SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  17
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Marketplace Lending:
A Maturing Market Means New Partner
Models, Business Opportunities
To maintain their impressive growth, marketplace lending platforms
should focus on providing greater security for investments and
transactions, venture into areas such as remittances, and set up
viable partnerships with traditional banks and financial institutions.
cognizant reports | July 2014
•	 Cognizant Reports
cognizant reports 2
Executive Summary
Since the early 1990s, when the Internet and
online commerce began to take shape, peer-to-
peer (P2P) transactional systems have contin-
ued to evolve. Much like the Internet, they have
morphed from highly centralized, static online
platforms to widely distributed, autonomous
systems that span the spectrum — from B2B and
B2C commerce (Amazon.com), to legal deal-
ings (compliance and reporting, loans) to music
(Napster) and online auction platforms such
as eBay. Needless to say, these pioneers have
radically changed how businesses and consumers
act, interact, buy, sell and service over the Net.
In the financial services industry, P2P first emer-
ged in 2005 – focusing on lending and borrowing.
P2P lending platforms, also known as market-
place lending platforms, offered an alternative
to traditional banking and payment systems,
since they cater to the underserved with services
like consumer lending, student loans, real estate
and small-business lending markets. While these
online providers create a marketplace for lend-
ers and borrowers, lenders expect a higher rate
of return on their investments compared with
simple transactions such as bank deposits. Borro-
wers who are unable to qualify for loans from
banks turn to these alternatives to obtain credit —
possibly at a lower interest rate than they would
have received from their bank, based on their
respective credit profiles.
Traditional banks, which until recently remained
confident about their ever-increasing spreads,
are now paying close attention to these previ-
ously unconventional platforms. Lending Club
and Prosper, the two largest marketplace lend-
ers in the U.S., issued US$2.4 billion in loans in
2013. In 2012, they issued US$871 million in loans.1
These figures point to the impressive growth of
marketplace lenders. The apparent success of this
approach is now prompting banks to enter into
partnerships with digital lending marketplaces.
Other financial institutions and institutional
investors are also actively investing in market-
place lending platforms to realize better returns
and diversify the risk profile of their portfolios.
However, to realize the potential of this opportu-
nity (estimated to reach US$1 trillion by 2025),2
marketplace lending platforms need to better
comprehend the choices and preferences
of their target users by analyzing the mas-
sive quantities of data in the digital market.
They also need to understand the types of loans
that borrowers/lenders are interested in, as well
as the factors driving default rates.
To deepen our understanding of marketplace
lending dynamics, we conducted a detailed study
in the U.S. — surveying both borrowers and lenders
across a wide array of marketplace lending com-
panies, age groups and income categories. The
survey was conducted online among a nationally
representative sample of approximately 11,000
U.S. consumers — roughly 701 of whom are market-
place lenders or borrowers — during February and
March of 2014 (see our detailed methodology on
page 15). Our goal was to capture emerging trends,
as well as the current and future needs of lend-
ers and borrowers, to help organizations increase
the uptake of marketplace lending services.
The study identified distinct sets of financial and
social characteristics of borrowers. These attri-
butes can serve as a benchmark when making
lending decisions.
From our findings, we recommend that market-
place lending companies focus on vehicle and
small business loans, and provide more options
for lenders to analyze loans. They should
consider both financial and social factors while
categorizing loans. Marketplace lending busi-
nesses should also partner with banks to leverage
those institutions’ large branch networks.
Taking the Pulse of Marketplace Lending:
Key Findings
Our research also revealed the key challenges
that marketplace lending companies should
address, as well as features and functions that
must be developed to create a more prosperous,
more mutually beneficial marketplace:
•	 Marketplace lenders:
»	 Believe that lending through marketplace
platforms is risky, but are attracted by
the solid rate of returns, which range from
7% to 24% per annum.
»	 Would be willing to lend more often if they
were provided with options such as imme-
diate liquidity of funded loans, securing
a part of the principal through insurance,
updates on the borrower’s repayment track
record and, importantly, if the marketplace
platform was allied with traditional banks.
cognizant reports 3
»	 Desire provisions for bad debts and legal
action against defaulters.
»	 Are willing to extend domestic money
transfer/international remittance based
on the borrower’s credit scores or per-
sonal guarantee. They believe that the
receiver of the money will repay the loan.
This can be a potential business model for
cross-border remittance companies.
•	 Marketplace borrowers:
»	 Seek lower interest rates compared with
banks, the opportunity to obtain loans
despite a poor credit rating, and a quick
and easy approval process.
»	 Need physical branches and opportu-
nities for enhancing interactions with
lenders through the digital platform.
The Current State of Marketplace
Lending
such as eBay’s role in creating a so-called “per-
fect marketplace” where all parties operate on
equal footing by negotiating mutually acceptable
terms and conditions. As such, online auctions
have emerged as an effective “market mecha-
nism” for arriving at the correct value of an item.
Like its P2P predecessors, marketplace lending
bypasses the traditional intermediary — the bank —
by directly connecting borrowers with lenders
through digital platforms. The focus is primarily
on small loans, such as those related to credit
card debt. Marketplace lending platforms typi-
cally use proprietary algorithms to assess risk,
creditworthiness and interest rates.
These platforms have emerged to address latent
market demand for loans from borrowers who are
creditworthy but unable to qualify for loans from
traditional banks – the reasons being as varied as
relatively low FICO scores, no current income, and
banks’ outdated credit scoring models. Interest in
marketplace services has also been fueled by lend-
ers looking for more attractive returns on their
Marketplace Lending: Market
Composition
Figure 1
Response Base: 701
N=701
Borrowers
39%
Lenders
37%
24%
Marketplace Lending’s Initial Headwinds
The early days of marketplace lending were marked by turbulence. In 2008, the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) sent a cease and desist letter to Prosper for selling unregistered securities.
This led to a legal precedent that specifies that marketplace loans must be registered securities.
As a result, numerous marketplace lending companies shut down.
Loanio is a case in point. The business worked on obtaining SEC registration after setting up just seven
loans. All the loans defaulted, and Loanio was unable to obtain any venture capital.3
Compliance with
SEC regulations is a costly affair. For example, Prosper is spending US$1million annually on compliance,
and spent US$5 million to complete the registration process.4
An analysis of the UK marketplace lending industry reveals that 35 marketplace lending companies have
launched since 2005. Of these, 10 have shut down due to high default rates — a staggering 28% of the
total.5
Another 10 companies were launched after May 2013. This suggests that an equal percentage of
marketplace lending companies do not have a long enough track record to make a judgment about the
quality of loans they generate.
Quick Take
Our research revealed key dynamics of market-
place lending. For instance, there is a group of
customers (24%) who borrow as well as lend on
marketplace platforms (see Figure 1) at different
points in time.
Traditionally, online markets have delivered oper-
ational efficiency and transformed businesses
by bringing together buyers and sellers on an
unprecedented scale. Success stories abound,
cognizant reports 4
investment from alternative sources. Nevertheless,
despite its initial promise, the market has devel-
oped in fits and starts (see sidebar, previous page).
Although there is untapped demand for loans
in the market, there are inherent risks in any
lender-borrower relationship. The major expo-
sure in marketplace lending is loan default, which
can erode the lender’s return on investment and
cut into the principal. Lenders therefore need to
understand the reasons for default.
Reasons for Defaults
The main reasons for defaults, according to the
lenders we surveyed, are unexpected expenses,
disruption in the borrower’s earnings due to loss
of job or business, and lack of collateral security
and personal guarantees (see Figure 2, above).
Defaults reduce the creditworthiness of borrow-
ers. Receiving a future loan becomes next to
impossible; even if they receive a loan, borrow-
ers have to pay very high interest rates. Also,
they become part of the lowest category of loan
seekers. With this in mind, borrowers should do
their utmost not to default, especially if they per-
ceive the need for another loan. Borrowers cited
maintaining a good reputation with the lending
community, values and honor, and preserving
creditworthiness as reasons for not defaulting.
The default rate is also an important yardstick
for measuring the performance of a marketplace
lending platform. According to Prosper, a leading
marketplace player, its default rates range from
1.55% for the best-rated borrowers, to 16.7%
for its lowest-rated.6
However, during the recent
economic recession, Prosper’s default rates
peaked at 30%.
Apart from the risk of default, lenders also fear
the lending platform going bankrupt. These
platforms do not have the government backing
that banks seem to have. Lenders still trust
the banks – an incentive for banks to enter the
marketplace lending arena.
Traditional Banks Enter the
Marketplace Lending Arena
Reasons for Defaulting—Lenders’ Views
Figure 2
Response Base: 349
Agree Strongly Agree
42%
43%
48%
40%
52%
42%
46%
26%
26%
23%
32%
21%
33%
30%
37% 26%No legal action against default borrowers
43% 23%Lack of regulatory policies
43% 23%
Accountability is low among young and
unmarried borrowers
Repayment largely depends on loan terms
Repayment for the most part depends on interest rates
and closing fees
Defaults occur due to lack of collateral security or
personal guarantees
Repayment mostly depends on loan amount
Repayment largely depends on loan type/purpose of loan
Disruption to borrower’s earnings or income
Unexpected expenses
Willingness to Lend on Marketplace
Platforms Run by Retail Banks
Figure 3
Response Base: 349
Yes
No 26%
74%260
89
Yes No
In March 2014, the venture capital arm of Westpac,
one of Australia's largest banks and the second-
largest in New Zealand, invested US$8.5 million
in SocietyOne, Australia's leading marketplace
lending platform. The bank was among the first to
directly invest in the marketplace space. At the
same time, Barclays Africa acquired a 49% stake
in the marketplace lending platform RainFin.7
More recently, Lending Club announced a tie-up
with Union Bank. These investments speak for
themselves – telling us that banks are seriously
interested in marketplace lending.
cognizant reports 5
Likewise, individual lenders are keen on lending
on marketplace platforms run by retail banks.
According to our survey, 74% of respondents
were willing to trust platforms run by retail banks
(see Figure 3, previous page). This might be due
to individual lenders’ long-standing relationship
with these institutions.
Banks with their own marketplace lending plat-
forms can choose to pass on certain loans to
the latter. Lenders who find marketplace lending
inherently risky (see Figure 4) would also be
attracted if the big banks were to get involved.
Borrowers, on the other hand, have expressed a
desire to interact with lenders. They also indicated
they would like marketplace lending businesses
to offer physical branches (see Figure 5). Both
of these needs can be fulfilled when marketplace
lending services affiliate with banks. Banks have
a large physical network of branches; they can
also help to facilitate face-to-face interactions
between borrowers and lenders.
Risks of Lending on Marketplace Platforms Compared with Other Types of
Commercial Lending
Figure 4
Response Base: 349
A full 47% of lenders indicate
that marketplace lending is risky.
The major reasons are lack of
trust in borrowers, lack of
security of investments and
absence of government support.
Risk of lending on
marketplace platform
compared to other
types of commericial
lending.
High No Difference Low
26% 27%47%
Borrowers' Priorities for a Marketplace Platform
Figure 5
Response Base: 352
ThirdFeature Priorities: Second First
Branch availability for
marketplace lending
26% 20% 43%
Lender and borrower interaction 27% 17% 39%
Partnering with traditional banks 23% 30% 10%
24% 34% 9%
Online tools for portfolio analysis,
risk calculation, etc.
When banks enter the marketplace lending
space, can institutional investors be far behind?
Probably not. These stakeholders have already
shown interest in marketplace lending.
More than 80% of the loans issued by Prosper
in March 2014 were funded by institutional
investors. Furthermore, at least a dozen invest-
