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Economic Transformation Programme: An Update

Ku Kok Peng
Director, ETP Investment
PEMANDU
National Transformation Policy
Towards Vision 2020
                                   1Malaysia
                        (People First, Performance Now)




                                         Transformation Programme




                                                                    Transformation Programme
     Transformation Programme
            Government




                                                 Economic




                                                                             Political

                                10th & 11th Malaysia Plan
The Connection

WE
MUST
DO
BOTH
             • Grow The Economy        • Spend Revenue Based
             • Increase Revenue          On Rakyat Needs
             • Increase Job / Income   • Distribute The Revenue
                                         (RBI / LIH)
GTP Delivered 121% Of Its Target

         NKRA Overall Performance 2010
         NKPIs                                2010 Actual

                 Urban Public Transport        107%

                 Crime                         168%

                 Rural Basic Infrastructure     91%

                 Education                     156%

                 Low Income Household           79%

                 Corruption                    121%

                 Overall Composite Scoring     121%
GTP 2010 Results
Were Endorsed By
An International
Panel &            Sir Michael Barber
                   Partner, McKinsey UK; ex-Head of Prime
                   Minister’s Delivery Unit (PMDU) of Tony
                   Blair Administration
                                                               Ravi
                                                               Balakrishnan
                                                               IMF Resident
                                                               Representative, Singapore




Audit Firm         Michael Hershman
                   Co-founder of Transparency
                   International; Current CEO of the Fairfax
                   Group
                                                               Sergei Dodzin
                                                               Senior Economist, Asia & Pacific
                                                               Department – International
                                                               Monetary Fund




                   Stephen Sedgwick                            Kwak Seung-Jun
                   Australian Public Service                   Chairman
                   Commissioner                                Presidential Council for Future
                                                               and Vision
1H 2011: Continuing To Deliver On Promises
Crime                                    Corruption                      RBI
• Index Crime - 9.6% (5%)                • 68% of EPPs under CIP         • 474 of rural roads (905)
• Street Crime – 41.6% (40%)               (70%)                         • 12,004 rural houses
• TNS Fear of Crime Index                • 84% gov’t contracts under       with clean water supply
  48.9% (< 50%)                            IP                              (58,087)
• 1st in safety & security in SEA        • Enhanced IP for KV MRT        • 2,906 rural houses with
  by Global Peace Index                  • 237 convicted grand             electricity supply
• 1st /19 middle income                    corruption offenders listed     (26,882)
  countries by World Justice             • 2.99 score for regulatory /   • 2,567 houses for rural
  Report                                   enforcement agencies (3.5)      poor (9,146)
UPT                                       LIH                             Education
• 22% increase in BET 1-4                 • 20,650 households            • Pre-school enrollment rate
  ridership                                 participated in 1AZAM          58.3% (80%)
• 15.7% increase in rail                    (57,793)                     • 95% Numeracy (95%)
  ridership; 29 new 4-car train           • 90% verified under           • 90% Literacy (95%)
  set operationalised                       eKasih (100%)                • 1,945 pre-school classes
• Line integration at Masjid              • 430 women                      started (2,755)
  Jamek & Titiwangsa                        entrepreneurs trained        • 54,569 children benefited in
  completed                                 (1,000)                        2010
• Refurbished Puduraya re-                • 401 low-cost houses          • Best UPSR results in 4
  opened                                    handed over (4,965)            years in 2010
2011 full-year targets in brackets ( )
NEW ECONOMIC MODEL:
Making Us A Rich Country, For Everyone &
For A Long Time

                                                    Target USD 15,000
                           High-Income             GNI per capita by 2020




                                 Quality
                                 of Life
   Enables all                                               Meets present
 communities                                                 needs without
    to benefit   Inclusiveness             Sustainability    compromising
     from the                                                future
 wealth of the                                               generations
      country
For A Country To Become
A High Income Nation, We Need:


       FOCUS         &   COMPETITIVENESS


        We Need          We Need “Enablers”
      “Drivers” To           To Ensure
      Ensure Focus        Competitiveness

