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U.S. Department of Commerce
Economics and Statistics Administration
What is Made in America?
Executive Summary
ccurately determining how much of our economy’s total production is
American-made can be a daunting task. However, data from the
Commerce Department’s U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic
Analysis (BEA) can help shed light on the dollar value of what America produces,
and what percentage of the dollar value of an industry’s output that is
considered domestic. Gross output, value added, domestically-sourced inputs,
and domestic content are all concepts that can be used to measure U.S.
production and to estimate how much of that production is made in the United
States. This report starts with the concept of gross output and then looks
further, seeking to answer the question: “What is Made in America?”
Our analysis reveals that in 2012:
 U.S. manufacturers sold $5.6 trillion of goods, $4.4 trillion (79 percent)
of which was “Made in the U.S.A.” Value added directly by the
manufacturing sector accounted for $1.9 trillion, while value added
indirectly from all industries (including manufacturing) accounted for
the remaining $2.5 trillion.
 In many cases, the portion of domestic content in U.S. production
differs markedly from the domestic content on store shelves. For
example, although the United States imported most of the apparel that
consumers purchased, the apparel that was made in the United States
contained 87 percent domestic content.
 Domestic content accounted for 51 cents of every dollar that U.S.
consumers and businesses spent on manufactured goods. By industry, it
ranged from a high of 79 cents per dollar of food, beverages, and
tobacco products to a low of 7 cents per dollar of apparel.
 The four industries with the largest dollar values of American content
were food, beverage, and tobacco products; chemicals; petroleum and
coal products; and motor vehicles and parts.
By
Jessica R. Nicholson
and
Ryan Noonan
ESA Issue Brief
# 04-14
October 3, 2014
A
Page 2 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
 The petroleum and coal products industry, which is predominantly petroleum refining, was the only
manufacturing industry whose gross output was less than 70 percent domestic content.
Although manufacturing employment has been growing, jobs in manufacturing are affected by, among
other things, increased automation, productivity gains, exchange rate fluctuations, trade agreements,
and import prices that affect how manufacturers build their supply chains. For more information on
employment in the manufacturing sector, see our June 2014 report, “Manufacturing Since the Great
Recession”.1
1
Jessica R. Nicholson and Ryan Noonan. “Manufacturing Since the Great Recession.” Economics and Statistics Administration.
Available at: http://esa.doc.gov/sites/default/files/reports/documents/manufacturingsincethegreatrecession2014-06-
10final.pdf.
U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 3
Introduction
“Made in the U.S.A.” is a badge of honor, often
indicating good craftsmanship and evoking a
sense of patriotism. America’s health and labor
standards, innovation, and consumer
protections ensure that U.S. manufacturers
adhere to proper working conditions and use
safe, high-quality materials.2
Increased demand
for American-made goods also means more—
and better—jobs.
In 2010, China overtook the United States as
the world’s largest manufacturer.3
But the
United States remains a major manufacturing
power—home to less than five percent of the
world’s population but generating more than
one-sixth of global manufacturing activity.4
It
can be hard to believe because it seems like
most of the products sold in this country were
made somewhere else. So, what does it mean
to be made in America?
2
For more information on the benefits of manufacturing in
the United States, see the Department of Commerce’s
National Institute of Standards and Technology Make it in
America campaign website at:
http://www.nist.gov/mep/america.cfm and the SelectUSA
website at: http://selectusa.commerce.gov/.
3
See, for instance, Mecksroth, Daniel J. “China Has a
Dominant Share of World Manufacturing”. Available at:
https://www.mapi.net/china-has-dominant-share-world-
manufacturing.
4
For more information on manufacturing in America, see
the National Institute of Standards and Technology’s
Hollings Manufacturing Extension Partnership infographic
“What Manufacturing Really Looks Like: Celebrating
Manufacturing Day” available at:
http://nist.gov/mep/mfgday-infographic.cfm.
The “Made in the U.S.A. Label
The “Made in the U.S.A.” label is what most
people think of when considering what is
manufactured in the United States. The Federal
Trade Commission (FTC) has oversight
responsibilities for the label and requires that
“all or virtually all” of a product, including all
significant parts and processing that go into the
product, must be of U.S. origin.5
Complying with
this standard can be more difficult than it would
seem because of the global economy and the
ever-growing web of international supply
chains. It can also be difficult because the
definition is vague and there is no quantitative
procedure that allows manufacturers to
determine whether “virtually all” of a product’s
content is domestic.
For example, a car manufacturer located in the
U.S. might not make all the parts of a car;
rather, they may purchase parts (engines, seats,
tires) that are finished goods made by other
manufacturers and then use them as
intermediate inputs to assemble automobiles.
These intermediate inputs can be either
imported from abroad or purchased
domestically. However, even when a
manufacturer buys inputs from a domestic
producer, they cannot assume that the input
was made entirely in America just because it
was purchased here.
Quantitative Measures of
Made in America
Given the difficulty of determining whether a
single product is made in America, it is easy to
see the challenge in accurately describing how
much of our economy’s total production is
American-made. However, data from the
5
See Federal Trade Commission, Made in the USA.
Available at: http://www.business.ftc.gov/advertising-and-
marketing/made-usa.
Page 4 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
Census Bureau and BEA can help shed light on
the dollar value of what America produces, as
well as the percentage of an industry’s output
that is considered domestic. Gross output, value
added, domestically-sourced inputs, and
domestic content are all concepts that can be
used to measure U.S. production and to
estimate how much of that production is made
in the United States.
