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INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY




                        1
INTRODUCTION



 Steel is crucial to the development of any
  modern economy and is considered to be
  the backbone of human civilisation.
 It is a product of a large and
  technologically complex industry having
  strong forward and backward linkages in
  terms of material flows and income
  generation.

                                               2
HISTORY




Source: IISI

               Stages in Global Production of Steel
Global Steel Industry


 The current global steel industry is in its best position in comparing
  to last decades. The price has been rising continuously.

 The demand expectations for steel products are rapidly growing for
  coming years. The shares of steel industries are also in a high pace.

 The subprime crisis has lead to the recession in economy of
  different countries, which may lead to have a negative effect on
  whole steel industry in coming years.

 However steel production and consumption will be supported by
  continuous economic growth.


                                                                       4
INDIAN STEEL GROWTH
                                Slowly and steadily

Steel industry reforms – particularly in 1991 and 1992 – have led to strong and sustainable growth in India’s steel
industry.

Since its independence, India has experienced steady growth in the steel industry, thanks in part to the successive
governments that have supported the industry and pushed for its robust development.
           40

                                                                                                 36.5
           35                                                                   Confidence
           30

                                                                                          26.2
           25                                                                 Stagnatio
                                                                                  24.2
                                                                                          n
           20


           15
                                                         Decontrol            14.3
                                                                      12.02
           10                                                  9.36
                                                        6.75
            5                Controlled          5.05
                              Regime      3.23
                   1.1    1.1    1.62
            0



                   1951                                        1981                        2005
BASED ON OWNERSHIP



PUBLIC                          PRIVATE
                                •   TATA-CORUS
•   SAIL                        •   ESSAR
•   VISAKHAPATNAM STEEL PLANT   •   ISPAT
•   FERRO SCRAP NIGAM LIMITED   •   JSW STEEL LIMITED
•   BIRD GROUP OF COMPANIES     •   MUKAND LIMITED
•   SPONGE IRON INDIA LIMITED
•   MECON LIMITED
•   BHARAT REFRACTORIES
    LIMITED
Steel production in India


• Indian steel industry is poised for rapid growth.
• India’s share in world production of crude steel
  increased from 1.5% in 1981 to around 7.3% in
  2008.
• The private sector is considered engine of
  growth in the steel industry and technological
  changes and modernization are taking place in
  both the public and the private sector integrated
  steel plants in India.
AVERAGE COST AND ECONOMIES OF SCALE


Economies of scale are the cost advantages
that a business obtains due to expansion.
• the average cost of production of
                                         Average cost
  the firm decreases as the output
  level increases
• the firm would like to be at the
                                           C
  minimum average cost point
• the average cost is higher in long
                                          C1
  run than short run and company
  makes higher profit producing                                      output
                                                        Q      Q1
  higher and higher levels of
  outputs .                            The increase in output from Q to Q2
                                       causes a decrease in the average
                                        cost of each unit from c to C1.
Contd……..



• Suppose in SAIL , the average cost per ton of
  steel at the minimum average cost point with
  the larger blast furnace may be 20 percent less
  than the average cost at the minimum average
  cost point with smaller blast furnace.
• Due to technological constraints the average
  cost is assumed to start rising at some output
  level even in the long run—that is, the average
  cost curve is U-shaped even in the long run.
DEMAND OF STEEL



• Driven by a booming economy and
  concomitant demand levels, demand of steel
  has grown by 12.5 per cent during the last
  three years, well above the 6.9 percent
  envisaged in the National Steel Policy.
• Steel demand to grow by 8-10 pc in 2010-11:
  MoS Steel . steel consumption grew at 7.6
  per cent in 2009-10 to 56.32 million tonne
  as against 2008-09.
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND OF STEEL

               INELASTIC DEMAND


               P
    PRICE OF
     STEEL




          P
          1


               O
                    Q   Q1


                   DEMAND OF STEEL
SUPPLY OF STEEL


• India is the world’s fifth largest steel producer and its
  share is 3% plus in global steel output which is still
  very low.
• China, the world’s biggest steelmaker, produces nearly
  ten times as much as India.
• Over the past ten years India’s crude steel output rose
  nearly 7%per year to 56.3 million tons , while global
  crude steel output increased by 4% .
• ArcelorMittal plans to build greenfield steel production
  capacity of 30 million tonne per annum in India. While
  Orissa and Jharkhand will have 12 million tonne
  capacity each, Karnataka will have a plant with a
  capacity of six million tonnes.
DEMAND SUPPLY MISMATCH



