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FUTURE FARMING

Analysis of the Food Sector in Philippines -
Opportunities for Victorian Exporters
June 2009
If you would like to receive this publication in an accessible format
(such as large print or audio) please call the Customer Service Centre
on: 136 186.

Published by the Victorian Government, Department of Primary
Industries. June 2009
Also published on www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agribusiness

© The State of Victoria Department of Primary Industries 2009

This publication is copyright. No part may be reproduced by any
process except in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright
Act 1968.

Authorised by the Victorian Government, 1 Spring Street,
Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia

ISBN 978-1-74217-553-9 (print)
ISBN 978-1-74217-554-6 (online)

Disclaimer
This publication may be of assistance to you but the State of Victoria
and its employees do not guarantee that the publication is without flaw
of any kind or is wholly appropriate for your particular purposes and
therefore disclaims all liability for any error, loss or other consequence
which may arise from you relying on any information in this publication.

For more information about DPI visit www.dpi.vic.gov.au or call the
Customer Service Centre on 136 186

Cover picture: Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Market, Quezon City,
Philippines

For more information visit the website at www.dpi.vic.gov.au or
contact the DPI Customer Service Centre 136 186.

Produced by:	 Agribusiness Group
              Department of Primary Industries
              1 Spring Street
              PO Box 4440
              Melbourne
              Victoria 3001

Author: 	        Tim Roache
                 Manager Market Development, South East Asia
                 DPI Agribusiness Group

Editors:	        Kate Linden, John Naughtin, Fiona Culley,
                 Clare Balmer
Contents



Introduction	                                              3

Overview of Current Economic Situation	                    4

Overall Trade Relationship with Victoria
and Australia	                                             5

Victorian & Australian Food Exports
to the Philippines	                                        6

Food Consumption Trends	                                   7

Distribution Channels	                                     8

Market Access	                                             9

Opportunities for the Victorian Food Industry 	           10
Dairy	                                                    10
Grains	                                                   10
Meat	                                                     10
Prepared Foods	                                           10
Horticulture	                                             10

Conclusion	                                               11

Reference List	                                           12




List of tables and figures
Table 1: 	 Population and economic data
           for the Philippines, 2007	                      3


Figure 1: 	 The Philippines	                               3
Figure 2: 	 Trends in export of selected food
            commodities from Australia
            to the Philippines 	                           6
Figure 3: 	 Trends in export of selected food
            commodities from Victoria
            to the Philippines	                            6
Figure 4: 	 Typical Filipino Food Distribution Channels
            for Imported Australian Agrifood 	             8
2
Introduction


                                                                                                                                   3
The Philippines is one of the world’s fastest growing and
youngest populations, with 65% of its 96 million people under
30 years of age.
The gulf between the rich and poor is large with 30% of
Filipinos living below the poverty line (surviving on, or less
than, $US 1 per day). In urban areas poverty afflicts 20% of
the population whilst in rural areas it is 47%, which has led
to an estimated 10 million Filipinos being Overseas Workers.
The Philippines has the highest level of English literacy in
Asia (93%) and Christianity is the major religion (90%).
The Philippines has a volatile political history with civilian
unrest, coups and attempted coups a common situation.
However, since 2001 the Government, a Republic Nation
with a democratically elected President (Gloria Macapagal-
Arroyo, 2001-Current), has been relatively stable albeit
with continued high levels of corruption, lack of economic
legislation and judicial reforms, rapid population growth, and
ongoing insurgencies by terrorist and rebel groups which
continue to undermine this stability.
The Philippines consists of over 7,100 islands with a total
land area of 300,000 km2, making it the second largest
archipelago in the world. It can be divided into three main
island groups; Luzon (north), the Visayas (central) and
Mindanao (south). Four cities have populations exceeding
one million, Quezon City, Manila, Calcooan City (all within the
Philippines National Capital Region - NCR) and Davao City.
                                                                   Figure 1: The Philippines 	                Source: Maps.com
It is these metropolitan regions that present the opportunities
for Victorian agrifood products, particularly metropolitan
                                                                   increasing food self sufficiency is a major concern for the
Manila and NCR.
                                                                   Filipino government. Typically food produced from small land
Over 50% of the Philippines land mass is classified as             holdings is consumed by the household or traded at local
agricultural land. Agricultural production is undertaken           wet markets. Similarly, food produced from large agricultural
by small landholders who either lease or own their land            estates results in the Philippines being a major producer
or companies with vast agricultural estates. Due to rapid          and exporter of sugar, rice, corn, tropical fruits (coconuts,
population growth and escalating commodity prices,                 bananas, pineapples and mangoes), poultry and pork.




Table 1: Population and economic data for the Philippines, 2007 (in comparison to Australia)
 National statistics (2007)                      Philippines                               Australia

 Size                                            300,000 km2                               7,686,850 km2
 Population                                      96 million                                21 million
 Population growth                               1.99%                                     0.801%
 GDP                                             $US 300 billion                           $US 773 billion
 GDP per capita                                  $US 3,200                                 $US 37,300
 GDP growth rate                                 7.3%                                      3.9%
 Food self sufficiency                           <100%                                     >100%
Overview of Current Economic Situation


