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THE KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT ROLE
  IN MITIGATING OPERATIONAL RISK
                     Eduardo C. F. Longo
Paper presented by Eduardo C. F. Longo at the
       European Conference on Intellectual
Capital, INHolland University of Applied Sciences.
            Haarlem, The Netherlands
                28-29 April 2009
January 28, 1986
Space Shuttle Challenger disaster




Cause: 2 rubber O-rings leaked
January 27, 1986

  Engineers were concerned that the O-rings
   would not seal at the predicted temperature for
   the launch
  The evidence was presented in 13 charts
  NASA officials pointed out weaknesses in the
   charts
  There was agreement that the evidence was
   inconclusive
Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal
book “Visual Explanations”




The engineers reached
the correct conclusion:
  cold weather was a
  risk to the O-rings
Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal
book “Visual Explanations”




 Failed to present the
 evidence effectively


The engineers reached
the correct conclusion:
  cold weather was a
  risk to the O-rings
Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal
book “Visual Explanations”

A catastrophic decision
   was not avoided


 Failed to present the
 evidence effectively


The engineers reached
the correct conclusion:
  cold weather was a
  risk to the O-rings
Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal
book “Visual Explanations”




 Failed to present the
                           No one of the 13 charts
 evidence effectively
                          depicted the link between
                          temperature and O-ring
                                   damage

                         They had all the information
                          necessary to diagnose the
                                relationship
The main point is that

  A better information design could reveal
        the serious risk of the launch
This case is an example of the influence




        Intangible
        assets, e.g.
     information and
        knowledge
Intangible assets are increasingly
           important

    Create            Pose risks if
economic value        mismanaged
We propose to integrate




    Knowledge              Operational
    Management                Risk
 i. how information and knowledge create the
     possibility of OR events
 ii. how they could be used to avoid these
     events
 Knowledge is related to our “life
                history” and mental models
               KM should focus on supporting
                decisions and actions
Knowledge      Instead of managing, stimulating
Management

               The risk of loss due to inadequate
                or failed internal processes, people
                and systems, or to external events
               Very broad concept
Operational    Part of any business activity
   Risk        Gains importance
System /
                                                                  Human                                                               External
                                  Process                                                              Fraud
                                                                   error                                                               events
                                   failure
  Information Perspective




                               Information loss             Interpretation error            Information falsification          Lack of monitoring tools

                               Bad data quality            Information treatment              Information lost to
                                                                   error                          competitors
                             Data capturing error                                            Lack of informational
                                                                                             tools to identify fraud
                            Data treatment error                                              Information security
                                                                                                    fragility

                                 Inadequate                   Loss of previous                    Social engineering             Dependence on key
Perspective




                              documentation of                  experiences                                                          personnel
Knowledge




                             business knowledge
                                                            Decisions biased by
                                 Inadequate                  personal beliefs
                              documentation of
                            adopted business rules
perspective




                              Difficulties to        Flaws in decision            Competitive              Image negatively             Barriers to
 Business




                               identify and              making                  advantage loss                affected              creation of new
                              benefit from                                                                                             knowledge
                                                     Flaws in strategy           Financial loss           Waste of resources
                              opportunities
                                                        definition                                                                      Barriers to
                                                                                                                                        innovation
[               ]
 Causality is not
fully predictable
In the Challenger disaster,
                                      System /
                                      Process
                                       failure
                                                          Human
                                                           error               [Causality is not
                                                                               fully predictable         ]
Knowledge Information Perspective




                                                      Interpretation error

                                    Data treatment        Information
                                        error           treatment error
Perspective




                                                       Decisions biased
                                                      by personal beliefs
perspective




                                                     Flaws in                    Image
 Business




                                                                   Financial                Death of 7
                                                     decision                  negatively
                                                                      loss                  astronauts
                                                     making                     affected
Information Management Role

 Information is an asset of an organization

                         Part of operational
  No intrinsic value
                              processes
Information Management Role

 Information is an asset of an organization




                               Design that favors
   Quality      Availability
                                understanding
Information Management Role
                                    Available to the company
                                    Yes                   No
Available to competitors
                           Yes




                                 Maintain              Obtain




                                 Protect              Research
                           No
Knowledge Management Role




   Loss of       Barriers to   Loss of relative
organizational   knowledge      competitive
  knowledge       creation       advantage
Knowledge Management Role




   Loss of
organizational
  knowledge
 Processes and IT systems poorly documented
 Lack of mentoring programs
Knowledge Management Role




                    Barriers to
                    knowledge
                     creation
 Lack of efforts that foster knowledge creation
 Aggressive intellectual property programs
Knowledge Management Role




                            Loss of relative
                             competitive
                              advantage
 Industrial espionage
 Loss of human capital
This approach has clear benefits

 Connect KM                                  Broader
  to a clear                             understanding
business driver                           of risk events
                  Knowledge Management
                     Operational Risk



         Adopt an interdisciplinary approach

         Optimize investments & efforts
Final words
                  Complex                               Complicated



            Knowledge Management
               Operational Risk


                   Chaotic                                   Simple




Cynefin framework; originally developed by Dave Snowden and collaborators
Final words



     Knowledge Management
        Operational Risk

      First step towards an integrative model
      There is no “best practice”, but
       “emergent practices”
      Coherent and necessary
Thank
 you!

