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The Future of Reading
   and the Library
     Joseph Dvorak, PhD
  joseph.dvorak@gmail.com
In the Beginning of Reading Owning Books
            Was Not Common
Now Ordinary People Have Access to
        100,000s of Books
But A Revolution Is Taking Place For
   Books, Reading, and Libraries
While Other Media Encroach Upon The
            Written Word
So
What is the Future of
 Books & Reading?
         and
What is the Future of
    Libraries?
The Pessimistic Scenario:
   There Is No Future
Reading Falls Out of Favor




• Fewer people read for information as video and graphical formats dominate
• The proliferation of mobile devices further reduces reading which requires
  more concentration that other information formats
Both Physical and eBooks are Ignored




• With the decline of reading, physical books and dedicated eReaders
  decline in popularity
• General purpose portable devices such as tablets, display glasses
  and contacts are preferred
Libraries are Abandoned and Crumble
The Optimistic Scenario:
   Nothing Changes
Reading Remains a Vital, Common Activity
New Media Enhances and Increases Reading
Libraries Continue to Be Used and Valued




• The role of the library is still valued.
• Physical books are still preferred by a sizable population segment
• Librarians retain their traditional roles as curators of the library's information
The Most Likely Scenario:
Transformation and Renascence
New Media Provide a Compelling Alternative
      to Physical Reading Material
All Books Are Digitized; Physical Books Are
               Rarely Used
Libraries Transform Themselves From
Providers of Physical Books to Information
          Portals and Facilitators
Libraries Educate the Masses on Optimal
  Search and Evaluation of Knowledge
Libraries Facilitate the Social Gathering for
    Discussion of Ideas and Literature
Physical Books Will Become a Status Item
It is Already Happening
So
What is the Future of Books,
 Reading and Libraries?

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The future of reading and the library public