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Location, Location, Location
 How Where You Live in the US
     Affects Your Health

            Francine Laden, ScD
  Mark and Catherine Winkler Associate Professor of
            Environmental Epidemiology
          Harvard School of Public Health

 Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Women’s Hospital
Overview
   The study of environmental epidemiology –
    issues with exposure assessment
   Location as a “measure” of exposure
       Aggregate data
       Individual data
   Examples from my research group
       Ultraviolet radiation
       Air pollution
       Built environment
Cohort Studies in the Examples

   The Nurses’ Health Study (NHS)
   The Harvard Six Cities Study
   The Trucking Industry Particle Study (TrIPS)
   The US Renal Data System (USRDS)
   The Nurses’ Health Study II (NHSII)
Environment is all that
surrounds us, food we eat,
soil we live on, buildings we
dwell in, work we do, society
we are a part of.
Environmental Exposures
                   My working definition


   Exposures that are outside of ourselves
   Experienced passively
   Natural and unnatural extras
   Common factors
       Ubiquitous
       Low levels with a tight range
       Small effects
Exposure Assessment
Self-reports of Proxies of Exposure
                   Where do you
                   live now, and
                          Do you spend

Are you
                       where smoky
                          time in
                          bars?
exposed to
dust or fumes
                    did you live
in your job?           then?



                           Do you drink
                           tap water?
Location, Location, Location
Defining and
Measuring Location
Aggregate Data
    Country, Region, State, County, City

   Exposure = Location
Breast Cancer Mortality Rates
Aggregate Data
    Country, Region, State, County, City

   Exposure = Location

   Exposure = Aggregate value of an
    environmental exposure
       e.g. ultraviolet light, urbanicity, air pollution
Individual Data

Residential Address
Geographic Information System
                 (GIS)
   integrates hardware, software, and data for
    capturing, managing, analyzing, and displaying
    all forms of geographically referenced
    information

   But first of all, the exposure of interest has to
    have been
       Measured and mapped
            in the right space and
            at the right time
Where You Live
in the US Affects
Your Health
Region


 State

  City



Residence
Region


 State

  City



Residence
US Census Regions
The Nurses’ Health Study
                  121,700 women
                  Enrolled in 1976
                  Biennial follow-up

                  Information specific
                   to location
                      Biennial mailing
                       address
                      State at birth, age
                       15 and age 30
The NHS: Addresses 1986-2006
Breast Cancer

  Region                       Age-adjusted          Multivariate*
at baseline       Cases         HR (95%CI)           HR (95% CI)
South                 222    reference             reference

Northeast            1103    1.08 (0.93–1.24)      1.12 (0.97–1.30)

Midwest               353    1.08 (0.91–1.27)      1.09 (0.92–1.29)

California            327    1.24 (1.05–1.47)      1.18 (1.00–1.40)

Postmenopausal breast cancers, *adjusted for known breast cancer risk
factors


                                                  Laden et al. JNCI 1997;89:1373-8
Rheumatoid Arthritis

   Region                        Multivariate
 at baseline   Cases             HR (95% CI)
West               121     reference
Midwest            161     1.33 (1.05-1.69)
Mid-Atlantic       392     1.30 (1.05-1.60)
New England        137     1.42 (1.10-1.82)
Southeast           21     1.20 (0.75-1.91)




                Costenbader et al. Arch Intern Med. 2008;168(15):1664-70
Region


 State

  City



Residence
Ultraviolet Radiation
   Exposure a
    function of time of
    day, cloud cover,
    haze, ozone
    concentrations,
    latitude and altitude
Skin Cancer
      women living in the same state at birth, age 15, age 30



Cancer                UV rank                 HR (95% CI)
Melanoma              Low                     1
                      Medium                  1.26 (0.97-1.63)
                      High                    1.12 (0.72-1.72)
SCC                   Low                     1
                      Medium                  1.61 (1.31-1.98)
                      High                    2.07 (1.55-2.77)
BCC                   Low                     1
                      Medium                  1.24 (1.16-1.31)
                      High                    1.30 (1.18-1.43)

                                      Qureshi et al. Arch Intern Med 2008;168:501-7
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma

Time point    UV rank   HR (95% CI)        P for trend
Birth         Low       1                  <0.01
              Medium    1.21 (1.03-1.42)
              High      1.18 (0.97-1.43)
Age 15        Low       1                  <0.01
              Medium    1.17 (1.00-1.38)
              High      1.21 (1.00-1.47)
Baseline      Low       1                  0.02
              Medium    1.01 (0.88-1.16)
              High      1.11 (0.95-1.29)