There are several caveats to keep in mind.
1. All of these measures exclude final goods
that are imported for domestic
consumption, such as a T-shirt fully made in
Vietnam.6
The primary goal of this report is
to estimate what share of U.S.
manufacturing output was actually created
in the United States.
2. Although manufacturing employment has
been growing for the past four years, U.S.
manufacturers’ high levels of gross output
and domestic content do not support as
many U.S. jobs as in decades past. Through
much of the past decade, in fact, U.S.
manufacturing employment decreased even
while gross output increased. Jobs in
manufacturing are affected by, among
other things, increased automation,
productivity gains, exchange rate
fluctuations, trade agreements and import
prices that affect how manufacturers build
their supply chains.
3. Measured domestic content will be
sensitive to exchange rate fluctuations. To
the extent that a nation’s currency is over-
6
Value added and the domestic content measures account
for imports of goods used as inputs by domestic firms in
the production of final goods. The domestic sourcing
measure accounts for inputs that are directly imported,
but does not account for the value of imports embedded
in intermediate inputs purchased in the United States.
Gross output does not subtract out imports.
valued, this will inflate the measured
content of that nation.
For more information on employment in the
manufacturing sector, see our June 2014 report,
“Manufacturing Since the Great Recession”.7
Gross Output
We start by looking at the gross output of U.S.
manufacturers.8
Gross output is a measure of
the total value of output of all firms. It is equal
to the revenue producers receive when they sell
their products. Some of those goods may be
sold directly to consumers and others are used
by firms in the production of other goods or
exported for purchase abroad.9
In 2012, gross
output of the U.S. manufacturing sector was
$5.6 trillion; food, beverages, and tobacco
products accounted for 16 percent of total
gross output in the sector, followed by
petroleum and coal products (14 percent), and
chemicals (13 percent) (See Figure 1).10
7
Jessica R. Nicholson and Ryan Noonan. “Manufacturing
Since the Great Recession.” Economics and Statistics
Administration. Available at:
http://esa.doc.gov/sites/default/files/reports/documents/
manufacturingsincethegreatrecession2014-06-10final.pdf.
8
BEA publishes data on gross output (used in this report),
while the Census Bureau publishes data on the total value
of shipments in the Annual Survey of Manufactures (ASM)
and the Economic Census. Gross output is principally a
measure of an industry’s sales or receipts. For
manufacturing it is measured as the value of shipments
plus the change in finished goods and works-in-process
inventory. It is a broader measure of output than
shipments. In 2012, gross output (after redefinitions) in
the manufacturing sector was $5.6 trillion, while the total
value of shipments (both primary and secondary) was $5.7
trillion. Estimates for industries within the sector vary
between these two series as well.
9
Gross output includes the value of imported inputs.
10
Gross output is measured in dollar value, not units
produced. High-priced goods, like airplanes or cars,
contribute a high value to gross output for each unit
produced. On the other hand, relatively lower-priced
items, like a box of cereal or a T-shirt, contribute much less
value per unit produced.
U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 5
Value Added
While data on gross output reveals U.S.
manufacturers’ revenues, it might be a
misleading indicator of what is actually made in
America. As noted, gross output includes
imported inputs, which should be excluded
when trying to measure the value of what was
made in America. More importantly, because
gross output measures the sales price of all
goods shipped by manufacturers, both as final
goods and intermediate inputs, there is a good
deal of double- or even triple-counting.
To return to a previous example, a car parts
manufacturer may sell some of its finished
product (windshield wipers, for example)
directly to consumers, but the manufacturer
also sells windshield wipers to other
manufacturers that in turn install the wipers on
automobiles for sale to consumers. The value of
this second category of wipers would be
counted once when the car parts manufacturer
sold them to the auto manufacturer and again
as part of the value of the total automobile. We
can even take it a step further if we think about
the inputs used to make the wipers—like
rubber—which were purchased by the parts
manufacturer. At the end of the chain, when
gross output is calculated, the value of the
rubber has now been counted three (or more)
times.
By contrast, data on value added considers only
the new production completed at each stage of
the manufacturing process—i.e., the labor and
capital applied by each firm to the purchased
Page 6 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
inputs produced elsewhere (see Figure 2).11
Measuring value added thus eliminates double-
counting.12
The sum of value added across
manufacturing is equal to the sector’s
contribution to overall U.S. gross domestic
product. On average, for the manufacturing
sector as a whole, value added is equal to about
34 percent of gross output, as shown in Figure
2.
Continuing with the automobile example, car
parts are a finished good and their value is
included in the value added calculation for the
transportation equipment industry. However, if
some of those car parts are used in the
11
BEA defines value added as a measure of output after
accounting for the intermediate inputs used in production.
The main components of value added include the returns
to labor (compensation of employees), returns to capital
(as measured by gross operating surplus), and returns to
government (as measured by taxes on production and
imports less subsidies).
12
As with output, both BEA and the Census Bureau
(through ASM and the Economic Census) provide
estimates of value added. Due to different source data as
well as methodologies, the two estimates differ
considerably. For the sake of consistency across
measurements, this report uses BEA data to estimate
value added. However, because Census data provides a
more detailed look at sub-industries within the
manufacturing sector, it may be more useful in other
cases.
production of automobiles, they are considered
an intermediate input, and their value will not
be part of the value added to the economy by
automobile assembly plants. When an
automobile is sold, only new inputs used to
make the car, such as the labor and capital
required to assemble the car parts into an
automobile, will be considered as value added
by auto manufacturers.