• India is one of the world’s top ten steelmakers its
  domestic output is insufficient to meet the demand
  in all segments.
• Consumption of steel is very fast and as a
  consequence of the prospective dynamic economic
  growth.
• Secondly, there is demand for high-quality products
  which India will not be able to supply in sufficient
  quantities for the foreseeable future.
MARKET ANALYSIS


 Concentration ratio of an industry is an indicator of the relative
  size of firms in relation to the industry as a whole.
 The 4 firm concentration ratio of the Iron and Steel Industry is
  71%.
 Both homogenous product or product differentiation are possible
 There is a price war and price rigidity
 Price output decisions are very difficult and indeterminate.
 This implies that there is oligopoly in the industry as it is
  dominated by few major players
Export & Import of Steel in India
        Quantity (in million tonnes)

                                       5

                                       4

                                       3
                                                                                   IMPORTS
                                       2
                                                                                   EXPORTS
                                       1

                                       0
                                           2003-04   2004-05   2005-06   2006-07
                                                           YEAR



Exports have grown fast and at a rate exceeding 25% per annum between 1991-
92 and 2002-03. Thereafter, till 2006-07export levels stagnated at around 4-4.5
Million Tonnes per year.

On the other hand, imports followed a different growth path. In spite of progressive
reduction in customs duty levels after deregulation, imports remained around 1-2
Million Tonnes per year till 2003-04 and rose rapidly in the last two fiscals.
SUBSIDIES AND ISSUES OF COMPETITIVENESS



•   India does not provide direct subsidies for exports, although indirect
    subsidies on the nature of exemption from tax and import duty are
    provided.

•   The Government of India implements the Export Promotion of Capital
    Goods (EPCG) scheme which provides for a reduction or exemption
    of customs duties and an exemption from excise taxes on imports of
    capital goods. The EPCG scheme has been countervailed in the US,
    Canada, as well as the EU.




                                                                       16
SUBSIDIES AND ISSUES OF COMPETITIVENESS


•   The income-tax benefits-related export activities are incorporated in
    sections 80HHC, 10A and 10B of the Income Tax Act.

•   The reserve bank of India has accordingly issued directions to
    commercial Banks to provide export credit both at pre- and post-
    shipment stages.

•   India also administers a number of duty drawback schemes that
    allow for the remission or drawback of import charges levied on
    inputs that are consumed in the production of an exported product.
    Schemes such as duty Entitlement pass book Scheme (DEPB) and
    Duty free Replenishment certificate (DFRC) fall under this category.


                                                                       17
ECONOMIC PARAMETERS ARE FAVOURABLE

                                    PERFORMANCE PARAMETERS

                                                                                Forex Reserve

GOOD
                                                      Overall GDP
                                                                External Debt           Service sector Growth
                                            Financial Reforms
  FUTURE OUTLOOK




                                                                      Savings
                                                     New Investment     inflation
                                          FDI Inflows
                                                                   Industrial Growth
                                                     Economic reforms

                   Internal Debt

                   Fiscal Deficit
                                    Agricultural Growth




                   BAD                 CURRENT PERFORMANCE                              GOOD
                                                                                                       18
MERGERS & AQUISITIONS



• Arcelor - Mittal
  – 32.2bn$ deal
  – Mittal pips Severstal


• Tata-Corus
  – 11.3bn$ deal
  – Tatas pip CSN


                                  19
SWOT ANALYSIS


Strengths                              Weaknesses

1. Availability of iron ore and coal   1. Unscientific mining
2. Low labour wage rates               2. Coking coal import dependence
3. Abundance of quality manpower       3. Low R&D investment
4. Mature production base              4. Inadequate infrastructure



Opportunities                          Threats

1. Unexplored rural market             1. China becoming net exporter
2. Growing domestic demand             2. Protectionism in the West
3. Exports                             3. Dumping by competitors
4. Consolidation                       4. Global economic slowdown



                                                                          20
FACTORS HOLDING BACK THE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY



 Energy supply

 Problems procuring raw material inputs

 Inefficient transport system


 RECENT FINANCIAL CRISIS AND INDIAN STEEL
  INDUSTRY



                                                  21
IN SUMMARY..



• Indian steel industry exudes optimism but crisis should get
 over as soon as possible.
• Investment in infrastructure is crucial to step up demand
  for steel.
• Supply may have to be rationalized in line with the demand
  (Dom + exports).