                                      Bertrand et al. in preparation
Region


 State

  City



Residence
Harvard 6 Cities Study

                    Portage
                    (Madison)               Watertown
                           #
                                             (Boston)
                                                #

                                Steubenville
                                    #
                    St. Louis
       Topeka   #
                       #




                                #

                       Kingston-Harriman
                          (Knoxville)
Cities Defined By
   Various components of air pollution
       Particles: total (TSP), inhalable (PM10), fine (PM2.5)
       Sulfate particles
       Aerosol acidity
       Sulfur dioxide
       Nitrogen dioxide
       Ozone
   Measured at a central location
   Averaged over the study period
Total
 Mortality
 1972-1991




Dockery et al. NEJM 1993; 329: 1753-9
Continued Follow-up 1998

             1.3                                                 S

             1.2                                 H
                                             L
Rate Ratio




             1.1                         H
                                 T W                 S
              1                 P T
                                  L
             0.9


             0.8
                                W                             Period 1
                                                              Period 2
             0.7
                   0   5   10       15       20          25       30       35

                                PM2.5 mg/m3
                                                         Laden et al. AJRCCM 2006;173:667-72
PM Inhalation

                                                        Lungs
                                                   • Inflammation
           Heart
                                                  • Oxidative stress                     Blood
                                              • Accelerated progression            • Altered rheology
       • Altered cardiac
      autonomic function
                                             and exacerbation of COPD          • Increased coagulability
                                        • Increased respiratory symptoms        • Translocated particles
   • Increased dysrhythmic
                                           • Effected pulmonary reflexes        • Peripheral thrombosis
          susceptibility
                                               • Reduced lung function       • Reduced oxygen saturation
       • Altered cardiac
         repolarization
    •Increased myocardial
            ischemia

                                            Systemic Inflammation
                                                Oxidative Stress
                                                 • Increased CRP
                                          • Proinflammatory mediators
              Vasculature               • Leukocyte & platelet activation
                                                                                      Brain
            • Atherosclerosis,
     accelerated progression of and                                         • Increased cerebrovascular
        destabilization of plaques                                                    ischemia
        • Endothelial dysfunction
  • Vasoconstriction and Hypertension



There are multiple mechanistic pathways with complex interactions and interdependencies
The Built Environment
The Built Environment: IOM Definition

   Land-Use Patterns
       Spatial distribution of human activities
   Transportation Systems
       Physical infrastructure and services that provide the
        spatial links or connectivity among activities
   Design Features
       Aesthetic, physical, and functional qualities of the built
        environment, such as the design of buildings and
        streetscapes, and relates to both land use patterns and
        the transportation system
Sprawl
   Development outpaces population growth
   Low density
   Rigidly separated homes, shops, and workplaces
   Roads marked by large blocks and poor access
   Lack of well-defined activity centers, such as
    downtowns
   Lack of transportation choices
   Relative uniformity of housing options
Street            Conceptual model:
                           connectivity
                                                Effects of the built
                          Residential or
                           population        environment on physical
          Physical          density
           activity        Access to
                                               activity and obesity
        environment      physical activity
                           resources
                                             Physical
                         Access, density,
                         and diversity of
                                              activity                               Morbidity
                          destinations                           Obesity                /
                                                                                     Mortality
                          Supermarkets
               Access      and grocery
                  /          stores
               density                       Dietary
                food
                retail    Convenience        intake
   Food                     stores
environment
               Access       Sit-down
                  /        restaurants
               density
                food
                            Fast-food           * Food retail and food service facilities could also
               service
                           restaurants          be physical activity destinations.
The County Sprawl Index
   Developed by the National Center for Smart
    Growth
   Incorporates 6 Census based measures of
       Residential density
       Street accessibility
   Calculated for the year 2000
   Higher sprawl index = higher density
       New York County, NY = 352.1
       Jackson County, GA = 62.6
County Sprawl in the NHS




                              Mean=109.5
                              SD=26.4
                              Range=62.6-352.1
Higher sprawl = more compact county
:
            Sprawl Index and
           BMI/Physical Activity
            Cross-sectional analysis 2000

                                            β (95% CI)
Outcome                               1 SD (25.7) ↑ in Density
Weight              BMI (kg/m2)           -0.08 (-0.14, -0.02)


Physical Activity   Total METS             0.30 (0.04, 0.57)
                    Walking METS           0.23 (0.14, 0.33)
                    Outdoor METS           0.34 (0.20, 0.47)

Adjusted for age, smoking, race, and husband's education

                                                     James et al. in preparation
Sprawl Index and
                Overweight/Obesity
                 Survival analysis 1986-2006

