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20 years 20 important mistakes
I’ve made as an entrepreneur
A presentation to the MIT Media Lab Ventures Class, 2/18/10

                     David Rose
                     drose@media.mit.edu
                     drose@vitality.net
Don’t sell the right bike,
Sell the bikes in the basement
You ≠ your company
Commitment is critical. Obsession may be
regrettable.
Select your customers carefully
Museums, educational publishers, and toy
companies have little spending power.



                         Mindstorms
                            Enchanted Objects
Ignore 90% of potential opportunities
Prioritize low-hanging fruit that ripen quickly
Babson


Don’t confuse a clear view with a short distance
Vision is easy, market timing is the challenge
Starve together. Feast together.
Listen to early customers
Don’t be afraid to throw out the bplan
How can the web help people tell stories with pictures, and co-create photo albums?
– Create Construct Pholios based around a life event,
  wedding, birthday party, trip to Europe or just a collection of
  pictures of old school friends
– Personalize Follow an easy-to-use process to build well-
  designed personal, customized area to share stories
– Communicate Stay in touch with family and friends
– Collaborate Add captions, thought balloons and sound
  effects
– Protect Password-protect or make public
– Organize and Archive Sort, categorize and preserve
Don’t just work on the product
Your job is to make 4 bridges meet
                   Team




 Product                         Customers




                  Investors
Site X-ray: visualizing online traffic patterns on ecommerce sites
What if connectivity and computation could be baked into any object?
We envision that the architectural spaces we inhabit will become an interface
between humans and online digital information. We have been designing ambient
information displays to explore the use of kinetic physical objects to present
information at the periphery of human perception.
Press and sales may be inversely proportional
Novelty generates headlines. Incrementalism
makes an easy buying decision.
Fishing
Fishing
Fishing
Ambient Channel Line-Up Preview - Spring 2004
 Finance         Travel         Outdoors      Sports        Messaging News                Enterprise      Other          Shopping

  DOW             Traffic       Weather       Game            Email         Election       Sales          Web Traffic    eBay
                  Congestion    Forecast      Score           Waiting       Polls          Trends                        Auctions


  FTSE            Commute       Ski           Team            IM Buddy      Opinion        Customer       Online         Wedding
                  Time                        Standings       Status        Polls          satisfaction   Transactions   Registry


  NASDAQ          Frequent      Surf          Game            Mobile plan   NewsFutures    Inventory      Homeland
                  Flyer Miles                 Countdown       minutes                      Levels         Security


  My Portfolio                  Sailing       Betting         Meeting                      Profit
                                              Odds            Countdown                    Margins


  Bank                          Air Quality                   Blogshares                   Employee                      Developer*
  Balance                                                                                  Utilization


  Credit Card                   Pollen                                                     Competition
  Balance                       Forecast

A single pixel browser is only interesting at MIT
  Net Worth                     Golf

You can own one idea in people’s minds                Ambient Devices CONFIDENTIAL
Ambient Umbrella
Compensation isn’t about the money,
Pay your best people more than you
Beware of group-think
If everyone on your team likes it, expand the circle.




  ambient
Ambient Dashboard




ambient
Smart-swappable faces. Insertion instantly reprograms the device.




 ambient
Startups shouldn’t partner with startups




 Weather Wizard
  ambient
Energy Joule




Startups shouldn’t partner with startups
5-Day Forecaster
LG Refrigerator




Exclusivity is a type of currency
It can beget larger orders, marketing support, ...
  ambient
Ambient Bus Pole




Temper your entrepreneurial optimism
articulating risks garners credibility



                                    ambient
Your board is not your strategy team
Exceeding expectations may shorten your lifespan
CEO 1.0 cannot co-exist with CEO 2.0
Persona:     Jill, age 34
VITALITY                                 Lifestyle:   Working mother, travels often for work

Flower Power                             Motivators: Fashion, style, convenience
                                         Condition: Depression
                                         Prescribed: Cymbalta (Lilly)




For Jill the Flower Pillbox lets her
manage her depression with security
and ease. The stylish circular case
holds a week’s worth of pills. She
puts the Flower night-light discretely
in her bathroom. Each filled pedal
represents a compliant day of the
week. It provides Jill and her
husband peace of mind each day
that she is taking important steps to
improve her condition.




