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Snow Emergencies




   David Alexander
   University College London
Blizzard:
• temperatures usually -10oC or lower
• snow drifts caused by strong winds
• winds of at least 30 knots (55 km/hr)



Severe blizzard:
• temperatures of -12oC or lower
• winds of at least 40 knots (75 km/hr)
• visibility effectively zero.
Snowfalls in urban and metropolitan areas




Classification of the level of interruption
of normal socio-economic activities
(Rooney 1967):
• internal: restricted to the city
• external: between city and its region.
Classification of the level of interruption
         of normal socio-economic activities
Level    Interruption   Description
                        Insignificant effects, no attention
 V         Minimal
                        from the mass media
                        Speed of traffic reduced,
 IV       Nuisance
                        some absences from school
                      Road accidents increase, risks for
III     Inconvenience motorists, rural residents do not
                      come to town, etc.
                        Absenteeism, delays, road traffic
 II       Paralysis
                        accidents, abandoned vehicles
                        Emergency services at full alert,
            Total
 I                      closure of roads, schools,
          paralysis
                        airports, etc.
The level of disruption of normal activities
   caused by snowfall is related to...

...annual accumulations of snow:
• depth of accumulation
• the more snow falls in a year, the more
  incidences of disrution at levels III-V
• level I disruption (total paralysis) is
  not correlated with annual accumulation
• the more snowfalls occur, the greater
  the level of municipal preparedness.
The level of disruption caused by snowfall




     The impact of individual
     snowstorms depends on:
     • when they happen (day, hour)
     • intensity of precipitation
     • depth of snow accumulation
     • wind speed.
The level of disruption caused by snowfall




  • at higher temperatures snow
    becomes denser and stickier


  • if wind speeds exceed 25km/hr
    the snow forms drifts.
Problem: a possible budget shortfall


• a year with more frequent snowfalls

• a year with heavy and prolonged storms

• big snowfalls at the end of
  the season when the snow
  clearance budget is used up.
Planning and funding the operations


• road salt and grit

• overtime payments to workers

• maintenance and repair of vehicles

• improvement and replacement of fleet

• costs of interruption of activities.
Snow emergency planning
Snow emergency monitoring systems


  • meteorological services

  • road surveillance cameras

  • field reports from operatives

  • overflights (helicopter recce).
The planning process:-



• snowfall in relation to
  transportation networks

• extent of snow disruption at
  different altitudes above sea level.
"What if?" scenarios


...the snowfall occurs suddenly,
   rapidly and with little or no warning?


...the snowfall occurs at the worst
   possible time regarding socio-
   economic activities (rush hour on
   Friday just before Christmas)?.
"What if?" scenarios


...electricity supplies are
   interrupted or hours or days?


...strong winds cause massive drifting?


...many people (or animals) are isolated?.
Who decides?
• e.g. on closures
Who monitors?
• e.g. meteorological and
       road conditions
Who commands (whom)?
• e.g. on rescue,
       on snow clearance
Who communicates?
• e.g. to mass media.
Co-ordination and diffusion
of information on closures




• transportation: roads,
      railways, airports
• schools and colleges
• shops, offices, factories.
Role of the civil protection service
 as a collector and disseminator of
information on the evolving situation




    •   risks
    •   closures
    •   advice on what to do
    •   radio and television links.
Some specific problems


• how to rescue stranded livestock

• delivery of urgent life-saving supplies

• urgent movement of sick & injured people

• where to hold heavy goods vehicles.
A question to answer:-




At what point does a snow emergency
 cease to be a transient interruption
  and become a serious problem of
  business continuity management?.
Ice storms

• an accumulation of at least 0.64 cm
  of ice on exposed surfaces

• precipitation at temperatures
  that oscillate around 0oC

• roads and pavements very dangerous

• fall of branches from trees

• fall of pylons and utility poles.
Formation of precipitation at different altitudes a.s.l.

