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•     Cognizant Reports




U.S. Lending Industry Meets
Mortgage Process as a Service
   Executive Summary                                    plan to wind down the GSEs and support the private
   The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis ended a            sector’s efforts to become the dominant provider
   prolonged period of growth and prosperity within     of mortgage credit is a positive sign.
   the housing industry. Rapidly increasing home
   prices and residential mortgage backed securi-       In addition to the government’s proposed role,
   ties (RMBS) increased home lending. The housing      it is clear that private investment will rely
   bubble burst, and with it, many private investors    heavily upon improved risk management and
   and originators exited the housing finance market.   clearer visibility and understanding of the risks
   Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), oper-       within an investment pool prior to ramping up
   ating as government conservatorships, increased      private investment efforts.
   their position within the housing finance market
   in an effort to stabilize the housing industry.      The shift to a primarily private investor-driven
                                                        market with clearer management and under-
   The GSEs have become the dominant players            standing of risk is one of three primary factors
   in the mortgage market in the absence of pri-        affecting the revitalization of the housing finance
   vate investment. Investors have been waiting for     market. The role of government regulation in the
   direction from the U.S. Department of the Trea-      housing market is the second factor affecting the
   sury regarding the future of the GSEs. In Febru-     revitalization of the housing finance market. The
   ary 2011, a report to Congress from the Treasury     February Treasury report provided insights into
   Department was released, which discussed a plan      the gradual change within the GSEs. Moreover,
   to “responsibly reduce the role of the Federal       The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Con-
   National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”)         sumer Protection Act has given broad directives
   and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corpora-          regarding what constitutes a qualified residential
   tion (“Freddie Mac”) in the mortgage market and,     mortgage, reasonable lending practices and risk
   ultimately, wind down both institutions.”1           retention requirements for loan originators and
                                                        mortgage securitizers. A lender’s and/or inves-
   Industry players speculate that the gradual          tor’s ability to effectively and efficiently address
   and measured reduction of the GSEs’ mar-             and manage regulatory change is a critical
   ket dominance will provide opportunities for         component to successful growth within the new
   private investors to re-enter the housing finance    RMBS space.
   market. Although the Treasury’s plan lacks the
   specific details that would draw a clear incen-      The stabilization of the housing market is the
   tive for private investors to re-enter the market    final factor. There are emerging signs that the
   during ongoing challenging economic times, the       housing market is beginning to stabilize, including




   cognizant reports | september 2011
a decline in foreclosures, increasing household       increased. In most cases, subprime originators
formations, increasing corporate profits, increas-    provided a guarantee to investors (private-label
ing consumer confidence and home affordability.       mortgage securitizers) to repurchase a loan if
These factors point to a gradual positive turn in     it went into early default or if there was a mis-
the mortgage industry. Mortgage banks will need       representation in the terms of the loan when it
to gear up proactively in order to capitalize on      was purchased.
market opportunities as they begin to emerge.
                                                      Subprime mortgage originators became insolvent
The emerging suite of services referred to as         due to improper forecasting of defaults and were
“mortgage process as a service” (MPaaS) offers        unable to repurchase their mortgage loans. Many
several solutions to revitalize the housing finance   of the subprime lenders went bankrupt or closed
market. Ensuring loan quality and providing data      lending operations. Heavily leveraged private-
transparency will help reduce risk and increase       label mortgage securitizing companies suffered
private investment. Loan origination data will be     large losses and exited the secondary mortgage
collected, verified and presented in a standard-      market, defaulted on RMBS payments to their
ized manner, which will improve credit under-         investors or filed for bankruptcy. This led to a dra-
writing decisions for the originator and deliver      matic decline of private investment in the housing
improved due diligence services to private inves-     finance market.
tors. Enhanced loan information quality will
result in fewer mortgage repurchases and poten-       The decline of the housing finance market caused
tially reduce early loan default rates by provid-     many to question existing regulatory oversight.
ing deeper, more accurate and more meaningful         Banking regulators reassessed the secondary
information during the loan origination process.      mortgage market and housing finance to deter-
                                                      mine what oversight and rules could be imple-
By removing the cost of ownership of technol-         mented to avoid the mistakes of the past. Con-
ogy infrastructure, applications, platforms and       gress and other regulators (Federal Housing
people, as well as adopting a pay-per-use model,      Finance Agency, Office of the Comptroller of the
MPaaS enables banks to save money. They can           Currency, etc.) have provided guidance and regula-
then focus on increasing market share, while rely-    tory requirements to banks and private investors.
ing on their MPaaS partners to streamline pro-
cesses, manage and extend systems capabilities        A major directive came from the Dodd-Frank Act,
and provide meaningful loan information to help       whose extensive consumer banking provisions
them make better business decisions that comply       added stringency to existing lending requirements
with government regulations.                          (e.g., defining a qualified residential mortgage),
                                                      detailed acceptable lending practices and man-
How We Got Here                                       dated 5% credit risk retention requirements for
There are many opinions as to whom and what is        originators and mortgage securitizers. The intent
responsible for the exit of private investors from    of the legislation is to promote a safer housing
the secondary mortgage and housing finance            finance market by spreading the share of risk in
markets. Key contributors include the easing of       securities for originators and mortgage securitiz-
lending standards (such as Fair Isaac Corporation     ers and improving lending standards and practices.
(FICO) scores, loan-to-value (LTV) ratios, debt-to-
income (DTI) ratios, etc.); exotic mortgages (such    As banks and private investors work to implement
as adjustable rate mortgages, interest-only loans,    and comply with these new regulations, change is
stated income loans, etc.); the government’s          occurring within another department of the U.S.
desire to increase home ownership; shareholder        government. The exit of many private investors in
pressure on companies to stay competitive and         the RMBS issuance business resulted in the GSEs
increase revenue; heightened speculation in the       emerging as dominant players in the secondary
housing market; appraisal fraud; broker fraud;        mortgage market. The U.S. Treasury directed the
and borrower fraud.                                   GSEs to stabilize the housing market by provid-
                                                      ing liquidity. Private investment has remained
As delinquencies spiked due to borrower defaults,     on the sidelines, waiting for business conditions
demands for mortgage repurchases from                 to improve.
investors (mortgage securitizers) to originators




                                cognizant reports     2
The February Treasury report to Congress pro-                 Private investors anticipating a return to the sec-
vides the Treasury’s plans to significantly reduce            ondary mortgage market are interpreting this
the GSE’s presence in the mortgage market. It is              release as a positive signal for developing plans
evident that the reduction in the GSEs’ market                to re-enter the market. As the conditions of the
share will be gradual and measured. The report                housing market begin to improve, private invest-
states, “Our plan presents several proposals for              ment will increase (see Figure 1).
structuring the government’s long-term role in a
housing finance system in which the private sec-
tor is the dominant provider of mortgage credit.”


Forces Driving the U.S. Mortgage Industry

 Area              Drivers                                  Impact                                 Implication
                   Unemployment rate estimated              Increased demand for housing
                   to stabilize at 5% after 2013
                   Household formation to                   Increased demand for housing
                   average 1.2 million/year over
                   the next decade
                                                                                                     Early signs of
                   Improving credit scores, deleveraging,   Improving credit quality of             gradual revival
 Economic          declining delinquencies                  borrowers                                 for housing
 Environment
                   Declining price-to-income ratio          Increased affordability                 and mortgage
                                                                                                       borrowing
                   Low mortgage interest rate scenario      Increased affordability

                   Rising rental incomes                    Improved attactiveness of
                                                            ownership
                   Slow rise in consumer confidence         Improved willingness to borrow
 Industry          Lower net interest margins               Lower profitability levels
 Drivers           scenario
                   Declining foreclosure filings            Demand and prices for homes
                                                            will stabilize                             Revival of
                   Increase in all-cash deals                                                         lending and
                                                            Traction in housing market
                                                                                                         RMBS
                   Jumbo deals activity in                  Revival of investor risk appetite           business
                   RMBS market
                   Uptick in ABX index                      Improving prospects of secondary
                                                            RMBS market
 Regulations       Prospect of significant reduction of     Revival of private players' interest
                   the role of GSEs
                   Heightened regulatory oversight          Increased compliance and
                                                            reporting                               Increase in cost
                   Risk retention norm                      Capital adequacy implications and        of compliance
                                                            enhanced safety for RMBS investors
                   Enhanced consumer protection             Creation of a safer market
                   measures

 Technology        Siloed structure of banking              Challenges on the compliance front
                   IT systems
                   Regulation-induced need to reinvent      Increase in IT spending
                   IT systems and processes                                                        IT challenges and
                                                                                                     opportunities
                   Competition-induced need to build        Opportunity to marry competitive-
                   new competencies                         ness goals with compliance-driven
                                                            investments into systems

Source: Cognizant Research Center

Figure 1




                                    cognizant reports         3
Market Conditions                                                             in 2010 (see Figure 2). Loan originations peaked at
The U.S. mortgage market is navigating its way                                $3.8 trillion in originations in 2003. This year, the
out of the subprime crisis. Home sales fell from                              U.S. mortgage industry forecasts approximately
7.53 million units in 2006 to 5.23 million units                              $1 trillion in originations (see Figure 3).



