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More than 70% of companies use Excel® as their principal interface for budgets
        and forecasting. Many of these companies are in “Excel Hell”, a continuing
        state of inefficiency and disruption related to using Excel for collaborative
        planning. The spreadsheet symptoms of Excel Hell are broken formulas, con-
        solidations that choke, and wrong numbers. The organizational symptoms are
        inefficiency, frustration and decisions based on bad information.
        For the strategic CFO who needs better answers and more analysis, and for
        the financial planning manager who’s pulling too many late-nighters trying
        to get clean rollups, this white paper explores the root causes of Excel Hell and
        lays out criteria for solutions. Specific issues explored include: modeling using
        cell-based formulas; structures needed for activity-based plans, multiple user
        security and rollups; and the state of analysis, or the lack thereof, because
        there’s not enough time.
        Alight Planning, a financial planning and analysis software package, delivers
        feature sets that address the most serious issues of Excel Hell.


Escaping Excel Hell:
Budgets & Forecasting
By Rand Heer                                          Jennifer should be home with her family,
                                                      but she’s not. She’s in Excel Hell and won’t
                                                      escape soon:

                                                          Jennifer inserts new line items for T&E
                                                          for Conferences and for T&E for Cus-
                                                          tomer Visits. The travel account total
                                                          doesn’t pick up the added items.

                                                          She links a line item for travel expenses
                                                          for sales reps to a subtotal on the head-
                                                          count worksheet. Values for months 9
                                                          through 12 are wrong. After 30 minutes,
                                                          she gives up trying to find the problem.

                                                      It’s noon the next day. Peter Forrester, Fi-
It’s 8 p.m. Jennifer Hoover, the New Eng-             nancial Planning Manager for Whitehorse,
land Sales Manager for Whitehorse Corp., a            is studying the Excel workbooks that the
$300 million manufacturer of electronic               line managers have emailed him. They’re a
equipment, is reworking the Excel budget              mess. Peter is in Excel Hell and won’t be
template due the next day.                            escaping soon:



© 2006 by Alight LLC. All rights reserved.
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting


   The first pass rollup chokes on Jennifer’s                        hundreds of spreadsheets
   workbook. The consolidation routine                               with inconsistent data
   hits two #REF!s it can’t handle. Peter                            definitions, altered
   fixes the same errors in seven other                              formulas and extra
   workbooks. Five workbooks have dif-                               rows      added      by
   ferent problems. Only two come in                                 creative managers. It’s
   clean.                                                            such a huge task just to
                                                                     get the numbers to add
   The next morning, Peter has an error                              up properly that
   free rollup. Revenues look good, but                              there’s little time left
   margins are too high. Two hours later                             for     analysis     or
   he finds the problem: marketing set up a     optimization of resource allocation.”*
   new product but it has no cost of sales.
                                                The situation hasn’t improved much since.
George Gladwell, the CFO of Whitehorse, is      Despite advances in database technology,
finishing up the budget review with the ex-     and in particular OLAP (online analytical
ecutive staff. The presentation isn’t going     processing), there hasn’t been a meaningful
well.                                           exodus of mid-market companies from Ex-
   The numbers add up, but George and           cel to planning applications. Even in very
   Peter can’t answer a number of ques-         large corporations spending millions on
   tions about underlying assumptions.          BPM (business performance management)
   Much of the detail is offline in scratch     software, a substantial number of managers
   notes or unconnected spreadsheets that       at the business unit level still use Excel for
   the line managers built on the side.         building up budget detail.