Don’t design the right product for the customer
       VITALITY
                                                              VITALITY INC. ©2005 PATENTS PENDING
Persona:      Mel, age 72
VITALITY                                   Lifestyle:    Sedentary, retired Construction Manager,

Match Book                                 Motivators:
                                           Condition:
                                                         Coupons and Rebates
                                                         Hypercholesterolemia, Hypertension
                                           Prescribed:   Lipitor® (Pfizer), Toprol-XL® (AstraZeneca)




Nowadays Mel is managing heart
disease, not ironworkers. At the last
office visit his physician gave him a
handsome new smart pillbox to manage
his once a day Statin and
Antihypertensive pills in a consistent,
convenient way. Each Sunday morning
Mel loads it up…at the end of each
month he receives coupons for being
compliant. He values the coupons
because they offset his out of pocket
cost. He has already saved $15 since


Don’t design the right product for the customer
starting on the program. He knows that
if he keeps his medication compliance
over 75% for 6 months, he will receive a
reward bonus for $20 in the mail.




       VITALITY
                                                          VITALITY INC. ©2005 PATENTS PENDING
instead, design the right product for the channel
6 months of GlowCaps data shows over 95% adherence.




 Now data streams in daily. We know exactly which people are taking their medication when. Here each box is one day.
 Rows are people, columns are days. Shades of green show when medication was taken relative to dose times. Glyphs
 represent reminder calls. Pink indicates a missed dose. These results far exceed our expectation.
Invert the sequence
develop final product > get paid by a customer > promote > launch
Attribution is a currency
Private label deals often reduce risk and accelerate adoption
Simplify until is hurts
Try to fall out of love quickly with your favorite ideas
43
Oscillation between poles is healthy
                                Design

                   Teach                    Mentor




      Fund Raise                                    Fund




             Mentored                       Learn

                           drose@media.mi
                                Critique
Don’t tell your girlfriend, spouse, family,
friends that you’re on the verge of a deal.
...until the funds are wired into your account
Connected Syringes




Don’t stop sketching         •   Looks like a high-tech sunglasses case

Sketching doesn’t defocus your engineering team
                             •   Insulated case slides open to expose syringes
                             •   Glows, vibrates, and plays ring tones to subtly
                                 get your attention
                             •   Wireless connection to pharmacy and caregivers
                             •   Distributed by specialty pharmacy as part of
                                 adherence programs
Salt Sentinel




•   Dispenses salt and grinds pepper
•   360 degree camera uploads images
    to offshore nutritionist for realtime
    analysis
•   Mini-projector displays information
    adjacent to each item: calories
    against a budget, ecological footprint,
    transportation modality.
•   Press the “i” for more information.
Spirometer Kazoo
                   •   Makes spirometry fun using sound and
                       projection
                   •   Spirograph projection shows visual
                       feedback to anticipate an asthma attack
                   •   Wireless connection to the web permits
                       realtime data analysis and graphing on
                       smart phone.
20 years 20 important mistakes


          David Rose
          drose@media.mit.edu
          drose@vitality.net

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20 years 20 mistakes I've made as an entrepreneur