4
    The Philippines economy is small and has one of the lowest        The major industries contributing to the Philippines economy
    GDP per capita rates ($US3,200) in the whole of Asia.             include Manufacturing (50%), Agriculture (15%), Overseas
    However, between 2003 and 2007, GDP grew by over 50% in           Workers remittances (15%) and Services (10%). The Agrifood
    terms of its local currency and in 2007 real GDP grew at over     sector employs over one-third of the population, and in 2007
    7% (although in 2008 GDP dropped to 4% as a result of the         accounted for 14% of its GDP. The landscape is dominated
    financial crisis), making it one of the world’s fastest growing   by expansive estates that date back to colonisation, however
    economies. This has largely been driven by strong domestic        a national land re-distribution program, which began in
    demand, economic reform, relative political stability, and the    1998, is currently underway transferring land ownership to
    successful exports of services (e.g. telecommunications,          local residents. The Philippines remains a net importer of
    business outsourcing), labour, and manufactured goods and         agrifood products with a trade deficit of $US 1.54 billion in
    resources.                                                        2007. Wheat replaced rice as the most imported commodity
                                                                      followed by dairy ingredients in 2006, which are primarily
    Whilst the general macroeconomic outlook has improved
                                                                      used in the large processing sector.
    dramatically over recent years, with economic growth
    averaging 5% since Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo became                 The Philippines’ food processing sector is the most dominant
    President in 2001, the Philippines needs to continue its          manufacturing sector in the country. It accounts for 40%
    economic reform agenda to ensure its long term fiscal             of total manufacturing output, contributes 20% of GDP per
    stability and ‘catch up’ to other South East (SE) Asian           annum and is growing at 8%-10% per annum. The sector
    economies. Continual reform and growth will be pivotal to         comprises of fruits and vegetables, meat and poultry, flour
    alleviating poverty rates, which are currently growing due to     and bakery, dairy products, fish and marine, beverages,
    the increasing population and unequal distribution of wealth.     confectioneries, food condiments and seasonings, food
                                                                      supplements, bottled water, snack foods, fats and oils. This
                                                                      sector is heavily reliant on both domestically produced and
                                                                      imported agrifood products.
Overall Trade Relationship with Victoria and Australia


                                                                                                                                 5
Recent economic liberalisation by the Philippines Government     exports to the Philippines (2007-08) include; crude petroleum
has resulted in a trading system that’s relatively open and      - $195 million, copper ores and concentrates - $159 million,
has some of the lowest applied tariffs in the region. The        medicaments (including veterinary) - $110 million and milk
Philippines is a member of the World Trade Organisation          and cream - $106 million. Major Australian merchandise
(WTO) and Association South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)           imports from the Philippines (2007-08) include; crude
and as such are party to the Australian – ASEAN - New            petroleum - $228 million, copper - $44 million, electronic
Zealand (AANZFTA), signed in February 2009 (see below            machinery and parts, other $37 million, telecommunications
for further detail). Tariff rates for most consumer-oriented     equipment - $35 million. Total trade in services between
products range from 3%-15% and are undergoing unilateral         Australia and the Philippines in 2007 comprised $266 million
reduction. However industries considered sensitive such          in exports and $306 million in imports.
as poultry, pork, potatoes and coffee are exempt and have
                                                                 The Australian Trade Commission (Austrade) has an office in
minimum access volumes and significantly higher tariff rates
                                                                 the Philippines located in Manila with a focus on promoting
applied to them.
                                                                 exports of Australian food and beverage and agribusiness
Australia maintains a good bilateral trade and economic          products and services. The Victorian Government
relationship with the Philippines. Two-way merchandise           (Department of Primary Industries) is undertaking a Market
trade was valued at $2 billion in 2007-08, 13% higher than       Driven Responses Project with a focus on new and emerging
in 2006-07 and both governments consider there to be             markets and accordingly a Market Development Manager with
significant potential for growth. Major Australian merchandise   responsibility for South East Asia including the Philippines.




                                                                              Image courtesy of Meat and Livestock Australia
Victorian & Australian Food Exports to the Philippines


6
    The Philippines has been, and to a large extent still is, an       $AU million
    importer of agricultural commodities that are predominantly        140
    used as raw materials in its large food manufacturing sector.
    Australian exports to the Philippines reflect this trend with      120
    dairy, meat and cereal ingredients forming the majority of
    total agricultural trade (Figure 2).
                                                                       100
    The Philippines is Victoria’s 13th most valuable agrifood
    export market valued at $175 million in 2008, increasing            80
    by 45% from 2007 (due largely to record commodity prices
    during 2008). However total value has decreased by $42              60
    million since 2004, largely driven by a decrease in dairy
    exports due to price sensitivity and increased competition.         40
    Despite this is also a reflection of the inherent volatility of
    trade with Philippines which is a very price sensitive market       20
    and often viewed by exporters as a ‘spot’ market as opposed
    to a consistent long term export market. Dairy still remains         0
    the major export industry from Victoria valued at $130 million,              2004          2005       2006         2007          2008
    followed by red meat (mainly beef) $16 million and cereals
    valued at $13 million (Figure 3).                                        Powdered milk
                                                                                                 Malt       Beef                 Cheese
                                                                             and cream
    Australian food products are held in high regard in the
                                                                             Milled products     Wheat      Live animals         Confectionery
    Philippines food manufacturing, retail and service sectors.
    They are perceived as being of very high quality and safe,
                                                                       Figure 2: Trends in export of selected food commodities
    but expensive. The Philippines is a particularly price sensitive
                                                                       from Australia to the Philippines       Source: GTIS (2008)
    market, and as such Australia faces fierce competition from
    a number of agricultural commodity and food exporters from
    around the world.
                                                                       $AU million
    The United States of America (USA) is the major exporter of
                                                                       140
    agrifood commodities such as wheat, soy, dairy, meat and
    fruit as well a wide range of further value added food products
                                                                       120
    into the Philippines. The US has a long standing relationship
    with the Philippines due largely to their association during
    war time efforts spanning back to 1898. The Philippines            100
    also imports similar products, but to a lesser extent, from
    New Zealand (NZ), Canada and the European Union (EU).               80
    However due to the significant price sensitivity of Filipinos,
    countries such as China and other ASEAN nations are also            60
    very prominent exporters to the Phillipines, trading in large
    volumes of low price products such as fruit (particularly from      40
    China), vegetables, processed foods and dry goods.
    Due to the diversity and size of the Filipino market, there         20
    are segments for the lowest value products (e.g. beef offal)
    through to high value products (e.g. primary beef cuts) and          0
    Australian exports compete in all of these segments. In                      2004          2005       2006         2007          2008
    general agrifood commodities (e.g. wheat, dairy ingredients)
                                                                             Powdered milk
    compete in low value and high value segments in the food                                     Cheese            Wheat             Beef
                                                                             and cream
    processing sector with all of the countries mentioned above
                                                                             Whey products       Butter            Ingredients
    (in addition to others). Conversely, Australian exports of
    further value added food products (eg. cheese, portion             Figure 3: Trends in export of selected food commodities
    controlled lamb), generally targeted at higher value modern        from Victoria to the Philippines       Source: GTIS (2008)
    retailing and food service markets, compete with imported
    products from the US, Canada, NZ and the EU.
Food Consumption Trends