    While Peter spent days
    pulling the presentation            Despite advances in database tech-
    together, there clearly isn’t  nology…there hasn’t been a meaning-
    enough analysis. Another
    review meeting is scheduled
                                      ful exodus of mid-market companies
    to follow up on the CEO’s          from Excel to planning applications.
    “what if” scenario questions.
    The budget deadline is pushed out two      This white paper explores the root causes of
    weeks.                                     Excel Hell for line managers like Jennifer
                                               and financial managers like Peter and
Excel Hell Roots                               George. The issues we address include
                                               problems with cell-based linking, the need
If you Google “Excel Hell”, you’ll get over
                                               for planning structures, and ideas for
15,000 hits. Most of these reference the
                                               analysis tools.
kinds of problems experienced at White-
horse and articulated by Steve McMinn, a       We also discuss criteria and application so-
partner at Accenture, in 2002:                 lutions needed to help companies escape
“It’s believed that some 80 percent of global
companies use Excel almost exclusively as a
planning tool. Often, that means finance        * As quoted by Alice Dragoon in “Escaping Excel

folks spend weeks attempting to consolidate     Hell” in Darwin Magazine, May 2002.

Page 2
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting


from Excel Hell and describe features sets in       checking syntax, and auditing results.
Alight Planning, a financial planning and           The cell-based syntax does not call out
analysis software package, that address spe-        what the formula is actually doing. To
cific spreadsheet problems.                         audit, you need to trace back and look at
                                                    the cell references.
Issues with Modeling
                                                 2. The only person who understands an
The simplest models for budgets and fore-           Excel financial model is the one who
casting are where salaries and headcount            built it. With budget templates, users
drive payroll taxes and benefits. Sophisti-         regularly destroy model subsets by mis-
cated financial plans typically include com-        takenly typing into formula cells.
plex models for such items as: sales by
channel, customer type and geography; di-        3. Changing the structure—e.g. adding,
rect and indirect product costs; activity-          moving or deleting rows and columns
based headcount; variable bonuses; sales            as Jennifer did—frequently creates er-
commissions; and similar items. A budget            rors such as incorrect subtotals or bro-
for a mid-sized company may include hun-            ken formulas. Broken formulas contain
dreds of such modeled relationships.                the notation #REF! which ripples
                                                    through financial statement rollups
Cell-based formulas and linking
                                                    making them unreadable.
You build financial models in Excel using
the formula bar and links to cells in the cur-   4. Excel modeling requires specialized
rent or other worksheets. Below is an exam-         skills learned only through experience.
ple of a formula that builds up a cost ele-         For folks like Peter, Whitehorse’s plan-
ment for a service product in cell L67:             ning manager, it’s their job. Line man-
                                                    agers like Jennifer, however, typically
                                                    don’t have modeling skills. Best of in-
                                                    tentions aside, that’s why most errors
                                                    occur.

                                                 Modeling criteria and solutions
                                                 Planning applications typically support
                                                 modeling for budgets and forecasting at
                                                 some level. Most fall short, however, be-
                                                 cause they either maintain a cell-based for-
                                                 mula interface like Excel (or even use Excel),
The syntax of the formula is “cell-based”—       or they simplify modeling interfaces and
that is, the references for calculation of the   functionality at the expense of flexibility.
cell L67 point to cells notated by row and       Following are criteria for software features
column headers on other worksheets.              needed to help both line managers and fi-
Cell-based modeling is a root cause of Excel     nance staff escape from Excel Hell for mod-
Hell. Below are several unavoidable issues:      eling. Examples of solutions using Alight
                                                 Planning are also included.
1. Building formulas is an inherently inef-
   ficient and error prone process requiring
   clicking between worksheets, double

                                                                                        Page 3
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting


Object-based linking. An effective solution
for dealing with the problems of cell-based
syntax is to make linking object-based. For
example, instead of =Admin!L25 * Assump-
tions! $H$21, computing payroll tax would
be in the form of: Salaries * Payroll Tax
Rate. In addition, such linked relationships
would automatically function across all
time periods without having to be manually
repeated with fill operations.