• Integrated Mills would hold the key in future growth of
  Indian Steel supplies.
• New technologies to use indigenous natural resources
  would have to be developed.
                                                               22
THANK YOU




            23
Man Power in Modern Steel Plants


• In South Korea, Posco employs 10,000 people to produce
  28 million tonnes. As a thumb rule, one can put the direct
  employment potential at 1,000 per million tonnes.
• At present the per capita steel consumption is 35 kg,
  whereas for developed countries it is 300kg.




                                                               24

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Steelindustry an introduction

  • 2. INTRODUCTION  Steel is crucial to the development of any modern economy and is considered to be the backbone of human civilisation.  It is a product of a large and technologically complex industry having strong forward and backward linkages in terms of material flows and income generation. 2
  • 3. HISTORY Source: IISI Stages in Global Production of Steel
  • 4. Global Steel Industry  The current global steel industry is in its best position in comparing to last decades. The price has been rising continuously.  The demand expectations for steel products are rapidly growing for coming years. The shares of steel industries are also in a high pace.  The subprime crisis has lead to the recession in economy of different countries, which may lead to have a negative effect on whole steel industry in coming years.  However steel production and consumption will be supported by continuous economic growth. 4
  • 5. INDIAN STEEL GROWTH Slowly and steadily Steel industry reforms – particularly in 1991 and 1992 – have led to strong and sustainable growth in India’s steel industry. Since its independence, India has experienced steady growth in the steel industry, thanks in part to the successive governments that have supported the industry and pushed for its robust development. 40 36.5 35 Confidence 30 26.2 25 Stagnatio 24.2 n 20 15 Decontrol 14.3 12.02 10 9.36 6.75 5 Controlled 5.05 Regime 3.23 1.1 1.1 1.62 0 1951 1981 2005
  • 6. BASED ON OWNERSHIP PUBLIC PRIVATE • TATA-CORUS • SAIL • ESSAR • VISAKHAPATNAM STEEL PLANT • ISPAT • FERRO SCRAP NIGAM LIMITED • JSW STEEL LIMITED • BIRD GROUP OF COMPANIES • MUKAND LIMITED • SPONGE IRON INDIA LIMITED • MECON LIMITED • BHARAT REFRACTORIES LIMITED
  • 7. Steel production in India • Indian steel industry is poised for rapid growth. • India’s share in world production of crude steel increased from 1.5% in 1981 to around 7.3% in 2008. • The private sector is considered engine of growth in the steel industry and technological changes and modernization are taking place in both the public and the private sector integrated steel plants in India.
  • 8. AVERAGE COST AND ECONOMIES OF SCALE Economies of scale are the cost advantages that a business obtains due to expansion. • the average cost of production of Average cost the firm decreases as the output level increases • the firm would like to be at the C minimum average cost point • the average cost is higher in long C1 run than short run and company makes higher profit producing output Q Q1 higher and higher levels of outputs . The increase in output from Q to Q2 causes a decrease in the average cost of each unit from c to C1.
  • 9. Contd…….. • Suppose in SAIL , the average cost per ton of steel at the minimum average cost point with the larger blast furnace may be 20 percent less than the average cost at the minimum average cost point with smaller blast furnace. • Due to technological constraints the average cost is assumed to start rising at some output level even in the long run—that is, the average cost curve is U-shaped even in the long run.
  • 10. DEMAND OF STEEL • Driven by a booming economy and concomitant demand levels, demand of steel has grown by 12.5 per cent during the last three years, well above the 6.9 percent envisaged in the National Steel Policy. • Steel demand to grow by 8-10 pc in 2010-11: MoS Steel . steel consumption grew at 7.6 per cent in 2009-10 to 56.32 million tonne as against 2008-09.
  • 11. ELASTICITY OF DEMAND OF STEEL INELASTIC DEMAND P PRICE OF STEEL P 1 O Q Q1 DEMAND OF STEEL
  • 12. SUPPLY OF STEEL • India is the world’s fifth largest steel producer and its share is 3% plus in global steel output which is still very low. • China, the world’s biggest steelmaker, produces nearly ten times as much as India. • Over the past ten years India’s crude steel output rose nearly 7%per year to 56.3 million tons , while global crude steel output increased by 4% . • ArcelorMittal plans to build greenfield steel production capacity of 30 million tonne per annum in India. While Orissa and Jharkhand will have 12 million tonne capacity each, Karnataka will have a plant with a capacity of six million tonnes.
