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30th Efma Convention:
                     Leadership in retail fi
                     L d    hi i     t il finance
                      13 p.m. & 14 March 2008 - Paris




Andrei Kazmin
Director General
Russian Post
Reforming the Russian Banking Sector
         g                    g
and Sberbank’s Role in the Development
             of Economy

             Andrey I. Kazmin,
                    I Kazmin,
       Chairman of the Board and CEO,
                 Sberbank



         2008
         2008 EFMA’s 30th Annual Convention
                   Paris, March



                                              2
Rapid G ow o Russian Economy
                 p d Growth of uss   co o y
 34%
                           2006                                                  GDP growth:
                           Growth over 3 years                                    Russia and
         22%
                                                                                 industrially
                                                                                            y
10%             11%                                                               developed
        7%             8%          7%
               4%     3%         2%
                                             6%          6%                        countries
                                           2%          2%



                                                                                   Growth, %
                                                                                                                   62%
                                                                                   Assets/GDP          52%
                                                                                           45%
                                                                        42%      42%                   44%
                                                               38%                                              41%
                                                       35%                                 37%
                                                                        35%
      Banking
      B ki assets i
                 t in                            34%
                                                               31%
                                                                                27%

          Russia

                                                        20       20      20       20            20       20       20
                                                          01       02      03       04            05       06       07
                                                                                                                       (E
                                                                                                                         )   3
Russian Banks: Good Potential for G ow
                              uss        s:       oe        o Growth
       325%

                                                                                                                                              Banking assets /
             205%
                                                                                                                                                  GDP *)
                             148%
                                             106%               92%                    91%
                                                                                                       74%
                                                                                                                            52%


Ge               It a          Ja              Cz                       Tu              Ka                   Po              Ru                                8.9%
   r                    ly          pa              ec                       rk            z                      lan          ss                       8.3%
       m                                 n               h                        ey           ak                       d        ia              7.9%
        an                                                   Re                                  hs
             y                                                  pu                                    ta
                                                                   b                                     n
                                                                       lic                                                             6.4%
                                                                                                                               5.9%

                 Bank loans /                                                                                4.4%

                 fixed
                 fi d capital
                         it l
                 investments

                                                                                                              2001              2002   2003      2004   2005   2006
 *) 2006                                                                                                                                                              4
Shortage of Capital as Hindrance to
                                Development
                                D l          t
19,1%        17,0%                              16,8%
                      16,0%             14,9%
                                        14 9%
                              15,0%
                              15 0%

                                                                         Capital adequacy
                                                        10%
                                                                         (Central Bank’s
                                                                         Standard No. 1)


 2003        2004     2005    2006      2007    01.07.07
                                                                           54%

                                                               44%                      Public
                                                   37%                               offerings by
                                                                           41%      Sberbank and
  Banking                             27%                                                VTB
                                                                 36%
 capital and                                                              28%
                                                     31%
assets growth                            16%                  Capital
                                                              Assets



* Estimate                            2004           2005         2006      2007*               5
Long Funds S o ge
                                               o g u ds Shortage
Trillion RUB
                Deposits
10                                                    65%
                Loans
                Loans in deposits, %          54%
 8
                                   42%
 6                                                                                        Changes in the
                        31%
 4
                                                                                         saving behaviour
               20%
       14%
 2
                                                                         Loans covered by deposits
 0
                                                              20%
       2002    2003        2004        2005    2006    2007              Share of long loans in assets

                                                                         Share of long deposits in liabilities               17%
                                                              15%
                                                                                                                 15%
                                                                         9%
     Shortage of l
     Sh t      f long                                         10%
                                                                                               12%

          funds                                                     27%                    23%
                                                                                                           17%
                                                                                                                        16%
                                                              5%

                                                                    2%                        3%                 3%          3%
                                                              0%
                                                                     2004                2005               2006       01.07.2007   6
Impacts on the Domestic Banking Sector

      US sub-prime mortgage crunch is limiting access to global capital
           markets. Banks re-orient towards domestic funding.