Audit trails. Financial models are inher-
ently complex. Audit trails should be avail-
able to help users trace how objects relate to              Alight Planning’s modeling is object-based using a
each other including what the current line                  company’s own business terminology. Line items may
item is linked to and what line items are                   be linked to the units, rate or amount of any other line
                                                            item or subtotal. Links automatically operate across
linked to it. Audit trails should also let users            time periods—i.e. one object-based link does it all.
enter notes, identify who last changed an
item and when, and be easily viewed.

Modeling interfaces. The modeling envi-
ronment should be intuitive and easy to
use. Modeling tools should be flexible
enough to let users create any planning
model they would otherwise create in Excel
but without the problems of a cell-based
syntax. Interfaces should let finance and line
managers create models focusing on impor-
tant activity-driver relationships, not syntax.

                                                            Alight Planning tracks everything happening in a model
                                                            and makes the information available to users. For ex-
                                                            ample, system notes display all linking relationships
                                                            plus who last modified the item with a time stamp.




Alight Planning incorporates six intuitive modeling in-
terfaces for building any complex model you would cre-
ate in Excel, but without a cell based syntax. In the ex-
ample, the Accumulate tab interface lets you create
cross time period accumulations for subscription mod-
els and balance sheet accruals.



Page 4
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting


Report management. Planning applications
should protect users from themselves. Op-
erations such as inserting a new line item,
adding total and variance columns, and
spreading values across total columns
should be automatic and error free.
Input cells should be easily         Planning applications should protect
distinguished from formula cells,    users from themselves. Operations
and users should be prevented
from      overwriting     formulas   such as inserting a new line item…
without having to manually set       should be automatic and error free.
protection cell by cell.

Alight Planning creates reports using “intelligent operator” columns which compute subtotals, variances and other
analyses without formulas. In addition to traditional variance analysis, Alight includes a Causal Analysis operator, as
shown below, that automatically computes the volume and rate impacts of actual versus plan variances. Shaded cells
are inputs, or in the case of actuals, imported values from outside databases.




Issues with Structure                                         Structure criteria and solutions
                                                              Most budget and forecasting applications
Having the flexibility to do anything you                     are heavy on structure but light on model-
want isn’t helpful when you’re staring at a                   ing support and interfaces. Price tag and
blank worksheet. Budgets and forecasting                      ROI aside, a typical trade-off is to sacrifice
require structure, lots of it: activity planning              modeling flexibility—i.e. Excel’s inherent
interfaces; accounting rollups to GAAP                        capability for building any type of financial
compliant financial statements; multiple                      model—for the benefits of gaining structure
user support; integration of actuals; and                     which Excel severely lacks. Following are
much more. Called budget templates, you                       criteria for structure elements of planning
build such structures from scratch in Excel                   applications:
using cell-based formulas and macros.
These templates take weeks or months to                       Activity planning. Budgeted amounts typi-
develop; they’re difficult to maintain; and                   cally have underlying activity assumptions
they frequently break when well inten-                        about units and rates. For revenue planning,
tioned managers like Jennifer do things that                  units sold * selling price = the sales amount.
cause errors.                                                 For headcount, # heads * salary rate = sal-
                                                              ary amount. Planning applications should
                                                              support unit/rate/amount activity plan-
                                                              ning for any type of financial and opera-

                                                                                                             Page 5
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting


tional planning. Some applications achieve
this by using a multi-dimensional database
for plans and actuals.

Rollup structures. This includes minimum
multi-dimensional support for product
groups, cost centers, and natural class ac-
counts which then roll up to integrated fi-
nancial statements—P&L, balance sheet and
cash flow. Within the rollup structure, line
managers should be able to add any num-
ber of line items on-the-fly to document un-
derlying assumptions and thinking. This is
what Jennifer tried to do and what George
and Peter were missing—line item detail
and assumptions that are otherwise lost if
not incorporated into the plan file and
rollup.
                                                Alight Planning’s architecture is based on units,
                                                rates and amounts thereby allowing any type of ac-
         Who Moved My Excel?                    tivity planning with linking at any level of detail.