      NKEAs                   SRIs
We Must
Focus
1,000+ CEO & Top Leaders
From MNCs, GLCs, SMEs, Ministries & Gov’t Agencies
Attended The Thousand Person Workshop
And Determine NKEAs
12 NKEAs (National Key Economic Areas)
                                      Greater KL/
                                      Klang Valley


       Agriculture                                                    Electrical &
                                                     Palm Oil &       Electronics
                         Healthcare                   Rubber



                                        Tourism
     Wholesale                                          Financial             Business
      & Retail       Education                          Services              Services




              Oil, Gas                                             Comms
              & Energy                                            Content &
                              12 NKEAs                              Infra
LAB

Labs Assembled
         Best Minds
from Private and Public Sectors to Chart
Growth Plans
NKEAs LAB Objectives
1   Increase GNI per capita From
    USD6,700 To USD15,000
    By 2020
NKEAs LAB Objectives
2   Identify Projects To Achieve
    Above Target
NKEAs LAB Objectives
3   Ensure The Projects Are
    Mainly Privately Funded
NKEAs LAB Objectives
4   Ensure More Job Creation
    And Shift Towards
    High Income Bracket
Output Of The Labs
         LAB




500 Lab Members From     12 NKEAs Are      An Extract Of 12
200+ Companies           Defined And Set   Lab Reports.
Participated Full Time   To Roll-Out.      A Detailed
For 9 Weeks.                               Description
                                           Of 131 Entry Point
                                           Projects and 60
                                           Business
                                           Opportunities.
ETP Is A
Programme         Not A Plan




  Projects        Strategic intent
  Action items    Strategic plan
  Timeline        Blueprint
  Project owner   Strategy document
  Targets
We Must Be
Competitive
ETP =
 NKEAs + SRIs
 SRIs (Enablers)
  Public Service Delivery
  Public Finance
  International Standards & Liberalisation
  Human Capital Development
  Government’s Role In Business
  Narrowing Disparities                                                                     15,000+




              GNI per capita | USD   7,000


NKEAs (Drivers)                      Current   NKEA 1   NKEA 2   NKEA 3   NKEA 4   NKEA 5   Others    Target
SRIs Provide The Enablers For Malaysia
To Be Competitive

                                      51
                                   Policy Measures




                    14
              With Natural Homes
                                                        37
                                                     Grouped In SIX
              Within The NKEAs /                      Clusters For
                    NKRAs                              Execution
37 Policy Measures
    Grouped Into 6 Clusters

1                      2                      3
    Int’l Standards             Public            Public Service
    & Liberalisation           Finance              Delivery

      9 policies             5 policies            7 policies

4                      5                      6    Narrowing
    Human Capital           Government‘s
                                                  Disparities /
    Development            Role in Business
                                                  Bumi SMEs

      9 policies              5 policies            2 policies
Anchoring
KPIs
1. Define Your True North
2. Communicate The True North
3. Ask Always, ‘Does It Move The Needle?’
Incremental GNI Impact Of
~USD 250 Billion By 2020                                          2020 GNI per
                                                                  capita:
                                                                  USD15,000




                                                 86         523
                                112

                 138

       188

       2009   Entry Point    Business         Growth In   2020 GNI
       GNI     Projects     Opportunities       Other      Target
                (EPP)          (BOs)           Sectors

                            11 Sector NKEAs
131 EPPs & 60 Business Opportunities (BOs)
                               Total Expected                            Expected Incremental            Expected Incremental
                               Incremental GNI Impact1         No. Of    GNI Impact               No. Of GNI Impact
NKEAs                          USD Billions                    EPPs      USD Billions             BOs    USD Billions


