SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Download to read offline
Bord Gáis Energy Index
                                                           DECEMBER 2011




G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 1                            06/01/2012 11:49
Bord Gáis Energy Index
        DECEMBER 2011



           THE BORD GÁIS ENERGY INDEX CLOSES 5% HIGHER IN 2011 AS
                AVERAGE OIL PRICE RECORDED A 150-YEAR HIGH
  - INDEX DROPS 1% IN DECEMBER REFLECTING GLOBAL ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY


        Bord Gáis Energy Index (Dec 31st 2009 = 100)                                                                                        OVERALL SUMMARY:
                                                                                                                                            The average price of Brent crude oil posted
                               Bord Gáis Energy Index                    12 Month Rolling Average                                           a record high in 2011 as daily oil demand hit a
             180                                                                                                                            new high of 89 million barrels per day, owing
                                                                                                                                            primarily to growth from emerging market
                                                                                                                                            countries. Prices were also supported by
                                                                                                                                            concerns about supply from the Middle East
                                                                                                                                            and North Africa. As a result, the Bord Gáis
             140                                                                                                                            Energy Index closed the year 5% higher.
        Points




             100


                 60
                      Jan-09   Apr-09   Jul-09   Oct-09   Jan-10   Apr-10    Jul-10    Oct-10   Jan-11   Apr-11      Jul-11     Oct-11



        1 Mth         -1%          3 Mth            6%             12 Mth             5%



        From month to month, the Index for December recorded a 1% drop due to the ongoing European sovereign debt concerns,
        fears about global economic growth in 2012 and a mild start to the winter across Ireland, Britain and Europe, all of which
        put downward pressure on gas and electricity prices. However, Ireland did not benefit fully from falls in fuel commodity
        prices as the euro weakened over the month. This meant that in euro terms, oil and coal prices in fact increased over
        the month. Ominously, tensions between the West and Iran raised the possibility of military engagement and oil supply
        disruptions as there is now a possibility that the Strait of Hormuz could be closed, a narrow passage through which 40%
        of global oil supplies pass through.


        Oil Index                                                                                                                           OIL
                                                                                                                                            Due to the ongoing European sovereign
             180                                                                                                                            debt concerns, the possibility of a European
                                                                                                                                            recession in 2012 and fears of further
                                                                                                                                            ratings downgrades, in US dollar terms, oil
                                                                                                                                            prices weakened in December. However,
                                                                                                                                            euro zone buyers of oil, such as Ireland, did
             140                                                                                                                            not benefit fully from this fall as the euro
                                                                                                                                            weakened significantly versus the US dollar.
        Points




                                                                                                                                            Because of this, in euro terms, the cost of oil
                                                                                                                                            increased by 1%.
             100                                                                                                                            Prices were supported due to the escalation
                                                                                                                                            in tensions between the West and Iran
                                                                                                                                            over its nuclear programme. Military
                                                                                                                                            engagement and the possibility of oil supply
                 60                                                                                                                         disruptions supported oil prices somewhat.
                      Jan-09   Apr-09   Jul-09   Oct-09   Jan-10    Apr-10   Jul-10    Oct-10   Jan-11    Apr-11     Jul-11     Oct-11      Furthermore, data from the US in December
                                                                                                *Index adjusted for currency movements.
                                                                                                                         Data Source: ICE
                                                                                                                                            reconfirmed the view that the economy
                                                                                                                                            there is expanding moderately.

        1 Mth          1%          3 Mth            8%             12 Mth             17%




G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 2                                                                                                                                             06/01/2012 11:49
Bord Gáis Energy Index
        DECEMBER 2011


        Natural Gas Index

               250                                                                                                                             NATURAL GAS
                                                                                                                                               The average December Day-ahead
                                                                                                                                               gas price was lower than its November
                                                                                                                                               equivalent by 1%. Despite a brief period
               200                                                                                                                             where cold and stormy weather bore
                                                                                                                                               down on the UK and some disruptions
          Points




                                                                                                                                               to UK gas supplies from Norway, the
               150                                                                                                                             December average Day-ahead gas price
                                                                                                                                               softened. A mild start to the winter across
                                                                                                                                               the British Isles and Europe, has resulted
                                                                                                                                               in very healthy stock levels which also
               100                                                                                                                             applied downward pressure on prices.

