2. Prof Ir. Jaap van Till Telecommunication and Networking Group Technology Faculty HAN University of Applied Sciences, NL eComm Emerging Communications Conference Oct 28-30 2009 “ What’s next in Telecom, Mobile & Internet Communications” Amsterdam Oct 29 08.45 – 09.05 The Motor: How Networking will get us out of the Crises The question is no longer what PPL can do with telecom but what telecom does to (groups of) People Version 2 “ Let the beauty we love be what we do . There are 00s of ways 2 kneel & kiss the ground.” Rumi, 13th century Sufi poet (recent Tweet on #iranelection)

4. Mark Cooper [22] The U-Turn !! Inside-out and Outside-in OPEN COOPERATIVE COMMONS like Frequency bands

5. Mark Cooper : Examples

6. The FORCE of COOPERATION by P2Peerialists DRIVERS BEHIND the IMPACT OF INTERNET & TELECOM : Networking Effects 1. Broadcasting of info: Value ~ grows with number of listeners, viewers N Sarnoff’s Law (value for the broadcaster/ advertiser/ spindoctor) 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + ……….(N) 2. Communication V ~ N 2 Metcalfe’s Law N + N + N + N + N ……….(N) (Odlyzko-Tilly Law V ~ N Log N) 3. Group Membership V ~ 2 N Reed’s Law 2 * 2 * 2 * 2 * 2 * 2 ……….(N) ( + Multi Tribe Membership by networking ) 4. Connected people working together V ~ N ! Van Till’s Synthecracy Netw. Law Upper bound of possible combinations of contributions N ! = N * N-1 * N-2 * …..* 2 * 1 (N) Total space of cooperation = number of configurations in time/space when each unique and diverse individual contributes and shares resources and knowledge. [14] Examples: teams, communities of practice, multiuser games, simulation Grids, virtual labs Mashup Team, Flock, Herd, Evolution by flexible learning and Group Selection [9,10]

8. The Telescope Metaphor: a better picture for ALL by network sharing of contributions Different angles ! b. Resolution ~ < distance > contrast Array Grid IT CAN SCALE UP !! Clusters a. Sensitivity ~ teledensity N*N CORRELATION N ! Combinations FFT NETWORK “network Lenses Technology It can coordinate, inform, self organise Global Brain 2012

9. Synthecracy The Trias Telematica : clustering of roles in the NetTech Age [ van Till 1988, version March 31 2008] CIVIL SOCIETY empowered Civilians volunteers Freedom of Choice, users microtransactions<Douglass North> virtual communities <Maslov ++> distant friend links, P2P, complexity horizontal value chains, share Synthesis  Synergy, distr. models * open source softw. dev. * ISOC IETF, organic growth * mashups, self org netw’s general public Interest STATE Governments Institutions (unipolar extreme: bureacratic controlaholicism) Reliability and Equality in treatment by Law MKT Businesses Enterprises The power of EBITDA Risk/ Reward vent. Partnerships Brotherhood s (unipolar extreme: dominant monopolies) The power of ideas and know how The power of position (unipolar extreme: selfcentered, intolerance, isolation) [ Separation of State Powers (Montesquieu)] executive legislative judiciary

10. Sea of Green community on: #iranelection (topic on Twitter .com) Facebook , BBC Farsi satTV Youtube, Internet, SMS Many parallel paths [4] cannot be blocked. Volunteer actions [5] Iranians calling for non violent Reform, not Revolution [6]. Economy does not work, even without sanctions. What ppl do with technology ? After Gustave Eiffel, St Cyr, France Surprises and innovations Rooftop chants Outside Home !! Mutual help by unrelated unselfish [7] Show the truth Give practical advice & recipes Make overviews, aggregates Show flourishing art and culture What does Network Technology do to PPL ???!!!