Figure 3 below displays U.S. manufacturing
industries ranked from largest to smallest based
on the dollar amount of their value added in
2012. Because of differing contributions of
labor and capital, as well as variation in the
amount of intermediate inputs used by
different industries, the order of industries
shown in Figure 3 is somewhat different from
the order shown in Figure 1. In particular,
industries that produce finished goods that are
built up from many inputs (such as
transportation equipment)—or from very high-
value inputs (such as petroleum and coal
products)—rank lower in value added than they
do in gross output.
As shown, only 22 percent of the gross output
in the motor vehicles and parts industry comes
from value added, while the rest comes from
domestic and imported intermediate inputs.
U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 7
Near the other end of the spectrum is the
apparel, leather, and allied products industry,
where 51 percent of gross output is value
added. While the dollar value of goods
produced by the U.S. apparel industry is
relatively low, much of the industry’s output
consists of final goods (clothes) ready for
purchase by consumers.
Domestic Sourcing
Value added provides useful information about
the contribution of U.S. manufacturing to our
economy and, by definition, all of value added is
“made in America.” It does not provide any
information on the origin of the intermediate
inputs that went into making a finished good.
For example, to say that the value added in the
auto manufacturing industry is $115 billion does
not tell us how “American” a car is. To what
extent can cars or any products “assembled in
America” using imported parts be differentiated
from products with deeper American origins?
To answer that question, one must look at the
overall supply chain and specifically the source
of intermediate inputs. The inputs that were
purchased in the United States (not imported)
can be called “domestically-sourced
intermediate inputs.” Because value added is
always domestic, adding together value added
and domestically-sourced intermediate inputs
gives us an estimate of the total amount of
output that is domestically-sourced. Figure 4
illustrates this concept by showing the
calculation for the overall manufacturing sector.
In 2012, 86 percent of gross output in U.S.
manufacturing was domestically-sourced, of
which 52 percent was domestically-sourced
intermediate inputs and 34 percent was value
added.
Page 8 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 9
While this calculation is relatively
straightforward, it is not an ideal measure of
domestic content. As with gross output, the
value of a good used as an input in the
production of other goods may be counted
multiple times (e.g., rubber used to produce
windshield wipers that are then installed on an
automobile). It also relies on the assumption
that inputs purchased from domestic suppliers
have no foreign content, which is likely untrue.
However, as an estimate of the overall value of
what is made in America, the domestic sourcing
estimate is preferred over gross output, which
includes imported inputs, and value added,
which doesn’t account at all for intermediate
inputs.
As shown in Figure 5, goods sold by U.S.
manufacturers are made up primarily of
materials purchased and labor and capital
applied here in the United States. In each
manufacturing industry, excluding petroleum
and coal products, more than 80 percent of
total output is comprised of domestically-
sourced inputs (including value added and
intermediate inputs). Because most industries
have high shares of domestically-sourced inputs
relative to gross output, the ranking of
industries is highly consistent with the ranking
of industries by gross output. The one exception
is the petroleum and coal products industry:
many petroleum refineries import their
intermediate input—crude oil—which leads to a
relatively lower share of domestically-sourced
inputs (60 percent).
Domestic Content
As noted above, the domestic sourcing
estimates rely on the assumption that
intermediate inputs purchased in the United
States do not contain any foreign material.
While this simplifies the calculation of domestic
content, it is possible—and even likely—that
domestically-sourced intermediate inputs have
at least some foreign content that entered
earlier in the supply chain. A more precise
measure of what is made in America would not
include the portion of domestically-sourced
intermediate inputs that originated overseas.
To return to the auto parts example, consider
an automobile manufacturer who purchases
engines from a domestic car parts supplier.
While the auto manufacturer purchases
finished engines from a domestic supplier, the
pistons used in these engines may have come
from a foreign source.
To go from domestic sourcing to true domestic
content, one must remove the value of foreign
inputs from intermediate inputs that were
purchased domestically (see Figure 6).13
This
complicated calculation removes imports at
each stage of production sequentially and
determines the value added by each industry to
produce final output.14
In 2012, the share of
domestic content of total output in the
manufacturing sector was 79 percent, 7 percent
lower than the share of domestically-sourced
manufacturing output. The share of domestic
content includes both the value added directly
by the manufacturing sector and the value
added indirectly through intermediate inputs by
all domestic sectors, including manufacturing.
13
These estimates use data from BEA’s input-output
tables, including the use table, make table, and the import
matrix. The import matrix assigns values of imported
commodities by industry. To create this table, BEA makes a
proportionality assumption and proportionally distributes
the total value of imports for a commodity across all
industries that use that commodity because of the limited
data available to otherwise distribute imports. This
distribution is done at a very detailed level where many
commodities are uniquely used by individual industries.
Additionally, a second assumption in the domestic content
calculation is that all imported intermediate inputs are
entirely foreign-made; in other words, these calculations
do not try to determine the domestic content of imported
intermediate inputs. Because some imported inputs may
contain content that was originally created in the United
States, the share of domestic content presented here
should be considered a lower bound of the actual share of
domestic content.
14
The calculation uses a series of matrix algebra
calculations with the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ input-
output tables and import matrix.
Page 10 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
For example, for domestically-produced motor
vehicles and parts, the average domestic
content of a good is 71 percent (see Figure 7).
