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The New Retailer’s Survival Guide in a
Digital Age of Personalisation
Written by Barry Moles, Retail Industry Expert at Bluefin Solutions
Preface from Cathy Barnes, Professor of Retail Innovation, Director of the Faraday Centre for Retail Excellence
at Leeds Metropolitan University
Table of Contents
Preface 03
Introduction 04
TheThree New Golden Rules of Retailing 05
How to Obtain a Competitive Advantage 06
The Retail LandscapeToday 08
Customer-expected Innovation 09
Putting theThree Golden Rules of Retailing into Practice 11
“Business Intelligence”
“BusinessTechnology Adoption”
“Agile Business Strategy”
Conclusion 12
Eight Self-Assessment Questions for Retailers 12
Appendix 13
Barry Moles’Biography 17
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 02
Retailersknowthatitisreallyimportanttokeepcustomers
happy. The challenge that they all face is how to do this
successfully. This is getting increasingly tricky in our
modern society as customers are changing the way that
theyshop.Increasingaccesstomobileanddigitaltechnology
combinedwithlowerdiscretionaryspendingiscontributing
to this.
In the grocery retail sector, online sales are projected to grow markedly over the next few
years as we all become increasingly used to our weekly food arriving in a van. In addition,
more of us will do regular top-up shops throughout the week, most likely at a convenience
store. The rise of the discounters and the increasing success of premium grocery stores
means that the range of shopping options open to customers is growing. Retailers need
to listen carefully to what their customers want in order to develop and constantly refresh
their strategies. Because customers will shop in different ways, it is essential that these
strategies are fully cohesive across all shopping channels to maximise business benefits.
The High Street is not immune from these changes in behaviour either. Shoppers now
expect so much more from their local retail outlet. It has to deliver an experience that is
worth travelling for. (If it was just about buying something, it could be done via mobiles or
online!)Todeliverthisexperience,retailershavetoreallyunderstandtheirtargetcustomers
and provide a reason for them to enter their shop.
Retailersthatweresuccessfulalwaysrespondedtowhattheircustomerswanted.However,
wearenowonthebrinkofaretailrevolution.Thespeedofchangeinshopperbehaviourover
the last few years driven by the economic downturn and rise in technology adoption has
meantthatthisindustrysectorneedstobecomeevenmoredynamic.Ifpredictionsaretobe
believed, we are going to see even more change in the next few years which will impact the
retail paradigms and challenge business norms.
Barry Moles’ latest paper, “The New Retailer’s Survival Guide in a Digital Age of
Personalisation,” addresses a number of complex challenges facing retailers, offering
readers credible solutions. In the face of change, there is no other option but to listen to
customers, and be prepared to embrace new technologies to deliver successful business
models of the future.
Cathy Barnes,
Professor of Retail Innovation, Director of the Faraday Centre for Retail Excellence, Leeds
Metropolitan University
Preface
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 03
With the retail landscape changing fast.1
it’s important
that retailers have a clear, agile business strategy that can
adapt to, and exploit, market opportunities. To ensure a
sustainablecompetitiveadvantage,retailersmustanalyse
customerdataandutilisetechnologytodefineacustomer-
centric business strategy.
This paper sets out the rationale, strategy and practical steps required for retailers to
prosper in a new digital age of personalisation.
Introduction
1
Appendix 1:The Retail landscape today
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 04
Retailersareevolving,butnotquicklyenough.Recenthistory
is littered with organisations that have failed to actively
embracechange.However,successfulretailerssharecommon
traitsthatotherscanlearnfrominordertoturndisadvantages
into competitive advantages.
To be digital-ready, organisations need to embrace and fully utilise customer data to make
smart,timelydecisions.ResearchconductedbyBluefinSolutionsofUKretailersrevealsthat
over 80% of organisations are not prepared for the digital age. This finding is supported by
theHarvardBusinessReview,whichnotedthatwhile85%ofmajorbusinesseshaveBigData
initiatives, only 21% believe their organisation has adequate analytic capabilities.
However,insteadofinvestinginwaystobetterunderstandcustomers,retailchiefsaremore
focused on improving short-term profitability. In doing so, they fail to recognise that if they
dofocusstrategiesaroundwinningtheheartsandmindsofshoppers,thebusinessbenefits
will follow.
After speaking with industry leaders, it has become apparent that retailers must embrace a
new model of innovation to drive growth. Bluefin Solutions has identified the three new
Golden Rules of Retailing in a digital age:
1 Exploit customer data so you have a single view of your shoppers on which to base
decisions that will increase customer loyalty and sales through targeted, personalised
engagement.
2 Adopt emerging technologies that integrate multiple retail channels into one go-to-
market route centred on your customers.
3 Develop an agile, customer-centric business strategy that enables your organisation to
respond quickly to market changes and opportunities.
Bluefin Solutions’ analysis of failed UK retailers reveals that they had not implemented all
three of the Golden Rules of Retailing.This is no coincidence.
Today, it is not enough for retailers to just have just an online operation or a narrow strategy
that is simply based on competing as a specialist. The reasoning is simple: If there is a low
cost of entry others will follow and, in the long-term, win. Jessops is a good example of a
retailer having run a failed business strategy2
.
Three New Golden Rules of Retailing
1942
Co-Op opens first self-service store.
COST is a competitive advantage.
Traditional customer service starts
to decline.
1964
The Bullring Centre, the first purpose-
built indoor shopping complex with
140 shops, opens.
DIFFERENTIATION is a
competitive advantage.
High Street retail starts to decline
with a reduction in the number of
independent retailers.
1971
The Bretton Centre, the first UK “out-
of-town” shopping complex, opens. It
offers larger stores with more range.
DIFFERENTIATION is the
competitive advantage.
Town centres and small retailers
decline with greater car ownership
allowing access to a wider range
of stores.
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 05
2
Appendix 2: Jessops
How theThree Golden Rules of Retailing can Deliver a Competitive Advantage
TheThree Golden Rules of Retailing are often applied in stages, as set out below.
Business Intelligence (customer data analytics):
• LevelOne:Capturingcustomerdata,forexampletransactionaldata,personalinformation
and on-line shopping browsing habits.
• LevelTwo:Usingthecapturedcustomerdatatoengagecustomersbytargetedmarketing
and (ideally) personalised marketing.
BusinessTechnology Adoption:
• Level One: Have an online retail offer that matches the product range found through
traditional channels.
• Level Two: Have a smart Omni-Channel Retail strategy that offers a seamless approach
to the consumer experience through all available shopping channels, such as mobile
internet devices, computers and bricks-and-mortar, to deliver a personalised shopping
experience.
Agile Business Strategy:
• Level One: The business strategy is designed to deliver competitive advantage, but
mightnotbetotallyalignedtothechangingcustomerrequirementsormarketconditions
• Level Two: The business strategy is totally customer centric is seamless irrespective
of channel and designed to deliver competitive advantage irrespective of changing
market conditions.