 Excel’s lack of structure is the principal
 reason companies move from spread-
 sheet planning to budget and forecast
 applications. The tradeoff is this: the
 costs of wasted staff time, delays, errors
 and frustration finally exceed the capital
 and ongoing costs of buying a planning
 application.

 Most mid-sized companies never reach
 the cross over point because robust
 planning and reporting packages cost
 six figures or more for the software,
 implementation and ongoing IT support.

 For Fortune 1000 divisions, it’s a different
 story: enterprise BPM (business perform-
 ance management) packages focus on
 corporate level rollups and reporting. This    In addition to integrated P&L, balance sheet and
 often short changes division level model-      cash flow, Alight Planning’s financial statements
 ing and analysis requirements. As a result,    include a contribution analysis which segregates
                                                fixed and variable costs based on algorithms that
 Excel is frequently used alongside BPM
                                                identify underlying links to revenues.
 packages at business units for modeling
 and documenting plan detail.




Page 6
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting


Multi-user structures. Planning managers                   Issues with Analysis
like Peter need to set security controls to
define what plan elements each user may                    Finance staff like Peter and George are so
access and the level of access; for example,               consumed by the problems of Excel Hell
changing values only versus adding line                    that there is little time for analysis. Too of-
items. Process controls should provide ap-                 ten budgets go to press without any real
proval levels, version management and au-                  analysis of linkages to strategy. Rolling
dit trails to identify line items changed since            forecasts, caught in the squeeze between the
a cutoff date, and who changed them. Users
need to work from a complete model set to
                                                          Too often budgets go to press
view the impact of changes interactively.                   without any real analysis of
                                                                    linkages to strategy.
                                                           month end close and due dates for the man-
                                                           agement report, are too frequently finalized
                                                           without adequate analysis of the future
                                                           impact of variances or updates from line
                                                           managers.

                                                           As an alternative to Excel, planning applica-
                                                           tions should cut the cycle time for budgets
                                                           and forecasting, thereby freeing time for
                                                           analysis. Most do. In addition, applications
                                                           should automate critical analytic jobs such
Alight Planning’s multi-user capabilities allow a broad
                                                           as sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis.
range of security controls. After consolidation of user
inputs, Alight automatically identifies added and          Sensitivity analysis is the process of chang-
changed line items since the last version cutoff.          ing individual input assumptions and ob-
                                                           serving the financial impact. This is difficult
Import actuals structures. Planning applica-               in Excel because inputs are typically spread
tions should be able to import and integrate               across multiple worksheets separate from
financial and operating actuals data from                  the financial statement rollup. Planning
any source at any level of detail. Such im-                packages can streamline sensitivity analysis
port capabilities need to be automated with                by identifying the most critical assumptions
maintenance routines that update import                    in a plan and provide interfaces for testing
templates for structure changes in the plan-               impacts. Otherwise, it’s hunt and peck.
ning file. Applications should also provide
tools for modeling and linking imported                    Scenario analysis is the process of changing
actuals data and for plan data to “look                    multiple input assumptions to create an al-
back” or reference actuals data in forward                 ternate financial plan. This is supported by
looking projections.                                       most planning packages. Scenario analysis
                                                           should allow an unlimited number of sce-
                                                           narios with easy switching between scenar-
                                                           ios to compare and analyze results.




                                                                                                   Page 7
Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting

Alight Planning’s sensitivity analysis interface lets users automatically create a ranked list of inputs that impact a speci-
fied target, such as operating profit or net sales, providing an instant picture of the most sensitive assumptions in a fi-
nancial plan.




Alight Planning’s scenario analysis interface lets plan managers create up to 100 alternate financial plans all within the
same plan file. Scenarios can be automatically updated for the timing of key events such as launching new products,
opening new channels or raising capital.