ment funds have been formed with the sole
intent of investing in marketplace loans.8
This
suggests that the financial institutions that
marketplace platforms set out to bypass are
now investing in them. Institutional investors
are attracted by better returns, and the relative
stability and short duration of the loans. They
are also securitizing marketplace loans and
selling them to other investors. In September
2013, Eaglewood Capital sold a US$53 million
securitization of marketplace loans from Lending
Club to investors.9
Other banks are exploring ways
to securitize marketplace loans into large bundles
that can then be sold to sizable investors.
Institutional investors are finding other ways to
gain an advantage in this space. In some cases
they have set up servers near the marketplace
lender’s premises to get a head start and provide
funding quickly, before other lenders. This tactic
resembles those of high-frequency traders, who
depend on speed for higher returns. In response,
Lending Club has set up “speed bumps” to limit
institutional buying.
cognizant reports 6
In May 2014, Lending Club announced a strate-
gic alliance with Union Bank. Initially, the bank
will purchase personal loans through the plat-
form; later, the two will join to create new credit
products for customers. Prosper also raised
US$70 million in venture capital in May 2014.
With so many institutions putting a stake in the
ground, the industry looks more and more like
online consumer lending.
Borrowers’ Classification11
Based on Credibility
Figure 6
Response Base: 352
Note: The size of the bubble reflects the number of respondents in that group. The figures inside or outside the
bubbles indicate the percentage of respondents belonging to that group.
Low
High
Least Most
Borrowers’Credibility
Preference
Disinclined
9% Inclined
11%
Prudent
59%
Abider
21%
Factors Underlying Marketplace
Lending Decisions
Lending decisions are tough. This is especially
true in marketplace lending because the lender
has the freedom to choose the loans they want
to fund.
To help zero in on the major factors impacting
lending decisions, we identified social and finan-
cial variables as predictors. The social variables
represent peer group members’ ratings and
marketplace lenders’ endorsements. The financial
variables include the borrower’s annual income,
debt-to-income ratio and credit rating. Our
statistical model10
indicates that a borrower’s
annual income and credit rating are the significant
So will the retail investor be left with any loans to
fund? We believe there is space for both institu-
tional and retail investors. Individual investors can
choose from the fractional loans on offer because
institutional investors would prefer whole loans.
We also believe marketplace lending platforms
must maintain a balance between retail and insti-
tutional investors to strengthen their position in
the industry.
Quick Take
predictors of default. Figure 6 presents bor-
rower groups based on borrower credibility.
A borrower’s credibility is determined by his
annual income, debt-to-income ratio, credit
rating, peer group members’ ratings, and
marketplace lenders’ endorsements.
The “abider” group of borrowers is the most
preferred. The “prudent” group of borrowers
has the highest number of respondents and is
the second most preferred. The “inclined” and
“disinclined” groups carry the highest risk of
default. Each of these groups has a distinct set
of characteristics (see Figure 7, next page). These
characteristics can serve as a benchmark when
making lending decisions.
cognizant reports 7
The Lure of Marketplace Lending
Platforms
Characteristics of Different Groups
Group Characteristics
Abider
•	 Rated very highly by peer group members (excellent).
•	 Strongly recommended by previous marketplace lenders (excellent).
•	 Debt-to-income ratio is less than 36%.
•	 Credit scores are above 720.
•	 Annual income levels above US$100,000.
Prudent
•	 Rated highly by peer group members (good).
•	 Recommended by previous marketplace lenders (good).
•	 Debt-to-income ratio between 37%–42%.
•	 Credit scores between 660 and 720.
•	 Annual income levels between US$50,000 and US$100,000.
Inclined
•	 Rated “fair” by peer group members.
•	 Least recommended by previous marketplace lenders (fair).
•	 Debt-to-income ratio between 43% to 49%.
•	 Credit scores between 600 and 660.
•	 Annual income levels between US$30,000 and US$50,000.
Disinclined
•	 Rated “poor” by peer group members.
•	 Not recommended by previous marketplace lenders (poor).
•	 Debt-to-income ratio above 50%.
•	 Credit scores less than 600.
•	 Annual income levels less than US$30,000.
Figure 7
Reasons for Marketplace Borrowing
Figure 8
Response Base: 352
Home improvement 30%107
104
Repaying debt 30%104
Paying bills
(credit card,
utilities bill, etc.)
38%132
Figure 9
Response Base: 352
Comparison of Lending Institutions’ Loan Approval Rates
81%
66%
59%
54%
44% 40%
15%
26%
32% 33%
48%
39%
Marketplace
Lending Sites
Credit Card Family/Friends Credit Unions Traditional
Banks
Housing
Societies
Approved Rejected
Individuals use marketplace lending platforms
primarily to borrow money to pay bills (see
Figure 8). The other common reasons are home
improvement and repaying debt.
Borrowers typically turn to marketplace lending
sites as a result of their high approval rates
compared with other sources. Among those we
surveyed, 81% of loan applications were accepted
by marketplace lending sites versus 44% by
traditional banks (see Figure 9, below).
cognizant reports 8
Borrowers’ Wish List
Borrowers want physical branches and more interaction between borrowers and lenders (see Figure 10).
Borrowers have also shown an inclination to bor-
row for the long term to buy a vehicle or a house
against collateral (see Figure 12).
Borrowers’ Recommendations
Figure 11
Response Base: 352
Virtual interview with
potential lenders
12%42
Looking beyond just
credit history, current
income and debt
31%108
One-time approval
process
32%113
Short, well-written
questions
33%117
Quick approval 67%235
Willingness to Borrow for the
Long Term (Beyond Five Years)
for Buying Vehicle/House
26% 66%Yes
8%No
No collateral Against collateral No
Figure 12
Response Base: 352
64%
Very Much
226 28%
Somewhat
98 8%
Not At All
28
Willingness to Borrow As a Group
Figure 13
Response Base: 352
82%
Fine
289
14%
Not Fine
51
3%
Don’t Have
An Account
12
Willingness to Share Social Media
Profiles
Figure 14
Response Base: 352
Borrowers are amenable to subjecting their social
media profiles to scrutiny; 82% have shown a
willingness to share their social media profiles
(see Figure 14).
Features Sought by Borrowers
Figure 10
Response Base: 352
24% 34% 9%
26% 20% 43%Branch availability of marketplace lending site
27% 17% 39%Lender-borrower interaction
23% 30% 10%Partnering with traditional banks
Online tools for portfolio analysis,
risk calculation, etc.
Third Second First
The availability of online tools such as calculators
to compare interest rates across marketplace
platforms is also very important to borrowers.
They also seek quick online approval of loan
requests, a simple registration flow, and a
one-step approval process (see Figure 11).
Some marketplace lenders require cars as col-
lateral.12
The car can cover any percentage of the
loan amount, not necessarily the full amount. The
borrower needs to deposit the certificate of
ownership with the marketplace platform.
Borrowers are even willing to borrow in groups
and be jointly responsible13
for all the loans (see
Figure 13). This can lead to lower default rates – in
some cases the result of perceived peer pressure.
cognizant reports 9
Influencing Friends and
Others to Join the Peer Group
Figure 15
Response Base: 352
No Yes
Recommending
Friends & Others
88%
12%
Importance of Data Privacy
and Security of Marketplace
Lending Sites
Figure 16
Response Base: 701
Somewhat Important
Important
Highly Important
3% 36% 61%
Data Privacy &
Security Features
The importance of data privacy and security fea-
tures can be gauged by the fact that almost 77%
of borrowers and lenders are willing to pay a nom-
inal fee for additional biometric security features
(see Figure 18).
Willingness to Adopt Biometric Security
Features for Marketplace Transactions
Figure 17
Response Base: 701
Yes
No
87%
13%
Preferred Biometric Authentication
Method for Marketplace Transactions
Figure 19
Response Base: 701
Others
Fingerprint Matching
Voice Recognition
Facial Recognition
26%
27%
47%
Willingness to Pay for Biometric
Security Features
Figure 18
Response Base: 701
Yes
No
77%
10%
The preferred biometric authentication method
for marketplace transactions is facial recognition
(see Figure 19).
Borrowers also tend to encourage their family
members, friends and others to join marketplace
lending networks (see Figure 15).
Lending to groups can alleviate defaults (even
for borrowers with good peer ratings) because
peer pressure and community support would
work to counter the incidence of default.
While borrowing in groups is an important item in
borrowers’ wish lists, security of transactions is
the most important requirement.
The Security of Transactions
The security of transactions is a critical consider-
ation in any online business. This is especially true
in marketplace lending. The absence of effective
security features is a major deterrent for both
borrowers and lenders. An overwhelming 97% of
respondents consider security features and data
privacy important for marketplace lending sites
(see Figure 16).
Of those surveyed, 87% expressed a willingness
to adopt biometric security features for market-
place transactions (see Figure 17).
Lender Requirements
From lenders’ perspectives, returns of close to
zero14
from traditional investment options such
as bank deposits make marketplace lending
platforms much more attractive. Lenders
believe marketplace lending allows them to
choose borrowers and have greater control
over their investments, and comes with the ease
and efficiency of online access (see Figure 20,
next page).
cognizant reports 10
Marketplace platforms also allow lenders to per-
form their own analysis and choose their borrower.
They can create and use their own models to
make sure the default risk is minimized. Moreover,
marketplace platforms provide different buckets
of loans, based on their proprietary models.
Choosing a Borrower
Lenders are comfortable lending to someone
they know, since they believe the chances of
default will be small. In the absence of knowledge
of the borrower, lenders prefer to lend to those
rated15
highly by the platforms because the risk
of default is less. They are also willing to lend to a
group of individuals who join together to request
a loan, believing that peer pressure on the syndi-
cate members will result in repayment of the loan
(see Figure 21).
The preponderance of loan default is an open
question since most loans issued on marketplace
lending platforms have yet to run their full course.
This could result in marketplace lenders reporting
higher-than-actual returns.
Wish List of Features
Any innovation in business is marked by new
features that set it apart from existing business
practices. However, once consumers are accus-
tomed to these attributes, they will demand more.
Reasons to Choose Marketplace Lending
Figure 20
Response Base: 349
18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–70
Others
Lower risk than capital markets
Alternative investment option to diversify funds
Help fellow borrowers who need the money
High rate of returns for investments
Quite easy and efficient with online access
Better control over investments
Option to choose the borrowers (whom to lend to)
Do not like to work with big banks/institutions
2%
1%3% 5% 5% 1% 16%
2% 3% 9% 13% 2% 29%
2% 5% 7% 13% 3% 31%
1%5% 12% 11% 3% 32%
1%5% 11% 17% 3% 39%
3% 8% 13% 15% 3% 43%
3% 7% 13% 17% 3% 45%
1% 2%
3%
1% 10%
2%
1%
Willingness to Lend to Individuals
Figure 21
Response Base: 349
Not Sure Very Uncomfortable Not So Comfortable
Comfortable Very Comfortable
Lending to someone you don't know 9% 61% 26% 64%
3%
1%
Lending to someone from the same community 8% 26% 42% 22% 77%2%
Lending to someone with a good credit rating 19% 44% 30% 80%3%
4%
Bidding on a competitive loan
listing that has lenders bidding
16% 46% 32% 73%2%
4%
Lending to someone endorsed by
his/her friends & family members
17% 42% 35% 74%2%
4%
Lending to a friend or family member 16% 54% 26% 87%
2%
3%
Lending to someone rated highly
by the lending site
19% 51% 22% 81%6%2%
Lend more often if the lending
platform is providing reasonably accurate
prediction of borrower’s repayment ability
49% 32% 79%14%2%
3%
Lending to a group as a whole 16% 24% 78%56%2%
2%
cognizant reports 11
The key features lenders desire from market-
place lending platforms provision for bad debts, a
legal framework to deal with defaulters, partner-
ships with retail banks and minimum guaranteed
returns, for example (see Figure 22).
Preferred Types of Loans
Lenders prefer to fund loans for vehicles, edu-
cation, small business and home improvements
(see Figure 23).
Most marketplace loans do not involve collateral.
Although regulatory authorities require market-
place platforms to meet a minimum prudential
requirement, lenders can still lose most of their
money. Marketplace platforms have now begun
to issue small business loans. These loans are
also unsecured but require personal guarantees
by the business owner. In the future, marketplace
platforms may begin providing secured loans
backed by business assets.
7% 4% 2%Liquidity of investments
6% 1% 2%Recommendation engine for choosing the right loans
13% 8% 4%Online tools for portfolio analysis, risk calculation, etc.
15% 11% 5%Lender and borrower interaction
9% 14% 5%Deposit insurance like FDIC for bank accounts
9% 15% 5%Branch availability of marketplace lending site
11% 11% 6%Collateral-based lending
