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Climate change and Australian farming systems - Peter Hayman, SARDI
1.
Climate change and
Australian Farming Systems Peter Hayman SARDI and Deirdre Lemerle CSU, Wagga
2.
3.
4.
5.
Nemani et al
2003 Science (6 June 03) Climate is central to understanding of natural and managed systems
6.
Ryan et al
2010
7.
Is this drought
or aridity; drought or drying; variability or change; cycle or shift.
8.
9.
10.
11.
Minnipa Orroroo Increasing
farm size changing rural communities
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
Lyndoch Nurioopta Eden
Valley N
18.
Thinking about future
climates Climate change projections from GCMS Sensitivity analysis: 1,1.5, 2 degrees warming; 5%, 10%, 20% rainfall decline
19.
20.
April to October
rainfall
21.
April to October
rainfall
22.
April to October
rainfall
23.
24.
Thinking about future
climates Climate change projections from GCMS Sensitivity analysis: 1,1.5, 2 degrees warming; 5%, 10%, 20% rainfall decline Temporal analogues – eg drought Spatial analogues – study a warmer & drier site
25.
Ryan et al
2010
26.
27.
28.
29.
The challenge of
“additionality” in adaptation.
30.
Howden et
al 2010
31.
Sep 2000
32.
Sep 2002
33.
Sep 2006
34.
35.
36.
37.
What destroyed the
sand castle ? The wave or tide ? What can we learn from the wave about future resilience and vulnerability ?
38.
Source: Bureau of
Meteorology
39.
40.
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