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Office
Property Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | APRIL | 2012




Accelerating success.
1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE


Research & forecast report
SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report
India office market




                                                              MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
                                                                                                                               ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                              •	During 4Q 2011 GDP grew at 6.9 percent in
                                                                real terms suggesting a moderation in growth                                                                                 Gross Domestic Product at factor cost
                                                                in comparison to preceding two quarters. The                   10.0%
                                                                                                                                9.0%
                                                                finance minister presented India’s Union                        8.0%

                                                                Budget 2012 -13 this quarter projecting a GDP                   7.0%
                                                                                                                                6.0%
                                                                growth rate of 7.6% for 2012-13.                                5.0%
                                                                                                                               4.0%
                                                                                                                                3.0%
                                                              •	The headline inflation figure moderated from                   2.0%

                                                                8.3 percent in December 2011 to 6.6 and                         1.0%
                                                                                                                               0.0%
                                                                6.95% in January and February 2012,




                                                                                                                                                  Jan - Mar 09


                                                                                                                                                                             Apr - Jun 09


                                                                                                                                                                                              Jul - Sep 09


                                                                                                                                                                                                             Oct - Dec 09


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan - Mar 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Apr - Jun 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jul - Sep 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct - Dec 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan - Mar 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr - Jun 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul - Sep 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jan - Dec 11
  ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                            respectively. Keeping in view the moderation
                                                                in inflation rate the Reserve Bank of India
                            Mar-11                 Mar-12
                                                                (RBI) has softened monetary policy for the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              FDI in Real Estate
                                                                first time since one and a half year . This has           16,000
        REPO RATE           6.50%                   8.50%
                                                                been done by reducing CRR (Cash Reserve                   14,000


                                                                Ratio) by 50 basis points in January and a
                                                                                                                          12,000
REVERSE REPO RATE           5.50%                   7.50%                                                                 10,000
                                                                further reduction of 75 basis point in March                   8,000

              CRR           6.00%                   4.75%       2012. The current CRR rate is 4.75%.                           6,000

                                                                                                                               4,000
                                                                                                                   INR Crore




        INFLATION               9.68%               6.89%     •	The Budget remained silent on most of the
                                                                                                                               2,000

                                                                                                                                   0
                                                                major real estate related issues. It did however
                                                                                                                                                                 2005 - 06




                                                                                                                                                                                                2006 - 07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2007 - 08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2008 - 09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2009 - 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2010 - 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                April - Jan 2012
            PRIME
                     8.25% - 9.50%         10.00% - 10.75%
     LENDING Rate                                               mentioned that efforts are on to arrive at a
     DEPOSIT RATE                                               political consensus on the issue of allowing
                     7.75% - 9.50%           8.50% - 9.25%
         (>1 YEAR)                                              51% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-
Foreign Exchange                                                brand retailing.                                                160
                                                                                                                                                                                                             BSE Sensex & Realty Index

                                45.02                50.39                                                                      150
         INR - USD
                                                                                                                                140
                                                              •	The Budget aims to provide impetus to                           130
        INR- Euro               59.12               65.89       affordable housing by providing various                         120
                                                                                                                                 110
                                                                incentives to both developers and end users.                    100

                                                                For example the external Commercial                              90

Return on Alternative Investments                               Borrowings (ECB) is allowed for low cost
                                                                                                                                 80
                                                                                                                                 70

                                                                affordable housing projects which would help
                                                                                                                                        2-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                         11-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                                              20-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                  29-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            7-Feb-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16-Feb-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     25-Feb-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                5-Mar-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    14-Mar-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        23-Mar-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1-Apr-12




                      Mar-11        Mar-12          YoY %
                                                                developers to raise debt at lower cost.
                                                   Change                                                            * Rebase to 100                                                                                        BSE Sensex                                                                           Realty Index

                                                                                                                    Note: As of 1st August 2011

           Gold       20,730        27,300          31.69%    •	From an end user perspective, the budget
                                                                provides few incentives including, Service tax                  110
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Exchange Rates

