at Terminal 1. accessible for West Jet’s other interline pacts include those from the Oneworld alliance (British Airways, Qantas, Japan Airlines and outbound Dragonair), SkyTeam (Air France, Delta Air Lines, China passengers who Airlines, China Eastern, Alitalia and Korean Air) and can now connect independent carrier El Al Israel. The Calgary carrier has forged even closer partnerships through to the Emirates “code-sharing” deals with two Oneworld members, American network via Airlines and Cathay Pacific, and as of this week, SkyTeam’s WestJet, KLM. travelling to Ottawa refused demands by Emirates and Abu Dhabi-based Etihad Airways for new landing rights at Pearson last October. Dubai and The UAE responded by ousting Canadian soldiers in November beyond to any of from Camp Mirage, a staging base near Dubai that had been used for nine years to supply the Afghanistan war. the 114 Last December, the UAE imposed visa fees of up to $1,000 on destinations that Canadian visitors, further escalating tensions between Canada Emirates flies” and the Arab country. Air Canada and Lufthansa are seeking to protect their Frankfurt hub, complaining that Emirates is unfairly siphoning off lucrative international traffic by funnelling passengers through Dubai and transferring them to destinations such as India and China. Source: Brent Jang, theglobeandmail.com – 29th September 2011 Page 8
  • 9. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 Tajikistan’s Somon Air Receives Its First Boeing 737-900ER Boeing has delivered Tajikistan-based Somon Air’s first 737- 900ER, the carrier becoming in the process the first Central Asian carrier to operate an aircraft featuring the new Boeing Sky Interior. The Boeing 737-900ER delivery also represents Somon Air’s first direct purchase of a 737. “This new interior will set Somon Air apart from other regional operators by bringing a new, unmatched flying experience to our valued customers,” says Jamshed Rahmonberdiev, chief executive officer of Somon Capital, which owns Somon Air. “Reliability and fuel efficiency are key considerations and the IBA’s Comment: 737-900ER will contribute to our financial performance as well “The operator as help us maintain our high standards of safety in accordance with international air transportation standards.” base of the 737- “We congratulate Somon Air on becoming the first carrier in 900ER continues Central Asia to offer the enhanced 737 cabin experience to its to grow in what passengers,” says Marty Bentrott, Boeing Commercial Airplanes’ vice president of sales for Middle East, Russia and Central Asia. has been a “We look forward to playing a role in Somon’s future as it strong 12 continues to expand its network.” months for the The Boeing 737-900ER is the newest member of the Next- aircraft. It can Generation 737 family and is also the highest capacity, longest- range aircraft in Boeing’s single-aisle fleet. The 737 Boeing Sky now be seen as Interior improves the passenger experience by providing new the second most overhead bins, LED lighting, new designs for window reveals and sculpted sidewalls. attractive 737NG As part of Boeing’s Humanitarian Delivery Flights program, asset after the Boeing partnered with Somon Air, the U.S. Department of 737-800” State’s Humanitarian Program and Project HOPE to transport medical supplies to Tajikistan’s capital Dushanbe. – David Rushe The relief shipment of 2,852 pounds of medical supplies will improve the quality of medical care for the less-privileged in Tajikistan and help alleviate the shortage of medicines needed for oncology, psychiatric health and in the treatment of infectious diseases, according to Boeing. “Boeing, through its Global Corporate Citizenship (GCC) organization, supports humanitarian efforts around the world in partnership with non-governmental agencies and non-profits like Project HOPE,” says Liz Warman, director of GCC for the Page 9
  • 10. NEWSWATCH 30th September 2011 Volume 11; Issue 37 Northwest Region. “Our Humanitarian Delivery Flights program is another way we can continue leveraging our resources to help those in need.” Source: airlinesanddestinations.com – 28th September 2011 IBA Group News Press Releases & Presentations can be viewed in the News & Views section of our website, www.ibagroup.com Conference Dates 5th – 6th October 2011 – UBM Aviation, Aircraft & Engine Finance & Leasing USA Conference, Chicago – Phil Seymour will be speaking 31st October – 2nd November 2011 – Euromoney Asia Pacific School of International Aviation Finance, Hong Kong – Stuart Hatcher will be presenting 3rd – 4th November – 12th Annual Asia Pacific AirFinance Conference – IBA will be speaking 7th - 8th November - Aircraft Asset Management Training Seminar, Dublin, Ireland 1st – 2nd December 2011 – Aviation Investors Summit, London – Phil Seymour and Owen Geach will be speaking 24th – 26th January 2012 – Euromoney 14th Annual International Aviation Finance Conference, Dublin – IBA is sponsoring and will be speaking Country Visits - Owen Geach and Steve Fisk will be in Tokyo from 25th to 30th September 2011 - Please contact Owen Geach if you would like to arrange a meeting: owen.geach@ibagroup.com Phil Seymour’s Notes on the Week Sometimes in life it is easy to be fast, and fast can be easy. It can also become confusing. Stelios appears to be putting pressure on Easyjet, which he founded and still owns a considerable slice of, by threatening to create Fast Jet. We await details but he cannot be serious surely? Is it not easier/cheaper to buy a few more shares and regain control? Perhaps it is too complex an issue for me to comprehend. Meanwhile, the first 787 really did deliver this week. It’s about 3 and a half years later than expected, and a little bit heavier than envisaged. Let’s see if it delivers the passenger appeal that is promised. In summary, the delivery was not fast or easy. Publications – 2011 Editions Please contact marketing@ibagroup.com for more information. Aircraft Values Book Published in February 2011 & August 2011 £660 per year Lease Rate Digest Published in February 2011 & August 2011 £360 per year Engine Values Book Published in April 2011 £650 per year Maintenance Cost Journal Published Quarterly £200 per year “Newswatch” is a free weekly round-up collated by IBA Group Ltd. Go to our website to find the last year editions of Newswatch archived. To either SUBSCRIBE or UNSUBSCRIBE to this newsletter, please send an email to marketing@ibagroup.com with your request. The items in this document do not necessarily represent the opinion of IBA, and is intended to be for information purposes only. Therefore, IBA assumes no responsibility or legal liability for any action taken, or not taken, by the addressee, or by any other party, with regard to the information and views contained. As a leading independent aviation consultancy, IBA Group Ltd. offers technical advice, commercial business solutions & asset valuations for our worldwide client base. Compiled & Edited by Mike Yeomans www.ibagroup.com Tel: +44 (0)1372 224488 Fax: +44 (0)1372 224489 Page 10
  • 11. www.everestevents.co.uk NEW London Aviation Investors’ Summit 2011 1-2 December 2011, Cumberland Hotel, London CPD Credits Available te ra re d o ce r m tes u o ed 3 ega R r l fo de Key Benefits of attending: Key Speakers Boeing Important Transport Industry Developments and Progress in Airbus Aircraft/Airline Finance Hello AG Analysing what potential investors want to know about active IBA involvement in aviation finance Norton Rose How to support airlines & lessors ECGD Comparisons with other investments, tax implications and type of documentation used, legal costs Etihad Airways All you need to know about profitable aircraft trading KLM Regional Aviation’s Progress Jordan Aviation Industry forecasts And many others Official Publications Bronze Sponsor Bronze Sponsor Sponsor Sponsor