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From Human Impacts to Human Rights:
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights



                        American University
                    Washington College of Law
           Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law

                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010




                  Presentation by Edward Cameron
                     ecameron@worldbank.org
American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
PURPOSE of today’s lecture



 Assess how climate change
 interacts with development

 Examine the interface between
 human rights and climate change

 Explore the role of governance in
 the transition to low carbon
 climate-resilient development



                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
PURPOSE of today’s lecture


 The WHY of human rights and
 climate change is as important
 today as the WHAT!

 We want to understand why
 vulnerable populations are turning
 to this approach; what challenges
 they have faced; what the results
 have been; and what the
 implications are going forward.


                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
SCOPE of today’s lecture



 Climate Change and Development

 Climate Change and Human Rights

 Governance

 HR and CC: Limits and possibilities




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Learning Methods



   Presentation

   Interactive

   Assignments

   Shared expertise




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Learning Methods


   READ the case studies

   RESPOND to the questions

   RELATE the to your own
   country / work

   REPORT your conclusions for
   an open discussion




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Climate Change: An assessment


   “Like a stranger who has just
   blown into town, climate change
   seems a presence without a
   past”.




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Climate Change: An assessment

     Unequivocal means that climate
     change is real and undeniable

     Accelerating means that the
     effect is getting worse

     “Very Likely” Anthropogenic
     implies a probability of more
     than 90% that it is human
     induced and not the result of
     natural causes


                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Climate Change: An assessment

“Man can perceive the problematic, yet
he does not understand the origins,
significance, and interrelationships of
its many components and thus is
unable to devise an effective
response”.




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Climate Change: An assessment


   “Perhaps the greatest weakness
   of sustainable development lies
   in the fact that we have not yet
   begun to invent a politics to go
   with the concept”.




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Climate Change and Development
      Part 1                     An additional stress on an already stressed system




                                                                                              American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                   Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                         Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                         Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Vulnerability
     Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change
     and variation in which a system is EXPOSED, it's SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE
     CAPACITY (IPCC 2007a, p21)




                                                                                American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                     Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights           Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                           Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Exposure to Risk
     Exposure - the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change
     and variation to which a system is subjected, such as:


               ๏Risks to unique and threatened systems (coral)
               ๏Extreme weather events (storm surges and sea swells)
               ๏Reduced agricultural productivity
               ๏Increased water insecurity
               ๏Increased health risk
               ๏Large-scale singularities
               ๏Aggregate impacts (impacts worsen over time)

                                                                               American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                    Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights          Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                          Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Exposure in ASIA                                                        Exposure to Risk
“The human drama of climate change will largely be played out in
Asia, where 60% of the world’s population lives - over half near
the coast - making them directly vulnerable to sea level rise” (New
Economics Foundation 2007).

 ๏   A 1m rise in sea level would inundate coastal cities and
     communities throughout Asia. In 2007 almost 20 million people
     were displaced as devastating floods hit northern India,
     Bangladesh and Nepal.


 ๏   Freshwater availability, particularly in large river basins, is
     projected to decrease. This, along with population growth and
     increasing demand arising from higher standards of living,
     could adversely affect more than a billion people by the 2050s
     (IPCC 2007, p13).