 Oil, Gas & Energy                45.8                          12          19.2                   7       19.12
 Financial Services               41.8                          10          10.2                   6        24.8
 Palm Oil & Rubber                39.2                           8          14.7                   4        23.3
 Wholesale & Retail               34.1                          15          12.8                   1        14.1
 Tourism                          20.9                          12            8.9                  4         8.9
 Business Services                17.8                           8          10.7                   9         6.1
 Electrical & Electronics         16.8                          11          11.0                   4         4.3
 Comms, Content & Infra           11.9                          10            5.1                  4         3.7
 Healthcare                       11.1                           6            6.4                  5         4.6
 Education                        10.4                          13            5.9                  4         4.5
 Agriculture                        9.1                         16            5.6                 11         1.1
 Greater KL/KV                  121.8                           10          59.7                   1        62.1
1 Includes multiplier effect from EPPs
2 Including USD 10 billion from oil price adjustment into OGE
3 Overall GNI impact is counted only for 11 Economic sectors – Greater KL not included to avoid
double-counting
Source: NKEA Labs Week 8 Templates
NKEAs Will Contribute
73% Of Total GNI In 2020
Total Nominal GNI1 by Sector in 2020
USD Billion
                   Nominal GNI                                                                                       523
 600




                                                                                                               144
                   Accumulate GNI
                                                                                                                             27% Of
 500




                                                                                                                            Total GNI
                                                                                                     15   15
                                                                                         18
                                                                               18
 400




                                                                      24                                                     73% Of
                                                            27                                                              Total GNI
                                                   31
 300




                                         50
                                 54
 200




                       55
              72
 100




                                                                                                                     2020
                                                                                                                     GNI


% Of Total
2020 GNI 14            10        10      10         6        5         5         3        3          3    3    27

1 Does not include GNI impact from Greater KL to avoid double-counting
2 Others includes: Transport & storage, Livestock & fisheries, Real Estate, Automotive & Assembly,
Construction, Forestry & Related Products, Metal Products & Heavy Equipment, Rubber & plastic
products, Utilities based on EPU growth forecast
Source: Week 9 EPP & Business Opportunities Templates (28 July 2010)
A Total Of
3.3 Million Additional Jobs
Will Be Created
By Year 2020...
Shift Towards HIGHER INCOME
2020 Projected Salary Distribution                                                              2009
Salary Bracket                                                                                  2020 (Projected)
 Low Income




                                                                  2.9
                 < RM 750
                                                        2.3

                 RM 750 – 1.5k                                          3.3
                                                                                                4.7
 Middle Income




                                                                        3.3
                 RM 1.5k – 3.5k
                                                                                                4.6

                 RM 3k – 5k                     1.3
                                                                 2.8
 Middle Income




                                   0.3
                 RM 1.5k – 3.5k
                                               1.2

                 RM 3k – 5k       0.2
                                         0.6

                                               1. 0   2. 0              3. 0             4. 0         5. 0
                                                              Number Of Jobs, Millions
46% Created Require
Of New Jobs
Vocational And Diploma
                     Million Jobs By 2020       = 100,000


                     PhD.

                     Masters / Professional


                     Degree


                     Diploma


                     Vocational / Certificate


                     Unskilled
92% From
Of Investment
The Private Sector
                                       Public

                             8%
                            USD34b




  Private (Non-    60%               32%
                                                Private
                  USD266b         USD144b
  GLC)                                          (GLC)
73% Investment From
Of Private
Domestic Direct Investment
(DDI)
Overview Of ETP
                                              • USD15,000 (RM48,000)
                             Gross National
                             Income (GNI)       per Capita GNI
                                              • USD523 Billion (RM1.7
                                                Trillion) GNI
                                              • 6% GDP Growth per
                                                Annum

          Transformational                                           • 3.3 Million
                                                          Jobs
FOCUS          Actions                                                 Additional
‘Drivers’                                                              Jobs
• 12 NKEAS
• 131 EPPs
• 60 BOs
                                              • USD444 Billion (RM1.4 Trillion)
COMPETITIVENESS
                                                Investment
‘Enablers’                     Investment
                                              • 92% Private, 8% Public Investment
• 51 Policy Measures
                                              • 73% Domestic, 27% Foreign Direct
• 6 SRIs & Natural Homes
                                                Investment
Discipline Of Action
ETP Governance Structure
to ensure delivery
                                                      Secretariat
            ETP Updates,
            Annual Report
                  Monthly, Annual




