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SPRING 2013 | OFFICE



COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | MARKET REPORT


TORONTO ONTARIO

                                                        Canadian Market Overview
                                                        The Canadian economy has been sending mixed signals during recent months, with
                                                        some current domestic indicators looking more positive while others are not so
                                                        encouraging. Most uplifting was the February employment report with the addition
                                                        of just over 50,000 jobs. Good news for the office sector was the increase of
                                                        service sector jobs, many of which were full-time positions. Overall retail sales were
                                                        pretty flat, with auto sales excluded, following a drop in December. The retail sales
                                                        numbers may indicate a reduced appetite for spending during 2013 as household
                                                        debt weighs heavily on many consumers. A sobering trend becoming evident in the
                                                        housing market is the downward trajectory of new home starts as the market seeks
                                                        to find a sustainable level of starts.

                                                        Downtown office vacancies, with minor exceptions, are sitting in mid-single
                                                        digits and rents are reflecting the tight market conditions in prime CBD locations.
                                                        Industrial markets are similarly well positioned, albeit with less upward pressure on
                                                        rents in the Eastern markets. Retail property continues to benefit from U.S. retailer
                                                        migration into Canada with retailers vying for prime mall space. Reflecting the above
                                                        conditions, commercial market fundamentals across the country are anticipated to
                                                        remain solid throughout 2013.




 MARKET INDICATORS

                            2012 Q4*         2013 Q1*
                                                        Greater Toronto Area Overview
                                                        The Greater Toronto Area office market experienced heightened activity in the last
 INVENTORY                                              two quarters, especially in the two largest markets – Downtown and the GTA West
                                                        market. The Downtown market experienced increased demand for quality space,
 NET ABSORPTION                                         leading several new developments from the proposed stages into the planned/under
                                                        construction phases.
 VACANCY RATE
                                                        Despite the relatively low overall absorption for the GTA West market, there were
 ASKING NET RENT                                        significant tenant moves to and from the market leading to nearly a balanced amount
                                                        of negative and positive absorption as the market continues to be extremely active.
 ADDITIONAL RENT


 *change in comparison to previous quarter


 www.colliers.com/toronto
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO



GTA Markets                                                                                                                                    Downtown
                                                                                                                                               The downtown market has seen an increase
                                                                                                                                               in demand for office space as shown in the
                                                                                                                                               steady decline in the vacancy rate from 4.6
                                                                                                                                               percent to 4.2 percent since last quarter. The
                                                                                                                                               Financial Core has seen a more significant
                                                                                                                                               decline in vacancy from 5.2 percent to 4.5
                                                                                                                                               percent, indicating continued growth in
                                                                                                                                               demand for space within this submarket.

                                                                                                                                 GTA East      Heightened leasing activity, especially with
                                                                                                                GTA North                      the more significant deals done at Commerce
                                                                                                                                               Court West, has resulted in fewer large block
                                                                                 Central East
                                                                                                                                               opportunities. In the past six months, the
                                                                    Midtown
                                                                            Downtown                                                           several large block spaces that have been
                                                            Central North
                                                                                                                                               vacant in the building have been leased to
                                                                                                                  LAKE ONTARIO                 sizeable tenants, including Chubb Insurance,
                                               GTA West
                                                                                                                                               Inmet Mining and Laurentian Bank. The
                                                                                                                                               reasonable rates for this AAA class asset
                                                                                                                                               and lack of large block opportunities in AAA

                                                                                                                            $24.12
                                                                                                                                               and A class properties facilitated tenant
       DOWNTOWN
       OFFICE                                                  4.2%                         198,464                         Wgt Avg. Asking
                                                                                                                                               interest and resulted in this building being
       STATISTICS                                              Vacancy Rate                 Absorption 2013 Q1                                 almost fully leased. Davies Ward Phillips and
                                                                                                                            Net Rent




GTA | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F
                                                   Net Absorption            Vacancy Rate     Asking Net Rent

                                     25                                                                                                                                        25
                                                                                                                                                                    FORECAST


                                     20                                                                                                                                        20




                                                                                                                                                                                     Asking Net Rent ($)/Vacancy Rate (%)
                                     15                                                                                                                                        15
       Net Absorption (100,000 SF)




                                     10                                                                                                                                        10



                                       5                                                                                                                                       5



                                      -                                                                                                                                        0



                                      (5)                                                                                                                                      -5



                                     (10)                                                                                                                                      -10
                                              1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

                                                 2003            2004             2005      2006        2007        2008      2009      2010   2011      2012      2013

