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Perspective 
Ovarian Cancer: A Clinical Challenge 
That Needs Some Basic Answers 
Kate Lawrenson, Simon A. Gayther* 
From a clinical perspective, 
epithelial ovarian cancer is 
something of an enigma. 
Despite improvements in aggressive 
debulking surgery and the initial good 
response of patients to platinum-based 
chemotherapies, there has been little 
improvement in the survival rates 
for over three decades. About 65% 
of women with epithelial ovarian 
cancer will die within five years of 
their diagnosis [1]. Early-stage ovarian 
cancers are often asymptomatic and 
the recognised signs and symptoms, 
even of late-stage disease, are vague. 
Consequently, most patients are 
diagnosed with advanced disease, and 
it seems unlikely that symptoms alone 
could help to improve the proportion 
of tumours that are diagnosed at 
earlier, more treatable stages. 
Unfortunately, there are no 
effective biomarkers that can identify 
early-stage disease and no reliable 
prognostic markers for predicting 
clinical response and guiding 
treatment regimes. Furthermore, 
there remains intense debate about 
the cellular origins, precursor lesions, 
and histological classification of the 
disease. With so many unknowns, it is 
perhaps not surprising that progress 
in reducing mortality in women 
diagnosed with ovarian cancer has 
been so limited. 
Two New Translational Research 
Studies 
There is continued hope that the 
most recent scientific advances and 
discoveries will have the potential 
to affect patient care (translational 
research). For example, the last decade 
has seen revolutionary developments 
in the approaches used to characterise 
solid tumours at the molecular level. 
For some cancer types, the molecular 
Linked Research Articles 
This Perspective discusses the following 
recent studies published in PLoS Medicine: 
Crijns APG, Fehrmann RSN, de Jong S, 
Gerbens F, Meersma GJ, et al. (2009) 
Survival-related profile, pathways, and 
transcription factors in ovarian cancer. 
PLoS Med 6(2): e1000024. doi:10.1371/ 
journal.pmed.1000024 
Ate van der Zee and colleagues analyze 
the gene expression profiles of ovarian 
cancer samples from 157 patients, and 
identify an 86-gene expression profile 
that seems to predict overall survival. 
Köbel M, Kalloger SE, Boyd N, McKinney 
S, Mehl E, et al. (2008) Ovarian carcinoma 
subtypes are different diseases: 
Implications for biomarker studies. PLoS 
Med 5(12): e232. doi:10.1371/journal. 
pmed.0050232 
David Huntsman and colleagues describe 
the associations between biomarker 
expression patterns and survival in 
different ovarian cancer subtypes. They 
suggest that the management of ovarian 
cancer should reflect differences between 
these subtypes. 
characterisation of tumours has led to 
better strategies for predicting disease 
outcome, so that treatments can be 
targeted more effectively, and to the 
development of new therapies. Many 
of these approaches have been tried 
and tested for ovarian cancer too, but 
they have so far failed to deliver on 
the anticipation of a new biomarker 
or gene signature that can improve 
our understanding of the disease. Two 
studies published in PLoS Medicine, 
one in December 2008 and one in the 
current issue, shed some much needed 
light on the clinical challenge of 
ovarian cancer. 
Clinico-pathological heterogeneity 
in epithelial ovarian cancer. The 
first study from Huntsman and 
colleagues [2] tackles the issue of 
clino-pathological heterogeneity in 
epithelial ovarian cancer. Scientists 
frequently refer to epithelial ovarian 
cancer as a single disease entity, even 
though it has been known for some 
time that this term describes a diverse 
group of tumours, each with different 
microscopic appearances and biological 
and genetic backgrounds. This diversity 
extends to clinical features of the 
disease; patients with different sub-types 
of ovarian cancer can respond 
differently to the same treatments and 
have different prognoses associated 
with their disease [3–5]. Arguably, the 
single feature that ovarian cancers have 
in common is the site of diagnosis. 
In order to define the different 
ovarian cancer sub-types at the 
molecular level, Huntsman and 
colleagues measured the expression of 
21 candidate protein markers in 500 
ovarian carcinomas representing the 
five main sub-types: high-grade serous, 
clear cell, endometrioid, mucinous, 
and low-grade serous. When the 
tumours were considered as a single 
phenotype, the investigators found 
ten biomarkers that were differentially 
expressed between early- and late-stage 
cancers. However, none of these 
Funding: The authors received no specific funding 
for this article. 