                                                                                                                                               Temperatures rose to above seasonal
                   50                                                                                                                          norms in the second half of the month,
                        Jan-09   Apr-09   Jul-09   Oct-09   Jan-10    Apr-10   Jul-10    Oct-10   Jan-11   Apr-11      Jul-11    Oct-11
                                                                                                   *Index adjusted for currency movements.
                                                                                                                                               which reduced demand for gas-fired
                                                                                                               Data Source: Spectron Group     central heating and depressed prices. The
                                                                                                                                               holiday season also resulted in reduced
                                                                                                                                               demand from businesses and industry.
        1 Mth           -1%         3 Mth            5%              12 Mth             -8%                                                    The ongoing European sovereign debt
                                                                                                                                               crisis is also weighing on prices as it is now
                                                                                                                                               likely that Europe will burn less gas in 2012
        Coal Index                                                                                                                             as activity and production slows.

                                                                                                                                               COAL
              260
                                                                                                                                               In US dollar terms, coal prices fell in
                                                                                                                                               December as the world experiences an
                                                                                                                                               oversupply of coal. Economic uncertainties
              205                                                                                                                              and a comparatively mild winter is
                                                                                                                                               restricting European demand. Chinese
                                                                                                                                               Southern ports are reportedly very well
         Points




              150                                                                                                                              supplied with significant quantities of
                                                                                                                                               Australian and South African coal, and
                                                                                                                                               Chinese power companies are finding it
                                                                                                                                               increasingly difficult to access credit to
                   95                                                                                                                          purchase additional quantities. Indian
                                                                                                                                               buyers are also absent from the market
                                                                                                                                               as industrial production slows and a
                   40                                                                                                                          weakening Indian rupee makes US dollar
                                                                                                                                               priced oil more expensive.
                        Jan-09   Apr-09   Jul-09   Oct-09   Jan-10    Apr-10   Jul-10    Oct-10   Jan-11   Apr-11      Jul-11    Oct-11
                                                                                                   *Index adjusted for currency movements.
                                                                                                                            Data Source: ICE
                                                                                                                                               However, euro zone buyers of coal, such as
                                                                                                                                               Ireland, did not benefit fully from this fall as
        1 Mth           2%          3 Mth            -7%             12 Mth             -9%                                                    the euro weakened significantly versus the
                                                                                                                                               US dollar. Because of this, in euro terms,
                                                                                                                                               the cost of coal increased by 2% over the
                                                                                                                                               month.
        Electricity Index

              180
                                                                                                                                               ELECTRICITY
                                                                                                                                               The average wholesale Irish electricity
                                                                                                                                               price for December closed 4% lower than
                                                                                                                                               its November equivalent as unseasonably
                                                                                                                                               mild weather and reduced demand for
              140                                                                                                                              electricity put downward pressure on
                                                                                                                                               prices.
         Points




                                                                                                                                               In addition, as the cost of gas and carbon
                                                                                                                                               became cheaper in the month, the cost of
              100                                                                                                                              producing electricity fell. The availability
                                                                                                                                               of cheap hydro and wind power put
                                                                                                                                               additional downward pressure on prices.

                   60                                                                                                                          Wholesale prices could have fallen further
                        Jan-09   Apr-09   Jul-09   Oct-09   Jan-10    Apr-10   Jul-10    Oct-10   Jan-11   Apr-11     Jul-11     Oct-11        but for a number of outages of efficient
                                                                                                                        Data Source: SEMO
                                                                                                                                               generators and an increased use of
                                                                                                                                               expensive peaker units to supply short
                                                                                                                                               bursts of electricity.
        1 Mth           -4%         3 Mth             1%             12 Mth         -13%




G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 3                                                                                                                                                06/01/2012 11:49
Bord Gáis Energy Index
        DECEMBER 2011



        FX Rates
                                                                                                                                   FX RATES
           1.60                                                                                                                    In December, the euro hit a 15 month low
                                                                                                                                   versus the US Dollar. Despite hopes of a
           1.40                                                                                                                    solution to the euro zone crisis emerging
                                                                                                                                   from the latest crunch EU summit, the
                                                                                                                                   mood quickly soured and concerns again
           1.20                                                                                                                    mounted about the economic prospects
                                                                                                                                   of European region and the future of its
                                                                                                                                   currency.
           1.00
                                                                                                                                   Investors in turn favoured the safe
                                                                                                                                   haven of the US Dollar and the currency
           0.80                                                                                                                    appreciated versus the euro in the month.
                                                                                                                                   These concerns also lead to a weakening
                                                                                                                                   of the euro versus the Pound sterling.
           0.60                                                                                                                    Some fuel commodities are priced in US
                     Jan-09   Apr-09   Jul-09   Oct-09   Jan-10    Apr-10   Jul-10    Oct-10   Jan-11   Apr-11   Jul-11   Oct-11
                                                                                                                                   Dollars (oil and coal) and in the Pound
                                                                                                                                   sterling (gas).

