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Product/Market Fit
Twists and Turns


David Jones
Founder StreetHawk, Mentor StartMate
Founder ThreatMetrix
Founder/CEO EmUTech->Surfcontrol




                                                                                        FOUNDERS
                                                                                         INSTITUTE
                                                                                                         APR 12


                    david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
This talk is “Pivot”-free




              david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Case 1: Benefit of Knowing Your Sector
Iteration/Evolution                      Hind-sight                                  Axiom
Email Filtering for corporate            Client asked for 1st iteration and In ENTERPRISE, “Get out of
                                         developed to.                      the building” works.
                                         I knew the problem, worked with
                                         a customer

Spam Detection                           CEOs secretary gets a porn spam. Be a pain-killer not a
                                         Trial immediately approved and   vitamin.
                                         invoice paid.

Melissa/Lovebug virus                    We were well-positioned for an              Catch the wave as its
released                                 unforseen event.                            breaking.

Exit to Surfcontrol                                                                  Acquirers make build, buy
                                                                                     decisions to catch up

1 year later Major AV vendors                                                        Catch the wave as its
deliver email products                                                               breaking

4 years later IronPort exits to                                                              Ride the wave requires big
Cisco to >$800M           david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz big VC
                                                                                             revenue or
Startups exist because incumbents don’t innovate
1. Incumbent rejection/deferral is actually a strong positive signal
2. But make sure you have 10x differentiation in your core.
3. Find the core because there are many conflicting signals




                     david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Case 2: A History of “Twists”

Iteration/Evolution                  Hind-sight                                      Axiom

SpamMATTERS forensic tools           “early adopters have same                       Don’t validate with your
for enforcement                      affliction as entrepreneurs”                    Mum
Botnet tracking/IP Reputation        OEM Model not a scalable                        Know your investor. “Begin
for security                         revenue model in security                       with the end in mind”
IP Reputation for fraud              IP addresses not enough                         Be 10x better
prevention                           granularity                                     Validate with target market
                                                                                     early and often
                                                                                     “Markets Shift”
Device Intelligence for              Listening to Gorilla’s tell you                 “Get TO the conversation”
eCommerce                            about the future. Respond to
                                     customers needs

Real-time fraud prevention            Virtual Goods                                          Be aware of “tectonic”
and enabling ECommerce                Virtual Currencies                                     shifts
                                                                                             (US Gov stops gambling)
                                      Social/FB Gaming                                       (New Commerce models)
                                      Massive transaction scale                              (Privacy Laws)
                                      Machine Learning
                          david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Consumer – still a work in progress for me

• Your Product is NOT “The Product”
  – (Ash Maurya)
  – Acquisition more important than Product
• Startup Metrics for Pirates (McClure)
  – Its about the pipeline to revenue baby
     •   Assert(LTV > CPA)
     •   Retention/Churn
     •   Install/Visit->Login->Engagement->Transaction
     •   “Vanity Metrics” debate

             david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Reading/Repeating startup tips is easy -
                           Internalising is hard

• “Enterprise” startups
   – Measurement is not easy
   – No large base of consumer feedback
   – Solution: Solve a big problem
   – Ask for money when MVP feature-set agreed
   – Grind out the case studies and references
• “Consumer web/mobile” startups
   – Is it in your DNA?
   – ***Your product includes user acquisition***
   – Don’t believe end-user conversations
   – Measure everything – use the key things
   – Pivot (company is “built to learn”)
                   david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Great Tools for Enterprise




david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Delusion: Picking the wrong metrics




   david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Axiom: “Be aware of tectonic Shifts”

Mega-vendors:
- Apple vs Google
- Microsoft vs Google
- Social vs Search (FB vs Google)

Revenue Models:
-Licence vs Monthly
-Credit Card vs Virtual Goods
Deployments Models:
-SaaS vs Enterprise install
- Desktop vs Mobile
Form Factor:
- Mobile vs Web vs Tablet
- No easy acquisition on mobile
- No easy “Wallet” on mobile
                  david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
Oz related challenges/opportunities

•   Cons
    –   If you are not a “subject matter expert” then get them or get out
    –   Often OZ startups say “No money to validate”?
    –   Get advisors in the target market (don’t underestimate this value)
    –   To overcome isolation – get TO the conversation. You MUST use:
         •   Adwords->Analytics to learn what matters/resonates
         •   Leadlander (or some origin based analytics) – What companies are on your site?
         •   Surveys/Feedback (Google Docs, Wufoo forms, SurveyMonkey)
         •   Social data mining (If enterprise product LinkedIn groups for segment is valuable and leadgen)
         •   Tradeshows (enterprise). Spend the money that gets you into the conversation
         •   Gorillas (talk to eBay etc). Spend the money that gets you into the conversation