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 06
COMET Some No Yes No No No No
(POS)
BORDERS Some No Yes No No No No
(Online) (3rd party)
JESSOPS Some No Yes No Partly No No
(POS) (Focused retailer)
HMV No No Yes No No No No
BLOCKBUSTER Yes No No No Partly No No
(Membership) (Focused retailer)
AUSTIN REED Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Partly
(Online) (Differentiation) (Still a big gap)
MATALAN Yes No Yes No No No No
(Membership) (In danger zone)
BHS No No Yes No No No No
(In danger zone)
POUNDLAND No No No No Yes No No
(Cost) (Massive gap)
COSTO Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Partly
(Membership) (Used badly) (Partly) (Cost) (Still a big gap)
MORRISONS No No No No No No No
(In danger zone)
TESCO Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
(Club card) (Differentiation) (Partly)
AMAZON Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
(Online) (Cost) (Partly)
JOHN LEWIS Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
(Some) (Differentiation) (Partly)
ASOS Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
(Online) (Cost) (Partly)
LEVELONE LEVELTWO LEVELONE LEVELTWO LEVELONE LEVELTWO BusinessIntelligence
Captures Use customer Online Good Omni- Businessstrategyis Business strategy +
customer data data to engage Retailer Channel Retailer designed to deliver is customer-centric TechnologyAdaption
customers a competitive and designed to +
advantage deliveracompetitive Business Strategy
advantage
Business Intelligence BusinessTechnology Agile Business Strategy Three Golden
(Customer Data) Adoption Rules
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 07
Source: Bluefin Solutions
The table below identifies retailers that are at high risk of failing and those that have a better chance of surviving in a digital age.
Retailers that failed did not adopt each of the three Golden
Rules of Retailing. These organisations paid the ultimate
price because they lacked the necessary insight into their
customers to make smarter, timely decisions.
TheseincludeMFI,Woolworths,Barratts,StationaryBox,Birthdays,Etam,Dolcis,KwikSave,
Powerhouse, Adams Clothing, Zavvi, Index, Fads, The Pier, Bay Trading, Land of Leather,
Rosebys, Faith Shoes, Ilva, Ethel Austin and Card Warehouse. Retailers that have not yet
failed, but are not doing well financially, include JJB Sports, Clintons Cards, Game, Allied
Carpets,Wine Rack,The Officers Club andTheWorks.
“If you walk the high street today you can identify the next retailer waiting to fail”
Retail CEOs are under considerable pressure to increase shareholder value. This pressure
creates dangerous short-term thinking which is further exacerbated by a combination of
declining margins, flat-lining sales and rising costs.
Meanwhile, the rise of multichannel retailing and other customer-driven shopping trends
brings new challenges, including the additional costs of technology adoption with a
difficult-to-predictReturn-on-Investment.Nooneeversaidstayingcompetitiveischeap!At
thesametime,ahandfulofmajorretailersaretakingadvantageoftheircompetitors’lackof
investment3
, particularly in the e-commerce space. According to the Centre for Retail
Research, the UK is currently leading the world in terms of online shopping4
.
Historically, retailers, when under pressure to deliver profits, have focused on cost savings
by cutting employee headcount. The direct effect of this strategy5
has been a steady
deterioration in overall customer service standards in the UK’s traditional retail stores
(“bricks and mortar”).This has often been coupled with pressure to improve cash flow that
normally leads to a reduction in a retailer’s core product depth or breadth.
Alternatively, a retailer often introduces product range from outside its core offer to deliver
immediateshort-termsalesgrowth.Thisapproachrarelyimprovesthemedium-tolong-term
performance. Instead, it can become an expensive distraction known as core product drift.
Whenaretailerreducesitsdifferentiation,orisunabletogaincostleadership,itwillstruggle
to survive. This impacts, not only thousands of employees, but millions of lives across
the country.
Thereisalargesocialimpactonsocietycausedbythechangeshappeningwithinretail6
such
as increasingly vacant town centres that will only rise over the next few years. The UK
Government is so concerned about this that it set-up the House of Commons All-Party
Parliamentary Small Shops Group to investigate the issues and potential solutions. The
resulting white paper, HIGH STREET BRITAIN: 20157
, predicts further changes by 2015
based on Porter Five Forces8
. This highlights the fantastic opportunity for retailers that are
investing in people and technology in order to stay ahead of the competition.
The Retail LandscapeToday
1976
House of Fraser uses first IBM
computerised cash registers
DIFFERENTIATION is a
competitive advantage.
Retailers begin to rationalise range
and stock levels.
1993
Membership discounter Costco
opens in the UK, taking advantage
of cost benefits.
COST is a competitive advantage.
Consumers encouraged to buy in bulk
to reduce costs.
1995
The Internet was commercialised,
allowing the use by companies
including retailers, ; they invested
in online related technology.
DIFFERENTIATION & COST are
competitive advantages.
Start of commercial websites and
the birth of online retail.
1997
Internet shopping starts
1997 Amazon
1999 E-Bay
2000 Asos.
COST and FOCUS are competitive
advantages.
Store closures reach record numbers,
with some shopping areas having 40%
empty units.
3
Appendix 3: Performance comparison of three major retailers
4
Appendix 4: 2012 Online Share of all Retail Businesses
5
Appendix 5: Has the recession and the rise of the Internet damaged customer service in UK retailing?
6
Appendix 6:The social and economic impact of the retail evolution
7
Appendix 7: UK GovernmentWhite Paper called HIGH STREET BRITAIN: 2015
8
Appendix 8: Porter Five Forces’strategic modelling
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 08
Innovationthroughdifferentiationisanessentialcomponent
of success.
These competitive differentiators must be delivered within a clear business strategy that
includes an investment in business intelligence – and where appropriate – an investment in
Omni Retailing.
Customersincreasinglyexpectablended,seamlessshoppingexperienceateveryinteraction
or touch point, including:
• In-store experience
• Online retail
• Mobile
• Home delivery or variable collection points
• Integrated supply chain
• Targeted marketing direct to customers’Smartphone
Customer-expected Innovation
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 09
Competitive Advantage
Lower Cost Differentiation
CompetitiveScope
BroadtargetNarrowtarget
Cost Leadership
Focus
Differentiation
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 10
Tomorrow’sshoppingexperiencecouldnotbeeasier.It’sallaboutchoice,personalisation
and accessibility.
Throughout the week, your Smartphone automatically adds items from the internet you may want to buy based on your personal
profileandshoppinghistory.Thesameappalsoenablesyoutoloaditemstoyourvirtualshoppingbagyourselfbysimplyscanningthe
barcode.These may be products at home that are about to run out, or items you come across whilst out and about.
When you’re ready to replenish the food supply at home, you simply log into your phone, which continuously scans for the latest best
deals, and select the food retailers that can deliver items based on your defined preferences and budget. In just one click, your food
items have been ordered and paid for using a credit card securely stored on the phone.Your shopping will be delivered to your home at
your convenience.