          SILVER      52,450            56,014      6.80%       exemption for construction service related to                   105


    EQUITY (BSE                                                 residential dwelling and low cost mass                          100

                                                                housing up to an area of 60 sq mtr under the                    95
        SENSEX)      18167.64     17,675.85         -2.71%
                                                                scheme of affordable housing. The existing                      90

    REALTY INDEX     2053.69        1821.35         -11.31%     scheme of interest subvention of 1% for                         85


                                                                housing loans up to INRs 15 lakh (where the
                                                                                                                                80

                                                                                                                                 75
                                                                cost of the house does not exceed INR 25
                                                                                                                                       2-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                       11-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                                            20-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                               29-Jan-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7-Feb-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      16-Feb-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   25-Feb-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5-Mar-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 14-Mar-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    23-Mar-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1-Apr-12




                                                                lakhs), was extended by one more year.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    US$                                                                                        Euro
                                                                                                                     * Rebase to 100
                                                                                                                     Note: As of 1st August 2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
THE KNOWLEDGE | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE | Mumbai


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 MUMBAI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	In Mumbai, approximately 10 million sq ft of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   grade ‘A’ office space was available for lease                                                                                            Goregoan / JVLR 8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Kalina 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   in 1Q 2012. Out of the total available supply
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Navi Mumbai 6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Powai 5%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   around 64% was IT/ITeS office space mostly                                       Worli / Prabhadevi 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Thane / LBS 21%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   concentrated in the Lower Parel and Thane
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Malad 5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   micro-markets.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     CBD 1%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	Project launched during this quarter was
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   “Equinox Business Park-Tower IV” by Equinox                                            Lower Parel 20%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Realty & Infrastructure Private Limited. The                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Andheri East 24%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   project has a gross leasable area of                                                                                                                             BKC 8%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   approximately 0.5 million sq ft and is located
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   off BKC. Another mixed use project “Island
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   City Centre” was also launched by Wadia
MUMBAI                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Group’s real estate venture Bombay Realty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   spreading over 45 acres of land at Dadar.                            RENTAL VALUES

CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                            •	Following the previous quarter trend                                            300

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   construction activities remained slow, no new                                   250

                                                                                                                     4Q 2011                                                     1Q 2012                                           grade ‘A’ office space was added to the city’s                                  200

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   total inventory this quarter.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       INR Per Sq ft Per Month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   150

                                                           VACANCY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	Occupier demand remained steady in almost
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   100



                                          ABSORPTION                                                                                                                                                                               all of the micro markets and few large space                                     50


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   commercial leases were signed during the                                          0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             CBD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Andheri East
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      BKC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Lower Parel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Malad

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Navi Mumbai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Powai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Worli/Prabhdevi

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Goregaon / JVLR

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Kalina
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Thane / LBS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Andheri East (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Lower Parel (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Malad (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Navi Mumbai (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Powai (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Goregaon / JVLR (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Thane / LBS (IT)
                                CONSTRUCTION                                                                                                                                                                                       quarter. Rental values for grade ‘A’ office
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   space remained stable across Mumbai baring
                                  RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Nariman Point, the CBD of Mumbai, as                                                                                                                 Grade A                                                                     Grade B

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   occupiers are gradually shifting towards newly
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   developed areas like Lower Parel, Bandra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Kurla Complex (BKC) and Andheri due to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   better accessibility and state of an art
             GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             prime office space rental trend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   infrastructure.

