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WITH
BIOVERSITY, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICARD
A, ICRAF, ICRISAT, IITA, ILRI, WORLDFIS
H
Consultation with
Partners and Donors
June 17-18, 2013
Montpellier, France
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY
RESEARCH INSTITUTE
Topics
• Impact pathways and present work
– Gender
– Productivity
– Access
– Value Chains
• Proposed evolution of PIM1 to PIM2
• Partnership
• Capacity building/mentoring
Impact Pathways
Agricultural Research
Local Adaptation Communication/Extension Policy Complementary Investment
Productivity
Access
NRM
[Income} [Food Prices] Social Protection
Property rights Management of Common Property
Technical change
Asset pricing
1. Strategic Gender Research
2. Deepening Current Gender Work
e.g. Value Chains
3. Exploring New
Possibilities
e.g. Macro and
Foresight work
PIM Gender Strategy
Strategic Gender Research
• Workshop on Methods and Standards for
Research on Gender in Agriculture
• Collaboration with FAO on sex disaggregated
data
• Women‘s Empowerment in Agriculture Index
• Women’s Empowerment in South Asia
• In Africa, what share of land do women own?
The Productivity Theme: Unpacking the
relationship between agricultural research
and productivity
Mean values of output-R&D elasticities for developing regions
Region Mean
Asia 0.142
China 0.170
Latin America 0.103
Africa 0.093
Source: Nin Pratt (2013) using information from Evenson (2001).
Constituent elements of relationship
• Agricultural Research: Science Policy , Organizations, Incentives, Foresight
modeling, Public and private
• Local Adaptation: Structure and organization of NARS; linkage of
NARS, SROS, Global Centers, Private; technology tracking
• Extension: Organization and dimensioning of extension systems; ICT
• Policy: Trade, subsidy, value chains
• Investment: Public expenditure, geospatial coordination of infrastructure
Measuring Agricultural Incentives
The need to go from Distortions to Incentives
• Agricultural policies (domestic support and trade) are
complex, various and change over time and countries;
• Few initiatives aim to monitor policy distortions :
OECD (PSE/CSE), World Bank (Ag.
Distortions), IADB, MAFAP-FAO, WTO, but they differ:
– In country coverage
– Time coverage (eg. OECD PSE-CSE last updates for
2011, World Bank 2007)
– Methodologies, leading to contrasted pictures, even
for very well documented countries:
Measuring Agricultural Incentives
Differences: Example USA
Rice
Milk
“All Goods”
Why the need to improve the
measuring Ag. Policies?
• Need to measure the policies and their effects to
discriminate between:
– Well-designed policies aimed to target market failures:
externalities, public good
– Vs Distortive policies leading to new distortions, unfair
competition, inefficiencies and international retaliations ;
• Good measurement will help to:
– Provide transparency and information;
– Identify effective policies;
– Favor international dialogues and International cooperation
(G20, WTO, CAADP);
– Public goods for policy makers and researchers (important need
for quantitative information in all modeling exercises: policy
reform, foresight).
Proposed work for next phase
• Coordination and extension in data collection;
• Important methodological work by a research
team/institution needed, beyond existing work:
• Explain existing methodologies and their differences and
limitations
• Methodological improvements so that price distortions can
be translated directly into “incentives” or “disincentives”.
• Need to move from an accounting approach to a
behavioral/modeling approach
• It will rely on economic models (eg. CGE like MIRAGE to
build Policy Index), well informed (link with research on
value chains)
Value chain overview
• Value chains are a linked set of
activities* that are required to
bring a product from
conception, through the
different phases of production
to delivery to final consumers
to its disposal.
• The study of value chains is
useful to identify critical issues
and bottlenecks that limit
growth and in this
way, support poverty
reduction.
Simple Map of a Value Chain
* Also can be called nodes or segments.
Sub-Theme 3.1: Innovations
across the value chain for:
• reducing transaction
costs;
• managing risk;
• building social capital;
• enabling collective action;
and
• redressing missing
markets
How?
Sub-Theme 3.2: Impact of
upgrading value chains
• Tools, methods
• Comprehensive strategy
for evaluating and
assessing the impact of
different interventions
Web-based clearing house
with tools, data and a
network as an input for
CRP2 and all other
commodity CRP’s
14
i
?!