The next day you receive a personalised message to your phone informing you that your favourite brand jeans are on 50% markdown
at a local retailer. Armed with your Smartphone, you buy it up!
These shopping scenarios are becoming a reality as retailers recognise the importance of using new emerging technologies to engage
and encourage an always-available shopping experience for consumers – resulting in fuller baskets that will increase the retailers’
average revenue per shopper (ARPS).
The ultimate in-store shopping experience will combine a mixture of excellent customer service and the creation of 3D theater for
customers. Often customers will search and compare products online but want to ‘test’ the products before purchasing so they
purchase the productions in a traditional ‘brick and mortar’ store. The biggest advocate of 3D theaters for customers is Mary Portas,
who is trying hard with the government to regenerate the traditional high street.
The key for the future of retail is it will be multi-channel, it will be personalised, it will be a seamless shopping experience and it will be
different to how we shop today.
Tomorrow’s ultimate shopping experience for consumers
These ‘no-longer-can-be-options’ are all fundamental to the future success of retailers.
The next phase of the retail evolution will allow only those retailers that have a strong
customer-centric business strategy and deliver clear competitive advantages to grow and
prosper in the market.
There will be a greater dependency on the capture and analysis of customer data that
providesactionable,real-timebusinessintelligence.Thisinsightwillenableretailerstooffer
personalisedmarketingdirecttomobiledevicesandproactivemarketingbasedonshopping
history.This will be the backbone of any serious retailer’s business strategy.
“Business Intelligence” (customer data)
Vision: The quality of, and accessibility to, customer data defines the success of retailers.
This business intelligence must be collected, analysed and utilised to engage customers in
real-time.
Current strategies: Many retailers have captured large amounts of data but have failed
to exploit its business potential by not being able to tap into insight to formulate strategic
business decisions.
Top three business intelligence tips
1 Modelyourbusinessfromcaptureddatatounderstandwhatyourcustomersreallywant.
2 Exploit all available channels to market your product (and brand) to customers.
3 Personalise the customer experience by using data to tailor marketing campaigns and
infinitives.
“BusinessTechnology Adoption”
Vision: The timely adoption and integration of new technologies to deliver a blended
experience for customers underpins a retailer’s ability to engage and win-over shoppers.
Current strategies: Many retailers have only focused on point-of-sale solutions. This is a
one-dimensionalstrategywhichonlycreatesshort-termvalue.Thereasonisthattechnology
encourages a one-off transactional relationship with customers.
Top three business technology adoption tips
1 Use technology to capture and enhance a single view of customers so you can respond
faster to changes in shopping attitudes and behaviours.
2 Exploit new technologies to offer consumers a personalised shopping experience
regardless of channel.
3 Integrate technologies into your customer-centric business strategy to make smarter,
better informed strategic decisions.
“Agile Business Strategy”
Vision:Thebusinessstrategymustbedesignedaroundtheneedsofcustomers.Indoingso,
retailers will realise competitive advantages.
Typicalcurrentstrategies:Manyretailershaveadoptednarrowlookingbusinessstrategies
focused only on driving shareholder value and the delivery of short-term results. Retailers
have been neglecting to fully embrace technology and customer data opportunities.
Top three agile business strategy tips
1 Recruit and train employees on new skills that will enable you to transform your
organisation so it can respond with agility to customer and market trends.
2 Engageallchannels(OmniRetailing)tomarketyourproducts(andbrand)throughsmart
technologyadaptionandintegration,includingmobile,onlineandin-storepoint-of-sale.
3 Collect,captureandanalysecustomerdatatodeliverapersonalisedseamlessshopping
experience.
Putting theThree Golden Rules of Retailing into Practice
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 11
HEALTH CHECK
Retailers have the ability to
write their own future.
Try the retail health check,
on page 16, to see if your
business is evolving or
heading for extinction.
Retail is changing faster than at any time in history and it
is not just because of the world recession or the growth of
online retail. It is in the next phase of retail evolution.
Tosucceed,executivesneedtopositiontheircompaniestocompetefortheheartsandminds
of customers. It’s not just about embracing Omni-Retailing.This one dimensional strategy, if
adopted, will lack the solid foundations to create a sustainable, competitive advantage.
Instead, retailers need to embrace all three of the new Golden Rules of Retailing outlined in
thisreport.
Historically, retailers have underestimated the value of technology, business intelligence
(customer data) and the need to have a customer-centric business strategy. These are the
triedandtestednewbestpracticeswithintheretailspaceinadigitalageofpersonalisation.
The first step is for retailers to investigate and identify the gaps in both how they engage
customers and how they operate including how decisions are made, based on what insight
and when. Once this initial analysis is conducted, making amends based on the three new
Golden Rules of Retailing to develop a common, forward looking vision centred on providing
a trusted, long-term relationship with customers is next.
Conclusion
“To ensure a sustainable
competitive advantage,
retailers must analyse
customer data and utilise
technology to define a
customer-centric business
strategy”
Barry Moles,
Retail Industry Expert, Bluefin Solutions
To help business and IT leaders prepare for the future, here are a few questions to
determine what steps are required to prepare your organisation for a digital age of
personalisation:
1 Who is my customer today, and what are they likely to be buying tomorrow?
2 What can I do to ensure my business can react to changing customer behaviours?
3 How can I use available data to give my customers the shopping experience
they expect?
4 What can I do to capitalise on the increasing use of mobile and interactive devices?
5 How does social media impact my business objectives?
6 HowcanIprovidecustomerswithasingleshoppingexperienceacrossallchannels?
7 Do I have the right business partner for the personalised, digital age?
8 How agile is my business strategy?
Eight Self-Assessment Questions for Retailers
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 12
Appendix 1:The Retail LandscapeToday
The retail landscape is changing rapidly, and while this has definitely been accelerated by
theeconomicclimate,itisnotthesolecause.It’struethatmanyconsumerstodayhaveless
moneyintheirpocketsduetotherecession,whichhasleadtoalong-termdropinconsumer
confidence. However, consumers have not simply traded down and purchased cheaper
variants of the same product. They have been more selective about how and where they
spend money.
Some value retailers such as Aldi and Poundland have done well during the recession. And
so have some premium retailers. John Lewis, for example, with a reported rise in sales by
13%, is bucking the trend. One retailer that currently occupies the squeezed middle market
is Tesco. Tesco is showing strong December 2012 sales performance based upon its retail
strategywhichincludesOmniRetailing.OnemayarguethatthisapproachiswhyJohnLewisis
doingwell.ThePartnershipunderpinsitspremiumbrandpositionwitha‘wewon’tbeknowingly
beaten on price’ customer promise alongside a strong online presence. It’s therefore little
surprise that John Lewis reported in December 2012 (five weeks) that sales rose by 13%.