                                            Source: Colliers International, April 2013


P. 2   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO




Vineberg LLP took 103,515 square feet of                                                   Quick absorption of new product has              in the availability rate, which dropped from
space at 155 Wellington Street West adding                                                 boosted developer confidence shown in the        6.5 percent last quarter to 5.6 percent this
to the significant Class A absorption this                                                 escalation in the number of developments         quarter. This demographic trend is expected
quarter.                                                                                   moving into the construction phase before        to grow as city planners continue to move
                                                                                           pre-leasing commitments reach the                towards the creation of “live, play, work”
Tenants looking for space over 50,000                                                      standard 60 percent. Allied Properties           communities throughout the downtown
square feet will find 4 opportunities in AAA                                               REIT has begun construction on Queen             hubs, namely south-bound towards the
properties compared to A class where                                                       Richmond Center West with 18 percent pre-        waterfront. Financial services remain the
there are no availabilities for this space                                                 leased. With roughly 5 million square feet of    key drivers of demand for new office space
requirement. The vacancy rate for A class                                                  office space currently under construction in     with Deloitte & Touche and Ernst & Young
is 4.2 percent compared to 5.0 percent for                                                 the downtown core and 17 projects in the         accounting for nearly 600,000 square feet of
AAA class properties, suggesting increased                                                 planned/proposed phase, new supply could         pre-leased space in deals done this quarter.
appeal in the lower rental rates that A class                                              add a potential 14 million square feet to the    The upward pressure on rental rates in
properties provide.                                                                        downtown office inventory from 2015 to           conjunction with low vacancy rates reflects
                                                                                           2018.                                            strength in the downtown office leasing
Demand for new space is strong in                                                                                                           market. It is expected that the activity within
                                                                                           As residential developments continue to
downtown Toronto with pre-leasing activity                                                                                                  A class properties will remain high as newly
                                                                                           rise and companies such as Google, Coca-
ensuring projects such as 2 Adelaide                                                                                                        constructed buildings continue to attract A
                                                                                           Cola and TELUS look to attract a younger
Street West, which is 43 percent pre-                                                                                                       class tenants causing downward pressure
                                                                                           generation of talent, there is an expectation
leased, continue to the construction phase                                                                                                  on rental rates in existing buildings within
                                                                                           that many companies will want to be located
adding an additional 900,000 square feet                                                                                                    this asset class.
                                                                                           in the core. This is exhibited by the decrease
of inventory to the Financial Core in 2016.



GTA DOWNTOWN | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F
                                               Net Absorption              Vacancy Rate    Asking Net Rent

                                    12                                                                                                                                         30
                                                                                                                                                                    FORECAST
                                    10                                                                                                                                         25


                                     8                                                                                                                                         20




                                                                                                                                                                                     Asking Net Rent ($) / Availability Rate (%)
                                     6                                                                                                                                         15
      Net Absorption (100.000 SF)




                                     4                                                                                                                                         10


                                     2                                                                                                                                         5


                                     0                                                                                                                                         0


                                    -2                                                                                                                                         -5


                                    -4                                                                                                                                         -10


                                    -6                                                                                                                                         -15


                                    -8                                                                                                                                         -20
                                          1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

                                             2003              2004            2005       2006       2007    2008       2009       2010      2011       2012       2013

                                         Source: Colliers International, April 2013

                                                                                                                                                        COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |                                                   P. 3
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO



                                                                                              Midtown
                                                                                              Leasing activity has remained stagnant in           However, there was a heightened amount of
                                                                                              Midtown with the vacancy rate rising to 5.2         activity this quarter with deals that will impact
                                                                                              percent this quarter. At the end of 2012,           absorption over the next few quarters. By
                                                                                              Midtown hit an all-time low in vacancy of 5.0       year-end, over 60,000 square feet will be
                                                                                              percent and average net asking rates were           occupied by three tenants.
                                                                                              at their highest at $17.73 per square foot this
                                                                                              quarter.                                            The residential activity continues with the
                                                                                                                                                  early stage of construction beginning at Minto
                                                                                              Demand for residential space in Midtown             30Roe, a 34-storey residential condominium
                                                                                              continues to drive developer interest in            development by Minto located at Yonge and
                                                                                              new condo construction. The lack of new             Eglinton. This development will add 397 units
                                                                                              commercial office construction has resulted         to the residential market in spring 2015.
                                                                                              in the tight marketplace at Yonge and Bloor
                                                                                              with total availability at 5.1 percent this         Morguard Investments and Pensionfund
                                                                                              quarter and a continued rise in rental rates        Realty have submitted an application to the
                                                                                              from $19.66 last quarter to $20.93.                 City of Toronto to build an 83-storey tower
                                                                                                                                                  on top of the Holt Renfrew Centre on Bloor
                                                                                              The Yonge and Eglinton submarket appears            Street. This mixed-use development will
                                                                                              to tell a different story with vacancy rising       contain an 8-storey office podium with the
                                                                                              from 6.5 percent to 7.0 percent this quarter.       remaining floors to be residential condos.