Competing Interests: The authors have declared 
that no competing interests exist. 
Citation: Lawrenson K, Gayther SA (2009) Ovarian 
cancer: A clinical challenge that needs some basic 
answers. PLoS Med 6(2): e1000025. doi:10.1371/ 
journal.pmed.1000025 
Copyright: © 2009 Lawrenson and Gayther. This is 
an open-access article distributed under the terms 
of the Creative Commons Attribution License, 
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, 
and reproduction in any medium, provided the 
original author and source are credited. 
Kate Lawrenson and Simon A. Gayther are at the 
Gynaecological Cancer Research Laboratory, EGA 
UCL Institute for Women’s Health, University College 
London, London, United Kingdom. 
* To whom correspondence should be addressed. 
E-mail: s.gayther@ucl.ac.uk 
Provenance: Commissioned; not externally peer 
reviewed 
The Perspective section is for experts to discuss the 
clinical practice or public health implications of a 
published article that is freely available online. 
PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0126 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025
doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000025.g001 
Figure 1. Histological and Molecular Heterogeneity in Epithelial Ovarian Cancers 
Common genetic alterations vary between different epithelial ovarian cancer sub-types. 
Highlighted in red are genes/pathways commonly inactivated in tumours; highlighted in green 
are genes commonly activated or amplified in epithelial ovarian cancer tumour specimens. 
Hematoxylin and eosin stained sections show typical histological and architectural appearance 
of the high-grade serous, borderline serous, mucinous, clear cell, and endometrioid sub-types. 
Biomarkers listed are those found in the study by Huntsman and colleagues to be highly expressed 
(i.e., samples positive in over 60% of tumours, green arrow), or lowly expressed (red arrow) in each 
histological sub-type. Median Ki67 labelling indices (a measure of the proportion of proliferating 
cells in a tumour sample) are given in bold type. 
markers varied with stage when this 
analysis was repeated after stratifying 
tumours by sub-type. Of the 21 
different biomarkers tested, 20 differed 
significantly between sub-types, adding 
to a growing body of evidence showing 
that ovarian cancer heterogeneity 
is reflective of divergent molecular 
pathways underlying the development 
of the disease (Figure 1). 
Several hypotheses have been 
suggested as a biological basis for 
this heterogeneity, such as the 
uncommitted state of the ovarian 
surface epithelium, and more recently, 
evidence that ovarian carcinomas can 
arise from a variety of precursor cell 
populations. For example, synchronous 
endometriosis is commonly observed 
in endometrioid and clear cell 
carcinomas, suggesting that at least 
one-third of these tumour types are 
associated with this benign lesion [6]. 
More recently, it has been suggested 
that at least a sub-set of epithelial 
ovarian cancers originate in the 
fallopian tube. Expression of the 
TP53 tumour suppressor protein in 
both ovarian inclusion cysts and the 
fallopian tube fimbriae (the distal 
portion of the fallopian tube) suggests 
that both could represent the origin of 
high-grade serous ovarian carcinomas 
[7,8]. An emerging hypothesis is that 
all ovarian cortical inclusion cysts 
that give rise to high-grade serous 
ovarian carcinomas originate from the 
fallopian tube; but this hypothesis will 
be a challenge to prove or disprove, 
since the hormone and growth-factor 
rich microenvironment of the ovarian 
stroma is likely to induce phenotypic 
changes in any epithelial cells that 
become trapped within it [8]. 
Huntsman and colleagues also 
looked at associations with outcome 
in their 21-biomarker panel. They 
found nine markers that were 
associated with differences in patient 
survival when the entire cohort was 
considered; but only three markers 
continued to show an association 
after sub-type stratification. To some 
degree, these data need to be treated 
with caution. Although this probably 
represents the most comprehensive 
immunohistochemistry based 
biomarker study to be published for 
ovarian cancer, after stratification 
into five sub-groups the number of 
cases within each sub-group limits 
the power of the study to detect 
significant associations and increases 
the likelihood of finding false positive 
associations. These findings will need 
validation in independent sample sets 
before researchers can feel confident 
that some of these prognostic markers 
might be of genuine use clinically. 
