1. State of the
Community Report
Aaron Nelson
Foundation for a Sustainable Community
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce

2. A bit about our Foundation…
 Chamber’s charitable community and
economic development partner
 $1 million to the community since
2004.
 Built two Habitat homes, Century
Center Clock, Inter-City Visits and the
Community Leadership Collaboration.
 Created (2007) the national Institute
for Sustainable Development and the
Green Plus Program now active in 17
communities in 14 states.

3. Background on this Report
 Third State of the Community Report
 Born out of graduate student work at
UNC
 Social, Environmental and Economic
Indicators
 Goal is to deliver good information
 Thank you to Adam Klein, MRP and
Alex Leiro, AHSG

4. Municipal Population Growth
Jurisdiction 2000 2008 Growth Rate
Orange County 116,016 126,532 9.1%
Hillsborough 5,513 5,653 2.5%
Carrboro 17,668 18,162 2.8%
Chapel Hill 48,038 52,542 9.4%
U.S. Census Bureau

5. Population Growth
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
U.S. Census Bureau

6. Population Projections
County 2010 2015 2020 Growth
Rate
ALAMANCE 152,680 169,331 185,900 21.8%
CHATHAM 64,016 71,853 79,692 24.5%
DURHAM 274,371 309,245 344,120 25.4%
JOHNSTON 174,793 204,911 235,029 34.5%
ORANGE 132,951 142,089 151,229 13.7%
WAKE 935,530 1,112,839 1,290,149 37.9%
NC State Demographer

7. Occupational Growth for Alamance,
Orange, and Randolph Counties
2006 2016 Annualized
Industry
Employment Employment Growth Rate
Construction 8,990 9,950 1
Education & Health Services 49,830 63,800 2.5
Financial Activities 5,030 5,300 0.5
Goods-Producing 40,300 36,410 -1
Government 7,870 8,990 1.3
Information 1,360 1,530 1.2
Leisure and Hospitality 15,300 19,230 2.3
Manufacturing 30,540 25,730 -1.7
Professional and Business Services 15,680 19,760 2.3
Services 128,570 156,020 2
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 26,720 29,010 0.8
NC Department of Commerce

8. Employment in Orange County
67,500
66,956
67,000
66,500
66,000
65,610
65,500
65,062
65,000
64,500 64,275
64,000
63,500
63,000
62,500
2007 2008 2009 2010
NC Employment Security Commission

9. Employment in Chapel Hill
26,600
26,413
26,400
26,200
26,000
25,882
25,800 25,686
25,600
25,400 25,355
25,200
25,000
24,800
2007 2008 2009 2010
NC Employment Security Commission

10. Income Levels by Household
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2000 $46,620 $50,975 $53,191 $59,874 $66,697
2009 $60,375 $64,410 $69,465 $75,056 $89,153
2014 $62,841 $66,715 $71,306 $77,776 $91,235
Growth
Rate 35% 31% 34% 30% 37%
NC Department of Commerce

11. Household by Income Levels
Orange County
2000 2009 2014
Family Income $100000-$124999 2,268 1,885 4,319
Family Income $125000-$149999 1,442 2,369 2,092
Family Income $150000-$199999 1,529 2,042 2,162
Family Income $200000-$249999 1,558 989 965
Family Income $250000-$499999 - 858 976
Family Income $500000+ - 221 278
NC Department of Commerce

12. Orange County Population by Race
100.0%
90.0%
80.1%
80.0%
73.1%
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
1990
40.0% 2008
30.0%
20.0% 15.7%
13.3%
10.0% 6.3% 5.8%
0.3% 2.5%
0.0%
White African Latino/Hispanic Asian
American
U.S. Census Bureau

13. Educational Attainment
High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher)
89.6
90 82.9 84.5
80
70
55.4
60
50
40
25.6 27.4
30
20
10
0
Orange County North Carolina United States
U.S. Census Bureau

14. Graduation Rates (in 4yrs or
less)Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Orange County Schools
87.9% 87.9% 88.3%
90%
85%
80%
75.5% 75.3% 76.3%
75%
70%
65%
2007 2008 2009
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