                                                                                                     MIDTOWN
                                                                                                     OFFICE            5.2%                     -48,786                      $17.70
                                                                                                                                                                             Wgt Avg. Asking
                                                                                                     STATISTICS        Vacancy Rate             Absorption 2013 Q1
                                                                                                                                                                             Net Rent


MIDTOWN | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F

                                                   Net Absorption              Vacancy Rate     Asking Net Rent

                                        4                                                                                                                                              20


                                                                                                                                                                           FORECAST
                                        3                                                                                                                                              15




                                                                                                                                                                                             Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Rate (%)
                                        2                                                                                                                                              10
          Net Absorption (100,000 SF)




                                        1                                                                                                                                              5



                                        0                                                                                                                                              0



                                        -1                                                                                                                                             -5



                                        -2                                                                                                                                             -10



                                        -3                                                                                                                                             -15



                                        -4                                                                                                                                             -20
                                              1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

                                                 2003             2004             2005       2006        2007    2008       2009       2010        2011       2012       2013

                                             Source: Colliers International, April 2013

P. 4   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO



GTA North
The GTA North market experienced a                                                           The      Highway     404-407       submarket
further decline in vacancy this quarter to 6.1                                               experienced heightened activity this quarter
percent – an all-time low for this market. A                                                 with some significant tenant moves. Although
significant amount of absorption occurred                                                    absorption levels seem fairly minimal, several
in the Vaughan submarket, where 610                                                          tenants in the 10-20,000 square foot range
Applewood Crescent was newly occupied                                                        absorbed space in the market this quarter,
by CIBC, Scotia Bank and Classified Media                                                    whereas four different tenants vacated space
throughout the last six months. Vaughan                                                      this quarter. Toshiba is expected to take
continues to have the highest suburban                                                       occupancy of their property at 75 Tiverton
submarket Class A average net asking rent                                                    Court within the next six months, which will
at $22.67 this quarter.                                                                      account for nearly 80,000 square feet of
                                                                                             positive absorption.
There are limited large block opportunities
                                                                                             With very limited new supply in the pipeline,
in Vaughan with only 1 option with
                                                                                             and a consistently low vacancy rate, it is
immediate occupancy over 25,000 square
                                                                                             expected that the GTA North market will
feet at 7300 Keele Street, a total of 45,926
                                                                                             remain strong with vacancy expected to hit
square feet available with an asking net
                                                                                             5.6 percent by year-end. Net asking rents
rent of $23.50.
                                                                                             are forecasted to remain at the current levels.



      GTA NORTH
      OFFICE                                                 6.1%                          46,030                       $15.25
                                                                                                                        Wgt Avg. Asking
      STATISTICS                                             Vacancy Rate                  Absorption 2013 Q1
                                                                                                                        Net Rent


GTA NORTH | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F

                                                 Net Absorption             Vacancy Rate     Asking Net Rent

                                     5                                                                                                                                    25
                                                                                                                                                               FORECAST

                                     4                                                                                                                                    20




                                                                                                                                                                                Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Rate (%)
                                     3                                                                                                                                    15
       Net Absorption (100,000 SF)




                                     2                                                                                                                                    10



                                     1                                                                                                                                    5



                                     0                                                                                                                                    0



                                     -1                                                                                                                                   -5



                                     -2                                                                                                                                   -10



                                     -3                                                                                                                                   -15
                                           1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

                                              2003             2004             2005       2006        2007      2008       2009       2010    2011   2012    2013

                                          Source: Colliers International, April 2013
                                                                                                                                                      COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |                                           P. 5
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO



                                                                                                GTA East
                                                                                                The GTA East market, the smallest of all          The current inventory in this market is
                                                                                                GTA office markets at just 5.5 million square     aging, with the majority of buildings built
                                                                                                feet, continues to post the highest vacancy       in the 1980’s. In the last ten years, there
                                                                                                rate in the GTA, at 8.6 percent this quarter.     has been no significant new supply in this
                                                                                                With negative absorption reported in the last     market, keeping average net asking rates at
                                                                                                two quarters, the market has seen some of         affordable levels.
                                                                                                its more significant sized tenants relocate.
                                                                                                                                                  It is expected that asking rates will decline
                                                                                                Last quarter, CUPE left their space at 305
                                                                                                                                                  in the GTA East market due to the number
                                                                                                Milner Avenue (27,489 square feet) to
                                                                                                                                                  of available options. The vacancy rate is
                                                                                                relocate to 80 Commerce Valley Drive East
                                                                                                                                                  expected to continue to hover between 8 to
                                                                                                in the Markham Town Centre submarket.
                                                                                                                                                  9 percent.
                                                                                                Currently, there are several large block
                                                                                                opportunities in the GTA East market, with
                                                                                                six direct options over 20,000 square feet.
                                                                                                Nearly all of these options are available
                                                                                                immediately, currently sitting vacant.




                                                                                                       GTA EAST
                                                                                                       OFFICE           8.6%                    -20,262                   $13.14
                                                                                                                                                                          Wgt Avg. Asking
                                                                                                       STATISTICS       Vacancy Rate            Absorption 2013 Q1
                                                                                                                                                                          Net Rent



GTA EAST | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F

                                                  Net Absorption              Vacancy Rate     Net Asking Rent

                                     3                                                                                                                                            20

                                                                                                                                                                       FORECAST
                                                                                                                                                                                  15
                                     2




                                                                                                                                                                                        Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Ret (%)
                                                                                                                                                                                  10
       Net Absorption (100,000 SF)




                                     1
                                                                                                                                                                                  5



                                     0                                                                                                                                            0



                                                                                                                                                                                  -5
                                     -1

                                                                                                                                                                                  -10

                                     -2
                                                                                                                                                                                  -15



                                     -3                                                                                                                                           -20
                                           1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

                                              2003              2004             2005        2006       2007     2008      2009        2010       2011      2012      2013
                                          Source: Colliers International, April 2013


P. 6                 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO



GTA West
After 2 consecutive quarters of relatively                                                space at 2425 Matheson Boulevard East.           Some tenants chose relocation options in
high absorption, the GTA West market                                                      Both Sykes and Burger King accounted for         more central markets, such as Replicon who
posted low levels of absorption this quarter                                              negative absorption in the Class A Hwy           left 7420 Airport Road upon lease expiry to
at a total of 4,806 square feet. The                                                      427-Bloor-Islington submarket this quarter,      relocate to 48 Yonge Street.
Mississauga City Centre and Meadowvale                                                    leaving a total of nearly 25,000 square feet
                                                                                                                                           The GTA West market is expected to
submarkets accounted for the majority                                                     at 10 Four Seasons Place and 401 The West
                                                                                                                                           continue to show higher than usual levels
of the positive absorption this quarter,                                                  Mall.
                                                                                                                                           of activity throughout the next few quarters
recorded at 47,787 square feet and 44,943
                                                                                          The Meadowvale Class A submarket                 with some larger deals expecting to close.
square feet respectively, however, seven of
                                                                                          absorbed two large tenancies this quarter;       It is forecasted that the average net asking
the twelve submarkets residing in the GTA
                                                                                          Superior Energy took space at 6750               rates will remain stable throughout the next
West market posted negative absorption
                                                                                          Century Avenue and Golder Associates took        few quarters with a slight decrease in the
this quarter, with the most extreme being in
                                                                                          an additional 25,000 square feet at 6925         vacancy rate.
the Hwy 427-Bloor-Islington submarket at
                                                                                          Century Avenue. However, Intact Insurance
47,534 square feet of negative absorption.
                                                                                          left over 20,000 square feet at 6733
Despite the low overall absorption number,                                                Mississauga Road causing total absorption
there was a heightened amount of activity                                                 levels to drop.
this quarter in this market, with some new
tenants coming into the market as well as
several companies either vacating their
space or downsizing this quarter, including
                                                                                                 GTA WEST
                                                                                                 OFFICE           7.8%                   4,806                     $14.73
                                                                                                                                                                   Wgt Avg. Asking
                                                                                                 STATISTICS       Vacancy Rate           Absorption 2013 Q1
RIM and Odyssey Financial, both leaving                                                                                                                            Net Rent



GTA WEST | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F

                                             Net Absorption              Vacancy Rate    Asking Net Rent

                                  10                                                                                                                                        30
                                                                                                                                                                 FORECAST
                                   8                                                                                                                                        25


                                                                                                                                                                            20
                                   6




                                                                                                                                                                                  Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Ret (%)
                                                                                                                                                                            15
    Net Absorption (100,000 SF)




                                   4

                                                                                                                                                                            10
                                   2
                                                                                                                                                                            5
                                   0
                                                                                                                                                                            0