The overarching message from 
Huntsman and colleagues’ study is 
that biomarker expression is more 
strongly associated with histological 
sub-type than it is with disease stage. 
Looking to the future implications of 
these findings, a molecular profiling 
strategy may one day be a necessary 
diagnostic step in the clinical 
management of different ovarian 
cancer sub-types prior to making 
decisions on how to treat a patient’s 
disease. A robust set of biomarkers in 
combination with universal guidelines 
for the classification of ovarian 
tumours will also be an essential 
feature of population-based studies 
of ovarian cancer that aim to identify 
any biomarker associated with any 
aspect of disease. There are additional 
impediments to the histological 
PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0127 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025
diagnosis of ovarian cancers that 
would benefit from such a molecular 
scoring system. For example, a 
proportion of ovarian cancers remain 
unclassified mainly because they are 
either undifferentiated or of mixed 
histology; and so biomarker profiling 
could provide an accurate method 
of differentiating tumours where 
the histopathological diagnoses are 
equivocal. 
Gene expression profiling of 
ovarian cancers. The second study, 
by Crijns and colleagues [9], which is 
published in the current issue, takes a 
very different approach to the analysis 
of ovarian cancers (gene expression 
microarrays). Nevertheless, Crijns 
and colleagues’ study echoes the 
underlying theme of Huntsman and 
colleagues’ study in that the molecular 
analyses of tumours should be based 
on accurately defined histological 
sub-types of the disease. The use of 
gene expression profiling strategies 
to characterise human solid tumours 
was popularised after a study from 
van de Vijver and colleagues in 2002, 
which showed that gene expression 
signatures of breast cancers could 
be used to predict clinical outcome 
[10]. Since then, a similar approach 
has been used to characterise a 
multitude of different tumour types 
with varying degrees of success. For 
ovarian cancer, there are in excess 
of 40 published reports describing 
gene expression microarray analyses 
in ovarian tumours. However, a meta-analysis 
of 17 of these studies, which 
included 386 ovarian cancers, showed 
that there was very limited overlap 
between studies in the genes that were 
identified as “important” in ovarian 
cancer development [11]. 
This meta-analysis highlights many 
of the challenges of gene expression 
microarray studies and indicates why, 
most of the time, they have been 
unsuccessful in either identifying 
novel molecular targets of tumour 
development or gene signatures 
that can be used to predict clinical 
outcome. In a recent review, Tinker et 
al. neatly summed up many of these 
challenges [12]. The main issues relate 
to: the quality in the study design (e.g., 
using a well-defined phenotype that 
considers and adjusts for confounding 
factors); the quality of the experimental 
design (e.g., the microarray platform 
used and the tissues from which 
nucleic acids are extracted); and the 
statistical power of the study to detect 
meaningful effects after the analysis of 
several thousands of variables. 
Crijns and colleagues’ study is 
impressive in that it takes into account 
many of the potential pitfalls of gene 
expression microarray studies. As a 
result, it establishes a good chance 
of finding something meaningful. 
The main aim is clear and focused, 
asking the question, “Is there a genetic 
signature in advanced stage serous 
ovarian cancers that can predict 
survival after a diagnosis of the 
disease?” The study, which comprises 
157 tumours, is substantially larger 
than most other studies of ovarian 
cancer that use a similar approach, 
but the selection of a specific tumour 
sub-type is perhaps the most significant 
strength in the study design. The 
authors identify a limited set of 
genetic events from the analysis of 
approximately 35,000 probes on a 
microarray, which provides a molecular 
signature that can distinguish between 
patients with good and bad prognosis. 
Using a cross validation approach that 
trained the data on 90% of the cases 
and tested the survival predictors on 
the remaining 10%, they were able to 
stratify patients into a low-risk group 
(mean survival time 41 month) and a 
high-risk group (mean survival time 
19 months). This was statistically 
significant even after adjustment 
following permutation testing, 
suggesting it is unlikely that this result 
is due to over-fitting of the data. 
Next Steps 
For studies such as those described by 
Huntsman and colleagues and Crijns 
and colleagues, there is a critical need 
to validate the findings in independent 
sample sets. This validation can be 
performed as part of an intra-study 
design, in which a second set of cases 
are evaluated by the same investigators 
using a similar experimental 
methodology; or, as Crijns and 
colleagues have done, by using publicly 
available data from one or more 
completely independent studies. Crijns 
and colleagues used published data 
from an expression microarray analysis 
of 118 primary serous ovarian cancers. 