The share of output comprised of value added
directly by auto manufacturers is 22 percent
(the domestic content if all inputs were
imported), while the average share of
domestically sourced inputs is 82 percent (the
domestic content if all intermediate inputs
purchased in the United States had 100 percent
U.S. content).
Once again, the estimates show that U.S.
manufacturing output has a high share of
domestic content—80 percent or more for most
industries. Using this approach, the share of
domestic content for all industries is lower than
the share of domestically-sourced inputs,
suggesting that all industries at this level of
detail have at least some foreign content in the
intermediate inputs they purchase here in the
United States. To see how the estimates of
domestic content differ from the estimates of
domestic sourcing, consider the motor vehicle
and parts industry. While 82 percent of the
output of the industry comes from labor,
capital, and inputs sourced in the United States,
a relatively large portion of the inputs contain
content that was imported from abroad. As a
result, the domestic content of this industry is
71 percent, significantly lower than the simpler
estimate of sourcing implied above.
While the domestic content of goods that are
“Made in the U.S.A.” is high, the domestic
content of the goods on our store shelves does
not necessarily appear high. One final way to
look at the subject is to examine how much of
U.S. final demand for goods is met by American
products. Using the same methodology we
employed to
U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 11
calculate the domestic content of each industry,
we can find the portion of final demand that
originated in the United States.15
Looking at it through this lens leads to a
somewhat different answer. For example, the
domestic content of computer and electronic
products manufactured in the U.S. has risen, in
part because the computers produced in the
U.S. are highly specialized and in part because
of a changing product mix. This industry is
largely dominated by semiconductors and
navigational equipment. In addition, computers
and electronics used in national defense
activities may require domestic content for
security reasons. Very few mass market
computers are manufactured in the United
15
For the purposes of this calculation, “final demand” is
defined as the sum of personal consumption expenditures
and private fixed investment.
States, so the U.S. value-added share of world
demand for these more generalized products
has fallen.
Figure 8 shows the results of this calculation
and may line up well with our general
impressions. The contrast between the
domestic content of American-made goods and
what we see in stores is especially clear in the
apparel industry. American-made apparel is, on
average, 87 percent American; however, only 7
percent of the apparel that is sold in the U.S. is
American in origin. Overall, 51 percent of the
value of goods bought by consumers and
businesses is “Made in the U.S.A.,” ranging from
a high of 79 percent for food products to the
low of 7 percent for apparel. Industries like
apparel and computers easily feed the
misperception that “we don’t make anything,”
while industries like machinery sell most of
Page 12 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
their products directly to businesses instead of
consumers. With U.S. factories churning out
nearly $6 trillion in goods per year, that
perception is simply not true.
In addition, many of the goods made in America
end up overseas for purchase by foreign
consumers, businesses, and governments.
Overall, 18 percent of the output of U.S.
manufacturing firms was exported in 2012. As
we have seen throughout this report, there is a
great deal of variation across industries. In the
other transportation equipment industry
(mainly airplanes and parts), 39 percent of gross
output went abroad. Another example is the
computer and electronic products industry,
where the United States imports most of what
we consume and also exports a great deal of
output (36 percent in 2012), reflecting the
strength of our semiconductor and navigational
instrument manufacturers. At the other end of
the spectrum were the printing (3 percent),
furniture (6 percent), and wood product (6
percent) industries where only a small share of
output went abroad in 2012.
Conclusion
As we have seen, there are a number of ways to
measure what is “Made in the U.S.A.,” all of
which have some benefits and drawbacks.
Gross output gives us an idea of what the
American manufacturing sector produces, but it
forces us to double-count, or even triple-count,
any goods that are used multiple times
throughout the supply chain. Value added
solves the problem of double-counting, but it
does not consider intermediate domestic and
foreign inputs used in the production process.
U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 13
This report introduces and measures three
concepts that avoid the problems above:
domestic sourcing, domestic content, and
meeting domestic demand for manufactured
goods. Although none of these measures is
perfect (see the caveats at the beginning of the
report), our methods allow us to simulate the
movement of American-made goods through
the supply chain to provide a better estimate of
the portion of U.S. manufacturing output that
originated in the U.S.A. The domestic sourcing
calculation is relatively simple and gets us close
to the actual value of domestic content for
most industries, but it simply assumes that all
inputs purchased from American suppliers were
made in the U.S.A. The second measure
introduced here (domestic content)—although
complex to calculate—provides the best picture
of what it really means to say “Made in the
U.S.A.” for a particular industry. Finally, the
measure of what percent of domestic demand
is met by US production provides a look from
the consumer perspective.
Although much of the U.S. demand for
manufactured goods is met by foreign products,
it is evident that the U.S. manufacturing sector
is producing a lot. Furthermore, these goods
contain a high share of domestic content. For
more information on “What is Made in
America?” see the Economics and Statistics
Administration manufacturing industry profiles
available at:
http://www.esa.doc.gov/Reports/what-made-
america.
Page 14 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank our colleagues from the Economics and Statistics Administration for
their contributions to this report, especially:
Sue Helper, Chief Economist
Rob Rubinovitz, Deputy Chief Economist
David Langdon, Senior Economist and Policy Advisor
Jane Callen, Editor
Regina Powers, Economist
William Hawk, Economist
Bonnie E. Thibodeau, Apprentice Economist
We would also like to thank our colleagues at the Bureau of Economic Analysis for developing the
methodology for estimating domestic content and providing clarification on concepts, as needed. We’d
especially like to thank:
Thomas Howells, Chief, Input-Output Statistics Branch
Gabriel Medeiros, Economist, Input-Output Statistics Branch
We also appreciate helpful comments we have received from the following people, agencies, and
groups:
Susan Houseman, Upjohn Institute
Michael Mandel, Progressive Policy Institute
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
NIST Manufacturing Extension Partnership
White House, Council of Economic Advisers
The authors are economists in the Office of the Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Commerce’s
Economics and Statistics Administration.