Example 1 : On Dairy in Vietnam:
Experimental design
Example 2: Working capital loan
intervention in Uganda
Smallholder
1. Farmers
deliver
output to
group, receiv
es no
payment yet
Farmer group
2. Group
bulks from
farmers and
delivers to
buyer
Processor /
Exporter
Itinerant
trader
A. Trader
buys output
from
producer at
farm gate
3. Price and volumes
are negotiated and
buyer pays for group
delivery
4. Group deducts
fees and
distributes
payment between
farmers
B. Trader
pays farmer
on the spot
Intervention: 1
Working capital
loan to allow
groups to make
a partial
payment to
farmers on
delivery
Intervention: 2
we introduce a
simple
voucher/bookke
eping system
(easy to claim
partial payment
and understand
deductions)
Results:
• Reduction in cost of selling
through the group
• Working capital loan almost
doubled the amount of output
collected from members for
group sales, which resulted in
prices 80% higher than those
accepted by farmers selling
individually
• Farmers motivated to apply
for loans from microfinance
institutions
Example 3: Simple Weather Securities
Can we improve the
design indexed products
so that:
(i) Smallholder farmers
want?
(ii) Protect farmers in bad
years and that
allowing them to
increase agricultural
investment
16
Lessons: demand for insurance
 Demand is strong when
farmers are offered high
quality insurance products
(Ethiopia, Bangladesh)
 Complementary financial
products are also
important
(Dercon, Hill, Clarke, Outes
-Leon and Seyoum Taffesse
2012):
 In Ethiopia: demand
was 50% higher when
insurance sold to
groups encouraged to
share non-insured risk
• Weather
securities: simple
and flexible
drought
insurance
products
• Gap insurance:
protects against
basis risk
High quality
index
insurance
• Group saving and
lending: protects
farmers against
individual
agricultural risk
Financial
products to
complement
Improving the quality of insurance for next
phase: innovating with gap insurance
 Farmers’ concern: index insurance will not pay them when they
need it, what if they had a bad year, but the index is good?
 Gap insurance addresses this concern: if the year has been
bad, but the index does not pay, a crop cut is requested. If average
yield is low, a payout will be made.
 Experience:
 Once gap insurance was introduced in Ethiopia, demand increased:
In 2012, 1500+ policies issued with 48% of targeted farmers
purchasing in some districts (compared to about 500 policies in the
previous year)
 Strong demand in Bangladesh for a similar product.
Value Chain Knowledge Clearinghouse
• It is an initiative led by PIM
CGIAR Research Program
[IFPRI, CIAT, ILRI, IITA, World
Agroforestry
Centre, ICRISAT, Bioversity, and
CIP].
• The purpose is to provide a
comprehensive, easily
accessible repository of
research methods and best
practices surrounding value
chain performance that can be
used by all the consortium
research programs and
partners.
Value Chain Knowledge
Clearinghouse: Main components
• Tools: Toolbox with guidelines for specific applications; best
practices for evaluation; and gender-specific analysis to integrate
gender into agricultural value chains;
• Data: Existing datasets evaluated by participating CGIAR institutions
and partners. The data will be directly linked to the portal’s tools and
best practices and will include questionnaires and a detailed
description of the sampling strategies;
• A Network of Practice: This will bring all value chain experts in the
CGIAR together in a common platform and will facilitate
collaboration among leading value chain scientists, ultimately
creating a dynamic research community;
• Community and Learning: Learning materials, e-courses, and
workshop series on the tools included in the clearinghouse.
Tool’s applications
• Indicators that could be
used as a first step in the
process to strengthen
value chains (e.g.
mapping gender roles)
• Also to track changes and
performance, for example
women’s and men’s
shares in chain
employment and income
• Upgrade or create new
opportunities for farmers
Value chain analysis phases
Major activities on gender in value
chains
• Map the participation in the value chain (occupations by
gender), identify gender wage gap, time use analysis,
discrimination, occupational segregation, working
conditions and access to work equality.
