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Part 3
                                                                                                                                                                     ISSUE 1
THE                                        ALUE LINE                                                                      Ratings                                Pages 100-242
                                                                                                                                                                      File in the binder in order of
                                                                                                ®                           &                                             issue number, removing
                                          Investment Survey                                                               Reports
                                                                                                                                                                            previous issue bearing
                                                                                                                                                                                 the same number.


                                                       www.valueline.com                                                                                February 27, 2009

                                                      PAGE                                                              PAGE           ESPECIALLY NOTEWORTHY:
AUTO & TRUCK INDUSTRY .............. 101                             Public Service Enterprise Group .....                164
   Daimler AG ....................................... 102          ★ SCANA Corp. ....................................     165          This week, we welcome three new com-
   Federal Signal Corp. ........................ 103                 Southern Co. .....................................   166          panies to the Medical Supplies Indus-
   Ford Motor ........................................ 104           TECO Energy, Inc. ............................       167          try in our Investment Survey: Natus
   General Motors ................................. 105              UIL Holdings Corp. ..........................        168
   Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (ADR) .......... 106                                                                                          Medical Inc., Masimo Corp., and
   Navistar International Corp. ........... 107                  MEDICAL SUPPLIES                                                      Volcano Corp., on pages 216, 211, and
   Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (ADR) ......... 108                    INDUSTRY ............................................. 169            231, respectively.
   Oshkosh Corp. ................................. 109            ★ Abaxis, Inc. ....................................... 170
   PACCAR, Inc. ..................................... 110           Advanced Medical Optics, Inc. ........ 171                         Timely Wright Medical shares (page
   Tata Motors Ltd. ................................ 111            Affymetrix, Inc. ................................. 172
   Toyota Motor Corp. (ADR) ................ 112                    Alcon Inc. .......................................... 173
                                                                                                                                       233) stand out as a solid investment,
   Wabash National Corp. ..................... 113                  Align Technology, Inc. ...................... 174                  given that the company’s orthopedic
                                                                  ★ Amer. Medical Systems Hldgs, Inc. . 175                            products are in growing demand from
PRECISION INSTRUMENT                                             ★★ AmerisourceBergen Corp ................. 176                       a baby-boom generation that insists on
INDUSTRY ............................................. 114        ★ AngioDynamics, Inc. ........................ 177
   Agilent Technologies, Inc. ................. 115              ★★ Bard (C.R.), Inc. ................................ 178
                                                                                                                                       prolonging its active lifestyle.
   Analogic Corp. ................................... 116        ★★ Baxter International, Inc. ................ 179
 ★ Axsys Technologies, Inc. ................... 117                 Beckman Coulter, Inc. ...................... 180                   Top-ranked C.R. Bard stock (page 178)
   Bruker Corporation ........................... 118            ★★ Becton, Dickinson & Co ................... 181                     is an attractive option during this pe-
   Checkpoint Systems .......................... 119              ★ Bio-Rad Labs, ‘A’ ............................... 182              riod of economic misery, thanks to its
   Cognex Co. ........................................ 120          Boston Scientific ............................... 183              non-cyclical nature and strong earn-
   Coherent, Inc. ................................... 121           Cardinal Health, Inc. ....................... 184
 ★ Dionex Corp. ..................................... 122           Cepheid ............................................. 185          ings potential.
   Eastman Kodak ................................ 123               Charles River Laboratories Int’l ..... 186
   FARO Technologies, Inc. .................. 124                   CONMED Corp. ................................ 187                  Stryker Corp. shares are an appeal-
   FEI Company .................................... 125             Cooper Companies, Inc. (The) .......... 188                        ing choice for both the near term and
   GSI Group, Inc. ................................. 126            Covidien Ltd. .................................... 189             long haul, partly due to strong finances
   Hutchinson Technology .................... 127                   CryoLife, Inc. .................................... 190
   II-VI Inc. ........................................... 128       Cutera Inc. ........................................ 191
                                                                                                                                       which position Stryker well when con-
 ★ K-Tron International, Inc. ............... 129                ★★ Cyberonics, Inc. ................................ 192              summating acquisitions at deeply dis-
   KLA-Tencor Corp. ............................. 130             ★ Dentsply International .................... 193                    counted prices. See our report on page
   Keithley Instruments, Inc. .............. 131                 ★★ Edwards Lifesciences Corp. ............. 194                       228.
 ★ MTS Systems Corp. .......................... 132                 ev3 Inc. .............................................. 195
   Mettler-Toledo Int’l .......................... 133            ★ Genomic Health ................................ 196                Becton Dickinson stock (page 181)
 ★ Millipore Corp. .................................. 134        ★★ Haemonetics Corp. ........................... 197
   National Instruments Corp. ............ 135                      Hill-Rom Holdings, Inc. ................... 198                    exhibits potent long-term rebound po-
   Newport Corp. .................................. 136             Hologic, Inc. ...................................... 199           tential in comparison with its histori-
 ★ OSI Systems Inc. .............................. 137              IDEXX Labs ...................................... 200              cal averages. This is an opportunity
   Orbotech Ltd. .................................... 138         ★ Illumina, Inc. .................................... 201            that shouldn’t be passed up given the
   PerkinElmer, Inc. ............................. 139            ★ Immucor Inc. ..................................... 202
   Rofin-Sinar Technologies, Inc. ......... 140                   ★ Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp. 203                            equity’s excellent credentials (top-
   Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. .......... 141                     Intuitive Surgical Inc. ...................... 204                 ranked for both Safety and Timeliness).
   Tollgrade Communications .............. 142                    ★ Invacare ............................................ 205
   Varian, Inc. ....................................... 143         Inverness Medical Innovations, Inc. 206                            Tollgrade shares may be of interest to
   Veeco Instruments, Inc .................... 144               ★★ Johnson & Johnson .......................... 207                   the venturesome, given the likely pros-
   Waters Corp. ..................................... 145           Kinetic Concepts Inc. ....................... 208
 ★ Woodward Governor Company ........ 146                           LCA-Vision Inc. ................................ 209
                                                                                                                                       pect of a higher bid by an avid suitor.
   Zygo Corp. ......................................... 147       ★ Life Technologies Corp. .................... 210                   See our take on its future on page 142.
                                                                    Masimo Corp. ..................................... 211
ELECTRIC UTILITY (EAST)                                          ★★ McKesson Corp. ................................ 212
INDUSTRY ............................................. 148          Medical Action Industries ................ 213
   Allegheny Energy Corp. ................... 149                 ★ Medtronic, Inc. .................................. 214
 ★ CH Energy Group ............................. 150             ★★ Meridian Bioscience, Inc. ................. 215
   Central Vermont Public Service ...... 151                        Natus Medical Inc. ........................... 216                 ★★ Thoratec Corp. ..................................    229
 ★ Consolidated Edison ......................... 152              ★ NuVasive, Inc. ................................... 217              ★ Varian Medical Systems, Inc. ..........              230
   Constellation Energy Group, Inc. .... 153                        Omnicell Inc. ..................................... 218             ★ Volcano Corp. ....................................   231
   Dominion Resources, Inc. ................ 154                    Osteotech, Inc. .................................. 219                West Pharmaceutical Services ........                232
   Duke Energy Corp. ........................... 155              ★ Owens & Minor, Inc. ........................ 220                    ★ Wright Medical Group ......................          233
 ★ Exelon Corp. ..................................... 156           Palomar Medical Technologies Inc. . 221                               Zimmer Holdings, Inc. .....................          234
 ★ FPL Group, Inc. ................................ 157             Patterson Companies ....................... 222                       ZOLL Medical Corp. .........................         235
 ★ FirstEnergy Corp. ............................ 158            ★★ ResMed, Inc. ..................................... 223
 ★ Northeast Utilities ........................... 159            ★ St. Jude Medical ............................... 224               SUPPLEMENTARY REPORTS .......... 242
 ★ NSTAR .............................................. 160       ★ Schein (Henry), Inc. ......................... 225
   PPL Corp. .......................................... 161         SonoSite, Inc. .................................... 226                ★★ Rank 1 (Highest) for Timeliness.
   Pepco Holdings, Inc. ......................... 162             ★ STERIS Corp. ................................... 227                    ★ Rank 2 (Above Average).
 ★ Progress Energy ............................... 163            ★ Stryker Corp. .................................... 228