Technical inquiries:
Office of the Chief Economist
(202) 482-3523
Media inquiries:
Office of Communications
(202) 482-3331
U.S. Department of Commerce
Economics and Statistics Administration
1401 Constitution Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20230
www.esa.doc.gov

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Dr Dev Kambhampati | What is "Made in America"?

  • 1. U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration What is Made in America? Executive Summary ccurately determining how much of our economy’s total production is American-made can be a daunting task. However, data from the Commerce Department’s U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) can help shed light on the dollar value of what America produces, and what percentage of the dollar value of an industry’s output that is considered domestic. Gross output, value added, domestically-sourced inputs, and domestic content are all concepts that can be used to measure U.S. production and to estimate how much of that production is made in the United States. This report starts with the concept of gross output and then looks further, seeking to answer the question: “What is Made in America?” Our analysis reveals that in 2012:  U.S. manufacturers sold $5.6 trillion of goods, $4.4 trillion (79 percent) of which was “Made in the U.S.A.” Value added directly by the manufacturing sector accounted for $1.9 trillion, while value added indirectly from all industries (including manufacturing) accounted for the remaining $2.5 trillion.  In many cases, the portion of domestic content in U.S. production differs markedly from the domestic content on store shelves. For example, although the United States imported most of the apparel that consumers purchased, the apparel that was made in the United States contained 87 percent domestic content.  Domestic content accounted for 51 cents of every dollar that U.S. consumers and businesses spent on manufactured goods. By industry, it ranged from a high of 79 cents per dollar of food, beverages, and tobacco products to a low of 7 cents per dollar of apparel.  The four industries with the largest dollar values of American content were food, beverage, and tobacco products; chemicals; petroleum and coal products; and motor vehicles and parts. By Jessica R. Nicholson and Ryan Noonan ESA Issue Brief # 04-14 October 3, 2014 A
  • 2. Page 2 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration  The petroleum and coal products industry, which is predominantly petroleum refining, was the only manufacturing industry whose gross output was less than 70 percent domestic content. Although manufacturing employment has been growing, jobs in manufacturing are affected by, among other things, increased automation, productivity gains, exchange rate fluctuations, trade agreements, and import prices that affect how manufacturers build their supply chains. For more information on employment in the manufacturing sector, see our June 2014 report, “Manufacturing Since the Great Recession”.1 1 Jessica R. Nicholson and Ryan Noonan. “Manufacturing Since the Great Recession.” Economics and Statistics Administration. Available at: http://esa.doc.gov/sites/default/files/reports/documents/manufacturingsincethegreatrecession2014-06- 10final.pdf.
  • 3. U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 3 Introduction “Made in the U.S.A.” is a badge of honor, often indicating good craftsmanship and evoking a sense of patriotism. America’s health and labor standards, innovation, and consumer protections ensure that U.S. manufacturers adhere to proper working conditions and use safe, high-quality materials.2 Increased demand for American-made goods also means more— and better—jobs. In 2010, China overtook the United States as the world’s largest manufacturer.3 But the United States remains a major manufacturing power—home to less than five percent of the world’s population but generating more than one-sixth of global manufacturing activity.4 It can be hard to believe because it seems like most of the products sold in this country were made somewhere else. So, what does it mean to be made in America? 2 For more information on the benefits of manufacturing in the United States, see the Department of Commerce’s National Institute of Standards and Technology Make it in America campaign website at: http://www.nist.gov/mep/america.cfm and the SelectUSA website at: http://selectusa.commerce.gov/. 3 See, for instance, Mecksroth, Daniel J. “China Has a Dominant Share of World Manufacturing”. Available at: https://www.mapi.net/china-has-dominant-share-world- manufacturing. 4 For more information on manufacturing in America, see the National Institute of Standards and Technology’s Hollings Manufacturing Extension Partnership infographic “What Manufacturing Really Looks Like: Celebrating Manufacturing Day” available at: http://nist.gov/mep/mfgday-infographic.cfm. The “Made in the U.S.A. Label The “Made in the U.S.A.” label is what most people think of when considering what is manufactured in the United States. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has oversight responsibilities for the label and requires that “all or virtually all” of a product, including all significant parts and processing that go into the product, must be of U.S. origin.5 Complying with this standard can be more difficult than it would seem because of the global economy and the ever-growing web of international supply chains. It can also be difficult because the definition is vague and there is no quantitative procedure that allows manufacturers to determine whether “virtually all” of a product’s content is domestic. For example, a car manufacturer located in the U.S. might not make all the parts of a car; rather, they may purchase parts (engines, seats, tires) that are finished goods made by other manufacturers and then use them as intermediate inputs to assemble automobiles. These intermediate inputs can be either imported from abroad or purchased domestically. However, even when a manufacturer buys inputs from a domestic producer, they cannot assume that the input was made entirely in America just because it was purchased here. Quantitative Measures of Made in America Given the difficulty of determining whether a single product is made in America, it is easy to see the challenge in accurately describing how much of our economy’s total production is American-made. However, data from the 5 See Federal Trade Commission, Made in the USA. Available at: http://www.business.ftc.gov/advertising-and- marketing/made-usa.