          Eduardo C. F. Longo
   ecflongo@synapsing.com.br

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The Knowledge Management Role in Mitigating Operational Risk

  • 1. THE KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT ROLE IN MITIGATING OPERATIONAL RISK Eduardo C. F. Longo
  • 2. Paper presented by Eduardo C. F. Longo at the European Conference on Intellectual Capital, INHolland University of Applied Sciences. Haarlem, The Netherlands 28-29 April 2009
  • 4. Space Shuttle Challenger disaster Cause: 2 rubber O-rings leaked
  • 5. January 27, 1986  Engineers were concerned that the O-rings would not seal at the predicted temperature for the launch  The evidence was presented in 13 charts  NASA officials pointed out weaknesses in the charts  There was agreement that the evidence was inconclusive
  • 6. Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal book “Visual Explanations” The engineers reached the correct conclusion: cold weather was a risk to the O-rings
  • 7. Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal book “Visual Explanations” Failed to present the evidence effectively The engineers reached the correct conclusion: cold weather was a risk to the O-rings
  • 8. Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal book “Visual Explanations” A catastrophic decision was not avoided Failed to present the evidence effectively The engineers reached the correct conclusion: cold weather was a risk to the O-rings
  • 9. Edward Tufte discusses this case in his seminal book “Visual Explanations” Failed to present the No one of the 13 charts evidence effectively depicted the link between temperature and O-ring damage They had all the information necessary to diagnose the relationship
  • 10. The main point is that A better information design could reveal the serious risk of the launch
  • 11. This case is an example of the influence Intangible assets, e.g. information and knowledge
  • 12. Intangible assets are increasingly important Create Pose risks if economic value mismanaged
  • 13. We propose to integrate Knowledge Operational Management Risk i. how information and knowledge create the possibility of OR events ii. how they could be used to avoid these events
  • 14.  Knowledge is related to our “life history” and mental models  KM should focus on supporting decisions and actions Knowledge  Instead of managing, stimulating Management  The risk of loss due to inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or to external events  Very broad concept Operational  Part of any business activity Risk  Gains importance
  • 15. System / Human External Process Fraud error events failure Information Perspective Information loss Interpretation error Information falsification Lack of monitoring tools Bad data quality Information treatment Information lost to error competitors Data capturing error Lack of informational tools to identify fraud Data treatment error Information security fragility Inadequate Loss of previous Social engineering Dependence on key Perspective documentation of experiences personnel Knowledge business knowledge Decisions biased by Inadequate personal beliefs documentation of adopted business rules perspective Difficulties to Flaws in decision Competitive Image negatively Barriers to Business identify and making advantage loss affected creation of new benefit from knowledge Flaws in strategy Financial loss Waste of resources opportunities definition Barriers to innovation
  • 16. [ ] Causality is not fully predictable
  • 17. In the Challenger disaster, System / Process failure Human error [Causality is not fully predictable ] Knowledge Information Perspective Interpretation error Data treatment Information error treatment error Perspective Decisions biased by personal beliefs perspective Flaws in Image Business Financial Death of 7 decision negatively loss astronauts making affected
  • 18. Information Management Role Information is an asset of an organization Part of operational No intrinsic value processes
  • 19. Information Management Role Information is an asset of an organization Design that favors Quality Availability understanding
  • 20. Information Management Role Available to the company Yes No Available to competitors Yes Maintain Obtain Protect Research No
  • 21. Knowledge Management Role Loss of Barriers to Loss of relative organizational knowledge competitive knowledge creation advantage
  • 22. Knowledge Management Role Loss of organizational knowledge  Processes and IT systems poorly documented  Lack of mentoring programs
  • 23. Knowledge Management Role Barriers to knowledge creation  Lack of efforts that foster knowledge creation  Aggressive intellectual property programs
  • 24. Knowledge Management Role Loss of relative competitive advantage  Industrial espionage  Loss of human capital
  • 25. This approach has clear benefits Connect KM Broader to a clear understanding business driver of risk events Knowledge Management Operational Risk Adopt an interdisciplinary approach Optimize investments & efforts
  • 26. Final words Complex Complicated Knowledge Management Operational Risk Chaotic Simple Cynefin framework; originally developed by Dave Snowden and collaborators
  • 27. Final words Knowledge Management Operational Risk  First step towards an integrative model  There is no “best practice”, but “emergent practices”  Coherent and necessary
  • 28. Thank you! Eduardo C. F. Longo ecflongo@synapsing.com.br