DT2_verbs

1. Group ‘Verbs’.
Students: Dirk Wigmans 874055 - Arthur Bonzi Monteiro - Renan Coutinho - Camila Tobío
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=who-made-the-sarin
Background information
It all starts with our beloved Rector Magnificus, mr Eijlander. We all know him as a modest and polite
executive at our university. However there is something completely wrong with him. Thanks to a
whistleblower named Edward Snowden(klokkenluider in Dutch) it became publicly known that our
beloved rector lives a double life and has an alibi. In his second life he is in fact (I interviewed my
girlfriend for some input and she mentioned that a disastrous situation would be that our rector was
a transsexual in his double life, I personally chose to ignore this option) involved in an organization
which helped providing Syria with the Sarin nerve gasses which is used during the civil attacks in Syria
a few weeks ago.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/05/russia-west-
gas-attack-syria
Mister Snowden is a massive computer geek, studying at Tilburg
University, and currently in an ICT-education. This student
hacked a computer database from Interpol, Federal Bureaus
and Investigation Offices from all around the world and he
came up with some classified documents regarding a top secret
investigation in a criminal organization called Kalasjnikov. This is
their gang sign, and they are well known in the world for their
expertise in gasses and other dangerous poisons.
Mister Snowden, our impressive hacker, found out the
name of a certain man, called Piotr Eijlandski on those lists.
It was a person who invested loads of money in a Russian
chemical company who was insinuated to have made the
sarin nerve gasses to Syria. There is enough evidence to be
sure that this company provided the leaders and top
criminals of Syria with this devastating and demolishing gas
called Sarin. Mister Snowden became very curious finding
all those information and there rang a bell when he saw the
name Piotr Eilandski. So our student Snowden investigated
further on this Piotr Eilandski and found out some pictures
of this Piotr Eilandski when he was at a secret press
conference of the chemical company in Russia and found
some cash flows from Tilburg in the direction of the
chemical plant in Moscow.
Our student became in an incredibly huge shock when he saw the pictures of this person at the
company and he became more interested in this case, because he still could not believe what he
currently was insinuating to himself. But to ascertain his suggestions he dug even further and found
out that Piotr Eilandski and Mr. Eijlander (our rector) where at the same flights from Amsterdam to

2. Group ‘Verbs’.
Students: Dirk Wigmans 874055 - Arthur Bonzi Monteiro - Renan Coutinho - Camila Tobío
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=who-made-the-sarin
Moscow (the chemical facility is located near Moscow) and everytime Mr. Eijlander was not present
at the university there was a mobile phone of Eilandski active in the neighborhood of Moscow.
Thus, our massive hacker was sure of it and in exchange of immunity provided by the Dutch
government he made all this information publicly known in the Netherlands and therefore as well at
the university.
Lively situation: the 3W’s included
But where is our current rector in this story? Our rector is in a meeting the whole day and has no clue
of anything going on. He is in a meeting with multiple professors from different universities and there
is no television, computer or other electronics in his surroundings. They have a meeting from 12:00
untill 18:00 and the news came in the publicity at the clock of 13:00 and the next break of Mr.
Eijlander was at 15:00. In the meantime the news has been leaked and the whole university and
surroundings became aware of the fact that our rector in his double life is involved in a criminal
organization and the majority of the university started a riot in front of Koopmans building and it
looked like from the entrance view of K:
Everybody is getting so angry out of curiosity and is under the supposition that our own rector is
involved in a criminal organization of chemicals, especially in financing them. The situation in front of
the K building is getting grimy and tight lipped and there are coming banners and yells everywhere
and the everybody is trying to break in to demolish the locked up K-building (in the meantime done
by the security of the Tilburg University
out of human’s protection).
In the meantime the personal assistant
of Mr. Eijlander rushes in the conference
room where Mr. Eijlander has the
meeting and he hands over a mobile
phone to him and he mentions it that it
is very urgent and there was Russian
speaking person on the phone. The
assistant and the professors are sent out
of the room by Mr. Eijlander and he