13% 13% 12%Minimum guaranteed returns
5% 7% 15%Partnering with retail banks
6% 5% 21%Legal framework for defaulters to comply
7% 11% 23%Provision fund for bad debts
Features Sought by Lenders
Figure 22
Response Base: 349
Feature Priorities: Third Second First
Marketplace Loan Types
Figure 23
Response Base: 349
Preferred loan types by marketplace lenders
36%127
28%99
28%98
27%95
18%63
17%58
13%47
13%47
10%35
9%33
7%24
5%18
2%8
Vehicle loan
Education loan
Small business loan
Home improvement loan
Medical expense loan
Debt consolidation loan
Payday loan
Wedding loan
Mortgage
Unsecured debt
Secured loan with collateral not covered above
For domestic money transfer or International remittance
Others
cognizant reports 12
Opportunities exist for marketplace lending
platforms to offer loans for education and medi-
cal expenses. Both lenders and borrowers have
shown an interest in these loan categories
(see Figure 24).
There are marketplace lending platforms that
specialize in a wide range of niche loans, such
Opportunities in Marketplace Lending
Figure 24
Response Base: 701
Lenders’ Willingness Borrowers’ Willingness
36%
20%
Vehicle Loan
28% 28%
Education Loan
18%
28%
Medical Expense Loan
Purpose of Marketplace Borrowing
Figure 25
Response Base: 352
Paying bills (credit card, utilities bill, etc.)
Home improvement
Repaying debt
Medical expense
Education
Travel
Vehicle purchase
Wedding
Mortgage
Starting up a business
Domestic money transfer or
international remittance to family
Others
38%132
30%107
30%104
28%99
28%99
25%87
20%71
10%36
9%33
8%28
6%21
1%3
as payday loans, purchase finance, education
finance, real estate, merchant cash advance and
loans to small and medium businesses. Examples
of these platforms are Kreditech, Greensky, SoFi,
Pave, Realty Mogul, C2FO and Kabbage.16
In April
2014, Lending Club acquired Springstone Finan-
cial, a platform for making marketplace loans
available to people undergoing elective surgery.17
CommonBond connects student borrowers with
lenders. Most of these lenders are alumni who
provide loans at rates lower than current market
rates.
Borrowers turn to marketplace lending sites
mainly for paying bills (credit card, utilities, etc.),
home improvement expenses and for repaying
debt (see Figure 25).
According to the World Bank,18
estimates indi-
cate that the international money transfer
(remittance) market will reach US$707 billion
by 2016 — a large market opportunity by any
standard. Money transfer could represent a
significant business vehicle for marketplace
lending companies.
The Remittance Business:
An Opportunity
cognizant reports 13
Willingness to Make Domestic/Inter-
national Money Transfer Based on
Individual Credit Rating/Guarantee
Figure 26
Response Base: 236
Not Willing Somewhat Willing
Very Willing
Personal
guarantee 4% 31% 65%
Credit history 251% 48%
A majority of lenders (65%) are willing to make
domestic/international money transfers based
on personal guarantees. A significant (48%)
percentage of respondents are even willing
to make these transfers based on credit history
(see Figure 26).
The Way Forward
Our study’s findings offer insights that can
help marketplace lending platforms align their
strategies with lender and borrower requirements
and consolidate their positions. With this in mind,
we recommend the following approaches to help
them increase their market share:
•	 Focus on vehicle and small business loans.
For vehicle loans, the vehicles can be used
as collateral. This provides a greater degree
of comfort to lenders. Similarly, for small
business loans, business assets can be used
as collateral. Not surprisingly, there is a sig-
nificant demand for small business loans
following the global recession, since banks are
no longer providing these loans in volumes
that meet market demand.
•	 Focus on loans for real estate and also
student loans. Our survey also found that
individuals interested in buying real estate
are willing to approach marketplace lenders
for loans in order to obtain better terms and
conditions. Some students opt for marketplace
loans; in many cases, they have few options.
•	 Provide more options to lenders to analyze
loans. Flexibility in deciding who to lend to
is important. Marketplace platforms use
proprietary tools for classifying borrowers
(see sidebar, next page). They should also
provide sufficient data about borrowers,
as well as tools for performing an in-depth
analysis of this data. Lenders should feel
comfortable about the borrowers with whom
they transact. Lenders should also be allowed
to conduct a portfolio analysis of their invest-
ments in marketplace platforms.
•	 Consider both financial and social factors
while categorizing loans. Social media indi-
cators, such as recommendations by peers
and past lenders, are significant predictors of
creditworthiness. These should be considered
before deciding on loan quality. Any borrower
with a strong social network but a high likeli-
hood of default should be encouraged to bor-
row in a group. Peer pressure and a sense of
belonging to a group can reduce the chances
of default.
•	 Provide quick approval of loans. Our survey
confirmed that this is one of the most
Expectation of Repayment of Money
Transfer Loan by the Receiver
Figure 27
Response Base: 236
Repayment of
money transfer loan
by the receiver
Not sure No Yes
89%
6%
5%
Willingness to Borrow and Pay
from Marketplace Lending Sites
While Shopping
Figure 28
Response Base: 236
No Yes
92%
8%Paying for
purchases
while shopping
Of those lenders surveyed, 89% believe that the
amount of money transferred will be repaid by
the receiver (see Figure 27).
Real-time money transfer is another feature that
borrowers desire; 92% of respondents indicated
they are willing to borrow from a marketplace
lender to shop (see Figure 28).
cognizant reports 14
important features desired by borrowers.
Application questions should be short and
well written; moreover, marketplace lending
platforms should follow a one-time approval
process.
•	 Security of transactions. Biometric security
should be provided. Marketplace lending con-
sumers are even willing to pay for such a fea-
ture. This would also increase the adoption level.
•	 Money transfer facility. There is a significant
demand for both domestic and international
money transfer. If this can happen in real time,
borrowers will receive immense benefits. Lend-
ers are willing to participate in money transfer
Improving the Lending Platforms
Most lending platforms use proprietary models to underwrite loans. These models are guarded closely
because they are the biggest differentiators in this industry. Platforms use various techniques involving
advanced analytics to ensure that the loan is underwritten based on accurate probabilities of default for
different borrower segments. The classification of loan types into different loan grades determines the
interest rates on each loan offer. Some institutional funds that invest in marketplace loans use artificial
intelligence-based algorithmic techniques to find the best loans from lending marketplaces. Such
machine algorithms pick up the most significant predictor variables from the pool of available data
published digitally through these platforms. Each predictor variable is evaluated in complex combina-
tions with other co-related variables. Those variables are chosen because they actually impact return
on investment.19
Lending platforms could therefore use artificial intelligence in addition to the credit-
scoring models to make themselves more attractive to lenders.
Quick Take
based on the credit history of the borrower
and also on the basis of personal guarantee.
•	 Leverage banks’ networks for a sustain-
able future. Both lenders and borrowers
have shown their inclination to lend/borrow
more with a marketplace lending organization
backed by a bank. Banks are considered more
trustworthy due to security of investment and
government support. Lenders/borrowers also
want more branches and face-to-face inter-
action with one another. This can be readily
provided by banks. The high failure rate of the
marketplace platforms can be significantly
reduced if banks get involved directly with
them.
Appendix
Study Methodology
This survey was conducted online among a
nationally representative sample of approxi-
mately 11,000 U.S. consumers, roughly 701 of
whom are marketplace lenders or borrowers,
during February and March of 2014. Data was
collected on marketplace lending and borrowing
perceptions, preferred features, attitude towards
domestic/international money transfer, and
major concerns regarding marketplace lending
and borrowing.
The analysis includes:
•	 Important predictors of loan default.
•	 Profiles of borrowers based on their propen-
sity to default.
•	 Features desired by both borrowers and lenders.
(See Figures 29 to 31 for respondents’ profile
details on the next page).
cognizant reports 15
Respondents’ Demographic Profile
Gender Annual Income
Figure 29
AgeGeographic Region
East 33%
South 12%
Midwest 27%
West 28%
57% 43%
Less than 30K 8% Mean Median
30–49K 11%
65.2K 75K
50–74K 18%
75–99K 41%
100–149K 19%
Above 150K 3%
18–24 5% Mean Median
25–34 16%
38.3 35
35–44 32%
45–54 38%
55–70 8%
Above 70 1%
Ethnicity and Employment Status
Figure 30
Ethnicity Employment Status
2% Student4%Retired
1%
Home-
maker22%
Self-
employed
Employed
68%
2%
Un-employed
60%
18%
12% 7%
1%
White
Asian/Pacific Islander
African American
Latin American
Others
Respondents with Bank Accounts, Credit Cards and Loans
Figure 31
Planning for Loan No Yes
Bank account 1043% 97%
Credit card 10% 90%
5% 33% 62%Active loans
cognizant reports 16
Footnotes
1
	 http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21597932-offering-both-borrowers-and-
lenders-better-deal-websites-put-two
2
	 http://www.foundationcapital.com/downloads/FoundationCap_MarketplaceLendingWhitepaper.pdf
3
	 http://www.p2plendingnews.com/2011/04/u-s-peer-to-peer-lender-loanio-to-shut-down-operations/
4
	 Peer to peer lending in the United States: Surviving after Dodd-Frank.
http://www.law.unc.edu/components/handlers/document.ashx?category=24&subcategory=
52&cid=923
5
	 http://www.p2pmoney.co.uk/companies.htm
6
	 http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303595404579318440300379408
7
	 http://www.lendacademy.com/two-big-banks-enter-the-international-p2p-lending-scene/
8
	 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/04/business/loans-that-avoid-banks-maybe-not.html?_r=0
9
	 http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9a8e427e-2a07-11e3-9bc6-00144feab7de.html
10
	We used a logistic regression model to identify significant predictors of default.
11
	 The classification of borrowers is based on a statistical technique called cluster analysis.
We arrived at four segments based on hierarchical clustering. Then, using K-means clustering,
we profiled the segments.
12
	http://www.wiseclerk.com/group-news/countries/germany-p2p-lending-with-cars-as-collateral/
13
	If a person in the group defaults, there is peer pressure to repay. If he defaults, the member is excluded
from the group and finds it difficult to borrow in the future.
14
	https://www.bankofamerica.com/deposits/bank-account-interest-rates.go
15
	P2P platforms categorize borrowers based on their credit rating and proprietary credit models into
high risk to low risk. Returns for lenders are high for more risky categories and vice versa.
16
	http://www.foundationcapital.com/downloads/FoundationCap_MarketplaceLendingWhitepaper.pdf
17
	http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/04/business/loans-that-avoid-banks-maybe-not.html?_r=0
18
	http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2013/10/02/developing-countries-remittances-
2013-world-bank
19
	http://www.lendacademy.com/new-fund-uses-artificial-intelligence/
Credits
Authors
Soumya Sen, Client Partner, Banking and Financial Services, Cognizant
Sanjay Fuloria, Ph.D, Senior Researcher, Cognizant Research Center
Analyst
Krishnakanth Sutrave, Researcher, Cognizant Research Center
Design
Harleen Bhatia, Design Team Lead
Suresh Sambandhan, Designer
World Headquarters
500 Frank W. Burr Blvd.
Teaneck, NJ 07666 USA
Phone: +1 201 801 0233
Fax: +1 201 801 0243
Toll Free: +1 888 937 3277
Email: inquiry@cognizant.com
European Headquarters
1 Kingdom Street
Paddington Central
London W2 6BD
Phone: +44 (0) 207 297 7600
Fax: +44 (0) 207 121 0102
Email: infouk@cognizant.com
India Operations Headquarters
#5/535, Old Mahabalipuram Road
Okkiyam Pettai, Thoraipakkam
Chennai, 600 096 India
Phone: +91 (0) 44 4209 6000
Fax: +91 (0) 44 4209 6060
Email: inquiryindia@cognizant.com
­­© Copyright 2014, Cognizant. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, transmitted in any form or by any
means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the express written permission from Cognizant. The information contained herein is
subject to change without notice. All other trademarks mentioned herein are the property of their respective owners.
About Cognizant
Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) is a leading provider of information technology, consulting, and business process
outsourcing services, dedicated to helping the world's leading companies build stronger businesses. Headquartered
in Teaneck, New Jersey (U.S.), Cognizant combines a passion for client satisfaction, technology innovation, deep
industry and business process expertise, and a global, collaborative workforce that embodies the future of work. With
over 75 development and delivery centers worldwide and approximately 178,600 employees as of March 31, 2014,
Cognizant is a member of the NASDAQ-100, the S&P 500, the Forbes Global 2000, and the Fortune 500 and is ranked
among the top performing and fastest growing companies in the world.
Visit us online at www.cognizant.com or follow us on Twitter: Cognizant.

