SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  100
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Tindak Malaysia:
Together we can make a difference

                                    1
An assessment of the electoral &
   financial outlook for Malaysia.

What the numbers tell us and what
conclusions to draw from it.



                                     2
6 POINTS:
1. BN cannot lose,
2. They know they are in trouble.
3. Their solution: push Malaysia
   into bankruptcy,
4. IMF come in to clean up the
   mess. Blame IMF for problems
   later,
5. New Rat Race System starts.
6. You don’t have to believe a
   word that is said!
                                3
RATIONALE BEHIND
        TINDAKMALAYSIA.COM

Questions:
1. Where are we?
2. How did we get here?
3. Where are we headed?
4. How can we make it better?



                                4
A group of caring Malaysians
              carrying out community service
               through voter education and
                     PACABA Training.

Tindak Malaysia supports the reason why the
Election Commission was formed - to ensure
elections in Malaysia are free and fair.
(Elections Act S 5 (1a)) EC has to enjoy public confidence. (Federal
Constitution Article 114)
Our training is based on the election laws
and is politically-neutral.
We are pro-Rakyat and accept any party
that is voted in freely and fairly.
We believe that “Power Corrupts, And
Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely”.
We take the position that there must be
checks and balances and that no one
party should hold too much power.
•   Mobile phone to silent mode,
•   Introduction,
•   Stickers,
•   Outline of Programme and duration,
•   Expected results.




                                         7
Tindak Malaysia strategy:
• Understand the principles of
   psychological warfare,
• How is it used against us?
• Develop self-defense measures.

Nations move in 50 to 60-year cycles!
When politicians hold power for too
long, they become arrogant, bullies
and corrupt! The ABC’s of politics.
                                        8
Their goal is to amass fortunes through all means,
legal and illegal, live a life of luxury, and preserve their
dynasty in any way that they can (such as pampered
intelligence and military services, cadres of corrupt
cronies, discriminatory governance to divide the
citizenry, and costly foreign support).
The result is that these countries have been financially
plundered, with an inhospitable business climate, an
underdeveloped private sector and little economic and
social progress.
http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ML22Ak02.html
Where is this place?
Middle –east!
                                                               9
Politics
                Economics



           Social


                            10
Politics           Social



       Economics




     BN CANNOT LOSE,
  ALTHOUGH BN WANTS THE
PEOPLE TO BELIEVE THEY CAN
          LOSE!
                             11
WE NEED TO STUDY HISTORY !
           Alliance Party/BN*               Opposition            Total
Year    Seats   % seats    % vote   Seats    % seats     % vote   seats

1959     74      71.15     51.7      30       28.85      48.3     104
1964     89      85.58     58.5      15       14.42      41.5     104
1969     95      65.97     49.3      49       34.03      50.7     144
1974    135      87.66     60.7      19       12.34      39.3     154
1978    130      84.42     57.2      24       15.58      42.8     154
1982    132      85.71     60.5      22       14.29      39.5     154
1986    148      83.62     55.8      29       16.38      41.5     177
1990    127      70.55     53.4      53       29.45      46.6     180
1995    162      84.38     65.2      30       15.62      34.8     192
1999    148      76.68     56.5      45       23.32      43.5     193
2004    198      90.41     63.9      21       9.59       36.1     219
2008    140      62.61     52.2      82       36.93      47.8     222
                                                                    12
BN                                     PR
 140 MPs (63.1%)                       82 MPs (36.9%)

 8 states                              5 states

 50.27 % of votes                      46.75 % of votes



 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysian_general_election,_2008
Putra Jaya (BN)       Kapar (PKR)
    Smallest             Largest
   6608 voters        112,224 voters

   Voters ratio = 1:17
Even the 2nd smallest seat, Lawas, has
  15,717, which is 2.4 times larger!
Selangor Constituencies
 Same DUN but
separated by land
    and sea




                             15 15
N45 SELAT KELANG
              Same DUN but
             separated by land
                 and sea




                             16
Redrawing of boundaries to give
        Four evenly matched districts
                                                                                    three-district advantage to Party 2




    All districts produce an even voting                                            District A,B,C votes 90% for Party 2
    ratio for each party                                                            District D votes 90% for Party 1
                                                        Party 1                      Party 2
                                                                                                                      17
SOURCE: http://www.comprofessor.com/2010/10/gerrymandering-through-corporate.html
One Voter One Vote ?
Question: Do the
Chinese & Indians
decide for a
simple majority?




                                           18
   Courtesy of the famous retiree: Ng CN
Total voter population: 10,922,140
Total Parliament seats: 222
Simple majority:        112 seats

DESIGN: 1st 112 seats: 1.85 million.
2008, BN contested 139 seats to win
112 seats. 2.08 million votes required
(19%).

Do you agree that 2 million can decide
for 28 million?
                                         19
The smallest 112 seats come from:
Sabah, incl Labuan: 26,
Sarawak:              25,
Johor:                13,
Perak:                12,
Pahang:                8,
(Peninsular Malaysia: 61)
For simple majority rule, rural Bumis decide. Only for
2/3 majority, the non-Bumis have a say!
(Show Sabah & Sarawak powerpoint)

Seats can be increased after Mar 2011 but
need 2/3 majority. BN can even create 200
Putrajayas!                                         21
Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 1 - 28



13 =
Sarawak
                                Majority
                                Sabah &
                                Sarawak
12 =
Sabah

                                        22
Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 29 - 56




                                       23
Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 57 - 84




                                       24
Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 85 - 112




                                        25
Point No. 1: BN cannot lose.
Is that the reason we have such blatant
corruption and inequality?
Is it a coincidence that the poorest
groups with the worst infrastructure,
education and health-care facilities,
are the king-makers?

Is it a coincidence that the natives are
driven off their land to join the urban
poor?                                     26
It‟s good to
                     belong to the
                     Ruling Class!