                                                                   7
Traditional food retail and service formats, particularly wet
and dry markets and local ‘sari-sari’ stores are the most
commonly frequented by Filipino consumers. Modern retailing
and food service is very much in its infancy, but transforming
quickly. These factors coupled with the large and growing
divide between the rich and poor result in very contrasting
food consumption trends in the Philippines. In general, locally
produced and/or manufactured products and low-medium
priced imported products are consumed via traditional
markets. Medium-high priced imported products are
predominantly found in foreign owned supermarkets and five
star hotel restaurants in major urban centres such as Manila.
The majority of food consumed in the Philippines is
manufactured by local companies, 11,000 in total (such
as San Miguel and RFM Corporation), that produce food
across all major food sectors, such as noodles, processed
meat products (poultry, pork beef), processed fruit and
vegetable products, dairy products and snack foods. These
manufactured foods combined with fresh fruit, vegetables,
meat and rice form the staple diet for low-middle class
Filipino’s, who are the dominant consumer segment in the
Philippines.
However, middle-high income earners are demanding
non-traditional and imported ‘ready-to-eat’ foods and in
turn are driving modernisation of the Filipino food retailing
sector. The modern retail sector is undergoing significant
transformation with supermarkets, hypermarkets and
convenience stores developing rapidly, along with the quality
of product offered. The majority of retailers are local (laws
prohibiting international retailers operating in the Philippines
were only removed in 2000) and include SM Supermarkets/
Hypermarkets, Robinsons, Rustans, Makro and Pricesmart.
Modern retailing is a relatively new concept in the Philippines
and as such is primarily located in major urban centres
alongside its customers.
Despite this, the Philippines is widely regarded as one of
Asia’s most attractive retail growth markets. Continued
economic growth combined with a deregulated and
highly fragmented market, along with interest from major
international retailers such as Wal-Mart, Casino, Carrefour
and Tesco, will accelerate growth and opportunities in this
sector to satisfy the growing consumer demand for retail
ready food products in the medium-long term.
Filipinos spend approximately 12% of total income eating
out and the sector is valued at $US3 billion, with growth of
10%-15% in the last decade. Traditional food service formats
still enjoy a majority market share in the Philippines, but the
modern food service market, driven by convenience and
price and dominated by fast food restaurants/chains such as
Jolibee, McDonalds and ChowKing, is increasing its presence
with speed. High end restaurants and hotels are found in
metropolitan Manila and service wealthy local and expatriate
consumers. Both of these segments are heavily reliant upon
imported foods.
Distribution Channels


8
    The food sector in the Philippines is extremely fragmented            expensive. Maintaining cool chain distribution is a significant
    due to the excessive numbers of food retail and service               issue and often leads to excessive spoilage, particularly for
    outlets; the convoluted supply chains; under-developed                inter-island distribution.
    warehousing, distribution, cool chain and transport
                                                                          Distribution channels in the Philippines food processing, retail
    infrastructure; and the archipelagic nature of the country.
                                                                          and food service sectors resemble the disjointed nature of
    These factors lead to inefficient and costly distribution,
                                                                          the food sector. Figure 4 below depicts the flow of imported
    particularly outside of Manila.
                                                                          goods into the Philippines. As is illustrated, there are a
    In general, imported food from Australia enters the                   number of members in the supply chain with very limited
    Philippines in Manila, either at the Manila seaport (frozen           product going direct to retail or food service. Most imported
    and shelf stable products) or the Ninoy Aquino International          food moves into the food processing sector before making
    airport (fresh short shelf-life products). However, there are         its way into the various food retail/service outlets. Likewise
    many other entry points into the Philippines including Cebu,          imported ready-to-eat foods are typically imported by an
    Iloilo, Davao, Cagayan de Oro, and Zamboanga seaports and             import/distribution company before further distribution. It is
    Diosdado Macapagal, Mactan-Cebu, and Francisco Bangoy                 rare for retailers, including modern retailers, to import directly.
    international airports.                                               Although, in the medium-long term, direct importation is
                                                                          expected to increase particularly as global retailers enhance
    Once in the Philippines the main mode of freight is via road
                                                                          their presence in the Philippines.
    transport and “roll-on, roll-off” inter-island ferry shipping. Rail
    freight is poorly developed and air freight is generally too




                                                                    Australian
                                                                     supplier



                            Australian
                           consolidator



                                        Filipino                                                                             Filipino
                                     food importer                                                                           trader


                                                                                        Filipino
                                                                                    food processor




         Filipino                      Filipino                     Filipino
       major retailer                wholesalers/                  small retail
                                     distributors




                                       Filipino
                                      wet market


    Figure 4: Typical Filipino Food Distribution Channels for Imported Australian Agrifood 	                            Source: DPI, 2009
Market Access