Home Sales in Units
               9
                                             8.36
                                  7.98
               8                                            7.53
                       7.26

               7
                                                                       6.43
Millions




               6
                                                                                  5.40           5.33                                   5.36
                                                                                                           5.23            5.10
               5


               4


               3
                       2003       2004       2005           2006       2007       2008           2009      2010            2011*        2012*

Sources: Fannie Mae Annual Reports, Federal Reserve Board, Bureau of Census, HUD, National Association of Realtors,
Mortgage Bankers Association and FHFA
* Forecasts for 2011 and 2012 are from National Association of Realtors, July 2011
Figure 2




 Mortgage Origination Estimates
 One- to four-family homes
               4,000
                                                    2,532                                           Purchase      Refinance
               3,500

               3,000
                                                                      1,514
                                          1,757
                                                              1,463           1,326
               2,500
  $ Billions




                                  1,283                                                  1,166
               2,000
                                                                                                          1,331
                   1,500                                                                                             1,099
                                                                      1,512                        777
                                                                              1,399
                                                    1,280     1,309
                   1,000   234                                                           1,140                                    697
                                          1,097
                           905    960                                                                                                    400
                                                                                                   731    664
                    500                                                                                                                  531
                                                                                                                     473          412
                      0
                           2000   2001    2002      2003     2004     2005    2006    2007       2008    2009       2010      2011*     2012*

 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
  * Estimates
  Figure 3



RMBS issuance, which rose to around $724 billion                              2005, to their peak in 2010 of over 3.82 million (see
in 2005–2006, has dropped to $39 million in 2010                              Figure 5, next page). As a result of the downturn
(see Figure 4, next page). The steep fall in home                             in the economy, studies indicate that consumers
prices and rising job losses pushed foreclosures                              became more averse to debt and began saving
higher. Foreclosures went from less than 1 million in                         more (see Figure 6, next page).




                                                  cognizant reports           4
RMBS Issuance
             800

             700

             600

             500
$ Billions




             400

             300

             200

             100

               0
                          2002          2003           2004      2005           2006        2007         2008             2009           2010

Source: Federal Reserve
Figure 4




Foreclosure Trends
             4.5

             4.0                                                                               3.75               3.83

             3.5                                                                3.16
             3.0

             2.5                                              2.20
Millions




             2.0

             1.5                                1.26                                                                              1.17
             1.0            0.89

             0.5

             0.0
                            2005                2006          2007              2008          2009                2010            2011*

Source: Realty Trac
* Foreclosure filings for 2011 are for the first six months only.
Figure 5




Post Crisis: Higher Savings, Lower Debt
 14%                                                                                                                                       140%

                                                                                                                                           130%
 12%
                                                                                                                                           120%
10%
                                                                                                                                           110%
  8%                                                                                                                                       100%

  6%                                                                                                                                       90%

                                                                                                                                           80%
  4%
                                                                                                                                           70%
  2%
                                                                                                                                           60%

  0%                                                                                                                                       50%
                   60          65          70          75      80          85          90     95         00              05      10

                        Personal saving rate (left scale)        Household debt/disposable income (right scale)

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Figure 6




                                                       cognizant reports        5
There are emerging signs of a market revival.                            Corporate profits, a key determinant of business
Mortgage servicers are working through their                             growth prospects, point to the likelihood of job
defaulting loan portfolios, and housing prices are                       creation. The St. Louis Federal Reserve’s research
nearing a bottom. Low interest rates, reduced                            indicates that corporate profits as a percentage
home prices, increasing credit availability, improv-                     of GDP hit a low of 5% in 2008 and rose to 8%
ing job prospects, rising consumer confidence and                        in 2010 (see Figure 7). The industry considers this
the opportunity for buyers to rent out properties                        favorable employment scenario as a strong influ-
at profitable rates are among the key factors that                       encer that increases borrower confidence in buy-
could stimulate the demand for mortgage loans                            ing homes. The Wall Street Journal reports that
and, in turn, increase the supply of loans to RMBS                       household formations, which declined to 578,000
investors. The historical data representing these                        in 2008, rose to 950,000 in 2010.2 This figure is
factors and their estimated trends point to a slow                       expected to rise gradually, which is expected to
and steady revival.                                                      increase housing demand.


Corporate Profits
Percent of GDP
     14

     12

     10

      8

      6

      4

      2

      0
          ‘86 ‘87 ‘88 ‘89 ‘90 ‘91     ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01              ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10   ‘11

              Profits (before tax)          Profits (after tax)          U.S. recessions
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Figure 7



The unemployment rate, presently around                                  A slow but steady drop in the unemployment
9%, is expected to gradually decline and                                 rate should improve upon already increasing
settle at around 5% after 2013 (see Figure 8).                           consumer confidence numbers. Additionally,


Unemployment Rate (Q4)
Percent
11


 9


 7


 5


 3
            2005        2006         2007          2008           2009       2010          2011*      2012*     2013*    Long Run*
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Loius
* Projections
Figure 8




                                            cognizant reports            6
the Conference Board notes that the Con-                              February 2009, the lowest since its inception
sumer Confidence Index has risen from 25 in                           in 1967, to 45.4 in September 2011 (see Figure 9).

Consumer Confidence Index
    75
    70
    65
    60
    55
    50
    45
    40
    35
    30
    25
    20
           Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Source: Conference Board
Figure 9

Delinquencies and foreclosures that surged in                         article provides some insight into what the next
the aftermath of the subprime crisis peaked in                        five years might look like: “Once the foreclosure
Q2 2010 at 11.59% and are now on a declining                          mess begins to clear up, say housing economists,
path (see Figure 10). Estimates of foreclosure                        the traditional drivers of the housing market
filings for 2011 are one-fourth of the filings of                     — demographics, affordability, loan availability,
2010. All these factors signal a positive turn for                    employment and psychology — should take over.”
the mortgage industry. The Wall Street Journal


Delinquency Rate On Loans Secured By Real Estate
Top 100 Banks Ranked By Assets
          12
          11
          10
          9
          8
          7
Percent




          6
          5
          4
          3
          2
           1
          0
               March '05       March '06        March '07         March '08         March '09         March '10         March '11

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Figure 10


The Economist concurs that “the best news of all                      stingy with credit, but households are better
may be the ongoing improvement in credit con-                         positioned than they were to take advantage of
ditions. Delinquencies have trended downward                          cheaper homes.”3 There has also been a marked
since late 2009. Consumer-debt payments rela-                         shift in originations, from a low LTV scenario,
tive to incomes are at a 17-year low, and house-                      to rapidly rising LTV since 2007 (see Figure 11,
hold credit scores are rising. Banks are still being                  next page).




                                           cognizant reports          7
Shift in Originations From Low LTV to High LTV
                                                  50%


Percentage of Total Owner Occupied Originations
                                                  45%

                                                  40%

                                                  35%

                                                  30%

                                                  25%

                                                  20%

                                                  15%

                                                  10%

                                                  5%

                                                  0%
                                                              2000   2001     2002       2003      2004         2005   2006   2007     2008     2009         2010

                                                          75% to 80% Originations       95% to 100% LTV Originations

Source: CoreLogic
Figure 11




The present conditions in the U.S. housing market                                                           buying property. The scenario has already led
have significantly improved home affordability.                                                             to considerable growth in all-cash deals, with
The price-to-income ratio (an indicator of afford-                                                          bargain-seeking investors attempting to cash
ability) fell from 2.7 in 2007 to 1.8 in 2010 (see                                                          in on low property values. The Mortgage Bank-
Figure 12). The Freddie Mac 30-year fixed-rate                                                              ers Association (MBA) estimates that purchase
mortgage at 4.27% in August 2011 is the lowest                                                              originations for one- to four-family homes may
in the last 50 years. Additionally, the oversupply                                                          decrease by 12.71% in 2011, to $412 billion, and rise
of homes and rising rental incomes (see Figure 13,                                                          by 29% in 2012, to $531 billion.
next page) should increase the attractiveness of



Homes are More Affordable Now
Price-to-income ratio, national average
3.0



2.5




2.0




1.5




1.0
                                                        '90                    '95                        '00                   '05                    '10
                                                    15-year average            15-year average
                                                    4Q 1995 – 4Q 2010          1Q 1989 – 4Q 2003

Source: Fiserve Inc.; Federal Housing Finance Agency; Moody's Analytics
Figure 12




                                                                                    cognizant reports       8
Rent Changes in Realtors' Local Area, Year-Over-Year
50%                                                                                              48%
                                                                             46%
45%                                                       44%
                                      42%
40%           39%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

 5%

 0%
                      Dec 2010                Jan 2011          Feb 2011            March 2011         April 2011

              Increase     Constant         Decrease

Source: National Association of Realtors
Figure 13




The market for RMBS, which nearly evaporated, is                 The Wall Street Journal reports that “subprime
beginning to show signs of a likely revival. There               and other residential mortgage bonds are back
have been two private-label RMBSs offered in                     in vogue with long-term investors, in the latest
the last two years: Redwood Trust 2010 and Red-                  sign that American credit markets are healing
wood Trust 2011 ($290 million issue). The securi-                after the worst downturn in a generation.”4 This
ties comprise loans with high unpaid principal                   is reflected in the substantial improvement in the
balances (average under $1 million), high credit                 ABX index from 30 in 2009, to around 60 in 2011
scores (average 775) and low LTVs (average 63%).                 (see Figure 14).
Private market players are taking proactive steps
to set up conduits in anticipation of the reduction
in GSE loan-buying limits in October 2011.