• Identify the gender-based constraints and opportunities
• Design solutions to remove gender-based constraints and
do impact evaluation of them
• Construct indicators to measure success of action
• Scale up solutions
• Organize workshops/training
• Value Chain Knowledge Clearinghouse development
Next phase for value chains
• Focus on bringing solutions to bottlenecks and
tools developed to focus on farmer
associations
• Design interventions with the different tools
and solutions to generate better collective
action on farmer groups
• Main outcome is to generate the necessary
economies of scale
Work on access to food
• Continued work on social protection and safety
nets
– Matching instruments to circumstances
• Evaluations of programs in Brazil (Bolsa Familia) and South
Africa (child protection grant)
• Vouchers, cash, food for work, conditional cash transfers
– Tradeoffs or complementarity between social
protection and growth?
• Ethiopia household asset-building component
• Demographic change and demand for food
– Youth bulge in Africa, Central Asia
– Aging elsewhere
Work on NRM
• Management of common property resources
– Water: modeling of demand and pressures (joint
with WLE)
– Biodiversity: value chains now; moving toward
metrics and management
– Drylands in Africa: pastoral
livelihoods, management of pasture
– Agroforestry now; discussion on forests (joint with
Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry)
Research Areas Addressing
Productivity, Access, and NRM; PIM Now and
Proposed
Proposed areas of focus for next CRP phase
2015-2020; preliminary
 Strengthening the innovation continuum
 Foresight modeling; link with household
data, geospatial, gender
 Clarifying roles of the public and private sectors in
agricultural research, identifying new spillovers
 Adoption of technology, dispersion of
innovation, and metrics to assess impact;
Technology Platform; gender roles
 Identifying and addressing distortions in the
incentive environment
 Strengthening value chains
 Tracking public spending on agriculture
 Increasing access to food of the poor and
vulnerable
 Ensuring food access for the rural poor: insurance
and safety nets
 Demographic change and access to food
 Policy foundations of natural resource
management for resilient landscapes
 Managing common property, including biodiversity
Research Areas
 Science policy
 Sectoral policy and
management of public
spending
 Social protection
 Sustainable intensification and
technology adoption
 Asset accumulation by the
poor and women
 Value chains
Key Partnerships
• Three types: Implementation
partners, research
partners, outreach/communication
• Key implementation partners:
CAADP, ASARECA, CORAF, ICAR, FARA, multilat
eral development agencies, bilateral
programs, WFP, FAO and private sector
Capacity Building and Mentoring
• Foundation of IFPRI’s programs already in
place; PIM co-finances
– IFPRI country knowledge support programs
– Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge
Support System (ReSAKSS); SAKSS
– AGRODEP African modeling network
• Foresight modeling
• Junior researchers
Major episodes of recent rapid agricultural growth
linked to policies, institutions, and markets.
• China post 1978
• Africa 2000’s after reforms of 1990s
• Latin American after removal of import
substitution policies.
• Green Revolution: technology+policy
• Global: greater openness to trade
Still much to be done, and CGIAR should be active and
present.
• Synergy with commodity and systems research
• Partnership with developing countries
Thank You

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PIM - Presentation for Discussion with Donors and Partners - June 2013

  • 1. WITH BIOVERSITY, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICARD A, ICRAF, ICRISAT, IITA, ILRI, WORLDFIS H Consultation with Partners and Donors June 17-18, 2013 Montpellier, France INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
  • 2. Topics • Impact pathways and present work – Gender – Productivity – Access – Value Chains • Proposed evolution of PIM1 to PIM2 • Partnership • Capacity building/mentoring
  • 3. Impact Pathways Agricultural Research Local Adaptation Communication/Extension Policy Complementary Investment Productivity Access NRM [Income} [Food Prices] Social Protection Property rights Management of Common Property Technical change Asset pricing
  • 4. 1. Strategic Gender Research 2. Deepening Current Gender Work e.g. Value Chains 3. Exploring New Possibilities e.g. Macro and Foresight work PIM Gender Strategy
  • 5. Strategic Gender Research • Workshop on Methods and Standards for Research on Gender in Agriculture • Collaboration with FAO on sex disaggregated data • Women‘s Empowerment in Agriculture Index • Women’s Empowerment in South Asia • In Africa, what share of land do women own?
