presentation by Glenn Hyman at the ASB symposium about some work carried out under the REALU project – reducing emissions from all land uses. This work combines information on land-use change, carbon stocks and profitability of land uses to estimate opportunity costs and emissions scenarios into the future.

1. Low emission development strategies
in Peru, Colombia and Panama
ASB Symposium 2 October 2013
Global Steering Group Meeting
Washington, DC 2-4 October, 2013
Glenn Hyman

2. Introduction
• Planning for low emissions development
• What tools and approaches can be
brought to the task?
• ASB Has been working on methods for
analyzing low emissions development
strategies
• 3 Latin American examples – in Peru,
Colombia and Panama

3. RS/GIS

4. Peru

5. Ucayali Region, Peru
Figura 1. Participantes en el taller “Estrategias para reducir emisiones: Análisis de
escenarios de planificación” 22-26 marzo 2013 en Pucallpa, Perú.
1. Gather and organize information
2. Analyze land use and carbon stock changes
3. Develop emissions baseline
4. Analyze scenarios
5. Understand tradeoffs
6. Create action plan
6 steps Workshop
1. Day 1, scenarios w/ officials
2. Days 2, 3, 4 – analyze
3. Day 5 – review results and
make refinements

6. Analysis by
planning unit

7. Analytical Results from ABACUS

8. Implications
for oil palm
development
http://www.terra-i.org/terra-i.html

9. Key Insights - Ucayali Region Peru
• whether oil Palm replaces intact forests or
pastures will have a substantial impact on
emissions
• There is significant potential to recuperate
degraded pastures, restocking carbon in the
landscape.
• The new road planned between Pucallpa and
Cruzeiro would have multiplier effects for both
carbon stocks and livelihoods.

10. Colombia

11. Colombian High Plains
• ~ 1 million hectares
• Natural vegetation is savanna and gallery forest
• Focus of increasing agricultural development
• Agricultural systems:
• Pastures and improved pastures
• Maize, soybean, rice, sugar cane
• Rubber and Oil palm agroforestry
• Collaboration between the national agricultural
research institute (CORPOICA) and ASB partners
(CIAT and ICRAF)

15. Profitability of land uses in the Llanos, Colombia
Source: CORPOICA and CIAT

17. Conversion to silvo-pastoral systems Llanos, Colombia

18. Key Insights – High Plains Colombia
• There is a potential win-win situation by
converting degraded pastures and native
savannas to silvopastoral systems.
• Farmers would need support to cover the
initial cost of conversion.
• More study of biodiversity implications are
needed. Areas that are suitable for gallery
forests could be reestablished.

19. Panama

20. The 5 UN-REDD regions of Panama

21. Land Use

22. Opportunistic carbon stock evaluation

23. Opportunity cost analysis

24. Identifying land use transitions and their
effects on carbon stocks in Panama

25. Scenarios developed by group of experts are assessed
applying land use change rates in ABACUS: in this case
reducing primary forests clearing

26. Graphing ABACUS Results

27. Mapping land use transitions in Panama

28. Key Insights – Panama
• Reducing deforestation and degradation has
the highest potential for reducing emissions.
• Actions in indigenous reserves will have a
large impact on overall emissions in Panama.
• There is high potential to restock carbon in
agricultural lands, although the direct
contribution to net emissions is modest.

29. Our experience so far….
• Methods and tools have allowed us to test
hypotheses, notions, ideas in case studies
• Our partners at the technical/analytical level
are enthusiastically adopting methods
• Need to better incorporate other ecosystem
services
• More work needed to reach policy makers

30. Thank you