                                  -2
                                                                                                                                                                            -5

                                  -4
                                                                                                                                                                            -10

                                  -6                                                                                                                                        -15


                                  -8                                                                                                                                        -20
                                        1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

                                           2003             2004             2005       2006       2007    2008      2009        2010       2011      2012      2013

                                       Source: Colliers International, April 2013


                                                                                                                                                       COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |                                           P. 7
MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO


                                                     Central North
                                                     The Central North market experienced a slight increase in                                              Our Services
                                                     vacancy rates this quarter, posting negative absorption of
                                                                                                                                                            > Brokerage
                                                     29,975 square feet. One noticeable vacancy in the Dufferin/
                                                     Finch submarket was the 12,500 square foot vacancy at 777
                                                     Supertest Road, formerly occupied by Alpine who downsized
                                                     this quarter.                                                                                          > Corporate Solutions
                                                                                                                                                            > Investment Services
                                                     The North Yonge Corridor continues to be an extremely tight                                            > Project Management
                                                     market with a low vacancy rate at 2.8 percent. It continues
                                                                                                                                                            > Real Estate Management Services
                                                     to post one of the higher average asking net rents for Class A
                                                     space at $20.04 per square foot. With large block opportunities                                        > Valuation & Advisory Services
                                                     in this market being somewhat rare, currently, 3 of the 4
                                                     options over 25,000 square feet are sublease opportunities.

                                                                                                                                                            CONTACT INFORMATION

                                                             CENTRAL NORTH OFFICE STATISTICS                                                                Scott Addison
                                                                                                                                                            President | Eastern Canada
                                                            4.3%                        -29,975                             $15.68                          +1 416 620 2800
                                                            Vacancy Rate                Absorption 2013 Q1                  Wgt Avg. Asking
                                                                                                                            Net Rent                        scott.addison@colliers.com


                                                                                                                                                            John Arnoldi
                                                     Central East                                                                                           Executive Managing Director
                                                                                                                                                            Toronto Region
                                                     The Central East market experienced a rise in vacancy this
                                                                                                                                                            +1 416 643 3733
                                                     quarter to 6.1 percent with a quarterly negative absorption
                                                                                                                                                            john.arnoldi@colliers.com
                                                     of nearly 40,000 square feet. There were two significant
                                                     vacancies in the Class A Consumers Road submarket with
                                                     Direct Energy shutting down their Toronto operations                                                   Shawna Rogowski
                                                     causing over 60,000 square feet of vacancy at 2225                                                     Market Intelligence Manager
                                                     Sheppard Avenue East, as well as Ally Financial leaving                                                Toronto Region
                                                     nearly 20,000 square feet at 2235 Sheppard Avenue East.                                                +1 416 643 3764
                                                                                                                                                            shawna.rogowski@colliers.com
                                                     It is expected that the vacancy rate will decline to the mid-5
                                                     percent range by year-end and net asking rates will hover in
                                                     the mid-$12.00 range for the market.                                                                   For more information on available
                                                                                                                                                            properties, additional research
                                                                                                                                                            reports, and our services please visit
                                                                                                                                                            www.collierscanada.com/toronto
                                                            CENTRAL EAST OFFICE STATISTICS

                                                            6.1%                       -39,855                             $12.32                           +1 416 777 2200
                                                            Vacancy Rate               Absorption 2013 Q1                  Wgt Avg. Asking
                                                                                                                           Net Rent



This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees,
representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content,
accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International
excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and
damages arising there from. Colliers International is a worldwide affiliation of independently owned and operated companies. This publication is the
copyrighted property of Colliers International and /or its licensor(s). © 2013. All rights reserved. Colliers Macaulay Nicolls (Ontario) Inc., Brokerage.
                                                                                                                                                                     Accelerating success.

www.colliers.com/toronto

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Colliers Q1 2013 Office Market Report #cre #Toronto