Even though this analysis had been 
performed on a different microarray 
platform, the investigators were able to 
identify a 57-gene signature, which was 
a sub-set of their 86-gene signature, that 
was able to predict which patients fell 
into the low- and high-risk prognostic 
groups they had defined. 
The findings of both of the studies 
described in this Perspective are very 
encouraging, given previous attempts 
to identify prognostic markers or 
molecular signatures for ovarian 
cancer. Much more extensive follow-up 
is now needed, requiring multi-centre 
collaborations and agreement on 
the most appropriate study designs, 
which will need to consider the 
challenges surrounding experimental 
methodology, quality control, statistical 
power, and (of course) phenotypic 
heterogeneity. As is so often the case, 
breast cancer research in this area is 
at a much more advanced stage and 
represents something of a paradigm. 
There is now good evidence that gene 
expression signatures that predict 
prognosis in breast cancer, generated 
from a multitude of independent 
studies, can be validated in multi-centre 
studies [13,14]. This has led 
to the initiation of two prospective 
randomised clinical trials to test the 
efficacy of using expression profiling in 
clinical practice [15]. 
Could these molecular tools 
ultimately be used to guide 
personalised treatment for patients 
with ovarian cancer? The work of 
Huntsman and Crijns and colleagues, 
and the example of breast cancer, 
certainly suggests that this may be 
feasible—but only if ovarian cancers are 
appropriately classified. The first step 
would seem to be to get an agreement 
amongst researchers and clinicians 
about what this classification comprises. 
Only then does it seem likely that 
inroads can be made into the mortality 
statistics that so consistently define this 
disease.  
References 
1. Levi F, Lucchini F, Negri E, Boyle P, La Vecchia 
C (2004) Cancer mortality in Europe, 1995- 
1999, and an overview of trends since 1960. Int 
J Cancer 110: 155-169. 
2. Köbel M, Kalloger SE, Boyd N, McKinney 
S, Mehl E, et al. (2008) Ovarian carcinoma 
subtypes are different diseases: Implications 
for biomarker studies. PLoS Med 5: e232. 
doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0050232 
3. Kurman RJ, Shih IeM (2008) Pathogenesis 
of ovarian cancer: Lessons from morphology 
and molecular biology and their clinical 
implications. Int J Gynecol Pathol 27: 151-160. 
4. McCluggage WG (2008) My approach to and 
thoughts on the typing of ovarian carcinomas. J 
Clin Pathol 61: 152-163. 
5. Zorn KK, Bonome T, Gangi L, Chandramouli 
GV, Awtrey CS, et al. (2005) Gene expression 
PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0128 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025
profiles of serous, endometrioid, and clear cell 
subtypes of ovarian and endometrial cancer. 
Clin Cancer Res 11: 6422-6430. 
6. Sainz de la Cuesta R, Eichhorn JH, Rice LW, 
Fuller AF Jr, Nikrui N, et al. (1996) Histologic 
transformation of benign endometriosis to 
early epithelial ovarian cancer. Gynecol Oncol 
60: 238-244. 
7. Mok SC, Kwong J, Welch WR, Samimi 
G, Ozbun L, et al. (2007) Etiology and 
pathogenesis of epithelial ovarian cancer. Dis 
Markers: 367-376. 
8. Jarboe E, Folkins A, Nucci MR, Kindelberger 
D, Drapkin R, et al. (2008) Serous 
carcinogenesis in the fallopian tube: A 
descriptive classification. Int J Gynecol Pathol 
27: 1-9. 
9. Crijns APG, Fehrmann RSN, de Jong S, 
Gerbens F, Meersma GJ, et al. (2009) Survival-related 
profile, pathways, and transcription 
factors in ovarian cancer. PLoS Med 6: 
e1000024. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000024 
10. van de Vijver MJ, He YD, van’t Veer LJ, Dai 
H, Hart AA, et al. (2002) A gene-expression 
signature as a predictor of survival in breast 
cancer. N Engl J Med 347: 1999-2009. 