  • 4. Page 4 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Census Bureau and BEA can help shed light on the dollar value of what America produces, as well as the percentage of an industry’s output that is considered domestic. Gross output, value added, domestically-sourced inputs, and domestic content are all concepts that can be used to measure U.S. production and to estimate how much of that production is made in the United States. There are several caveats to keep in mind. 1. All of these measures exclude final goods that are imported for domestic consumption, such as a T-shirt fully made in Vietnam.6 The primary goal of this report is to estimate what share of U.S. manufacturing output was actually created in the United States. 2. Although manufacturing employment has been growing for the past four years, U.S. manufacturers’ high levels of gross output and domestic content do not support as many U.S. jobs as in decades past. Through much of the past decade, in fact, U.S. manufacturing employment decreased even while gross output increased. Jobs in manufacturing are affected by, among other things, increased automation, productivity gains, exchange rate fluctuations, trade agreements and import prices that affect how manufacturers build their supply chains. 3. Measured domestic content will be sensitive to exchange rate fluctuations. To the extent that a nation’s currency is over- 6 Value added and the domestic content measures account for imports of goods used as inputs by domestic firms in the production of final goods. The domestic sourcing measure accounts for inputs that are directly imported, but does not account for the value of imports embedded in intermediate inputs purchased in the United States. Gross output does not subtract out imports. valued, this will inflate the measured content of that nation. For more information on employment in the manufacturing sector, see our June 2014 report, “Manufacturing Since the Great Recession”.7 Gross Output We start by looking at the gross output of U.S. manufacturers.8 Gross output is a measure of the total value of output of all firms. It is equal to the revenue producers receive when they sell their products. Some of those goods may be sold directly to consumers and others are used by firms in the production of other goods or exported for purchase abroad.9 In 2012, gross output of the U.S. manufacturing sector was $5.6 trillion; food, beverages, and tobacco products accounted for 16 percent of total gross output in the sector, followed by petroleum and coal products (14 percent), and chemicals (13 percent) (See Figure 1).10 7 Jessica R. Nicholson and Ryan Noonan. “Manufacturing Since the Great Recession.” Economics and Statistics Administration. Available at: http://esa.doc.gov/sites/default/files/reports/documents/ manufacturingsincethegreatrecession2014-06-10final.pdf. 8 BEA publishes data on gross output (used in this report), while the Census Bureau publishes data on the total value of shipments in the Annual Survey of Manufactures (ASM) and the Economic Census. Gross output is principally a measure of an industry’s sales or receipts. For manufacturing it is measured as the value of shipments plus the change in finished goods and works-in-process inventory. It is a broader measure of output than shipments. In 2012, gross output (after redefinitions) in the manufacturing sector was $5.6 trillion, while the total value of shipments (both primary and secondary) was $5.7 trillion. Estimates for industries within the sector vary between these two series as well. 9 Gross output includes the value of imported inputs. 10 Gross output is measured in dollar value, not units produced. High-priced goods, like airplanes or cars, contribute a high value to gross output for each unit produced. On the other hand, relatively lower-priced items, like a box of cereal or a T-shirt, contribute much less value per unit produced.
  • 5. U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 5 Value Added While data on gross output reveals U.S. manufacturers’ revenues, it might be a misleading indicator of what is actually made in America. As noted, gross output includes imported inputs, which should be excluded when trying to measure the value of what was made in America. More importantly, because gross output measures the sales price of all goods shipped by manufacturers, both as final goods and intermediate inputs, there is a good deal of double- or even triple-counting. To return to a previous example, a car parts manufacturer may sell some of its finished product (windshield wipers, for example) directly to consumers, but the manufacturer also sells windshield wipers to other manufacturers that in turn install the wipers on automobiles for sale to consumers. The value of this second category of wipers would be counted once when the car parts manufacturer sold them to the auto manufacturer and again as part of the value of the total automobile. We can even take it a step further if we think about the inputs used to make the wipers—like rubber—which were purchased by the parts manufacturer. At the end of the chain, when gross output is calculated, the value of the rubber has now been counted three (or more) times. By contrast, data on value added considers only the new production completed at each stage of the manufacturing process—i.e., the labor and capital applied by each firm to the purchased
  • 6. Page 6 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration inputs produced elsewhere (see Figure 2).11 Measuring value added thus eliminates double- counting.12 The sum of value added across manufacturing is equal to the sector’s contribution to overall U.S. gross domestic product. On average, for the manufacturing sector as a whole, value added is equal to about 34 percent of gross output, as shown in Figure 2. Continuing with the automobile example, car parts are a finished good and their value is included in the value added calculation for the transportation equipment industry. However, if some of those car parts are used in the 11 BEA defines value added as a measure of output after accounting for the intermediate inputs used in production. The main components of value added include the returns to labor (compensation of employees), returns to capital (as measured by gross operating surplus), and returns to government (as measured by taxes on production and imports less subsidies). 12 As with output, both BEA and the Census Bureau (through ASM and the Economic Census) provide estimates of value added. Due to different source data as well as methodologies, the two estimates differ considerably. For the sake of consistency across measurements, this report uses BEA data to estimate value added. However, because Census data provides a more detailed look at sub-industries within the manufacturing sector, it may be more useful in other cases. production of automobiles, they are considered an intermediate input, and their value will not be part of the value added to the economy by automobile assembly plants. When an automobile is sold, only new inputs used to make the car, such as the labor and capital required to assemble the car parts into an automobile, will be considered as value added by auto manufacturers. Figure 3 below displays U.S. manufacturing industries ranked from largest to smallest based on the dollar amount of their value added in 2012. Because of differing contributions of labor and capital, as well as variation in the amount of intermediate inputs used by different industries, the order of industries shown in Figure 3 is somewhat different from the order shown in Figure 1. In particular, industries that produce finished goods that are built up from many inputs (such as transportation equipment)—or from very high- value inputs (such as petroleum and coal products)—rank lower in value added than they do in gross output. As shown, only 22 percent of the gross output in the motor vehicles and parts industry comes from value added, while the rest comes from domestic and imported intermediate inputs.