                                                                   9
The Philippines’ Department of Agriculture and Bureau of
Agriculture and Fisheries (animal and horticultural products)
and the Department of Health and Bureau of Food and
Drugs (processed foods) are the main agencies tasked with
developing, regulating and enforcing food safety standards for
all imported foods. Food products must be registered with the
relevant agency, which can only be done by a Filipino entity
and typically takes three months. Accordingly a reputable
importing company that best suits a Victorian company’s
exporting needs is essential in the Philippines and crucial for
market access and market success.
All imported foods and agricultural products are required to
comply with the Philippines food health and phytosanitary
laws. Similarly packaging, labelling and other specific
standard must be adhered to (for more detailed information
refer to references packaging and labelling).
AANZFTA provides for the progressive reduction or, for
most products, elimination of tariffs facing Australian goods
exported to ASEAN countries, over a transition period. The
following list is a summary of key sectoral outcomes for the
Philippines (for more detailed information refer to references,
tariffs to ASEAN countries):
Meat and livestock: existing liberal access for live bovine
animals will be guaranteed through tariffs bound at 0% or
phased to 0% or 2.5%. Tariffs on most meat tariff lines are
bound at 0% on entry-into-force (EIF) or phased to 0%,
although some lines are subject to tariff reductions only, and
a few lines are excluded from tariff commitments in some
countries.
Fish: tariffs on the vast majority of tariff lines are bound at
0% or phased to 0%, with tariffs on remaining lines mainly
reduced to 5% or less.
Dairy products: tariffs on all tariff lines are bound at 0%
on EIF or phased to 0%, except two lines that will be phased
to 5%.
Grains: for most products tariffs are bound at 0% on EIF or
phased to 0%. Rice is excluded from tariff commitments.
Fruit and nuts: tariffs on most products phased to 0%
Vegetables: Tariffs on most products phased to 0%, but
there will only be modest reductions on some products with
high tariffs, including potatoes, celery, carrots, cauliflowers,
broccoli and lettuce.
Fruit and vegetable juices: prepared and processed fruit
and vegetables: tariffs on all products are bound at 0% on
EIF or phased to 0%.
Opportunities for the Victorian Food Industry


10
     Even though the Philippines presents a number of challenges
     including its high price sensitivity, it also presents significant
     opportunities for Victorian agrifood exporters in the short,
     medium and long term. Due to the level of economic
     development, population growth and importance of the food
     manufacturing sector in the Philippines, export of agrifood
     commodities such as dairy ingredients, wheat and meat
     products pose as very good long term prospects. Higher
     priced value-added products such as ready-to-eat retail
     products and fresh produce will increasingly develop into
     substantial opportunities, more so in the medium to long term
     and this will be driven by growing consumer demand and
     modernisation of the retail, and to a lesser extent, the food
     service sectors.


     Dairy
     Dairy ingredients represent the bulk of the value and volume
     of Victoria’s food exports to the Philippines. Milk powders,
     cheddar, whey and butter amongst others will remain long
     term growth opportunities, which will also be aided by the
     lack of development in the Filipino dairy industry. Filipinos are
     the largest per capita consumer of dairy products in Asia and
     with increases in household incomes there is large scope to
     further increase demand for value-added products such as,
     cheeses, yoghurts and desserts as per capita consumption is
     still well below that of western countries.
                                                                          Prepared Foods (Ingredients)
                                                                          Specialised ingredients such as manufacturing grade herbs
     Grains                                                               and spices, fats and oils and confectionaries are vital inputs
     Grains, particularly wheat, are a major imported commodity           to the Filipino food manufacturing sector. Imported directly
     into the Philippines. Whilst not truly reflected in the export       by manufacturers, or more commonly by traders, these
     figures due to confidentiality agreements, a large volume of         products tend to be more niche in nature but offer Victorian
     Australian wheat is imported for the manufacture of noodles          food exporters (with the capability to be flexible) good
     and flour for other bakery products. There is a very large           opportunities in the short to long term to supply into the
     wheat milling industry in the Philippines which relies solely        Philippines food manufacturing sector.
     on imported products. The short to long term opportunities
     for wheat exports to the Philippines are very good and this
     market offers good opportunities for Victorian and Australian
                                                                          Horticulture (Fruit)
     wheat exporters in the new deregulated wheat market.                 Technically the only Australian fruit with access into the
                                                                          Philippines is processed fruit and due to the domestic and
                                                                          import competition very little Australian product is exported
     Meat                                                                 into the market. However, there is a considerable volume
     The Philippines is self sufficent in pork and poultry and is a       of table grapes and citrus (no tropical fruits) from Australia
     strong exporter of these products. However, the opportunities        that enters the Philippines via a grey channel that is widely
     for red meat, particularly beef, are good. Manufacturing grade       recognised in the market. Discussions are taking place
     beef, offals and trim for processing into products for fast food     government to government and in the event market access
     chains and retail meat products offer very good short to long        is granted for fruit product, significant opportunity exists for
     term opportunities. Primary and secondary cuts of meat are           Victorian exporters of table grapes, citrus and to a lesser
     currently supplying niche high-end food service and retail           extent stone fruit. Fruit is a very large part of the Filipino diet,
     outlets. However over the medium to long term the demand             particularly for special occasions.
     for higher quality beef and lamb products can be expected to
     grow with the enhanced modern retail offer and growing high-
     end food service sector.
Conclusion


                                                                               11
             The Philippines is currently a good market for Victorian
             agrifood exporters with the potential for growth in the
             medium to long term. This potential will be achieved if the
             fundamentals driving demand can outweigh the challenges
             that the Philippines faces. The drivers of demand have
             been the strong consistent economic growth (current global
             financial crisis aside), continual economic and trade reform
             (e.g. AANZFTA), political stability, strong domestic demand,
             young population, the growing appetite for non-traditional
             foods and a very strong food manufacturing sector. The
             challenges include the maintenance of economic and political
             stability, continual economic growth to alleviate poverty, poor
             transport and cool chain infrastructure and corruption.
             Currently major opportunities exist for agrifood commodities
             such as dairy ingredients, wheat and meat. It is anticipated
             that, for the foreseeable future, this demand will continue and
             potentially, experience growth.
             Filipinos have a growing demand for western style food
             products and with sizeable exposure to multinational fast food
             chains, high-end dining (for those who can afford it) and the
             increasing presence of modern retailing and international
             retailers, the demand for value added ready-to-eat and high
             value fresh food products will develop.
Reference List