Summary                                                         _______________________________________

Escaping Excel Hell for budgets and fore-                       Rand Heer is President of Alight LLC and the
casting is a growing priority for companies                     creative force behind Alight Planning. He was a
in today’s fast changing and competitive                        contributing author to “Business Intelligence:
economy. Application software companies                         Making Better Decisions Faster” published by
need to deliver improved structures for ac-                     Microsoft Press. He was also the founder of Pil-
tivity-based planning, integrated financials,                   lar Corporation and designer of Hyperion Pillar,
multiple-user processes and integrating ac-                     the first enterprise software for budgets and fore-
tuals that address Excel’s greatest weak-                       casting, and founder of FP&A Train, the origi-
nesses. At the same time, they must design                      nal Essbase training company.
more powerful and intuitive modeling in-                        (800) 960-7717
terfaces that provide the flexibility of Excel                  www.AlightPlanning.com
for building any kind of financial model.
Finally, there is a world of analytic tools yet                 Excel is a registered trademark of Microsoft Corporation in
                                                                the United States and other countries.
to be invented for moving financial plan-
ning and analysis to a new level of thor-
oughness and insight. This is what Alight is
working on next.


Page 8

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Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting

  • 1. More than 70% of companies use Excel® as their principal interface for budgets and forecasting. Many of these companies are in “Excel Hell”, a continuing state of inefficiency and disruption related to using Excel for collaborative planning. The spreadsheet symptoms of Excel Hell are broken formulas, con- solidations that choke, and wrong numbers. The organizational symptoms are inefficiency, frustration and decisions based on bad information. For the strategic CFO who needs better answers and more analysis, and for the financial planning manager who’s pulling too many late-nighters trying to get clean rollups, this white paper explores the root causes of Excel Hell and lays out criteria for solutions. Specific issues explored include: modeling using cell-based formulas; structures needed for activity-based plans, multiple user security and rollups; and the state of analysis, or the lack thereof, because there’s not enough time. Alight Planning, a financial planning and analysis software package, delivers feature sets that address the most serious issues of Excel Hell. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting By Rand Heer Jennifer should be home with her family, but she’s not. She’s in Excel Hell and won’t escape soon: Jennifer inserts new line items for T&E for Conferences and for T&E for Cus- tomer Visits. The travel account total doesn’t pick up the added items. She links a line item for travel expenses for sales reps to a subtotal on the head- count worksheet. Values for months 9 through 12 are wrong. After 30 minutes, she gives up trying to find the problem. It’s noon the next day. Peter Forrester, Fi- It’s 8 p.m. Jennifer Hoover, the New Eng- nancial Planning Manager for Whitehorse, land Sales Manager for Whitehorse Corp., a is studying the Excel workbooks that the $300 million manufacturer of electronic line managers have emailed him. They’re a equipment, is reworking the Excel budget mess. Peter is in Excel Hell and won’t be template due the next day. escaping soon: © 2006 by Alight LLC. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting The first pass rollup chokes on Jennifer’s hundreds of spreadsheets workbook. The consolidation routine with inconsistent data hits two #REF!s it can’t handle. Peter definitions, altered fixes the same errors in seven other formulas and extra workbooks. Five workbooks have dif- rows added by ferent problems. Only two come in creative managers. It’s clean. such a huge task just to get the numbers to add The next morning, Peter has an error up properly that free rollup. Revenues look good, but there’s little time left margins are too high. Two hours later for analysis or he finds the problem: marketing set up a optimization of resource allocation.”