 ๏   South Asia could experience losses of up to 10 percent of
     many of its local staples including rice by 2030. Fears over the
     supply and cost of rice led to food riots and export bans in a
     number of South Asian countries in 2007 and 2008.
Six Climate Threats: Top Twelve Countries Most at Risk                                Exposure to Risk
                    Drought                  Flood           Storm          Coastal 1m     Coastal 5m        Agriculture
                     Malawi              Bangladesh        Philippines      All Low lying All Low lying          Sudan
                    Ethiopia                 China         Bangladesh         Vietnam     Netherlands           Senegal
                   Zimbabwe                   India        Madagascar          Egypt          Japan           Zimbabwe
                       India              Cambodia          Vietnam           Tunisia      Bangladesh             Mali
                 Mozambique             Mozambique          Moldova          Indonesia     Philippines          Zambia
                      Niger                   Laos          Mongolia         Mauritania       Egypt            Morocco
                   Mauritania              Pakistan           Haiti            China          Brazil             Niger
                     Eritrea              Sri Lanka          Samoa            Mexico        Venezuela             India
                      Sudan                Thailand          Tonga           Myanmar         Senegal            Malawi
                       Chad                Vietnam           China          Bangladesh         Fiji             Algeria
                      Kenya                  Benin         Honduras           Senegal       Vietnam            Ethiopia
                        Iran               Rwanda              Fiji            Libya        Denmark            Pakistan

                               Low income                                Middle income                     High income

                                                             Source: World Bank 2008

                                                                                                               American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                                    Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                                          Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                                          Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Sensitivity


    Sensitivity - Intersecting inequalities - produce different
    experiences of climate change impacts:

                                                           ๏   Geographic context
                                                           ๏   Dependence on the environment
                                                               for livelihoods, food, fuel, shelter
                                                               and medicine
                                                           ๏   Asset and Resource deficiency
                                                           ๏   Governance / political economy
                                                               issues


                                                                                         American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                              Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                    Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                    Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Sensitivity
   Who are vulnerable?




    ๏    Women
    ๏    Indigenous Peoples
    ๏    The urban poor
    ๏    Inhabitants of small island
         states
    ๏    Vulnerability is not a uniform
         taxonomy
                                                                                American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                     Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights           Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                           Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Poverty, hunger and increased water scarcity




   ๏    Temperature rises beyond 2°C will increase the
        number of people at risk of poverty and
        hunger, leaving an additional 600 million facing
        acute malnutrition by the 2080s

   ๏    The Stern review predicted that temperature
        rises of 2°C will result in as many as 4 billion
        people experiencing growing water shortages.

                                                                          American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                               Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights     Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                     Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Loss of livelihoods




     ๏    The livelihoods of roughly 450 million of the world’s
          poorest people are entirely dependent on managed
          ecosystem services. 2.6bn people are dependent on
          agriculture.

     ๏    Livelihood sources of the poor are usually narrow and
          climate-sensitive. In periods of stress they draw down on
          a variety of assets and resources leaving them further
          exposed to the next risk.
                                                                           American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights      Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                      Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Health and fatalities




  ๏    Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue and yellow
       fever are expected to increase. At present, approximately
       40 percent of the world’s population is at risk from malaria
       but this number is projected to rise to 80 percent by 2080.

  ๏    The number of deaths from weather-related disasters and
       gradual environmental degradation due to climate change
       is expected to jump to about 500,000 people per year.

                                                                         American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                              Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights    Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                    Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Involuntary displacement and migration




  ๏    The IPCC and the Stern Review state that by 2050, up to 200
       million people may be permanently displaced due to climate
       change, while UNDP estimates that global temperature
       increases of 3–4°C could result in 330 million people being
       permanently or temporarily displaced as a result of flooding.

                                                                         American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                              Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights    Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                    Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Increased incidence of violent conflict




  ๏    Climate change acts as a “threat multiplier” that heightens
       the conditions for internal conflict, sows the seeds of
       instability in already volatile regions, and increases the
       likelihood of failed states.

                                                                           American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights      Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                      Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Damage to infrastructure and utilities




   ๏    Slow and rapid climate impacts destroys assets and
        infrastructure

   ๏    Public utilities can be severely undermined with
        impacts on long-term development

                                                                           American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights      Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                      Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Opportunity cost of climate change responses




   ๏    Valuable assets are diverted from development to
        combat climate change impacts

   ๏    Climate change mitigation may alter the way we look
        at livelihood diversification and access to affordable
        energy
                                                                          American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                               Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights     Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                     Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Adaptive Capacity
    Adaptation - “Refers to changes in processes, practices, or structures to moderate or
    offset potential damages or to take advantage of opportunities associated with changes in
    climate (IPCC 2001).