Growing Attraction
The ABX index, which tracks prices of subprime mortgage bonds,
has recovered since the crisis.
        100


        80


        60
Price




        40


        20


         0
               2008                                2009                      2010                           2011

Source: The Wall Street Journal
Note: ABX.HE.AAA.06-2 sub-index
Figure 14




                                            cognizant reports   9
Gearing up for a New Mortgage Industry                             Given the present state of the banking landscape
The prospect of increasing regulatory oversight                    and the prospect of a gradual recovery for the
makes compliance key to the survival of mort-                      mortgage banking industry, originators would be
gage banks and securitizers. There are many                        wise to take proactive steps to position their busi-
signs pointing to the emergence of a different                     nesses for success in the new mortgage industry.
mortgage industry, including the increased focus
on customer protection, the creation of credit                     The banking industry’s business processes and IT
risk retention requirements for mortgage origi-                    systems need to undergo considerable change in
nators and securitizers, the curbing of predatory                  order to meet the unfolding regulatory require-
lending practices, the rise of the spend-thrift and                ments, as well as build new competencies to be
debt-averse customer, and the increased capital                    successful. These investment decisions pose sig-
adequacy demands.                                                  nificant challenges to banks that are presently
                                                                   operating in a business environment of weaken-
                                                                   ing demand, declining spreads (see Figure 15) and
                                                                   intensifying competition.


U.S. Banks: Falling Net Interest Margins
              4.10             4.08

             4.00
             3.90                                                                                                3.84
             3.80                      3.77
                      3.77                         3.69
             3.70
 Ratio




             3.60                                           3.54
                                                                                                                          3.57
             3.50                                                   3.46
             3.40                                                                 3.34
                                                                                          3.31
             3.30                                                                                        3.25

             3.20
              3.10
                     2001      2002   2003        2004     2005    2006      2007        2008           2009    2010       2011
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Figure 15

Increasing regulatory focus on banking is driving                  of originating a loan rose approximately 375%
up the cost of compliance (see Figure 16), while                   in 2011 from 2003, 53% in 2011 from 2008, and
spreads are falling. The net interest margin of                    going forward it is likely to increase significantly
U.S. banks began falling at the end of the first                   (see Figure 17, next page).
quarter of 2010. MBA research indicates the cost


 Rising Cost of Compliance
 IT spending by financial services firms on governance, operational risk and compliance
             1.8
                                                                                                                  1.72
             1.7                                                                                 1.68
                                                                           1.60
             1.6

             1.5
$ Billions




                                       1.41               1.40
             1.4        1.35
             1.3

             1.2

             1.1

             1.0
                        2006           2007               2008             2009                  2010             2011*
Source: Celent
* Estimate
Figure 16




                                              cognizant reports    10
Increasing Net Cost to Originate
$3,500

$3,000

$2,500

$2,000

 $1,500

$1,000

  $500

     $0
            2003         2004          2005         2006         2007         2008          2009        4Q 2010      2Q 2011
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
Note: The "net cost to originate" includes all production operating expenses and commissions, minus all fee income,
but excludes secondary marketing gains, capitalized servicing, servicing released premiums and warehouse interest spread.
Figure 17



The profitability of the industry is driven by vol-                The conditions and challenges that lenders face
umes, spread and efficiency of operations. Indus-                  require a significant end-to-end process overhaul.
try origination volumes and interest margins are                   With unfolding regulatory changes, investor scru-
generally driven by the market. Mortgage banks                     tiny and a heightened focus on loan quality, lend-
will need to leverage their operational efficiencies               ers will be required to move quickly and deploy
to increase profits and differentiate themselves                   more flexible business and technology solutions.
from the competition.
                                                                   MPaaS providers can be a critical ally during sig-
Many banks are challenged by the existence of                      nificant times of change. Their pointed emphasis
silos within their organizational structure. Tra-                  on mortgage services and ability to readily adapt
ditionally, compliance and business needs are                      to changing business needs can help banks get
separately addressed, a gulf that has widened                      more bang from limited IT budgets — by shift-
over time as systems have evolved. Legacy sys-                     ing Cap-Ex to Op-Ex, through pay-per-use or
tems are traditionally inflexible and incapable of                 outcomes-based models — while accessing new
adjusting to rapid changes within the banking                      and more automated service capabilities. Cou-
industry. These older, hard-coded systems rely on                  pled with a lender’s ability to manage business
manual intervention to provide workarounds and                     processes via MPaaS, banks have a tremendous
overcome process limitations.                                      opportunity to manage the challenges in the new
                                                                   landscape more effectively.

Enter Mortgage Process as a Service                                Traditional mortgage business process outsourc-
The emerging business processes as a service                       ing (BPO) services providers already provide skilled
(BPaaS) delivery model offers a viable option to                   domain resources and a scalable organization
mortgage banks in need of a technology refresh                     with appropriate infrastructure to manage criti-
and process makeover. This approach enables                        cal mortgage functions, such as loan processing.
banks to rely on service providers with expertise in               In this existing model, lenders essentially leverage
mortgage processing services to shoulder the cost                  a service provider’s resources and infrastructure
of ownership of technologies, infrastructure and                   capabilities, while retaining their own technology
people. One flavor of BPaaS — mortgage process                     and defined processes. The perceived value of this
as a service (MPaaS) — provides banks with the                     arrangement is cost, timeliness and quality.
talent and systems wherewithal to handle essen-
tial lending services, enabling them to solely focus               Today’s mortgage market requires significant
on rebuilding their businesses to the needs of the                 change in this value proposition. As such, BPO
changing industry and capture market share.                        services companies must transform into MPaaS
                                                                   providers. Beyond cost, timeliness and quality,


                                       cognizant reports           11
the MPaaS provider will need to offer pointed solu-        than more strategic aspects, such as accuracy,
tions to the lender’s and investor’s business objec-       loss severity, repurchase risk, compliance, down-
tives, risks and processes. The expectation can no         stream efficiencies and customer experience, to
longer be focused on executing a lender’s inter-           name a few.
nal process while leveraging the lender’s tools.
The value proposition and expectations need to             To evolve, the mortgage BPO provider must offer
be extended to align the service output with the           solutions rather than capable bodies. The solutions
goals and objectives of the lender and investor.           must address the critical aspects of the business.
                                                           Loan processing solutions, for instance, need to
Consider loan processing, for example. The admin-          provide outputs that provide clear visibility into
istrative aspects of loan processing have been             loan data at a document and field level, in addition
outsourced to third-party specialists for many             to deeper analysis that will enable effective and
years. In many cases, the BPO process is a reflec-         compliant decisions. Critical loan origination values
tion of the process requirements of the lender             such as “Total Monthly Income” need to be encap-
rather than the business and risk objectives of the        sulated with the specific documents, document
lender and investor. While some may contend that           areas, document meta data (values extracted from
there should be no difference between the two              the document) and calculations utilized to arrive at
(lender processes should address business and              the critical value. The information collected should
risk objectives), the flood of repurchase requests         be compared with other available information and
should point to the likelihood that a majority of          analytics to provide a more trusted understanding
loan origination processes do not provide the              of the accuracy of the information.
process output that meets or exceeds the risks or
objectives of the business.                                In the loan processing example, the provider must
                                                           move beyond the checklist-prepared file to the
In short, many lenders’ processes lack the needed          risk-and-objective-prepared file that clearly and
depth of analysis, trust, accuracy and credibility         methodically provides trust and transparency,
with respect to investor requirements. Thus, the           in addition to analysis that allows downstream
traditional mortgage BPO provider is measured              consumers of the service to extract more value
on how well it executes a lender’s process rather          (see Figure 18).


Future Dimensions of Mortgage BPO: Driving The Solution Needs

  Traditional Dimensions of Mortgage BPO                  Mortgage Market Needs
  • Focused on labor cost savings and staff               • Need for great scrutiny and due diligence during
    augmentation for scale and capacity.                    loan origination.
                                                          • Provide increased visibility into potential loan risk.
  Market Drivers
                                                          • Reduce overall origination, processing and servicing
  • Increased focus on portfolio and repurchase risk.
                                                            costs while increasing process quality.
  • Need for greater process transparency, improved
                                                          • Increased process control and consistency to increase
    data integrity and increased loan due diligence.
                                                            loan quality and reduce repurchase risk.

        Traditional Dimensions of Mortgage BPO                                Market Drivers

                    •   Labor Cost                                       • Rising origination costs
                    •   Capacity/Timeliness                              • Increased regulatory and
                    •   Domain                                              investor requirements
                    •   Quality                                          • Significant repurchase risk
                                                                         • Significant default risk

                                         Future Dimensions of Mortgage BPO

   Mortgage Process                                  Process         Process/Solution
                                                                                               Traditional
     as a Service            Risk Mitigation       Consistency            Benefit
                                                                                               Dimensions
     (Sourced as             (Data accuracy        and Control        (Cost benefit of
                                                                                            (Capacity, domain
      utilities on            & intelligence)   (Process accuracy       solution vs.
                                                                                               and quality)
   pay-per-use basis)                             & intelligence)     pure labor cost)

Source: Cognizant
Figure 18


                                     cognizant reports     12
A New Strategic Services Era                                 The absence of transparency and data integrity
The time for more strategic services has arrived.            was one of several root causes of the industry’s
Mortgage processes need to be retooled to                    problems that led to increases in repurchase
address the need for enhanced regulatory scru-               claims (see Figure 19).
tiny, process transparency and risk mitigation.