                                                           Russia’s current
Speculative capital
                                                          account balance is
flows out of Russia
                              Russian                         impaired
                              bankingg
 Interbank loan
                               sector                    Demand for Central
                                                           Bank refinancing
   rates go up
         g p                                             instruments goes up


   Funding base and retail deposits
          g                  p             Balances of correspondent and
                                                             p
    growth goes through a stage of        deposit accounts with the Central
         seasonal slowdown                           Bank shrink
                                                                               7
Sberbank Today
                                            Sbe b     od y

              Major Performance Results for 9 Months 2007 *)
                                                           )

                                                01 Jan.2007, billion   01 October 2007,   Growth over 9mo
                    Parameter
                                                       RUB                billion RUB          2007


    Net assets                                        3 574                 4 592            28,5%

    Book profit                                       112,8                 102,9            22.9%*

    Net profit                                         87,9                 81,2             22.4%*

    Capital                                            347                   633             82,4%


    ROAE                                              28,6%                20,0%

    ROAA                                              2,9%
                                                       ,                    2,6%
                                                                             ,
*) All figures here and hereafter are by RAR.
* Year on year                                                                                              8
Profit G ow
                                   o Growth

                                                                37,2
              40
                                        33,9
                   31,7                                                27,7
                                                                         ,
                                               27,6
                                               27 6
              30
                          25,9
Billion RUB




              20

              10

               0
                    Q1 2007              Q2 2007                 Q3 2007



                          Book profit              Net profit

                                                                 1 EUR = 36 62 RUB
                                                                         36,

                                                                                     9
Fundraising
                                              Deposits                        Breakdown of raised funds
                                                              2 435
                                                    2 311
              2 500                        2 148
                                  2 029                                                  Retail deposits
                                                                                            63.2%
                                                                                            63 2%
    Billion RUB




              2 000


              1 500                                                                                26.3%
                         01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07
                                        Corporate accounts                *

                                                                  1 062                            Corporate funds
                                                    1 016                     Other
              1 100                        870                                7.4%
                                                                                 %
                                  822
  llion RUB




                  900
                                                                                      Global borrowings
                  700
                                                                                           3.1%
Bil




                  500
                        Q4 2006     Q1 2007   Q2 2007   Q3 2007
         * - average daily balance for the quarter                                                               10
Corporate Lending
     Sector-wise breakdown                                                      Loan book                   2 578
                                                   2 500

                                                                                               2 115
          Industry and other                                                     1 999




                                             UB
                                                   2 000          1 929
            sectors: 55 6%




                                    Billion RU
                     55.6

    Trade:                                         1 500

    23.9%
                                                   1 000
                                                                 01.01.07       01.04.07      01.07.07     01.10.07

                                                      1 500                 Lending quarter wise
                                                                                    quarter-wise
                                                                                                          1 332

                                     Billion RUB                                           1 111
  Transport              Construc
                                             R
                                                      1 000               917
     and    Agriculture:  tion:
communicat    6,5%        5,9%
 ions: 8.1%
                                                           500
                                                                     Q1 2007             Q2 2007         Q3 2007

                                                                                                                      11
Corporate Lending Customer-wise

           Corporate loan book                                 Small b i
                                                               S ll business loans growth
                                                                             l         th




                                             ion RUB
                                                                                              388
                                                                                    288




                                         Billi
                                                                            205
                                                                  146
        Large customers        Medium                    89
            46.6%
            46 6%              37.7%
                               37 7%
                                                       01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.10.07

                                                              Small business loans as percentage
                                                                   of corporate loan book
                     15.0%
                                        15.5%                                             14.9%     15.0%
                                                                              14.5%
                                                                    13.2%
                                                                    13 2%
Government                              13.5%
                                                          12.1%
authorities: 0.7%    Small
                    business            11.5%

                                                         01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.10.07

                                                                                                            12
Retail Lending
    Retail loan book breakdown                                       Loan book
                                                                     L    b k                       867
                                                  900
                                                                                      794
                                                  800




                                             UB
                                                                     719




                                    Billion RU
                                                           695
       Consumer loans: 62.8%                      700


                                                  600
                                                        01.01.07   01.04.07      01.07.07       01.10.07

                                                           Mortgage loans as percentage of
       27.3%                                                      retail loan book
                                                  30%                                                27.3%
                                                                                            22.1%
                                                  20%                         15.2%
                       Car loans                                   13.0%
Mortgage loans                                            7.6%
                 Other       4.2%                 10%
                 5.7%
                 5 7%
                                                   0%
                                                        01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.10.07
                                                                                                             13
Credit Risk Management