      Adaptive Capacity - The capacity to mobilize resources to build resilience

                ๏Various types of assets
                ๏Technological
                ๏Knowledge
                ๏Governance




                                                                                       American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                            Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                  Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                  Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Adaptive Capacity

   Strengthening adaptive capacity by building assets, capital and resources


             ๏Human
             ๏Social and cultural
             ๏Natural
             ๏Physical
             ๏Financial
             ๏Research and Innovation



                                                                               American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                    Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights          Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                          Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Resilience




  Resilience occurs where adaptive
  capacity is strong, inequalities are
  addressed, and exposure minimized.
  It reflects the ability to deal with
  change and continue to develop.

                                                                               American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                    Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights          Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                          Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Participatory Exercise
read, respond, relate, report




                                                           Task 1: Read (10 mins)

                                                           Task 2: Prepare responses to questions (5 mins)

                                                           Task 3: Open discussion (20 mins)




                                                                                            American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                 Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                       Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                       Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Climate Change and Human Rights
      Part 2                     From the margins to the mainstream




                                                                                   American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                        Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights              Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                              Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Human Rights or Human Rights Law?
                              First Principles
      Political and Legal          Goals                  Legal
         Conceptual            Frameworks                 Legal
             Broad              Disciplines             Narrow
            Lacking                Rigor               Intensive
      Core Instruments      Common Sources         Core Instruments
             Wide         Rights and Obligations        Narrow
             Wide               Institutions            Narrow
             Wide         Measures / Instruments        Narrow
            Global             Jurisdictions        Strictly defined
     The Court of Public      Pressure Points         The Courts
           Opinion
      To be determined Limits and Possibilities To be determined
      To be determined          Outcomes           To be determined
                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Why have vulnerable populations turned to human rights?




    ๏    Frustration
    ๏    Urgency and ambition
    ๏    Public Diplomacy
    ๏    Improve analysis
    ๏    Responsibility and accountability
    ๏    “A game-changer”
    ๏    Redress, justice and compensation

                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
A series of game changers




                                                            ASIL 104th Annual Meeting
From the Margins to the Mainstream:                   International law in a time of change
 The possibilities and limits of climate justice   Panel on International Environmental Justice
                                                         Washington, DC | 26 March 2010
What challenges have they faced?




    ๏    The complexities of Climate
         Change
    ๏    The politics of Climate Change
    ๏    The politics of Human Rights
    ๏    The perceived shortcomings of
         Human Rights
    ๏    The profile of the advocates


                                                                             American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                  Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights        Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                        Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
What results have they achieved?




     ๏    Increased visibility
     ๏    Breaking down of path
          dependency
     ๏    Moral and political authority
     ๏    Greater advocacy

                                                                              American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                   Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights         Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                         Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
What are the long-term implications?



    ๏    Change the debate
    ๏    Mobilize new constituencies
    ๏    Analysis
    ๏    Risk management
    ๏    Process
    ๏    Instruments - rethinking old ones
         and developing new ones
    ๏    Monitoring and evaluation
    ๏    Substantive outcomes
                                                                            American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                 Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights       Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                       Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Governance and Climate Change
      Part 3                     The road ahead




                                                                              American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                   Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights         Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                         Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
The Building Blocks




      ๏ Mitigation
      ๏ Reduced Emissions
        from Deforestation and
        Degradation (REDD)
      ๏ Adaptation
      ๏ Technology
      ๏ Finance
                                                                                  American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                       Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights             Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                             Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Finance

   Estimates put the cost of climate change at between
   $4bn and $109bn per year (Stern 2006 / UNDP 2007)



                                                           ๏How much   is required?
                                                           ๏New and additional?

                                                           ๏How to generate funding?