   Among the women who were not overweight
    (BMI 25-30) or obese (BMI ≥30) at baseline
   HR for each 1 SD ↑ in Density
       Overweight: HR 0.96 (95% CI: 0.95, 0.98)
       Obesity: HR 0.95 (95% CI: 0.94, 0.97)
Region


 State

  City



Residence
All-cause        Cardiovascular
                  Outcomes
 Mortality



                             Diabetes
Rheumatoid
Arthritis

                                   Kidney
                                   Function
             Cognitive
             Decline
Distance to Major Road
Census Road Classifications
 A1 (primary roads, typically
  interstates, with limited
  access)
                                                15 m fr A2,
 A2 (primary major, non-
                                                510 m fr A1
  interstate roads)              163 m fr A2,
 A3 (smaller, secondary
                                 645 m fr A1
  roads, usually with more
                                                    85 m fr A2
  than two lanes)


                                                  220 m fr A2
Rheumatoid Arthritis

Distance to A1-A3           Person
     (meters)       Cases     yrs         HR (95% CI)
    0 to < 50       52       136,205 1.31 (0.98-1.74)
   ≥50 to < 200     67       271,200 0.84 (0.65-1.08)
      ≥200          568     1,976,600 1




                                 Hart et al. EHP 2009;117: 1065-1069
EPA Air Quality System (AQS)
   Database of measurements of air pollutant
    concentrations throughout the US
   Criteria Air Pollutants
       PM10, PM2.5, CO, NO2, SO2, O3, Pb
   Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPS)
       Organic compounds and toxic metals
   Dates of PM measurements:
       PM10 – 1985 on
       PM2.5 – 1999 on
EPA PM10 Monitors - 1985
EPA PM10 Monitors – 2000
Distribution of PM in the Airways




                                    EHP 2006
Spatio-temporal Models

   GIS techniques
       Complex model including existing monitoring
        networks, weather, and
       GIS covariates including distance to road, elevation,
        land-use, county level emissions, population density,
        point source emissions
   Annual average models PM10, NO2 and SO2
   Monthly average models PM10 and PM2.5
Annual Modeling of PM10 and NO2




     The Trucking Industry Particle Study


                                  Hart et al. EHP 2009 117:1690–6
Hart et al. EHP 2009 117:1690–6
Exposure to PM10, S02 and NO2
            the Trucking Industry Particle Study

                            PM10 (6 µg/m3)   SO2 (4 ppb)         NO2 (8 ppb)
Cause of                     % Increase      % Increase          % Increase
Death          Cases          (95%CI)         (95%CI)             (95%CI)
All Cause       2,816             9.7%            10.6%              14.9%
                              (5.2%,14.5%)    (4.6%,16.9%)       (9.9%,20.2%)
Lung             475              4.7%             9.1%               7.3%
Cancer                       (-5.9%,16.5%)   (-4.6%,24.8%)      (-3.9%,19.9%)
CVD              972              7.6%             9.6%              10.9%
                             (-0.2%,16.0%)   (-0.4%,20.7%)       (2.7%,19.8%)
Respiratory      184              8.2%            25.1%              20.1%
Disease                      (-8.6%,28.0%)    (2.0%,53.5%)       (0.9%,42.8%)

Non-truck drivers
Controlling for job title
                                                 Hart et al. AJRCCM 2011;183:73-78
End-stage Renal Disease
End-Stage Renal Disease
   Hypotheses:
       Particularly vulnerable to adverse effects of PM
       More severe anemia with higher exposures
       Greater resistance to erythropoiesis stimulating
        agents (EPO)


   Preliminary results:
       ↑ anemia with ↑ annual average PM10
       ↑ EPO dose with ↑ annual PM10
PM10              PM2.5




       PM10-2.5




                   Yanosky et al. Atmos Env 2008;42:4047-62;
                   Yanosky et al. EHP 2008;117:22-9
Yanosky et al. Atmos Env 2008;42:4047-62
All-cause Mortality and PM10
      Northeastern Region 1992-2004

16% increase                       1.30

with a 10 μg/m3
↑ in 12-month                      1.20




                    Hazard Ratio
avg PM10
                                   1.10



                                   1.00



                                   0.90

                                          1 month avg    3 month avg       12 month avg

                                          24 month avg   36 month avg      48 month avg


                  Adjusted for age, year, season and state of residence

                                                             Puett et al. AJE 2008: 168:1161–68
Mortality and Coronary Heart Disease –
   10 μg/m3 ↑ Fine and Coarse PM
                                                HR (95% CI)
        Outcome                       PM2.5                     PM10-2.5
                                      1.29                       0.96
  All-cause mortality
                                   (1.03,1.62)                (0.82,1.12)
                                      1.10                        1.01
  First CHD
                                   (0.76,1.60)                 (0.78,1.31)
                                      2.13                        0.91
  Fatal CHD
                                   (1.07,4.26)                 (0.56,1.48)
                                      0.71                        1.06
  Non-fatal MI
                                   (0.44,1.13)                 (0.77,1.47)
  Adjusted for the other size fraction, age, state, year, season, smoking , BMI,
  risk factors for CHD, physical activity, neighborhood SES.