                       Loan book and percentage of loans                                       Risk level
                                   overdue
                                                                 2%
                                                                      6%
              3500                 1.1%
                       1.1%                 1.1%
                                                         1.0%
                                                                            5.2%
Billion RUB




                                                                 1%
              3000                                                    4%

                                                         3 550                       3.7%     3.9%
                                                                                                       3.5%
                                                                                                                3.2%     3.1%
              2500                          3 077                1% 2%
                                 2 901
                       2 712

              2000                                               0% 0%
                      01.01.07 01.04.07   01.07.07   01.10.07              01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.07.07 01.10.07
                     Loans outstanding
                     Loans overdue / loans outstanding




                                                                                                                                14
Revenues for 9 Months 2007
                            Revenues
                                                                Revenues for 9mos 2007,
                                                                         RAR
              160
                         2006         2007         134
                                       122                           Interest income on
                         113                                          lending: 67.6%
              120
                                             103
                    89           91
  llion RUB




               80
Bil




               40

                                                                                          Fees:
                0                                        Securities: 11.4%                18.1%
                    Q1          Q2           Q3
                                                                              Other:
                                                                              2.9%


                                                                                                  15
Fee Income

                            Fee i
                            F income growth
                                         th                  Fee i
                                                             F income breakdown
                                                                      b kd


              30        2006            2007
                                                                                  21.3%
                                                      24.9
                                        23.0                    32.8%
                          19.0
                          19 0                 19.7
                                               19 7
              20                 17.6
  llion RUB




                   14.8                                                               15.4%
                                                                2.2%
Bil




              10                                                      13.3%   15.0%



              0                                               Retail cashier/payment services
                   Q1            Q2            Q3             Corporate cashier/payment services
                                                              Retail lending
                                                              Corporate lending
                                                              Bank cards
                                                              Other
                                                                                                   16
Expenses for 9 Months 2007
                            Expenses
                              p                               Expenses breakdown for
                                                                p
              120                                      55%
                                                                    9mos 2007
                                                                                           Deposit
                               50.3%                                                    insurance:
               90                                      50%
                                                                   Retail d
                                                                   R t il deposits
                                                                                it
                    47.1%                                                                     3.6%
                                                                  interest: 36.7%
Billion RUB




                                               45.2%
               60                                      45%


               30                                      40%


                0                                      35%
                                                                                            Other:
                    Q1       II квартал   Q3
                                                         Administrative,                    19,2%
                         Expenses      Cost / Income     operational, staff:    Provisions:
                                                         31.9%                       8,6%


                                                                                                 17
Capital, Capital Adequacy Ratio

                                      Capital                                              Capital adequacy


              600                                                       20%
                                                                                              19.1%        17.7%
                                                                                                                        15.9%
                                                                        16%
         UB




                                                                               11.7%
                                                                               11 7%
Billion RU




              400
                                                                        12%
                                   602          606          633
                                                                        8%                                               10%
              200     347
                                                                        4%

               0                                                        0%
                    01.01.2007   01.04.2007   01.07.2007   01.10.2007         01.01.2007     01.04.2007   01.07.2007   01.10.2007




                                                                                                                                    18
Sberbank Market C p
                                                 Sbe b        e Cap
              RTS index
              Ordinaries price (RTS)




   01.01.07       01.04.07                01.07.07     01.10.07    01.11.07

                                        110                                                             4.3      4.5
                                                                                                                 45
                                                                                            4.2
                                        100                                     3.9
                                  SD)




                                                                                                                 40
                                                                                                                 4.0
                         billion US




                                         90
                  Cap




                                                                                                                       Ordinari price
                                                                  3.6
                                                     3.4




                                                                                                                            (USD)
                                         80




                                                                                                                              ies
                                                                                                                 3.5
                        (b




