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Barclays HyperConnected World Conference
June 2014
Internet Changes Everything
The Inter
“The Internet isn’t really a technology.
It’s a belief system”
Internet’s share of GDP is bigger than Health or Education
It’s changed how we
experience culture
It’s changing our
social life
It’s changing
how we work
It’s changing
politics
And the mobile Internet changes everything all over again…
In fact mobile will grow more than 100% in the next 5 years
Internet has changed our attitude to the
ownership of technology
How we work with and leverage talent…
How we think about our homes and property
Even whether we need to own a car…
Freemium is the business model of the Internet
Open Source
Freemium is the business model of the Internet
SaaS
Freemium is the business model of the Internet
Free to Play
10 year S&P lifespan by 2020
Which can be extremely disruptive to established businesses
Every FTSE sector will be impacted
Innovation can create enormous value in a very short time
1978 1981 1987 1995 1995 1997 1999 1999 2005
and $1.4tn in new market value
creating 440k new jobs
with $545bn in new annual revenue
serving >1bn customers
Source: HIS Global Insight
21% US GDP
And in Europe we are starting to build waves of similar dimensions
So are we asking the right questions as investors?
What can we learn from early stage funding in terms of
calculated investment risks?
£1.7tn in market cap and >6m staff
How does the FTSE think about it’s > £40bn IT spend?
How digital is the FTSE’s talent pool?
Ironically, FTSE can also be learning from government
Some key lessons
1. Be Open – Source, Standards, Data, Innovation
2. Buy (from) small innovative companies
3. Enforce and invest in digital learning
4. Be transparent - sunlight is the best disinfectant
If GDS can do it….
@indexventures
@cape
But there is so much cash out there….
$266bn FTSE100
($5k per UK citizen)
$85tn global AUM
($12k per human)

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Barclays Hyperconnected Conference

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/06/science/joichi-ito-innovating-by-the-seat-of-our-pants.html?_r=0
  2. Talking point – you don’t need to own anymore
  3. S&P 500 – 40 > 10 years lifespan (1950-2020) – McKinsey
  4. £1,549bn market cap (2012)
  5. According to the venture impact study, IHS Global Insight, originally VC-backed companies accounted for 11.87m jobs and over $3.1 trn in revenue in the US in 2011—accounting for 21% of GDP and 11% of private-sector employment. At Index, our portfolio companies alone have generated $4bn worth of revenue, while growing on average by more than 75%, creating 20k jobs with 1k positions currently open People say VC doesn’t add anythign but maybe when we look back on this cambrian explosion of innovation from 1960s (semis) to 2020s (cloud connected services in every sector) – the broadscale application and understanding of venture economics will be the true legacy of venture rather than Apple, Cisco, Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Salesforce, Skype and Twitter DATA: https://docs.google.com/a/indexventures.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ArWfM5OOjmKZdDJ4QWcwcHh5UFZSYm9KSENDRHBONWc&usp=drive_web#gid=0
  6. Major corporates are hoarding cash– a more granular look at point you’re making. In fact, tech titans Apple, Microsoft, Google, Cisco (CSCO), Oracle (ORCL), Intel (INTC) and Big Pharma giants Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Amgen (AMGN) collectively have more than $435 billion in cash on their balance sheets. (Feb 2013, Fortune, http://buzz.money.cnn.com/2013/02/12/apple-cash/) FTSE 100 numbers: market cap: $2.7 trillion Revenues: $280 billion Staff: 6.5 million Cash on balance sheets: $266 billion IT budgets: 1-8%