States with the highest incidence
of poverty: Sabah & Sarawak
                                    27
Results of not paying attention:
Ruling Party enjoyed 2/3 majority for
more than 50 years since 1957.

Consequences: 700 Constitutional
amendments since 1957.
Compare with US, 234 years old: Only 27
Constitutional amendments.
Answer: You have to avoid a 2/3 majority
to prevent too much power in the hands
of the Ruling Party.
                                        28
21-06-1962, Constitutional Amendment:
Article 116: Safeguard to maintain voter
difference to less than 15% removed.

Clauses (3), (4) and (5): Clauses were
repealed by Act 14/1962, sub-section 22
(c)

Source: (page 197)
http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_protect/---protrav/---
ilo_aids/documents/legaldocument/wcms_125966.pdf

                                                                       29
36
Politics
                Economics



           Social


                            37
Politics   Social

                    They start looking
    Economics
                    for alternatives!
                                     38
CIVIL UNREST: When the poor are hungry
and angry, they have nothing left to lose !




                                              39
EGYPT




        40
41
42
Do we want this?
      No!
                   43
WE GO BANKRUPT BY
       2013!




                    44
BONDS: Thompson Reuters Eikon

          GLC’s: Annual Accounts

  DOMESTIC DEBT: Treasury Report
  CAUTION: There may be some double-counting due to
  obscurity of some of the figures in the Treasury Report.

GLC & Domestic Debt Analysis: Credit to Lee Wee Tak
                                                             45
NATIONAL
              13.01.2011
 DEBT –                    USD 44B rolled
                           over last year!


Govt Bonds
USD 179.8 B




                                        46
Screenshot of Thomson Reuters Eikon




                                      47
NATIONAL DEBT – GLC’s
                             USD Million




GLC: Govt-
linked cos                      USD 19.5
                                Billion
                                           48
DOMESTIC DEBT
                    31st Dec




   In 3 ½ years,
   domestic debt has
   gone up by 70%!



                                USD 136 B :
USD 125.9 Billion              57% Debt/GDP
                                        49
TOTAL DEBT – USD 331.4 B
Countries
that
collapsed at
Debt/GDP:
Ireland, Dec
2010: 96%
Greece, May
2010: 134%
Malaysia
144%                 Jun 2011: 144%!
                                   50
TOTAL DEBT – USD 331.4 B
WHERE IS THE MONEY COMING FROM?




                                51
CAN IT GET WORSE?
Debt/GDP: 139%, annual deficit: 4 – 5%




Operating expenditure eats up all revenue & pensions depend on current income.
How can the Govt afford giving out RM 500 per head? What‟s the source?      53
RM 200 vouchers for 1.3 million students:
 RM 260 million,
One-off RM 100 aid each to 5.3 million
students: RM 530 million.
RM 500 for 3.4 million households: RM
1.8 billion,
Civil servants increment 7% - 13%,
Money given today will be taken back via
GST tomorrow – Anil Netto: Atimes
                                       54
Bureaucracy as % of Population
                                      How long can this go
16.00%
14.00%
                                      on?
12.00%     1.4 M Civil Servants,      Problem: Low
10.00%      3 M RELA = 4.4 M          productivity, poor work
8.00%                                 attitude, corrupt,
6.00%                                 entitlement-mentality.
4.00%
                                      Does a change of govt
2.00%
0.00%
                                      solve these problems?


                                                           55
WHAT ARE THE PIIGS ?

 P: Portugal
 I: Ireland
 I: Italy
 G: Greece
 S: Spain
                       56
WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ?
• THEY GET SLAUGHTERED !
• Bond yields shoot sky-high
• Is that Malaysia’s fate ?




                                57
GREECE
•   Bond-buyers have to take a hair-cut !

In late October 2011, euro-zone
governments called on Greece to secure
a 50% write-down on the debt held by
private creditors. Greece offered 25%
only.

Must charge very high interest to
compensate – more than 100%!
Source: Wallstreet Journal                  58
BUT MALAYSIA IS DIFFERENT !


•   We have oil palm!
•   We have oil & gas!
•   We have electronics & electricals!
•   We have high savings rate – EPF!



                                         59
In 2009, Robert Kuok was forced to sell
off his sugar monopoly to some
“businessmen”.

         Don‟t mess with Robert !Kuok.
         How has it hurt us?

• Robert Kuok invested in the world‟s
  largest sugar mill in Australia. Our
  international sugar price went up.
                                          60
SUGAR PRICE
World price dropped but          Why ?
domestic price went up by 40%!




      International sugar
      price goes down


                                   61
Oil palm: Najib asked China to increase oil palm
import from Malaysia but no deal.
• Why?
• Robert Kuok‟s Arowana Cooking Oil controls
    40% of China domestic oil palm refining
• Then Robert Kuok decided to invest
USD 10 B in Indonesia oil palm. That‟s our
lowest-cost competitor! Will it hurt us?


           Blowback from grab of Robert
           Kuok‟s sugar business in
           Malaysia (click to see link)       62
BUT WE STILL HAVE
                  OIL & GAS.

• We become net importer by 2014,
  2015!
• Govt demanding more and more
  money from Petronas.
• Petronas tried to stop the outflow.
• So previous CEO forced out & replaced
  with Najib nominee.
• Ex-CEO now working for Singapore.
                                     63
WHAT ABOUT
                   ELECTRONICS &
                   ELECTRICALS?
• This depends on foreign countries.
• Europe is in serious trouble.
• So‟s the US.
• Even China is having a housing bubble
  and if her exports are hit for her biggest
  market (Europe), she will import less
  from Malaysia.
• Outlook does not look good.             64
NOTHING CAN HAPPEN TO CHINA !
Property crashing - Chinese ghost town:
http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/1928-China-Crash-Coming-China-That-Urban-Empty-
Feeling?highlight=china+ghost+cities




                                                                                               65
 The soft landing view foresees Chinese
 central technocrats responding timely
 with well-calibrated fiscal and monetary
 policies that maintain GDP growth of
 around 8%, the annual rate Beijing must
 achieve to absorb new graduates into
 the work force and keep unemployment
 manageable.
                                            66
 The hard landing scenario predicts that an
  uncontrolled implosion of the property
  market will unleash waves of wealth
  destruction, a credit crunch and
  consumption collapse that no amount of
  government intervention will be able to
  meaningfully forestall.
 Southeast Asia will inevitably be among the
  worst hit by a soft or hard landing in China.
http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/ML
22Ae02.html
                                               67
OUR GOOD OLD EPF
                          WILL SAVE US !