           Economic Council

                        Weekly



        NKEA
                             Investment
                            Monthly
       Steering
                                 Committee
      Committee                                   Lead
        Monthly                      Bi-Monthly   Ministries



                                                   Respective Ministries /
      EPP / BO              Year-round             EPP owners
       owners
Performance Now
NKEAs Are Making
Progress In The Last
11 Months
7 Progress Updates by the Prime Minister
Round #1              Round #2        Round #3          Round #4            Round #5        Round #6              Round #67
(25 Oct 2010)         (30 Nov 2010)   (11 Jan 2011)     (8 Mar 2011)        (19 Apr 2011)   (13 Jun 2011)         (8 Sep 2011)


9
Initiatives
                      9
                      Initiatives
                                      19
                                      Initiatives
                                                        23
                                                        Initiatives
                                                                            12
                                                                            Initiatives
                                                                                            15
                                                                                            Initiatives
                                                                                                                  10
                                                                                                                  Initiatives
Investment:           Investment:     Investment:       Investment:         Investment:     Investment:           Investment:
RM5.3b                RM9.6b          RM65.6b           RM14.78b            RM11.16b        RM63.88b              RM1.43b
GNI: RM100m           GNI: RM85.5b    GNI: RM31.5b      GNI: RM20.1b        GNI: RM16.62b   GNI: RM66.31b         GNI: RM8.4b
Jobs: 13,100          Jobs: 70,500    Jobs: 52,400      Jobs: 88,354        Jobs: 74,457    Jobs: 63,531          Jobs: 9,965




                                      RM                                RM

        53%                             171                            228
                                                                       RM                                 372,361
                EPPs Off
              The Ground*
                                           Billion In
                                         Committed
                                         Investment
                                                                       220
                                                                         Billion GNI
                                                                         Up To 2020
                                                                        Billion GNI
                                                                                                          New Jobs Will Be
                                                                                                             Created

                                                                        Up To 2020
   *97 initiatives in 70 EPPs
NKEAs Tracking To Targets
                                         Target =       Target =    Target =
                                         RM1.7 T        RM1.4 T     RM3.3 M
                                         (by 2020)      (by 2020)   (by 2020)
                     100%




                                             13%
                                                          12%         11%
                                         RM228 B
                                                        RM171 B     372,361
                                             GNI       Investment     Job
                                           Forecast   Commitment    Forecast
Source: PEMANDU Analysis (Oct 2010 - June 2011)
Calibration with regional corridors via labs in Sept-Nov
          Greater Johor Bahru / Iskandar Malaysia
          Transformation Programme
                                                    With support from :


          Greater Kuantan / ECER
          Transformation Programme


          Greater Penang / NCER
          Transformation Programme


          Kota Kinabalu / SDC
          Transformation Programme


          Kuching / SCORE
                                                    Private Sector / NGOs
          Transformation Programme
Consumer Confidence Is High…
     120
                                                                     107             110
                                                              103            105
                                    96              98   99
     100                                       95
                          87
               81
      80


      60


      40


      20


        0
            Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011



  Source : Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index
FDI, Trade Grew Strongly In 1H

            FDI                                Trade

  RM21.2b                          RM614.3b
            1H 2011                             1H 2011




             76%                                7.9%


       RM12.1b                            RM569.3b
            1H 2010                             1H 2010
Source: Department of Statistics   Source: Ministry of International
                                   Trade & Industry
Becoming More Competitiveness
     World Economic Forum
                                 • #21 out of 142 countries globally
 Global Competitiveness Report
                                 • #6 amongst Asia Pacific
                                   countries
                      #21
                                 • #2 in ASEAN
       #24
               #26               • Malaysia scored 5.08 points out
                                   of a maximum of 7, vs 4.88 last
                                   year

                                 • Overtook UAE, New Zealand,
                                   South Korea, Luxembourg,
        2009   2010   2011         Israel
Institutions Have Improved
 •   The institutions pillar has improved
     12 positions to 30th (42nd in 2010-
     2011)