Appendix 2: Jessops
JessopswastheestablishedleadingUKspecialistphotographicretaileroperatinginaniche
market. Some general merchandise retailers entered the photographic market because
there is a low cost of entry. The competition then proceeded to use greater buying and
marketing capability to take marketshare, especially selling the low-end products, where
volumeretailingispossible.Then,retailersaddedinstorephotoprocessingwhichreduced
the need for the customer to visit a specialist photographic retailer. Jessops appeared to
respond like deer in the headlights and didn’t appear to know how to adapt to the evolution
that was taking place.
Appendix 3: Performance Comparison ofThree Major Retailers
Comparing the year on year sales performance from December 2012 of three retailers who
are currently adopting different retailing strategies is very enlightening and demonstrates
the advantage of having an Omni Retailing strategy. The diagram projects the compound
effect if the current strategies do not change:
Appendix
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 13
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
A
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
B
C
RetailerA:Isanestablishedtraditionalbricks
retailer with no online operation who does
notusesophisticatedbusinessintelligence.
RetailerB:Isanestablishedtraditionalbricks
retailer with an online operation who uses
somesophisticatedbusinessintelligence.
RetailerC:Isanestablishedtraditionalbricks
retailerthatischangingintoanOmniRetailer
who uses very sophisticated business
intelligence.
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 14
Performance Comparison ofThree Major Retailers
The state of independent Rivalry Supplier Threat of Outlook for 2015
retailing in 2015, by sub-sector Power Substitutes
Convenience Stores / Grocers High High Low Unlikely to survive
Newsagents High High High Very unlikely to survive
Rural Shops Low Low Low Likely to survive
Pharmacies High Moderate Low Moderate chance of survival
Petrol Forecourts High High Moderate Very unlikely to survive
Post Offices Moderate Low High Moderate chance of survival
Bakers Moderate Low Low Likely to survive
Appendix 4: 2012 Online Share of all Retail Businesses
The UK is leading the world in terms of amount of online retail sales in retail sales in 2012.
2012 online share of all retail business
(%)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
UK
Germany
Switzerland
Denmark
Norway
France
Sweden
Neth/Bel/Lux
Spain
Poland
Italy
Source: Centre for retail research
Appendix 5: Has the recession and the rise of the Internet damaged customer service in
UK retailing?
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 15
Appendix 6:The Social and Economic Impact of the Retail Evolution
Over the next few years 30,000 more stores across the UK will close, with over 30,000
people being made redundant. The effect will be considerable because many town centres
will need to be regenerated into housing and leisure as the shop front retailers continue to
disappear from the high street.
Currentlytheoverallshopvacancyratesintowncentresisaround14.5%against5%in2008.
There are some regional variations with the entire top ten worst-performing large centres
(+400 shops) being situated in theWest Midlands and the North.
Many experts predict that landlords will need to offer rent payment terms to incentivise
largerretailerstoretaintheirexistingnumberandsizeofstoresinsteadofmovingtosmaller
formatsthatsupportstheironlinebusiness.Areportfromthelocaldatacompanyindicates
thathighstreetsarebeinglessusedandunitsareinlessdemandwithfewerenquiriesabout
town centre units in the last quarter of 2012.
Rising unemployment will add to the virtual circle of reducing spending power of the
customer, which will increase the pressure directly on some retailers with a fall in sales.
There is also likely to be indirectly additional costs being generated by local and central
government to off set the additional costs of rising unemployment.
Appendix 7: UK GovernmentWhite Paper called HIGH STREET BRITAIN: 2015
Appendix 8: Porter Five Forces’strategic modelling
Porters five forces is a well known and used strategic modelling tool, which considers the
threats from rivalry (competition), supplier power, and threat of substitutes (alternative
channel supplying the same product or alternative product).
Potential Entrants
(Threat of Mobility)
Industry Rivalry
Suppliers
(Supplier Power)
Buyers
(Buyer Power)
Substitutes
(Threat of Substitutes)
‰
‰
‰
‰
The Retailer’s Survival Guide 16
Retail Health Check
Question 1
Do you collect customer data at
Point of sale?
RetailersthatfailtocapturecustomerdataatPointofSale(fromofflineandonline
sources)areatthegreatestriskoflosingmarketsharetoretailersthatcaptureand
usecustomerinsighttoimprovesales.BluefinSolutionsrecommendsyoudevelop
aPOSstrategythatcouldincludescreatingaloyaltycardschemeoranother
mechanismtocapturecustomerdatasuchasname,contactinformation,etc.
NO ‰
YES
‰
YES
‰
Question 2
Do you have a Business Intelligence
strategy that exploits the value of
customer data?
Retailersthatcapturecustomerdatausingtherightsoftwareareabletoobtain
real-timebusinessinsightswhichcanimprovesupplychainefficiencies,
merchandiserangeandtargetedmarketing. BluefinSolutionsrecommendsyou
developaBusinessIntelligencestrategywhichwillprovideyourorganisationwith
asingleviewofthecustomerinordertobasedecisions.
NO ‰
Question 3
Does your business have a multi-
channel (shops, online, mobile, mail
order) strategy?
You need to develop a multi-channel
strategy to de-risk and grow your
business. Bluefin Solutions
recommends you define a multi-
channel strategy that is relevant to
your customers.
NO ‰ NO ‰
Question 3a
Do you have a high cost
of entry?
YES
‰
YES
‰
Question 4
Is your business currently using
technology to its full potential?
NO ‰
You need to embrace technology to deliver other business benefits such as cost
savings, supply chain efficiencies, and much more.
YES
‰
Question 5
Are you currently an Omni Retailer?
You will probably join the growing list
of failed retailers that didn’t embrace
thethreenewGoldenRulesofRetailing.
NO ‰ NO ‰
Question 5a
Do you aspire to be an Omni
Retailer?
YES
‰
YES
‰
Congratulations you are leading the
retail industry. Bluefin Solutions
suggests you improve the level of
customer personalisation across
the organisation.
You recognise that Omni Retailing is the future for the industry. Bluefin Solutions
recommends you develop an agile business strategy using technology to capture
and analyse customer insight to drive growth and innovation.
Source: Bluefin Solutions
www.bluefinsolutions.com
London Office
Building 4, Chiswick Park, 566 Chiswick High Road, London W4 5YE
+44 (0)870 233 0404 | @bluefinsolution
Barry Moles is a recognised retail industry expert, having spent more than 20 years in
numerous managerial and operational roles including merchandise, supply chain, finance
and marketing. He brings a unique hands-on perspective to advising clients having himself
worked in every retail category (food, electrical, clothing, telecoms, pharmacy, charity)
across all consumer channels (out of town, online, shopping centres, department stores,
concessionsandoutletvillages)formajorretailersintheUnitedKingdom.BarryhasanMBA
from Henley Management College and CIPD qualification.
About Barry Moles
Bluefin Solutions is a leading global management consultancy that helps
organisationsradicallyaccelerateperformanceandinnovation.Ourindustry
experts are sought after for providing independent strategic advice to
businessandITleaders.Weworkwithclientstoco-createnewcompetitive
advantagesthroughagilebusinessstrategiesandcutting-edgetechnologies.