                                                           ๏How to disburse / target
                                                            funding?


                                                                                    American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                         Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights               Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                               Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Finance



                                                                    CDM and Carbon Offset Markets
                                                                    Auctioning of Emissions Rights
                                                                    Emissions Cap and Trade
                                                                    Tax on Financial Transactions (Tobin Tax)
                                                                    GHG Levy
                                                                    Aviation / Shipping tax
                                                                    General taxes and specific funds
                                                                    Carbon Taxes
                                                                    GDP Contribution (0.5% - 1%)
                                                                    Baseline ODA (up to 0.7% of GNP)




    Source: How will the world finance climate change action? World Bank presentation to the Bali Brunch, April 2009

                                                                                                               American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                                    Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                                          Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                                          Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Scales and Principles
    Vulnerable communities are least responsible for the cause and least able to deal with the
 Global:
    consequences of climate change.
 UNFCC, Kyoto, Bali Roadmap




 Regional:
 EU and other initiatives




 National:
 Policies at the state level




 Local / Sub-national:
 Initiatives at provincial, community and household level
                                                                                      American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                           Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                 Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                 Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
Scales and Principles
                                                           Rationalize energy, water and agricultural price, tax
  Incentives                                               incentives, fiscal and expenditure policies


                                                           Efficiency standards; codes, zoning, climate
  Regulations                                              screening / proofing of investments


                                                           Capacity of public, private and financial sector
  Institutions                                             institutions to assess and act on climate risks and
                                                           new business opportunities

                                                           Improve investment climate; deepen financial and
  Markets                                                  capital markets; new markets (cap & trade, CDM,
                                                           etc...)

                                                           Education, raising awareness and promoting
  Public Outreach                                          change in consumer behavior and preferences,
                                                           public diplomacy
                                                                                                     American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                          Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                                Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                                Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
A human rights-based approach to climate change
      Part 4                     Limits and Possibilities




                                                                                   American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                        Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights              Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                              Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
A human rights-based approach to climate change
                                                  Possibilities and Limits

                                                           ๏   Does climate change violate
                                                               human rights?
                                                           ๏   Does climate change undermine
                                                               the realization of rights?
                                                           ๏   Does it matter?




                                                                                                 American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                      Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                            Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                            Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
A human rights-based approach to climate change
                                                  Possibilities and Limits

                                                             ๏   Can Human Rights provide added
                                                                 value to climate responses?
                                                             ๏   What role for Human Rights in
                                                                 climate governance?
                                                             ๏   Can Human Rights improve
                                                                 substantive outcomes for
                                                                 vulnerable populations?




                                                                                                  American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                       Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                             Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                             Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
A human rights-based approach to climate change
                                                  Possibilities and Limits


                                                             ๏   Climate Change and Human Rights
                                                                 in your country: help or hindrance?




                                                                                                  American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                                                       Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights                             Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                                             Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
The Choice
 From the Margins to the Mainstream?

The prospects and implications of this
interface rest on it demonstrating
instrumental added value.

This involves demonstrating utility in four
issue areas: analysis, governance, risk
management, and integration with existing
institutional incentives and priorities.

Human rights can also be a powerful tool for
advocacy and can be a transformative
political tool.

                                                            ASIL 104th Annual Meeting
From the Margins to the Mainstream:                   International law in a time of change
 The possibilities and limits of climate justice   Panel on International Environmental Justice
                                                         Washington, DC | 26 March 2010
Thank you for your participation




        edwardcameron@yahoo.com




                                                                        American University
    From Human Impacts to Human Rights:                             Washington College of Law
Reconciling climate change, development and human rights   Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law
                                                                   Washington, DC | 16 June 2010

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American University 16 June 2010 Pdf