                          245
                                                                                                                                                                                            Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	Looking ahead demand is likely to be remained                                   420

                          210                                                                                                                                                                                                     moderate, however due to limited supply                                          370


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  rentals are expected to remain stable.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   320
                          175                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      270
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         INR per Sq ft per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   220
                          140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	As part of the State Government’s plan to                                        170

                          105                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   make Wadala a business hub in lines of the
INR per Sq ft per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    70
                          70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   BKC; MMRDA has invited consultants to                                            20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2011
                          35                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   prepare a detailed development plan for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   approximately 110 hectares of land.
                           0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            CBD                                                        Andheri East                                                                    Malad                                                                           BKC
                                1Q2008
                                         2Q2008
                                                  3Q2008
                                                           4Q2008
                                                                    1Q2009
                                                                             2Q2009
                                                                                      3Q2009
                                                                                               4Q2009
                                                                                                        1Q2010
                                                                                                                 2Q2010
                                                                                                                          3Q2010
                                                                                                                                   4Q2010
                                                                                                                                            1Q2011
                                                                                                                                                     2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                             4Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2013F




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Lower Parel                                                Navi Mumbai                                                                     Powai                                                                           Worli /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Prabhadevi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Goregaon                                                    Kalina                                                                         Thane / LBS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        / JVLR




                          MARKET TRANSaCTIONS
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                                     building name                                   AREA                    LOCATION                                                                                                                                          TRANSACTION TYPE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     (Sq. Ft.)

                          Altisource                                                                                                                                                                 Vishwaroop IT Park                              137,000                 Vashi                                                                                                                                             Lease

                          ANZ Bank                                                                                                                                                                   Boomerang                                       6,000                   Andheri                                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Liberty Insurance                                                                                                                                                          Peninsula Business Park                         30,000                  Lower Parel                                                                                                                                       Lease

                          L’Oreal                                                                                                                                                                    Marathon Futurex                                71,000                  Lower Parel                                                                                                                                       Lease

                          Naaptol.com                                                                                                                                                                Sigma IT Park                                   32,000                  Navi Mumbai                                                                                                                                       Lease

                          Star Union Dai-ichi Life Insurance                                                                                                                                         Vishwaroop IT Park                              67,000                  Vashi                                                                                                                                             Lease

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Colliers International India Research



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Colliers International |                                                                                                                                                                                                  p. 3
THE KNOWLEDGE | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE | delhi


                                                                                                                                                                                                                        DELHI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        •	More than 1 million sq ft of grade ‘A’ office
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          space was available for lease in Delhi in                                                                                                      Connaught Place 2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q 2012. Most of this available supply was                                                                                                                                                     Nehru Place 10%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                          concentrated in Jasola and Saket.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        •	No new supply was added to the city’s grade                                               Saket 29%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                          ‘A’ inventory. Similarly, no new grade ‘A’ office
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          projects was launched during this quarter.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jasola 59%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        •	Absorption remained relatively subdued as
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          only a few small office spaces leases were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          signed in locations such as Connaught Place,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Saket and Nehru Place. This can primarily be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          attributed to the shift in demand from the CBD
delhi                                                                                                                                                                                                                     and SBD to areas in as Gurgaon and NOIDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          on account of better quality office and lower                          RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          real estate cost.
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         400


                                                                                                                                                                                                                        •	Rental values witnessed marginal pressure                                           350

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              300
                                                                                                                 4Q 2011                                                  1Q 2012                                         across the micro markets and a decrease in                                          250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          the range of 1 to 4% was observed for grade                                         200
                                                       VACANCY                                                                                                                                                            ‘A’ office space.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  INR per Sq Ft per Month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              150

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              100
                                         ABSORPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        •	In mid term rentals are expected to remained                                         50


                                CONSTRUCTION                                                                                                                                                                              under pressure on account of lesser demand.                                          0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Nehru Place




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jasola




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Netaji Subhash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Connaught
                                RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                            •	To encourage development of non polluting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          small and medium scale industries in the                                                                                                       Grade A                                       Grade B


                                                                                                                                                                                                                          city Delhi State Industrial and Infrastructure
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Development Corporation (DSIIDC) is
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          planning to set up a multi level manufacturing
                 GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          hub in Rani Khera in north west Delhi with an                          prime office space rental trend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          estimated cost of INR 3100 crore. The work
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          on another knowledge based industrial park
                          280
                                                                                                                                                                                    Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          in Baprola has already started.                                                     450