        1 Mth       -4%           3 Mth           -4%             12 Mth             -3%       EURUSD

        1 Mth       -2%           3 Mth           -3%             12 Mth             -3%       EURGBP




        MARKET OUTLOOK:
        There are a number of strong influences that are putting downward pressure on fuel commodities such as the apparent
        inability of European leaders to offer a solution to the crisis that convinces the markets, fears of a slowing global economy
        in 2012 and mild weather (which is reducing the need for heating). Should the euro continue to weaken versus the US dollar,
        euro zone buyers will not benefit fully from any price falls and would have to pay even more should prices increase. Given the
        economic weakness within the region, a softening euro has the potential to inflate European energy costs.

        These downward pressures are being counteracted somewhat however by the escalation of international tensions due to Iran’s
        nuclear programme which may apply upward pressure to oil and consequently all fuel commodity prices should the situation
        get more treatening in 2012.



        RE-WEIGHTING OF BORD GÁIS ENERGY INDEX:
        Following the SEAI’s 2009 review of energy consumption in
        Ireland, released in Q4 2010, there was a 9.3% drop in overall                                                                    Oil 64.93%
        energy consumption. The most notable drop of 1.39% was in oil
        consumption in the form of gasoline and diesel. This reflects the
        economic downturn experienced at the time. The share of natural                                                                                               Gas
        gas and electricity increased by 0.63% and 0.57% respectively.                                                                                                13.52%
        An increase in the use of renewables and peat, at the expense of
        coal in electricity generation was also observed. As a result the
        Bord Gáis Energy Index has been reweighted to reflect the latest                                                                      Electricity     Coal
        consumption data. This has had a minimal effect on the overall                                                                           18.40%       3.16%
        shape of the Index, but may indicate future trends.


        For more information please contact: Fleishman-Hillard - Aidan McLaughlin - 085 749 0484
                                             Bord Gáis Energy - Christine Heffernan - 087 050 5555

        Disclaimer:
        The contents of this report are provided solely as an information guide. The report is presented to you “as is” and may or may
        not be correct, current, accurate or complete. While every effort is made in preparing material for publication no responsibility
        is accepted by or on behalf of Bord Gáis Eireann, the SEMO, ICE Futures Europe, the Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland
        or Spectron Group Limited (together, the “Parties”) for any errors, omissions or misleading statements within this report. No
        representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or liability accepted by any of the Parties or any of their respective
        directors, employees or agents in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this report. Each of the
        Parties and their respective directors, employees or agents does not and will not accept any liability in relation to the information
        contained in this report. Bord Gáis Eireann reserves the right at any time to revise, amend, alter or delete the information provided
        in this report.




G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 4                                                                                                                              06/01/2012 11:49

More Related Content

More from Bord Gáis Energy

Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014
Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014
Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014Bord Gáis Energy
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014 Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014 Bord Gáis Energy
 

More from Bord Gáis Energy (20)

Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2016
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2016
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2016
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index October 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index September 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index August 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index July 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index June 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index May 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index April 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index March 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index February 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015
Bord Gáis Energy Index January 2015
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index December 2014
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index November 2014
 
Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014
Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014
Bord Gáis energy Index October 2014
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - September 2014
 
Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014 Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014
Bord Gáis Energy Index - August 2014
 

Recently uploaded

Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncrdollysharma2066
 
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadIslamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadAyesha Khan
 
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationPSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationAnamaria Contreras
 
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...Seta Wicaksana
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 EditionMarket Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 EditionMintel Group
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportMintel Group
 
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith PereraKenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Pereraictsugar
 
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent ChirchirMarketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchirictsugar
 
Contemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptx
Contemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptxContemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptx
Contemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptxMarkAnthonyAurellano
 
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?Olivia Kresic
 
Memorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQM
Memorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQMMemorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQM
Memorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQMVoces Mineras
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Kirill Klimov
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfpollardmorgan
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfInnovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfrichard876048
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
 