• Malaysia cannot borrow cheaply from
  international market as we are in the
  same situation as Greece.
• So they tap into EPF for cheap funding.
• By now 60% is gone!
• That‟s our retirement savings!
Don’t feel bad. Govts do this as a matter of routine when they
get into trouble.
http://malaysiatoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/EPF-in-
Trouble2.pdf                                                  68
IMPLICATIONS: INTERNATIONAL BAILOUT

Greece outlook: Look at Greece‟s situation
• Expulsion from EU,
• New currency with massive devaluation,
• Job loss,
• Drop in wages,
• Sale of state assets,
• Cost-cutting – pensions, subsidies, civil
  service, welfare aid, govt services,
                                         69
LOCAL IMPLICATIONS

• Petronas, banks and insurance cos
  forced to buy low interest Govt bonds,
• Equivalent loans from international
  market will exceed 10% interest,

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/civil-
servants-fear-losing-jobs-in-iwk-restructure/
Restructuring and down-sizing Govt,
slash pensions, subsidies, govt services.
                                                             70
DO THE BUSINESS PEOPLE KNOW?
                  GFI reports that
                  Malaysia lost USD 338
                  Billion (RM 1.08 trillion)
                  from year 2000 – 2009.
                  5th largest in the world!



RM 39,000/person!
Highest in the world per capita!
                                          71
How much is RM 1.08 Trillion?
RM 100 notes
stacked all the way
from Singapore to
Phuket!


  Equal 75% of US Govt‟s gold in Fort Knox!


For the smallest 112 seats,
each voter lost RM 73,000
                                              72
Capital flight
                    RM 150 B in 2009,
                    24% of GDP !
Equal to RM 100     Where did this
notes stacked all   money come from ?
the way from        3 x KL MRT
Singapore to
Phuket!             RM 250,000/family !

                    Watch out for a
                    currency crash!
                                      73
74
75
Monthly Salary (oz of gold)
0.48

                   0.476 oz
0.47


0.46


0.45
                                       1970 Amah
0.44


0.43                  0.426
                                       2010
0.42
                                       Graduate
0.41
                                                   An Amah in 1970 earned
 0.4
                                                   more than a Graduate
0.39
       1970 Amah       2010 Graduate
                                                   today?!!
DO OUR LEADERS KNOW ?




    CASHING OUT !
 PUSHING MALAYSIA TO
    BANKRUPTCY !
FELDA:
Dr. Tan Kee Kwong, ex-Dep Min of Primary
Industries: In 2001, FELDA had RM 4.5B
cash. They should make RM 2 B per year.
By 2011 they should have RM 25B cash.
Instead, they owe EPF RM 6.5 B. Why ?




Never mind, they will find some suckers in the KLSE
to buy their shares during listing.
Lim Teck Ghee warning.                            78
KL MRT 12 times cost of
Beijing – Shanghai High Speed Train.
Not economical – sure bankrupt.




                                       79
KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1.6 B
 TO RM 3.9 B WITH 1 YEAR DELAY !




                               80
• Sg Besi Airport
  land, worth RM
  5.2 B but sold for
  only RM 1.6 B !




                       81
WHAT‟S THE PLAN?

• Regain 2/3 majority to shore up power,
• Put all the laws in place to control
  dissent,
• Push country to bankruptcy.
• Bring IMF in to do the dirty work,
• Millions lose their jobs,
• Civil servants chopped by 2/3,


                                       82
PREPARING FOR UNREST !
•   Public Assembly Bill passed to prepare for
    repression by the police




As law-abiding citizens, it is our duty to obey the law.
     Let all Malaysians stay home for 1 week!          84
1st JAN 2012: START OF POLICE STATE ?




UPSI 01.01.12: The president of undergraduate movement Bebas, Muhammad
Safwan Anang taken to Slim River hospital in critical condition          85
EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL

•   SOVEREIGN DEFAULT:
•   Italy,
•   Greece,
•   Spain,
•   France,
•   UK,
•   US,
•   China

                                  86
WHAT ARE THE DANGERS ?

•   Banks or bank holidays,
•   Capital control,
•   Commercial property & housing,
•   Borrowings and high-gearing for
    businesses,
•   Mortgages for speculative investments,
•   Shares,
•   Mutual funds,
•   EPF.
•   Police State                         87
Bank Runs




            88
NEW
MALAYSIAN
 EXPORT:
 MAIDS &
 LABOUR

  Maybe to
  Indonesia!