  • 6. The Productivity Theme: Unpacking the relationship between agricultural research and productivity Mean values of output-R&D elasticities for developing regions Region Mean Asia 0.142 China 0.170 Latin America 0.103 Africa 0.093 Source: Nin Pratt (2013) using information from Evenson (2001).
  • 7. Constituent elements of relationship • Agricultural Research: Science Policy , Organizations, Incentives, Foresight modeling, Public and private • Local Adaptation: Structure and organization of NARS; linkage of NARS, SROS, Global Centers, Private; technology tracking • Extension: Organization and dimensioning of extension systems; ICT • Policy: Trade, subsidy, value chains • Investment: Public expenditure, geospatial coordination of infrastructure
  • 8. Measuring Agricultural Incentives The need to go from Distortions to Incentives • Agricultural policies (domestic support and trade) are complex, various and change over time and countries; • Few initiatives aim to monitor policy distortions : OECD (PSE/CSE), World Bank (Ag. Distortions), IADB, MAFAP-FAO, WTO, but they differ: – In country coverage – Time coverage (eg. OECD PSE-CSE last updates for 2011, World Bank 2007) – Methodologies, leading to contrasted pictures, even for very well documented countries:
  • 9. Measuring Agricultural Incentives Differences: Example USA Rice Milk “All Goods”
  • 10. Why the need to improve the measuring Ag. Policies? • Need to measure the policies and their effects to discriminate between: – Well-designed policies aimed to target market failures: externalities, public good – Vs Distortive policies leading to new distortions, unfair competition, inefficiencies and international retaliations ; • Good measurement will help to: – Provide transparency and information; – Identify effective policies; – Favor international dialogues and International cooperation (G20, WTO, CAADP); – Public goods for policy makers and researchers (important need for quantitative information in all modeling exercises: policy reform, foresight).
  • 11. Proposed work for next phase • Coordination and extension in data collection; • Important methodological work by a research team/institution needed, beyond existing work: • Explain existing methodologies and their differences and limitations • Methodological improvements so that price distortions can be translated directly into “incentives” or “disincentives”. • Need to move from an accounting approach to a behavioral/modeling approach • It will rely on economic models (eg. CGE like MIRAGE to build Policy Index), well informed (link with research on value chains)
  • 12. Value chain overview • Value chains are a linked set of activities* that are required to bring a product from conception, through the different phases of production to delivery to final consumers to its disposal. • The study of value chains is useful to identify critical issues and bottlenecks that limit growth and in this way, support poverty reduction. Simple Map of a Value Chain * Also can be called nodes or segments.
  • 13. Sub-Theme 3.1: Innovations across the value chain for: • reducing transaction costs; • managing risk; • building social capital; • enabling collective action; and • redressing missing markets How? Sub-Theme 3.2: Impact of upgrading value chains • Tools, methods • Comprehensive strategy for evaluating and assessing the impact of different interventions Web-based clearing house with tools, data and a network as an input for CRP2 and all other commodity CRP’s
  • 14. 14 i ?! Example 1 : On Dairy in Vietnam: Experimental design
  • 15. Example 2: Working capital loan intervention in Uganda Smallholder 1. Farmers deliver output to group, receiv es no payment yet Farmer group 2. Group bulks from farmers and delivers to buyer Processor / Exporter Itinerant trader A. Trader buys output from producer at farm gate 3. Price and volumes are negotiated and buyer pays for group delivery 4. Group deducts fees and distributes payment between farmers B. Trader pays farmer on the spot Intervention: 1 Working capital loan to allow groups to make a partial payment to farmers on delivery Intervention: 2 we introduce a simple voucher/bookke eping system (easy to claim partial payment and understand deductions) Results: • Reduction in cost of selling through the group • Working capital loan almost doubled the amount of output collected from members for group sales, which resulted in prices 80% higher than those accepted by farmers selling individually • Farmers motivated to apply for loans from microfinance institutions
  • 16. Example 3: Simple Weather Securities Can we improve the design indexed products so that: (i) Smallholder farmers want? (ii) Protect farmers in bad years and that allowing them to increase agricultural investment 16
  • 17. Lessons: demand for insurance  Demand is strong when farmers are offered high quality insurance products (Ethiopia, Bangladesh)  Complementary financial products are also important (Dercon, Hill, Clarke, Outes -Leon and Seyoum Taffesse 2012):  In Ethiopia: demand was 50% higher when insurance sold to groups encouraged to share non-insured risk • Weather securities: simple and flexible drought insurance products • Gap insurance: protects against basis risk High quality index insurance • Group saving and lending: protects farmers against individual agricultural risk Financial products to complement
  • 18. Improving the quality of insurance for next phase: innovating with gap insurance  Farmers’ concern: index insurance will not pay them when they need it, what if they had a bad year, but the index is good?  Gap insurance addresses this concern: if the year has been bad, but the index does not pay, a crop cut is requested. If average yield is low, a payout will be made.  Experience:  Once gap insurance was introduced in Ethiopia, demand increased: In 2012, 1500+ policies issued with 48% of targeted farmers purchasing in some districts (compared to about 500 policies in the previous year)  Strong demand in Bangladesh for a similar product.
