Campuses as Living Laboratories for a Greener Future

Campuses as Living Laboratories
for a Greener Future

Jerry Sheehan, Chief of Staff
California Institute for Telecommunications and
Information Technology (Calit2)

July 20th, 2010

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Topics to Be Discussed

I. The Warming World

II. Carbon Regulations and Universities

III. The UCSD Green Campus Testbed


Topic

The Warming World


CO2 Rises Suddenly Since Industrial Era
Source: David JC MacKay, 388 PPM in
Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009) 2010

Medieval Little
Warm Period Ice Age


Global Average Temperature over Last 160 Years
Source: David JC MacKay,
Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)


Climate Models Match Past Temperature Variations
Combining Natural and Anthropogenic Effects

SOURCE: http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm

Atmospheric CO2 Levels
Last 800,00 Years and 21st Century

SOURCE: US Global Change Research Program Report, 2009


SOURCE: EPA Analysis of American Power Act, June 14, 2010

CO2 Emissions Persist for Millennium

SOURCE: PNAS, February 10, 2009,Vol 206

Planet Already Committed to Dangerous Warming
Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009) Planet Has Only
Realized 1/3 of the
Committed Warming

Future Emissions Move
Peak to the Right

SOURCE: V. Ramanthan and Y. Feng, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, PNAS, September 2008


SOURCE: Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, National Research Council,
July 2010

What Would it Take to Limit CO2 to 450PPM

Limiting GHG concentrations to 450 ppm CO2-equivalent is expected to limit
temperature rises to no more than 2°C above pre-industrial levels. This would be
extremely challenging to achieve, requiring an explosive pace of industrial
transformation going beyond even the aggressive developments outlined in
the Blueprints scenario.

It would require global GHG emissions to peak before 2015, a zero-emission
power sector by 2050 and a near zero-emission transport sector in the same time
period…

SOURCE: Shell Oil, Energy Forecast, 2009

Reducing Emissions 50% by 2050
Requires Radical Change

SOURCE: Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgraduate School, AAAS Talk, January 2010


The Challenge
“The Biggest Single Peacetime Project Humankind
Have Ever Undertaken”


Thinking About the Future is Hard


Topic

Climate Regulation and Universities


US EPA Mandatory Reporting of GHG

SOURCE: US Environmental Protection Agency, http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/ghgrulemaking.html


US EPA Mandatory Reporting of GHG
Institution Gross Emissions US EPA GHG Rule Requires
Scope 1 & 2 (CO2e) Year Reporting in 2011?

University of Illinois 491,258 2008
YES!

University of Louisville 52,2709 2008
YES!
Syracuse University 80,498 2007
YES!
University of Tennessee 234,000 2008
YES!
Penn State University 309, 117 2008
YES!
University of California San Diego 192,862 2008
YES!

SOURCE: American College and University Presidents Climate Commitment, http://acupcc.aashe.org/

American Power Act

SOURCE: http://wonkroom.thinkprogress.org/2010/05/12/kerry-lieberman/


How a Bill Becomes a Law

SOURCE: Mike Wirth and Dr. Suzanne Cooper Guasco, Queens University of Charlotte, SunLight Labs Award Winner


When This

SOURCE: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/horizon-oil-spill.html


Leading to This

SOURCE: National Geographic, 2010


And These

Obama Oval Ofﬁce Gulf Coast Address June 15, 2010


Only Get You This..

SOURCE: CNN, June 15, 2010

Individual
American CO2 Emissions

20 Tons 14 Tons

=1 Ton CO2 =AB 32 Required Decrease


Subnational GHG Goals in the U.S.
STATES 2009
•72% Climate Action Plans
•42% GHG Reduction Targets
•66% Cap & Trade

SOURCE: Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Climate101-State Actions, January 2009


California and Greenhouse Gas Emissions

• Executive Order S-3-05 Green
House Gas targets.
• 2010 GHG emissions set to 2000 levels.
• 2020 GHG emissions set to 1990 levels.
• 2050 GHG emissions set to 80% of 1990
levels.

• AB 32 (Signed Into Law 2006)
• Identify statewide GHG emissions for 1990 to
serve as emissions limit to be achieved by 2020.
• 427 million metric tons of CO2e goal,
roughly 30% reduction.
• Mandatory reporting and veriﬁcation of GHG
emissions by major emitters on or before Jan 1,
2008.
• If you emit over 25,000 metric tons of
CO2e reporting is required.
• Identify and adopt regulations for discrete early
actions enforceable by or before January 2010.


California and Renewable Energy

• California State law currently requires 20% of
power to be renewable by 2010.
• California is likely to only achieve about ½ of this by
the deadline.

• Executive Order S-14-08 [October 2008] set a
goal of 33% renewable in the portfolio .

• Executive Order S-21-09 [September 2009]
directs California Air Resources Board to adopt
regulations to support 33% renewable by 2020.
• Regulations to be in place and adopted by stakeholder by
July 2010.
• More strict then any other state but Hawaii which has a
40% requirement by 4030.
• Including hydro-power by 2020, California expects to
exceed this and hit 45% renewables.


GHG Regulation in British Columbia

• Bill 44-2007 (Greenhouse Gas
Reductions Target Act) became
law in 2008

• Act Establishes GHG Targets
• 2020 33% less than 2007
• 2050 80% less then 2007

• Public Sector Organizations
CARBON NEUTRAL by 2010.
• If not neutral, must buy oversets at cost of $24/Ton.


University of British Columbia and Carbon Costs

Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012

2010 2011 2012

Carbon Offset $1,602,750 $1,602,750 $1,602,750

Carbon Tax $1,179,940 $1,474,925 $1,769,910

Total $2,782,690 $3,077,675 $3,372,660

SOURCE: UBC Sustainability Ofﬁce, August 2009


Universities Pledging to Address Climate


The ICT Challenge and Opportunity


Breakdown of ICT’s GHG Emissions by Area

6%
Growth
Rate

SOURCE: SMART2020 Report, 2008

Clouds May Not Have Silver Linings

SOURCE: GreenPeace, MakeIT Green, March 2010

PREZITATION

For Campus Lab Details See Interactive Prezi

https://prezi.com/mt2zmpyvljz0/acuta-green/


Campuses as Living Laboratories for a Greener Future

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