  In three parts: Part 1 is the Summary & Index. Part 2 is Selection & Opinion. This is Part 3, Ratings & Reports. Volume LXIV, No. 27
                                     Published weekly by VALUE LINE PUBLISHING, INC. 220 East 42nd Street, New York, NY 10017-5891

© 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind. THE PUBLISHER
IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for each subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part of this publication
may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
See back cover for important disclosures.
February 27, 2009                                                                  ECONOMIC SERIES                                                                                                                            100
Value Line’s estimates of sales and earnings growth for individual com-                                                     deflator will advance about 2.0% per year on the average. The corporate
panies are derived by correlating sales, earnings, and dividends to ap-                                                     income tax rate will be around 35%. Long-term interest rates on high-
propriate components or subcomponents of the Gross Domestic Product,                                                        grade corporate bonds are projected to be about 6.3% in the years 2012-
presented below. A more detailed forecast appears periodically in Selec-                                                    2014. We expect the Federal Reserve to pursue neutral-to-fairly accom-
tion & Opinion.                                                                                                             modative policies except in years in which the economy is overheating.
                                                                                                                            Based on these assumptions, the Gross Domestic Product will average
                    HYPOTHESIZED ECONOMIC                                                                                   $16,728 billion in the years 2012-2014, a level that is about 17% above
              ENVIRONMENT 3 TO 5 YEARS HENCE                                                                                the estimated 2008 total of $14,281 billion.
The hypothesized 2012-2014 economic environment into which earnings
are forecast is as follows: Unemployment will average 6.5% of the na-                                                       Things may turn out differently. But in the absence of knowledge of the
tional labor force. There will be no major war in progress at that time.                                                    future, we use the above assumptions, which appear to be most plau-
Industrial production will be expanding about 4.0% per year. Inflation                                                      sible. Thus we are able to apply a common economic environment to all
will continue to be modest. Prices as measured by the broad-based GDP                                                       stocks for the purpose of measuring relative growth potential.