  • 1. SPRING 2013 | OFFICE COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | MARKET REPORT TORONTO ONTARIO Canadian Market Overview The Canadian economy has been sending mixed signals during recent months, with some current domestic indicators looking more positive while others are not so encouraging. Most uplifting was the February employment report with the addition of just over 50,000 jobs. Good news for the office sector was the increase of service sector jobs, many of which were full-time positions. Overall retail sales were pretty flat, with auto sales excluded, following a drop in December. The retail sales numbers may indicate a reduced appetite for spending during 2013 as household debt weighs heavily on many consumers. A sobering trend becoming evident in the housing market is the downward trajectory of new home starts as the market seeks to find a sustainable level of starts. Downtown office vacancies, with minor exceptions, are sitting in mid-single digits and rents are reflecting the tight market conditions in prime CBD locations. Industrial markets are similarly well positioned, albeit with less upward pressure on rents in the Eastern markets. Retail property continues to benefit from U.S. retailer migration into Canada with retailers vying for prime mall space. Reflecting the above conditions, commercial market fundamentals across the country are anticipated to remain solid throughout 2013. MARKET INDICATORS 2012 Q4* 2013 Q1* Greater Toronto Area Overview The Greater Toronto Area office market experienced heightened activity in the last INVENTORY two quarters, especially in the two largest markets – Downtown and the GTA West market. The Downtown market experienced increased demand for quality space, NET ABSORPTION leading several new developments from the proposed stages into the planned/under construction phases. VACANCY RATE Despite the relatively low overall absorption for the GTA West market, there were ASKING NET RENT significant tenant moves to and from the market leading to nearly a balanced amount of negative and positive absorption as the market continues to be extremely active. ADDITIONAL RENT *change in comparison to previous quarter www.colliers.com/toronto
  • 2. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO GTA Markets Downtown The downtown market has seen an increase in demand for office space as shown in the steady decline in the vacancy rate from 4.6 percent to 4.2 percent since last quarter. The Financial Core has seen a more significant decline in vacancy from 5.2 percent to 4.5 percent, indicating continued growth in demand for space within this submarket. GTA East Heightened leasing activity, especially with GTA North the more significant deals done at Commerce Court West, has resulted in fewer large block Central East opportunities. In the past six months, the Midtown Downtown several large block spaces that have been Central North vacant in the building have been leased to LAKE ONTARIO sizeable tenants, including Chubb Insurance, GTA West Inmet Mining and Laurentian Bank. The reasonable rates for this AAA class asset and lack of large block opportunities in AAA $24.12 and A class properties facilitated tenant DOWNTOWN OFFICE 4.2% 198,464 Wgt Avg. Asking interest and resulted in this building being STATISTICS Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 almost fully leased. Davies Ward Phillips and Net Rent GTA | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Asking Net Rent 25 25 FORECAST 20 20 Asking Net Rent ($)/Vacancy Rate (%) 15 15 Net Absorption (100,000 SF) 10 10 5 5 - 0 (5) -5 (10) -10 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Colliers International, April 2013 P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 3. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO Vineberg LLP took 103,515 square feet of Quick absorption of new product has in the availability rate, which dropped from space at 155 Wellington Street West adding boosted developer confidence shown in the 6.5 percent last quarter to 5.6 percent this to the significant Class A absorption this escalation in the number of developments quarter. This demographic trend is expected quarter. moving into the construction phase before to grow as city planners continue to move pre-leasing commitments reach the towards the creation of “live, play, work” Tenants looking for space over 50,000 standard 60 percent. Allied Properties communities throughout the downtown square feet will find 4 opportunities in AAA REIT has begun construction on Queen hubs, namely south-bound towards the properties compared to A class where Richmond Center West with 18 percent pre- waterfront. Financial services remain the there are no availabilities for this space leased. With roughly 5 million square feet of key drivers of demand for new office space requirement. The vacancy rate for A class office space currently under construction in with Deloitte & Touche and Ernst & Young is 4.2 percent compared to 5.0 percent for the downtown core and 17 projects in the accounting for nearly 600,000 square feet of AAA class properties, suggesting increased planned/proposed phase, new supply could pre-leased space in deals done this quarter. appeal in the lower rental rates that A class add a potential 14 million square feet to the The upward pressure on rental rates in properties provide. downtown office inventory from 2015 to conjunction with low vacancy rates reflects 2018. strength in the downtown office leasing Demand for new space is strong in market. It is expected that the activity within As residential developments continue to downtown Toronto with pre-leasing activity A class properties will remain high as newly rise and companies such as Google, Coca- ensuring projects such as 2 Adelaide constructed buildings continue to attract A Cola and TELUS look to attract a younger Street West, which is 43 percent pre- class tenants causing downward pressure generation of talent, there is an expectation leased, continue to the construction phase on rental rates in existing buildings within that many companies will want to be located adding an additional 900,000 square feet this asset class. in the core. This is exhibited by the decrease of inventory to the Financial Core in 2016. GTA DOWNTOWN | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Asking Net Rent 12 30 FORECAST 10 25 8 20 Asking Net Rent ($) / Availability Rate (%) 6 15 Net Absorption (100.000 SF) 4 10 2 5 0 0 -2 -5 -4 -10 -6 -15 -8 -20 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Colliers International, April 2013 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3