• Pros
    – Aussie companies are good early adopters (has pros/cons)
    – Leverage Gov Grant Funding to get target market validation


                        david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
http://www.google.com/profiles/david.jones

                                @djinoz

    Slides at http://slideshare.net/djinoz




  david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz

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Product/Market Fit - Twists and Turns

  • 1. Product/Market Fit Twists and Turns David Jones Founder StreetHawk, Mentor StartMate Founder ThreatMetrix Founder/CEO EmUTech->Surfcontrol FOUNDERS INSTITUTE APR 12 david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 2. This talk is “Pivot”-free david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 3. Case 1: Benefit of Knowing Your Sector Iteration/Evolution Hind-sight Axiom Email Filtering for corporate Client asked for 1st iteration and In ENTERPRISE, “Get out of developed to. the building” works. I knew the problem, worked with a customer Spam Detection CEOs secretary gets a porn spam. Be a pain-killer not a Trial immediately approved and vitamin. invoice paid. Melissa/Lovebug virus We were well-positioned for an Catch the wave as its released unforseen event. breaking. Exit to Surfcontrol Acquirers make build, buy decisions to catch up 1 year later Major AV vendors Catch the wave as its deliver email products breaking 4 years later IronPort exits to Ride the wave requires big Cisco to >$800M david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz big VC revenue or
  • 4. Startups exist because incumbents don’t innovate 1. Incumbent rejection/deferral is actually a strong positive signal 2. But make sure you have 10x differentiation in your core. 3. Find the core because there are many conflicting signals david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 5. Case 2: A History of “Twists” Iteration/Evolution Hind-sight Axiom SpamMATTERS forensic tools “early adopters have same Don’t validate with your for enforcement affliction as entrepreneurs” Mum Botnet tracking/IP Reputation OEM Model not a scalable Know your investor. “Begin for security revenue model in security with the end in mind” IP Reputation for fraud IP addresses not enough Be 10x better prevention granularity Validate with target market early and often “Markets Shift” Device Intelligence for Listening to Gorilla’s tell you “Get TO the conversation” eCommerce about the future. Respond to customers needs Real-time fraud prevention Virtual Goods Be aware of “tectonic” and enabling ECommerce Virtual Currencies shifts (US Gov stops gambling) Social/FB Gaming (New Commerce models) Massive transaction scale (Privacy Laws) Machine Learning david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 6. Consumer – still a work in progress for me • Your Product is NOT “The Product” – (Ash Maurya) – Acquisition more important than Product • Startup Metrics for Pirates (McClure) – Its about the pipeline to revenue baby • Assert(LTV > CPA) • Retention/Churn • Install/Visit->Login->Engagement->Transaction • “Vanity Metrics” debate david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 7. Reading/Repeating startup tips is easy - Internalising is hard • “Enterprise” startups – Measurement is not easy – No large base of consumer feedback – Solution: Solve a big problem – Ask for money when MVP feature-set agreed – Grind out the case studies and references • “Consumer web/mobile” startups – Is it in your DNA? – ***Your product includes user acquisition*** – Don’t believe end-user conversations – Measure everything – use the key things – Pivot (company is “built to learn”) david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 8. Great Tools for Enterprise david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 9. Delusion: Picking the wrong metrics david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 10. Axiom: “Be aware of tectonic Shifts” Mega-vendors: - Apple vs Google - Microsoft vs Google - Social vs Search (FB vs Google) Revenue Models: -Licence vs Monthly -Credit Card vs Virtual Goods Deployments Models: -SaaS vs Enterprise install - Desktop vs Mobile Form Factor: - Mobile vs Web vs Tablet - No easy acquisition on mobile - No easy “Wallet” on mobile david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 11. Oz related challenges/opportunities • Cons – If you are not a “subject matter expert” then get them or get out – Often OZ startups say “No money to validate”? – Get advisors in the target market (don’t underestimate this value) – To overcome isolation – get TO the conversation. You MUST use: • Adwords->Analytics to learn what matters/resonates • Leadlander (or some origin based analytics) – What companies are on your site? • Surveys/Feedback (Google Docs, Wufoo forms, SurveyMonkey) • Social data mining (If enterprise product LinkedIn groups for segment is valuable and leadgen) • Tradeshows (enterprise). Spend the money that gets you into the conversation • Gorillas (talk to eBay etc). Spend the money that gets you into the conversation • Pros – Aussie companies are good early adopters (has pros/cons) – Leverage Gov Grant Funding to get target market validation david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz
  • 12. http://www.google.com/profiles/david.jones @djinoz Slides at http://slideshare.net/djinoz david DOT jones AT gmail DOT com | skype://djinoz | Cell:+61 412 683 111 | @djinoz

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Maybe I need a random comment on slide #1 to get slideshare to see slidenotes 04/25/12