  • 7. U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 7 Near the other end of the spectrum is the apparel, leather, and allied products industry, where 51 percent of gross output is value added. While the dollar value of goods produced by the U.S. apparel industry is relatively low, much of the industry’s output consists of final goods (clothes) ready for purchase by consumers. Domestic Sourcing Value added provides useful information about the contribution of U.S. manufacturing to our economy and, by definition, all of value added is “made in America.” It does not provide any information on the origin of the intermediate inputs that went into making a finished good. For example, to say that the value added in the auto manufacturing industry is $115 billion does not tell us how “American” a car is. To what extent can cars or any products “assembled in America” using imported parts be differentiated from products with deeper American origins? To answer that question, one must look at the overall supply chain and specifically the source of intermediate inputs. The inputs that were purchased in the United States (not imported) can be called “domestically-sourced intermediate inputs.” Because value added is always domestic, adding together value added and domestically-sourced intermediate inputs gives us an estimate of the total amount of output that is domestically-sourced. Figure 4 illustrates this concept by showing the calculation for the overall manufacturing sector. In 2012, 86 percent of gross output in U.S. manufacturing was domestically-sourced, of which 52 percent was domestically-sourced intermediate inputs and 34 percent was value added.
  • 8. Page 8 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration
  • 9. U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 9 While this calculation is relatively straightforward, it is not an ideal measure of domestic content. As with gross output, the value of a good used as an input in the production of other goods may be counted multiple times (e.g., rubber used to produce windshield wipers that are then installed on an automobile). It also relies on the assumption that inputs purchased from domestic suppliers have no foreign content, which is likely untrue. However, as an estimate of the overall value of what is made in America, the domestic sourcing estimate is preferred over gross output, which includes imported inputs, and value added, which doesn’t account at all for intermediate inputs. As shown in Figure 5, goods sold by U.S. manufacturers are made up primarily of materials purchased and labor and capital applied here in the United States. In each manufacturing industry, excluding petroleum and coal products, more than 80 percent of total output is comprised of domestically- sourced inputs (including value added and intermediate inputs). Because most industries have high shares of domestically-sourced inputs relative to gross output, the ranking of industries is highly consistent with the ranking of industries by gross output. The one exception is the petroleum and coal products industry: many petroleum refineries import their intermediate input—crude oil—which leads to a relatively lower share of domestically-sourced inputs (60 percent). Domestic Content As noted above, the domestic sourcing estimates rely on the assumption that intermediate inputs purchased in the United States do not contain any foreign material. While this simplifies the calculation of domestic content, it is possible—and even likely—that domestically-sourced intermediate inputs have at least some foreign content that entered earlier in the supply chain. A more precise measure of what is made in America would not include the portion of domestically-sourced intermediate inputs that originated overseas. To return to the auto parts example, consider an automobile manufacturer who purchases engines from a domestic car parts supplier. While the auto manufacturer purchases finished engines from a domestic supplier, the pistons used in these engines may have come from a foreign source. To go from domestic sourcing to true domestic content, one must remove the value of foreign inputs from intermediate inputs that were purchased domestically (see Figure 6).13 This complicated calculation removes imports at each stage of production sequentially and determines the value added by each industry to produce final output.14 In 2012, the share of domestic content of total output in the manufacturing sector was 79 percent, 7 percent lower than the share of domestically-sourced manufacturing output. The share of domestic content includes both the value added directly by the manufacturing sector and the value added indirectly through intermediate inputs by all domestic sectors, including manufacturing. 13 These estimates use data from BEA’s input-output tables, including the use table, make table, and the import matrix. The import matrix assigns values of imported commodities by industry. To create this table, BEA makes a proportionality assumption and proportionally distributes the total value of imports for a commodity across all industries that use that commodity because of the limited data available to otherwise distribute imports. This distribution is done at a very detailed level where many commodities are uniquely used by individual industries. Additionally, a second assumption in the domestic content calculation is that all imported intermediate inputs are entirely foreign-made; in other words, these calculations do not try to determine the domestic content of imported intermediate inputs. Because some imported inputs may contain content that was originally created in the United States, the share of domestic content presented here should be considered a lower bound of the actual share of domestic content. 14 The calculation uses a series of matrix algebra calculations with the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ input- output tables and import matrix.