Contenu connexe

Plus de Cognizant

The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...
The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...
The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...Cognizant
 
Enhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital Initiatives
Enhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital InitiativesEnhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital Initiatives
Enhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital InitiativesCognizant
 
The Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility Mandate
The Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility MandateThe Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility Mandate
The Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility MandateCognizant
 
The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...
The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...
The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...Cognizant
 
Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...
Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...
Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...Cognizant
 
Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...
Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...
Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...Cognizant
 
Green Rush: The Economic Imperative for Sustainability
Green Rush: The Economic Imperative for SustainabilityGreen Rush: The Economic Imperative for Sustainability
Green Rush: The Economic Imperative for SustainabilityCognizant
 
Policy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for Insurers
Policy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for InsurersPolicy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for Insurers
Policy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for InsurersCognizant
 
The Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with Digital
The Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with DigitalThe Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with Digital
The Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with DigitalCognizant
 
AI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to Value
AI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to ValueAI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to Value
AI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to ValueCognizant
 
Operations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First Approach
Operations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First ApproachOperations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First Approach
Operations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First ApproachCognizant
 
Five Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the Cloud
Five Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the CloudFive Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the Cloud
Five Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the CloudCognizant
 
Getting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining Focused
Getting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining FocusedGetting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining Focused
Getting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining FocusedCognizant
 
Crafting the Utility of the Future
Crafting the Utility of the FutureCrafting the Utility of the Future
Crafting the Utility of the FutureCognizant
 
Utilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data Platform
Utilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data PlatformUtilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data Platform
Utilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data PlatformCognizant
 
The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...
The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...
The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...Cognizant
 
The Timeline of Next
The Timeline of NextThe Timeline of Next
The Timeline of NextCognizant
 
Realising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value Chain
Realising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value ChainRealising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value Chain
Realising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value ChainCognizant
 
The Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional Chessboard
The Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional ChessboardThe Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional Chessboard
The Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional ChessboardCognizant
 
Use AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw Near
Use AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw NearUse AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw Near
Use AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw NearCognizant
 

Plus de Cognizant (20)

The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...
The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...
The Work Ahead: Transportation and Logistics Delivering on the Digital-Physic...
 
Enhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital Initiatives
Enhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital InitiativesEnhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital Initiatives
Enhancing Desirability: Five Considerations for Winning Digital Initiatives
 
The Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility Mandate
The Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility MandateThe Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility Mandate
The Work Ahead in Manufacturing: Fulfilling the Agility Mandate
 
The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...
The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...
The Work Ahead in Higher Education: Repaving the Road for the Employees of To...
 
Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...
Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...
Engineering the Next-Gen Digital Claims Organisation for Australian General I...
 
Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...
Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...
Profitability in the Direct-to-Consumer Marketplace: A Playbook for Media and...
 
Green Rush: The Economic Imperative for Sustainability
Green Rush: The Economic Imperative for SustainabilityGreen Rush: The Economic Imperative for Sustainability
Green Rush: The Economic Imperative for Sustainability
 
Policy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for Insurers
Policy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for InsurersPolicy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for Insurers
Policy Administration Modernization: Four Paths for Insurers
 
The Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with Digital
The Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with DigitalThe Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with Digital
The Work Ahead in Utilities: Powering a Sustainable Future with Digital
 
AI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to Value
AI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to ValueAI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to Value
AI in Media & Entertainment: Starting the Journey to Value
 
Operations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First Approach
Operations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First ApproachOperations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First Approach
Operations Workforce Management: A Data-Informed, Digital-First Approach
 
Five Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the Cloud
Five Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the CloudFive Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the Cloud
Five Priorities for Quality Engineering When Taking Banking to the Cloud
 
Getting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining Focused
Getting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining FocusedGetting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining Focused
Getting Ahead With AI: How APAC Companies Replicate Success by Remaining Focused
 
Crafting the Utility of the Future
Crafting the Utility of the FutureCrafting the Utility of the Future
Crafting the Utility of the Future
 
Utilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data Platform
Utilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data PlatformUtilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data Platform
Utilities Can Ramp Up CX with a Customer Data Platform
 
The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...
The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...
The Work Ahead in Intelligent Automation: Coping with Complexity in a Post-Pa...
 
The Timeline of Next
The Timeline of NextThe Timeline of Next
The Timeline of Next
 
Realising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value Chain
Realising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value ChainRealising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value Chain
Realising Digital’s Full Potential in the Value Chain
 
The Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional Chessboard
The Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional ChessboardThe Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional Chessboard
The Work Ahead in M&E: Scaling a Three-Dimensional Chessboard
 
Use AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw Near
Use AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw NearUse AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw Near
Use AI to Build Member Loyalty as Medicare Eligibility Dates Draw Near
 

Marketplace Lending: A Maturing Market Means New Partner Models, Business Opportunities