12
     •	   Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT):
          http://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/philippines/philippines_brief.
          html
          http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/
          http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/factsheets/
          index.html
     •	   Department of Primary Industries Victoria (DPI); Food
          and Fibre Report 2008, www.dpi.vic.gov.au
     •	   Euromonitor International; Philippines Country Fact File:
          www.euromonitor.com
     •	   Google: http://images.google.com.au/
     •	   Planet Retail; Grocery retailing in the Philippines:
          www.planetretail.net/markets
     •	   United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA):
          https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
          factbook/
     •	   United States Department of Agriculture (USDA); GAIN
          Reports RP8049, RP8015, RP8041, RP7064, RP8043:
          http://www.fas.usda.gov/scriptsw/attacherep/default.asp

     Packaging and labelling
     •	   Bureau of Animal Industry (Department of Agriculture):
          http://bai.da.gov.ph/baimainframe.html
     •	   Bureau of Plant Industry (Department of Agriculture):
          http://bpi.da.gov.ph/services.html
     •	   Bureau of Food and Drugs (Department of Health):
          http://www.bfad.gov.ph
     •	   Bureau of Agriculture & Fisheries Product Standards
          (Department of Agriculture):
          http://www.bafps.da.gov.ph

     Tariffs to ASEAN countries
     •	   Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade:
          http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/
     •	   Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade:
          http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/factsheets/
          index.html
Analysis of-the-food-sector-in-philippines-opportunities-for-victorian-exporters
Analysis of-the-food-sector-in-philippines-opportunities-for-victorian-exporters

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Analysis of-the-food-sector-in-philippines-opportunities-for-victorian-exporters