  • 10. Page 10 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration For example, for domestically-produced motor vehicles and parts, the average domestic content of a good is 71 percent (see Figure 7). The share of output comprised of value added directly by auto manufacturers is 22 percent (the domestic content if all inputs were imported), while the average share of domestically sourced inputs is 82 percent (the domestic content if all intermediate inputs purchased in the United States had 100 percent U.S. content). Once again, the estimates show that U.S. manufacturing output has a high share of domestic content—80 percent or more for most industries. Using this approach, the share of domestic content for all industries is lower than the share of domestically-sourced inputs, suggesting that all industries at this level of detail have at least some foreign content in the intermediate inputs they purchase here in the United States. To see how the estimates of domestic content differ from the estimates of domestic sourcing, consider the motor vehicle and parts industry. While 82 percent of the output of the industry comes from labor, capital, and inputs sourced in the United States, a relatively large portion of the inputs contain content that was imported from abroad. As a result, the domestic content of this industry is 71 percent, significantly lower than the simpler estimate of sourcing implied above. While the domestic content of goods that are “Made in the U.S.A.” is high, the domestic content of the goods on our store shelves does not necessarily appear high. One final way to look at the subject is to examine how much of U.S. final demand for goods is met by American products. Using the same methodology we employed to
  • 11. U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 11 calculate the domestic content of each industry, we can find the portion of final demand that originated in the United States.15 Looking at it through this lens leads to a somewhat different answer. For example, the domestic content of computer and electronic products manufactured in the U.S. has risen, in part because the computers produced in the U.S. are highly specialized and in part because of a changing product mix. This industry is largely dominated by semiconductors and navigational equipment. In addition, computers and electronics used in national defense activities may require domestic content for security reasons. Very few mass market computers are manufactured in the United 15 For the purposes of this calculation, “final demand” is defined as the sum of personal consumption expenditures and private fixed investment. States, so the U.S. value-added share of world demand for these more generalized products has fallen. Figure 8 shows the results of this calculation and may line up well with our general impressions. The contrast between the domestic content of American-made goods and what we see in stores is especially clear in the apparel industry. American-made apparel is, on average, 87 percent American; however, only 7 percent of the apparel that is sold in the U.S. is American in origin. Overall, 51 percent of the value of goods bought by consumers and businesses is “Made in the U.S.A.,” ranging from a high of 79 percent for food products to the low of 7 percent for apparel. Industries like apparel and computers easily feed the misperception that “we don’t make anything,” while industries like machinery sell most of
  • 12. Page 12 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration their products directly to businesses instead of consumers. With U.S. factories churning out nearly $6 trillion in goods per year, that perception is simply not true. In addition, many of the goods made in America end up overseas for purchase by foreign consumers, businesses, and governments. Overall, 18 percent of the output of U.S. manufacturing firms was exported in 2012. As we have seen throughout this report, there is a great deal of variation across industries. In the other transportation equipment industry (mainly airplanes and parts), 39 percent of gross output went abroad. Another example is the computer and electronic products industry, where the United States imports most of what we consume and also exports a great deal of output (36 percent in 2012), reflecting the strength of our semiconductor and navigational instrument manufacturers. At the other end of the spectrum were the printing (3 percent), furniture (6 percent), and wood product (6 percent) industries where only a small share of output went abroad in 2012. Conclusion As we have seen, there are a number of ways to measure what is “Made in the U.S.A.,” all of which have some benefits and drawbacks. Gross output gives us an idea of what the American manufacturing sector produces, but it forces us to double-count, or even triple-count, any goods that are used multiple times throughout the supply chain. Value added solves the problem of double-counting, but it does not consider intermediate domestic and foreign inputs used in the production process.
  • 13. U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Page 13 This report introduces and measures three concepts that avoid the problems above: domestic sourcing, domestic content, and meeting domestic demand for manufactured goods. Although none of these measures is perfect (see the caveats at the beginning of the report), our methods allow us to simulate the movement of American-made goods through the supply chain to provide a better estimate of the portion of U.S. manufacturing output that originated in the U.S.A. The domestic sourcing calculation is relatively simple and gets us close to the actual value of domestic content for most industries, but it simply assumes that all inputs purchased from American suppliers were made in the U.S.A. The second measure introduced here (domestic content)—although complex to calculate—provides the best picture of what it really means to say “Made in the U.S.A.” for a particular industry. Finally, the measure of what percent of domestic demand is met by US production provides a look from the consumer perspective. Although much of the U.S. demand for manufactured goods is met by foreign products, it is evident that the U.S. manufacturing sector is producing a lot. Furthermore, these goods contain a high share of domestic content. For more information on “What is Made in America?” see the Economics and Statistics Administration manufacturing industry profiles available at: http://www.esa.doc.gov/Reports/what-made- america.
  • 14. Page 14 U. S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank our colleagues from the Economics and Statistics Administration for their contributions to this report, especially: Sue Helper, Chief Economist Rob Rubinovitz, Deputy Chief Economist David Langdon, Senior Economist and Policy Advisor Jane Callen, Editor Regina Powers, Economist William Hawk, Economist Bonnie E. Thibodeau, Apprentice Economist We would also like to thank our colleagues at the Bureau of Economic Analysis for developing the methodology for estimating domestic content and providing clarification on concepts, as needed. We’d especially like to thank: Thomas Howells, Chief, Input-Output Statistics Branch Gabriel Medeiros, Economist, Input-Output Statistics Branch We also appreciate helpful comments we have received from the following people, agencies, and groups: Susan Houseman, Upjohn Institute Michael Mandel, Progressive Policy Institute National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) NIST Manufacturing Extension Partnership White House, Council of Economic Advisers The authors are economists in the Office of the Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Economics and Statistics Administration. Technical inquiries: Office of the Chief Economist (202) 482-3523 Media inquiries: Office of Communications (202) 482-3331 U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration 1401 Constitution Ave., NW Washington, DC 20230 www.esa.doc.gov