  • 1. From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Reconciling climate change, development and human rights American University Washington College of Law Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010 Presentation by Edward Cameron ecameron@worldbank.org
  • 2. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 3. PURPOSE of today’s lecture Assess how climate change interacts with development Examine the interface between human rights and climate change Explore the role of governance in the transition to low carbon climate-resilient development American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 4. PURPOSE of today’s lecture The WHY of human rights and climate change is as important today as the WHAT! We want to understand why vulnerable populations are turning to this approach; what challenges they have faced; what the results have been; and what the implications are going forward. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 5. SCOPE of today’s lecture Climate Change and Development Climate Change and Human Rights Governance HR and CC: Limits and possibilities American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 6. Learning Methods Presentation Interactive Assignments Shared expertise American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 7. Learning Methods READ the case studies RESPOND to the questions RELATE the to your own country / work REPORT your conclusions for an open discussion American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 8. Climate Change: An assessment “Like a stranger who has just blown into town, climate change seems a presence without a past”. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 9. Climate Change: An assessment Unequivocal means that climate change is real and undeniable Accelerating means that the effect is getting worse “Very Likely” Anthropogenic implies a probability of more than 90% that it is human induced and not the result of natural causes American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 10. Climate Change: An assessment “Man can perceive the problematic, yet he does not understand the origins, significance, and interrelationships of its many components and thus is unable to devise an effective response”. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 11. Climate Change: An assessment “Perhaps the greatest weakness of sustainable development lies in the fact that we have not yet begun to invent a politics to go with the concept”. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 12. Climate Change and Development Part 1 An additional stress on an already stressed system American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 13. Vulnerability Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change and variation in which a system is EXPOSED, it's SENSITIVITY, and its ADAPTIVE CAPACITY (IPCC 2007a, p21) American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 14. Exposure to Risk Exposure - the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change and variation to which a system is subjected, such as: ๏Risks to unique and threatened systems (coral) ๏Extreme weather events (storm surges and sea swells) ๏Reduced agricultural productivity ๏Increased water insecurity ๏Increased health risk ๏Large-scale singularities ๏Aggregate impacts (impacts worsen over time) American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 15. Exposure in ASIA Exposure to Risk “The human drama of climate change will largely be played out in Asia, where 60% of the world’s population lives - over half near the coast - making them directly vulnerable to sea level rise” (New Economics Foundation 2007). ๏ A 1m rise in sea level would inundate coastal cities and communities throughout Asia. In 2007 almost 20 million people were displaced as devastating floods hit northern India, Bangladesh and Nepal. ๏ Freshwater availability, particularly in large river basins, is projected to decrease. This, along with population growth and increasing demand arising from higher standards of living, could adversely affect more than a billion people by the 2050s (IPCC 2007, p13). ๏ South Asia could experience losses of up to 10 percent of many of its local staples including rice by 2030. Fears over the supply and cost of rice led to food riots and export bans in a number of South Asian countries in 2007 and 2008.
  • 16. Six Climate Threats: Top Twelve Countries Most at Risk Exposure to Risk Drought Flood Storm Coastal 1m Coastal 5m Agriculture Malawi Bangladesh Philippines All Low lying All Low lying Sudan Ethiopia China Bangladesh Vietnam Netherlands Senegal Zimbabwe India Madagascar Egypt Japan Zimbabwe India Cambodia Vietnam Tunisia Bangladesh Mali Mozambique Mozambique Moldova Indonesia Philippines Zambia Niger Laos Mongolia Mauritania Egypt Morocco Mauritania Pakistan Haiti China Brazil Niger Eritrea Sri Lanka Samoa Mexico Venezuela India Sudan Thailand Tonga Myanmar Senegal Malawi Chad Vietnam China Bangladesh Fiji Algeria Kenya Benin Honduras Senegal Vietnam Ethiopia Iran Rwanda Fiji Libya Denmark Pakistan Low income Middle income High income Source: World Bank 2008 