  • 1. FUTURE FARMING Analysis of the Food Sector in Philippines - Opportunities for Victorian Exporters June 2009
  • 2. If you would like to receive this publication in an accessible format (such as large print or audio) please call the Customer Service Centre on: 136 186. Published by the Victorian Government, Department of Primary Industries. June 2009 Also published on www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agribusiness © The State of Victoria Department of Primary Industries 2009 This publication is copyright. No part may be reproduced by any process except in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright Act 1968. Authorised by the Victorian Government, 1 Spring Street, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia ISBN 978-1-74217-553-9 (print) ISBN 978-1-74217-554-6 (online) Disclaimer This publication may be of assistance to you but the State of Victoria and its employees do not guarantee that the publication is without flaw of any kind or is wholly appropriate for your particular purposes and therefore disclaims all liability for any error, loss or other consequence which may arise from you relying on any information in this publication. For more information about DPI visit www.dpi.vic.gov.au or call the Customer Service Centre on 136 186 Cover picture: Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Market, Quezon City, Philippines For more information visit the website at www.dpi.vic.gov.au or contact the DPI Customer Service Centre 136 186. Produced by: Agribusiness Group Department of Primary Industries 1 Spring Street PO Box 4440 Melbourne Victoria 3001 Author: Tim Roache Manager Market Development, South East Asia DPI Agribusiness Group Editors: Kate Linden, John Naughtin, Fiona Culley, Clare Balmer
  • 3. Contents Introduction 3 Overview of Current Economic Situation 4 Overall Trade Relationship with Victoria and Australia 5 Victorian & Australian Food Exports to the Philippines 6 Food Consumption Trends 7 Distribution Channels 8 Market Access 9 Opportunities for the Victorian Food Industry 10 Dairy 10 Grains 10 Meat 10 Prepared Foods 10 Horticulture 10 Conclusion 11 Reference List 12 List of tables and figures Table 1: Population and economic data for the Philippines, 2007 3 Figure 1: The Philippines 3 Figure 2: Trends in export of selected food commodities from Australia to the Philippines 6 Figure 3: Trends in export of selected food commodities from Victoria to the Philippines 6 Figure 4: Typical Filipino Food Distribution Channels for Imported Australian Agrifood 8
  • 4. 2
  • 5. Introduction 3 The Philippines is one of the world’s fastest growing and youngest populations, with 65% of its 96 million people under 30 years of age. The gulf between the rich and poor is large with 30% of Filipinos living below the poverty line (surviving on, or less than, $US 1 per day). In urban areas poverty afflicts 20% of the population whilst in rural areas it is 47%, which has led to an estimated 10 million Filipinos being Overseas Workers. The Philippines has the highest level of English literacy in Asia (93%) and Christianity is the major religion (90%). The Philippines has a volatile political history with civilian unrest, coups and attempted coups a common situation. However, since 2001 the Government, a Republic Nation with a democratically elected President (Gloria Macapagal- Arroyo, 2001-Current), has been relatively stable albeit with continued high levels of corruption, lack of economic legislation and judicial reforms, rapid population growth, and ongoing insurgencies by terrorist and rebel groups which continue to undermine this stability. The Philippines consists of over 7,100 islands with a total land area of 300,000 km2, making it the second largest archipelago in the world. It can be divided into three main island groups; Luzon (north), the Visayas (central) and Mindanao (south). Four cities have populations exceeding one million, Quezon City, Manila, Calcooan City (all within the Philippines National Capital Region - NCR) and Davao City. Figure 1: The Philippines Source: Maps.com It is these metropolitan regions that present the opportunities for Victorian agrifood products, particularly metropolitan increasing food self sufficiency is a major concern for the Manila and NCR. Filipino government. Typically food produced from small land Over 50% of the Philippines land mass is classified as holdings is consumed by the household or traded at local agricultural land. Agricultural production is undertaken wet markets. Similarly, food produced from large agricultural by small landholders who either lease or own their land estates results in the Philippines being a major producer or companies with vast agricultural estates. Due to rapid and exporter of sugar, rice, corn, tropical fruits (coconuts, population growth and escalating commodity prices, bananas, pineapples and mangoes), poultry and pork. Table 1: Population and economic data for the Philippines, 2007 (in comparison to Australia) National statistics (2007) Philippines Australia Size 300,000 km2 7,686,850 km2 Population 96 million 21 million Population growth 1.99% 0.801% GDP $US 300 billion $US 773 billion GDP per capita $US 3,200 $US 37,300 GDP growth rate 7.3% 3.9% Food self sufficiency <100% >100%
  • 6. Overview of Current Economic Situation 4 The Philippines economy is small and has one of the lowest The major industries contributing to the Philippines economy GDP per capita rates ($US3,200) in the whole of Asia. include Manufacturing (50%), Agriculture (15%), Overseas However, between 2003 and 2007, GDP grew by over 50% in Workers remittances (15%) and Services (10%). The Agrifood terms of its local currency and in 2007 real GDP grew at over sector employs over one-third of the population, and in 2007 7% (although in 2008 GDP dropped to 4% as a result of the accounted for 14% of its GDP. The landscape is dominated financial crisis), making it one of the world’s fastest growing by expansive estates that date back to colonisation, however economies. This has largely been driven by strong domestic a national land re-distribution program, which began in demand, economic reform, relative political stability, and the 1998, is currently underway transferring land ownership to successful exports of services (e.g. telecommunications, local residents. The Philippines remains a net importer of business outsourcing), labour, and manufactured goods and agrifood products with a trade deficit of $US 1.54 billion in resources. 2007. Wheat replaced rice as the most imported commodity followed by dairy ingredients in 2006, which are primarily Whilst the general macroeconomic outlook has improved used in the large processing sector. dramatically over recent years, with economic growth averaging 5% since Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo became The Philippines’ food processing sector is the most dominant President in 2001, the Philippines needs to continue its manufacturing sector in the country. It accounts for 40% economic reform agenda to ensure its long term fiscal of total manufacturing output, contributes 20% of GDP per stability and ‘catch up’ to other South East (SE) Asian annum and is growing at 8%-10% per annum. The sector economies. Continual reform and growth will be pivotal to comprises of fruits and vegetables, meat and poultry, flour alleviating poverty rates, which are currently growing due to and bakery, dairy products, fish and marine, beverages, the increasing population and unequal distribution of wealth. confectioneries, food condiments and seasonings, food supplements, bottled water, snack foods, fats and oils. This sector is heavily reliant on both domestically produced and imported agrifood products.
  • 7. Overall Trade Relationship with Victoria and Australia 5 Recent economic liberalisation by the Philippines Government exports to the Philippines (2007-08) include; crude petroleum has resulted in a trading system that’s relatively open and - $195 million, copper ores and concentrates - $159 million, has some of the lowest applied tariffs in the region. The medicaments (including veterinary) - $110 million and milk Philippines is a member of the World Trade Organisation and cream - $106 million. Major Australian merchandise (WTO) and Association South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) imports from the Philippines (2007-08) include; crude and as such are party to the Australian – ASEAN - New petroleum - $228 million, copper - $44 million, electronic Zealand (AANZFTA), signed in February 2009 (see below machinery and parts, other $37 million, telecommunications for further detail). Tariff rates for most consumer-oriented equipment - $35 million. Total trade in services between products range from 3%-15% and are undergoing unilateral Australia and the Philippines in 2007 comprised $266 million reduction. However industries considered sensitive such in exports and $306 million in imports. as poultry, pork, potatoes and coffee are exempt and have The Australian Trade Commission (Austrade) has an office in minimum access volumes and significantly higher tariff rates the Philippines located in Manila with a focus on promoting applied to them. exports of Australian food and beverage and agribusiness Australia maintains a good bilateral trade and economic products and services. The Victorian Government relationship with the Philippines. Two-way merchandise (Department of Primary Industries) is undertaking a Market trade was valued at $2 billion in 2007-08, 13% higher than Driven Responses Project with a focus on new and emerging in 2006-07 and both governments consider there to be markets and accordingly a Market Development Manager with significant potential for growth. Major Australian merchandise responsibility for South East Asia including the Philippines. Image courtesy of Meat and Livestock Australia