                                         70

                                         60                                                                      3.0
                                                 01.01.07    01.04.07         01.07.07   01.10.07     01.11.07
                                                      Capitalization            Ordinaries price (RTS)
Historical prices recalculated per new par value                                                                               19
Development of the Banking Sector:
        What Has to be Done
        Wh t H t b D
          A i
          Actions to raise capitalisation
                       i      i li i
Revise approaches to long funds accumulation and
                      use
   Improve mechanisms for money supply and
   I           h i      f              l d
     refinancing from the Bank of Russia
 Develop stock market and long-term investment
                   market



                                                   20

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Andrey Kazmin Russian Post

  • 1. 30th Efma Convention: Leadership in retail fi L d hi i t il finance 13 p.m. & 14 March 2008 - Paris Andrei Kazmin Director General Russian Post
  • 2. Reforming the Russian Banking Sector g g and Sberbank’s Role in the Development of Economy Andrey I. Kazmin, I Kazmin, Chairman of the Board and CEO, Sberbank 2008 2008 EFMA’s 30th Annual Convention Paris, March 2
  • 3. Rapid G ow o Russian Economy p d Growth of uss co o y 34% 2006 GDP growth: Growth over 3 years Russia and 22% industrially y 10% 11% developed 7% 8% 7% 4% 3% 2% 6% 6% countries 2% 2% Growth, % 62% Assets/GDP 52% 45% 42% 42% 44% 38% 41% 35% 37% 35% Banking B ki assets i t in 34% 31% 27% Russia 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 (E ) 3
  • 4. Russian Banks: Good Potential for G ow uss s: oe o Growth 325% Banking assets / 205% GDP *) 148% 106% 92% 91% 74% 52% Ge It a Ja Cz Tu Ka Po Ru 8.9% r ly pa ec rk z lan ss 8.3% m n h ey ak d ia 7.9% an Re hs y pu ta b n lic 6.4% 5.9% Bank loans / 4.4% fixed fi d capital it l investments 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 *) 2006 4
  • 5. Shortage of Capital as Hindrance to Development D l t 19,1% 17,0% 16,8% 16,0% 14,9% 14 9% 15,0% 15 0% Capital adequacy 10% (Central Bank’s Standard No. 1) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 01.07.07 54% 44% Public 37% offerings by 41% Sberbank and Banking 27% VTB 36% capital and 28% 31% assets growth 16% Capital Assets * Estimate 2004 2005 2006 2007* 5
  • 6. Long Funds S o ge o g u ds Shortage Trillion RUB Deposits 10 65% Loans Loans in deposits, % 54% 8 42% 6 Changes in the 31% 4 saving behaviour 20% 14% 2 Loans covered by deposits 0 20% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Share of long loans in assets Share of long deposits in liabilities 17% 15% 15% 9% Shortage of l Sh t f long 10% 12% funds 27% 23% 17% 16% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 0% 2004 2005 2006 01.07.2007 6
  • 7. Impacts on the Domestic Banking Sector US sub-prime mortgage crunch is limiting access to global capital markets. Banks re-orient towards domestic funding. Russia’s current Speculative capital account balance is flows out of Russia Russian impaired bankingg Interbank loan sector Demand for Central Bank refinancing rates go up g p instruments goes up Funding base and retail deposits g p Balances of correspondent and p growth goes through a stage of deposit accounts with the Central seasonal slowdown Bank shrink 7
  • 8. Sberbank Today Sbe b od y Major Performance Results for 9 Months 2007 *) ) 01 Jan.2007, billion 01 October 2007, Growth over 9mo Parameter RUB billion RUB 2007 Net assets 3 574 4 592 28,5% Book profit 112,8 102,9 22.9%* Net profit 87,9 81,2 22.4%* Capital 347 633 82,4% ROAE 28,6% 20,0% ROAA 2,9% , 2,6% , *) All figures here and hereafter are by RAR. * Year on year 8
  • 9. Profit G ow o Growth 37,2 40 33,9 31,7 27,7 , 27,6 27 6 30 25,9 Billion RUB 20 10 0 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Book profit Net profit 1 EUR = 36 62 RUB 36, 9