               89
HYPER-
   INFLATION


Zimbabwe, Nov
2007: USD 1 =
Zimbabwe Dollars
1 million.
1 year later, it was
ZDR 250 billion!
                       90
12 FACTORS OF We End Up??
     Where Will A FAILED STATE.
   WE ARE HALF-WAY THERE
1.     Uneven development along group lines,
2.    Criminalization &/or delegitimisation of the State,
3.    Progressive deterioration of public services,
4.    Widespread violation of human rights,
5.    Security apparatus as “state within a state”,
6.    Rise of factionalised elites
7.    Demographic pressures,
8.    Massive amount of refugees,
9.    Legacy of vengeance-seeking groups over past grievances,
10.   Chronic & sustained human flight,
11.   Sharp & severe economic decline,
12.   Intervention of other states or external factors.
30 STAGES OF COLLAPSE




              Public Assembly Bill

            IMF                      92
IS THERE HOPE ?
1. When nearing bankruptcy...
• A country‟s best chance of survival is for
   foreign investors to bring money in.
• Will they come in if its management is
   corrupt?
2. Do you want to hold corrupt leaders to
account?
3. There are 198 non-violent methods –
http://www.aeinstein.org/organizations/org/
198_methods-1.pdf
                                          93
1ST UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM
Study tindakmalaysia.com:
• History
• Religion
• Psychology
• Social
• Trends
• Finance & economics
• Politics
• Strategies of non-violent self-defense
For simplification: Use mental models!     94
(Shrinking)



(expanding)                 95
UMNO
Rebels

         96
97
   ATTORNEY GENERAL’S OFFICE
   ELECTION COMMISSION (EC/SPR)
   IMMIGRATION DEPT
   INLAND REVENUE BOARD (IRB)
   JAKIM/MUIS
   JUDICIARY
   MACC
   MILITARY INTELLIGENCE/UNIT TINDAKAN KHAS
    (UTK)
   POLICE/SPECIAL BRANCH
   RELA
   ROS
                                               98
   SYSTEM DEPENDS ON CASH-FLOW
   LOYALTY IS TO MONEY
   SYSTEM BREAKS DOWN WHEN CASH-FLOW
    STOPS




                                        99
HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN ?
   Leverage 100x

      Are banks safe?

                                                                                         4 million foreigners

                                                                                                Are jobs safe?




http://www.imi.gov.my/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=524%3Ajumlah-statistik-pekerja-asing-sah-dan-pati-
yang-telah-didaftarkan-menerusi-program-6p-sehingga-18-ogos-2011&catid=1%3Aberita-terkini&lang=bm
                                                                                                                 100
POLITICS

                       SOCIAL
STARVE
THE             ?
BEAST
            X   ?




           ECONOMICS

                           101
SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE !




    CONFIDENCE
      & TRUST

                               102
WHAT WE NEED !
The US: A depression does a lot of good.
It wipes out bad investments and eliminates bad speculators.
It forces capital into more productive, more profitable uses.
It kills off zombie industries.
It retires worn-out industries and reduces costs so that new
industries can arise.
It‟s the „destruction‟ that Schumpeter‟s „creative destruction‟
needs.

Solution for US Debt:
http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/4259-NIANswers-
FAQ?p=11708#post11708

Same for Malaysia.
We cannot ignore the laws of economics for too long.
                                                               103
2013 - Economic cycle: 50 – 60 years !




http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kondratieff_Wave.svg
                                                         104
HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?
• Bank savings: Convert to gold bullion,

• Pensions: Withdraw if possible,
• Stocks and mutual funds: Sell all,

• Insurance: Give it up,
• Taxes: Minimize exposure through
  incorporation,

• Commercial property: Sell,
                                           105
HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?
• Housing: Sell. Keep only 1 to stay,
• Businesses: Minimize loans,
• Life-style: Cut down on expenditure,
• Financial: Reduce debt,
• Stock up on essentials & dried-food,
• Food-growing land –
  move to the countryside!
• Barter trade
                                         106
PREPARING FOR A HARSH FUTURE

• Don‟t accept whatever is said today.
• Do you own due diligence.
• Monitor future events carefully and
  compare with what is said today to see
  if it makes sense.
• Use the knowledge wisely to protect
  yourselves, your family & your friends.
• Help one another.
• Our best protection is National Unity.
                                        107
FURTHER READING
Banking & debt, simply-explained.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGk5ioEXlIM&featur
e=player_embedded

Teh Chi Chang‟s analysis: The Budget & it‟s Shadow.

High Alert!
http://thedailybell.com/Public/Files/High%20Alert%20-
%203rd%20Edition(1).pdf

198 Ways To Bring Down A Dictatorship.

**** PACABA 0 Thread & Tindakmalaysia.com ****
                                                   108
Join Tindak Malaysia
To be free:
Understand psychological warfare,
Mental revolution needed to take action.
Join us. Learn self-defense techniques,
Click the top yellow banner at
tindakmalaysia.com, or email:
pywong.tindakmalaysia@gmail.com
            Spread the word !
                                       109

Contenu connexe

Similaire à Tindak malaysia the die is cast.r16.040112

04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation
04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation
04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral FoundationThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation
06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation
06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral FoundationThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...
Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...
Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...Afrobarometer
 
10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation
10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation
10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral FoundationThe Business Council of Mongolia
 
Hon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian context
Hon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian contextHon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian context
Hon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian contextScotland Malawi Partnership
 
Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021
Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021
Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
 
Jay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final Copy
Jay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final CopyJay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final Copy
Jay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final CopyJay Fallis
 
Lee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian Voter
Lee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian VoterLee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian Voter
Lee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian Votermilan_vaishnav
 
Zong 4G - Activation plan
Zong 4G - Activation plan Zong 4G - Activation plan
Zong 4G - Activation plan Waqas Nasir
 
Ipsos MORI General Election 2015 Briefing
Ipsos MORI General Election 2015 BriefingIpsos MORI General Election 2015 Briefing
Ipsos MORI General Election 2015 BriefingIpsos UK
 
Politics the weakened oppositions
Politics   the weakened oppositionsPolitics   the weakened oppositions
Politics the weakened oppositionsstatisense
 

Similaire à Tindak malaysia the die is cast.r16.040112 (20)

04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation
04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation
04.2009, REPORT, SMF Politbarometer, Sant Maral Foundation
 
06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation
06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation
06.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer, June 2012, Sant Maral Foundation
 
Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...
Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...
Kenyans register mixed feelings about devolution and KDF’s withdrawal from So...
 