 •   Strength in investor protection
     ranked 4th globally

 •   Lesser burden of government
     regulation ranked 8th globally

 •   Efficacy of corporate boards ranked
     9th globally

 •   Prudent government spending
     ranked 12th globally
GTP Made Big Strides

The success of GTP is reflected in the
criteria of:

•Crime and violence, ranked 63rd (93rd in
2010-2011), up 30 positions

•Organised crime, ranked 54th (77th in
2010-2011)

•Reliability of police services, ranked 39th
(50th in 2010-2011)
Malaysia
Largest Prospectus
Is Open For
Business
To ‘Subscribe’…

                  131
                  EPPs


                  60
                  BOs
How You Can Participate…


       A High Level Pitch to Government Should         The initial meeting with Government can
         Contain:                                      provide a
        Clear analysis of how the project             strong signal of likely Government’s interest in
         addresses the issues and opportunities        your proposed project.
        Clear high level estimate of potential GNI
         and employment impact                         If there are positive signals, then a detailed
        Clear articulation of support you need from   investment analysis and business case will need
         the Government.                               to be prepared.

       These project meetings are important:           A detailed analysis which provides a robust
        To secure the necessary support               estimate on
        To facilitate fast and successful             the project’s impact on GNI, employment and
         implementation                                investment.
        To resolve any issues or roadblocks
                                                       The appropriate PEMANDU NKEA director will
                                                       assist to facilitate the project.
                                                       These include meetings with various ministers and
                                                       ministry officials.
THANK YOU
+ www.pemandu.gov.my/etp
+ www.pemandu.gov.my/etp/blog
+ www.facebook.com/etpmalaysia
+ @etp_roadmap

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Economic Transformation Programme: An Update on Driving Malaysia's Economic Growth