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadIslamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
 
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCREnjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
 
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationPSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
 
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
 
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 EditionMarket Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
Market Sizes Sample Report - 2024 Edition
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
 
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith PereraKenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
 
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent ChirchirMarketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
 
Contemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptx
Contemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptxContemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptx
Contemporary Economic Issues Facing the Filipino Entrepreneur (1).pptx
 
Corporate Profile 47Billion Information Technology
Corporate Profile 47Billion Information TechnologyCorporate Profile 47Billion Information Technology
Corporate Profile 47Billion Information Technology
 
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
 
Memorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQM
Memorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQMMemorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQM
Memorándum de Entendimiento (MoU) entre Codelco y SQM
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
 
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
 
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfInnovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
 

December 2011 Energy Index - Bord Gáis Energy

  • 1. Bord Gáis Energy Index DECEMBER 2011 G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 1 06/01/2012 11:49
  • 2. Bord Gáis Energy Index DECEMBER 2011 THE BORD GÁIS ENERGY INDEX CLOSES 5% HIGHER IN 2011 AS AVERAGE OIL PRICE RECORDED A 150-YEAR HIGH - INDEX DROPS 1% IN DECEMBER REFLECTING GLOBAL ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY Bord Gáis Energy Index (Dec 31st 2009 = 100) OVERALL SUMMARY: The average price of Brent crude oil posted Bord Gáis Energy Index 12 Month Rolling Average a record high in 2011 as daily oil demand hit a 180 new high of 89 million barrels per day, owing primarily to growth from emerging market countries. Prices were also supported by concerns about supply from the Middle East and North Africa. As a result, the Bord Gáis 140 Energy Index closed the year 5% higher. Points 100 60 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 1 Mth -1% 3 Mth 6% 12 Mth 5% From month to month, the Index for December recorded a 1% drop due to the ongoing European sovereign debt concerns, fears about global economic growth in 2012 and a mild start to the winter across Ireland, Britain and Europe, all of which put downward pressure on gas and electricity prices. However, Ireland did not benefit fully from falls in fuel commodity prices as the euro weakened over the month. This meant that in euro terms, oil and coal prices in fact increased over the month. Ominously, tensions between the West and Iran raised the possibility of military engagement and oil supply disruptions as there is now a possibility that the Strait of Hormuz could be closed, a narrow passage through which 40% of global oil supplies pass through. Oil Index OIL Due to the ongoing European sovereign 180 debt concerns, the possibility of a European recession in 2012 and fears of further ratings downgrades, in US dollar terms, oil prices weakened in December. However, euro zone buyers of oil, such as Ireland, did 140 not benefit fully from this fall as the euro weakened significantly versus the US dollar. Points Because of this, in euro terms, the cost of oil increased by 1%. 100 Prices were supported due to the escalation in tensions between the West and Iran over its nuclear programme. Military engagement and the possibility of oil supply 60 disruptions supported oil prices somewhat. Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Furthermore, data from the US in December *Index adjusted for currency movements. Data Source: ICE reconfirmed the view that the economy there is expanding moderately. 1 Mth 1% 3 Mth 8% 12 Mth 17% G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 2 06/01/2012 11:49
  • 3. Bord Gáis Energy Index DECEMBER 2011 Natural Gas Index 250 NATURAL GAS The average December Day-ahead gas price was lower than its November equivalent by 1%. Despite a brief period 200 where cold and stormy weather bore down on the UK and some disruptions Points to UK gas supplies from Norway, the 150 December average Day-ahead gas price softened. A mild start to the winter across the British Isles and Europe, has resulted in very healthy stock levels which also 100 applied downward pressure on prices. Temperatures rose to above seasonal 50 norms in the second half of the month, Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 *Index adjusted for currency movements. which reduced demand for gas-fired Data Source: Spectron Group central heating and depressed prices. The holiday season also resulted in reduced demand from businesses and industry. 