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              400
                          245
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              350
                          210                                                                                                                                                                                           •	In an another infrastructure related intiative                                      300
                          175                                                                                                                                                                                             the Delhi Development Authority(DDA) has                                            250

                          140                                                                                                                                                                                             planned to develop three Urban Extension                                            200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    INR per Sq ft per Month




                          105                                                                                                                                                                                             Roads (UERs). These link roads will facilitate                                      150
INR per Sq ft per Month




                           70                                                                                                                                                                                             smooth travelling between two States —                                              100


                           35                                                                                                                                                                                             Delhi and Haryana — Dwarka-Palam Vihar,                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Najafgarh-Dhansa and Nelson Mandela Road-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2012

                           0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          MG Road.
                                2Q2008
                                         3Q2008
                                                  4Q2008
                                                           1Q2009
                                                                    2Q2009
                                                                             3Q2009
                                                                                      4Q2009
                                                                                               1Q2010
                                                                                                        2Q2010

                                                                                                                 3Q2010
                                                                                                                          4Q2010
                                                                                                                                   1Q2011
                                                                                                                                            2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                     3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2012F

                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q2013F




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Nehru Place                                    Jasola                                       Cannaught                             Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Netaji Subhash




                          MARKET TRANSaCTIONS
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                            building name                                    AREA                     LOCATION                                                                                                               TRANSACTION TYPE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (Sq. Ft.)

                          Hitachi                                                                                                                                                           Eros Corporate Tower                             3,000                    Nehru Place                                                                                                            Lease

                          Mizuho Bank                                                                                                                                                       DLF Capitol Point                                16,000                   C.P.                                                                                                                   Lease

                          Pragati Equity Advisors                                                                                                                                           Southern Park                                    1,500                    Saket                                                                                                                  Lease

                          Snap Deal                                                                                                                                                         Southern Park                                    22,000                   Okhla-III                                                                                                              Lease




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Source: Colliers International India Research



p. 4                                | Colliers International
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012

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The knowledge report india office property market overview 1 q 2012