Read our latest insights at www.bluefinsolutions.com/insights
+44 (0)870 233 0404 | info@bluefinsolutions.com
@BluefinSolution
About Bluefin Solutions

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How retailers can survive the digital age through personalisation

  • 1. The New Retailer’s Survival Guide in a Digital Age of Personalisation Written by Barry Moles, Retail Industry Expert at Bluefin Solutions Preface from Cathy Barnes, Professor of Retail Innovation, Director of the Faraday Centre for Retail Excellence at Leeds Metropolitan University
  • 2. Table of Contents Preface 03 Introduction 04 TheThree New Golden Rules of Retailing 05 How to Obtain a Competitive Advantage 06 The Retail LandscapeToday 08 Customer-expected Innovation 09 Putting theThree Golden Rules of Retailing into Practice 11 “Business Intelligence” “BusinessTechnology Adoption” “Agile Business Strategy” Conclusion 12 Eight Self-Assessment Questions for Retailers 12 Appendix 13 Barry Moles’Biography 17 The Retailer’s Survival Guide 02
  • 3. Retailersknowthatitisreallyimportanttokeepcustomers happy. The challenge that they all face is how to do this successfully. This is getting increasingly tricky in our modern society as customers are changing the way that theyshop.Increasingaccesstomobileanddigitaltechnology combinedwithlowerdiscretionaryspendingiscontributing to this. In the grocery retail sector, online sales are projected to grow markedly over the next few years as we all become increasingly used to our weekly food arriving in a van. In addition, more of us will do regular top-up shops throughout the week, most likely at a convenience store. The rise of the discounters and the increasing success of premium grocery stores means that the range of shopping options open to customers is growing. Retailers need to listen carefully to what their customers want in order to develop and constantly refresh their strategies. Because customers will shop in different ways, it is essential that these strategies are fully cohesive across all shopping channels to maximise business benefits. The High Street is not immune from these changes in behaviour either. Shoppers now expect so much more from their local retail outlet. It has to deliver an experience that is worth travelling for. (If it was just about buying something, it could be done via mobiles or online!)Todeliverthisexperience,retailershavetoreallyunderstandtheirtargetcustomers and provide a reason for them to enter their shop. Retailersthatweresuccessfulalwaysrespondedtowhattheircustomerswanted.However, wearenowonthebrinkofaretailrevolution.Thespeedofchangeinshopperbehaviourover the last few years driven by the economic downturn and rise in technology adoption has meantthatthisindustrysectorneedstobecomeevenmoredynamic.Ifpredictionsaretobe believed, we are going to see even more change in the next few years which will impact the retail paradigms and challenge business norms. Barry Moles’ latest paper, “The New Retailer’s Survival Guide in a Digital Age of Personalisation,” addresses a number of complex challenges facing retailers, offering readers credible solutions. In the face of change, there is no other option but to listen to customers, and be prepared to embrace new technologies to deliver successful business models of the future. Cathy Barnes, Professor of Retail Innovation, Director of the Faraday Centre for Retail Excellence, Leeds Metropolitan University Preface The Retailer’s Survival Guide 03
  • 4. With the retail landscape changing fast.1 it’s important that retailers have a clear, agile business strategy that can adapt to, and exploit, market opportunities. To ensure a sustainablecompetitiveadvantage,retailersmustanalyse customerdataandutilisetechnologytodefineacustomer- centric business strategy. This paper sets out the rationale, strategy and practical steps required for retailers to prosper in a new digital age of personalisation. Introduction 1 Appendix 1:The Retail landscape today The Retailer’s Survival Guide 04
  • 5. Retailersareevolving,butnotquicklyenough.Recenthistory is littered with organisations that have failed to actively embracechange.However,successfulretailerssharecommon traitsthatotherscanlearnfrominordertoturndisadvantages into competitive advantages. To be digital-ready, organisations need to embrace and fully utilise customer data to make smart,timelydecisions.ResearchconductedbyBluefinSolutionsofUKretailersrevealsthat over 80% of organisations are not prepared for the digital age. This finding is supported by theHarvardBusinessReview,whichnotedthatwhile85%ofmajorbusinesseshaveBigData initiatives, only 21% believe their organisation has adequate analytic capabilities. However,insteadofinvestinginwaystobetterunderstandcustomers,retailchiefsaremore focused on improving short-term profitability. In doing so, they fail to recognise that if they dofocusstrategiesaroundwinningtheheartsandmindsofshoppers,thebusinessbenefits will follow. After speaking with industry leaders, it has become apparent that retailers must embrace a new model of innovation to drive growth. Bluefin Solutions has identified the three new Golden Rules of Retailing in a digital age: 1 Exploit customer data so you have a single view of your shoppers on which to base decisions that will increase customer loyalty and sales through targeted, personalised engagement. 2 Adopt emerging technologies that integrate multiple retail channels into one go-to- market route centred on your customers. 3 Develop an agile, customer-centric business strategy that enables your organisation to respond quickly to market changes and opportunities. Bluefin Solutions’ analysis of failed UK retailers reveals that they had not implemented all three of the Golden Rules of Retailing.This is no coincidence. Today, it is not enough for retailers to just have just an online operation or a narrow strategy that is simply based on competing as a specialist. The reasoning is simple: If there is a low cost of entry others will follow and, in the long-term, win. Jessops is a good example of a retailer having run a failed business strategy2 . Three New Golden Rules of Retailing 1942 Co-Op opens first self-service store. COST is a competitive advantage. Traditional customer service starts to decline. 1964 The Bullring Centre, the first purpose- built indoor shopping complex with 140 shops, opens. DIFFERENTIATION is a competitive advantage. High Street retail starts to decline with a reduction in the number of independent retailers. 1971 The Bretton Centre, the first UK “out- of-town” shopping complex, opens. It offers larger stores with more range. DIFFERENTIATION is the competitive advantage. Town centres and small retailers decline with greater car ownership allowing access to a wider range of stores. The Retailer’s Survival Guide 05 2 Appendix 2: Jessops
  • 6. How theThree Golden Rules of Retailing can Deliver a Competitive Advantage TheThree Golden Rules of Retailing are often applied in stages, as set out below. Business Intelligence (customer data analytics): • LevelOne:Capturingcustomerdata,forexampletransactionaldata,personalinformation and on-line shopping browsing habits. • LevelTwo:Usingthecapturedcustomerdatatoengagecustomersbytargetedmarketing and (ideally) personalised marketing. BusinessTechnology Adoption: • Level One: Have an online retail offer that matches the product range found through traditional channels. • Level Two: Have a smart Omni-Channel Retail strategy that offers a seamless approach to the consumer experience through all available shopping channels, such as mobile internet devices, computers and bricks-and-mortar, to deliver a personalised shopping experience. Agile Business Strategy: • Level One: The business strategy is designed to deliver competitive advantage, but mightnotbetotallyalignedtothechangingcustomerrequirementsormarketconditions • Level Two: The business strategy is totally customer centric is seamless irrespective of channel and designed to deliver competitive advantage irrespective of changing market conditions. The Retailer’s Survival Guide 06
  • 7. COMET Some No Yes No No No No (POS) BORDERS Some No Yes No No No No (Online) (3rd party) JESSOPS Some No Yes No Partly No No (POS) (Focused retailer) HMV No No Yes No No No No BLOCKBUSTER Yes No No No Partly No No (Membership) (Focused retailer) AUSTIN REED Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Partly (Online) (Differentiation) (Still a big gap) MATALAN Yes No Yes No No No No (Membership) (In danger zone) BHS No No Yes No No No No (In danger zone) POUNDLAND No No No No Yes No No (Cost) (Massive gap) COSTO Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Partly (Membership) (Used badly) (Partly) (Cost) (Still a big gap) MORRISONS No No No No No No No (In danger zone) TESCO Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes (Club card) (Differentiation) (Partly) AMAZON Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes (Online) (Cost) (Partly) JOHN LEWIS Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes (Some) (Differentiation) (Partly) ASOS Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes (Online) (Cost) (Partly) LEVELONE LEVELTWO LEVELONE LEVELTWO LEVELONE LEVELTWO BusinessIntelligence Captures Use customer Online Good Omni- Businessstrategyis Business strategy + customer data data to engage Retailer Channel Retailer designed to deliver is customer-centric TechnologyAdaption customers a competitive and designed to + advantage deliveracompetitive Business Strategy advantage Business Intelligence BusinessTechnology Agile Business Strategy Three Golden (Customer Data) Adoption Rules The Retailer’s Survival Guide 07 Source: Bluefin Solutions The table below identifies retailers that are at high risk of failing and those that have a better chance of surviving in a digital age.