                                                       Puett et al. EHP 2009: 117:1697–1701
Effect Modification BMI and Smoking
        Fatal CHD and PM10




                        Puett et al. AJE 2008: 168:1161–68
Diabetes

    Particulate Matter            Distance to Road
1 IQR ↑       HR (95% CI)       meters       HR (95% CI)
PM2.5        0.99 (0.92,1.08)   <50          1.14 (1.03,1.27)
PM10-2.5     1.04 (0.98,1.11)   50-99        1.16(0.99,1.35)
                                100-199      0.97(0.88,1.08)
                                200+         1
Adjusted for age, season,
year, state, smoking , BM,
hypertension, alcohol intake,
physical activity, and diet.


                                  Puett et al. 2010 EHP epub ahead of print
Cognitive Decline
   PM can access the brain via
       Circulation
       Intranasal route → direct translocation through
        olfactory bulb
   … where it may precipitate inflammatory
    response, injure BBB, increase amyloid beta
   Associations with CVD, stroke, and vascular risk
    factors
Cognitive Decline
   NHS participants ≥ 70 yrs old n= ~17,000
   Cognitive assessment by telephone
       Tests of working memory attention, global cognition,
        verbal memory/learning and verbal fluency
       Baseline administered 1995-2001
       2nd and 3rd approx 2 and 4 yrs later
   PM10, PM2.5, Distance to Road
       Assessed different averaging periods
Long-term Exposure to PM10 in
 Relation to Cognitive Decline

                                                         Ptrend = 0.003




  Adjusted for age, education, husband’s education, long-term physical activity
  and long-term alcohol consumption
                                                                         Weuve et al. in preparation
Stronger Association with Measures of
           Long-term Exposure

Δ in cognitive
                 0.010



    score per    0.005


     10 μg/m3    0.000


     ↑ in PM10   -0.005
                                                            Past 5 yrs Since 1989

                 -0.010


                 -0.015   Past month

                 -0.020


                 -0.025
                                       Past yr Past 2 yrs
                 -0.030




                                                                Weuve et al. in preparation
Personal Level Built Environment
Objective Measures
   By creating buffers around an address we can
    measure
       Residential density
            # housing units/area
       Land use mix
            Density of walking destinations
            Diversity
       Street connectivity
            Intersection density
            Pedestrian route directness
Land Use Mix
   Walking destinations:
    Counts of businesses
    within the buffers based
    on stores, facilities, and
    services from 2006
    InfoUSA spatial database
    on businesses, which
    include grocery
    stores, restaurants, banks
    , etc.
Street Connectivity
   Intersection Count:
    Number of
    intersections within
    each buffer
Subjective Measures:
                    yes/no questions

   Shops, stores and markets are within easy walking
    distance of my home
   My neighborhood has free or low cost recreation
    facilities, such as parks, walking trails, bike paths,
    recreation centers, playgrounds, public swimming pools,
    etc.
   There are sidewalks on most of the streets in my
    neighborhood
   The crime rate in my neighborhood makes it unsafe to
    go on walks at night.
Neighborhood Environment and Meeting
  Physical Activity Recommendations

                Attribute                            OR (95% CI)
Crime-Unsafe to Walk at Night                      0.80 (0.74, 0.87)
Shops/Stores Easy Walking Distance                 1.41 (1.36, 1.47)
Sidewalks on Most Streets                          1.22 (1.18, 1.27)
Free/Low Cost Recreation Facilities                1.33 (1.28, 1.38)

 Adjusted for age, race, ethnicity, BMI categories, and husband's education


 Meeting physical activity recommendation by
 walking ≥ 500 MET-minutes/week.