  • 19. Value Chain Knowledge Clearinghouse • It is an initiative led by PIM CGIAR Research Program [IFPRI, CIAT, ILRI, IITA, World Agroforestry Centre, ICRISAT, Bioversity, and CIP]. • The purpose is to provide a comprehensive, easily accessible repository of research methods and best practices surrounding value chain performance that can be used by all the consortium research programs and partners.
  • 20. Value Chain Knowledge Clearinghouse: Main components • Tools: Toolbox with guidelines for specific applications; best practices for evaluation; and gender-specific analysis to integrate gender into agricultural value chains; • Data: Existing datasets evaluated by participating CGIAR institutions and partners. The data will be directly linked to the portal’s tools and best practices and will include questionnaires and a detailed description of the sampling strategies; • A Network of Practice: This will bring all value chain experts in the CGIAR together in a common platform and will facilitate collaboration among leading value chain scientists, ultimately creating a dynamic research community; • Community and Learning: Learning materials, e-courses, and workshop series on the tools included in the clearinghouse.
  • 21. Tool’s applications • Indicators that could be used as a first step in the process to strengthen value chains (e.g. mapping gender roles) • Also to track changes and performance, for example women’s and men’s shares in chain employment and income • Upgrade or create new opportunities for farmers Value chain analysis phases
  • 22. Major activities on gender in value chains • Map the participation in the value chain (occupations by gender), identify gender wage gap, time use analysis, discrimination, occupational segregation, working conditions and access to work equality. • Identify the gender-based constraints and opportunities • Design solutions to remove gender-based constraints and do impact evaluation of them • Construct indicators to measure success of action • Scale up solutions • Organize workshops/training • Value Chain Knowledge Clearinghouse development
  • 23. Next phase for value chains • Focus on bringing solutions to bottlenecks and tools developed to focus on farmer associations • Design interventions with the different tools and solutions to generate better collective action on farmer groups • Main outcome is to generate the necessary economies of scale
  • 24. Work on access to food • Continued work on social protection and safety nets – Matching instruments to circumstances • Evaluations of programs in Brazil (Bolsa Familia) and South Africa (child protection grant) • Vouchers, cash, food for work, conditional cash transfers – Tradeoffs or complementarity between social protection and growth? • Ethiopia household asset-building component • Demographic change and demand for food – Youth bulge in Africa, Central Asia – Aging elsewhere
  • 25. Work on NRM • Management of common property resources – Water: modeling of demand and pressures (joint with WLE) – Biodiversity: value chains now; moving toward metrics and management – Drylands in Africa: pastoral livelihoods, management of pasture – Agroforestry now; discussion on forests (joint with Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry)
  • 26.