Residential Mortgage Loans

Reserves for Repurchase Claims (in millions)
Year                     BoA          JP Morgan Chase        Wells Fargo        Citigroup            Total
2008                        2,271                1,093               620                 75             4,059
2009                       3,507                     1,705          1,033              482              6,727
2010                       5,438                 3,285              1,289              969              10,981
2011 Q1                    6,220                 3,474              1,207              944              11,845
2011 Q2                    17,780                3,631              1,188              1,001           23,600
Total                     35,216                 13,188            5,337              3,471             57,212

Source: Company Annual Reports and Natoma Partners
Figure 19



Several factors undermined the quality of mort-              produce a stronger mortgage market and increase
gage loans, including the origination of exotic              borrower and investor confidence in the housing
mortgage types, predatory lending practices, eas-            finance market.
ing of underwriting guidelines, increasing prop-
erty prices and the ability of financial interme-            The rise of software as a service (SaaS), platform
diaries to leverage their relationships to bypass            as a service (PaaS), virtualization and cloud-
underwriting guidelines. Ensuring data quality               based sourcing of servers, storage, desktops and
during the loan application and credit underwrit-            data centers have created an environment that
ing process would have removed some of the risk              is conducive for innovations such as MPaaS that
associated with purchasing mortgages.                        optimize efficiencies by reorganizing the industry
                                                             services chain. Under MPaaS, vendors provide all
The importance of data quality is also evident               four key elements: people (BPO/KPO), applica-
in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s joint effort in              tions, platforms and cloud-sourced infrastructure,
the Uniform Mortgage Data Program (UMDP)                     which can be used like utilities on a pay-per-use
as part of their Loan Quality Initiative (LQI).              basis, obviating the need for banks to lock in their
The UMDP establishes uniform requirements                    capital in these four areas.
and file formats for appraisal and loan delivery
data. Improved data quality throughout the loan              By variabilizing fixed costs, MPaaS offers a com-
application and underwriting process will help               pelling case for significantly enhancing capabili-
revive the housing finance market. Increased                 ties at a time when banks are facing significant
loan transparency provided by MPaaS solutions                transformational challenges. Banks and financial
will enhance the quality of loan originations and            services industry players are already ahead of
reduce repurchase risk. Higher quality loan infor-           other industries in embracing cloud computing
mation and originations will result in increased             (see Figure 20, next page). This places them in an
mortgage performance. This will gradually                    advantageous position to embrace MPaaS.




                                    cognizant reports        13
Financial Services a Leader in Cloud Adoption
          60
                 53%
          50

                              41%
          40                               37%
                                                       35%
Percent




                                                                   32%        32%
          30                                                                              29%
                                                                                                    24%

          20                                                                                                   19%


          10


          0
               Technology   Financial      Legal/      Retail   Healthcare   Manufac-   Education   Energy   Government
                            Services    Professional                          turing
                                          Services
Source: Mimecast
Base: 565 respondents
Figure 20

Originators’ systems need to handle high volumes                    also help originators present quality information
of originations and defaults. Even during the pro-                  about their loans to mortgage purchasers.
longed period of prosperity that preceded the
U.S. financial downturn, banks did not prioritize                   The MPaaS partner will be able to offer and pack-
the need to invest in rebuilding their systems and                  age information that is specific to the vintage of
processes to reap sustainable efficiencies.                         the loans, the demographics, the overall credit
                                                                    quality, etc. The infomediaries will ensure trans-
The case for sustainable efficiencies is now stron-                 parency in loan sales by offering flexible platforms
ger, coupled with the need to invest in systems to                  that will maintain compliance with underwriting
gear banks for greater levels of regulatory scru-                   criteria, as requested by the user. The information
tiny. An MPaaS partner can lend consulting ser-                     available to the user will foster trust and build
vices that will provide guidance and solutions to                   sustainable business foundations. The mortgage
regulatory challenges and opportunities. A part-                    purchasers will have greater knowledge regard-
ner with the resources and capacity to assist in                    ing the pools of loans that they are buying, which
navigating regulatory hurdles can make perceived                    will remove the mortgage purchase risk that was
barriers to market re-entry less challenging.                       prevalent in the past. Better loan information will
                                                                    lead to better loan originations, informed loan
                                                                    purchases, increased loan performance, reduced
Moving Forward                                                      risk, reduced repurchases and a stronger housing
The mortgage BPO industry, which is projected                       finance market.
to reach $3.56 billion in 2013, is embracing
MPaaS because it enables mortgage bankers to                        The reformed mortgage market places huge
access applications and processes built to serve                    demands on employee and IT resources that
the demands of the emerging industry order. By                      are tied up in attempting to comply with current
leveraging an MPaaS partner, mortgage banks                         rules and regulations. Lenders are hard-pressed
will be better positioned with critical information                 to focus on product innovation and future busi-
to make better loan decisions.                                      ness planning. The MPaaS partner can help
                                                                    banks be more flexible and respond to regulatory
MPaaS providers can act as infomediaries to pro-                    change. Banks and other lenders can leverage the
vide independent and unbiased information about                     strength of partnerships with MPaaS providers
the mortgage transaction to enable originators                      that double as infomediaries. In addition, working
to make sound lending decisions and underwrite                      with MPaaS solutions providers (see sidebar) can
quality loans. In addition, such information will                   help them gain market share and reduce risk in
                                                                    origination and purchase decisions.




                                            cognizant reports       14
What to Look for in Your MPaaS Partner

The emergence of MPaaS is accompanied by the rise of potential partners that can enable loan origina-
tors of all types to better navigate the unfolding industry transformation. We believe they should seek
the following in a partner to ensure they are on the right course:

•   Capable of rolling out utilities in the MPaaS model, providing variabilization of fixed costs.

•   Offers consulting services and possesses strong domain expertise rather than acting as a pure-
    play provider that lacks the ability to offer business advice or consulting in the transition to global
    sourcing.

•   Provides best-of-breed workflows, data products, analytics and process controls that are aligned to
    the needs of a changing mortgage business.

•   Delivers a solution that can process mortgage application documentation and critical underwriting
    data that empowers the originator and loan purchaser to make better investment decisions.




Footnotes
1
    “Reforming America’s Housing Finance Market: A Report to Congress,” The U.S. Department of the Treasury and
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, February 2011, http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/
    huddoc?id=housingfinmarketreform.pdf

2
    Ruth Simon and Jessica Silver-Greenberg, “Why It's Time To Buy,” The Wall Street Journal, June 4, 2011,
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304563104576361522020024248.html#printMode

3
    “Delinquency Rate On Loans Secured By Real Estate, Top 100 Banks Ranked By Assets,” Federal Reserve Bank of
    St. Louis, 2011, http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?id=DRSRET100S

4
    Matt Wirz and Serena Ng, “Subprime Bonds Are Back,” The Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/
    article/SB10001424052748704530204576235010413833114.html




References

Federal Register, Vol. 76, No. 83, April 29, 2011, http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/2011/pdf/2011-8364.pdf

“Implications of Dodd-Frank for U.S. Banking and Financial Services Industry,” Reflections Journal,
Cognizant Technology Solutions, May 2011, http://www.cognizant.com/InsightsWhitepapers/Reflections-
May-2011.pdf

“Table 1193, Mortgage Originations and Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates: 1990 to 2009,” U.S. Census
Bureau, 2011, http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/tables/11s1193.pdf

“MBA Sees Growth in Purchase Originations, Drop in Refinancing, and Weak Overall Economic Growth
in 2011,” Mortgage Bankers Association, October 2010, http://www.mbaa.org/NewsandMedia/Press
Center/74457.htm

“Profiles of GSE Mortgage Purchases,” U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, July 2011,
http://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/gse/profiles.html

“Report to the Congress on Risk Retention,” The Federal Reserve Board, 2010, http://www.federalre-
serve.gov/BoardDocs/RptCongress/securitization/risk_d_links.html




                                     cognizant reports        15
“U.S. Foreclosure Activity Increases 7 Percent in August, Defaults Surge 33 Percent,” Realty Trac,
Sept. 13, 2011, http://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report

“The Gender Wage Gap,” National Economic Trends, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, July 2011,
http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/net/20110701/net_20110725.pdf

“U.S. Economic Outlook September 2011,” National Association of Realtors, July 2011, http://www.realtor.
org/research/research/reportsstatistics

John McCrank, “U.S. Housing Market Attracting Bargain-Hunters,” Reuters, April 4, 2011,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-wealthmanager-ushousing-idUSTRE72U6YW20110404

“U.S. Housing and Mortgage Trends,” CoreLogic, February 2011, http://cl.cvic.com/assets/CoreLogic_US_
Housing_Mortgage_Trends.pdf

“United States Consumer Confidence,” Trading Economics, July 2011, http://www.tradingeconomics.
com/united-states/consumer-confidence

John Gittelsohn, “Cash-Paying Vultures Pick Bones of U.S. Housing Market as Mortgages Dry Up,”
Bloomberg, March 29, 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-29/cash-paying-vultures-feast-on-
u-s-housing-as-mortgages-dry-up.html

“Redwood Files for Second Jumbo MBS Deal in 10 Months,” American Banker, February 2011, http://www.
americanbanker.com/issues/176_32/redwood-mortgage-backed-security-1033085-1.html

Tim Cave, “Broker-Dealers Count the Cost of Compliance,” Financial News, November 22, 2010,
http://www.efinancialnews.com/story/2010-11-22/broker-dealers-count-cost-of-compliance