                                                                 Troped et al. submitted
Conclusions
Location, Location, Location
   Knowing a person’s address, or better yet
    residential history, gives us the opportunity to
    estimate a multitude of environmental
    exposures

   Residential address allows relatively
    inexpensive assessment of exposures unknown
    to the participant
Location, Location, Location
   Meaningful environmental assessments can be
    made at the area and personal level
       There are limitations and sources of error not
        discussed here


   Location data can be a powerful tool to
    incorporate assessment of environmental
    exposures into a variety of study designs
Acknowledgments:
Kimberly Bertrand, M. Alan Brookhart, Douglas
Dockery, Mathilda Chiu, Karen Costenbader, Miguel
Craig, Mary Davis, Chris Garcia, Eric Garshick, Diane
Gold, Sue Hankinson, Jaime Hart, David Hunter, ISEE,
Elizabeth Karlson, Susan Korrick, Petros Koutrakis,
Peter James, Steve Melly, Lucas Neas, Chris Paciorek,
Robin Puett, Abrar Qureshi, Eric, Rimm, Joel Schwartz,
Tom Smith, Frank Speizer, Donna Spiegelman, Meir
Stampfer, Sheila Stewart, Helen Suh, Philip Troped,
Veronica Vieira, Scott Weiss, Jennifer Weuve, Jeff
Yanosky, Barbara Zuckerman…
Funding sources: US EPA, HEI, NIEHS, NCI, FAMRI, Harvard
Catalyst Program

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How Where You Live Affects Your Health