  • 1. 20 years 20 important mistakes I’ve made as an entrepreneur A presentation to the MIT Media Lab Ventures Class, 2/18/10 David Rose drose@media.mit.edu drose@vitality.net
  • 2. Don’t sell the right bike, Sell the bikes in the basement
  • 3. You ≠ your company Commitment is critical. Obsession may be regrettable.
  • 4. Select your customers carefully Museums, educational publishers, and toy companies have little spending power. Mindstorms Enchanted Objects
  • 5. Ignore 90% of potential opportunities Prioritize low-hanging fruit that ripen quickly
  • 6. Babson Don’t confuse a clear view with a short distance Vision is easy, market timing is the challenge
  • 8. Listen to early customers Don’t be afraid to throw out the bplan
  • 9.
  • 10. How can the web help people tell stories with pictures, and co-create photo albums?
  • 11. – Create Construct Pholios based around a life event, wedding, birthday party, trip to Europe or just a collection of pictures of old school friends – Personalize Follow an easy-to-use process to build well- designed personal, customized area to share stories – Communicate Stay in touch with family and friends – Collaborate Add captions, thought balloons and sound effects – Protect Password-protect or make public – Organize and Archive Sort, categorize and preserve
  • 12.
  • 13. Don’t just work on the product Your job is to make 4 bridges meet Team Product Customers Investors
  • 14. Site X-ray: visualizing online traffic patterns on ecommerce sites
  • 15. What if connectivity and computation could be baked into any object?
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. We envision that the architectural spaces we inhabit will become an interface between humans and online digital information. We have been designing ambient information displays to explore the use of kinetic physical objects to present information at the periphery of human perception.
  • 19. Press and sales may be inversely proportional Novelty generates headlines. Incrementalism makes an easy buying decision.
  • 23. Ambient Channel Line-Up Preview - Spring 2004 Finance Travel Outdoors Sports Messaging News Enterprise Other Shopping DOW Traffic Weather Game Email Election Sales Web Traffic eBay Congestion Forecast Score Waiting Polls Trends Auctions FTSE Commute Ski Team IM Buddy Opinion Customer Online Wedding Time Standings Status Polls satisfaction Transactions Registry NASDAQ Frequent Surf Game Mobile plan NewsFutures Inventory Homeland Flyer Miles Countdown minutes Levels Security My Portfolio Sailing Betting Meeting Profit Odds Countdown Margins Bank Air Quality Blogshares Employee Developer* Balance Utilization Credit Card Pollen Competition Balance Forecast A single pixel browser is only interesting at MIT Net Worth Golf You can own one idea in people’s minds Ambient Devices CONFIDENTIAL
  • 25. Compensation isn’t about the money, Pay your best people more than you
  • 26. Beware of group-think If everyone on your team likes it, expand the circle. ambient
  • 28. Smart-swappable faces. Insertion instantly reprograms the device. ambient
  • 29. Startups shouldn’t partner with startups Weather Wizard ambient
  • 30. Energy Joule Startups shouldn’t partner with startups
  • 32. LG Refrigerator Exclusivity is a type of currency It can beget larger orders, marketing support, ... ambient
  • 33. Ambient Bus Pole Temper your entrepreneurial optimism articulating risks garners credibility ambient
  • 34. Your board is not your strategy team Exceeding expectations may shorten your lifespan
  • 35. CEO 1.0 cannot co-exist with CEO 2.0
  • 36. Persona: Jill, age 34 VITALITY Lifestyle: Working mother, travels often for work Flower Power Motivators: Fashion, style, convenience Condition: Depression Prescribed: Cymbalta (Lilly) For Jill the Flower Pillbox lets her manage her depression with security and ease. The stylish circular case holds a week’s worth of pills. She puts the Flower night-light discretely in her bathroom. Each filled pedal represents a compliant day of the week. It provides Jill and her husband peace of mind each day that she is taking important steps to improve her condition. Don’t design the right product for the customer VITALITY VITALITY INC. ©2005 PATENTS PENDING
  • 37. Persona: Mel, age 72 VITALITY Lifestyle: Sedentary, retired Construction Manager, Match Book Motivators: Condition: Coupons and Rebates Hypercholesterolemia, Hypertension Prescribed: Lipitor® (Pfizer), Toprol-XL® (AstraZeneca) Nowadays Mel is managing heart disease, not ironworkers. At the last office visit his physician gave him a handsome new smart pillbox to manage his once a day Statin and Antihypertensive pills in a consistent, convenient way. Each Sunday morning Mel loads it up…at the end of each month he receives coupons for being compliant. He values the coupons because they offset his out of pocket cost. He has already saved $15 since Don’t design the right product for the customer starting on the program. He knows that if he keeps his medication compliance over 75% for 6 months, he will receive a reward bonus for $20 in the mail. VITALITY VITALITY INC. ©2005 PATENTS PENDING
  • 38. instead, design the right product for the channel
  • 39. 6 months of GlowCaps data shows over 95% adherence. Now data streams in daily. We know exactly which people are taking their medication when. Here each box is one day. Rows are people, columns are days. Shades of green show when medication was taken relative to dose times. Glyphs represent reminder calls. Pink indicates a missed dose. These results far exceed our expectation.
  • 40. Invert the sequence develop final product > get paid by a customer > promote > launch
  • 41. Attribution is a currency Private label deals often reduce risk and accelerate adoption
  • 42. Simplify until is hurts Try to fall out of love quickly with your favorite ideas
  • 43. 43
  • 44. Oscillation between poles is healthy Design Teach Mentor Fund Raise Fund Mentored Learn drose@media.mi Critique
  • 45. Don’t tell your girlfriend, spouse, family, friends that you’re on the verge of a deal. ...until the funds are wired into your account
  • 46. Connected Syringes Don’t stop sketching • Looks like a high-tech sunglasses case Sketching doesn’t defocus your engineering team • Insulated case slides open to expose syringes • Glows, vibrates, and plays ring tones to subtly get your attention • Wireless connection to pharmacy and caregivers • Distributed by specialty pharmacy as part of adherence programs
  • 47. Salt Sentinel • Dispenses salt and grinds pepper • 360 degree camera uploads images to offshore nutritionist for realtime analysis • Mini-projector displays information adjacent to each item: calories against a budget, ecological footprint, transportation modality. • Press the “i” for more information.
  • 48. Spirometer Kazoo • Makes spirometry fun using sound and projection • Spirograph projection shows visual feedback to anticipate an asthma attack • Wireless connection to the web permits realtime data analysis and graphing on smart phone.
  • 49. 20 years 20 important mistakes David Rose drose@media.mit.edu drose@vitality.net