American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 17. Sensitivity Sensitivity - Intersecting inequalities - produce different experiences of climate change impacts: ๏ Geographic context ๏ Dependence on the environment for livelihoods, food, fuel, shelter and medicine ๏ Asset and Resource deficiency ๏ Governance / political economy issues American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 18. Sensitivity Who are vulnerable? ๏ Women ๏ Indigenous Peoples ๏ The urban poor ๏ Inhabitants of small island states ๏ Vulnerability is not a uniform taxonomy American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 19. Poverty, hunger and increased water scarcity ๏ Temperature rises beyond 2°C will increase the number of people at risk of poverty and hunger, leaving an additional 600 million facing acute malnutrition by the 2080s ๏ The Stern review predicted that temperature rises of 2°C will result in as many as 4 billion people experiencing growing water shortages. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 20. Loss of livelihoods ๏ The livelihoods of roughly 450 million of the world’s poorest people are entirely dependent on managed ecosystem services. 2.6bn people are dependent on agriculture. ๏ Livelihood sources of the poor are usually narrow and climate-sensitive. In periods of stress they draw down on a variety of assets and resources leaving them further exposed to the next risk. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 21. Health and fatalities ๏ Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue and yellow fever are expected to increase. At present, approximately 40 percent of the world’s population is at risk from malaria but this number is projected to rise to 80 percent by 2080. ๏ The number of deaths from weather-related disasters and gradual environmental degradation due to climate change is expected to jump to about 500,000 people per year. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 22. Involuntary displacement and migration ๏ The IPCC and the Stern Review state that by 2050, up to 200 million people may be permanently displaced due to climate change, while UNDP estimates that global temperature increases of 3–4°C could result in 330 million people being permanently or temporarily displaced as a result of flooding. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 23. Increased incidence of violent conflict ๏ Climate change acts as a “threat multiplier” that heightens the conditions for internal conflict, sows the seeds of instability in already volatile regions, and increases the likelihood of failed states. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 24. Damage to infrastructure and utilities ๏ Slow and rapid climate impacts destroys assets and infrastructure ๏ Public utilities can be severely undermined with impacts on long-term development American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 25. Opportunity cost of climate change responses ๏ Valuable assets are diverted from development to combat climate change impacts ๏ Climate change mitigation may alter the way we look at livelihood diversification and access to affordable energy American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 26. Adaptive Capacity Adaptation - “Refers to changes in processes, practices, or structures to moderate or offset potential damages or to take advantage of opportunities associated with changes in climate (IPCC 2001). Adaptive Capacity - The capacity to mobilize resources to build resilience ๏Various types of assets ๏Technological ๏Knowledge ๏Governance American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 27. Adaptive Capacity Strengthening adaptive capacity by building assets, capital and resources ๏Human ๏Social and cultural ๏Natural ๏Physical ๏Financial ๏Research and Innovation American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 28. Resilience Resilience occurs where adaptive capacity is strong, inequalities are addressed, and exposure minimized. It reflects the ability to deal with change and continue to develop. American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 29. Participatory Exercise read, respond, relate, report Task 1: Read (10 mins) Task 2: Prepare responses to questions (5 mins) Task 3: Open discussion (20 mins) American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 30. Climate Change and Human Rights Part 2 From the margins to the mainstream American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 31. Human Rights or Human Rights Law? First Principles Political and Legal Goals Legal Conceptual Frameworks Legal Broad Disciplines Narrow Lacking Rigor Intensive Core Instruments Common Sources Core Instruments Wide Rights and Obligations Narrow Wide Institutions Narrow Wide Measures / Instruments Narrow Global Jurisdictions Strictly defined The Court of Public Pressure Points The Courts Opinion To be determined Limits and Possibilities To be determined To be determined Outcomes To be determined American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 32. Why have vulnerable populations turned to human rights? ๏ Frustration ๏ Urgency and ambition ๏ Public Diplomacy ๏ Improve analysis ๏ Responsibility and accountability ๏ “A game-changer” ๏ Redress, justice and compensation American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 33. A series of game changers ASIL 104th Annual Meeting From the Margins to the Mainstream: International law in a time of change The possibilities and limits of climate justice Panel on International Environmental Justice Washington, DC | 26 March 2010