  • 1. Marketplace Lending: A Maturing Market Means New Partner Models, Business Opportunities To maintain their impressive growth, marketplace lending platforms should focus on providing greater security for investments and transactions, venture into areas such as remittances, and set up viable partnerships with traditional banks and financial institutions. cognizant reports | July 2014 • Cognizant Reports
  • 2. cognizant reports 2 Executive Summary Since the early 1990s, when the Internet and online commerce began to take shape, peer-to- peer (P2P) transactional systems have contin- ued to evolve. Much like the Internet, they have morphed from highly centralized, static online platforms to widely distributed, autonomous systems that span the spectrum — from B2B and B2C commerce (Amazon.com), to legal deal- ings (compliance and reporting, loans) to music (Napster) and online auction platforms such as eBay. Needless to say, these pioneers have radically changed how businesses and consumers act, interact, buy, sell and service over the Net. In the financial services industry, P2P first emer- ged in 2005 – focusing on lending and borrowing. P2P lending platforms, also known as market- place lending platforms, offered an alternative to traditional banking and payment systems, since they cater to the underserved with services like consumer lending, student loans, real estate and small-business lending markets. While these online providers create a marketplace for lend- ers and borrowers, lenders expect a higher rate of return on their investments compared with simple transactions such as bank deposits. Borro- wers who are unable to qualify for loans from banks turn to these alternatives to obtain credit — possibly at a lower interest rate than they would have received from their bank, based on their respective credit profiles. Traditional banks, which until recently remained confident about their ever-increasing spreads, are now paying close attention to these previ- ously unconventional platforms. Lending Club and Prosper, the two largest marketplace lend- ers in the U.S., issued US$2.4 billion in loans in 2013. In 2012, they issued US$871 million in loans.1 These figures point to the impressive growth of marketplace lenders. The apparent success of this approach is now prompting banks to enter into partnerships with digital lending marketplaces. Other financial institutions and institutional investors are also actively investing in market- place lending platforms to realize better returns and diversify the risk profile of their portfolios. However, to realize the potential of this opportu- nity (estimated to reach US$1 trillion by 2025),2 marketplace lending platforms need to better comprehend the choices and preferences of their target users by analyzing the mas- sive quantities of data in the digital market. They also need to understand the types of loans that borrowers/lenders are interested in, as well as the factors driving default rates. To deepen our understanding of marketplace lending dynamics, we conducted a detailed study in the U.S. — surveying both borrowers and lenders across a wide array of marketplace lending com- panies, age groups and income categories. The survey was conducted online among a nationally representative sample of approximately 11,000 U.S. consumers — roughly 701 of whom are market- place lenders or borrowers — during February and March of 2014 (see our detailed methodology on page 15). Our goal was to capture emerging trends, as well as the current and future needs of lend- ers and borrowers, to help organizations increase the uptake of marketplace lending services. The study identified distinct sets of financial and social characteristics of borrowers. These attri- butes can serve as a benchmark when making lending decisions. From our findings, we recommend that market- place lending companies focus on vehicle and small business loans, and provide more options for lenders to analyze loans. They should consider both financial and social factors while categorizing loans. Marketplace lending busi- nesses should also partner with banks to leverage those institutions’ large branch networks. Taking the Pulse of Marketplace Lending: Key Findings Our research also revealed the key challenges that marketplace lending companies should address, as well as features and functions that must be developed to create a more prosperous, more mutually beneficial marketplace: • Marketplace lenders: » Believe that lending through marketplace platforms is risky, but are attracted by the solid rate of returns, which range from 7% to 24% per annum. » Would be willing to lend more often if they were provided with options such as imme- diate liquidity of funded loans, securing a part of the principal through insurance, updates on the borrower’s repayment track record and, importantly, if the marketplace platform was allied with traditional banks.
  • 3. cognizant reports 3 » Desire provisions for bad debts and legal action against defaulters. » Are willing to extend domestic money transfer/international remittance based on the borrower’s credit scores or per- sonal guarantee. They believe that the receiver of the money will repay the loan. This can be a potential business model for cross-border remittance companies. • Marketplace borrowers: » Seek lower interest rates compared with banks, the opportunity to obtain loans despite a poor credit rating, and a quick and easy approval process. » Need physical branches and opportu- nities for enhancing interactions with lenders through the digital platform. The Current State of Marketplace Lending such as eBay’s role in creating a so-called “per- fect marketplace” where all parties operate on equal footing by negotiating mutually acceptable terms and conditions. As such, online auctions have emerged as an effective “market mecha- nism” for arriving at the correct value of an item. Like its P2P predecessors, marketplace lending bypasses the traditional intermediary — the bank — by directly connecting borrowers with lenders through digital platforms. The focus is primarily on small loans, such as those related to credit card debt. Marketplace lending platforms typi- cally use proprietary algorithms to assess risk, creditworthiness and interest rates. These platforms have emerged to address latent market demand for loans from borrowers who are creditworthy but unable to qualify for loans from traditional banks – the reasons being as varied as relatively low FICO scores, no current income, and banks’ outdated credit scoring models. Interest in marketplace services has also been fueled by lend- ers looking for more attractive returns on their Marketplace Lending: Market Composition Figure 1 Response Base: 701 N=701 Borrowers 39% Lenders 37% 24% Marketplace Lending’s Initial Headwinds The early days of marketplace lending were marked by turbulence. In 2008, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sent a cease and desist letter to Prosper for selling unregistered securities. This led to a legal precedent that specifies that marketplace loans must be registered securities. As a result, numerous marketplace lending companies shut down. Loanio is a case in point. The business worked on obtaining SEC registration after setting up just seven loans. All the loans defaulted, and Loanio was unable to obtain any venture capital.3 Compliance with SEC regulations is a costly affair. For example, Prosper is spending US$1million annually on compliance, and spent US$5 million to complete the registration process.4 An analysis of the UK marketplace lending industry reveals that 35 marketplace lending companies have launched since 2005. Of these, 10 have shut down due to high default rates — a staggering 28% of the total.5 Another 10 companies were launched after May 2013. This suggests that an equal percentage of marketplace lending companies do not have a long enough track record to make a judgment about the quality of loans they generate. Quick Take Our research revealed key dynamics of market- place lending. For instance, there is a group of customers (24%) who borrow as well as lend on marketplace platforms (see Figure 1) at different points in time. Traditionally, online markets have delivered oper- ational efficiency and transformed businesses by bringing together buyers and sellers on an unprecedented scale. Success stories abound,
  • 4. cognizant reports 4 investment from alternative sources. Nevertheless, despite its initial promise, the market has devel- oped in fits and starts (see sidebar, previous page). Although there is untapped demand for loans in the market, there are inherent risks in any lender-borrower relationship. The major expo- sure in marketplace lending is loan default, which can erode the lender’s return on investment and cut into the principal. Lenders therefore need to understand the reasons for default. Reasons for Defaults The main reasons for defaults, according to the lenders we surveyed, are unexpected expenses, disruption in the borrower’s earnings due to loss of job or business, and lack of collateral security and personal guarantees (see Figure 2, above). Defaults reduce the creditworthiness of borrow- ers. Receiving a future loan becomes next to impossible; even if they receive a loan, borrow- ers have to pay very high interest rates. Also, they become part of the lowest category of loan seekers. With this in mind, borrowers should do their utmost not to default, especially if they per- ceive the need for another loan. Borrowers cited maintaining a good reputation with the lending community, values and honor, and preserving creditworthiness as reasons for not defaulting. The default rate is also an important yardstick for measuring the performance of a marketplace lending platform. According to Prosper, a leading marketplace player, its default rates range from 1.55% for the best-rated borrowers, to 16.7% for its lowest-rated.6 However, during the recent economic recession, Prosper’s default rates peaked at 30%. Apart from the risk of default, lenders also fear the lending platform going bankrupt. These platforms do not have the government backing that banks seem to have. Lenders still trust the banks – an incentive for banks to enter the marketplace lending arena. Traditional Banks Enter the Marketplace Lending Arena Reasons for Defaulting—Lenders’ Views Figure 2 Response Base: 349 Agree Strongly Agree 42% 43% 48% 40% 52% 42% 46% 26% 26% 23% 32% 21% 33% 30% 37% 26%No legal action against default borrowers 43% 23%Lack of regulatory policies 43% 23% Accountability is low among young and unmarried borrowers Repayment largely depends on loan terms Repayment for the most part depends on interest rates and closing fees Defaults occur due to lack of collateral security or personal guarantees Repayment mostly depends on loan amount Repayment largely depends on loan type/purpose of loan Disruption to borrower’s earnings or income Unexpected expenses Willingness to Lend on Marketplace Platforms Run by Retail Banks Figure 3 Response Base: 349 Yes No 26% 74%260 89 Yes No In March 2014, the venture capital arm of Westpac, one of Australia's largest banks and the second- largest in New Zealand, invested US$8.5 million in SocietyOne, Australia's leading marketplace lending platform. The bank was among the first to directly invest in the marketplace space. At the same time, Barclays Africa acquired a 49% stake in the marketplace lending platform RainFin.7 More recently, Lending Club announced a tie-up with Union Bank. These investments speak for themselves – telling us that banks are seriously interested in marketplace lending.
  • 5. cognizant reports 5 Likewise, individual lenders are keen on lending on marketplace platforms run by retail banks. According to our survey, 74% of respondents were willing to trust platforms run by retail banks (see Figure 3, previous page). This might be due to individual lenders’ long-standing relationship with these institutions. Banks with their own marketplace lending plat- forms can choose to pass on certain loans to the latter. Lenders who find marketplace lending inherently risky (see Figure 4) would also be attracted if the big banks were to get involved. Borrowers, on the other hand, have expressed a desire to interact with lenders. They also indicated they would like marketplace lending businesses to offer physical branches (see Figure 5). Both of these needs can be fulfilled when marketplace lending services affiliate with banks. Banks have a large physical network of branches; they can also help to facilitate face-to-face interactions between borrowers and lenders. Risks of Lending on Marketplace Platforms Compared with Other Types of Commercial Lending Figure 4 Response Base: 349 A full 47% of lenders indicate that marketplace lending is risky. The major reasons are lack of trust in borrowers, lack of security of investments and absence of government support. Risk of lending on marketplace platform compared to other types of commericial lending. High No Difference Low 26% 27%47% Borrowers' Priorities for a Marketplace Platform Figure 5 Response Base: 352 ThirdFeature Priorities: Second First Branch availability for marketplace lending 26% 20% 43% Lender and borrower interaction 27% 17% 39% Partnering with traditional banks 23% 30% 10% 24% 34% 9% Online tools for portfolio analysis, risk calculation, etc. When banks enter the marketplace lending space, can institutional investors be far behind? Probably not. These stakeholders have already shown interest in marketplace lending. More than 80% of the loans issued by Prosper in March 2014 were funded by institutional investors. Furthermore, at least a dozen invest- ment funds have been formed with the sole intent of investing in marketplace loans.8 This suggests that the financial institutions that marketplace platforms set out to bypass are now investing in them. Institutional investors are attracted by better returns, and the relative stability and short duration of the loans. They are also securitizing marketplace loans and selling them to other investors. In September 2013, Eaglewood Capital sold a US$53 million securitization of marketplace loans from Lending Club to investors.9 Other banks are exploring ways to securitize marketplace loans into large bundles that can then be sold to sizable investors. Institutional investors are finding other ways to gain an advantage in this space. In some cases they have set up servers near the marketplace lender’s premises to get a head start and provide funding quickly, before other lenders. This tactic resembles those of high-frequency traders, who depend on speed for higher returns. In response, Lending Club has set up “speed bumps” to limit institutional buying.