  • 8. Retailers that failed did not adopt each of the three Golden Rules of Retailing. These organisations paid the ultimate price because they lacked the necessary insight into their customers to make smarter, timely decisions. TheseincludeMFI,Woolworths,Barratts,StationaryBox,Birthdays,Etam,Dolcis,KwikSave, Powerhouse, Adams Clothing, Zavvi, Index, Fads, The Pier, Bay Trading, Land of Leather, Rosebys, Faith Shoes, Ilva, Ethel Austin and Card Warehouse. Retailers that have not yet failed, but are not doing well financially, include JJB Sports, Clintons Cards, Game, Allied Carpets,Wine Rack,The Officers Club andTheWorks. “If you walk the high street today you can identify the next retailer waiting to fail” Retail CEOs are under considerable pressure to increase shareholder value. This pressure creates dangerous short-term thinking which is further exacerbated by a combination of declining margins, flat-lining sales and rising costs. Meanwhile, the rise of multichannel retailing and other customer-driven shopping trends brings new challenges, including the additional costs of technology adoption with a difficult-to-predictReturn-on-Investment.Nooneeversaidstayingcompetitiveischeap!At thesametime,ahandfulofmajorretailersaretakingadvantageoftheircompetitors’lackof investment3 , particularly in the e-commerce space. According to the Centre for Retail Research, the UK is currently leading the world in terms of online shopping4 . Historically, retailers, when under pressure to deliver profits, have focused on cost savings by cutting employee headcount. The direct effect of this strategy5 has been a steady deterioration in overall customer service standards in the UK’s traditional retail stores (“bricks and mortar”).This has often been coupled with pressure to improve cash flow that normally leads to a reduction in a retailer’s core product depth or breadth. Alternatively, a retailer often introduces product range from outside its core offer to deliver immediateshort-termsalesgrowth.Thisapproachrarelyimprovesthemedium-tolong-term performance. Instead, it can become an expensive distraction known as core product drift. Whenaretailerreducesitsdifferentiation,orisunabletogaincostleadership,itwillstruggle to survive. This impacts, not only thousands of employees, but millions of lives across the country. Thereisalargesocialimpactonsocietycausedbythechangeshappeningwithinretail6 such as increasingly vacant town centres that will only rise over the next few years. The UK Government is so concerned about this that it set-up the House of Commons All-Party Parliamentary Small Shops Group to investigate the issues and potential solutions. The resulting white paper, HIGH STREET BRITAIN: 20157 , predicts further changes by 2015 based on Porter Five Forces8 . This highlights the fantastic opportunity for retailers that are investing in people and technology in order to stay ahead of the competition. The Retail LandscapeToday 1976 House of Fraser uses first IBM computerised cash registers DIFFERENTIATION is a competitive advantage. Retailers begin to rationalise range and stock levels. 1993 Membership discounter Costco opens in the UK, taking advantage of cost benefits. COST is a competitive advantage. Consumers encouraged to buy in bulk to reduce costs. 1995 The Internet was commercialised, allowing the use by companies including retailers, ; they invested in online related technology. DIFFERENTIATION & COST are competitive advantages. Start of commercial websites and the birth of online retail. 1997 Internet shopping starts 1997 Amazon 1999 E-Bay 2000 Asos. COST and FOCUS are competitive advantages. Store closures reach record numbers, with some shopping areas having 40% empty units. 3 Appendix 3: Performance comparison of three major retailers 4 Appendix 4: 2012 Online Share of all Retail Businesses 5 Appendix 5: Has the recession and the rise of the Internet damaged customer service in UK retailing? 6 Appendix 6:The social and economic impact of the retail evolution 7 Appendix 7: UK GovernmentWhite Paper called HIGH STREET BRITAIN: 2015 8 Appendix 8: Porter Five Forces’strategic modelling The Retailer’s Survival Guide 08
  • 9. Innovationthroughdifferentiationisanessentialcomponent of success. These competitive differentiators must be delivered within a clear business strategy that includes an investment in business intelligence – and where appropriate – an investment in Omni Retailing. Customersincreasinglyexpectablended,seamlessshoppingexperienceateveryinteraction or touch point, including: • In-store experience • Online retail • Mobile • Home delivery or variable collection points • Integrated supply chain • Targeted marketing direct to customers’Smartphone Customer-expected Innovation The Retailer’s Survival Guide 09 Competitive Advantage Lower Cost Differentiation CompetitiveScope BroadtargetNarrowtarget Cost Leadership Focus Differentiation
  • 10. The Retailer’s Survival Guide 10 Tomorrow’sshoppingexperiencecouldnotbeeasier.It’sallaboutchoice,personalisation and accessibility. Throughout the week, your Smartphone automatically adds items from the internet you may want to buy based on your personal profileandshoppinghistory.Thesameappalsoenablesyoutoloaditemstoyourvirtualshoppingbagyourselfbysimplyscanningthe barcode.These may be products at home that are about to run out, or items you come across whilst out and about. When you’re ready to replenish the food supply at home, you simply log into your phone, which continuously scans for the latest best deals, and select the food retailers that can deliver items based on your defined preferences and budget. In just one click, your food items have been ordered and paid for using a credit card securely stored on the phone.Your shopping will be delivered to your home at your convenience. The next day you receive a personalised message to your phone informing you that your favourite brand jeans are on 50% markdown at a local retailer. Armed with your Smartphone, you buy it up! These shopping scenarios are becoming a reality as retailers recognise the importance of using new emerging technologies to engage and encourage an always-available shopping experience for consumers – resulting in fuller baskets that will increase the retailers’ average revenue per shopper (ARPS). The ultimate in-store shopping experience will combine a mixture of excellent customer service and the creation of 3D theater for customers. Often customers will search and compare products online but want to ‘test’ the products before purchasing so they purchase the productions in a traditional ‘brick and mortar’ store. The biggest advocate of 3D theaters for customers is Mary Portas, who is trying hard with the government to regenerate the traditional high street. The key for the future of retail is it will be multi-channel, it will be personalised, it will be a seamless shopping experience and it will be different to how we shop today. Tomorrow’s ultimate shopping experience for consumers These ‘no-longer-can-be-options’ are all fundamental to the future success of retailers. The next phase of the retail evolution will allow only those retailers that have a strong customer-centric business strategy and deliver clear competitive advantages to grow and prosper in the market. There will be a greater dependency on the capture and analysis of customer data that providesactionable,real-timebusinessintelligence.Thisinsightwillenableretailerstooffer personalisedmarketingdirecttomobiledevicesandproactivemarketingbasedonshopping history.This will be the backbone of any serious retailer’s business strategy.