                      Altitude
                                           3 km
             Snow

                                           2 km
                                 Freezing rain

         Sleet                             1 km

                                      Rain

              -4 -2    0     2   4
             Temperature (degrees C)
Ice storm in SE Canada/NE USA
            January 1998


• 80 hours of continuous freezing rain

• 1,000 pylons and 35,000 poles collapse

• millions of trees killed

• 150,000 people without electricity
  for more than three weeks in Québec.
Ice storm in SE Canada/NE USA
         January 1998
My house in
Amherst, Mass.
Further reading:-
http://www.ukroadsliaisongroup.org/
en/utilities/document-summary.cfm?
docid=7E330478-F948-42
A3-93F8B3A4862AA655
Thank you
                       for listening!




david.alexander@ucl.ac.uk
emergency-planning.blogspot.com
www.slideshare.net/dealexander

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Snow Emergencies

  • 1. Snow Emergencies David Alexander University College London
  • 2. Blizzard: • temperatures usually -10oC or lower • snow drifts caused by strong winds • winds of at least 30 knots (55 km/hr) Severe blizzard: • temperatures of -12oC or lower • winds of at least 40 knots (75 km/hr) • visibility effectively zero.
  • 3. Snowfalls in urban and metropolitan areas Classification of the level of interruption of normal socio-economic activities (Rooney 1967): • internal: restricted to the city • external: between city and its region.
  • 4. Classification of the level of interruption of normal socio-economic activities Level Interruption Description Insignificant effects, no attention V Minimal from the mass media Speed of traffic reduced, IV Nuisance some absences from school Road accidents increase, risks for III Inconvenience motorists, rural residents do not come to town, etc. Absenteeism, delays, road traffic II Paralysis accidents, abandoned vehicles Emergency services at full alert, Total I closure of roads, schools, paralysis airports, etc.
  • 5. The level of disruption of normal activities caused by snowfall is related to... ...annual accumulations of snow: • depth of accumulation • the more snow falls in a year, the more incidences of disrution at levels III-V • level I disruption (total paralysis) is not correlated with annual accumulation • the more snowfalls occur, the greater the level of municipal preparedness.
  • 6. The level of disruption caused by snowfall The impact of individual snowstorms depends on: • when they happen (day, hour) • intensity of precipitation • depth of snow accumulation • wind speed.
  • 7. The level of disruption caused by snowfall • at higher temperatures snow becomes denser and stickier • if wind speeds exceed 25km/hr the snow forms drifts.
  • 8. Problem: a possible budget shortfall • a year with more frequent snowfalls • a year with heavy and prolonged storms • big snowfalls at the end of the season when the snow clearance budget is used up.
  • 9. Planning and funding the operations • road salt and grit • overtime payments to workers • maintenance and repair of vehicles • improvement and replacement of fleet • costs of interruption of activities.
  • 11. Snow emergency monitoring systems • meteorological services • road surveillance cameras • field reports from operatives • overflights (helicopter recce).
  • 12. The planning process:- • snowfall in relation to transportation networks • extent of snow disruption at different altitudes above sea level.
  • 13. "What if?" scenarios ...the snowfall occurs suddenly, rapidly and with little or no warning? ...the snowfall occurs at the worst possible time regarding socio- economic activities (rush hour on Friday just before Christmas)?.
  • 14. "What if?" scenarios ...electricity supplies are interrupted or hours or days? ...strong winds cause massive drifting? ...many people (or animals) are isolated?.
  • 15. Who decides? • e.g. on closures Who monitors? • e.g. meteorological and road conditions Who commands (whom)? • e.g. on rescue, on snow clearance Who communicates? • e.g. to mass media.
  • 16. Co-ordination and diffusion of information on closures • transportation: roads, railways, airports • schools and colleges • shops, offices, factories.
  • 17. Role of the civil protection service as a collector and disseminator of information on the evolving situation • risks • closures • advice on what to do • radio and television links.
  • 18. Some specific problems • how to rescue stranded livestock • delivery of urgent life-saving supplies • urgent movement of sick & injured people • where to hold heavy goods vehicles.
  • 19. A question to answer:- At what point does a snow emergency cease to be a transient interruption and become a serious problem of business continuity management?.
  • 20. Ice storms • an accumulation of at least 0.64 cm of ice on exposed surfaces • precipitation at temperatures that oscillate around 0oC • roads and pavements very dangerous • fall of branches from trees • fall of pylons and utility poles.
  • 21. Formation of precipitation at different altitudes a.s.l. Altitude 3 km Snow 2 km Freezing rain Sleet 1 km Rain -4 -2 0 2 4 Temperature (degrees C)
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Ice storm in SE Canada/NE USA January 1998 • 80 hours of continuous freezing rain • 1,000 pylons and 35,000 poles collapse • millions of trees killed • 150,000 people without electricity for more than three weeks in Québec.
  • 26. Ice storm in SE Canada/NE USA January 1998
  • 29. Thank you for listening! david.alexander@ucl.ac.uk emergency-planning.blogspot.com www.slideshare.net/dealexander