11. Israeli O, Goldring-Aviram A, Rienstein 
S, Ben-Baruch G, Korach J, et al. (2005) 
In silico chromosomal clustering of genes 
displaying altered expression patterns in 
ovarian cancer. Cancer Genet Cytogenet 160: 
35-42. 
12. Tinker AV, Boussioutas A, Bowtell DD (2006) 
The challenges of gene expression microarrays 
for the study of human cancer. Cancer Cell 9: 
333-339. 
13. Buyse M, Loi S, van’t Veer L, Viale G, Delorenzi 
M, et al. (2006) Validation and clinical utility of 
a 70-gene prognostic signature for women with 
node negative breast cancer. J Natl Cancer Inst 
98: 1183-1192. 
14. Desmedt C, Piette F, Loi S, Wang Y, Lallemand 
F, et al. (2007) Strong time dependence of the 
76-gene prognostic signature for node-negative 
breast cancer patients in the TRANSBIG 
multicenter independent validation series. Clin 
Cancer Res 13: 3207-3214. 
15. Sotiriou C, Piccart MJ (2007) Taking gene-expression 
profiling to the clinic: When will 
molecular signatures become relevant to 
patient care? Nat Rev Cancer 7: 545-553. 
PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0129 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025

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Journal.pmed.1000025

  • 1. Perspective Ovarian Cancer: A Clinical Challenge That Needs Some Basic Answers Kate Lawrenson, Simon A. Gayther* From a clinical perspective, epithelial ovarian cancer is something of an enigma. Despite improvements in aggressive debulking surgery and the initial good response of patients to platinum-based chemotherapies, there has been little improvement in the survival rates for over three decades. About 65% of women with epithelial ovarian cancer will die within five years of their diagnosis [1]. Early-stage ovarian cancers are often asymptomatic and the recognised signs and symptoms, even of late-stage disease, are vague. Consequently, most patients are diagnosed with advanced disease, and it seems unlikely that symptoms alone could help to improve the proportion of tumours that are diagnosed at earlier, more treatable stages. Unfortunately, there are no effective biomarkers that can identify early-stage disease and no reliable prognostic markers for predicting clinical response and guiding treatment regimes. Furthermore, there remains intense debate about the cellular origins, precursor lesions, and histological classification of the disease. With so many unknowns, it is perhaps not surprising that progress in reducing mortality in women diagnosed with ovarian cancer has been so limited. Two New Translational Research Studies There is continued hope that the most recent scientific advances and discoveries will have the potential to affect patient care (translational research). For example, the last decade has seen revolutionary developments in the approaches used to characterise solid tumours at the molecular level. For some cancer types, the molecular Linked Research Articles This Perspective discusses the following recent studies published in PLoS Medicine: Crijns APG, Fehrmann RSN, de Jong S, Gerbens F, Meersma GJ, et al. (2009) Survival-related profile, pathways, and transcription factors in ovarian cancer. PLoS Med 6(2): e1000024. doi:10.1371/ journal.pmed.1000024 Ate van der Zee and colleagues analyze the gene expression profiles of ovarian cancer samples from 157 patients, and identify an 86-gene expression profile that seems to predict overall survival. Köbel M, Kalloger SE, Boyd N, McKinney S, Mehl E, et al. (2008) Ovarian carcinoma subtypes are different diseases: Implications for biomarker studies. PLoS Med 5(12): e232. doi:10.1371/journal. pmed.0050232 David Huntsman and colleagues describe the associations between biomarker expression patterns and survival in different ovarian cancer subtypes. They suggest that the management of ovarian cancer should reflect differences between these subtypes. characterisation of tumours has led to better strategies for predicting disease outcome, so that treatments can be targeted more effectively, and to the development of new therapies. Many of these approaches have been tried and tested for ovarian cancer too, but they have so far failed to deliver on the anticipation of a new biomarker or gene signature that can improve our understanding of the disease. Two studies published in PLoS Medicine, one in December 2008 and one in the current issue, shed some much needed light on the clinical challenge of ovarian cancer. Clinico-pathological heterogeneity in epithelial ovarian cancer. The first study from Huntsman and colleagues [2] tackles the issue of clino-pathological heterogeneity in epithelial ovarian cancer. Scientists frequently refer to epithelial ovarian cancer as a single disease entity, even though it has been known for some time that this term describes a diverse group of tumours, each with different microscopic appearances and biological and genetic backgrounds. This diversity extends to clinical features of the disease; patients with different sub-types of ovarian cancer can