  • 6. cognizant reports 6 In May 2014, Lending Club announced a strate- gic alliance with Union Bank. Initially, the bank will purchase personal loans through the plat- form; later, the two will join to create new credit products for customers. Prosper also raised US$70 million in venture capital in May 2014. With so many institutions putting a stake in the ground, the industry looks more and more like online consumer lending. Borrowers’ Classification11 Based on Credibility Figure 6 Response Base: 352 Note: The size of the bubble reflects the number of respondents in that group. The figures inside or outside the bubbles indicate the percentage of respondents belonging to that group. Low High Least Most Borrowers’Credibility Preference Disinclined 9% Inclined 11% Prudent 59% Abider 21% Factors Underlying Marketplace Lending Decisions Lending decisions are tough. This is especially true in marketplace lending because the lender has the freedom to choose the loans they want to fund. To help zero in on the major factors impacting lending decisions, we identified social and finan- cial variables as predictors. The social variables represent peer group members’ ratings and marketplace lenders’ endorsements. The financial variables include the borrower’s annual income, debt-to-income ratio and credit rating. Our statistical model10 indicates that a borrower’s annual income and credit rating are the significant So will the retail investor be left with any loans to fund? We believe there is space for both institu- tional and retail investors. Individual investors can choose from the fractional loans on offer because institutional investors would prefer whole loans. We also believe marketplace lending platforms must maintain a balance between retail and insti- tutional investors to strengthen their position in the industry. Quick Take predictors of default. Figure 6 presents bor- rower groups based on borrower credibility. A borrower’s credibility is determined by his annual income, debt-to-income ratio, credit rating, peer group members’ ratings, and marketplace lenders’ endorsements. The “abider” group of borrowers is the most preferred. The “prudent” group of borrowers has the highest number of respondents and is the second most preferred. The “inclined” and “disinclined” groups carry the highest risk of default. Each of these groups has a distinct set of characteristics (see Figure 7, next page). These characteristics can serve as a benchmark when making lending decisions.
  • 7. cognizant reports 7 The Lure of Marketplace Lending Platforms Characteristics of Different Groups Group Characteristics Abider • Rated very highly by peer group members (excellent). • Strongly recommended by previous marketplace lenders (excellent). • Debt-to-income ratio is less than 36%. • Credit scores are above 720. • Annual income levels above US$100,000. Prudent • Rated highly by peer group members (good). • Recommended by previous marketplace lenders (good). • Debt-to-income ratio between 37%–42%. • Credit scores between 660 and 720. • Annual income levels between US$50,000 and US$100,000. Inclined • Rated “fair” by peer group members. • Least recommended by previous marketplace lenders (fair). • Debt-to-income ratio between 43% to 49%. • Credit scores between 600 and 660. • Annual income levels between US$30,000 and US$50,000. Disinclined • Rated “poor” by peer group members. • Not recommended by previous marketplace lenders (poor). • Debt-to-income ratio above 50%. • Credit scores less than 600. • Annual income levels less than US$30,000. Figure 7 Reasons for Marketplace Borrowing Figure 8 Response Base: 352 Home improvement 30%107 104 Repaying debt 30%104 Paying bills (credit card, utilities bill, etc.) 38%132 Figure 9 Response Base: 352 Comparison of Lending Institutions’ Loan Approval Rates 81% 66% 59% 54% 44% 40% 15% 26% 32% 33% 48% 39% Marketplace Lending Sites Credit Card Family/Friends Credit Unions Traditional Banks Housing Societies Approved Rejected Individuals use marketplace lending platforms primarily to borrow money to pay bills (see Figure 8). The other common reasons are home improvement and repaying debt. Borrowers typically turn to marketplace lending sites as a result of their high approval rates compared with other sources. Among those we surveyed, 81% of loan applications were accepted by marketplace lending sites versus 44% by traditional banks (see Figure 9, below).
  • 8. cognizant reports 8 Borrowers’ Wish List Borrowers want physical branches and more interaction between borrowers and lenders (see Figure 10). Borrowers have also shown an inclination to bor- row for the long term to buy a vehicle or a house against collateral (see Figure 12). Borrowers’ Recommendations Figure 11 Response Base: 352 Virtual interview with potential lenders 12%42 Looking beyond just credit history, current income and debt 31%108 One-time approval process 32%113 Short, well-written questions 33%117 Quick approval 67%235 Willingness to Borrow for the Long Term (Beyond Five Years) for Buying Vehicle/House 26% 66%Yes 8%No No collateral Against collateral No Figure 12 Response Base: 352 64% Very Much 226 28% Somewhat 98 8% Not At All 28 Willingness to Borrow As a Group Figure 13 Response Base: 352 82% Fine 289 14% Not Fine 51 3% Don’t Have An Account 12 Willingness to Share Social Media Profiles Figure 14 Response Base: 352 Borrowers are amenable to subjecting their social media profiles to scrutiny; 82% have shown a willingness to share their social media profiles (see Figure 14). Features Sought by Borrowers Figure 10 Response Base: 352 24% 34% 9% 26% 20% 43%Branch availability of marketplace lending site 27% 17% 39%Lender-borrower interaction 23% 30% 10%Partnering with traditional banks Online tools for portfolio analysis, risk calculation, etc. Third Second First The availability of online tools such as calculators to compare interest rates across marketplace platforms is also very important to borrowers. They also seek quick online approval of loan requests, a simple registration flow, and a one-step approval process (see Figure 11). Some marketplace lenders require cars as col- lateral.12 The car can cover any percentage of the loan amount, not necessarily the full amount. The borrower needs to deposit the certificate of ownership with the marketplace platform. Borrowers are even willing to borrow in groups and be jointly responsible13 for all the loans (see Figure 13). This can lead to lower default rates – in some cases the result of perceived peer pressure.
  • 9. cognizant reports 9 Influencing Friends and Others to Join the Peer Group Figure 15 Response Base: 352 No Yes Recommending Friends & Others 88% 12% Importance of Data Privacy and Security of Marketplace Lending Sites Figure 16 Response Base: 701 Somewhat Important Important Highly Important 3% 36% 61% Data Privacy & Security Features The importance of data privacy and security fea- tures can be gauged by the fact that almost 77% of borrowers and lenders are willing to pay a nom- inal fee for additional biometric security features (see Figure 18). Willingness to Adopt Biometric Security Features for Marketplace Transactions Figure 17 Response Base: 701 Yes No 87% 13% Preferred Biometric Authentication Method for Marketplace Transactions Figure 19 Response Base: 701 Others Fingerprint Matching Voice Recognition Facial Recognition 26% 27% 47% Willingness to Pay for Biometric Security Features Figure 18 Response Base: 701 Yes No 77% 10% The preferred biometric authentication method for marketplace transactions is facial recognition (see Figure 19). Borrowers also tend to encourage their family members, friends and others to join marketplace lending networks (see Figure 15). Lending to groups can alleviate defaults (even for borrowers with good peer ratings) because peer pressure and community support would work to counter the incidence of default. While borrowing in groups is an important item in borrowers’ wish lists, security of transactions is the most important requirement. The Security of Transactions The security of transactions is a critical consider- ation in any online business. This is especially true in marketplace lending. The absence of effective security features is a major deterrent for both borrowers and lenders. An overwhelming 97% of respondents consider security features and data privacy important for marketplace lending sites (see Figure 16). Of those surveyed, 87% expressed a willingness to adopt biometric security features for market- place transactions (see Figure 17). Lender Requirements From lenders’ perspectives, returns of close to zero14 from traditional investment options such as bank deposits make marketplace lending platforms much more attractive. Lenders believe marketplace lending allows them to choose borrowers and have greater control over their investments, and comes with the ease and efficiency of online access (see Figure 20, next page).
  • 10. cognizant reports 10 Marketplace platforms also allow lenders to per- form their own analysis and choose their borrower. They can create and use their own models to make sure the default risk is minimized. Moreover, marketplace platforms provide different buckets of loans, based on their proprietary models. Choosing a Borrower Lenders are comfortable lending to someone they know, since they believe the chances of default will be small. In the absence of knowledge of the borrower, lenders prefer to lend to those rated15 highly by the platforms because the risk of default is less. They are also willing to lend to a group of individuals who join together to request a loan, believing that peer pressure on the syndi- cate members will result in repayment of the loan (see Figure 21). The preponderance of loan default is an open question since most loans issued on marketplace lending platforms have yet to run their full course. This could result in marketplace lenders reporting higher-than-actual returns. Wish List of Features Any innovation in business is marked by new features that set it apart from existing business practices. However, once consumers are accus- tomed to these attributes, they will demand more. Reasons to Choose Marketplace Lending Figure 20 Response Base: 349 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–70 Others Lower risk than capital markets Alternative investment option to diversify funds Help fellow borrowers who need the money High rate of returns for investments Quite easy and efficient with online access Better control over investments Option to choose the borrowers (whom to lend to) Do not like to work with big banks/institutions 2% 1%3% 5% 5% 1% 16% 2% 3% 9% 13% 2% 29% 2% 5% 7% 13% 3% 31% 1%5% 12% 11% 3% 32% 1%5% 11% 17% 3% 39% 3% 8% 13% 15% 3% 43% 3% 7% 13% 17% 3% 45% 1% 2% 3% 1% 10% 2% 1% Willingness to Lend to Individuals Figure 21 Response Base: 349 Not Sure Very Uncomfortable Not So Comfortable Comfortable Very Comfortable Lending to someone you don't know 9% 61% 26% 64% 3% 1% Lending to someone from the same community 8% 26% 42% 22% 77%2% Lending to someone with a good credit rating 19% 44% 30% 80%3% 4% Bidding on a competitive loan listing that has lenders bidding 16% 46% 32% 73%2% 4% Lending to someone endorsed by his/her friends & family members 17% 42% 35% 74%2% 4% Lending to a friend or family member 16% 54% 26% 87% 2% 3% Lending to someone rated highly by the lending site 19% 51% 22% 81%6%2% Lend more often if the lending platform is providing reasonably accurate prediction of borrower’s repayment ability 49% 32% 79%14%2% 3% Lending to a group as a whole 16% 24% 78%56%2% 2%
  • 11. cognizant reports 11 The key features lenders desire from market- place lending platforms provision for bad debts, a legal framework to deal with defaulters, partner- ships with retail banks and minimum guaranteed returns, for example (see Figure 22). Preferred Types of Loans Lenders prefer to fund loans for vehicles, edu- cation, small business and home improvements (see Figure 23). Most marketplace loans do not involve collateral. Although regulatory authorities require market- place platforms to meet a minimum prudential requirement, lenders can still lose most of their money. Marketplace platforms have now begun to issue small business loans. These loans are also unsecured but require personal guarantees by the business owner. In the future, marketplace platforms may begin providing secured loans backed by business assets. 7% 4% 2%Liquidity of investments 6% 1% 2%Recommendation engine for choosing the right loans 13% 8% 4%Online tools for portfolio analysis, risk calculation, etc. 15% 11% 5%Lender and borrower interaction 9% 14% 5%Deposit insurance like FDIC for bank accounts 9% 15% 5%Branch availability of marketplace lending site 11% 11% 6%Collateral-based lending 13% 13% 12%Minimum guaranteed returns 5% 7% 15%Partnering with retail banks 6% 5% 21%Legal framework for defaulters to comply 7% 11% 23%Provision fund for bad debts Features Sought by Lenders Figure 22 Response Base: 349 Feature Priorities: Third Second First Marketplace Loan Types Figure 23 Response Base: 349 Preferred loan types by marketplace lenders 36%127 28%99 28%98 27%95 18%63 17%58 13%47 13%47 10%35 9%33 7%24 5%18 2%8 Vehicle loan Education loan Small business loan Home improvement loan Medical expense loan Debt consolidation loan Payday loan Wedding loan Mortgage Unsecured debt Secured loan with collateral not covered above For domestic money transfer or International remittance Others