“Net Interest Margin for all U.S. Banks,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, July 2011, http://research.
stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/USNIM

Prashant Gopal and Jody Shenn, “Banks May Soften Blow of Jumbo Loan Limits,” Bloomberg, June 28,
2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-28/banks-appetite-for-jumbos-may-soften-blow-of-new-
loan-limits.html

“Goldman Sprints Ahead with Conduit Plans,” Asset-Backed Alert, May 20, 2011, http://www.abalert.
com/headlines.php?hid=151643

“Orchestrating Mortgage Lending Using Business Process Management,” PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP,
November 2010, http://www.pwc.com/us/en/financial-services/publications/viewpoints/viewpoint-busi-
ness-process-management.jhtml

Lawrence Yun, “Housing Market and Economic Outlook: July 2011,” National Association of Real-
tors, July 21, 2011, http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/2753558047abfcff9436d593a9f011da/
Chicago_Chase_Event_July+2011.ppt?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=2753558047abfcff9436d593a9f011da




                               cognizant reports      16
Authors                                                                            Analyst
Rajeshwer Chigullapalli                                                            Svetlana Malu
Cognizant Research Center                                                          Cognizant Research Center

Aala Santhosh Reddy
Cognizant Research Center

Nathan Longfellow
Director, Cognizant Banking and
Financial Services Consulting Practice

John Geertsema
Manager, Cognizant Banking and
Financial Services Consulting Practice




About Cognizant

Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) is a leading provider of information technology, consulting, and business process out-
sourcing services, dedicated to helping the world’s leading companies build stronger businesses. Headquartered
in Teaneck, New Jersey (U.S.), Cognizant combines a passion for client satisfaction, technology innovation, deep
industry and business process expertise, and a global, collaborative workforce that embodies the future of work. With
over 50 delivery centers worldwide and over 118,000 employees as of June 30, 2011, Cognizant is a member of the
NASDAQ-100, the S&P 500, the Forbes Global 2000, and the Fortune 500 and is ranked among the top-performing
and fastest growing companies in the world.

Visit us online at www.cognizant.com for more information.


                                         World Headquarters                  European Headquarters                 India Operations Headquarters
                                         500 Frank W. Burr Blvd.             Haymarket House                       #5/535, Old Mahabalipuram Road
                                         Teaneck, NJ 07666 USA               28-29 Haymarket                       Okkiyam Pettai, Thoraipakkam
                                         Phone: +1 201 801 0233              London SW1Y 4SP UK                    Chennai, 600 096 India
                                         Fax: +1 201 801 0243                Phone: +44 (0) 20 7321 4888           Phone: +91 (0) 44 4209 6000
                                         Toll Free: +1 888 937 3277          Fax: +44 (0) 20 7321 4890             Fax: +91 (0) 44 4209 6060
                                         Email: inquiry@cognizant.com        Email: infouk@cognizant.com           Email: inquiryindia@cognizant.com


© Copyright 2011, Cognizant. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, transmitted in any form or by any
means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the express written permission from Cognizant. The information contained herein is
subject to change without notice. All other trademarks mentioned herein are the property of their respective owners.

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U.S. Lending Industry Meets Mortgage Process as a Service