  • 34. What challenges have they faced? ๏ The complexities of Climate Change ๏ The politics of Climate Change ๏ The politics of Human Rights ๏ The perceived shortcomings of Human Rights ๏ The profile of the advocates American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 35. What results have they achieved? ๏ Increased visibility ๏ Breaking down of path dependency ๏ Moral and political authority ๏ Greater advocacy American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 36. What are the long-term implications? ๏ Change the debate ๏ Mobilize new constituencies ๏ Analysis ๏ Risk management ๏ Process ๏ Instruments - rethinking old ones and developing new ones ๏ Monitoring and evaluation ๏ Substantive outcomes American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 37. Governance and Climate Change Part 3 The road ahead American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 38. The Building Blocks ๏ Mitigation ๏ Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD) ๏ Adaptation ๏ Technology ๏ Finance American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 39. Finance Estimates put the cost of climate change at between $4bn and $109bn per year (Stern 2006 / UNDP 2007) ๏How much is required? ๏New and additional? ๏How to generate funding? ๏How to disburse / target funding? American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 40. Finance CDM and Carbon Offset Markets Auctioning of Emissions Rights Emissions Cap and Trade Tax on Financial Transactions (Tobin Tax) GHG Levy Aviation / Shipping tax General taxes and specific funds Carbon Taxes GDP Contribution (0.5% - 1%) Baseline ODA (up to 0.7% of GNP) Source: How will the world finance climate change action? World Bank presentation to the Bali Brunch, April 2009 American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 41. Scales and Principles Vulnerable communities are least responsible for the cause and least able to deal with the Global: consequences of climate change. UNFCC, Kyoto, Bali Roadmap Regional: EU and other initiatives National: Policies at the state level Local / Sub-national: Initiatives at provincial, community and household level American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 42. Scales and Principles Rationalize energy, water and agricultural price, tax Incentives incentives, fiscal and expenditure policies Efficiency standards; codes, zoning, climate Regulations screening / proofing of investments Capacity of public, private and financial sector Institutions institutions to assess and act on climate risks and new business opportunities Improve investment climate; deepen financial and Markets capital markets; new markets (cap & trade, CDM, etc...) Education, raising awareness and promoting Public Outreach change in consumer behavior and preferences, public diplomacy American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 43. A human rights-based approach to climate change Part 4 Limits and Possibilities American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 44. A human rights-based approach to climate change Possibilities and Limits ๏ Does climate change violate human rights? ๏ Does climate change undermine the realization of rights? ๏ Does it matter? American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 45. A human rights-based approach to climate change Possibilities and Limits ๏ Can Human Rights provide added value to climate responses? ๏ What role for Human Rights in climate governance? ๏ Can Human Rights improve substantive outcomes for vulnerable populations? American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 46. A human rights-based approach to climate change Possibilities and Limits ๏ Climate Change and Human Rights in your country: help or hindrance? American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010
  • 47. The Choice From the Margins to the Mainstream? The prospects and implications of this interface rest on it demonstrating instrumental added value. This involves demonstrating utility in four issue areas: analysis, governance, risk management, and integration with existing institutional incentives and priorities. Human rights can also be a powerful tool for advocacy and can be a transformative political tool. ASIL 104th Annual Meeting From the Margins to the Mainstream: International law in a time of change The possibilities and limits of climate justice Panel on International Environmental Justice Washington, DC | 26 March 2010
  • 48. Thank you for your participation edwardcameron@yahoo.com American University From Human Impacts to Human Rights: Washington College of Law Reconciling climate change, development and human rights Academy on Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Washington, DC | 16 June 2010