* new product but it has no cost of sales. The situation hasn’t improved much since. George Gladwell, the CFO of Whitehorse, is Despite advances in database technology, finishing up the budget review with the ex- and in particular OLAP (online analytical ecutive staff. The presentation isn’t going processing), there hasn’t been a meaningful well. exodus of mid-market companies from Ex- The numbers add up, but George and cel to planning applications. Even in very Peter can’t answer a number of ques- large corporations spending millions on tions about underlying assumptions. BPM (business performance management) Much of the detail is offline in scratch software, a substantial number of managers notes or unconnected spreadsheets that at the business unit level still use Excel for the line managers built on the side. building up budget detail. While Peter spent days pulling the presentation Despite advances in database tech- together, there clearly isn’t nology…there hasn’t been a meaning- enough analysis. Another review meeting is scheduled ful exodus of mid-market companies to follow up on the CEO’s from Excel to planning applications. “what if” scenario questions. The budget deadline is pushed out two This white paper explores the root causes of weeks. Excel Hell for line managers like Jennifer and financial managers like Peter and Excel Hell Roots George. The issues we address include problems with cell-based linking, the need If you Google “Excel Hell”, you’ll get over for planning structures, and ideas for 15,000 hits. Most of these reference the analysis tools. kinds of problems experienced at White- horse and articulated by Steve McMinn, a We also discuss criteria and application so- partner at Accenture, in 2002: lutions needed to help companies escape “It’s believed that some 80 percent of global companies use Excel almost exclusively as a planning tool. Often, that means finance * As quoted by Alice Dragoon in “Escaping Excel folks spend weeks attempting to consolidate Hell” in Darwin Magazine, May 2002. Page 2
  • 3. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting from Excel Hell and describe features sets in checking syntax, and auditing results. Alight Planning, a financial planning and The cell-based syntax does not call out analysis software package, that address spe- what the formula is actually doing. To cific spreadsheet problems. audit, you need to trace back and look at the cell references. Issues with Modeling 2. The only person who understands an The simplest models for budgets and fore- Excel financial model is the one who casting are where salaries and headcount built it. With budget templates, users drive payroll taxes and benefits. Sophisti- regularly destroy model subsets by mis- cated financial plans typically include com- takenly typing into formula cells. plex models for such items as: sales by channel, customer type and geography; di- 3. Changing the structure—e.g. adding, rect and indirect product costs; activity- moving or deleting rows and columns based headcount; variable bonuses; sales as Jennifer did—frequently creates er- commissions; and similar items. A budget rors such as incorrect subtotals or bro- for a mid-sized company may include hun- ken formulas. Broken formulas contain dreds of such modeled relationships. the notation #REF! which ripples through financial statement rollups Cell-based formulas and linking making them unreadable. You build financial models in Excel using the formula bar and links to cells in the cur- 4. Excel modeling requires specialized rent or other worksheets. Below is an exam- skills learned only through experience. ple of a formula that builds up a cost ele- For folks like Peter, Whitehorse’s plan- ment for a service product in cell L67: ning manager, it’s their job. Line man- agers like Jennifer, however, typically don’t have modeling skills. Best of in- tentions aside, that’s why most errors occur. Modeling criteria and solutions Planning applications typically support modeling for budgets and forecasting at some level. Most fall short, however, be- cause they either maintain a cell-based for- mula interface like Excel (or even use Excel), The syntax of the formula is “cell-based”— or they simplify modeling interfaces and that is, the references for calculation of the functionality at the expense of flexibility. cell L67 point to cells notated by row and Following are criteria for software features column headers on other worksheets. needed to help both line managers and fi- Cell-based modeling is a root cause of Excel nance staff escape from Excel Hell for mod- Hell. Below are several unavoidable issues: eling. Examples of solutions using Alight Planning are also included. 1. Building formulas is an inherently inef- ficient and error prone process requiring clicking between worksheets, double Page 3
  • 4. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting Object-based linking. An effective solution for dealing with the problems of cell-based syntax is to make linking object-based. For example, instead of =Admin!L25 * Assump- tions! $H$21, computing payroll tax would be in the form of: Salaries * Payroll Tax Rate. In addition, such linked relationships would automatically function across all time periods without having to be manually repeated with fill operations. Audit trails. Financial models are inher- ently complex. Audit trails should be avail- able to help users trace how objects relate to Alight Planning’s modeling is object-based using a each other including what the current line company’s own business terminology. Line items may item is linked to and what line items are be linked to the units, rate or amount of any other line item