  • 8. Victorian & Australian Food Exports to the Philippines 6 The Philippines has been, and to a large extent still is, an $AU million importer of agricultural commodities that are predominantly 140 used as raw materials in its large food manufacturing sector. Australian exports to the Philippines reflect this trend with 120 dairy, meat and cereal ingredients forming the majority of total agricultural trade (Figure 2). 100 The Philippines is Victoria’s 13th most valuable agrifood export market valued at $175 million in 2008, increasing 80 by 45% from 2007 (due largely to record commodity prices during 2008). However total value has decreased by $42 60 million since 2004, largely driven by a decrease in dairy exports due to price sensitivity and increased competition. 40 Despite this is also a reflection of the inherent volatility of trade with Philippines which is a very price sensitive market 20 and often viewed by exporters as a ‘spot’ market as opposed to a consistent long term export market. Dairy still remains 0 the major export industry from Victoria valued at $130 million, 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 followed by red meat (mainly beef) $16 million and cereals valued at $13 million (Figure 3). Powdered milk Malt Beef Cheese and cream Australian food products are held in high regard in the Milled products Wheat Live animals Confectionery Philippines food manufacturing, retail and service sectors. They are perceived as being of very high quality and safe, Figure 2: Trends in export of selected food commodities but expensive. The Philippines is a particularly price sensitive from Australia to the Philippines Source: GTIS (2008) market, and as such Australia faces fierce competition from a number of agricultural commodity and food exporters from around the world. $AU million The United States of America (USA) is the major exporter of 140 agrifood commodities such as wheat, soy, dairy, meat and fruit as well a wide range of further value added food products 120 into the Philippines. The US has a long standing relationship with the Philippines due largely to their association during war time efforts spanning back to 1898. The Philippines 100 also imports similar products, but to a lesser extent, from New Zealand (NZ), Canada and the European Union (EU). 80 However due to the significant price sensitivity of Filipinos, countries such as China and other ASEAN nations are also 60 very prominent exporters to the Phillipines, trading in large volumes of low price products such as fruit (particularly from 40 China), vegetables, processed foods and dry goods. Due to the diversity and size of the Filipino market, there 20 are segments for the lowest value products (e.g. beef offal) through to high value products (e.g. primary beef cuts) and 0 Australian exports compete in all of these segments. In 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 general agrifood commodities (e.g. wheat, dairy ingredients) Powdered milk compete in low value and high value segments in the food Cheese Wheat Beef and cream processing sector with all of the countries mentioned above Whey products Butter Ingredients (in addition to others). Conversely, Australian exports of further value added food products (eg. cheese, portion Figure 3: Trends in export of selected food commodities controlled lamb), generally targeted at higher value modern from Victoria to the Philippines Source: GTIS (2008) retailing and food service markets, compete with imported products from the US, Canada, NZ and the EU.
  • 9. Food Consumption Trends 7 Traditional food retail and service formats, particularly wet and dry markets and local ‘sari-sari’ stores are the most commonly frequented by Filipino consumers. Modern retailing and food service is very much in its infancy, but transforming quickly. These factors coupled with the large and growing divide between the rich and poor result in very contrasting food consumption trends in the Philippines. In general, locally produced and/or manufactured products and low-medium priced imported products are consumed via traditional markets. Medium-high priced imported products are predominantly found in foreign owned supermarkets and five star hotel restaurants in major urban centres such as Manila. The majority of food consumed in the Philippines is manufactured by local companies, 11,000 in total (such as San Miguel and RFM Corporation), that produce food across all major food sectors, such as noodles, processed meat products (poultry, pork beef), processed fruit and vegetable products, dairy products and snack foods. These manufactured foods combined with fresh fruit, vegetables, meat and rice form the staple diet for low-middle class Filipino’s, who are the dominant consumer segment in the Philippines. However, middle-high income earners are demanding non-traditional and imported ‘ready-to-eat’ foods and in turn are driving modernisation of the Filipino food retailing sector. The modern retail sector is undergoing significant transformation with supermarkets, hypermarkets and convenience stores developing rapidly, along with the quality of product offered. The majority of retailers are local (laws prohibiting international retailers operating in the Philippines were only removed in 2000) and include SM Supermarkets/ Hypermarkets, Robinsons, Rustans, Makro and Pricesmart. Modern retailing is a relatively new concept in the Philippines and as such is primarily located in major urban centres alongside its customers. Despite this, the Philippines is widely regarded as one of Asia’s most attractive retail growth markets. Continued economic growth combined with a deregulated and highly fragmented market, along with interest from major international retailers such as Wal-Mart, Casino, Carrefour and Tesco, will accelerate growth and opportunities in this sector to satisfy the growing consumer demand for retail ready food products in the medium-long term. Filipinos spend approximately 12% of total income eating out and the sector is valued at $US3 billion, with growth of 10%-15% in the last decade. Traditional food service formats still enjoy a majority market share in the Philippines, but the modern food service market, driven by convenience and price and dominated by fast food restaurants/chains such as Jolibee, McDonalds and ChowKing, is increasing its presence with speed. High end restaurants and hotels are found in metropolitan Manila and service wealthy local and expatriate consumers. Both of these segments are heavily reliant upon imported foods.
  • 10. Distribution Channels 8 The food sector in the Philippines is extremely fragmented expensive. Maintaining cool chain distribution is a significant due to the excessive numbers of food retail and service issue and often leads to excessive spoilage, particularly for outlets; the convoluted supply chains; under-developed inter-island distribution. warehousing, distribution, cool chain and transport Distribution channels in the Philippines food processing, retail infrastructure; and the archipelagic nature of the country. and food service sectors resemble the disjointed nature of These factors lead to inefficient and costly distribution, the food sector. Figure 4 below depicts the flow of imported particularly outside of Manila. goods into the Philippines. As is illustrated, there are a In general, imported food from Australia enters the number of members in the supply chain with very limited Philippines in Manila, either at the Manila seaport (frozen product going direct to retail or food service. Most imported and shelf stable products) or the Ninoy Aquino International food moves into the food processing sector before making airport (fresh short shelf-life products). However, there are its way into the various food retail/service outlets. Likewise many other entry points into the Philippines including Cebu, imported ready-to-eat foods are typically imported by an Iloilo, Davao, Cagayan de Oro, and Zamboanga seaports and import/distribution company before further distribution. It is Diosdado Macapagal, Mactan-Cebu, and Francisco Bangoy rare for retailers, including modern retailers, to import directly. international airports. Although, in the medium-long term, direct importation is expected to increase particularly as global retailers enhance Once in the Philippines the main mode of freight is via road their presence in the Philippines. transport and “roll-on, roll-off” inter-island ferry shipping. Rail freight is poorly developed and air freight is generally too Australian supplier Australian consolidator Filipino Filipino food importer trader Filipino food processor Filipino Filipino Filipino major retailer wholesalers/ small retail distributors Filipino wet market Figure 4: Typical Filipino Food Distribution Channels for Imported Australian Agrifood Source: DPI, 2009