  • 1. Economic Transformation Programme: An Update Ku Kok Peng Director, ETP Investment PEMANDU
  • 2. National Transformation Policy Towards Vision 2020 1Malaysia (People First, Performance Now) Transformation Programme Transformation Programme Transformation Programme Government Economic Political 10th & 11th Malaysia Plan
  • 3. The Connection WE MUST DO BOTH • Grow The Economy • Spend Revenue Based • Increase Revenue On Rakyat Needs • Increase Job / Income • Distribute The Revenue (RBI / LIH)
  • 4.
  • 5. GTP Delivered 121% Of Its Target NKRA Overall Performance 2010 NKPIs 2010 Actual Urban Public Transport 107% Crime 168% Rural Basic Infrastructure 91% Education 156% Low Income Household 79% Corruption 121% Overall Composite Scoring 121%
  • 6. GTP 2010 Results Were Endorsed By An International Panel & Sir Michael Barber Partner, McKinsey UK; ex-Head of Prime Minister’s Delivery Unit (PMDU) of Tony Blair Administration Ravi Balakrishnan IMF Resident Representative, Singapore Audit Firm Michael Hershman Co-founder of Transparency International; Current CEO of the Fairfax Group Sergei Dodzin Senior Economist, Asia & Pacific Department – International Monetary Fund Stephen Sedgwick Kwak Seung-Jun Australian Public Service Chairman Commissioner Presidential Council for Future and Vision
  • 7. 1H 2011: Continuing To Deliver On Promises Crime Corruption RBI • Index Crime - 9.6% (5%) • 68% of EPPs under CIP • 474 of rural roads (905) • Street Crime – 41.6% (40%) (70%) • 12,004 rural houses • TNS Fear of Crime Index • 84% gov’t contracts under with clean water supply 48.9% (< 50%) IP (58,087) • 1st in safety & security in SEA • Enhanced IP for KV MRT • 2,906 rural houses with by Global Peace Index • 237 convicted grand electricity supply • 1st /19 middle income corruption offenders listed (26,882) countries by World Justice • 2.99 score for regulatory / • 2,567 houses for rural Report enforcement agencies (3.5) poor (9,146) UPT LIH Education • 22% increase in BET 1-4 • 20,650 households • Pre-school enrollment rate ridership participated in 1AZAM 58.3% (80%) • 15.7% increase in rail (57,793) • 95% Numeracy (95%) ridership; 29 new 4-car train • 90% verified under • 90% Literacy (95%) set operationalised eKasih (100%) • 1,945 pre-school classes • Line integration at Masjid • 430 women started (2,755) Jamek & Titiwangsa entrepreneurs trained • 54,569 children benefited in completed (1,000) 2010 • Refurbished Puduraya re- • 401 low-cost houses • Best UPSR results in 4 opened handed over (4,965) years in 2010 2011 full-year targets in brackets ( )
  • 8.
  • 9. NEW ECONOMIC MODEL: Making Us A Rich Country, For Everyone & For A Long Time Target USD 15,000 High-Income GNI per capita by 2020 Quality of Life Enables all Meets present communities needs without to benefit Inclusiveness Sustainability compromising from the future wealth of the generations country
  • 10. For A Country To Become A High Income Nation, We Need: FOCUS & COMPETITIVENESS We Need We Need “Enablers” “Drivers” To To Ensure Ensure Focus Competitiveness NKEAs SRIs
  • 12. 1,000+ CEO & Top Leaders From MNCs, GLCs, SMEs, Ministries & Gov’t Agencies Attended The Thousand Person Workshop And Determine NKEAs
  • 13. 12 NKEAs (National Key Economic Areas) Greater KL/ Klang Valley Agriculture Electrical & Palm Oil & Electronics Healthcare Rubber Tourism Wholesale Financial Business & Retail Education Services Services Oil, Gas Comms & Energy Content & 12 NKEAs Infra
  • 14. LAB Labs Assembled Best Minds from Private and Public Sectors to Chart Growth Plans
  • 15. NKEAs LAB Objectives 1 Increase GNI per capita From USD6,700 To USD15,000 By 2020
  • 16. NKEAs LAB Objectives 2 Identify Projects To Achieve Above Target
  • 17. NKEAs LAB Objectives 3 Ensure The Projects Are Mainly Privately Funded
  • 18. NKEAs LAB Objectives 4 Ensure More Job Creation And Shift Towards High Income Bracket
  • 19. Output Of The Labs LAB 500 Lab Members From 12 NKEAs Are An Extract Of 12 200+ Companies Defined And Set Lab Reports. Participated Full Time To Roll-Out. A Detailed For 9 Weeks. Description Of 131 Entry Point Projects and 60 Business Opportunities.