15. Drop Out Rates
North Carolina Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

16. Percent of Children Receiving Free or
Reduced Price Lunch by School
2006-2007 2007-2008
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
N.C Dept of Public Instruction

17. Number of Houses Sold in Orange
County
2000 1859 1886
1797 1749
1800 1686
1543
1600
1400 1271
1140
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS

18. Orange County Housing
Prices $342,740
$350,000 $320,489 $321,326 $317,847
$318,899
$298,883
$300,000 $280,592
$262,920
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS

19. Building Permits
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
600
500
400
300
200
161
100
45
0 16
Home Builders Association of DOC

20. Federal Funding for UNC
Research
$600,000,000
$499,720,916
$500,000,000 $475,001,423
$443,370,686
$415,598,049 $421,974,098
$400,000,000
$300,000,000
$200,000,000
$100,000,000
$0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research and
Economic Development

21. Total Funding for UNC
Research
$800,000,000
$716,274,113
$700,000,000 $678,228,055
$610,669,824
$600,000,000 $579,589,394 $593,390,527
$500,000,000
$400,000,000
$300,000,000
$200,000,000
$100,000,000
$0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research and
Economic Development

22. UNC Company Creation
FY95 1
FY96 0
FY97 2
FY98 1
FY99 1
FY00 5
FY01 11
FY02 3
FY03 3
FY04 3
FY05 1
FY06 6
FY07 1
FY08 6
FY09 1
FY10 (YTD) 4
TOTAL 49
UNC Office of Technology Development

23. $152 million in 2008
Visitors Bureau

24. Five Year Economic Impact (Jobs) of
Tourism
1780
1760
1740
1720
1700
Orange County
1680
1660
1640
1620
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Orange
County 1680 1700 1710 1740 1770
Jobs
Visitors Bureau

25. Orange County Travel Related Payroll and
Tax Revenue
30
Millions 25
20
15
10
5
0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Generated Payroll $26.14 $26.83 $27.62 $28.62 $29.93
Generated State $9.51 $9.98 $10.56 $10.85 $11.23
and Local Taxes

26. Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)
Chapel Hill Carrboro
8000
7000
6000
5000
4226.50
4000
3,616.90
3000
2000
1000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
U.S. Dept of Justice

27. Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)
Chapel Hill Carrboro
700
600
500
400 400.9
300 292.1
200
100
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
U.S. Dept of Justice

28. Orange County Pregnancy Rates
(per 1000 girls age 15-19)
60
50
40
30
22.3
20
15.8
10 13.6
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
White Minority Total
N.C Dept of Health and Human Services

29. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Total White Minority
N.C Dept of Health and Human Services

30. Infant Mortality Rate Comparison (per 1,000
live births) Orange County State
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
N.C Dept of Health and Human Services

31. 2010 Obesity and Smoking
Statistics
Orange County Durham County Wake County North Carolina
28 29
30 27
23 22
25
19
20 16
13
15
10
5
0
Adult Smoking Adult Obesity
N.C Dept of Health and Human Services

32. Breast Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-’07, per
1,000 people)
200.0 188.9
165.4
152.1 154.8 149.6
150.0 136.4
100.0
50.0
0.0
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake North
Carolina
N.C State Center for Health Statistics

33. Prostate Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-
’07, per 1,000 people)
200.0 185.8
168.6 174.0
164.2
154.6 153.8
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake North
Carolina
N.C State Center for Health Statistics

34. Asthma in Hospital Discharges (Orange
County, per 100,000) Ages (0-14)
All Ages
135.7
140
120
97.4
100 92.3 92.3 90.1
80 69.5 72.7
65.7
57.3
60 50.9 48 50.9 50 50.3
40
20
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
N.C State Center for Health Statistics

35. Orange County Air Quality
250
200
Good
D 150 Moderate
a Unhealthy for Sensitive
y Groups
s 100 Unhealthy
Hazardous
50
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Orange County State of the Environment Report

36. Orange County Food Stamp
Recipients5000
4500
4372
4000
Households
3500 3475
Number of
2987
3000 3057
2757 2928
2500 2534
2306
2000 1684
1390 1735
1500 1335
1376
1343
1000
500
0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Orange County Dept of Social Services

