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Strategic decision models
1. Fifty Models for strategic Thinking
By Mikael Krogerus & Roman Tchappëler
The Decision Book
by Sameh Ghazaly
By Sameh Ghazaly
2. Content:
Workshop Decision making models that help you to answer
• How to improve yourself
• How to understand yourself better
• How to understand others better
• How to improve others
3. How to improve yourself
The Decision Book
by Sameh Ghazaly
4. The most dangerous decisions are rarely the most important ones . Eisenhower
5. Stanford University
Study in 1960s – data
from 500 fortune
companies showed
that 30% discrepancy
between the company
objectives &
implementation
10. We often defer decisions when we’ve doubts. But not making a decision is a decision itself
11. WHERE HAVE YOU COME FROM ?
WHAT IS REALY IMPROTANT TO YOU?
WHICH PEOPLE ARE IMPORTANT TO YOU?
WHAT IS HINDERING YOU?
WHAT ARE YOU AFRAID OF ?
1- the beckoning Road
2- the dream Road
3- the sensible Road
4- the road not travelled
5- The Familiar Road
6- The Road Back
YOU DECIDE …
17. Its not what you know .. Its what you remember .
18. How to recognize whether you should change your job
To what extent my current tasks ..
• Have to
Being imposed on me or demanded of me
• Able to
match my abilities
• Want to
Correspond to what I really want
19.
20. • How to understand others better
The Decision Book
by Sameh Ghazaly
21. 5 Years
5 Years
10 Years
10 Years 2 Years
2 Years
You can’t shake hands with a clenched fist. Indira Gandhi
23. The things we desire the most are the things we need the least
24.
25. Real change occur when reassess our more deeply rooted reasons, objectives and values
26.
27.
28. Bertrand Russell , the problem of philosophy 1912
How do We Know what We Know ?
Does The Past Help Us Predict The future?
Why Do We Never Expect Unexpected Events?
What Were black Swan – the unexpected events in your life and When did they occur ?
29.
30. • How to improve others
The Decision Book
by Sameh Ghazaly
33. THE TEAM UP TO THE JOB
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Roony
Lampard
Gerrard
Cole
Terry
Avoid Penalty Shoot Out
Create New criteria that apply to your team’s objective & evaluate each team member
against them , ask the team to evaluate themselves, how do the curve compare
34. The Gab in the Market Model
This Model Helps you to identify gaps in the market; position your competitors
according to the three aces ( e.g Prestige, Cost-Effectiveness, Awareness) …
Where is there a niche ?
You want to Launch a magazine .. Then
The x-axis is Cost Effectiveness -
how economical is your product ?
The Y-axis is Prestige –
How well known is the Product ?
The z-axis is Awareness –
How loud is your product?
35. What Can We Learn From this Models
• Management models have tried to reduce complexity by considering ideas into matrix
• Its all started by spreadsheet programs ( like Microsoft Excel revolutionized budget tool)
• Management theory today is at about the same stage as medicine before X-Ray intro.
• Today the results of certain decisions are first tested in a virtual world before they are
implemented in a real markets
• In The future, Decision makers will work with Prognosis tools (e.g. Predictions by statistical
analysis) and the value of such early models shouldn’t be underestimated .. Even with the
newest medical interventions to hand, A doctor will still rely on the basic diagnostic tools :
listening and examining
Thank you