or subtotal. Links automatically operate across linked to it. Audit trails should also let users time periods—i.e. one object-based link does it all. enter notes, identify who last changed an item and when, and be easily viewed. Modeling interfaces. The modeling envi- ronment should be intuitive and easy to use. Modeling tools should be flexible enough to let users create any planning model they would otherwise create in Excel but without the problems of a cell-based syntax. Interfaces should let finance and line managers create models focusing on impor- tant activity-driver relationships, not syntax. Alight Planning tracks everything happening in a model and makes the information available to users. For ex- ample, system notes display all linking relationships plus who last modified the item with a time stamp. Alight Planning incorporates six intuitive modeling in- terfaces for building any complex model you would cre- ate in Excel, but without a cell based syntax. In the ex- ample, the Accumulate tab interface lets you create cross time period accumulations for subscription mod- els and balance sheet accruals. Page 4
  • 5. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting Report management. Planning applications should protect users from themselves. Op- erations such as inserting a new line item, adding total and variance columns, and spreading values across total columns should be automatic and error free. Input cells should be easily Planning applications should protect distinguished from formula cells, users from themselves. Operations and users should be prevented from overwriting formulas such as inserting a new line item… without having to manually set should be automatic and error free. protection cell by cell. Alight Planning creates reports using “intelligent operator” columns which compute subtotals, variances and other analyses without formulas. In addition to traditional variance analysis, Alight includes a Causal Analysis operator, as shown below, that automatically computes the volume and rate impacts of actual versus plan variances. Shaded cells are inputs, or in the case of actuals, imported values from outside databases. Issues with Structure Structure criteria and solutions Most budget and forecasting applications Having the flexibility to do anything you are heavy on structure but light on model- want isn’t helpful when you’re staring at a ing support and interfaces. Price tag and blank worksheet. Budgets and forecasting ROI aside, a typical trade-off is to sacrifice require structure, lots of it: activity planning modeling flexibility—i.e. Excel’s inherent interfaces; accounting rollups to GAAP capability for building any type of financial compliant financial statements; multiple model—for the benefits of gaining structure user support; integration of actuals; and which Excel severely lacks. Following are much more. Called budget templates, you criteria for structure elements of planning build such structures from scratch in Excel applications: using cell-based formulas and macros. These templates take weeks or months to Activity planning. Budgeted amounts typi- develop; they’re difficult to maintain; and cally have underlying activity assumptions they frequently break when well inten- about units and rates. For revenue planning, tioned managers like Jennifer do things that units sold * selling price = the sales amount. cause errors. For headcount, # heads * salary rate = sal- ary amount. Planning applications should support unit/rate/amount activity plan- ning for any type of financial and opera- Page 5
  • 6. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting tional planning. Some applications achieve this by using a multi-dimensional database for plans and actuals. Rollup structures. This includes minimum multi-dimensional support for product groups, cost centers, and natural class ac- counts which then roll up to integrated fi- nancial statements—P&L, balance sheet and cash flow. Within the rollup structure, line managers should be able to add any num- ber of line items on-the-fly to document un- derlying assumptions and thinking. This is what Jennifer tried to do and what George and Peter were missing—line item detail and assumptions that are otherwise lost if not incorporated into the plan file and rollup. Alight Planning’s architecture is based on units, rates and amounts thereby allowing any type of ac- Who Moved My Excel? tivity planning with linking at any level of detail. Excel’s lack of structure is the principal reason companies move from spread- sheet planning to budget and forecast applications. The tradeoff is this: the costs of wasted staff time, delays, errors and frustration finally exceed the capital and ongoing costs of buying a planning application. Most mid-sized companies never reach the cross over point because robust planning and reporting packages cost six figures or more for the software, implementation and ongoing IT support. For Fortune 1000 divisions, it’s a different story: enterprise BPM (business perform- ance management) packages focus on corporate level rollups and reporting. This In addition to integrated P&L, balance sheet and often short changes division level model- cash flow, Alight Planning’s financial statements ing and analysis requirements. As a result, include a contribution analysis which segregates fixed and variable costs based on algorithms that Excel is frequently used alongside BPM identify underlying links to revenues. packages at business units for modeling and documenting plan detail. Page 6