  • 27. Research Areas Addressing Productivity, Access, and NRM; PIM Now and Proposed Proposed areas of focus for next CRP phase 2015-2020; preliminary  Strengthening the innovation continuum  Foresight modeling; link with household data, geospatial, gender  Clarifying roles of the public and private sectors in agricultural research, identifying new spillovers  Adoption of technology, dispersion of innovation, and metrics to assess impact; Technology Platform; gender roles  Identifying and addressing distortions in the incentive environment  Strengthening value chains  Tracking public spending on agriculture  Increasing access to food of the poor and vulnerable  Ensuring food access for the rural poor: insurance and safety nets  Demographic change and access to food  Policy foundations of natural resource management for resilient landscapes  Managing common property, including biodiversity Research Areas  Science policy  Sectoral policy and management of public spending  Social protection  Sustainable intensification and technology adoption  Asset accumulation by the poor and women  Value chains
  • 28. Key Partnerships • Three types: Implementation partners, research partners, outreach/communication • Key implementation partners: CAADP, ASARECA, CORAF, ICAR, FARA, multilat eral development agencies, bilateral programs, WFP, FAO and private sector
  • 29. Capacity Building and Mentoring • Foundation of IFPRI’s programs already in place; PIM co-finances – IFPRI country knowledge support programs – Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (ReSAKSS); SAKSS – AGRODEP African modeling network • Foresight modeling • Junior researchers
  • 30. Major episodes of recent rapid agricultural growth linked to policies, institutions, and markets. • China post 1978 • Africa 2000’s after reforms of 1990s • Latin American after removal of import substitution policies. • Green Revolution: technology+policy • Global: greater openness to trade Still much to be done, and CGIAR should be active and present. • Synergy with commodity and systems research • Partnership with developing countries

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Data and methods includes paper on women’s land ownerhsip and collaboration with FAO.
  2. The idea in the title is important.PIM wants to focus on incentives when policy measurements are mainly about distortions. We need to change the approach : we need better policies and the need to use new and better way to measure themThe graphs show that we have some contrasted pictures for one country:- For all goods (first the definition of all ag goods is not the same), but we have different level (leading also to different ranking across pcountries) but also different trends at different periods (one indicator go up when the other go down).- For rice we see OECD > WB, and for Milk : WB > OECD
  3. The idea in the title is important.PIM wants to focus on incentives when policy measurements are mainly about distortions. We need to change the approach : we need better policies and the need to use new and better way to measure themThe graphs show that we have some contrasted pictures for one country:- For all goods (first the definition of all ag goods is not the same), but we have different level (leading also to different ranking across pcountries) but also different trends at different periods (one indicator go up when the other go down).- For rice we see OECD > WB, and for Milk : WB > OECD
  4. Economies of scale: Fixed costs involved in transportation and processing fees, which rise the unit cost of output considerably when volumes sold are small.Bargaining power: with higher volumes, farmer groups can get better prices and conditions for their members than individual farmers.Coordination costs: Cost of organizing the group and coordinating activites for a collective sale.Time costs: Collective sales increase waiting periods between harvest and payment for a sale because of the need to wait for everybody to deliver during bulking period and for the group to find a buyer and pay back to individual members, since farmer groups very rarely have cash to pay members for their output directly.Uncertainty costs: uncertainty about the length of the waiting period between harvest and payment, and also trust that group leaders will get a good price and will not appropriate an unfair share of the payment.Evidence of limited success of farmer groups in improving market access: lower share of transactions through groups than directly to traders among Ugandan coffee farmers (Fafchamps and Hill, 2005), low benefits from memberships in farmer groups in Senegal and Burkina Faso (Bernard et al., 2008) and Ethiopia (Bernard and Seyoum-Taffesse, 2012). This project’s baseline survey indicates than more than 60% of the transactions made by farmer group members do not go through the group.In Uganda, we provide a random group of farmer groups (marketing coffee and maize) with a fund that mimics a working capital loan, to be used exclusively to give farmers a partial cash payment as soon as they deliver their output to the group, plus training on a voucher/bookkeeping system to manage the fund.Since many farmers argue that urgent need for cash is the main reason to sell to trader, by reducing the waiting period to get paid associated with collective sales, the intervention aims to make groups a more attractive option. This, in turn, increases the number of farmers selling through the group which increases the group’s bargaining power, and ultimately, the price the group can get.Groups that decided to continue with the intervention applying for microfinance loans belong to NUCAFE, an umbrella organization for coffee farmer groups in Uganda.