  • 1. Cognizant Reports U.S. Lending Industry Meets Mortgage Process as a Service Executive Summary plan to wind down the GSEs and support the private The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis ended a sector’s efforts to become the dominant provider prolonged period of growth and prosperity within of mortgage credit is a positive sign. the housing industry. Rapidly increasing home prices and residential mortgage backed securi- In addition to the government’s proposed role, ties (RMBS) increased home lending. The housing it is clear that private investment will rely bubble burst, and with it, many private investors heavily upon improved risk management and and originators exited the housing finance market. clearer visibility and understanding of the risks Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), oper- within an investment pool prior to ramping up ating as government conservatorships, increased private investment efforts. their position within the housing finance market in an effort to stabilize the housing industry. The shift to a primarily private investor-driven market with clearer management and under- The GSEs have become the dominant players standing of risk is one of three primary factors in the mortgage market in the absence of pri- affecting the revitalization of the housing finance vate investment. Investors have been waiting for market. The role of government regulation in the direction from the U.S. Department of the Trea- housing market is the second factor affecting the sury regarding the future of the GSEs. In Febru- revitalization of the housing finance market. The ary 2011, a report to Congress from the Treasury February Treasury report provided insights into Department was released, which discussed a plan the gradual change within the GSEs. Moreover, to “responsibly reduce the role of the Federal The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Con- National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) sumer Protection Act has given broad directives and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corpora- regarding what constitutes a qualified residential tion (“Freddie Mac”) in the mortgage market and, mortgage, reasonable lending practices and risk ultimately, wind down both institutions.”1 retention requirements for loan originators and mortgage securitizers. A lender’s and/or inves- Industry players speculate that the gradual tor’s ability to effectively and efficiently address and measured reduction of the GSEs’ mar- and manage regulatory change is a critical ket dominance will provide opportunities for component to successful growth within the new private investors to re-enter the housing finance RMBS space. market. Although the Treasury’s plan lacks the specific details that would draw a clear incen- The stabilization of the housing market is the tive for private investors to re-enter the market final factor. There are emerging signs that the during ongoing challenging economic times, the housing market is beginning to stabilize, including cognizant reports | september 2011
  • 2. a decline in foreclosures, increasing household increased. In most cases, subprime originators formations, increasing corporate profits, increas- provided a guarantee to investors (private-label ing consumer confidence and home affordability. mortgage securitizers) to repurchase a loan if These factors point to a gradual positive turn in it went into early default or if there was a mis- the mortgage industry. Mortgage banks will need representation in the terms of the loan when it to gear up proactively in order to capitalize on was purchased. market opportunities as they begin to emerge. Subprime mortgage originators became insolvent The emerging suite of services referred to as due to improper forecasting of defaults and were “mortgage process as a service” (MPaaS) offers unable to repurchase their mortgage loans. Many several solutions to revitalize the housing finance of the subprime lenders went bankrupt or closed market. Ensuring loan quality and providing data lending operations. Heavily leveraged private- transparency will help reduce risk and increase label mortgage securitizing companies suffered private investment. Loan origination data will be large losses and exited the secondary mortgage collected, verified and presented in a standard- market, defaulted on RMBS payments to their ized manner, which will improve credit under- investors or filed for bankruptcy. This led to a dra- writing decisions for the originator and deliver matic decline of private investment in the housing improved due diligence services to private inves- finance market. tors. Enhanced loan information quality will result in fewer mortgage repurchases and poten- The decline of the housing finance market caused tially reduce early loan default rates by provid- many to question existing regulatory oversight. ing deeper, more accurate and more meaningful Banking regulators reassessed the secondary information during the loan origination process. mortgage market and housing finance to deter- mine what oversight and rules could be imple- By removing the cost of ownership of technol- mented to avoid the mistakes of the past. Con- ogy infrastructure, applications, platforms and gress and other regulators (Federal Housing people, as well as adopting a pay-per-use model, Finance Agency, Office of the Comptroller of the MPaaS enables banks to save money. They can Currency, etc.) have provided guidance and regula- then focus on increasing market share, while rely- tory requirements to banks and private investors. ing on their MPaaS partners to streamline pro- cesses, manage and extend systems capabilities A major directive came from the Dodd-Frank Act, and provide meaningful loan information to help whose extensive consumer banking provisions them make better business decisions that comply added stringency to existing lending requirements with government regulations. (e.g., defining a qualified residential mortgage), detailed acceptable lending practices and man- How We Got Here dated 5% credit risk retention requirements for There are many opinions as to whom and what is originators and mortgage securitizers. The intent responsible for the exit of private investors from of the legislation is to promote a safer housing the secondary mortgage and housing finance finance market by spreading the share of risk in markets. Key contributors include the easing of securities for originators and mortgage securitiz- lending standards (such as Fair Isaac Corporation ers and improving lending standards and practices. (FICO) scores, loan-to-value (LTV) ratios, debt-to- income (DTI) ratios, etc.); exotic mortgages (such As banks and private investors work to implement as adjustable rate mortgages, interest-only loans, and comply with these new regulations, change is stated income loans, etc.); the government’s occurring within another department of the U.S. desire to increase home ownership; shareholder government. The exit of many private investors in pressure on companies to stay competitive and the RMBS issuance business resulted in the GSEs increase revenue; heightened speculation in the emerging as dominant players in the secondary housing market; appraisal fraud; broker fraud; mortgage market. The U.S. Treasury directed the and borrower fraud. GSEs to stabilize the housing market by provid- ing liquidity. Private investment has remained As delinquencies spiked due to borrower defaults, on the sidelines, waiting for business conditions demands for mortgage repurchases from to improve. investors (mortgage securitizers) to originators cognizant reports 2
  • 3. The February Treasury report to Congress pro- Private investors anticipating a return to the sec- vides the Treasury’s plans to significantly reduce ondary mortgage market are interpreting this the GSE’s presence in the mortgage market. It is release as a positive signal for developing plans evident that the reduction in the GSEs’ market to re-enter the market. As the conditions of the share will be gradual and measured. The report housing market begin to improve, private invest- states, “Our plan presents several proposals for ment will increase (see Figure 1). structuring the government’s long-term role in a housing finance system in which the private sec- tor is the dominant provider of mortgage credit.” Forces Driving the U.S. Mortgage Industry Area Drivers Impact Implication Unemployment rate estimated Increased demand for housing to stabilize at 5% after 2013 Household formation to Increased demand for housing average 1.2 million/year over the next decade Early signs of Improving credit scores, deleveraging, Improving credit quality of gradual revival Economic declining delinquencies borrowers for housing Environment Declining price-to-income ratio Increased affordability and mortgage borrowing Low mortgage interest rate scenario Increased affordability Rising rental incomes Improved attactiveness of ownership Slow rise in consumer confidence Improved willingness to borrow Industry Lower net interest margins Lower profitability levels Drivers scenario Declining foreclosure filings Demand and prices for homes will stabilize Revival of Increase in all-cash deals lending and Traction in housing market RMBS Jumbo deals activity in Revival of investor risk appetite business RMBS market Uptick in ABX index Improving prospects of secondary RMBS market Regulations Prospect of significant reduction of Revival of private players' interest the role of GSEs Heightened regulatory oversight Increased compliance and reporting Increase in cost Risk retention norm Capital adequacy implications and of compliance enhanced safety for RMBS investors Enhanced consumer protection Creation of a safer market measures Technology Siloed structure of banking Challenges on the compliance front IT systems Regulation-induced need to reinvent Increase in IT spending IT systems and processes IT challenges and opportunities Competition-induced need to build Opportunity to marry competitive- new competencies ness goals with compliance-driven investments into systems Source: Cognizant Research Center Figure 1 cognizant reports 3
  • 4. Market Conditions in 2010 (see Figure 2). Loan originations peaked at The U.S. mortgage market is navigating its way $3.8 trillion in originations in 2003. This year, the out of the subprime crisis. Home sales fell from U.S. mortgage industry forecasts approximately 7.53 million units in 2006 to 5.23 million units $1 trillion in originations (see Figure 3). Home Sales in Units 9 8.36 7.98 8 7.53 7.26 7 6.43 Millions 6 5.40 5.33 5.36 5.23 5.10 5 4 3 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012* Sources: Fannie Mae Annual Reports, Federal Reserve Board, Bureau of Census, HUD, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage Bankers Association and FHFA * Forecasts for 2011 and 2012 are from National Association of Realtors, July 2011 Figure 2 Mortgage Origination Estimates One- to four-family homes 4,000 2,532 Purchase Refinance 3,500 3,000 1,514 1,757 1,463 1,326 2,500 $ Billions 1,283 1,166 2,000 1,331 1,500 1,099 1,512 777 1,399 1,280 1,309 1,000 234 1,140 697 1,097 905 960 400 731 664 500 531 473 412 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012* Source: Mortgage Bankers Association * Estimates Figure 3 RMBS issuance, which rose to around $724 billion 2005, to their peak in 2010 of over 3.82 million (see in 2005–2006, has dropped to $39 million in 2010 Figure 5, next page). As a result of the downturn (see Figure 4, next page). The steep fall in home in the economy, studies indicate that consumers prices and rising job losses pushed foreclosures became more averse to debt and began saving higher. Foreclosures went from less than 1 million in more (see Figure 6, next page). cognizant reports 4
  • 5. RMBS Issuance 800 700 600 500 $ Billions 400 300 200 100 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Federal Reserve Figure 4 Foreclosure Trends 4.5 4.0 3.75 3.83 3.5 3.16 3.0 2.5 2.20 Millions 2.0 1.5 1.26 1.17 1.0 0.89 0.5 0.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: Realty Trac * Foreclosure filings for 2011 are for the first six months only. Figure 5 Post Crisis: Higher Savings, Lower Debt 14% 140% 130% 12% 120% 10% 110% 8% 100% 6% 90% 80% 4% 70% 2% 60% 0% 50% 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 Personal saving rate (left scale) Household debt/disposable income (right scale) Source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Figure 6 cognizant reports 5
  • 6. There are emerging signs of a market revival. Corporate profits, a key determinant of business Mortgage servicers are working through their growth prospects, point to the likelihood of job defaulting loan portfolios, and housing prices are creation. The St. Louis Federal Reserve’s research nearing a bottom. Low interest rates, reduced indicates that corporate profits as a percentage home prices, increasing credit availability, improv- of GDP hit a low of 5% in 2008 and rose to 8% ing job prospects, rising consumer confidence and in 2010 (see Figure 7). The industry considers this the opportunity for buyers to rent out properties favorable employment scenario as a strong influ- at profitable rates are among the key factors that encer that increases borrower confidence in buy- could stimulate the demand for mortgage loans ing homes. The Wall Street Journal reports that and, in turn, increase the supply of loans to RMBS household formations, which declined to 578,000 investors. The historical data representing these in 2008, rose to 950,000 in 2010.2 This figure is factors and their estimated trends point to a slow expected to rise gradually, which is expected to and steady revival. increase housing demand. Corporate Profits Percent of GDP 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 ‘86 ‘87 ‘88 ‘89 ‘90 ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 Profits (before tax) Profits (after tax) U.S. recessions Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Figure 7 The unemployment rate, presently around A slow but steady drop in the unemployment 9%, is expected to gradually decline and rate should improve upon already increasing settle at around 5% after 2013 (see Figure 8). consumer confidence numbers. Additionally, Unemployment Rate (Q4) Percent 11 9 7 5 3 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012* 2013* Long Run* Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Loius * Projections Figure 8 cognizant reports 6