1 Mth -1% 3 Mth 5% 12 Mth -8% The ongoing European sovereign debt crisis is also weighing on prices as it is now likely that Europe will burn less gas in 2012 Coal Index as activity and production slows. COAL 260 In US dollar terms, coal prices fell in December as the world experiences an oversupply of coal. Economic uncertainties 205 and a comparatively mild winter is restricting European demand. Chinese Southern ports are reportedly very well Points 150 supplied with significant quantities of Australian and South African coal, and Chinese power companies are finding it increasingly difficult to access credit to 95 purchase additional quantities. Indian buyers are also absent from the market as industrial production slows and a 40 weakening Indian rupee makes US dollar priced oil more expensive. Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 *Index adjusted for currency movements. Data Source: ICE However, euro zone buyers of coal, such as Ireland, did not benefit fully from this fall as 1 Mth 2% 3 Mth -7% 12 Mth -9% the euro weakened significantly versus the US dollar. Because of this, in euro terms, the cost of coal increased by 2% over the month. Electricity Index 180 ELECTRICITY The average wholesale Irish electricity price for December closed 4% lower than its November equivalent as unseasonably mild weather and reduced demand for 140 electricity put downward pressure on prices. Points In addition, as the cost of gas and carbon became cheaper in the month, the cost of 100 producing electricity fell. The availability of cheap hydro and wind power put additional downward pressure on prices. 60 Wholesale prices could have fallen further Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 but for a number of outages of efficient Data Source: SEMO generators and an increased use of expensive peaker units to supply short bursts of electricity. 1 Mth -4% 3 Mth 1% 12 Mth -13% G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 3 06/01/2012 11:49
  • 4. Bord Gáis Energy Index DECEMBER 2011 FX Rates FX RATES 1.60 In December, the euro hit a 15 month low versus the US Dollar. Despite hopes of a 1.40 solution to the euro zone crisis emerging from the latest crunch EU summit, the mood quickly soured and concerns again 1.20 mounted about the economic prospects of European region and the future of its currency. 1.00 Investors in turn favoured the safe haven of the US Dollar and the currency 0.80 appreciated versus the euro in the month. These concerns also lead to a weakening of the euro versus the Pound sterling. 0.60 Some fuel commodities are priced in US Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Dollars (oil and coal) and in the Pound sterling (gas). 1 Mth -4% 3 Mth -4% 12 Mth -3% EURUSD 1 Mth -2% 3 Mth -3% 12 Mth -3% EURGBP MARKET OUTLOOK: There are a number of strong influences that are putting downward pressure on fuel commodities such as the apparent inability of European leaders to offer a solution to the crisis that convinces the markets, fears of a slowing global economy in 2012 and mild weather (which is reducing the need for heating). Should the euro continue to weaken versus the US dollar, euro zone buyers will not benefit fully from any price falls and would have to pay even more should prices increase. Given the economic weakness within the region, a softening euro has the potential to inflate European energy costs. These downward pressures are being counteracted somewhat however by the escalation of international tensions due to Iran’s nuclear programme which may apply upward pressure to oil and consequently all fuel commodity prices should the situation get more treatening in 2012. RE-WEIGHTING OF BORD GÁIS ENERGY INDEX: Following the SEAI’s 2009 review of energy consumption in Ireland, released in Q4 2010, there was a 9.3% drop in overall Oil 64.93% energy consumption. The most notable drop of 1.39% was in oil consumption in the form of gasoline and diesel. This reflects the economic downturn experienced at the time. The share of natural Gas gas and electricity increased by 0.63% and 0.57% respectively. 13.52% An increase in the use of renewables and peat, at the expense of coal in electricity generation was also observed. As a result the Bord Gáis Energy Index has been reweighted to reflect the latest Electricity Coal consumption data. This has had a minimal effect on the overall 18.40% 3.16% shape of the Index, but may indicate future trends. For more information please contact: Fleishman-Hillard - Aidan McLaughlin - 085 749 0484 Bord Gáis Energy - Christine Heffernan - 087 050 5555 Disclaimer: The contents of this report are provided solely as an information guide. The report is presented to you “as is” and may or may not be correct, current, accurate or complete. While every effort is made in preparing material for publication no responsibility is accepted by or on behalf of Bord Gáis Eireann, the SEMO, ICE Futures Europe, the Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland or Spectron Group Limited (together, the “Parties”) for any errors, omissions or misleading statements within this report. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or liability accepted by any of the Parties or any of their respective directors, employees or agents in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this report. Each of the Parties and their respective directors, employees or agents does not and will not accept any liability in relation to the information contained in this report. Bord Gáis Eireann reserves the right at any time to revise, amend, alter or delete the information provided in this report. G29346 BGE Energy Index Dec 2011 LK.indd 4 06/01/2012 11:49