  • 20. ETP Is A Programme Not A Plan Projects Strategic intent Action items Strategic plan Timeline Blueprint Project owner Strategy document Targets
  • 22. ETP = NKEAs + SRIs SRIs (Enablers) Public Service Delivery Public Finance International Standards & Liberalisation Human Capital Development Government’s Role In Business Narrowing Disparities 15,000+ GNI per capita | USD 7,000 NKEAs (Drivers) Current NKEA 1 NKEA 2 NKEA 3 NKEA 4 NKEA 5 Others Target
  • 23. SRIs Provide The Enablers For Malaysia To Be Competitive 51 Policy Measures 14 With Natural Homes 37 Grouped In SIX Within The NKEAs / Clusters For NKRAs Execution
  • 24. 37 Policy Measures Grouped Into 6 Clusters 1 2 3 Int’l Standards Public Public Service & Liberalisation Finance Delivery 9 policies 5 policies 7 policies 4 5 6 Narrowing Human Capital Government‘s Disparities / Development Role in Business Bumi SMEs 9 policies 5 policies 2 policies
  • 25. Anchoring KPIs 1. Define Your True North 2. Communicate The True North 3. Ask Always, ‘Does It Move The Needle?’
  • 26. Incremental GNI Impact Of ~USD 250 Billion By 2020 2020 GNI per capita: USD15,000 86 523 112 138 188 2009 Entry Point Business Growth In 2020 GNI GNI Projects Opportunities Other Target (EPP) (BOs) Sectors 11 Sector NKEAs
  • 27. 131 EPPs & 60 Business Opportunities (BOs) Total Expected Expected Incremental Expected Incremental Incremental GNI Impact1 No. Of GNI Impact No. Of GNI Impact NKEAs USD Billions EPPs USD Billions BOs USD Billions Oil, Gas & Energy 45.8 12 19.2 7 19.12 Financial Services 41.8 10 10.2 6 24.8 Palm Oil & Rubber 39.2 8 14.7 4 23.3 Wholesale & Retail 34.1 15 12.8 1 14.1 Tourism 20.9 12 8.9 4 8.9 Business Services 17.8 8 10.7 9 6.1 Electrical & Electronics 16.8 11 11.0 4 4.3 Comms, Content & Infra 11.9 10 5.1 4 3.7 Healthcare 11.1 6 6.4 5 4.6 Education 10.4 13 5.9 4 4.5 Agriculture 9.1 16 5.6 11 1.1 Greater KL/KV 121.8 10 59.7 1 62.1 1 Includes multiplier effect from EPPs 2 Including USD 10 billion from oil price adjustment into OGE 3 Overall GNI impact is counted only for 11 Economic sectors – Greater KL not included to avoid double-counting Source: NKEA Labs Week 8 Templates
  • 28. NKEAs Will Contribute 73% Of Total GNI In 2020 Total Nominal GNI1 by Sector in 2020 USD Billion Nominal GNI 523 600 144 Accumulate GNI 27% Of 500 Total GNI 15 15 18 18 400 24 73% Of 27 Total GNI 31 300 50 54 200 55 72 100 2020 GNI % Of Total 2020 GNI 14 10 10 10 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 27 1 Does not include GNI impact from Greater KL to avoid double-counting 2 Others includes: Transport & storage, Livestock & fisheries, Real Estate, Automotive & Assembly, Construction, Forestry & Related Products, Metal Products & Heavy Equipment, Rubber & plastic products, Utilities based on EPU growth forecast Source: Week 9 EPP & Business Opportunities Templates (28 July 2010)
  • 29. A Total Of 3.3 Million Additional Jobs Will Be Created By Year 2020...
  • 30. Shift Towards HIGHER INCOME 2020 Projected Salary Distribution 2009 Salary Bracket 2020 (Projected) Low Income 2.9 < RM 750 2.3 RM 750 – 1.5k 3.3 4.7 Middle Income 3.3 RM 1.5k – 3.5k 4.6 RM 3k – 5k 1.3 2.8 Middle Income 0.3 RM 1.5k – 3.5k 1.2 RM 3k – 5k 0.2 0.6 1. 0 2. 0 3. 0 4. 0 5. 0 Number Of Jobs, Millions
  • 31. 46% Created Require Of New Jobs Vocational And Diploma Million Jobs By 2020 = 100,000 PhD. Masters / Professional Degree Diploma Vocational / Certificate Unskilled
  • 32. 92% From Of Investment The Private Sector Public 8% USD34b Private (Non- 60% 32% Private USD266b USD144b GLC) (GLC)
  • 33. 73% Investment From Of Private Domestic Direct Investment (DDI)
  • 34. Overview Of ETP • USD15,000 (RM48,000) Gross National Income (GNI) per Capita GNI • USD523 Billion (RM1.7 Trillion) GNI • 6% GDP Growth per Annum Transformational • 3.3 Million Jobs FOCUS Actions Additional ‘Drivers’ Jobs • 12 NKEAS • 131 EPPs • 60 BOs • USD444 Billion (RM1.4 Trillion) COMPETITIVENESS Investment ‘Enablers’ Investment • 92% Private, 8% Public Investment • 51 Policy Measures • 73% Domestic, 27% Foreign Direct • 6 SRIs & Natural Homes Investment