                               THESE ARE THE NATIONAL INCOME SERIES TO WHICH VALUE LINE SALES, EARNINGS, AND DIVIDEND ESTIMATES ARE CORRELATED

  ANNUAL STATISTICS                                          1998         1999         2000         2001         2002         2003         2004         2005         2006         2007      2008*    2009*      2010* 2012-14*
  Gross Domestic Product ($Bill.)                            8747         9268         9817        10128        10470        10961        11686        12422        13178        13808      14281    14097      14569   16728
  Real GDP (2000 Chained $Bill.)                             9067         9470         9817         9891        10049        10301        10676        10990        11295        11524      11671    11414      11700   12847
  Total Consumption ($Bill.)                                 6126         6439         6739         6910         7099         7295         7561         7792         8029         8253       8276     8196       8442    9163
  Nonresidential Fixed Investment ($Bill.)                   1038         1133         1232         1180         1072         1082         1144         1226         1318         1383       1408     1215       1300    1794

  Industrial Prod. (% Change, Annualized)                      5.9          4.4          4.4         -3.4         -0.3          0.6          2.5            3.3        2.2          1.7       -1.7    -3.5            2.5     4.0
  Housing Starts (Mill. Units)                                1.62         1.65         1.57         1.60         1.71         1.85         1.95           2.07       1.81         1.34       0.90    0.56           0.95    1.80
  Total Light Vehicle Sales (Mill. Units)                     15.5         16.9         17.4         17.1         16.8         16.6         16.9           17.0       16.5         16.1       13.1    10.5           12.7    16.0
  Personal Savings Rate (%)                                    4.3          2.4          2.4          1.8          2.4          2.1          2.1            0.4        0.7          0.6        1.7     5.6            4.2     3.0
  National Unemployment Rate (%)                               4.5          4.2          4.0          4.8          5.8          6.0          5.5            5.1        4.6          4.6        5.8     8.4            8.9     6.5

  AAA Corp Bond Rate (%)                                        6.5          7.0          7.6          7.1          6.5          5.7          5.6           5.2         5.6          5.6       5.6     5.5            5.2      6.3
  10-Year Treasury Note Rate (%)                                5.3          5.6          6.0          5.0          4.6          4.0          4.3           4.3         4.8          4.6       3.7     2.8            3.4      4.8
  3-Month Treasury Bill Rate (%)                                4.8          4.6          5.8          3.4          1.6          1.0          1.4           3.1         4.7          4.4       1.4     0.4            0.8      4.0

  ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
  Real GDP                                                      4.2          4.4          3.7          0.8          1.6          2.5          3.6           2.9         2.8          2.0       1.3     -2.2           2.5      3.3
  GDP Deflator                                                  1.1          1.4          2.2          2.4          1.7          2.1          2.9           3.3         3.2          2.7       2.2      0.6           1.2      2.0
  Consumer Price Index                                          1.5          2.2          3.4          2.8          1.6          2.3          2.7           3.4         3.2          2.9       3.8     -0.7           2.3      3.0

  QUARTERLY ANNUALIZED RATES                                                       2008                                                             2009                                                      2010
                                                               1st         2nd          3rd          4th*                      1st*        2nd*          3rd*         4th*                    1st*    2nd*        3rd*        4th*
  Gross Domestic Product ($Bill.)                           14151        14294        14413        14265                     14147        14026        14068        14148                   14272    14403      14650       14951
  Real GDP (2000 Chained $Bill.)                            11646        11727        11712        11599                     11451        11364        11393        11449                   11514    11586      11785       11915
  Total Consumption ($Bill.)                                 8316         8341         8261         8187                      8146         8166         8207         8267                    8329     8391       8450        8600
  Nonresidential Fixed Investment ($Bill.)                   1423         1432         1426         1352                      1290         1228         1179         1164                    1178     1198       1300        1525

  Industrial Production (% Change, Annualized)                 0.4         -3.1         -8.9        -11.5                     -10.0         -4.0           -1.0        1.0                     2.0     3.0            2.8     2.4
  Housing Starts (Mill. Units)                                1.05         1.02         0.88         0.66                      0.50         0.52           0.55       0.65                    0.75    0.90           1.00    1.10
  Total Light Vehicle Sales (Mill. Units)                     15.2         14.1         12.9         10.3                       9.5         10.0           11.0       11.5                    12.0    12.5           12.8    13.0

  *Estimated



  Arnold Bernhard, Founder (1901-1987)                                                                                                                                  Jean Bernhard Buttner, Chairman & CEO
  Samuel Eisenstadt, Research Chairman                                                  Reuben Gregg Brewer, Research Director                                                              Harvey S. Katz, Managing Editor


  Theresa Brophy, Assoc. Research Director                                                Morton L. Siegel, Assoc. Research Director                                             David M. Reimer, Asst. Research Director
  Charles Clark, Assoc. Research Director                                                 Jeremy J. Butler, Asst. Research Director
  Robert Mitkowski, Jr., Assoc. Research Director                                         Mario Ferro, Asst. Research Director                                                   Harold Levine, Director, Statistical Services
  George A. Niemond, Assoc. Research Director                                             Alan G. House, Asst. Research Director