  • 4. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO Midtown Leasing activity has remained stagnant in However, there was a heightened amount of Midtown with the vacancy rate rising to 5.2 activity this quarter with deals that will impact percent this quarter. At the end of 2012, absorption over the next few quarters. By Midtown hit an all-time low in vacancy of 5.0 year-end, over 60,000 square feet will be percent and average net asking rates were occupied by three tenants. at their highest at $17.73 per square foot this quarter. The residential activity continues with the early stage of construction beginning at Minto Demand for residential space in Midtown 30Roe, a 34-storey residential condominium continues to drive developer interest in development by Minto located at Yonge and new condo construction. The lack of new Eglinton. This development will add 397 units commercial office construction has resulted to the residential market in spring 2015. in the tight marketplace at Yonge and Bloor with total availability at 5.1 percent this Morguard Investments and Pensionfund quarter and a continued rise in rental rates Realty have submitted an application to the from $19.66 last quarter to $20.93. City of Toronto to build an 83-storey tower on top of the Holt Renfrew Centre on Bloor The Yonge and Eglinton submarket appears Street. This mixed-use development will to tell a different story with vacancy rising contain an 8-storey office podium with the from 6.5 percent to 7.0 percent this quarter. remaining floors to be residential condos. MIDTOWN OFFICE 5.2% -48,786 $17.70 Wgt Avg. Asking STATISTICS Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 Net Rent MIDTOWN | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Asking Net Rent 4 20 FORECAST 3 15 Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Rate (%) 2 10 Net Absorption (100,000 SF) 1 5 0 0 -1 -5 -2 -10 -3 -15 -4 -20 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Colliers International, April 2013 P. 4 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 5. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO GTA North The GTA North market experienced a The Highway 404-407 submarket further decline in vacancy this quarter to 6.1 experienced heightened activity this quarter percent – an all-time low for this market. A with some significant tenant moves. Although significant amount of absorption occurred absorption levels seem fairly minimal, several in the Vaughan submarket, where 610 tenants in the 10-20,000 square foot range Applewood Crescent was newly occupied absorbed space in the market this quarter, by CIBC, Scotia Bank and Classified Media whereas four different tenants vacated space throughout the last six months. Vaughan this quarter. Toshiba is expected to take continues to have the highest suburban occupancy of their property at 75 Tiverton submarket Class A average net asking rent Court within the next six months, which will at $22.67 this quarter. account for nearly 80,000 square feet of positive absorption. There are limited large block opportunities With very limited new supply in the pipeline, in Vaughan with only 1 option with and a consistently low vacancy rate, it is immediate occupancy over 25,000 square expected that the GTA North market will feet at 7300 Keele Street, a total of 45,926 remain strong with vacancy expected to hit square feet available with an asking net 5.6 percent by year-end. Net asking rents rent of $23.50. are forecasted to remain at the current levels. GTA NORTH OFFICE 6.1% 46,030 $15.25 Wgt Avg. Asking STATISTICS Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 Net Rent GTA NORTH | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Asking Net Rent 5 25 FORECAST 4 20 Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Rate (%) 3 15 Net Absorption (100,000 SF) 2 10 1 5 0 0 -1 -5 -2 -10 -3 -15 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Colliers International, April 2013 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 5
  • 6. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO GTA East The GTA East market, the smallest of all The current inventory in this market is GTA office markets at just 5.5 million square aging, with the majority of buildings built feet, continues to post the highest vacancy in the 1980’s. In the last ten years, there rate in the GTA, at 8.6 percent this quarter. has been no significant new supply in this With negative absorption reported in the last market, keeping average net asking rates at two quarters, the market has seen some of affordable levels. its more significant sized tenants relocate. It is expected that asking rates will decline Last quarter, CUPE left their space at 305 in the GTA East market due to the number Milner Avenue (27,489 square feet) to of available options. The vacancy rate is relocate to 80 Commerce Valley Drive East expected to continue to hover between 8 to in the Markham Town Centre submarket. 