1. From Human Impacts to Human Rights:
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights
American University
Washington College of Law
Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Presentation by Edward Cameron
ecameron@worldbank.org
2. American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
3. PURPOSE of today’s lecture
Assess how climate change
interacts with development
Examine the interface between
human rights and climate change
Explore the role of governance in
the transition to low carbon
climate-resilient development
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
4. PURPOSE of today’s lecture
The WHY of human rights and
climate change is as important
today as the WHAT!
We want to understand why
vulnerable populations are turning
to this approach; what challenges
they have faced; what the results
have been; and what the
implications are going forward.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
5. SCOPE of today’s lecture
Climate Change and Development
Climate Change and Human Rights
Governance
HR and CC: Limits and possibilities
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
6. Learning Methods
Presentation
Interactive
Assignments
Shared expertise
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
7. Learning Methods
READ the case studies
RESPOND to the questions
RELATE the to your own
country / work
REPORT your conclusions for
an open discussion
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
8. Climate Change: An assessment
“Like a stranger who has just
blown into town, climate change
seems a presence without a
past”.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
9. Climate Change: An assessment
Unequivocal means that climate
change is real and undeniable
Accelerating means that the
effect is getting worse
“Very Likely” Anthropogenic
implies a probability of more
than 90% that it is human
induced and not the result of
natural causes
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
10. Climate Change: An assessment
“Man can perceive the problematic, yet
he does not understand the origins,
significance, and interrelationships of
its many components and thus is
unable to devise an effective
response”.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
11. Climate Change: An assessment
“Perhaps the greatest weakness
of sustainable development lies
in the fact that we have not yet
begun to invent a politics to go
with the concept”.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
12. Climate Change and Development
Part 1 An additional stress on an already stressed system
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
13. Vulnerability
Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change
and variation in which a system is EXPOSED, it's SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE
CAPACITY (IPCC 2007a, p21)
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
14. Exposure to Risk
Exposure - the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change
and variation to which a system is subjected, such as:
๏Risks to unique and threatened systems (coral)
๏Extreme weather events (storm surges and sea swells)
๏Reduced agricultural productivity
๏Increased water insecurity
๏Increased health risk
๏Large-scale singularities
๏Aggregate impacts (impacts worsen over time)
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
15. Exposure in ASIA Exposure to Risk
“The human drama of climate change will largely be played out in
Asia, where 60% of the world’s population lives - over half near
the coast - making them directly vulnerable to sea level rise” (New
Economics Foundation 2007).
๏ A 1m rise in sea level would inundate coastal cities and
communities throughout Asia. In 2007 almost 20 million people
were displaced as devastating floods hit northern India,
Bangladesh and Nepal.
๏ Freshwater availability, particularly in large river basins, is
projected to decrease. This, along with population growth and
increasing demand arising from higher standards of living,
could adversely affect more than a billion people by the 2050s
(IPCC 2007, p13).
๏ South Asia could experience losses of up to 10 percent of
many of its local staples including rice by 2030. Fears over the
supply and cost of rice led to food riots and export bans in a
number of South Asian countries in 2007 and 2008.
16. Six Climate Threats: Top Twelve Countries Most at Risk Exposure to Risk
Drought Flood Storm Coastal 1m Coastal 5m Agriculture
Malawi Bangladesh Philippines All Low lying All Low lying Sudan
Ethiopia China Bangladesh Vietnam Netherlands Senegal
Zimbabwe India Madagascar Egypt Japan Zimbabwe
India Cambodia Vietnam Tunisia Bangladesh Mali
Mozambique Mozambique Moldova Indonesia Philippines Zambia
Niger Laos Mongolia Mauritania Egypt Morocco
Mauritania Pakistan Haiti China Brazil Niger
Eritrea Sri Lanka Samoa Mexico Venezuela India
Sudan Thailand Tonga Myanmar Senegal Malawi
Chad Vietnam China Bangladesh Fiji Algeria
Kenya Benin Honduras Senegal Vietnam Ethiopia
Iran Rwanda Fiji Libya Denmark Pakistan
Low income Middle income High income
Source: World Bank 2008
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
17. Sensitivity
Sensitivity - Intersecting inequalities - produce different
experiences of climate change impacts:
๏ Geographic context
๏ Dependence on the environment
for livelihoods, food, fuel, shelter
and medicine
๏ Asset and Resource deficiency
๏ Governance / political economy
issues
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
18. Sensitivity
Who are vulnerable?