IgnitedMinds
IgnitedMindsIgnitedMinds
IgnitedMinds
 
Vietnam media use 2013
Vietnam media use 2013Vietnam media use 2013
Vietnam media use 2013
 
10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation
10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation
10.2009, REPORT, Politbarometer #4 (37), Sant Maral Foundation
 
Hon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian context
Hon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian contextHon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian context
Hon. Dr. Kalilani-Women and political representation-the Malawian context
 
drraghuram4nation
drraghuram4nationdrraghuram4nation
drraghuram4nation
 
Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021
Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021
Indy politics informal survey for jan 2021
 
03.2014, REPORT, Polit Barometer, Sant Maral Foundation
03.2014, REPORT, Polit Barometer, Sant Maral Foundation03.2014, REPORT, Polit Barometer, Sant Maral Foundation
03.2014, REPORT, Polit Barometer, Sant Maral Foundation
 
Ipc344
Ipc344Ipc344
Ipc344
 
Jay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final Copy
Jay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final CopyJay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final Copy
Jay Fallis MRP (Alternative Borda Count) Final Copy
 
Trailblazers
TrailblazersTrailblazers
Trailblazers
 
MicroNews Stats
MicroNews StatsMicroNews Stats
MicroNews Stats
 
Lee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian Voter
Lee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian VoterLee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian Voter
Lee Kuan Yew School Talk: Five Myths About the Indian Voter
 
Zong 4G - Activation plan
Zong 4G - Activation plan Zong 4G - Activation plan
Zong 4G - Activation plan
 
The Fourth Measurement of Social Capital of Colombia
The Fourth Measurement of Social Capital of Colombia The Fourth Measurement of Social Capital of Colombia
The Fourth Measurement of Social Capital of Colombia
 
voter behaviour
voter behaviourvoter behaviour
voter behaviour
 
Ipsos MORI General Election 2015 Briefing
Ipsos MORI General Election 2015 BriefingIpsos MORI General Election 2015 Briefing
Ipsos MORI General Election 2015 Briefing
 
Politics the weakened oppositions
Politics   the weakened oppositionsPolitics   the weakened oppositions
Politics the weakened oppositions
 

Dernier

南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证
南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证
南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证kbdhl05e
 
Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...
Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...
Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...JeylaisaManabat1
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan
 
E J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptx
E J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptxE J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptx
E J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptxJackieSparrow3
 
(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)
(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)
(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)oannq
 
Inspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptx
Inspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptxInspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptx
Inspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptxShubham Rawat
 

Dernier (6)

南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证
南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证
南新罕布什尔大学毕业证学位证成绩单-学历认证
 
Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...
Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...
Module-2-Lesson-2-COMMUNICATION-AIDS-AND-STRATEGIES-USING-TOOLS-OF-TECHNOLOGY...
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Amil Baba In Faisalabad Amil Baba In Kar...
 
E J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptx
E J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptxE J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptx
E J Waggoner against Kellogg's Pantheism 8.pptx
 
(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)
(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)
(南达科他州立大学毕业证学位证成绩单-永久存档)
 
Inspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptx
Inspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptxInspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptx
Inspiring Through Words Power of Inspiration.pptx
 

