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The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — Hawaii Senate General Election Matchups
1. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 1
1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%
--In a [General Election] contest between Mazie Hirono and Linda Lingle, who
would you vote for?
HironoLingle
Hirono 49%
Lingle 44%
Unsure 6%
Total 100%
--In a [General Election] contest between Ed Case and Linda Lingle, who would
you vote for?
CaseLingle
Case 52%
Lingle 36%
Unsure 12%
Total 100%
2. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 2
731 Likely Democratic Senate Primary Voters – Margin of Error +/- 3.6%
[From Yesterdayʼs Report]
Democratic Primary Voters only
HironoLingle
Hirono 65%
Lingle 28%
Unsure 7%
Total 100%
HironoLingle * DemMatchup Crosstabulation
% within DemMatchup
DemMatchup
Hirono Case Unsure
HironoLingle Hirono 94% 38% 50%
Lingle 4% 55% 19%
Unsure 2% 7% 31%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Democratic Primary Voters only
CaseLingle
Case 68%
Lingle 18%
Unsure 14%
Total 100%
CaseLingle * DemMatchup Crosstabulation
% within DemMatchup
DemMatchup
Hirono Case Unsure
CaseLingle Case 68% 70% 52%
Lingle 12% 25% 15%
Unsure 20% 5% 33%
Total 100% 100% 100%
3. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 3
249 Likely Republican Senate Primary Voters – Margin of Error +/- 6.2%
--If the Republican Senate primary were held today, would you vote for former
Hawaii Governor Linda Lingle, or former State Senator John Carroll?
[Order in which candidate names were presented was randomized]
GOPMatchup
Lingle 86%
Carroll 8%
Unsure 7%
Total 100%
4. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 4
Republican Primary Voters Only
HironoLingle
Hirono 5%
Lingle 92%
Unsure 3%
Total 100%
HironoLingle * GOPMatchup Crosstabulation
% within GOPMatchup
GOPMatchup
Lingle Carroll Unsure
HironoLingle Hirono 1% 42% 6%
Lingle 98% 58% 63%
Unsure 1% 31%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Republican Primary Voters Only
CaseLingle
Case 8%
Lingle 88%
Unsure 5%
Total 100%
CaseLingle * GOPMatchup Crosstabulation
% within GOPMatchup
GOPMatchup
Lingle Carroll Unsure
CaseLingle Case 4% 53%
Lingle 94% 47% 56%
Unsure 2% 44%
Total 100% 100% 100%