  Senior Industry                     Analyst-Specialists:               Matthew E. Spencer     Information Technology:                                                          Statistics:
  Analysts:                            Damon Churchwell                  Garrett Sussman        Shawn Cohen, Chief Information Officer                                           Brandon Cheatham, Stat. Research Asst.
  David R. Cohen                      Andre J. Costanza                  Mary Beth Wiedenkeller                                                                                  Tamika Messam, Quantitative Analyst
  Paul E. Debbas                      Iason Dalavagas                                                                                                                            Irina Zaydvarg, Statistics Clerk
  William G. Ferguson                 Erik M. Manning                                                       Computer Services:
  Ian Gendler                         Douglas G. Maurer                  Junior Analysts:                   Hassan Davis, Director, Applications & Develop.
  Robert M. Greene                    Lester Ratcliff                    John D. Burke                      Donna Webb, Production Control Manager                               Data Administration:
  Frederick L. Harris, III            Adam Rosner                        Michael Ratty                      Ayako Tokunaga, Senior Programmer/Analyst                            Mila Grayevsky, Senior Database Analyst
  Justin Hellman                      Simon R. Shoucair                  Michael J. Shea                    James Hammargren, Senior Programmer/Analyst                          Curtis R. Clarke, Manager, Equity Data Div.
  Kenneth A. Nugent                                                      Michael G. Swietnicki              Terry Yu, Senior Software Development/Support                        Edith Barnor, Database Analyst
  George I. H. Rho                                                       Christopher T. Wells               Larry David, Supervisor, Computer Operations                         Dana Jones, Database Analyst
  Sigourney B. Romaine                                                                                      George Moy, Dir., Internet Infrastructure/Ntwrks                     Patrick G. O’Connor, Supervisor, Quality Ctrl.
  Randy Shrikishun                    Analysts:                                                             Shannon Egerton, Tech Support                                        Frantz Goodridge, Research Assistant
  Craig Sirois                        Sharif Abdou                                                          Desmond Eng, Tech Support                                            Clive Russell, Research Assistant
  Warren Thorpe                       Kevin Downing                                                         Bill Mandra, Software Development Manager
                                      Bryan J. Fong
                                      Richard Gallagher                                                                                                                          Production:
  Senior Analysts:                    Jerry W. Gray Jr.                                                                                                                          LeShane W. Lilly, Production Manager
   Erik A. Antonson                   William Kuo                                                                                                                                Michael Manchess, Production Coordinator
  J. Susan Ferrara                    Nira Maharaj                                                                                                                               Warren Tabachnick, Production Editor
  Jerome H. Kaplan                    Michael F. Napoli
  Tom Nikic                           Joel Schwed
  Jason A. Smith                      Orly Seidman
  Nils C. Van Liew                    Dominic B. Silva