  • 7. the Conference Board notes that the Con- February 2009, the lowest since its inception sumer Confidence Index has risen from 25 in in 1967, to 45.4 in September 2011 (see Figure 9). Consumer Confidence Index 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Source: Conference Board Figure 9 Delinquencies and foreclosures that surged in article provides some insight into what the next the aftermath of the subprime crisis peaked in five years might look like: “Once the foreclosure Q2 2010 at 11.59% and are now on a declining mess begins to clear up, say housing economists, path (see Figure 10). Estimates of foreclosure the traditional drivers of the housing market filings for 2011 are one-fourth of the filings of — demographics, affordability, loan availability, 2010. All these factors signal a positive turn for employment and psychology — should take over.” the mortgage industry. The Wall Street Journal Delinquency Rate On Loans Secured By Real Estate Top 100 Banks Ranked By Assets 12 11 10 9 8 7 Percent 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 March '05 March '06 March '07 March '08 March '09 March '10 March '11 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Figure 10 The Economist concurs that “the best news of all stingy with credit, but households are better may be the ongoing improvement in credit con- positioned than they were to take advantage of ditions. Delinquencies have trended downward cheaper homes.”3 There has also been a marked since late 2009. Consumer-debt payments rela- shift in originations, from a low LTV scenario, tive to incomes are at a 17-year low, and house- to rapidly rising LTV since 2007 (see Figure 11, hold credit scores are rising. Banks are still being next page). cognizant reports 7
  • 8. Shift in Originations From Low LTV to High LTV 50% Percentage of Total Owner Occupied Originations 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 75% to 80% Originations 95% to 100% LTV Originations Source: CoreLogic Figure 11 The present conditions in the U.S. housing market buying property. The scenario has already led have significantly improved home affordability. to considerable growth in all-cash deals, with The price-to-income ratio (an indicator of afford- bargain-seeking investors attempting to cash ability) fell from 2.7 in 2007 to 1.8 in 2010 (see in on low property values. The Mortgage Bank- Figure 12). The Freddie Mac 30-year fixed-rate ers Association (MBA) estimates that purchase mortgage at 4.27% in August 2011 is the lowest originations for one- to four-family homes may in the last 50 years. Additionally, the oversupply decrease by 12.71% in 2011, to $412 billion, and rise of homes and rising rental incomes (see Figure 13, by 29% in 2012, to $531 billion. next page) should increase the attractiveness of Homes are More Affordable Now Price-to-income ratio, national average 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 15-year average 15-year average 4Q 1995 – 4Q 2010 1Q 1989 – 4Q 2003 Source: Fiserve Inc.; Federal Housing Finance Agency; Moody's Analytics Figure 12 cognizant reports 8
  • 9. Rent Changes in Realtors' Local Area, Year-Over-Year 50% 48% 46% 45% 44% 42% 40% 39% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Dec 2010 Jan 2011 Feb 2011 March 2011 April 2011 Increase Constant Decrease Source: National Association of Realtors Figure 13 The market for RMBS, which nearly evaporated, is The Wall Street Journal reports that “subprime beginning to show signs of a likely revival. There and other residential mortgage bonds are back have been two private-label RMBSs offered in in vogue with long-term investors, in the latest the last two years: Redwood Trust 2010 and Red- sign that American credit markets are healing wood Trust 2011 ($290 million issue). The securi- after the worst downturn in a generation.”4 This ties comprise loans with high unpaid principal is reflected in the substantial improvement in the balances (average under $1 million), high credit ABX index from 30 in 2009, to around 60 in 2011 scores (average 775) and low LTVs (average 63%). (see Figure 14). Private market players are taking proactive steps to set up conduits in anticipation of the reduction in GSE loan-buying limits in October 2011. Growing Attraction The ABX index, which tracks prices of subprime mortgage bonds, has recovered since the crisis. 100 80 60 Price 40 20 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: The Wall Street Journal Note: ABX.HE.AAA.06-2 sub-index Figure 14 cognizant reports 9
  • 10. Gearing up for a New Mortgage Industry Given the present state of the banking landscape The prospect of increasing regulatory oversight and the prospect of a gradual recovery for the makes compliance key to the survival of mort- mortgage banking industry, originators would be gage banks and securitizers. There are many wise to take proactive steps to position their busi- signs pointing to the emergence of a different nesses for success in the new mortgage industry. mortgage industry, including the increased focus on customer protection, the creation of credit The banking industry’s business processes and IT risk retention requirements for mortgage origi- systems need to undergo considerable change in nators and securitizers, the curbing of predatory order to meet the unfolding regulatory require- lending practices, the rise of the spend-thrift and ments, as well as build new competencies to be debt-averse customer, and the increased capital successful. These investment decisions pose sig- adequacy demands. nificant challenges to banks that are presently operating in a business environment of weaken- ing demand, declining spreads (see Figure 15) and intensifying competition. U.S. Banks: Falling Net Interest Margins 4.10 4.08 4.00 3.90 3.84 3.80 3.77 3.77 3.69 3.70 Ratio 3.60 3.54 3.57 3.50 3.46 3.40 3.34 3.31 3.30 3.25 3.20 3.10 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Figure 15 Increasing regulatory focus on banking is driving of originating a loan rose approximately 375% up the cost of compliance (see Figure 16), while in 2011 from 2003, 53% in 2011 from 2008, and spreads are falling. The net interest margin of going forward it is likely to increase significantly U.S. banks began falling at the end of the first (see Figure 17, next page). quarter of 2010. MBA research indicates the cost Rising Cost of Compliance IT spending by financial services firms on governance, operational risk and compliance 1.8 1.72 1.7 1.68 1.60 1.6 1.5 $ Billions 1.41 1.40 1.4 1.35 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: Celent * Estimate Figure 16 cognizant reports 10
  • 11. Increasing Net Cost to Originate $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 4Q 2010 2Q 2011 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association Note: The "net cost to originate" includes all production operating expenses and commissions, minus all fee income, but excludes secondary marketing gains, capitalized servicing, servicing released premiums and warehouse interest spread. Figure 17 The profitability of the industry is driven by vol- The conditions and challenges that lenders face umes, spread and efficiency of operations. Indus- require a significant end-to-end process overhaul. try origination volumes and interest margins are With unfolding regulatory changes, investor scru- generally driven by the market. Mortgage banks tiny and a heightened focus on loan quality, lend- will need to leverage their operational efficiencies ers will be required to move quickly and deploy to increase profits and differentiate themselves more flexible business and technology solutions. from the competition. MPaaS providers can be a critical ally during sig- Many banks are challenged by the existence of nificant times of change. Their pointed emphasis silos within their organizational structure. Tra- on mortgage services and ability to readily adapt ditionally, compliance and business needs are to changing business needs can help banks get separately addressed, a gulf that has widened more bang from limited IT budgets — by shift- over time as systems have evolved. Legacy sys- ing Cap-Ex to Op-Ex, through pay-per-use or tems are traditionally inflexible and incapable of outcomes-based models — while accessing new adjusting to rapid changes within the banking and more automated service capabilities. Cou- industry. These older, hard-coded systems rely on pled with a lender’s ability to manage business manual intervention to provide workarounds and processes via MPaaS, banks have a tremendous overcome process limitations. opportunity to manage the challenges in the new landscape more effectively. Enter Mortgage Process as a Service Traditional mortgage business process outsourc- The emerging business processes as a service ing (BPO) services providers already provide skilled (BPaaS) delivery model offers a viable option to domain resources and a scalable organization mortgage banks in need of a technology refresh with appropriate infrastructure to manage criti- and process makeover. This approach enables cal mortgage functions, such as loan processing. banks to rely on service providers with expertise in In this existing model, lenders essentially leverage mortgage processing services to shoulder the cost a service provider’s resources and infrastructure of ownership of technologies, infrastructure and capabilities, while retaining their own technology people. One flavor of BPaaS — mortgage process and defined processes. The perceived value of this as a service (MPaaS) — provides banks with the arrangement is cost, timeliness and quality. talent and systems wherewithal to handle essen- tial lending services, enabling them to solely focus Today’s mortgage market requires significant on rebuilding their businesses to the needs of the change in this value proposition. As such, BPO changing industry and capture market share. services companies must transform into MPaaS providers. Beyond cost, timeliness and quality, cognizant reports 11
  • 12. the MPaaS provider will need to offer pointed solu- than more strategic aspects, such as accuracy, tions to the lender’s and investor’s business objec- loss severity, repurchase risk, compliance, down- tives, risks and processes. The expectation can no stream efficiencies and customer experience, to longer be focused on executing a lender’s inter- name a few. nal process while leveraging the lender’s tools. The value proposition and expectations need to To evolve, the mortgage BPO provider must offer be extended to align the service output with the solutions rather than capable bodies. The solutions goals and objectives of the lender and investor. must address the critical aspects of the business. Loan processing solutions, for instance, need to Consider loan processing, for example. The admin- provide outputs that provide clear visibility into istrative aspects of loan processing have been loan data at a document and field level, in addition outsourced to third-party specialists for many to deeper analysis that will enable effective and years. In many cases, the BPO process is a reflec- compliant decisions. Critical loan origination values tion of the process requirements of the lender such as “Total Monthly Income” need to be encap- rather than the business and risk objectives of the sulated with the specific documents, document lender and investor. While some may contend that areas, document meta data (values extracted from there should be no difference between the two the document) and calculations utilized to arrive at (lender processes should address business and the critical value. The information collected should risk objectives), the flood of repurchase requests be compared with other available information and should point to the likelihood that a majority of analytics to provide a more trusted understanding loan origination processes do not provide the of the accuracy of the information. process output that meets or exceeds the risks or objectives of the business. In the loan processing example, the provider must move beyond the checklist-prepared file to the In short, many lenders’ processes lack the needed risk-and-objective-prepared file that clearly and depth of analysis, trust, accuracy and credibility methodically provides trust and transparency, with respect to investor requirements. Thus, the in addition to analysis that allows downstream traditional mortgage BPO provider is measured consumers of the service to extract more value on how well it executes a lender’s process rather (see Figure 18). Future Dimensions of Mortgage BPO: Driving The Solution Needs Traditional Dimensions of Mortgage BPO Mortgage Market Needs • Focused on labor cost savings and staff • Need for great scrutiny and due diligence during augmentation for scale and capacity. loan origination. • Provide increased visibility into potential loan risk. Market Drivers • Reduce overall origination, processing and servicing • Increased focus on portfolio and repurchase risk. costs while increasing process quality. • Need for greater process transparency, improved • Increased process control and consistency to increase data integrity and increased loan due diligence. loan quality and reduce repurchase risk. Traditional Dimensions of Mortgage BPO Market Drivers • Labor Cost • Rising origination costs • Capacity/Timeliness • Increased regulatory and • Domain investor requirements • Quality • Significant repurchase risk • Significant default risk Future Dimensions of Mortgage BPO Mortgage Process Process Process/Solution Traditional as a Service Risk Mitigation Consistency Benefit Dimensions (Sourced as (Data accuracy and Control (Cost benefit of (Capacity, domain utilities on & intelligence) (Process accuracy solution vs. and quality) pay-per-use basis) & intelligence) pure labor cost) Source: Cognizant Figure 18 cognizant reports 12