๏ Women
๏ Indigenous Peoples
๏ The urban poor
๏ Inhabitants of small island
states
๏ Vulnerability is not a uniform
taxonomy
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
19. Poverty, hunger and increased water scarcity
๏ Temperature rises beyond 2°C will increase the
number of people at risk of poverty and
hunger, leaving an additional 600 million facing
acute malnutrition by the 2080s
๏ The Stern review predicted that temperature
rises of 2°C will result in as many as 4 billion
people experiencing growing water shortages.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
20. Loss of livelihoods
๏ The livelihoods of roughly 450 million of the world’s
poorest people are entirely dependent on managed
ecosystem services. 2.6bn people are dependent on
agriculture.
๏ Livelihood sources of the poor are usually narrow and
climate-sensitive. In periods of stress they draw down on
a variety of assets and resources leaving them further
exposed to the next risk.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
21. Health and fatalities
๏ Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue and yellow
fever are expected to increase. At present, approximately
40 percent of the world’s population is at risk from malaria
but this number is projected to rise to 80 percent by 2080.
๏ The number of deaths from weather-related disasters and
gradual environmental degradation due to climate change
is expected to jump to about 500,000 people per year.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
22. Involuntary displacement and migration
๏ The IPCC and the Stern Review state that by 2050, up to 200
million people may be permanently displaced due to climate
change, while UNDP estimates that global temperature
increases of 3–4°C could result in 330 million people being
permanently or temporarily displaced as a result of flooding.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
23. Increased incidence of violent conflict
๏ Climate change acts as a “threat multiplier” that heightens
the conditions for internal conflict, sows the seeds of
instability in already volatile regions, and increases the
likelihood of failed states.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
24. Damage to infrastructure and utilities
๏ Slow and rapid climate impacts destroys assets and
infrastructure
๏ Public utilities can be severely undermined with
impacts on long-term development
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
25. Opportunity cost of climate change responses
๏ Valuable assets are diverted from development to
combat climate change impacts
๏ Climate change mitigation may alter the way we look
at livelihood diversification and access to affordable
energy
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
26. Adaptive Capacity
Adaptation - “Refers to changes in processes, practices, or structures to moderate or
offset potential damages or to take advantage of opportunities associated with changes in
climate (IPCC 2001).
Adaptive Capacity - The capacity to mobilize resources to build resilience
๏Various types of assets
๏Technological
๏Knowledge
๏Governance
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
27. Adaptive Capacity
Strengthening adaptive capacity by building assets, capital and resources
๏Human
๏Social and cultural
๏Natural
๏Physical
๏Financial
๏Research and Innovation
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
28. Resilience
Resilience occurs where adaptive
capacity is strong, inequalities are
addressed, and exposure minimized.
It reflects the ability to deal with
change and continue to develop.
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
29. Participatory Exercise
read, respond, relate, report
Task 1: Read (10 mins)
Task 2: Prepare responses to questions (5 mins)
Task 3: Open discussion (20 mins)