© 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind.
THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber's own, non-commercial, internal use. No part of it                         To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046.
may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
ABAXIS, INC. NDQ-ABAX                                                                     RECENT
                                                                                           PRICE         17.25 P/E 27.0(Trailing: NMF) RELATIVE 2.31 DIV’D
                                                                                                               RATIO    Median:
                                                                                                                                  30.3
                                                                                                                                       P/E RATIO     YLD                                                       Nil         VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            LINE            170
 TIMELINESS          2   Raised 2/13/09           High:
                                                  Low:
                                                                3.8
                                                                1.1
                                                                            8.3
                                                                            1.4
                                                                                      11.0
                                                                                       4.1
                                                                                                   6.3
                                                                                                   2.3
                                                                                                               7.0
                                                                                                               2.5
                                                                                                                         21.9
                                                                                                                          3.2
                                                                                                                                     23.8
                                                                                                                                     10.9
                                                                                                                                                18.9
                                                                                                                                                 7.5
                                                                                                                                                            26.8
                                                                                                                                                            16.2
                                                                                                                                                                        40.0
                                                                                                                                                                        16.9
                                                                                                                                                                                    38.1
                                                                                                                                                                                    10.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                  19.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                  13.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Target Price Range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2012 2013 2014
 SAFETY              3   New 2/29/08               LEGENDS
                                                         22.0 x ″Cash Flow″ p sh
 TECHNICAL           2   Raised 2/6/09           . . . . Relative Price Strength
                                                 Options: Yes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  80
 BETA 1.30 (1.00 = Market)                         Shaded area: prior recession                                                                                                                                                                   60
                                                 Latest recession began 12/07                                                                                                                                                                     50
       2012-14 PROJECTIONS                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40
                   Ann’l Total
       Price  Gain   Return                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30
 High   40 (+130%) 24%                                                                                                                                                                                                                            25
 Low    25 (+45%) 10%                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20
 Insider Decisions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15
            A   M   J    J   A   S   O   N   D
 to Buy     0   0   0    0   0   0   0   0   0                                                                                                                                                                                                    10
 Options    0   2   0    0   1   0   2   1   1
 to Sell    0   2   0    0   1   0   0   0   0                                                                                                                                                                                                    7.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     % TOT. RETURN 1/09
 Institutional Decisions                                                                                                                                                                                                    THIS    VL ARITH.
              1Q2008      2Q2008      3Q2008                                                                                                                                                                               STOCK     INDEX
                                                 Percent        45                                                                                                                                                 1 yr.    -51.4    -39.3
  to Buy         90          71          57      shares         30
  to Sell        50          56          56                                                                                                                                                                        3 yr.    -20.6    -36.6
                                                 traded         15
  Hld’s(000) 20686       21957       21008                                                                                                                                                                         5 yr.    -16.7    -18.3
 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010                                                                                                                           © VALUE LINE PUB., INC.    12-14
     .19          .17         .30          .61     1.00        1.03       1.48        1.83        1.87       2.07        2.40        2.65        3.42       4.07        4.63        4.95           5.85    6.45    Sales per sh A                 9.35
   d1.33        d1.36        d.56         d.45     d.30        d.28        .00         .08         .18        .17        1.32         .34         .48        .60         .74         .75            .95    1.05    ‘‘Cash Flow’’ per sh           1.50
   d1.43        d1.24        d.65         d.59     d.44        d.31       d.05        d.09         .02        .02        1.16         .22         .35        .46         .56         .59            .75     .85    Earnings per sh B              1.25
      --           --          --           --       --          --         --          --          --         --          --          --          --         --          --         Nil            Nil     Nil    Div’ds Decl’d per sh             Nil
     .27          .19         .06          .08      .05         .07        .13         .37         .05        .07         .07         .13         .16        .14         .17         .20            .20     .25    Cap’l Spending per sh           .30
    1.60         1.67        1.09          .79      .39         .30        .46         .76         .84       1.00        2.80        3.10        3.53       4.14        4.82        5.70           6.30    7.35    Book Value per sh             10.85
    6.26         6.26        9.86        11.89    12.19       12.96      15.70       16.10       16.34      16.82       19.52       19.89       20.14      21.21       21.71       22.00          22.25   22.50    Common Shs Outst’g C          23.00
      --           --          --           --       --          --         --          --        NMF        NMF         11.0        NMF         41.8       46.5        46.4      Bold figures are                 Avg Ann’l P/E Ratio            25.0
      --           --          --           --       --          --         --          --        NMF        NMF          .63        NMF         2.23       2.51        2.46        Value Line                     Relative P/E Ratio             1.65