  • 10. Fundraising Deposits Breakdown of raised funds 2 435 2 311 2 500 2 148 2 029 Retail deposits 63.2% 63 2% Billion RUB 2 000 1 500 26.3% 01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 Corporate accounts * 1 062 Corporate funds 1 016 Other 1 100 870 7.4% % 822 llion RUB 900 Global borrowings 700 3.1% Bil 500 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 * - average daily balance for the quarter 10
  • 11. Corporate Lending Sector-wise breakdown Loan book 2 578 2 500 2 115 Industry and other 1 999 UB 2 000 1 929 sectors: 55 6% Billion RU 55.6 Trade: 1 500 23.9% 1 000 01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 1 500 Lending quarter wise quarter-wise 1 332 Billion RUB 1 111 Transport Construc R 1 000 917 and Agriculture: tion: communicat 6,5% 5,9% ions: 8.1% 500 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 11
  • 12. Corporate Lending Customer-wise Corporate loan book Small b i S ll business loans growth l th ion RUB 388 288 Billi 205 146 Large customers Medium 89 46.6% 46 6% 37.7% 37 7% 01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.10.07 Small business loans as percentage of corporate loan book 15.0% 15.5% 14.9% 15.0% 14.5% 13.2% 13 2% Government 13.5% 12.1% authorities: 0.7% Small business 11.5% 01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.10.07 12
  • 13. Retail Lending Retail loan book breakdown Loan book L b k 867 900 794 800 UB 719 Billion RU 695 Consumer loans: 62.8% 700 600 01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 Mortgage loans as percentage of 27.3% retail loan book 30% 27.3% 22.1% 20% 15.2% Car loans 13.0% Mortgage loans 7.6% Other 4.2% 10% 5.7% 5 7% 0% 01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.10.07 13
  • 14. Credit Risk Management Loan book and percentage of loans Risk level overdue 2% 6% 3500 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 5.2% Billion RUB 1% 3000 4% 3 550 3.7% 3.9% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 2500 3 077 1% 2% 2 901 2 712 2000 0% 0% 01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 01.01.04 01.01.05 01.01.06 01.01.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 Loans outstanding Loans overdue / loans outstanding 14
  • 15. Revenues for 9 Months 2007 Revenues Revenues for 9mos 2007, RAR 160 2006 2007 134 122 Interest income on 113 lending: 67.6% 120 103 89 91 llion RUB 80 Bil 40 Fees: 0 Securities: 11.4% 18.1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Other: 2.9% 15
  • 16. Fee Income Fee i F income growth th Fee i F income breakdown b kd 30 2006 2007 21.3% 24.9 23.0 32.8% 19.0 19 0 19.7 19 7 20 17.6 llion RUB 14.8 15.4% 2.2% Bil 10 13.3% 15.0% 0 Retail cashier/payment services Q1 Q2 Q3 Corporate cashier/payment services Retail lending Corporate lending Bank cards Other 16
  • 17. Expenses for 9 Months 2007 Expenses p Expenses breakdown for p 120 55% 9mos 2007 Deposit 50.3% insurance: 90 50% Retail d R t il deposits it 47.1% 3.6% interest: 36.7% Billion RUB 45.2% 60 45% 30 40% 0 35% Other: Q1 II квартал Q3 Administrative, 19,2% Expenses Cost / Income operational, staff: Provisions: 31.9% 8,6% 17
  • 18. Capital, Capital Adequacy Ratio Capital Capital adequacy 600 20% 19.1% 17.7% 15.9% 16% UB 11.7% 11 7% Billion RU 400 12% 602 606 633 8% 10% 200 347 4% 0 0% 01.01.2007 01.04.2007 01.07.2007 01.10.2007 01.01.2007 01.04.2007 01.07.2007 01.10.2007 18
  • 19. Sberbank Market C p Sbe b e Cap RTS index Ordinaries price (RTS) 01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 01.11.07 110 4.3 4.5 45 4.2 100 3.9 SD) 40 4.0 billion US 90 Cap Ordinari price 3.6 3.4 (USD) 80 ies 3.5 (b 70 60 3.0 01.01.07 01.04.07 01.07.07 01.10.07 01.11.07 Capitalization Ordinaries price (RTS) Historical prices recalculated per new par value 19
  • 20. Development of the Banking Sector: What Has to be Done Wh t H t b D A i Actions to raise capitalisation i i li i Revise approaches to long funds accumulation and use Improve mechanisms for money supply and I h i f l d refinancing from the Bank of Russia Develop stock market and long-term investment market 20