37. OWASA Customer Water Use
10 24,000
Drought
2001/02 Drought
9 22,000
Average Annual Sales (million gallons per day)
2007/08
Number of Customer Accounts
8 20,000
7 18,000
6 16,000
5 14,000
4 12,000
3 10,000
Actual Water Sales Projected Water Sales Actual Customer Accounts
OWASA

38. OWASA Monthly Water and Sewer
Bill
$90
$80
$70
$60
$50
$40
$30
OWASA

39. Chapel Hill Park and Open
Spaces Acreage per 1,000
People 13.7
14
12
Acres per 1000 people
10
6.5 6.9
8
3.9
6
4
2
0
2000 2006
Parks Open spaces
Town of Chapel Hill

40. Orange County Commuting
Patterns
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
Out To
6000
In From
4000
2000
0
NC Employment Security Commission-2006

41. Chapel Hill Modes of Transportation
(2007) United States North Carolina Chapel Hill
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
US Census Bureau

42. Transit Ridership
Growth
Service Provider 2004 2006 2008
Rate
Triangle Transit 185,850 433,654 491,358 164%
Chapel Hill Transit 5,364,580 5,692,490 6,817,804 27%
OPT 113,198 116,988 133,892 18%
Robertson Scholar 63,838 87,710 97,391 53%
Orange County State of the Environment Report

43. Orange County Greenhouse Gas
Emissions by Sector (2009)
Solid Waste Industrial 2%
1%
Commercial/
Institutional
29%
Transportatio
n 49%
Residential
19%
Orange County State of the Environment Report

44. Orange County Taxable Sales
980,000,000 $971,591,672
970,000,000
960,000,000 $948,302,963
950,000,000
940,000,000
$926,654,246
930,000,000
920,000,000 $907,564,371
910,000,000
900,000,000
890,000,000
880,000,000
870,000,000
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
NC Department of Commerce

45. 2009 County Retail Data
Retail Demand Retail Sales
$3,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$500,000,000
$0
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Person
NC Department of Commerce

46. Non-residential Tax Base Growth by
Percentage
2005 2006 2007
10%
9.2%
9%
8%
7.2%
7% 6.7%
6% 5.5%
5%
3.9%
4%
3.3%
3% 2.4%
1.9% 1.7%
2% 1.2% 1.3%
1%
0.2%
0%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Rest of County
Orange County Economic Development Commission

47. Orange County Residential vs. Commercial
Valuation
Commercial Residential
$14,000,000,000
$12,428,364,815
$12,000,000,000
$10,000,000,000
$9,364,776,839
$8,000,000,000
$6,000,000,000
$4,000,000,000
$2,000,000,000 $1,522,310,800 $1,827,499,885
$0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Orange County Economic Development Commission

48. Unemployment Rate
Chapel Hill Orange County State
12.0
10.9
10.0
8.0
6.6 6.4
6.0
5.0
4.0 4.3
2.0
-
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
NC Employment Security Commission

49. Some takeaways…
 We have a strong, well-educated labor
market and increasingly diverse
population.
 We are growing and will grow, but much
slower than our neighbors
 We have a large disparity in wealth with
rapid increases in food stamp recipients.
 Our people are healthy and trending
healthier (other than breast cancer)

50. Some takeaways…
 Commercial tax base as a percent of
total tax base is declining
 Growth in retail sales is one of our
greatest economic opportunities
 While we have enough water for the next
50 years and it will continue to increase
in price
 Housing prices, while modifying remain
high compared in other counties in the

51. Some takeaways…
 Our schools continue to out perform their
peers
 Positive impact of tourism and visitors
continues steady growth
 Air Quality has been good and we
continue to grow our parks and open
space
 Unemployment remains the lowest in the
state and its decline heralds our recovery

52. PARTICIPATE AND SUPPORT
- Community Bocce Tournament on May 25
- Golf Tournament on June 28
- Intercity Visit and Leadership Conference
(Asheville, NC) September 12-14

53. Thank you
Web: www.carolinachamber.org
Twitter: CarolinaChamber -
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