                                                                                                                                                                                     estimates
      --           --          --           --       --          --         --          --          --         --          --          --          --         --          --                                       Avg Ann’l Div’d Yield           Nil
 CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 12/31/08                                         23.2        29.5        30.6        34.8       46.9        52.8       68.9        86.2       100.6         109        130         145    Sales ($mill) A                 215
                                                                           .2%       4.9%       10.5%        9.2%      13.7%       17.0%      18.7%       19.8%       21.1%       21.5%       22.5%       23.0%    Operating Margin             24.0%
 Total Debt None                                                             .7        1.3         1.7         1.6        1.7         1.9        2.1         2.7         3.5         4.0         4.5         4.5   Depreciation ($mill)             6.0
 Leases, Uncapitalized Annual rentals $4.4 mill.                            d.6         .2         1.3         1.6       24.0         4.9        7.5        10.1        12.5        13.0        16.5        19.0   Net Profit ($mill)             28.0
                                                                             --     10.0%        1.2%         .3%          --      34.1%      35.1%       37.6%       36.9%       36.0%       36.0%       36.0%    Income Tax Rate              36.0%
 No Defined Benfit Pension Plan                                           NMF         .6%        4.3%        4.7%      51.3%        9.2%      10.8%       11.7%       12.4%       11.9%       12.7%       13.1%    Net Profit Margin            13.0%
                                                                            4.0        7.2        13.3        17.9       25.9        38.8       49.7        74.6        52.5        110         135         160    Working Cap’l ($mill)           275
 Preferred Stock None                                                        .9        1.5         1.0          .5         --          --         --          --          --          Nil        Nil         Nil   Long-Term Debt ($mill)           Nil
 Common Stock 21,899,000 shares                                             7.2       15.5        20.7        25.4       54.6        61.7       71.0        87.8       104.6        125         140         165    Shr. Equity ($mill)             250
                                                                          NMF        1.7%        6.3%        6.6%      44.1%        7.9%      10.5%       11.5%       11.9%       12.0%       12.0%       11.5%    Return on Total Cap’l        11.0%
                                                                          NMF        1.2%        6.3%        6.4%      44.0%        7.9%      10.5%       11.5%       11.9%       12.0%       12.0%       11.5%    Return on Shr. Equity        11.0%
 MARKET CAP: $375 million (Small Cap)                                     NMF        NMF         9.5%        7.0%      44.0%        7.9%      10.5%       11.5%       11.9%       12.0%       12.0%       11.5%    Retained to Com Eq           11.0%
 CURRENT POSITION 2006         2007 12/31/08                                 --         --          --          --         --          --         --          --          --          Nil        Nil         Nil   All Div’ds to Net Prof           Nil
    ($MILL.)
 Cash Assets          45.2     24.2     74.6                            BUSINESS: Abaxis, Inc. develops, manufacturers, and markets                                  market accounts for roughly 70% of total sales. About 85% of sales
 Receivables          16.9     20.9     21.6                            portable blood analysis systems for use in veterinary or human                               are domestic. Has 265 employees. Off. & dir. own 6.6% of common
 Inventory (FIFO)     14.8     18.7     17.1                            patient-care settings to provide clinicians with blood constituent                           stock; Next Century Growth Investors, 8.1%; Brown Capital Mgmt.,
 Other                10.4       2.8     4.7
 Current Assets       87.3     66.6   118.0                             measurements. The company markets its primary product, a blood                               7.4% (9/08 Proxy). Chairman, CEO & President: Clinton H. Sever-
 Accts Payable          6.5      6.4     5.9                            analysis system, for veterinary use under the VetScan name and in                            son. Incorporated: CA. Address: 3240 Whipple Road, Union City,
 Debt Due               --        --      --                            the human medical market under the Piccolo name. The veterinary                              CA 94587. Telephone: (510) 675-6500. Internet: www.abaxis.com.
 Other                  6.2      7.7     6.9
 Current Liab.        12.7     14.1     12.8               Abaxis is facing a difficult market en-                                                                   the deeper portfolio will help offset some of
                                                           vironment. The portable blood analysis                                                                    the macroeconomic concerns and enable
 ANNUAL RATES Past                Past Est’d ’05-’07 systems maker came up a bit short of ex-                                                                        Abaxis to post 10%-15% share-net growth
 of change (per sh)   10 Yrs.     5 Yrs.     to ’12-’14
 Sales                 20.5% 16.0% 13.0%                   pectations in the third quarter (fiscal year                                                              in the fourth quarter and a 25%-30%
 ‘‘Cash Flow’’              - - 33.0% 14.0%                ends March 31st) reporting an uninspiring                                                                 bottom-line advance in fiscal 2009.
 Earnings                    --        - - 16.0%           share-earnings advance of a penny over                                                                    Wall Street seems to agree. In a rela-
 Dividends                   --        --          Nil
 Book Value            18.5% 37.0% 15.0%                   the prior year. Although medical market                                                                   tively down market, Abaxis shares have
  Fiscal                                             Full
                                                           sales improved 19%, overall top-line                                                                      increased over 20% in value since our No-
  Year         QUARTERLY SALES ($ mill.) A         Fiscal growth     was muted as demand for                                                                         vember report and are now favorably
 Begins Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Mar.31 Year
                                                           veterinary products fell due to the more                                                                  ranked for Timeliness. The stock does not
  2006        20.4     21.0     22.0 22.8             86.2 discretionary nature of this business. We                                                                 stand out for 3- to 5-year appreciation
  2007        22.9     25.3     25.7 26.7           100.6 suspect that the veterinary franchise will                                                                 potential, however, as the run-up has dis-
  2008        24.6     27.7     27.0 29.7           109 remain under pressure until there is evi-                                                                    counted a noticeable portion of the share-
  2009        28.0     33.5     33.5 35.0           130
  2010        31.0     36.5     37.5 40.0           145 dence of an economic turnaround.                                                                             price gains we envision out to 2012-2014.
  Fiscal                                             Full
                                                           The benefits of product introductions                                                                     The company possesses the means to
  Year           EARNINGS PER SHARE AB             Fiscal should help ease the pain a bit,                                                                           improve its growth prospects, how-
 Begins Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Mar.31 Year
                                                           though. Abaxis recently rolled out the                                                                    ever. Abaxis is debt-free, has a healthy
  2006        .10      .10      .13       .13         .46 VetScan VSpro Coagulation Analyzer and                                                                     cash reserve, and generates good cash
  2007        .14      .13      .14       .15         .56 the VetScan Canine Heartworm Rapid                                                                         flow. We believe that management would
  2008        .12      .15      .15       .17         .59
  2009        .14      .18      .20       .23         .75 test. We are especially intrigued by the                                                                   be wise to use the acquisition market to
  2010        .16      .20      .23       .26         .85 latter, which is likely to be the first in a                                                               expand its medical business, as this opera-
                                                           series of rapid, lateral-flow tests. The                                                                  tion offers far greater growth potential
   Cal-        QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAID             Full heartworm market is estimated to be                                                                         than the veterinary segment, but accounts
 endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year
                                                           valued at more than $70 million per year.                                                                 for only one-quarter of total sales. That
  2005                                                     Meanwhile, the company continues to gain                                                                  said, long-term investors may want to wait
  2006           NO CASH DIVIDENDS                         traction with its medical segment with the                                                                until plans are put in place before commit-
  2007               BEING PAID                            FDA, waiving CLIA status for two addi-                                                                    ting funds.
  2008
  2009                                                     tional point-of-care test panels. We think                                                                Andre J. Costanza         February 27, 2009
(A) Fiscal years end March 31st of the follow- (C) In millions.                                                                                                                                     Company’s Financial Strength                 B+
ing year.                                                                                                                                                                                           Stock’s Price Stability                      20
(B) Diluted earnings. Next earnings report due                                                                                                                                                      Price Growth Persistence                     85
early May.                                                                                                                                                                                          Earnings Predictability                      35
© 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind.
THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part                                      To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046.
of it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
ADVANCED MEDICAL NYSE-EYE                                                                 RECENT
                                                                                           PRICE          21.91 P/E 28.1(Trailing: NMF) RELATIVE 2.40 DIV’D
                                                                                                                RATIO    Median:
                                                                                                                                   37.8
                                                                                                                                        P/E RATIO     YLD                                                       Nil        VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            LINE            171
 TIMELINESS          –   Suspended 1/23/09                                                      High:
                                                                                                Low:
                                                                                                             12.4
                                                                                                              7.7
                                                                                                                         20.7
                                                                                                                         11.3
                                                                                                                                     43.7
                                                                                                                                     20.0
                                                                                                                                                 44.5
                                                                                                                                                 32.0
                                                                                                                                                            52.9
                                                                                                                                                            33.9
                                                                                                                                                                        44.0
                                                                                                                                                                        23.4
                                                                                                                                                                                    24.9
                                                                                                                                                                                     2.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                  22.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                   6.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Target Price Range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2012 2013 2014
 SAFETY              4   Lowered 11/28/08            LEGENDS
                                                           7.0 x ″Cash Flow″ p sh                                                                                                                                                                 64
 TECHNICAL           –   Suspended 1/23/09         . . . . Relative Price Strength
                                                   Options: Yes                                                                                                                                                                                   48
 BETA 1.15 (1.00 = Market)                           Shaded area: prior recession                                                                                                                                                                 40
                                                   Latest recession began 12/07
       2012-14 PROJECTIONS                                                                                                                                                                                                                        32
                    Ann’l Total                                                                                                                                                                                                                   24
       Price   Gain   Return                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20
 High   30 (+35%)      8%
 Low    17    (-20%) -6%                                                                                                                                                                                                                          16
 Insider Decisions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                12
            A   M   J    J   A   S    O   N   D
 to Buy     0   1   0    0   1   0    0   0   0                                                                                                                                                                                                   8
 Options    0   1   0    0   0   0    0   0   0                                                                                                                                                                                                   6
 to Sell    0   1   0    0   0   0    0   0   0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     % TOT. RETURN 1/09
 Institutional Decisions                                                                                                                                                                                                    THIS    VL ARITH.
              1Q2008      2Q2008       3Q2008                                                                                                                                                                              STOCK     INDEX
                                                   Percent       60                                                                                                                                                1 yr.      4.6    -39.3
  to Buy        100          90           69       shares        40
  to Sell        87          89           88                                                                                                                                                                       3 yr.    -50.7    -36.6
                                                   traded        20
  Hld’s(000) 75784       72142        67465                                                                                                                                                                        5 yr.     -4.0    -18.3
 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010                                                                                                                           © VALUE LINE PUB., INC.    12-14
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --     18.74       20.47       20.02       13.57      16.76       17.99       19.20          19.20   20.50    Sales per sh                  24.00
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --      1.45         .88        d.81       d5.92       1.46         .69        2.60           2.75    2.95    ‘‘Cash Flow’’ per sh           3.60