  • 12. cognizant reports 12 Opportunities exist for marketplace lending platforms to offer loans for education and medi- cal expenses. Both lenders and borrowers have shown an interest in these loan categories (see Figure 24). There are marketplace lending platforms that specialize in a wide range of niche loans, such Opportunities in Marketplace Lending Figure 24 Response Base: 701 Lenders’ Willingness Borrowers’ Willingness 36% 20% Vehicle Loan 28% 28% Education Loan 18% 28% Medical Expense Loan Purpose of Marketplace Borrowing Figure 25 Response Base: 352 Paying bills (credit card, utilities bill, etc.) Home improvement Repaying debt Medical expense Education Travel Vehicle purchase Wedding Mortgage Starting up a business Domestic money transfer or international remittance to family Others 38%132 30%107 30%104 28%99 28%99 25%87 20%71 10%36 9%33 8%28 6%21 1%3 as payday loans, purchase finance, education finance, real estate, merchant cash advance and loans to small and medium businesses. Examples of these platforms are Kreditech, Greensky, SoFi, Pave, Realty Mogul, C2FO and Kabbage.16 In April 2014, Lending Club acquired Springstone Finan- cial, a platform for making marketplace loans available to people undergoing elective surgery.17 CommonBond connects student borrowers with lenders. Most of these lenders are alumni who provide loans at rates lower than current market rates. Borrowers turn to marketplace lending sites mainly for paying bills (credit card, utilities, etc.), home improvement expenses and for repaying debt (see Figure 25). According to the World Bank,18 estimates indi- cate that the international money transfer (remittance) market will reach US$707 billion by 2016 — a large market opportunity by any standard. Money transfer could represent a significant business vehicle for marketplace lending companies. The Remittance Business: An Opportunity
  • 13. cognizant reports 13 Willingness to Make Domestic/Inter- national Money Transfer Based on Individual Credit Rating/Guarantee Figure 26 Response Base: 236 Not Willing Somewhat Willing Very Willing Personal guarantee 4% 31% 65% Credit history 251% 48% A majority of lenders (65%) are willing to make domestic/international money transfers based on personal guarantees. A significant (48%) percentage of respondents are even willing to make these transfers based on credit history (see Figure 26). The Way Forward Our study’s findings offer insights that can help marketplace lending platforms align their strategies with lender and borrower requirements and consolidate their positions. With this in mind, we recommend the following approaches to help them increase their market share: • Focus on vehicle and small business loans. For vehicle loans, the vehicles can be used as collateral. This provides a greater degree of comfort to lenders. Similarly, for small business loans, business assets can be used as collateral. Not surprisingly, there is a sig- nificant demand for small business loans following the global recession, since banks are no longer providing these loans in volumes that meet market demand. • Focus on loans for real estate and also student loans. Our survey also found that individuals interested in buying real estate are willing to approach marketplace lenders for loans in order to obtain better terms and conditions. Some students opt for marketplace loans; in many cases, they have few options. • Provide more options to lenders to analyze loans. Flexibility in deciding who to lend to is important. Marketplace platforms use proprietary tools for classifying borrowers (see sidebar, next page). They should also provide sufficient data about borrowers, as well as tools for performing an in-depth analysis of this data. Lenders should feel comfortable about the borrowers with whom they transact. Lenders should also be allowed to conduct a portfolio analysis of their invest- ments in marketplace platforms. • Consider both financial and social factors while categorizing loans. Social media indi- cators, such as recommendations by peers and past lenders, are significant predictors of creditworthiness. These should be considered before deciding on loan quality. Any borrower with a strong social network but a high likeli- hood of default should be encouraged to bor- row in a group. Peer pressure and a sense of belonging to a group can reduce the chances of default. • Provide quick approval of loans. Our survey confirmed that this is one of the most Expectation of Repayment of Money Transfer Loan by the Receiver Figure 27 Response Base: 236 Repayment of money transfer loan by the receiver Not sure No Yes 89% 6% 5% Willingness to Borrow and Pay from Marketplace Lending Sites While Shopping Figure 28 Response Base: 236 No Yes 92% 8%Paying for purchases while shopping Of those lenders surveyed, 89% believe that the amount of money transferred will be repaid by the receiver (see Figure 27). Real-time money transfer is another feature that borrowers desire; 92% of respondents indicated they are willing to borrow from a marketplace lender to shop (see Figure 28).
  • 14. cognizant reports 14 important features desired by borrowers. Application questions should be short and well written; moreover, marketplace lending platforms should follow a one-time approval process. • Security of transactions. Biometric security should be provided. Marketplace lending con- sumers are even willing to pay for such a fea- ture. This would also increase the adoption level. • Money transfer facility. There is a significant demand for both domestic and international money transfer. If this can happen in real time, borrowers will receive immense benefits. Lend- ers are willing to participate in money transfer Improving the Lending Platforms Most lending platforms use proprietary models to underwrite loans. These models are guarded closely because they are the biggest differentiators in this industry. Platforms use various techniques involving advanced analytics to ensure that the loan is underwritten based on accurate probabilities of default for different borrower segments. The classification of loan types into different loan grades determines the interest rates on each loan offer. Some institutional funds that invest in marketplace loans use artificial intelligence-based algorithmic techniques to find the best loans from lending marketplaces. Such machine algorithms pick up the most significant predictor variables from the pool of available data published digitally through these platforms. Each predictor variable is evaluated in complex combina- tions with other co-related variables. Those variables are chosen because they actually impact return on investment.19 Lending platforms could therefore use artificial intelligence in addition to the credit- scoring models to make themselves more attractive to lenders. Quick Take based on the credit history of the borrower and also on the basis of personal guarantee. • Leverage banks’ networks for a sustain- able future. Both lenders and borrowers have shown their inclination to lend/borrow more with a marketplace lending organization backed by a bank. Banks are considered more trustworthy due to security of investment and government support. Lenders/borrowers also want more branches and face-to-face inter- action with one another. This can be readily provided by banks. The high failure rate of the marketplace platforms can be significantly reduced if banks get involved directly with them. Appendix Study Methodology This survey was conducted online among a nationally representative sample of approxi- mately 11,000 U.S. consumers, roughly 701 of whom are marketplace lenders or borrowers, during February and March of 2014. Data was collected on marketplace lending and borrowing perceptions, preferred features, attitude towards domestic/international money transfer, and major concerns regarding marketplace lending and borrowing. The analysis includes: • Important predictors of loan default. • Profiles of borrowers based on their propen- sity to default. • Features desired by both borrowers and lenders. (See Figures 29 to 31 for respondents’ profile details on the next page).
  • 15. cognizant reports 15 Respondents’ Demographic Profile Gender Annual Income Figure 29 AgeGeographic Region East 33% South 12% Midwest 27% West 28% 57% 43% Less than 30K 8% Mean Median 30–49K 11% 65.2K 75K 50–74K 18% 75–99K 41% 100–149K 19% Above 150K 3% 18–24 5% Mean Median 25–34 16% 38.3 35 35–44 32% 45–54 38% 55–70 8% Above 70 1% Ethnicity and Employment Status Figure 30 Ethnicity Employment Status 2% Student4%Retired 1% Home- maker22% Self- employed Employed 68% 2% Un-employed 60% 18% 12% 7% 1% White Asian/Pacific Islander African American Latin American Others Respondents with Bank Accounts, Credit Cards and Loans Figure 31 Planning for Loan No Yes Bank account 1043% 97% Credit card 10% 90% 5% 33% 62%Active loans
  • 16. cognizant reports 16 Footnotes 1 http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21597932-offering-both-borrowers-and- lenders-better-deal-websites-put-two 2 http://www.foundationcapital.com/downloads/FoundationCap_MarketplaceLendingWhitepaper.pdf 3 http://www.p2plendingnews.com/2011/04/u-s-peer-to-peer-lender-loanio-to-shut-down-operations/ 4 Peer to peer lending in the United States: Surviving after Dodd-Frank. http://www.law.unc.edu/components/handlers/document.ashx?category=24&subcategory= 52&cid=923 5 http://www.p2pmoney.co.uk/companies.htm 6 http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303595404579318440300379408 7 http://www.lendacademy.com/two-big-banks-enter-the-international-p2p-lending-scene/ 8 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/04/business/loans-that-avoid-banks-maybe-not.html?_r=0 9 http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9a8e427e-2a07-11e3-9bc6-00144feab7de.html 10 We used a logistic regression model to identify significant predictors of default. 11 The classification of borrowers is based on a statistical technique called cluster analysis. We arrived at four segments based on hierarchical clustering. Then, using K-means clustering, we profiled the segments. 12 http://www.wiseclerk.com/group-news/countries/germany-p2p-lending-with-cars-as-collateral/ 13 If a person in the group defaults, there is peer pressure to repay. If he defaults, the member is excluded from the group and finds it difficult to borrow in the future. 14 https://www.bankofamerica.com/deposits/bank-account-interest-rates.go 15 P2P platforms categorize borrowers based on their credit rating and proprietary credit models into high risk to low risk. Returns for lenders are high for more risky categories and vice versa. 16 http://www.foundationcapital.com/downloads/FoundationCap_MarketplaceLendingWhitepaper.pdf 17 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/04/business/loans-that-avoid-banks-maybe-not.html?_r=0 18 http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2013/10/02/developing-countries-remittances- 2013-world-bank 19 http://www.lendacademy.com/new-fund-uses-artificial-intelligence/ Credits Authors Soumya Sen, Client Partner, Banking and Financial Services, Cognizant Sanjay Fuloria, Ph.D, Senior Researcher, Cognizant Research Center Analyst Krishnakanth Sutrave, Researcher, Cognizant Research Center Design Harleen Bhatia, Design Team Lead Suresh Sambandhan, Designer
  • 17. World Headquarters 500 Frank W. Burr Blvd. Teaneck, NJ 07666 USA Phone: +1 201 801 0233 Fax: +1 201 801 0243 Toll Free: +1 888 937 3277 Email: inquiry@cognizant.com European Headquarters 1 Kingdom Street Paddington Central London W2 6BD Phone: +44 (0) 207 297 7600 Fax: +44 (0) 207 121 0102 Email: infouk@cognizant.com India Operations Headquarters #5/535, Old Mahabalipuram Road Okkiyam Pettai, Thoraipakkam Chennai, 600 096 India Phone: +91 (0) 44 4209 6000 Fax: +91 (0) 44 4209 6060 Email: inquiryindia@cognizant.com ­­© Copyright 2014, Cognizant. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the express written permission from Cognizant. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice. All other trademarks mentioned herein are the property of their respective owners. About Cognizant Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) is a leading provider of information technology, consulting, and business process outsourcing services, dedicated to helping the world's leading companies build stronger businesses. Headquartered in Teaneck, New Jersey (U.S.), Cognizant combines a passion for client satisfaction, technology innovation, deep industry and business process expertise, and a global, collaborative workforce that embodies the future of work. With over 75 development and delivery centers worldwide and approximately 178,600 employees as of March 31, 2014, Cognizant is a member of the NASDAQ-100, the S&P 500, the Forbes Global 2000, and the Fortune 500 and is ranked among the top performing and fastest growing companies in the world. Visit us online at www.cognizant.com or follow us on Twitter: Cognizant.