respond differently to the same treatments and have different prognoses associated with their disease [3–5]. Arguably, the single feature that ovarian cancers have in common is the site of diagnosis. In order to define the different ovarian cancer sub-types at the molecular level, Huntsman and colleagues measured the expression of 21 candidate protein markers in 500 ovarian carcinomas representing the five main sub-types: high-grade serous, clear cell, endometrioid, mucinous, and low-grade serous. When the tumours were considered as a single phenotype, the investigators found ten biomarkers that were differentially expressed between early- and late-stage cancers. However, none of these Funding: The authors received no specific funding for this article. Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. Citation: Lawrenson K, Gayther SA (2009) Ovarian cancer: A clinical challenge that needs some basic answers. PLoS Med 6(2): e1000025. doi:10.1371/ journal.pmed.1000025 Copyright: © 2009 Lawrenson and Gayther. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Kate Lawrenson and Simon A. Gayther are at the Gynaecological Cancer Research Laboratory, EGA UCL Institute for Women’s Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom. * To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: s.gayther@ucl.ac.uk Provenance: Commissioned; not externally peer reviewed The Perspective section is for experts to discuss the clinical practice or public health implications of a published article that is freely available online. PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0126 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025
  • 2. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000025.g001 Figure 1. Histological and Molecular Heterogeneity in Epithelial Ovarian Cancers Common genetic alterations vary between different epithelial ovarian cancer sub-types. Highlighted in red are genes/pathways commonly inactivated in tumours; highlighted in green are genes commonly activated or amplified in epithelial ovarian cancer tumour specimens. Hematoxylin and eosin stained sections show typical histological and architectural appearance of the high-grade serous, borderline serous, mucinous, clear cell, and endometrioid sub-types. Biomarkers listed are those found in the study by Huntsman and colleagues to be highly expressed (i.e., samples positive in over 60% of tumours, green arrow), or lowly expressed (red arrow) in each histological sub-type. Median Ki67 labelling indices (a measure of the proportion of proliferating cells in a tumour sample) are given in bold type. markers varied with stage when this analysis was repeated after stratifying tumours by sub-type. Of the 21 different biomarkers tested, 20 differed significantly between sub-types, adding to a growing body of evidence showing that ovarian cancer heterogeneity is reflective of divergent molecular pathways underlying the development of the disease (Figure 1). Several hypotheses have been suggested as a biological basis for this heterogeneity, such as the uncommitted state of the ovarian surface epithelium, and more recently, evidence that ovarian carcinomas can arise from a variety of precursor cell populations. For example, synchronous endometriosis is commonly observed in endometrioid and clear cell carcinomas, suggesting that at least one-third of these tumour types are associated with this benign lesion [6]. More recently, it has been suggested that at least a sub-set of epithelial ovarian cancers originate in the fallopian tube. Expression of the TP53 tumour suppressor protein in both ovarian inclusion cysts and the fallopian tube fimbriae (the distal portion of the fallopian tube) suggests that both could represent the origin of high-grade serous ovarian carcinomas [7,8]. An emerging hypothesis is that all ovarian cortical inclusion cysts that give rise to high-grade serous ovarian carcinomas originate from the fallopian tube; but this hypothesis will be a challenge to prove or disprove, since the hormone and growth-factor rich microenvironment of the ovarian stroma is likely to induce phenotypic changes in any epithelial cells that become trapped within it [8]. Huntsman and colleagues also looked at associations with outcome in their 21-biomarker panel. They found nine markers that were associated with differences in patient survival when the entire cohort was considered; but only three markers continued to show an association after sub-type stratification. To some degree, these data need to be treated with caution. Although this probably represents the most comprehensive immunohistochemistry based biomarker study to be published for ovarian cancer, after stratification into five sub-groups the number of cases within each sub-group limits the power of the study to detect significant associations and increases the likelihood of finding false positive associations. These findings will need validation in independent sample sets before researchers can feel confident that some of these