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Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                            4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                        by Doug Gerlach
                                                             President, ICLUBcentral Inc.
                                                                              April 2011




                                                                                                              1




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                                                              2




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                       1
Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                            4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                       1.       Has company grown sales & EPS consistently?
                       2.       Has company grown sales & EPS strongly
                                relative to its size?
                            ◦    Small companies grow more quickly than large.
                       3.       Are you confident that company can grow sales
                                & EPS at acceptable rate over next 5 years?
                       4.       What are the primary drivers of growth
                                (headwinds)?
                       5.       What are key obstacles to growth that should
                                be monitored (tailwinds)?




                                                                                                              3




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                                                              4




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                       2
Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                            4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                                                              5




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                       6.    Are pre-tax profit margins consistent or growing?
                       7.    Are pre-tax profit margins above average compared
                             to industry & peers?
                       8.    Are you confident company can maintain or expand
                             pre-tax profit margins over next 5 years?
                       9.    What are primary drivers of margin expansion
                             (headwinds)?
                       10.   What are problems that would cause margins to
                             contract (tailwinds)?
                       11.   What competitors should be reviewed & monitored?




                                                                                                              6




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                       3
Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                            4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                                                              7




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                       12.   Is company currently selling below or close
                             to Average P/E Ratio (Relative Value
                             <~100%)?
                       13.   Is company currently selling below or close
                             to its Projected Average P/E Ratio?
                       14.   At current price, can purchase support
                             potential 15% total return with >3 times
                             upside to downside?




                                                                                                              8




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                       4
Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                             4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                                                              9




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                       }   You may often adjust future expected High
                           & Low P/E Ratios below historical levels.
                       }   Proj Avg P/E = (Sel High P/E + Sel Low P/E)/2
                       }   How does Current P/E compare?
                           ◦ Should be close or lower.




                                                                                                              10




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                        5
Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                             4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                       15.   How does current & near-term economic
                             climate affect this company’s business?
                         ◦     Is company cyclical or adversely affected by
                               economic slowdowns?
                       16.   How stable & competent is company’s
                             board & management team?
                         ◦     How long has key management been in place?
                         ◦     Are insiders buying or selling?
                         ◦     Is board diverse & independent?
                       17.   What are tax implications of ?


                                                                                                              11




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                       18.   How does the size of this company fit with
                             other holdings?
                         ◦     Do not overload on large company stocks.
                       19.   How does industry group of company fit
                             with other holdings?
                         ◦     Diversify by industry group.
                       20.   Would buying this company improve the
                             overall quality & return of portfolio?
                         ◦     Is there a weaker holding you can replace with
                               this stock?



                                                                                                              12




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                        6
Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio                                                                             4/19/2011




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                Large                   Small
                                              (> $5B),              (< $500M),
                                                                         25%
                                                 25%

                                                             Mid-
                                                            sized,
                                                              50%



                                                                                                              13




                        Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/




                                                                              Email me at
                                                                       gerlach@iclub.com.




                                                                                                              14




by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com                                                                                        7

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Picking Stocks for Your Investment Club

  • 1. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ by Doug Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. April 2011 1 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 2 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 1
  • 2. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 1. Has company grown sales & EPS consistently? 2. Has company grown sales & EPS strongly relative to its size? ◦ Small companies grow more quickly than large. 3. Are you confident that company can grow sales & EPS at acceptable rate over next 5 years? 4. What are the primary drivers of growth (headwinds)? 5. What are key obstacles to growth that should be monitored (tailwinds)? 3 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 4 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 2
  • 3. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 5 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 6. Are pre-tax profit margins consistent or growing? 7. Are pre-tax profit margins above average compared to industry & peers? 8. Are you confident company can maintain or expand pre-tax profit margins over next 5 years? 9. What are primary drivers of margin expansion (headwinds)? 10. What are problems that would cause margins to contract (tailwinds)? 11. What competitors should be reviewed & monitored? 6 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 3
  • 4. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 7 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 12. Is company currently selling below or close to Average P/E Ratio (Relative Value <~100%)? 13. Is company currently selling below or close to its Projected Average P/E Ratio? 14. At current price, can purchase support potential 15% total return with >3 times upside to downside? 8 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 4
  • 5. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 9 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ } You may often adjust future expected High & Low P/E Ratios below historical levels. } Proj Avg P/E = (Sel High P/E + Sel Low P/E)/2 } How does Current P/E compare? ◦ Should be close or lower. 10 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 5
  • 6. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 15. How does current & near-term economic climate affect this company’s business? ◦ Is company cyclical or adversely affected by economic slowdowns? 16. How stable & competent is company’s board & management team? ◦ How long has key management been in place? ◦ Are insiders buying or selling? ◦ Is board diverse & independent? 17. What are tax implications of ? 11 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ 18. How does the size of this company fit with other holdings? ◦ Do not overload on large company stocks. 19. How does industry group of company fit with other holdings? ◦ Diversify by industry group. 20. Would buying this company improve the overall quality & return of portfolio? ◦ Is there a weaker holding you can replace with this stock? 12 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 6
  • 7. Picking Stocks for Your Club Portfolio 4/19/2011 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ Large Small (> $5B), (< $500M), 25% 25% Mid- sized, 50% 13 Download a handout of this presentation from http://www.slideshare.net/douggerlach/ Email me at gerlach@iclub.com. 14 by Doug Gerlach, gerlach@iclub.com 7