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
30. Climate Change and Human Rights
Part 2 From the margins to the mainstream
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
31. Human Rights or Human Rights Law?
First Principles
Political and Legal Goals Legal
Conceptual Frameworks Legal
Broad Disciplines Narrow
Lacking Rigor Intensive
Core Instruments Common Sources Core Instruments
Wide Rights and Obligations Narrow
Wide Institutions Narrow
Wide Measures / Instruments Narrow
Global Jurisdictions Strictly defined
The Court of Public Pressure Points The Courts
Opinion
To be determined Limits and Possibilities To be determined
To be determined Outcomes To be determined
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
32. Why have vulnerable populations turned to human rights?
๏ Frustration
๏ Urgency and ambition
๏ Public Diplomacy
๏ Improve analysis
๏ Responsibility and accountability
๏ “A game-changer”
๏ Redress, justice and compensation
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
33. A series of game changers
ASIL 104th Annual Meeting
From the Margins to the Mainstream: International law in a time of change
The possibilities and limits of climate justice Panel on International Environmental Justice
Washington, DC | 26 March 2010
34. What challenges have they faced?
๏ The complexities of Climate
Change
๏ The politics of Climate Change
๏ The politics of Human Rights
๏ The perceived shortcomings of
Human Rights
๏ The profile of the advocates
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
35. What results have they achieved?
๏ Increased visibility
๏ Breaking down of path
dependency
๏ Moral and political authority
๏ Greater advocacy
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
36. What are the long-term implications?
๏ Change the debate
๏ Mobilize new constituencies
๏ Analysis
๏ Risk management
๏ Process
๏ Instruments - rethinking old ones
and developing new ones
๏ Monitoring and evaluation
๏ Substantive outcomes
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
37. Governance and Climate Change
Part 3 The road ahead
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
38. The Building Blocks
๏ Mitigation
๏ Reduced Emissions
from Deforestation and
Degradation (REDD)
๏ Adaptation
๏ Technology
๏ Finance
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
39. Finance
Estimates put the cost of climate change at between
$4bn and $109bn per year (Stern 2006 / UNDP 2007)
๏How much is required?
๏New and additional?
๏How to generate funding?
๏How to disburse / target
funding?
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
40. Finance
CDM and Carbon Offset Markets
Auctioning of Emissions Rights
Emissions Cap and Trade
Tax on Financial Transactions (Tobin Tax)
GHG Levy
Aviation / Shipping tax
General taxes and specific funds
Carbon Taxes
GDP Contribution (0.5% - 1%)
Baseline ODA (up to 0.7% of GNP)
Source: How will the world finance climate change action? World Bank presentation to the Bali Brunch, April 2009
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
41. Scales and Principles
Vulnerable communities are least responsible for the cause and least able to deal with the
Global:
consequences of climate change.
UNFCC, Kyoto, Bali Roadmap
Regional:
EU and other initiatives
National:
Policies at the state level
Local / Sub-national:
Initiatives at provincial, community and household level
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
42. Scales and Principles
Rationalize energy, water and agricultural price, tax
Incentives incentives, fiscal and expenditure policies
Efficiency standards; codes, zoning, climate
Regulations screening / proofing of investments
Capacity of public, private and financial sector
Institutions institutions to assess and act on climate risks and
new business opportunities
Improve investment climate; deepen financial and
Markets capital markets; new markets (cap & trade, CDM,
etc...)
Education, raising awareness and promoting
Public Outreach change in consumer behavior and preferences,
public diplomacy
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
43. A human rights-based approach to climate change
Part 4 Limits and Possibilities
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
44. A human rights-based approach to climate change
Possibilities and Limits
๏ Does climate change violate
human rights?
๏ Does climate change undermine
the realization of rights?
๏ Does it matter?
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
45. A human rights-based approach to climate change
Possibilities and Limits
๏ Can Human Rights provide added
value to climate responses?
๏ What role for Human Rights in
climate governance?
๏ Can Human Rights improve
substantive outcomes for
vulnerable populations?
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
46. A human rights-based approach to climate change
Possibilities and Limits
๏ Climate Change and Human Rights
in your country: help or hindrance?
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
47. The Choice
From the Margins to the Mainstream?
The prospects and implications of this
interface rest on it demonstrating
instrumental added value.
This involves demonstrating utility in four
issue areas: analysis, governance, risk
management, and integration with existing
institutional incentives and priorities.
Human rights can also be a powerful tool for
advocacy and can be a transformative
political tool.
ASIL 104th Annual Meeting
From the Margins to the Mainstream: International law in a time of change
The possibilities and limits of climate justice Panel on International Environmental Justice
Washington, DC | 26 March 2010
48. Thank you for your participation
edwardcameron@yahoo.com
American University
From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
Washington, DC | 16 June 2010