Tindak malaysia the die is cast.r16.040112

  • 1. Tindak Malaysia: Together we can make a difference 1
  • 2. An assessment of the electoral & financial outlook for Malaysia. What the numbers tell us and what conclusions to draw from it. 2
  • 3. 6 POINTS: 1. BN cannot lose, 2. They know they are in trouble. 3. Their solution: push Malaysia into bankruptcy, 4. IMF come in to clean up the mess. Blame IMF for problems later, 5. New Rat Race System starts. 6. You don’t have to believe a word that is said! 3
  • 4. RATIONALE BEHIND TINDAKMALAYSIA.COM Questions: 1. Where are we? 2. How did we get here? 3. Where are we headed? 4. How can we make it better? 4
  • 5. A group of caring Malaysians carrying out community service through voter education and PACABA Training. Tindak Malaysia supports the reason why the Election Commission was formed - to ensure elections in Malaysia are free and fair. (Elections Act S 5 (1a)) EC has to enjoy public confidence. (Federal Constitution Article 114)
  • 6. Our training is based on the election laws and is politically-neutral. We are pro-Rakyat and accept any party that is voted in freely and fairly. We believe that “Power Corrupts, And Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely”. We take the position that there must be checks and balances and that no one party should hold too much power.
  • 7. Mobile phone to silent mode, • Introduction, • Stickers, • Outline of Programme and duration, • Expected results. 7
  • 8. Tindak Malaysia strategy: • Understand the principles of psychological warfare, • How is it used against us? • Develop self-defense measures. Nations move in 50 to 60-year cycles! When politicians hold power for too long, they become arrogant, bullies and corrupt! The ABC’s of politics. 8
  • 9. Their goal is to amass fortunes through all means, legal and illegal, live a life of luxury, and preserve their dynasty in any way that they can (such as pampered intelligence and military services, cadres of corrupt cronies, discriminatory governance to divide the citizenry, and costly foreign support). The result is that these countries have been financially plundered, with an inhospitable business climate, an underdeveloped private sector and little economic and social progress. http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ML22Ak02.html Where is this place? Middle –east! 9
  • 10. Politics Economics Social 10
  • 11. Politics Social Economics BN CANNOT LOSE, ALTHOUGH BN WANTS THE PEOPLE TO BELIEVE THEY CAN LOSE! 11
  • 12. WE NEED TO STUDY HISTORY ! Alliance Party/BN* Opposition Total Year Seats % seats % vote Seats % seats % vote seats 1959 74 71.15 51.7 30 28.85 48.3 104 1964 89 85.58 58.5 15 14.42 41.5 104 1969 95 65.97 49.3 49 34.03 50.7 144 1974 135 87.66 60.7 19 12.34 39.3 154 1978 130 84.42 57.2 24 15.58 42.8 154 1982 132 85.71 60.5 22 14.29 39.5 154 1986 148 83.62 55.8 29 16.38 41.5 177 1990 127 70.55 53.4 53 29.45 46.6 180 1995 162 84.38 65.2 30 15.62 34.8 192 1999 148 76.68 56.5 45 23.32 43.5 193 2004 198 90.41 63.9 21 9.59 36.1 219 2008 140 62.61 52.2 82 36.93 47.8 222 12
  • 13. BN PR  140 MPs (63.1%)  82 MPs (36.9%)  8 states  5 states  50.27 % of votes  46.75 % of votes http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysian_general_election,_2008
  • 14. Putra Jaya (BN) Kapar (PKR) Smallest Largest 6608 voters 112,224 voters Voters ratio = 1:17 Even the 2nd smallest seat, Lawas, has 15,717, which is 2.4 times larger!
  • 15. Selangor Constituencies Same DUN but separated by land and sea 15 15
  • 16. N45 SELAT KELANG Same DUN but separated by land and sea 16
  • 17. Redrawing of boundaries to give Four evenly matched districts three-district advantage to Party 2 All districts produce an even voting District A,B,C votes 90% for Party 2 ratio for each party District D votes 90% for Party 1 Party 1 Party 2 17 SOURCE: http://www.comprofessor.com/2010/10/gerrymandering-through-corporate.html
  • 18. One Voter One Vote ? Question: Do the Chinese & Indians decide for a simple majority? 18 Courtesy of the famous retiree: Ng CN
  • 19. Total voter population: 10,922,140 Total Parliament seats: 222 Simple majority: 112 seats DESIGN: 1st 112 seats: 1.85 million. 2008, BN contested 139 seats to win 112 seats. 2.08 million votes required (19%). Do you agree that 2 million can decide for 28 million? 19
  • 20. The smallest 112 seats come from: Sabah, incl Labuan: 26, Sarawak: 25, Johor: 13, Perak: 12, Pahang: 8, (Peninsular Malaysia: 61) For simple majority rule, rural Bumis decide. Only for 2/3 majority, the non-Bumis have a say! (Show Sabah & Sarawak powerpoint) Seats can be increased after Mar 2011 but need 2/3 majority. BN can even create 200 Putrajayas! 21
  • 21. Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 1 - 28 13 = Sarawak Majority Sabah & Sarawak 12 = Sabah 22
  • 22. Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 29 - 56 23
  • 23. Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 57 - 84 24
  • 24. Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 85 - 112 25
  • 25. Point No. 1: BN cannot lose. Is that the reason we have such blatant corruption and inequality? Is it a coincidence that the poorest groups with the worst infrastructure, education and health-care facilities, are the king-makers? Is it a coincidence that the natives are driven off their land to join the urban poor? 26
  • 26. It‟s good to belong to the Ruling Class! States with the highest incidence of poverty: Sabah & Sarawak 27
  • 27. Results of not paying attention: Ruling Party enjoyed 2/3 majority for more than 50 years since 1957. Consequences: 700 Constitutional amendments since 1957. Compare with US, 234 years old: Only 27 Constitutional amendments. Answer: You have to avoid a 2/3 majority to prevent too much power in the hands of the Ruling Party. 28
  • 28. 21-06-1962, Constitutional Amendment: Article 116: Safeguard to maintain voter difference to less than 15% removed. Clauses (3), (4) and (5): Clauses were repealed by Act 14/1962, sub-section 22 (c) Source: (page 197) http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_protect/---protrav/--- ilo_aids/documents/legaldocument/wcms_125966.pdf 29
  • 29. 36
  • 30. Politics Economics Social 37
  • 31. Politics Social They start looking Economics for alternatives! 38
  • 32. CIVIL UNREST: When the poor are hungry and angry, they have nothing left to lose ! 39
  • 33. EGYPT 40
  • 34. 41