3. Group ‘Verbs’.
Students: Dirk Wigmans 874055 - Arthur Bonzi Monteiro - Renan Coutinho - Camila Tobío
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=who-made-the-sarin
locks himself up before taking the phone. Mr. Eijlander is being told by the Russian guy that he is
dismantled and that he is all over the news and there is a huge riot against him going on in front of
the building. There is a lot of violence and the barricade of the security in order to protect the
building is not going to last forever. The police and the Dutch ME have shown up as well and the
students are pointing their aim at them since they are not taking any action. It is getting a real
disaster at the campus and the violence is involving and when the rector looks out of the room he is
shocked, besides his full awareness regarding the situation he has put himself into. The Russian guy
from the chemical plant says they are going to start with their in case of need so-called ‘emergency
plan A’.
Decision the rector is willing to make
The emergency plan indicates that the rector
has to leave the building and has to be
escaped into Russian custody as soon as
possible. This is done via the rooftop, since
there will come a Russian helicopter there. He
has a lot of information of the Russian
chemical plant which has to be kept safely
inside the firm and not to be leaked out into
external people. For now it is only shown that
the rector was sometimes present at the
chemical firm and sent lots money to the firm
which provided the nerve gasses. So the
decision the rector has to made is to follow
the emergency plan proposed by the Russian company or another one which I will tell shortly after
this (see the image).
This plan indicates that there will be in a short moment a helicopter on the roof and he has to risk his
life in order to reach the helicopter and it still is highly uncertain that he is able to escape the country
to Russia where he have to shelter the rest of his life and has to hope whether he will be protected
under his Russian passport.
The other decision is to remain stiff and silent and think he can still bail out of this situation by
surrendering himself and remain silent until they have proven anything. There are two passports of
himself and his alter ego and there might be a way to push away everything on that person. The
chance he will get away with that is about zero percent and he thinks he will be dismantled anyway
and gets locked up for the rest of his life.
The factors which influence his decisions are
He has decided to make is the escape plan called emergency plan A.
This means that this outcome is called: ‘safety’: safety for himself and
the other students.
This is so since the whole idea is that he gets to Russia and will never
be heard again of. He also wants to provide safety for the students
downstairs because he feels very guilty about the situation.
Outcome
measure

4. Group ‘Verbs’.
Students: Dirk Wigmans 874055 - Arthur Bonzi Monteiro - Renan Coutinho - Camila Tobío
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=who-made-the-sarin
There are some intermediate variables which influence his outcome
present as well. These are for instance the total escape time: the
total it takes for him to reach the Russian helicopter in safety and
to leave the building. Because the faster he left the building, the faster
the internal disaster at the university is over and the riot is useless.
The escape speed is also influenced by the amount of security in the building and the hazard
management protocols active and present for these sorts of situations. Another intermediate
variable is the effectiveness of the police squads in keeping the safety beyond a safe limit. If they are
present before the building very soon and if they are able to keep the situation in front of the
building save, it eventually will improve the overall safety of everyone. Another intermediate variable
is the amount of students as well, since the more students are present the stronger they stand and
the more prone the situation is to get dirty. The last intermediate variable present in this situation is
the number of direct incidents occurring and especially the incidents with a negative aspect on it. If
there are more students present, the chance of incidents increases and that has a negative on the
safety.
The parameters present which are influencing the number of students are
atmosphere and publicity. In such stressful and dreadful disasters there are some
uncertain factors like publicity. If everybody is out in front of the K-building, then
nobody knows if there is coming more or how busy it is going to be. The national
and even international news can come by and it can all influence the number of
people present in front of the building and therefore disaster. The atmosphere which is uncertain
has an effect on the parameters as well. If the atmosphere is negative it influences the number of
students negatively and it can be the other way around. If the situation becomes too positive and
bright it is no riot anymore and it will affect the number of students as well. There are two
parameters influencing the escape speed as well: if there is a lot of security in the building, than the
rector has no chance to escape and it will soon be over and the peace can return. If there is almost
no security the rector can flee directly to his helicopter and then the disaster at the university in this
case as well soon over. If there are a lot of hazard management effects going on than there should be
no escape time and a reasonable solution to deal with this solution.
There is one decision variable present in our influence diagram and that one
is about the attitude of the students about getting into riots. Some students
will not give a thing about riots and will remain quiet and there are a lot of
students who are very fiery in such situation and will show up immediately.
In this case it is about the philosophy of the students.
Parameter
Intermedia
te variable
Decision
variable

5. Group ‘Verbs’.
Students: Dirk Wigmans 874055 - Arthur Bonzi Monteiro - Renan Coutinho - Camila Tobío
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=who-made-the-sarin
Influence diagram