prognostic markers might be of genuine use clinically. The overarching message from Huntsman and colleagues’ study is that biomarker expression is more strongly associated with histological sub-type than it is with disease stage. Looking to the future implications of these findings, a molecular profiling strategy may one day be a necessary diagnostic step in the clinical management of different ovarian cancer sub-types prior to making decisions on how to treat a patient’s disease. A robust set of biomarkers in combination with universal guidelines for the classification of ovarian tumours will also be an essential feature of population-based studies of ovarian cancer that aim to identify any biomarker associated with any aspect of disease. There are additional impediments to the histological PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0127 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025
  • 3. diagnosis of ovarian cancers that would benefit from such a molecular scoring system. For example, a proportion of ovarian cancers remain unclassified mainly because they are either undifferentiated or of mixed histology; and so biomarker profiling could provide an accurate method of differentiating tumours where the histopathological diagnoses are equivocal. Gene expression profiling of ovarian cancers. The second study, by Crijns and colleagues [9], which is published in the current issue, takes a very different approach to the analysis of ovarian cancers (gene expression microarrays). Nevertheless, Crijns and colleagues’ study echoes the underlying theme of Huntsman and colleagues’ study in that the molecular analyses of tumours should be based on accurately defined histological sub-types of the disease. The use of gene expression profiling strategies to characterise human solid tumours was popularised after a study from van de Vijver and colleagues in 2002, which showed that gene expression signatures of breast cancers could be used to predict clinical outcome [10]. Since then, a similar approach has been used to characterise a multitude of different tumour types with varying degrees of success. For ovarian cancer, there are in excess of 40 published reports describing gene expression microarray analyses in ovarian tumours. However, a meta-analysis of 17 of these studies, which included 386 ovarian cancers, showed that there was very limited overlap between studies in the genes that were identified as “important” in ovarian cancer development [11]. This meta-analysis highlights many of the challenges of gene expression microarray studies and indicates why, most of the time, they have been unsuccessful in either identifying novel molecular targets of tumour development or gene signatures that can be used to predict clinical outcome. In a recent review, Tinker et al. neatly summed up many of these challenges [12]. The main issues relate to: the quality in the study design (e.g., using a well-defined phenotype that considers and adjusts for confounding factors); the quality of the experimental design (e.g., the microarray platform used and the tissues from which nucleic acids are extracted); and the statistical power of the study to detect meaningful effects after the analysis of several thousands of variables. Crijns and colleagues’ study is impressive in that it takes into account many of the potential pitfalls of gene expression microarray studies. As a result, it establishes a good chance of finding something meaningful. The main aim is clear and focused, asking the question, “Is there a genetic signature in advanced stage serous ovarian cancers that can predict survival after a diagnosis of the disease?” The study, which comprises 157 tumours, is substantially larger than most other studies of ovarian cancer that use a similar approach, but the selection of a specific tumour sub-type is perhaps the most significant strength in the study design. The authors identify a limited set of genetic events from the analysis of approximately 35,000 probes on a microarray, which provides a molecular signature that can distinguish between patients with good and bad prognosis. Using a cross validation approach that trained the data on 90% of the cases and tested the survival predictors on the remaining 10%, they were able to stratify patients into a low-risk group (mean survival time 41 month) and a high-risk group (mean survival time 19 months). This was statistically significant even after adjustment following permutation testing, suggesting it is unlikely that this result is due to over-fitting of the data. Next Steps For studies such as those described by Huntsman and colleagues and Crijns and colleagues, there is a critical need to validate the findings in independent sample sets. This validation can be performed as part of an intra-study design, in which a second set of cases are evaluated by the same investigators using a similar experimental methodology; or, as Crijns and colleagues have done, by using publicly available data from one or more