  • 11. “Business Intelligence” (customer data) Vision: The quality of, and accessibility to, customer data defines the success of retailers. This business intelligence must be collected, analysed and utilised to engage customers in real-time. Current strategies: Many retailers have captured large amounts of data but have failed to exploit its business potential by not being able to tap into insight to formulate strategic business decisions. Top three business intelligence tips 1 Modelyourbusinessfromcaptureddatatounderstandwhatyourcustomersreallywant. 2 Exploit all available channels to market your product (and brand) to customers. 3 Personalise the customer experience by using data to tailor marketing campaigns and infinitives. “BusinessTechnology Adoption” Vision: The timely adoption and integration of new technologies to deliver a blended experience for customers underpins a retailer’s ability to engage and win-over shoppers. Current strategies: Many retailers have only focused on point-of-sale solutions. This is a one-dimensionalstrategywhichonlycreatesshort-termvalue.Thereasonisthattechnology encourages a one-off transactional relationship with customers. Top three business technology adoption tips 1 Use technology to capture and enhance a single view of customers so you can respond faster to changes in shopping attitudes and behaviours. 2 Exploit new technologies to offer consumers a personalised shopping experience regardless of channel. 3 Integrate technologies into your customer-centric business strategy to make smarter, better informed strategic decisions. “Agile Business Strategy” Vision:Thebusinessstrategymustbedesignedaroundtheneedsofcustomers.Indoingso, retailers will realise competitive advantages. Typicalcurrentstrategies:Manyretailershaveadoptednarrowlookingbusinessstrategies focused only on driving shareholder value and the delivery of short-term results. Retailers have been neglecting to fully embrace technology and customer data opportunities. Top three agile business strategy tips 1 Recruit and train employees on new skills that will enable you to transform your organisation so it can respond with agility to customer and market trends. 2 Engageallchannels(OmniRetailing)tomarketyourproducts(andbrand)throughsmart technologyadaptionandintegration,includingmobile,onlineandin-storepoint-of-sale. 3 Collect,captureandanalysecustomerdatatodeliverapersonalisedseamlessshopping experience. Putting theThree Golden Rules of Retailing into Practice The Retailer’s Survival Guide 11 HEALTH CHECK Retailers have the ability to write their own future. Try the retail health check, on page 16, to see if your business is evolving or heading for extinction.
  • 12. Retail is changing faster than at any time in history and it is not just because of the world recession or the growth of online retail. It is in the next phase of retail evolution. Tosucceed,executivesneedtopositiontheircompaniestocompetefortheheartsandminds of customers. It’s not just about embracing Omni-Retailing.This one dimensional strategy, if adopted, will lack the solid foundations to create a sustainable, competitive advantage. Instead, retailers need to embrace all three of the new Golden Rules of Retailing outlined in thisreport. Historically, retailers have underestimated the value of technology, business intelligence (customer data) and the need to have a customer-centric business strategy. These are the triedandtestednewbestpracticeswithintheretailspaceinadigitalageofpersonalisation. The first step is for retailers to investigate and identify the gaps in both how they engage customers and how they operate including how decisions are made, based on what insight and when. Once this initial analysis is conducted, making amends based on the three new Golden Rules of Retailing to develop a common, forward looking vision centred on providing a trusted, long-term relationship with customers is next. Conclusion “To ensure a sustainable competitive advantage, retailers must analyse customer data and utilise technology to define a customer-centric business strategy” Barry Moles, Retail Industry Expert, Bluefin Solutions To help business and IT leaders prepare for the future, here are a few questions to determine what steps are required to prepare your organisation for a digital age of personalisation: 1 Who is my customer today, and what are they likely to be buying tomorrow? 2 What can I do to ensure my business can react to changing customer behaviours? 3 How can I use available data to give my customers the shopping experience they expect? 4 What can I do to capitalise on the increasing use of mobile and interactive devices? 5 How does social media impact my business objectives? 6 HowcanIprovidecustomerswithasingleshoppingexperienceacrossallchannels? 7 Do I have the right business partner for the personalised, digital age? 8 How agile is my business strategy? Eight Self-Assessment Questions for Retailers The Retailer’s Survival Guide 12
  • 13. Appendix 1:The Retail LandscapeToday The retail landscape is changing rapidly, and while this has definitely been accelerated by theeconomicclimate,itisnotthesolecause.It’struethatmanyconsumerstodayhaveless moneyintheirpocketsduetotherecession,whichhasleadtoalong-termdropinconsumer confidence. However, consumers have not simply traded down and purchased cheaper variants of the same product. They have been more selective about how and where they spend money. Some value retailers such as Aldi and Poundland have done well during the recession. And so have some premium retailers. John Lewis, for example, with a reported rise in sales by 13%, is bucking the trend. One retailer that currently occupies the squeezed middle market is Tesco. Tesco is showing strong December 2012 sales performance based upon its retail strategywhichincludesOmniRetailing.OnemayarguethatthisapproachiswhyJohnLewisis doingwell.ThePartnershipunderpinsitspremiumbrandpositionwitha‘wewon’tbeknowingly beaten on price’ customer promise alongside a strong online presence. It’s therefore little surprise that John Lewis reported in December 2012 (five weeks) that sales rose by 13%. Appendix 2: Jessops JessopswastheestablishedleadingUKspecialistphotographicretaileroperatinginaniche market. Some general merchandise retailers entered the photographic market because there is a low cost of entry. The competition then proceeded to use greater buying and marketing capability to take marketshare, especially selling the low-end products, where volumeretailingispossible.Then,retailersaddedinstorephotoprocessingwhichreduced the need for the customer to visit a specialist photographic retailer. Jessops appeared to respond like deer in the headlights and didn’t appear to know how to adapt to the evolution that was taking place. Appendix 3: Performance Comparison ofThree Major Retailers Comparing the year on year sales performance from December 2012 of three retailers who are currently adopting different retailing strategies is very enlightening and demonstrates the advantage of having an Omni Retailing strategy. The diagram projects the compound effect if the current strategies do not change: Appendix The Retailer’s Survival Guide 13 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 A -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 B C RetailerA:Isanestablishedtraditionalbricks retailer with no online operation who does notusesophisticatedbusinessintelligence. RetailerB:Isanestablishedtraditionalbricks retailer with an online operation who uses somesophisticatedbusinessintelligence. RetailerC:Isanestablishedtraditionalbricks retailerthatischangingintoanOmniRetailer who uses very sophisticated business intelligence.