  • 13. A New Strategic Services Era The absence of transparency and data integrity The time for more strategic services has arrived. was one of several root causes of the industry’s Mortgage processes need to be retooled to problems that led to increases in repurchase address the need for enhanced regulatory scru- claims (see Figure 19). tiny, process transparency and risk mitigation. Residential Mortgage Loans Reserves for Repurchase Claims (in millions) Year BoA JP Morgan Chase Wells Fargo Citigroup Total 2008 2,271 1,093 620 75 4,059 2009 3,507 1,705 1,033 482 6,727 2010 5,438 3,285 1,289 969 10,981 2011 Q1 6,220 3,474 1,207 944 11,845 2011 Q2 17,780 3,631 1,188 1,001 23,600 Total 35,216 13,188 5,337 3,471 57,212 Source: Company Annual Reports and Natoma Partners Figure 19 Several factors undermined the quality of mort- produce a stronger mortgage market and increase gage loans, including the origination of exotic borrower and investor confidence in the housing mortgage types, predatory lending practices, eas- finance market. ing of underwriting guidelines, increasing prop- erty prices and the ability of financial interme- The rise of software as a service (SaaS), platform diaries to leverage their relationships to bypass as a service (PaaS), virtualization and cloud- underwriting guidelines. Ensuring data quality based sourcing of servers, storage, desktops and during the loan application and credit underwrit- data centers have created an environment that ing process would have removed some of the risk is conducive for innovations such as MPaaS that associated with purchasing mortgages. optimize efficiencies by reorganizing the industry services chain. Under MPaaS, vendors provide all The importance of data quality is also evident four key elements: people (BPO/KPO), applica- in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s joint effort in tions, platforms and cloud-sourced infrastructure, the Uniform Mortgage Data Program (UMDP) which can be used like utilities on a pay-per-use as part of their Loan Quality Initiative (LQI). basis, obviating the need for banks to lock in their The UMDP establishes uniform requirements capital in these four areas. and file formats for appraisal and loan delivery data. Improved data quality throughout the loan By variabilizing fixed costs, MPaaS offers a com- application and underwriting process will help pelling case for significantly enhancing capabili- revive the housing finance market. Increased ties at a time when banks are facing significant loan transparency provided by MPaaS solutions transformational challenges. Banks and financial will enhance the quality of loan originations and services industry players are already ahead of reduce repurchase risk. Higher quality loan infor- other industries in embracing cloud computing mation and originations will result in increased (see Figure 20, next page). This places them in an mortgage performance. This will gradually advantageous position to embrace MPaaS. cognizant reports 13
  • 14. Financial Services a Leader in Cloud Adoption 60 53% 50 41% 40 37% 35% Percent 32% 32% 30 29% 24% 20 19% 10 0 Technology Financial Legal/ Retail Healthcare Manufac- Education Energy Government Services Professional turing Services Source: Mimecast Base: 565 respondents Figure 20 Originators’ systems need to handle high volumes also help originators present quality information of originations and defaults. Even during the pro- about their loans to mortgage purchasers. longed period of prosperity that preceded the U.S. financial downturn, banks did not prioritize The MPaaS partner will be able to offer and pack- the need to invest in rebuilding their systems and age information that is specific to the vintage of processes to reap sustainable efficiencies. the loans, the demographics, the overall credit quality, etc. The infomediaries will ensure trans- The case for sustainable efficiencies is now stron- parency in loan sales by offering flexible platforms ger, coupled with the need to invest in systems to that will maintain compliance with underwriting gear banks for greater levels of regulatory scru- criteria, as requested by the user. The information tiny. An MPaaS partner can lend consulting ser- available to the user will foster trust and build vices that will provide guidance and solutions to sustainable business foundations. The mortgage regulatory challenges and opportunities. A part- purchasers will have greater knowledge regard- ner with the resources and capacity to assist in ing the pools of loans that they are buying, which navigating regulatory hurdles can make perceived will remove the mortgage purchase risk that was barriers to market re-entry less challenging. prevalent in the past. Better loan information will lead to better loan originations, informed loan purchases, increased loan performance, reduced Moving Forward risk, reduced repurchases and a stronger housing The mortgage BPO industry, which is projected finance market. to reach $3.56 billion in 2013, is embracing MPaaS because it enables mortgage bankers to The reformed mortgage market places huge access applications and processes built to serve demands on employee and IT resources that the demands of the emerging industry order. By are tied up in attempting to comply with current leveraging an MPaaS partner, mortgage banks rules and regulations. Lenders are hard-pressed will be better positioned with critical information to focus on product innovation and future busi- to make better loan decisions. ness planning. The MPaaS partner can help banks be more flexible and respond to regulatory MPaaS providers can act as infomediaries to pro- change. Banks and other lenders can leverage the vide independent and unbiased information about strength of partnerships with MPaaS providers the mortgage transaction to enable originators that double as infomediaries. In addition, working to make sound lending decisions and underwrite with MPaaS solutions providers (see sidebar) can quality loans. In addition, such information will help them gain market share and reduce risk in origination and purchase decisions. cognizant reports 14
  • 15. What to Look for in Your MPaaS Partner The emergence of MPaaS is accompanied by the rise of potential partners that can enable loan origina- tors of all types to better navigate the unfolding industry transformation. We believe they should seek the following in a partner to ensure they are on the right course: • Capable of rolling out utilities in the MPaaS model, providing variabilization of fixed costs. • Offers consulting services and possesses strong domain expertise rather than acting as a pure- play provider that lacks the ability to offer business advice or consulting in the transition to global sourcing. • Provides best-of-breed workflows, data products, analytics and process controls that are aligned to the needs of a changing mortgage business. • Delivers a solution that can process mortgage application documentation and critical underwriting data that empowers the originator and loan purchaser to make better investment decisions. Footnotes 1 “Reforming America’s Housing Finance Market: A Report to Congress,” The U.S. Department of the Treasury and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, February 2011, http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/ huddoc?id=housingfinmarketreform.pdf 2 Ruth Simon and Jessica Silver-Greenberg, “Why It's Time To Buy,” The Wall Street Journal, June 4, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304563104576361522020024248.html#printMode 3 “Delinquency Rate On Loans Secured By Real Estate, Top 100 Banks Ranked By Assets,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2011, http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?id=DRSRET100S 4 Matt Wirz and Serena Ng, “Subprime Bonds Are Back,” The Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/ article/SB10001424052748704530204576235010413833114.html References Federal Register, Vol. 76, No. 83, April 29, 2011, http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/2011/pdf/2011-8364.pdf “Implications of Dodd-Frank for U.S. Banking and Financial Services Industry,” Reflections Journal, Cognizant Technology Solutions, May 2011, http://www.cognizant.com/InsightsWhitepapers/Reflections- May-2011.pdf “Table 1193, Mortgage Originations and Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates: 1990 to 2009,” U.S. Census Bureau, 2011, http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/tables/11s1193.pdf “MBA Sees Growth in Purchase Originations, Drop in Refinancing, and Weak Overall Economic Growth in 2011,” Mortgage Bankers Association, October 2010, http://www.mbaa.org/NewsandMedia/Press Center/74457.htm “Profiles of GSE Mortgage Purchases,” U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, July 2011, http://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/gse/profiles.html “Report to the Congress on Risk Retention,” The Federal Reserve Board, 2010, http://www.federalre- serve.gov/BoardDocs/RptCongress/securitization/risk_d_links.html cognizant reports 15
  • 16. “U.S. Foreclosure Activity Increases 7 Percent in August, Defaults Surge 33 Percent,” Realty Trac, Sept. 13, 2011, http://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report “The Gender Wage Gap,” National Economic Trends, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, July 2011, http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/net/20110701/net_20110725.pdf “U.S. Economic Outlook September 2011,” National Association of Realtors, July 2011, http://www.realtor. org/research/research/reportsstatistics John McCrank, “U.S. Housing Market Attracting Bargain-Hunters,” Reuters, April 4, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/04/us-wealthmanager-ushousing-idUSTRE72U6YW20110404 “U.S. Housing and Mortgage Trends,” CoreLogic, February 2011, http://cl.cvic.com/assets/CoreLogic_US_ Housing_Mortgage_Trends.pdf “United States Consumer Confidence,” Trading Economics, July 2011, http://www.tradingeconomics. com/united-states/consumer-confidence John Gittelsohn, “Cash-Paying Vultures Pick Bones of U.S. Housing Market as Mortgages Dry Up,” Bloomberg, March 29, 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-29/cash-paying-vultures-feast-on- u-s-housing-as-mortgages-dry-up.html “Redwood Files for Second Jumbo MBS Deal in 10 Months,” American Banker, February 2011, http://www. americanbanker.com/issues/176_32/redwood-mortgage-backed-security-1033085-1.html Tim Cave, “Broker-Dealers Count the Cost of Compliance,” Financial News, November 22, 2010, http://www.efinancialnews.com/story/2010-11-22/broker-dealers-count-cost-of-compliance “Net Interest Margin for all U.S. Banks,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, July 2011, http://research. stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/USNIM Prashant Gopal and Jody Shenn, “Banks May Soften Blow of Jumbo Loan Limits,” Bloomberg, June 28, 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-28/banks-appetite-for-jumbos-may-soften-blow-of-new- loan-limits.html “Goldman Sprints Ahead with Conduit Plans,” Asset-Backed Alert, May 20, 2011, http://www.abalert. com/headlines.php?hid=151643 “Orchestrating Mortgage Lending Using Business Process Management,” PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, November 2010, http://www.pwc.com/us/en/financial-services/publications/viewpoints/viewpoint-busi- ness-process-management.jhtml Lawrence Yun, “Housing Market and Economic Outlook: July 2011,” National Association of Real- tors, July 21, 2011, http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/2753558047abfcff9436d593a9f011da/ Chicago_Chase_Event_July+2011.ppt?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=2753558047abfcff9436d593a9f011da cognizant reports 16
  • 17. Authors Analyst Rajeshwer Chigullapalli Svetlana Malu Cognizant Research Center Cognizant Research Center Aala Santhosh Reddy Cognizant Research Center Nathan Longfellow Director, Cognizant Banking and Financial Services Consulting Practice John Geertsema Manager, Cognizant Banking and Financial Services Consulting Practice About Cognizant Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) is a leading provider of information technology, consulting, and business process out- sourcing services, dedicated to helping the world’s leading companies build stronger businesses. Headquartered in Teaneck, New Jersey (U.S.), Cognizant combines a passion for client satisfaction, technology innovation, deep industry and business process expertise, and a global, collaborative workforce that embodies the future of work. With over 50 delivery centers worldwide and over 118,000 employees as of June 30, 2011, Cognizant is a member of the NASDAQ-100, the S&P 500, the Forbes Global 2000, and the Fortune 500 and is ranked among the top-performing and fastest growing companies in the world. Visit us online at www.cognizant.com for more information. World Headquarters European Headquarters India Operations Headquarters 500 Frank W. Burr Blvd. Haymarket House #5/535, Old Mahabalipuram Road Teaneck, NJ 07666 USA 28-29 Haymarket Okkiyam Pettai, Thoraipakkam Phone: +1 201 801 0233 London SW1Y 4SP UK Chennai, 600 096 India Fax: +1 201 801 0243 Phone: +44 (0) 20 7321 4888 Phone: +91 (0) 44 4209 6000 Toll Free: +1 888 937 3277 Fax: +44 (0) 20 7321 4890 Fax: +91 (0) 44 4209 6060 Email: inquiry@cognizant.com Email: infouk@cognizant.com Email: inquiryindia@cognizant.com © Copyright 2011, Cognizant. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the express written permission from Cognizant. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice. All other trademarks mentioned herein are the property of their respective owners.