  • 36. ETP Governance Structure to ensure delivery Secretariat ETP Updates, Annual Report Monthly, Annual Economic Council Weekly NKEA Investment Monthly Steering Committee Committee Lead Monthly Bi-Monthly Ministries Respective Ministries / EPP / BO Year-round EPP owners owners
  • 38. NKEAs Are Making Progress In The Last 11 Months
  • 39. 7 Progress Updates by the Prime Minister Round #1 Round #2 Round #3 Round #4 Round #5 Round #6 Round #67 (25 Oct 2010) (30 Nov 2010) (11 Jan 2011) (8 Mar 2011) (19 Apr 2011) (13 Jun 2011) (8 Sep 2011) 9 Initiatives 9 Initiatives 19 Initiatives 23 Initiatives 12 Initiatives 15 Initiatives 10 Initiatives Investment: Investment: Investment: Investment: Investment: Investment: Investment: RM5.3b RM9.6b RM65.6b RM14.78b RM11.16b RM63.88b RM1.43b GNI: RM100m GNI: RM85.5b GNI: RM31.5b GNI: RM20.1b GNI: RM16.62b GNI: RM66.31b GNI: RM8.4b Jobs: 13,100 Jobs: 70,500 Jobs: 52,400 Jobs: 88,354 Jobs: 74,457 Jobs: 63,531 Jobs: 9,965 RM RM 53% 171 228 RM 372,361 EPPs Off The Ground* Billion In Committed Investment 220 Billion GNI Up To 2020 Billion GNI New Jobs Will Be Created Up To 2020 *97 initiatives in 70 EPPs
  • 40. NKEAs Tracking To Targets Target = Target = Target = RM1.7 T RM1.4 T RM3.3 M (by 2020) (by 2020) (by 2020) 100% 13% 12% 11% RM228 B RM171 B 372,361 GNI Investment Job Forecast Commitment Forecast Source: PEMANDU Analysis (Oct 2010 - June 2011)
  • 41. Calibration with regional corridors via labs in Sept-Nov Greater Johor Bahru / Iskandar Malaysia Transformation Programme With support from : Greater Kuantan / ECER Transformation Programme Greater Penang / NCER Transformation Programme Kota Kinabalu / SDC Transformation Programme Kuching / SCORE Private Sector / NGOs Transformation Programme
  • 42. Consumer Confidence Is High… 120 107 110 103 105 96 98 99 100 95 87 81 80 60 40 20 0 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Source : Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index
  • 43. FDI, Trade Grew Strongly In 1H FDI Trade RM21.2b RM614.3b 1H 2011 1H 2011 76% 7.9% RM12.1b RM569.3b 1H 2010 1H 2010 Source: Department of Statistics Source: Ministry of International Trade & Industry
  • 44. Becoming More Competitiveness World Economic Forum • #21 out of 142 countries globally Global Competitiveness Report • #6 amongst Asia Pacific countries #21 • #2 in ASEAN #24 #26 • Malaysia scored 5.08 points out of a maximum of 7, vs 4.88 last year • Overtook UAE, New Zealand, South Korea, Luxembourg, 2009 2010 2011 Israel
  • 45. Institutions Have Improved • The institutions pillar has improved 12 positions to 30th (42nd in 2010- 2011) • Strength in investor protection ranked 4th globally • Lesser burden of government regulation ranked 8th globally • Efficacy of corporate boards ranked 9th globally • Prudent government spending ranked 12th globally
  • 46. GTP Made Big Strides The success of GTP is reflected in the criteria of: •Crime and violence, ranked 63rd (93rd in 2010-2011), up 30 positions •Organised crime, ranked 54th (77th in 2010-2011) •Reliability of police services, ranked 39th (50th in 2010-2011)
  • 48. To ‘Subscribe’… 131 EPPs 60 BOs
  • 49. How You Can Participate… A High Level Pitch to Government Should The initial meeting with Government can Contain: provide a  Clear analysis of how the project strong signal of likely Government’s interest in addresses the issues and opportunities your proposed project.  Clear high level estimate of potential GNI and employment impact If there are positive signals, then a detailed  Clear articulation of support you need from investment analysis and business case will need the Government. to be prepared. These project meetings are important: A detailed analysis which provides a robust  To secure the necessary support estimate on  To facilitate fast and successful the project’s impact on GNI, employment and implementation investment.  To resolve any issues or roadblocks The appropriate PEMANDU NKEA director will assist to facilitate the project. These include meetings with various ministers and ministry officials.
  • 50. THANK YOU + www.pemandu.gov.my/etp + www.pemandu.gov.my/etp/blog + www.facebook.com/etpmalaysia + @etp_roadmap