  • 14. The Retailer’s Survival Guide 14 Performance Comparison ofThree Major Retailers The state of independent Rivalry Supplier Threat of Outlook for 2015 retailing in 2015, by sub-sector Power Substitutes Convenience Stores / Grocers High High Low Unlikely to survive Newsagents High High High Very unlikely to survive Rural Shops Low Low Low Likely to survive Pharmacies High Moderate Low Moderate chance of survival Petrol Forecourts High High Moderate Very unlikely to survive Post Offices Moderate Low High Moderate chance of survival Bakers Moderate Low Low Likely to survive Appendix 4: 2012 Online Share of all Retail Businesses The UK is leading the world in terms of amount of online retail sales in retail sales in 2012. 2012 online share of all retail business (%) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 UK Germany Switzerland Denmark Norway France Sweden Neth/Bel/Lux Spain Poland Italy Source: Centre for retail research Appendix 5: Has the recession and the rise of the Internet damaged customer service in UK retailing?
  • 15. The Retailer’s Survival Guide 15 Appendix 6:The Social and Economic Impact of the Retail Evolution Over the next few years 30,000 more stores across the UK will close, with over 30,000 people being made redundant. The effect will be considerable because many town centres will need to be regenerated into housing and leisure as the shop front retailers continue to disappear from the high street. Currentlytheoverallshopvacancyratesintowncentresisaround14.5%against5%in2008. There are some regional variations with the entire top ten worst-performing large centres (+400 shops) being situated in theWest Midlands and the North. Many experts predict that landlords will need to offer rent payment terms to incentivise largerretailerstoretaintheirexistingnumberandsizeofstoresinsteadofmovingtosmaller formatsthatsupportstheironlinebusiness.Areportfromthelocaldatacompanyindicates thathighstreetsarebeinglessusedandunitsareinlessdemandwithfewerenquiriesabout town centre units in the last quarter of 2012. Rising unemployment will add to the virtual circle of reducing spending power of the customer, which will increase the pressure directly on some retailers with a fall in sales. There is also likely to be indirectly additional costs being generated by local and central government to off set the additional costs of rising unemployment. Appendix 7: UK GovernmentWhite Paper called HIGH STREET BRITAIN: 2015 Appendix 8: Porter Five Forces’strategic modelling Porters five forces is a well known and used strategic modelling tool, which considers the threats from rivalry (competition), supplier power, and threat of substitutes (alternative channel supplying the same product or alternative product). Potential Entrants (Threat of Mobility) Industry Rivalry Suppliers (Supplier Power) Buyers (Buyer Power) Substitutes (Threat of Substitutes) ‰ ‰ ‰ ‰
  • 16. The Retailer’s Survival Guide 16 Retail Health Check Question 1 Do you collect customer data at Point of sale? RetailersthatfailtocapturecustomerdataatPointofSale(fromofflineandonline sources)areatthegreatestriskoflosingmarketsharetoretailersthatcaptureand usecustomerinsighttoimprovesales.BluefinSolutionsrecommendsyoudevelop aPOSstrategythatcouldincludescreatingaloyaltycardschemeoranother mechanismtocapturecustomerdatasuchasname,contactinformation,etc. NO ‰ YES ‰ YES ‰ Question 2 Do you have a Business Intelligence strategy that exploits the value of customer data? Retailersthatcapturecustomerdatausingtherightsoftwareareabletoobtain real-timebusinessinsightswhichcanimprovesupplychainefficiencies, merchandiserangeandtargetedmarketing. BluefinSolutionsrecommendsyou developaBusinessIntelligencestrategywhichwillprovideyourorganisationwith asingleviewofthecustomerinordertobasedecisions. NO ‰ Question 3 Does your business have a multi- channel (shops, online, mobile, mail order) strategy? You need to develop a multi-channel strategy to de-risk and grow your business. Bluefin Solutions recommends you define a multi- channel strategy that is relevant to your customers. NO ‰ NO ‰ Question 3a Do you have a high cost of entry? YES ‰ YES ‰ Question 4 Is your business currently using technology to its full potential? NO ‰ You need to embrace technology to deliver other business benefits such as cost savings, supply chain efficiencies, and much more. YES ‰ Question 5 Are you currently an Omni Retailer? You will probably join the growing list of failed retailers that didn’t embrace thethreenewGoldenRulesofRetailing. NO ‰ NO ‰ Question 5a Do you aspire to be an Omni Retailer? YES ‰ YES ‰ Congratulations you are leading the retail industry. Bluefin Solutions suggests you improve the level of customer personalisation across the organisation. You recognise that Omni Retailing is the future for the industry. Bluefin Solutions recommends you develop an agile business strategy using technology to capture and analyse customer insight to drive growth and innovation. Source: Bluefin Solutions
  • 17. www.bluefinsolutions.com London Office Building 4, Chiswick Park, 566 Chiswick High Road, London W4 5YE +44 (0)870 233 0404 | @bluefinsolution Barry Moles is a recognised retail industry expert, having spent more than 20 years in numerous managerial and operational roles including merchandise, supply chain, finance and marketing. He brings a unique hands-on perspective to advising clients having himself worked in every retail category (food, electrical, clothing, telecoms, pharmacy, charity) across all consumer channels (out of town, online, shopping centres, department stores, concessionsandoutletvillages)formajorretailersintheUnitedKingdom.BarryhasanMBA from Henley Management College and CIPD qualification. About Barry Moles Bluefin Solutions is a leading global management consultancy that helps organisationsradicallyaccelerateperformanceandinnovation.Ourindustry experts are sought after for providing independent strategic advice to businessandITleaders.Weworkwithclientstoco-createnewcompetitive advantagesthroughagilebusinessstrategiesandcutting-edgetechnologies. Read our latest insights at www.bluefinsolutions.com/insights +44 (0)870 233 0404 | info@bluefinsolutions.com @BluefinSolution About Bluefin Solutions