  • 1. Location, Location, Location How Where You Live in the US Affects Your Health Francine Laden, ScD Mark and Catherine Winkler Associate Professor of Environmental Epidemiology Harvard School of Public Health Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Women’s Hospital
  • 2. Overview  The study of environmental epidemiology – issues with exposure assessment  Location as a “measure” of exposure  Aggregate data  Individual data  Examples from my research group  Ultraviolet radiation  Air pollution  Built environment
  • 3. Cohort Studies in the Examples  The Nurses’ Health Study (NHS)  The Harvard Six Cities Study  The Trucking Industry Particle Study (TrIPS)  The US Renal Data System (USRDS)  The Nurses’ Health Study II (NHSII)
  • 4. Environment is all that surrounds us, food we eat, soil we live on, buildings we dwell in, work we do, society we are a part of.
  • 5. Environmental Exposures My working definition  Exposures that are outside of ourselves  Experienced passively  Natural and unnatural extras  Common factors  Ubiquitous  Low levels with a tight range  Small effects
  • 7. Self-reports of Proxies of Exposure Where do you live now, and Do you spend Are you where smoky time in bars? exposed to dust or fumes did you live in your job? then? Do you drink tap water?
  • 10. Aggregate Data Country, Region, State, County, City  Exposure = Location
  • 12. Aggregate Data Country, Region, State, County, City  Exposure = Location  Exposure = Aggregate value of an environmental exposure  e.g. ultraviolet light, urbanicity, air pollution
  • 14. Geographic Information System (GIS)  integrates hardware, software, and data for capturing, managing, analyzing, and displaying all forms of geographically referenced information  But first of all, the exposure of interest has to have been  Measured and mapped  in the right space and  at the right time
  • 15. Where You Live in the US Affects Your Health
  • 16. Region State City Residence
  • 17.
  • 18. Region State City Residence
  • 20. The Nurses’ Health Study  121,700 women  Enrolled in 1976  Biennial follow-up  Information specific to location  Biennial mailing address  State at birth, age 15 and age 30
  • 21. The NHS: Addresses 1986-2006
  • 22. Breast Cancer Region Age-adjusted Multivariate* at baseline Cases HR (95%CI) HR (95% CI) South 222 reference reference Northeast 1103 1.08 (0.93–1.24) 1.12 (0.97–1.30) Midwest 353 1.08 (0.91–1.27) 1.09 (0.92–1.29) California 327 1.24 (1.05–1.47) 1.18 (1.00–1.40) Postmenopausal breast cancers, *adjusted for known breast cancer risk factors Laden et al. JNCI 1997;89:1373-8
  • 23. Rheumatoid Arthritis Region Multivariate at baseline Cases HR (95% CI) West 121 reference Midwest 161 1.33 (1.05-1.69) Mid-Atlantic 392 1.30 (1.05-1.60) New England 137 1.42 (1.10-1.82) Southeast 21 1.20 (0.75-1.91) Costenbader et al. Arch Intern Med. 2008;168(15):1664-70
  • 24. Region State City Residence
  • 25. Ultraviolet Radiation  Exposure a function of time of day, cloud cover, haze, ozone concentrations, latitude and altitude
  • 26. Skin Cancer women living in the same state at birth, age 15, age 30 Cancer UV rank HR (95% CI) Melanoma Low 1 Medium 1.26 (0.97-1.63) High 1.12 (0.72-1.72) SCC Low 1 Medium 1.61 (1.31-1.98) High 2.07 (1.55-2.77) BCC Low 1 Medium 1.24 (1.16-1.31) High 1.30 (1.18-1.43) Qureshi et al. Arch Intern Med 2008;168:501-7
  • 27. Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma Time point UV rank HR (95% CI) P for trend Birth Low 1 <0.01 Medium 1.21 (1.03-1.42) High 1.18 (0.97-1.43) Age 15 Low 1 <0.01 Medium 1.17 (1.00-1.38) High 1.21 (1.00-1.47) Baseline Low 1 0.02 Medium 1.01 (0.88-1.16) High 1.11 (0.95-1.29) Bertrand et al. in preparation
  • 28. Region State City Residence
  • 29. Harvard 6 Cities Study Portage (Madison) Watertown # (Boston) # Steubenville # St. Louis Topeka # # # Kingston-Harriman (Knoxville)
  • 30. Cities Defined By  Various components of air pollution  Particles: total (TSP), inhalable (PM10), fine (PM2.5)  Sulfate particles  Aerosol acidity  Sulfur dioxide  Nitrogen dioxide  Ozone  Measured at a central location  Averaged over the study period
  • 31. Total Mortality 1972-1991 Dockery et al. NEJM 1993; 329: 1753-9
  • 32. Continued Follow-up 1998 1.3 S 1.2 H L Rate Ratio 1.1 H T W S 1 P T L 0.9 0.8 W Period 1 Period 2 0.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 PM2.5 mg/m3 Laden et al. AJRCCM 2006;173:667-72
  • 33. PM Inhalation Lungs • Inflammation Heart • Oxidative stress Blood • Accelerated progression • Altered rheology • Altered cardiac autonomic function and exacerbation of COPD • Increased coagulability • Increased respiratory symptoms • Translocated particles • Increased dysrhythmic • Effected pulmonary reflexes • Peripheral thrombosis susceptibility • Reduced lung function • Reduced oxygen saturation • Altered cardiac repolarization •Increased myocardial ischemia Systemic Inflammation Oxidative Stress • Increased CRP • Proinflammatory mediators Vasculature • Leukocyte & platelet activation Brain • Atherosclerosis, accelerated progression of and • Increased cerebrovascular destabilization of plaques ischemia • Endothelial dysfunction • Vasoconstriction and Hypertension There are multiple mechanistic pathways with complex interactions and interdependencies