  • 1. Office Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | APRIL | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE Research & forecast report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India office market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ECONOMIC INDICATORS • During 4Q 2011 GDP grew at 6.9 percent in real terms suggesting a moderation in growth Gross Domestic Product at factor cost in comparison to preceding two quarters. The 10.0% 9.0% finance minister presented India’s Union 8.0% Budget 2012 -13 this quarter projecting a GDP 7.0% 6.0% growth rate of 7.6% for 2012-13. 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% • The headline inflation figure moderated from 2.0% 8.3 percent in December 2011 to 6.6 and 1.0% 0.0% 6.95% in January and February 2012, Jan - Mar 09 Apr - Jun 09 Jul - Sep 09 Oct - Dec 09 Jan - Mar 10 Apr - Jun 10 Jul - Sep 10 Oct - Dec 10 Jan - Mar 11 Apr - Jun 11 Jul - Sep 11 Jan - Dec 11 ECONOMIC BAROMETER respectively. Keeping in view the moderation in inflation rate the Reserve Bank of India Mar-11 Mar-12 (RBI) has softened monetary policy for the FDI in Real Estate first time since one and a half year . This has 16,000 REPO RATE 6.50% 8.50% been done by reducing CRR (Cash Reserve 14,000 Ratio) by 50 basis points in January and a 12,000 REVERSE REPO RATE 5.50% 7.50% 10,000 further reduction of 75 basis point in March 8,000 CRR 6.00% 4.75% 2012. The current CRR rate is 4.75%. 6,000 4,000 INR Crore INFLATION 9.68% 6.89% • The Budget remained silent on most of the 2,000 0 major real estate related issues. It did however 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 April - Jan 2012 PRIME 8.25% - 9.50% 10.00% - 10.75% LENDING Rate mentioned that efforts are on to arrive at a DEPOSIT RATE political consensus on the issue of allowing 7.75% - 9.50% 8.50% - 9.25% (>1 YEAR) 51% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi- Foreign Exchange brand retailing. 160 BSE Sensex & Realty Index 45.02 50.39 150 INR - USD 140 • The Budget aims to provide impetus to 130 INR- Euro 59.12 65.89 affordable housing by providing various 120 110 incentives to both developers and end users. 100 For example the external Commercial 90 Return on Alternative Investments Borrowings (ECB) is allowed for low cost 80 70 affordable housing projects which would help 2-Jan-12 11-Jan-12 20-Jan-12 29-Jan-12 7-Feb-12 16-Feb-12 25-Feb-12 5-Mar-12 14-Mar-12 23-Mar-12 1-Apr-12 Mar-11 Mar-12 YoY % developers to raise debt at lower cost. Change * Rebase to 100 BSE Sensex Realty Index Note: As of 1st August 2011 Gold 20,730 27,300 31.69% • From an end user perspective, the budget provides few incentives including, Service tax 110 Exchange Rates SILVER 52,450 56,014 6.80% exemption for construction service related to 105 EQUITY (BSE residential dwelling and low cost mass 100 housing up to an area of 60 sq mtr under the 95 SENSEX) 18167.64 17,675.85 -2.71% scheme of affordable housing. The existing 90 REALTY INDEX 2053.69 1821.35 -11.31% scheme of interest subvention of 1% for 85 housing loans up to INRs 15 lakh (where the 80 75 cost of the house does not exceed INR 25 2-Jan-12 11-Jan-12 20-Jan-12 29-Jan-12 7-Feb-12 16-Feb-12 25-Feb-12 5-Mar-12 14-Mar-12 23-Mar-12 1-Apr-12 lakhs), was extended by one more year. US$ Euro * Rebase to 100 Note: As of 1st August 2011 Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. THE KNOWLEDGE | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE | Mumbai MUMBAI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas • In Mumbai, approximately 10 million sq ft of grade ‘A’ office space was available for lease Goregoan / JVLR 8% Kalina 1% in 1Q 2012. Out of the total available supply Navi Mumbai 6% Powai 5% around 64% was IT/ITeS office space mostly Worli / Prabhadevi 1% Thane / LBS 21% concentrated in the Lower Parel and Thane Malad 5% micro-markets. CBD 1% • Project launched during this quarter was “Equinox Business Park-Tower IV” by Equinox Lower Parel 20% Realty & Infrastructure Private Limited. The Andheri East 24% project has a gross leasable area of BKC 8% approximately 0.5 million sq ft and is located off BKC. Another mixed use project “Island City Centre” was also launched by Wadia MUMBAI Group’s real estate venture Bombay Realty 1Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’ spreading over 45 acres of land at Dadar. RENTAL VALUES CITY OFFICE BAROMETER • Following the previous quarter trend 300 construction activities remained slow, no new 250 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 grade ‘A’ office space was added to the city’s 200 total inventory this quarter. INR Per Sq ft Per Month 150 VACANCY • Occupier demand remained steady in almost 100 ABSORPTION all of the micro markets and few large space 50 commercial leases were signed during the 0 CBD Andheri East BKC Lower Parel Malad Navi Mumbai Powai Worli/Prabhdevi Goregaon / JVLR Kalina Thane / LBS Andheri East (IT) Lower Parel (IT) Malad (IT) Navi Mumbai (IT) Powai (IT) Goregaon / JVLR (IT) Thane / LBS (IT) CONSTRUCTION quarter. Rental values for grade ‘A’ office space remained stable across Mumbai baring RENTAL VALUE Nariman Point, the CBD of Mumbai, as Grade A Grade B occupiers are gradually shifting towards newly developed areas like Lower Parel, Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) and Andheri due to better accessibility and state of an art GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE prime office space rental trend infrastructure. 