completely independent studies. Crijns and colleagues used published data from an expression microarray analysis of 118 primary serous ovarian cancers. Even though this analysis had been performed on a different microarray platform, the investigators were able to identify a 57-gene signature, which was a sub-set of their 86-gene signature, that was able to predict which patients fell into the low- and high-risk prognostic groups they had defined. The findings of both of the studies described in this Perspective are very encouraging, given previous attempts to identify prognostic markers or molecular signatures for ovarian cancer. Much more extensive follow-up is now needed, requiring multi-centre collaborations and agreement on the most appropriate study designs, which will need to consider the challenges surrounding experimental methodology, quality control, statistical power, and (of course) phenotypic heterogeneity. As is so often the case, breast cancer research in this area is at a much more advanced stage and represents something of a paradigm. There is now good evidence that gene expression signatures that predict prognosis in breast cancer, generated from a multitude of independent studies, can be validated in multi-centre studies [13,14]. This has led to the initiation of two prospective randomised clinical trials to test the efficacy of using expression profiling in clinical practice [15]. Could these molecular tools ultimately be used to guide personalised treatment for patients with ovarian cancer? The work of Huntsman and Crijns and colleagues, and the example of breast cancer, certainly suggests that this may be feasible—but only if ovarian cancers are appropriately classified. The first step would seem to be to get an agreement amongst researchers and clinicians about what this classification comprises. Only then does it seem likely that inroads can be made into the mortality statistics that so consistently define this disease. References 1. Levi F, Lucchini F, Negri E, Boyle P, La Vecchia C (2004) Cancer mortality in Europe, 1995- 1999, and an overview of trends since 1960. Int J Cancer 110: 155-169. 2. Köbel M, Kalloger SE, Boyd N, McKinney S, Mehl E, et al. (2008) Ovarian carcinoma subtypes are different diseases: Implications for biomarker studies. PLoS Med 5: e232. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0050232 3. Kurman RJ, Shih IeM (2008) Pathogenesis of ovarian cancer: Lessons from morphology and molecular biology and their clinical implications. Int J Gynecol Pathol 27: 151-160. 4. McCluggage WG (2008) My approach to and thoughts on the typing of ovarian carcinomas. J Clin Pathol 61: 152-163. 5. Zorn KK, Bonome T, Gangi L, Chandramouli GV, Awtrey CS, et al. (2005) Gene expression PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0128 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025
  • 4. profiles of serous, endometrioid, and clear cell subtypes of ovarian and endometrial cancer. Clin Cancer Res 11: 6422-6430. 6. Sainz de la Cuesta R, Eichhorn JH, Rice LW, Fuller AF Jr, Nikrui N, et al. (1996) Histologic transformation of benign endometriosis to early epithelial ovarian cancer. Gynecol Oncol 60: 238-244. 7. Mok SC, Kwong J, Welch WR, Samimi G, Ozbun L, et al. (2007) Etiology and pathogenesis of epithelial ovarian cancer. Dis Markers: 367-376. 8. Jarboe E, Folkins A, Nucci MR, Kindelberger D, Drapkin R, et al. (2008) Serous carcinogenesis in the fallopian tube: A descriptive classification. Int J Gynecol Pathol 27: 1-9. 9. Crijns APG, Fehrmann RSN, de Jong S, Gerbens F, Meersma GJ, et al. (2009) Survival-related profile, pathways, and transcription factors in ovarian cancer. PLoS Med 6: e1000024. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000024 10. van de Vijver MJ, He YD, van’t Veer LJ, Dai H, Hart AA, et al. (2002) A gene-expression signature as a predictor of survival in breast cancer. N Engl J Med 347: 1999-2009. 11. Israeli O, Goldring-Aviram A, Rienstein S, Ben-Baruch G, Korach J, et al. (2005) In silico chromosomal clustering of genes displaying altered expression patterns in ovarian cancer. Cancer Genet Cytogenet 160: 35-42. 12. Tinker AV, Boussioutas A, Bowtell DD (2006) The challenges of gene expression microarrays for the study of human cancer. Cancer Cell 9: 333-339. 13. Buyse M, Loi S, van’t Veer L, Viale G, Delorenzi M, et al. (2006) Validation and clinical utility of a 70-gene prognostic signature for women with node negative breast cancer. J Natl Cancer Inst 98: 1183-1192. 14. Desmedt C, Piette F, Loi S, Wang Y, Lallemand F, et al. (2007) Strong time dependence of the 76-gene prognostic signature for node-negative breast cancer patients in the TRANSBIG multicenter independent validation series. Clin Cancer Res 13: 3207-3214. 15. Sotiriou C, Piccart MJ (2007) Taking gene-expression profiling to the clinic: When will molecular signatures become relevant to patient care? Nat Rev Cancer 7: 545-553. PLoS Medicine | www.plosmedicine.org 0129 February 2009 | Volume 6 | Issue 2 | e1000025