  • 7. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting Multi-user structures. Planning managers Issues with Analysis like Peter need to set security controls to define what plan elements each user may Finance staff like Peter and George are so access and the level of access; for example, consumed by the problems of Excel Hell changing values only versus adding line that there is little time for analysis. Too of- items. Process controls should provide ap- ten budgets go to press without any real proval levels, version management and au- analysis of linkages to strategy. Rolling dit trails to identify line items changed since forecasts, caught in the squeeze between the a cutoff date, and who changed them. Users need to work from a complete model set to Too often budgets go to press view the impact of changes interactively. without any real analysis of linkages to strategy. month end close and due dates for the man- agement report, are too frequently finalized without adequate analysis of the future impact of variances or updates from line managers. As an alternative to Excel, planning applica- tions should cut the cycle time for budgets and forecasting, thereby freeing time for analysis. Most do. In addition, applications should automate critical analytic jobs such Alight Planning’s multi-user capabilities allow a broad as sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis. range of security controls. After consolidation of user inputs, Alight automatically identifies added and Sensitivity analysis is the process of chang- changed line items since the last version cutoff. ing individual input assumptions and ob- serving the financial impact. This is difficult Import actuals structures. Planning applica- in Excel because inputs are typically spread tions should be able to import and integrate across multiple worksheets separate from financial and operating actuals data from the financial statement rollup. Planning any source at any level of detail. Such im- packages can streamline sensitivity analysis port capabilities need to be automated with by identifying the most critical assumptions maintenance routines that update import in a plan and provide interfaces for testing templates for structure changes in the plan- impacts. Otherwise, it’s hunt and peck. ning file. Applications should also provide tools for modeling and linking imported Scenario analysis is the process of changing actuals data and for plan data to “look multiple input assumptions to create an al- back” or reference actuals data in forward ternate financial plan. This is supported by looking projections. most planning packages. Scenario analysis should allow an unlimited number of sce- narios with easy switching between scenar- ios to compare and analyze results. Page 7
  • 8. Escaping Excel Hell: Budgets & Forecasting Alight Planning’s sensitivity analysis interface lets users automatically create a ranked list of inputs that impact a speci- fied target, such as operating profit or net sales, providing an instant picture of the most sensitive assumptions in a fi- nancial plan. Alight Planning’s scenario analysis interface lets plan managers create up to 100 alternate financial plans all within the same plan file. Scenarios can be automatically updated for the timing of key events such as launching new products, opening new channels or raising capital. Summary _______________________________________ Escaping Excel Hell for budgets and fore- Rand Heer is President of Alight LLC and the casting is a growing priority for companies creative force behind Alight Planning. He was a in today’s fast changing and competitive contributing author to “Business Intelligence: economy. Application software companies Making Better Decisions Faster” published by need to deliver improved structures for ac- Microsoft Press. He was also the founder of Pil- tivity-based planning, integrated financials, lar Corporation and designer of Hyperion Pillar, multiple-user processes and integrating ac- the first enterprise software for budgets and fore- tuals that address Excel’s greatest weak- casting, and founder of FP&A Train, the origi- nesses. At the same time, they must design nal Essbase training company. more powerful and intuitive modeling in- (800) 960-7717 terfaces that provide the flexibility of Excel www.AlightPlanning.com for building any kind of financial model. Finally, there is a world of analytic tools yet Excel is a registered trademark of Microsoft Corporation in the United States and other countries. to be invented for moving financial plan- ning and analysis to a new level of thor- oughness and insight. This is what Alight is working on next. Page 8