  • 35. The Built Environment: IOM Definition  Land-Use Patterns  Spatial distribution of human activities  Transportation Systems  Physical infrastructure and services that provide the spatial links or connectivity among activities  Design Features  Aesthetic, physical, and functional qualities of the built environment, such as the design of buildings and streetscapes, and relates to both land use patterns and the transportation system
  • 36. Sprawl  Development outpaces population growth  Low density  Rigidly separated homes, shops, and workplaces  Roads marked by large blocks and poor access  Lack of well-defined activity centers, such as downtowns  Lack of transportation choices  Relative uniformity of housing options
  • 37. Street Conceptual model: connectivity Effects of the built Residential or population environment on physical Physical density activity Access to activity and obesity environment physical activity resources Physical Access, density, and diversity of activity Morbidity destinations Obesity / Mortality Supermarkets Access and grocery / stores density Dietary food retail Convenience intake Food stores environment Access Sit-down / restaurants density food Fast-food * Food retail and food service facilities could also service restaurants be physical activity destinations.
  • 38. The County Sprawl Index  Developed by the National Center for Smart Growth  Incorporates 6 Census based measures of  Residential density  Street accessibility  Calculated for the year 2000  Higher sprawl index = higher density  New York County, NY = 352.1  Jackson County, GA = 62.6
  • 39. County Sprawl in the NHS Mean=109.5 SD=26.4 Range=62.6-352.1 Higher sprawl = more compact county
  • 40. : Sprawl Index and BMI/Physical Activity Cross-sectional analysis 2000 β (95% CI) Outcome 1 SD (25.7) ↑ in Density Weight BMI (kg/m2) -0.08 (-0.14, -0.02) Physical Activity Total METS 0.30 (0.04, 0.57) Walking METS 0.23 (0.14, 0.33) Outdoor METS 0.34 (0.20, 0.47) Adjusted for age, smoking, race, and husband's education James et al. in preparation
  • 41. Sprawl Index and Overweight/Obesity Survival analysis 1986-2006  Among the women who were not overweight (BMI 25-30) or obese (BMI ≥30) at baseline  HR for each 1 SD ↑ in Density  Overweight: HR 0.96 (95% CI: 0.95, 0.98)  Obesity: HR 0.95 (95% CI: 0.94, 0.97)
  • 42. Region State City Residence
  • 43. All-cause Cardiovascular Outcomes Mortality Diabetes Rheumatoid Arthritis Kidney Function Cognitive Decline
  • 44. Distance to Major Road Census Road Classifications  A1 (primary roads, typically interstates, with limited access) 15 m fr A2,  A2 (primary major, non- 510 m fr A1 interstate roads) 163 m fr A2,  A3 (smaller, secondary 645 m fr A1 roads, usually with more 85 m fr A2 than two lanes) 220 m fr A2
  • 45. Rheumatoid Arthritis Distance to A1-A3 Person (meters) Cases yrs HR (95% CI) 0 to < 50 52 136,205 1.31 (0.98-1.74) ≥50 to < 200 67 271,200 0.84 (0.65-1.08) ≥200 568 1,976,600 1 Hart et al. EHP 2009;117: 1065-1069
  • 46. EPA Air Quality System (AQS)  Database of measurements of air pollutant concentrations throughout the US  Criteria Air Pollutants  PM10, PM2.5, CO, NO2, SO2, O3, Pb  Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPS)  Organic compounds and toxic metals  Dates of PM measurements:  PM10 – 1985 on  PM2.5 – 1999 on
  • 48. EPA PM10 Monitors – 2000
  • 49. Distribution of PM in the Airways EHP 2006
  • 50. Spatio-temporal Models  GIS techniques  Complex model including existing monitoring networks, weather, and  GIS covariates including distance to road, elevation, land-use, county level emissions, population density, point source emissions  Annual average models PM10, NO2 and SO2  Monthly average models PM10 and PM2.5
  • 51. Annual Modeling of PM10 and NO2 The Trucking Industry Particle Study Hart et al. EHP 2009 117:1690–6
  • 52. Hart et al. EHP 2009 117:1690–6
  • 53. Exposure to PM10, S02 and NO2 the Trucking Industry Particle Study PM10 (6 µg/m3) SO2 (4 ppb) NO2 (8 ppb) Cause of % Increase % Increase % Increase Death Cases (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) All Cause 2,816 9.7% 10.6% 14.9% (5.2%,14.5%) (4.6%,16.9%) (9.9%,20.2%) Lung 475 4.7% 9.1% 7.3% Cancer (-5.9%,16.5%) (-4.6%,24.8%) (-3.9%,19.9%) CVD 972 7.6% 9.6% 10.9% (-0.2%,16.0%) (-0.4%,20.7%) (2.7%,19.8%) Respiratory 184 8.2% 25.1% 20.1% Disease (-8.6%,28.0%) (2.0%,53.5%) (0.9%,42.8%) Non-truck drivers Controlling for job title Hart et al. AJRCCM 2011;183:73-78
  • 55. End-Stage Renal Disease  Hypotheses:  Particularly vulnerable to adverse effects of PM  More severe anemia with higher exposures  Greater resistance to erythropoiesis stimulating agents (EPO)  Preliminary results:  ↑ anemia with ↑ annual average PM10  ↑ EPO dose with ↑ annual PM10
  • 56. PM10 PM2.5 PM10-2.5 Yanosky et al. Atmos Env 2008;42:4047-62; Yanosky et al. EHP 2008;117:22-9
  • 57. Yanosky et al. Atmos Env 2008;42:4047-62