12. (Fake: Newspaper montage) Symbols IRAN : Surprise uprising after 30 years of oppression[1] [2], now 2 months old Emancipation of 35 million women: show no fear any more 70 % of university students are women 60 % of population are younger than 30 Culture of (micro) blogging

15. Sources [1] Images from the Sea of Green http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quPXg_GoTOk [2] Farsi PDF magazine http://bit.ly/3tEjZx [3] van Till “Technologies of Flocking” http://www.scienceguide.nl/article.asp?articleid=107531 Science Guide July 3 2009 , including link to Stonier article. [4] Iran’s Modern Communications http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8ROCzKzQNc&feature=related [5] http://www.haystacknetwork.com/ [6] American journalists about Iran http://fora.tv/2009/07/01/Tweeting_The_Revolution [7] Peter Csermely , “Weak Links&quot; -- Stabilizers of Complex Systems from Proteins to Social Networks”; Springer 2006 [9 ] Rao, “Market Rebels – How Activists Make or Break Radical Innovations” ; 2009, Princeton University Press [8 ] Shirky, “Here Comes Everybody – How Change Happens when People Come Together; 2009, Penguin [10] Earls. “HERD – How to Change Mass Behaviour by Harnessing our True Nature”; revised edition 2009, Wiley [11] Carlota Perez, 2009 Open Democracy Journal; http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/economics/email/how-to-make-economic-crisis-creative [12] Perez, http://www.carlotaperez.org/papers/4-technologicalrevolutionsparadigm.htm#comienzo [13] Perez, http://www.carlotaperez.org/papers/2-technologicalrevolutionsparadigm.htm [14] Lawrence Lessig about the re-use of intellectual property http://wiki.lessig.org/index.php?title=TheKeenReader [15] Peizer, “ The Dynamics of Technology for Social Change – lessons learned from the field” ; 2006, iUniverse Inc [16] Gene Sharp “ From Dictatorship to Democracy – A Conceptual Framework for Liberation, The Albert Einstein Institution 2002, Original version by Khit Pyaing , Bangkok in 1993. PDF is online. [17] Popovic, Milivojevic, Djinovic “Nonviolent Struggle – 50 Crucial Points” Manual ; 2006 CANVAS Belgrade, online as 50CP_Farsi.pdf or 50CP_English.pdf [18] Siegfried Woldhek http://www.Nabuur.com [19] Michel Bauwens P2P Foundation http://p2pfoundation.net/The_Foundation_for_P2P_Alternatives [20] Template Twitter Strategy for Government Departements (UK mInistries) [21] Fleetwood Mac, “Don’t stop Thinking about Tomorrow” http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a8arvEzHsA8 [22] Mark Cooper ” FROM WIFI TO WIKIS AND OPEN SOURCE: THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF COLLABORATIVE PRODUCTION IN THE DIGITAL INFORMATION AGE ” Telecommunications & High Technolgy Law Vol 5, 9/7/2007 Stanford Technologies of Flocking: creative construction towards the Synthecracy Society

16. Addendum

17. No dictatorships Teleden sity: Fixed phone line conn / 100 inhab Yearly GNP/ inh. Source: Siemens 1997 <--Stonier [art 1983] See [3] ? ?

18. Napoleon’s army and bureaucracy Command & Control Information Simple Linear Static Networked P2P Cooperation Creative Construction Coordination Hierachies and Authorities less relevant Contributions that WORK Cooperation Complex, non-linear, dynamic Now with Network Technolgy We Can ! Value is in the Link / Relation Value is in the centre/ node, authority

19. Network Technology removes obstacles (Liebig’s Law ) Something changed !! see Shirky [8] I Governance PR, Decisions Broadcasting Media Newspapers, TV Advertising Propaganda Spin Doctors [20] II Democracy and Telecommunication Dialogue , in panels on TV Referendum online E-democracy Website input, reactions Email Diversity of Views Majority Rule with respect for minority III Synthecracy Combination of Things that Work Compl Cooperation MSN, Blogging Tribes Synthesis Twitter Youtube Synergy, Emergent Behaviour Surprises, Value creation

20. Development of the Networking Cooperation Paradigm towards Synthecracy 1. Engineers developing working things together examples : ISOC IETF: Internet Engineering Taskforce IEEE Wi-Fi, Process of Improvements !! Linux, Open Source Software QL !! 2. Economic Innovation in Business Processes Disruptive Innovations : Rebels & Activists [9,10] i.e. Broadband FttH Analysis of Carlota Perez to get out of the crisis ad recession [12,13] After the creative destruction and meltdowns  Creative Construction 3. Social networks and political processes P2P Foundation [19] , Perez [11 ], [15] Rebalance of the Trias Telematica by political parties [16,17,18] Sea of Green IRAN