  • 35. 42
  • 36. Do we want this? No! 43
  • 37. WE GO BANKRUPT BY 2013! 44
  • 38. BONDS: Thompson Reuters Eikon GLC’s: Annual Accounts DOMESTIC DEBT: Treasury Report CAUTION: There may be some double-counting due to obscurity of some of the figures in the Treasury Report. GLC & Domestic Debt Analysis: Credit to Lee Wee Tak 45
  • 39. NATIONAL 13.01.2011 DEBT – USD 44B rolled over last year! Govt Bonds USD 179.8 B 46
  • 40. Screenshot of Thomson Reuters Eikon 47
  • 41. NATIONAL DEBT – GLC’s USD Million GLC: Govt- linked cos USD 19.5 Billion 48
  • 42. DOMESTIC DEBT 31st Dec In 3 ½ years, domestic debt has gone up by 70%! USD 136 B : USD 125.9 Billion 57% Debt/GDP 49
  • 43. TOTAL DEBT – USD 331.4 B Countries that collapsed at Debt/GDP: Ireland, Dec 2010: 96% Greece, May 2010: 134% Malaysia 144% Jun 2011: 144%! 50
  • 44. TOTAL DEBT – USD 331.4 B WHERE IS THE MONEY COMING FROM? 51
  • 45. CAN IT GET WORSE? Debt/GDP: 139%, annual deficit: 4 – 5% Operating expenditure eats up all revenue & pensions depend on current income. How can the Govt afford giving out RM 500 per head? What‟s the source? 53
  • 46. RM 200 vouchers for 1.3 million students: RM 260 million, One-off RM 100 aid each to 5.3 million students: RM 530 million. RM 500 for 3.4 million households: RM 1.8 billion, Civil servants increment 7% - 13%, Money given today will be taken back via GST tomorrow – Anil Netto: Atimes 54
  • 47. Bureaucracy as % of Population How long can this go 16.00% 14.00% on? 12.00% 1.4 M Civil Servants, Problem: Low 10.00% 3 M RELA = 4.4 M productivity, poor work 8.00% attitude, corrupt, 6.00% entitlement-mentality. 4.00% Does a change of govt 2.00% 0.00% solve these problems? 55
  • 48. WHAT ARE THE PIIGS ? P: Portugal I: Ireland I: Italy G: Greece S: Spain 56
  • 49. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ? • THEY GET SLAUGHTERED ! • Bond yields shoot sky-high • Is that Malaysia’s fate ? 57
  • 50. GREECE • Bond-buyers have to take a hair-cut ! In late October 2011, euro-zone governments called on Greece to secure a 50% write-down on the debt held by private creditors. Greece offered 25% only. Must charge very high interest to compensate – more than 100%! Source: Wallstreet Journal 58
  • 51. BUT MALAYSIA IS DIFFERENT ! • We have oil palm! • We have oil & gas! • We have electronics & electricals! • We have high savings rate – EPF! 59
  • 52. In 2009, Robert Kuok was forced to sell off his sugar monopoly to some “businessmen”. Don‟t mess with Robert !Kuok. How has it hurt us? • Robert Kuok invested in the world‟s largest sugar mill in Australia. Our international sugar price went up. 60
  • 53. SUGAR PRICE World price dropped but Why ? domestic price went up by 40%! International sugar price goes down 61
  • 54. Oil palm: Najib asked China to increase oil palm import from Malaysia but no deal. • Why? • Robert Kuok‟s Arowana Cooking Oil controls 40% of China domestic oil palm refining • Then Robert Kuok decided to invest USD 10 B in Indonesia oil palm. That‟s our lowest-cost competitor! Will it hurt us? Blowback from grab of Robert Kuok‟s sugar business in Malaysia (click to see link) 62
  • 55. BUT WE STILL HAVE OIL & GAS. • We become net importer by 2014, 2015! • Govt demanding more and more money from Petronas. • Petronas tried to stop the outflow. • So previous CEO forced out & replaced with Najib nominee. • Ex-CEO now working for Singapore. 63
  • 56. WHAT ABOUT ELECTRONICS & ELECTRICALS? • This depends on foreign countries. • Europe is in serious trouble. • So‟s the US. • Even China is having a housing bubble and if her exports are hit for her biggest market (Europe), she will import less from Malaysia. • Outlook does not look good. 64
  • 57. NOTHING CAN HAPPEN TO CHINA ! Property crashing - Chinese ghost town: http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/1928-China-Crash-Coming-China-That-Urban-Empty- Feeling?highlight=china+ghost+cities 65
  • 58.  The soft landing view foresees Chinese central technocrats responding timely with well-calibrated fiscal and monetary policies that maintain GDP growth of around 8%, the annual rate Beijing must achieve to absorb new graduates into the work force and keep unemployment manageable. 66
  • 59.  The hard landing scenario predicts that an uncontrolled implosion of the property market will unleash waves of wealth destruction, a credit crunch and consumption collapse that no amount of government intervention will be able to meaningfully forestall.  Southeast Asia will inevitably be among the worst hit by a soft or hard landing in China. http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/ML 22Ae02.html 67
  • 60. OUR GOOD OLD EPF WILL SAVE US ! • Malaysia cannot borrow cheaply from international market as we are in the same situation as Greece. • So they tap into EPF for cheap funding. • By now 60% is gone! • That‟s our retirement savings! Don’t feel bad. Govts do this as a matter of routine when they get into trouble. http://malaysiatoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/EPF-in- Trouble2.pdf 68
  • 61. IMPLICATIONS: INTERNATIONAL BAILOUT Greece outlook: Look at Greece‟s situation • Expulsion from EU, • New currency with massive devaluation, • Job loss, • Drop in wages, • Sale of state assets, • Cost-cutting – pensions, subsidies, civil service, welfare aid, govt services, 69
  • 62. LOCAL IMPLICATIONS • Petronas, banks and insurance cos forced to buy low interest Govt bonds, • Equivalent loans from international market will exceed 10% interest, http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/civil- servants-fear-losing-jobs-in-iwk-restructure/ Restructuring and down-sizing Govt, slash pensions, subsidies, govt services. 70
  • 63. DO THE BUSINESS PEOPLE KNOW? GFI reports that Malaysia lost USD 338 Billion (RM 1.08 trillion) from year 2000 – 2009. 5th largest in the world! RM 39,000/person! Highest in the world per capita! 71
  • 64. How much is RM 1.08 Trillion? RM 100 notes stacked all the way from Singapore to Phuket! Equal 75% of US Govt‟s gold in Fort Knox! For the smallest 112 seats, each voter lost RM 73,000 72
  • 65. Capital flight RM 150 B in 2009, 24% of GDP ! Equal to RM 100 Where did this notes stacked all money come from ? the way from 3 x KL MRT Singapore to Phuket! RM 250,000/family ! Watch out for a currency crash! 73
  • 66. 74
  • 67. 75