  • 11. Market Access 9 The Philippines’ Department of Agriculture and Bureau of Agriculture and Fisheries (animal and horticultural products) and the Department of Health and Bureau of Food and Drugs (processed foods) are the main agencies tasked with developing, regulating and enforcing food safety standards for all imported foods. Food products must be registered with the relevant agency, which can only be done by a Filipino entity and typically takes three months. Accordingly a reputable importing company that best suits a Victorian company’s exporting needs is essential in the Philippines and crucial for market access and market success. All imported foods and agricultural products are required to comply with the Philippines food health and phytosanitary laws. Similarly packaging, labelling and other specific standard must be adhered to (for more detailed information refer to references packaging and labelling). AANZFTA provides for the progressive reduction or, for most products, elimination of tariffs facing Australian goods exported to ASEAN countries, over a transition period. The following list is a summary of key sectoral outcomes for the Philippines (for more detailed information refer to references, tariffs to ASEAN countries): Meat and livestock: existing liberal access for live bovine animals will be guaranteed through tariffs bound at 0% or phased to 0% or 2.5%. Tariffs on most meat tariff lines are bound at 0% on entry-into-force (EIF) or phased to 0%, although some lines are subject to tariff reductions only, and a few lines are excluded from tariff commitments in some countries. Fish: tariffs on the vast majority of tariff lines are bound at 0% or phased to 0%, with tariffs on remaining lines mainly reduced to 5% or less. Dairy products: tariffs on all tariff lines are bound at 0% on EIF or phased to 0%, except two lines that will be phased to 5%. Grains: for most products tariffs are bound at 0% on EIF or phased to 0%. Rice is excluded from tariff commitments. Fruit and nuts: tariffs on most products phased to 0% Vegetables: Tariffs on most products phased to 0%, but there will only be modest reductions on some products with high tariffs, including potatoes, celery, carrots, cauliflowers, broccoli and lettuce. Fruit and vegetable juices: prepared and processed fruit and vegetables: tariffs on all products are bound at 0% on EIF or phased to 0%.
  • 12. Opportunities for the Victorian Food Industry 10 Even though the Philippines presents a number of challenges including its high price sensitivity, it also presents significant opportunities for Victorian agrifood exporters in the short, medium and long term. Due to the level of economic development, population growth and importance of the food manufacturing sector in the Philippines, export of agrifood commodities such as dairy ingredients, wheat and meat products pose as very good long term prospects. Higher priced value-added products such as ready-to-eat retail products and fresh produce will increasingly develop into substantial opportunities, more so in the medium to long term and this will be driven by growing consumer demand and modernisation of the retail, and to a lesser extent, the food service sectors. Dairy Dairy ingredients represent the bulk of the value and volume of Victoria’s food exports to the Philippines. Milk powders, cheddar, whey and butter amongst others will remain long term growth opportunities, which will also be aided by the lack of development in the Filipino dairy industry. Filipinos are the largest per capita consumer of dairy products in Asia and with increases in household incomes there is large scope to further increase demand for value-added products such as, cheeses, yoghurts and desserts as per capita consumption is still well below that of western countries. Prepared Foods (Ingredients) Specialised ingredients such as manufacturing grade herbs Grains and spices, fats and oils and confectionaries are vital inputs Grains, particularly wheat, are a major imported commodity to the Filipino food manufacturing sector. Imported directly into the Philippines. Whilst not truly reflected in the export by manufacturers, or more commonly by traders, these figures due to confidentiality agreements, a large volume of products tend to be more niche in nature but offer Victorian Australian wheat is imported for the manufacture of noodles food exporters (with the capability to be flexible) good and flour for other bakery products. There is a very large opportunities in the short to long term to supply into the wheat milling industry in the Philippines which relies solely Philippines food manufacturing sector. on imported products. The short to long term opportunities for wheat exports to the Philippines are very good and this market offers good opportunities for Victorian and Australian Horticulture (Fruit) wheat exporters in the new deregulated wheat market. Technically the only Australian fruit with access into the Philippines is processed fruit and due to the domestic and import competition very little Australian product is exported Meat into the market. However, there is a considerable volume The Philippines is self sufficent in pork and poultry and is a of table grapes and citrus (no tropical fruits) from Australia strong exporter of these products. However, the opportunities that enters the Philippines via a grey channel that is widely for red meat, particularly beef, are good. Manufacturing grade recognised in the market. Discussions are taking place beef, offals and trim for processing into products for fast food government to government and in the event market access chains and retail meat products offer very good short to long is granted for fruit product, significant opportunity exists for term opportunities. Primary and secondary cuts of meat are Victorian exporters of table grapes, citrus and to a lesser currently supplying niche high-end food service and retail extent stone fruit. Fruit is a very large part of the Filipino diet, outlets. However over the medium to long term the demand particularly for special occasions. for higher quality beef and lamb products can be expected to grow with the enhanced modern retail offer and growing high- end food service sector.
  • 13. Conclusion 11 The Philippines is currently a good market for Victorian agrifood exporters with the potential for growth in the medium to long term. This potential will be achieved if the fundamentals driving demand can outweigh the challenges that the Philippines faces. The drivers of demand have been the strong consistent economic growth (current global financial crisis aside), continual economic and trade reform (e.g. AANZFTA), political stability, strong domestic demand, young population, the growing appetite for non-traditional foods and a very strong food manufacturing sector. The challenges include the maintenance of economic and political stability, continual economic growth to alleviate poverty, poor transport and cool chain infrastructure and corruption. Currently major opportunities exist for agrifood commodities such as dairy ingredients, wheat and meat. It is anticipated that, for the foreseeable future, this demand will continue and potentially, experience growth. Filipinos have a growing demand for western style food products and with sizeable exposure to multinational fast food chains, high-end dining (for those who can afford it) and the increasing presence of modern retailing and international retailers, the demand for value added ready-to-eat and high value fresh food products will develop.
  • 14. Reference List 12 • Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT): http://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/philippines/philippines_brief. html http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/ http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/factsheets/ index.html • Department of Primary Industries Victoria (DPI); Food and Fibre Report 2008, www.dpi.vic.gov.au • Euromonitor International; Philippines Country Fact File: www.euromonitor.com • Google: http://images.google.com.au/ • Planet Retail; Grocery retailing in the Philippines: www.planetretail.net/markets • United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA): https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world- factbook/ • United States Department of Agriculture (USDA); GAIN Reports RP8049, RP8015, RP8041, RP7064, RP8043: http://www.fas.usda.gov/scriptsw/attacherep/default.asp Packaging and labelling • Bureau of Animal Industry (Department of Agriculture): http://bai.da.gov.ph/baimainframe.html • Bureau of Plant Industry (Department of Agriculture): http://bpi.da.gov.ph/services.html • Bureau of Food and Drugs (Department of Health): http://www.bfad.gov.ph • Bureau of Agriculture & Fisheries Product Standards (Department of Agriculture): http://www.bafps.da.gov.ph Tariffs to ASEAN countries • Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade: http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/ • Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade: http://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/fta/asean/aanzfta/factsheets/ index.html