  • 58. All-cause Mortality and PM10 Northeastern Region 1992-2004 16% increase 1.30 with a 10 μg/m3 ↑ in 12-month 1.20 Hazard Ratio avg PM10 1.10 1.00 0.90 1 month avg 3 month avg 12 month avg 24 month avg 36 month avg 48 month avg Adjusted for age, year, season and state of residence Puett et al. AJE 2008: 168:1161–68
  • 59. Mortality and Coronary Heart Disease – 10 μg/m3 ↑ Fine and Coarse PM HR (95% CI) Outcome PM2.5 PM10-2.5 1.29 0.96 All-cause mortality (1.03,1.62) (0.82,1.12) 1.10 1.01 First CHD (0.76,1.60) (0.78,1.31) 2.13 0.91 Fatal CHD (1.07,4.26) (0.56,1.48) 0.71 1.06 Non-fatal MI (0.44,1.13) (0.77,1.47) Adjusted for the other size fraction, age, state, year, season, smoking , BMI, risk factors for CHD, physical activity, neighborhood SES. Puett et al. EHP 2009: 117:1697–1701
  • 60. Effect Modification BMI and Smoking Fatal CHD and PM10 Puett et al. AJE 2008: 168:1161–68
  • 61. Diabetes Particulate Matter Distance to Road 1 IQR ↑ HR (95% CI) meters HR (95% CI) PM2.5 0.99 (0.92,1.08) <50 1.14 (1.03,1.27) PM10-2.5 1.04 (0.98,1.11) 50-99 1.16(0.99,1.35) 100-199 0.97(0.88,1.08) 200+ 1 Adjusted for age, season, year, state, smoking , BM, hypertension, alcohol intake, physical activity, and diet. Puett et al. 2010 EHP epub ahead of print
  • 62. Cognitive Decline  PM can access the brain via  Circulation  Intranasal route → direct translocation through olfactory bulb  … where it may precipitate inflammatory response, injure BBB, increase amyloid beta  Associations with CVD, stroke, and vascular risk factors
  • 63. Cognitive Decline  NHS participants ≥ 70 yrs old n= ~17,000  Cognitive assessment by telephone  Tests of working memory attention, global cognition, verbal memory/learning and verbal fluency  Baseline administered 1995-2001  2nd and 3rd approx 2 and 4 yrs later  PM10, PM2.5, Distance to Road  Assessed different averaging periods
  • 64. Long-term Exposure to PM10 in Relation to Cognitive Decline Ptrend = 0.003 Adjusted for age, education, husband’s education, long-term physical activity and long-term alcohol consumption Weuve et al. in preparation
  • 65. Stronger Association with Measures of Long-term Exposure Δ in cognitive 0.010 score per 0.005 10 μg/m3 0.000 ↑ in PM10 -0.005 Past 5 yrs Since 1989 -0.010 -0.015 Past month -0.020 -0.025 Past yr Past 2 yrs -0.030 Weuve et al. in preparation
  • 66. Personal Level Built Environment
  • 67. Objective Measures  By creating buffers around an address we can measure  Residential density  # housing units/area  Land use mix  Density of walking destinations  Diversity  Street connectivity  Intersection density  Pedestrian route directness
  • 68. Land Use Mix  Walking destinations: Counts of businesses within the buffers based on stores, facilities, and services from 2006 InfoUSA spatial database on businesses, which include grocery stores, restaurants, banks , etc.
  • 69. Street Connectivity  Intersection Count: Number of intersections within each buffer
  • 70. Subjective Measures: yes/no questions  Shops, stores and markets are within easy walking distance of my home  My neighborhood has free or low cost recreation facilities, such as parks, walking trails, bike paths, recreation centers, playgrounds, public swimming pools, etc.  There are sidewalks on most of the streets in my neighborhood  The crime rate in my neighborhood makes it unsafe to go on walks at night.
  • 71. Neighborhood Environment and Meeting Physical Activity Recommendations Attribute OR (95% CI) Crime-Unsafe to Walk at Night 0.80 (0.74, 0.87) Shops/Stores Easy Walking Distance 1.41 (1.36, 1.47) Sidewalks on Most Streets 1.22 (1.18, 1.27) Free/Low Cost Recreation Facilities 1.33 (1.28, 1.38) Adjusted for age, race, ethnicity, BMI categories, and husband's education Meeting physical activity recommendation by walking ≥ 500 MET-minutes/week. Troped et al. submitted
  • 73. Location, Location, Location  Knowing a person’s address, or better yet residential history, gives us the opportunity to estimate a multitude of environmental exposures  Residential address allows relatively inexpensive assessment of exposures unknown to the participant
  • 74. Location, Location, Location  Meaningful environmental assessments can be made at the area and personal level  There are limitations and sources of error not discussed here  Location data can be a powerful tool to incorporate assessment of environmental exposures into a variety of study designs
  • 75. Acknowledgments: Kimberly Bertrand, M. Alan Brookhart, Douglas Dockery, Mathilda Chiu, Karen Costenbader, Miguel Craig, Mary Davis, Chris Garcia, Eric Garshick, Diane Gold, Sue Hankinson, Jaime Hart, David Hunter, ISEE, Elizabeth Karlson, Susan Korrick, Petros Koutrakis, Peter James, Steve Melly, Lucas Neas, Chris Paciorek, Robin Puett, Abrar Qureshi, Eric, Rimm, Joel Schwartz, Tom Smith, Frank Speizer, Donna Spiegelman, Meir Stampfer, Sheila Stewart, Helen Suh, Philip Troped, Veronica Vieira, Scott Weiss, Jennifer Weuve, Jeff Yanosky, Barbara Zuckerman… Funding sources: US EPA, HEI, NIEHS, NCI, FAMRI, Harvard Catalyst Program