9 percent. Currently, there are several large block opportunities in the GTA East market, with six direct options over 20,000 square feet. Nearly all of these options are available immediately, currently sitting vacant. GTA EAST OFFICE 8.6% -20,262 $13.14 Wgt Avg. Asking STATISTICS Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 Net Rent GTA EAST | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Net Asking Rent 3 20 FORECAST 15 2 Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Ret (%) 10 Net Absorption (100,000 SF) 1 5 0 0 -5 -1 -10 -2 -15 -3 -20 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Colliers International, April 2013 P. 6 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 7. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO GTA West After 2 consecutive quarters of relatively space at 2425 Matheson Boulevard East. Some tenants chose relocation options in high absorption, the GTA West market Both Sykes and Burger King accounted for more central markets, such as Replicon who posted low levels of absorption this quarter negative absorption in the Class A Hwy left 7420 Airport Road upon lease expiry to at a total of 4,806 square feet. The 427-Bloor-Islington submarket this quarter, relocate to 48 Yonge Street. Mississauga City Centre and Meadowvale leaving a total of nearly 25,000 square feet The GTA West market is expected to submarkets accounted for the majority at 10 Four Seasons Place and 401 The West continue to show higher than usual levels of the positive absorption this quarter, Mall. of activity throughout the next few quarters recorded at 47,787 square feet and 44,943 The Meadowvale Class A submarket with some larger deals expecting to close. square feet respectively, however, seven of absorbed two large tenancies this quarter; It is forecasted that the average net asking the twelve submarkets residing in the GTA Superior Energy took space at 6750 rates will remain stable throughout the next West market posted negative absorption Century Avenue and Golder Associates took few quarters with a slight decrease in the this quarter, with the most extreme being in an additional 25,000 square feet at 6925 vacancy rate. the Hwy 427-Bloor-Islington submarket at Century Avenue. However, Intact Insurance 47,534 square feet of negative absorption. left over 20,000 square feet at 6733 Despite the low overall absorption number, Mississauga Road causing total absorption there was a heightened amount of activity levels to drop. this quarter in this market, with some new tenants coming into the market as well as several companies either vacating their space or downsizing this quarter, including GTA WEST OFFICE 7.8% 4,806 $14.73 Wgt Avg. Asking STATISTICS Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 RIM and Odyssey Financial, both leaving Net Rent GTA WEST | HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE & FORECAST | Q1 2003 - Q1 2014F Net Absorption Vacancy Rate Asking Net Rent 10 30 FORECAST 8 25 20 6 Asking Net Rent ($) / Vacancy Ret (%) 15 Net Absorption (100,000 SF) 4 10 2 5 0 0 -2 -5 -4 -10 -6 -15 -8 -20 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Colliers International, April 2013 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 7
  • 8. MARKET REPORT | SPRING 2013 | OFFICE | TORONTO Central North The Central North market experienced a slight increase in Our Services vacancy rates this quarter, posting negative absorption of > Brokerage 29,975 square feet. One noticeable vacancy in the Dufferin/ Finch submarket was the 12,500 square foot vacancy at 777 Supertest Road, formerly occupied by Alpine who downsized this quarter. > Corporate Solutions > Investment Services The North Yonge Corridor continues to be an extremely tight > Project Management market with a low vacancy rate at 2.8 percent. It continues > Real Estate Management Services to post one of the higher average asking net rents for Class A space at $20.04 per square foot. With large block opportunities > Valuation & Advisory Services in this market being somewhat rare, currently, 3 of the 4 options over 25,000 square feet are sublease opportunities. CONTACT INFORMATION CENTRAL NORTH OFFICE STATISTICS Scott Addison President | Eastern Canada 4.3% -29,975 $15.68 +1 416 620 2800 Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 Wgt Avg. Asking Net Rent scott.addison@colliers.com John Arnoldi Central East Executive Managing Director Toronto Region The Central East market experienced a rise in vacancy this +1 416 643 3733 quarter to 6.1 percent with a quarterly negative absorption john.arnoldi@colliers.com of nearly 40,000 square feet. There were two significant vacancies in the Class A Consumers Road submarket with Direct Energy shutting down their Toronto operations Shawna Rogowski causing over 60,000 square feet of vacancy at 2225 Market Intelligence Manager Sheppard Avenue East, as well as Ally Financial leaving Toronto Region nearly 20,000 square feet at 2235 Sheppard Avenue East. +1 416 643 3764 shawna.rogowski@colliers.com It is expected that the vacancy rate will decline to the mid-5 percent range by year-end and net asking rates will hover in the mid-$12.00 range for the market. For more information on available properties, additional research reports, and our services please visit www.collierscanada.com/toronto CENTRAL EAST OFFICE STATISTICS 6.1% -39,855 $12.32 +1 416 777 2200 Vacancy Rate Absorption 2013 Q1 Wgt Avg. Asking Net Rent This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. Colliers International is a worldwide affiliation of independently owned and operated companies. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and /or its licensor(s). © 2013. All rights reserved. Colliers Macaulay Nicolls (Ontario) Inc., Brokerage. Accelerating success. www.colliers.com/toronto