  • 68. Monthly Salary (oz of gold) 0.48 0.476 oz 0.47 0.46 0.45 1970 Amah 0.44 0.43 0.426 2010 0.42 Graduate 0.41 An Amah in 1970 earned 0.4 more than a Graduate 0.39 1970 Amah 2010 Graduate today?!!
  • 69. DO OUR LEADERS KNOW ? CASHING OUT ! PUSHING MALAYSIA TO BANKRUPTCY !
  • 70. FELDA: Dr. Tan Kee Kwong, ex-Dep Min of Primary Industries: In 2001, FELDA had RM 4.5B cash. They should make RM 2 B per year. By 2011 they should have RM 25B cash. Instead, they owe EPF RM 6.5 B. Why ? Never mind, they will find some suckers in the KLSE to buy their shares during listing. Lim Teck Ghee warning. 78
  • 71. KL MRT 12 times cost of Beijing – Shanghai High Speed Train. Not economical – sure bankrupt. 79
  • 72. KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1.6 B TO RM 3.9 B WITH 1 YEAR DELAY ! 80
  • 73. • Sg Besi Airport land, worth RM 5.2 B but sold for only RM 1.6 B ! 81
  • 74. WHAT‟S THE PLAN? • Regain 2/3 majority to shore up power, • Put all the laws in place to control dissent, • Push country to bankruptcy. • Bring IMF in to do the dirty work, • Millions lose their jobs, • Civil servants chopped by 2/3, 82
  • 75. PREPARING FOR UNREST ! • Public Assembly Bill passed to prepare for repression by the police As law-abiding citizens, it is our duty to obey the law. Let all Malaysians stay home for 1 week! 84
  • 76. 1st JAN 2012: START OF POLICE STATE ? UPSI 01.01.12: The president of undergraduate movement Bebas, Muhammad Safwan Anang taken to Slim River hospital in critical condition 85
  • 77. EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL • SOVEREIGN DEFAULT: • Italy, • Greece, • Spain, • France, • UK, • US, • China 86
  • 78. WHAT ARE THE DANGERS ? • Banks or bank holidays, • Capital control, • Commercial property & housing, • Borrowings and high-gearing for businesses, • Mortgages for speculative investments, • Shares, • Mutual funds, • EPF. • Police State 87
  • 79. Bank Runs 88
  • 80. NEW MALAYSIAN EXPORT: MAIDS & LABOUR Maybe to Indonesia! 89
  • 81. HYPER- INFLATION Zimbabwe, Nov 2007: USD 1 = Zimbabwe Dollars 1 million. 1 year later, it was ZDR 250 billion! 90
  • 82. 12 FACTORS OF We End Up?? Where Will A FAILED STATE. WE ARE HALF-WAY THERE 1. Uneven development along group lines, 2. Criminalization &/or delegitimisation of the State, 3. Progressive deterioration of public services, 4. Widespread violation of human rights, 5. Security apparatus as “state within a state”, 6. Rise of factionalised elites 7. Demographic pressures, 8. Massive amount of refugees, 9. Legacy of vengeance-seeking groups over past grievances, 10. Chronic & sustained human flight, 11. Sharp & severe economic decline, 12. Intervention of other states or external factors.
  • 83. 30 STAGES OF COLLAPSE Public Assembly Bill IMF 92
  • 84. IS THERE HOPE ? 1. When nearing bankruptcy... • A country‟s best chance of survival is for foreign investors to bring money in. • Will they come in if its management is corrupt? 2. Do you want to hold corrupt leaders to account? 3. There are 198 non-violent methods – http://www.aeinstein.org/organizations/org/ 198_methods-1.pdf 93
  • 85. 1ST UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM Study tindakmalaysia.com: • History • Religion • Psychology • Social • Trends • Finance & economics • Politics • Strategies of non-violent self-defense For simplification: Use mental models! 94
  • 88. 97
  • 89. ATTORNEY GENERAL’S OFFICE  ELECTION COMMISSION (EC/SPR)  IMMIGRATION DEPT  INLAND REVENUE BOARD (IRB)  JAKIM/MUIS  JUDICIARY  MACC  MILITARY INTELLIGENCE/UNIT TINDAKAN KHAS (UTK)  POLICE/SPECIAL BRANCH  RELA  ROS 98
  • 90. SYSTEM DEPENDS ON CASH-FLOW  LOYALTY IS TO MONEY  SYSTEM BREAKS DOWN WHEN CASH-FLOW STOPS 99
  • 91. HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN ? Leverage 100x Are banks safe? 4 million foreigners Are jobs safe? http://www.imi.gov.my/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=524%3Ajumlah-statistik-pekerja-asing-sah-dan-pati- yang-telah-didaftarkan-menerusi-program-6p-sehingga-18-ogos-2011&catid=1%3Aberita-terkini&lang=bm 100
  • 92. POLITICS SOCIAL STARVE THE ? BEAST X ? ECONOMICS 101
  • 93. SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE ! CONFIDENCE & TRUST 102
  • 94. WHAT WE NEED ! The US: A depression does a lot of good. It wipes out bad investments and eliminates bad speculators. It forces capital into more productive, more profitable uses. It kills off zombie industries. It retires worn-out industries and reduces costs so that new industries can arise. It‟s the „destruction‟ that Schumpeter‟s „creative destruction‟ needs. Solution for US Debt: http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/4259-NIANswers- FAQ?p=11708#post11708 Same for Malaysia. We cannot ignore the laws of economics for too long. 103
  • 95. 2013 - Economic cycle: 50 – 60 years ! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kondratieff_Wave.svg 104
  • 96. HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ? • Bank savings: Convert to gold bullion, • Pensions: Withdraw if possible, • Stocks and mutual funds: Sell all, • Insurance: Give it up, • Taxes: Minimize exposure through incorporation, • Commercial property: Sell, 105
  • 97. HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ? • Housing: Sell. Keep only 1 to stay, • Businesses: Minimize loans, • Life-style: Cut down on expenditure, • Financial: Reduce debt, • Stock up on essentials & dried-food, • Food-growing land – move to the countryside! • Barter trade 106
  • 98. PREPARING FOR A HARSH FUTURE • Don‟t accept whatever is said today. • Do you own due diligence. • Monitor future events carefully and compare with what is said today to see if it makes sense. • Use the knowledge wisely to protect yourselves, your family & your friends. • Help one another. • Our best protection is National Unity. 107
  • 99. FURTHER READING Banking & debt, simply-explained. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGk5ioEXlIM&featur e=player_embedded Teh Chi Chang‟s analysis: The Budget & it‟s Shadow. High Alert! http://thedailybell.com/Public/Files/High%20Alert%20- %203rd%20Edition(1).pdf 198 Ways To Bring Down A Dictatorship. **** PACABA 0 Thread & Tindakmalaysia.com **** 108
  • 100. Join Tindak Malaysia To be free: Understand psychological warfare, Mental revolution needed to take action. Join us. Learn self-defense techniques, Click the top yellow banner at tindakmalaysia.com, or email: pywong.tindakmalaysia@gmail.com Spread the word ! 109