  • 13. DEMAND SUPPLY MISMATCH • India is one of the world’s top ten steelmakers its domestic output is insufficient to meet the demand in all segments. • Consumption of steel is very fast and as a consequence of the prospective dynamic economic growth. • Secondly, there is demand for high-quality products which India will not be able to supply in sufficient quantities for the foreseeable future.
  • 14. MARKET ANALYSIS  Concentration ratio of an industry is an indicator of the relative size of firms in relation to the industry as a whole.  The 4 firm concentration ratio of the Iron and Steel Industry is 71%.  Both homogenous product or product differentiation are possible  There is a price war and price rigidity  Price output decisions are very difficult and indeterminate.  This implies that there is oligopoly in the industry as it is dominated by few major players
  • 15. Export & Import of Steel in India Quantity (in million tonnes) 5 4 3 IMPORTS 2 EXPORTS 1 0 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 YEAR Exports have grown fast and at a rate exceeding 25% per annum between 1991- 92 and 2002-03. Thereafter, till 2006-07export levels stagnated at around 4-4.5 Million Tonnes per year. On the other hand, imports followed a different growth path. In spite of progressive reduction in customs duty levels after deregulation, imports remained around 1-2 Million Tonnes per year till 2003-04 and rose rapidly in the last two fiscals.
  • 16. SUBSIDIES AND ISSUES OF COMPETITIVENESS • India does not provide direct subsidies for exports, although indirect subsidies on the nature of exemption from tax and import duty are provided. • The Government of India implements the Export Promotion of Capital Goods (EPCG) scheme which provides for a reduction or exemption of customs duties and an exemption from excise taxes on imports of capital goods. The EPCG scheme has been countervailed in the US, Canada, as well as the EU. 16
  • 17. SUBSIDIES AND ISSUES OF COMPETITIVENESS • The income-tax benefits-related export activities are incorporated in sections 80HHC, 10A and 10B of the Income Tax Act. • The reserve bank of India has accordingly issued directions to commercial Banks to provide export credit both at pre- and post- shipment stages. • India also administers a number of duty drawback schemes that allow for the remission or drawback of import charges levied on inputs that are consumed in the production of an exported product. Schemes such as duty Entitlement pass book Scheme (DEPB) and Duty free Replenishment certificate (DFRC) fall under this category. 17
  • 18. ECONOMIC PARAMETERS ARE FAVOURABLE PERFORMANCE PARAMETERS Forex Reserve GOOD Overall GDP External Debt Service sector Growth Financial Reforms FUTURE OUTLOOK Savings New Investment inflation FDI Inflows Industrial Growth Economic reforms Internal Debt Fiscal Deficit Agricultural Growth BAD CURRENT PERFORMANCE GOOD 18
  • 19. MERGERS & AQUISITIONS • Arcelor - Mittal – 32.2bn$ deal – Mittal pips Severstal • Tata-Corus – 11.3bn$ deal – Tatas pip CSN 19
  • 20. SWOT ANALYSIS Strengths Weaknesses 1. Availability of iron ore and coal 1. Unscientific mining 2. Low labour wage rates 2. Coking coal import dependence 3. Abundance of quality manpower 3. Low R&D investment 4. Mature production base 4. Inadequate infrastructure Opportunities Threats 1. Unexplored rural market 1. China becoming net exporter 2. Growing domestic demand 2. Protectionism in the West 3. Exports 3. Dumping by competitors 4. Consolidation 4. Global economic slowdown 20
  • 21. FACTORS HOLDING BACK THE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY  Energy supply  Problems procuring raw material inputs  Inefficient transport system  RECENT FINANCIAL CRISIS AND INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY 21
  • 22. IN SUMMARY.. • Indian steel industry exudes optimism but crisis should get over as soon as possible. • Investment in infrastructure is crucial to step up demand for steel. • Supply may have to be rationalized in line with the demand (Dom + exports). • Integrated Mills would hold the key in future growth of Indian Steel supplies. • New technologies to use indigenous natural resources would have to be developed. 22
  • 23. THANK YOU 23
  • 24. Man Power in Modern Steel Plants • In South Korea, Posco employs 10,000 people to produce 28 million tonnes. As a thumb rule, one can put the direct employment potential at 1,000 per million tonnes. • At present the per capita steel consumption is 35 kg, whereas for developed countries it is 300kg. 24