245 Forecast • Looking ahead demand is likely to be remained 420 210 moderate, however due to limited supply 370 rentals are expected to remain stable. 320 175 270 INR per Sq ft per Month 220 140 • As part of the State Government’s plan to 170 105 120 make Wadala a business hub in lines of the INR per Sq ft per Month 70 70 BKC; MMRDA has invited consultants to 20 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 35 1Q2012 prepare a detailed development plan for approximately 110 hectares of land. 0 CBD Andheri East Malad BKC 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012F 3Q2012F 4Q2012F 1Q2013F Lower Parel Navi Mumbai Powai Worli / Prabhadevi Goregaon Kalina Thane / LBS / JVLR MARKET TRANSaCTIONS CLIENT building name AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION TYPE (Sq. Ft.) Altisource Vishwaroop IT Park 137,000 Vashi Lease ANZ Bank Boomerang 6,000 Andheri Lease Liberty Insurance Peninsula Business Park 30,000 Lower Parel Lease L’Oreal Marathon Futurex 71,000 Lower Parel Lease Naaptol.com Sigma IT Park 32,000 Navi Mumbai Lease Star Union Dai-ichi Life Insurance Vishwaroop IT Park 67,000 Vashi Lease Source: Colliers International India Research Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. THE KNOWLEDGE | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE | delhi DELHI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas • More than 1 million sq ft of grade ‘A’ office space was available for lease in Delhi in Connaught Place 2% 1Q 2012. Most of this available supply was Nehru Place 10% concentrated in Jasola and Saket. • No new supply was added to the city’s grade Saket 29% ‘A’ inventory. Similarly, no new grade ‘A’ office projects was launched during this quarter. Jasola 59% • Absorption remained relatively subdued as only a few small office spaces leases were signed in locations such as Connaught Place, Saket and Nehru Place. This can primarily be attributed to the shift in demand from the CBD delhi and SBD to areas in as Gurgaon and NOIDA 1Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’ on account of better quality office and lower RENTAL VALUES real estate cost. CITY OFFICE BAROMETER 400 • Rental values witnessed marginal pressure 350 300 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 across the micro markets and a decrease in 250 the range of 1 to 4% was observed for grade 200 VACANCY ‘A’ office space. INR per Sq Ft per Month 150 100 ABSORPTION • In mid term rentals are expected to remained 50 CONSTRUCTION under pressure on account of lesser demand. 0 Nehru Place Jasola Saket Netaji Subhash Place Connaught RENTAL VALUE • To encourage development of non polluting small and medium scale industries in the Grade A Grade B city Delhi State Industrial and Infrastructure Development Corporation (DSIIDC) is planning to set up a multi level manufacturing GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE hub in Rani Khera in north west Delhi with an prime office space rental trend estimated cost of INR 3100 crore. The work on another knowledge based industrial park 280 Forecast in Baprola has already started. 450 400 245 350 210 • In an another infrastructure related intiative 300 175 the Delhi Development Authority(DDA) has 250 140 planned to develop three Urban Extension 200 INR per Sq ft per Month 105 Roads (UERs). These link roads will facilitate 150 INR per Sq ft per Month 70 smooth travelling between two States — 100 35 Delhi and Haryana — Dwarka-Palam Vihar, 50 0 Najafgarh-Dhansa and Nelson Mandela Road- 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2008 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2009 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2010 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 0 MG Road. 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012F 3Q2012F 4Q2012F 1Q2013F Nehru Place Jasola Cannaught Saket place Netaji Subhash MARKET TRANSaCTIONS CLIENT building name AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION TYPE (Sq. Ft.) Hitachi Eros Corporate Tower 3,000 Nehru Place Lease Mizuho Bank DLF Capitol Point 16,000 C.P. Lease Pragati Equity Advisors Southern Park 1,500 Saket Lease Snap Deal Southern Park 22,000 Okhla-III Lease Source: Colliers International India Research p. 4 | Colliers International