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --       .90         .35       d1.62       d8.28        .12        d.96         .75            .85    1.00    Earnings per sh A              1.55
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --        --          --          --          --         --          --          --            Nil     Nil    Div’ds Decl’d per sh             Nil
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --       .76         .67         .65         .50        .67         .75         .70            .75     .80    Cap’l Spending per sh           .95
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --      2.29        3.17        7.45       14.89      12.03        9.87       10.75          11.65   12.75    Book Value per sh B           17.20
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --     28.72       29.38       37.07       67.83      59.51       60.64       61.40          61.75   62.00    Common Shs Outst’g C          62.50
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --      11.3        45.4          --          --       NMF         NMF         23.2     Bold figures are      Avg Ann’l P/E Ratio            14.5
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --       .62        2.59          --          --       NMF         NMF         1.43       Value Line          Relative P/E Ratio              .95
                                                                                                                                                                                                estimates
       --           --           --           --        --         --         --         --          --        --          --          --          --         --          --          --                           Avg Ann’l Div’d Yield            Nil
 CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 9/30/08                                              --         --          --     538.1       601.5       742.1 920.7            997.5      1090.8       1180        1185        1270    Sales ($mill)                 1500
                                                                              --         --          --    15.5%       12.5%        7.6%    NMF           21.8%       11.5%       22.0%       23.0%       23.0%    Operating Margin             23.5%
 Total Debt $1545.5 mill. Due in 5 Yrs $18.0 mill.                            --         --          --      15.7        15.5        23.6   51.6            70.6        99.2        114         116         118    Depreciation ($mill)            125
 LT Debt $1541.0 mill. LT Interest $70.0 mill.
                                    (70% of Capital)                          --         --          --      25.9        10.4       d53.8 d453.2            16.5       d57.4        46.0        55.0        65.0   Net Profit ($mill)              100
                                                                              --         --          --    41.9%       40.0%           --     --          65.6%         NMF       38.5%       39.0%       39.5%    Income Tax Rate              40.0%
                                                                              --         --          --     4.8%        1.7%         NMF    NMF            1.7%         NMF        3.9%        4.7%        5.1%    Net Profit Margin             6.7%
 Pension Assets-12/07 $10.1 bill. Oblig. $20.7 bill.                          --         --          --     166.3       137.2       182.9 218.9            260.6       180.5        210         290         350    Working Cap’l ($mill)           525
                                                                              --         --          --     277.6       233.6       550.6 500.0            851.1      1543.2       1450        1400        1325    Long-Term Debt ($mill)        1000
 Preferred Stock None                                                         --         --          --      65.7        93.2       276.3 1010.1           716.0       598.7        660         720         790    Shr. Equity ($mill)           1075
 Common Stock 61,281,853 shares                                               --         --          --     9.6%        6.9%         NMF    NMF            1.9%         NMF        3.5%        4.0%        4.5%    Return on Total Cap’l         6.5%
                                                                              --         --          --    39.4%       11.1%         NMF    NMF            2.3%         NMF        7.0%        7.5%        8.0%    Return on Shr. Equity         9.5%
 MARKET CAP: $1.3 billion (Mid Cap)                                           --         --          --    39.4%       11.1%         NMF    NMF            2.3%         NMF        7.0%        7.5%        8.0%    Retained to Com Eq            9.5%
 CURRENT POSITION 2006           2007                        9/30/08          --         --          --        --          --          --     --              --          --          --         Nil         Nil   All Div’ds to Net Prof           Nil
    ($MILL.)
 Cash Assets            34.5     34.5                          35.0      BUSINESS: Advanced Medical Optics, Inc. provides a full range of                            ticians, ophthalmologists, and retailers, as well as clinics and am-
 Receivables          232.4     250.0                         251.6      advanced refractive technologies and support to help deliver op-                            bulatory surgical centers worldwide. Has roughly 4,100 employees.
 Inventory (FIFO)     127.5     160.3                         192.6      timal vision and lifestyle experiences. It operates three business                          Officers & Directors own 19.2% of common stock; ValueAct Capital
 Other                  83.7     78.3                          65.4
 Current Assets       478.1     523.1                         544.6      segments; the cataract/implant line, the laser vision correction busi-                      Mgmt., 14.5% (5/08). Chairman, CEO, & President: James V.
 Accts Payable          53.9     88.4                          64.2      ness, and the contact lens care component. With products available                          Mazzo. Address: 1700 E. St. Andrew Place, Santa Ana, CA 92705.
 Debt Due                 --     64.5                           4.5      in more than 60 countries, it serves eye surgeons, optometrists, op-                        Telephone: (714) 247-8200. Internet: http://www.amo-inc.com.
 Other                163.6     189.7                         183.2
 Current Liab.        217.5     342.6                      It looks as though Advanced Medical
                                                              251.9                                                                                                  2012-2014, absent the takeover. Indeed,
                                                           Optics may be nearing its final days                                                                      the pipeline recently got news that the
 ANNUAL RATES Past                 Past Est’d ’05-’07 in our Survey. The eye care solutions pro-                                                                     FDA recently approved Advanced’s Tecnis
 of change (per sh)   10 Yrs.      5 Yrs.     to ’12-’14
 Sales                       --     -3.0%        6.0%      vider, agreed to be bought by medical                                                                     Multifocal Intraocular implantable lens.
 ‘‘Cash Flow’’              --          --       NMF       device maker Abbott Laboratories in Janu-                                                                 Those who had bought the stock a few
 Earnings                    --         --        NMF      ary for roughly $2.8 billion, including the                                                               years back may question the sale.
 Dividends                   --         --          Nil
 Book Value                  - - 40.0%           5.0%      assumption of more than $1.5 billion in                                                                   Still, most will probably want to sign
                                                           debt. Specifically, EYE shareholders are                                                                  off on the agreement that is currently
   Cal-          QUARTERLY SALES ($ mill.)           Full slated to receive $22 in cash for each com-                                                                on the table. EYE stock has been ex-
 endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year mon share owned. The deal looks to be                                                                                        tremely volatile, making the recovery we
  2006 238.2 257.0 258.6 243.7                       997.5 moving along smoothly, recently clearing                                                                  are projecting dubious. Not only are the
  2007 251.7 261.3 273.2 304.6 1090.8 U.S. antitrust regulations, but is still                                                                                       prospects of the corrective surgery busi-
  2008 303.7 320.5 275.6 280.2 1180 awaiting European and shareholder ap-                                                                                            ness in question, but it is important to
  2009 285            310       285 305            1185
  2010 305            325       310 330            1270 proval. If all goes well, we expect the deal                                                                 keep the earlier mishap with the compa-
                                                           to close by the end of the first quarter.                                                                 ny’s solution line in mind. It is likely to be
   Cal-           EARNINGS PER SHARE A               Full The price tag appears to be attractive.                                                                    a long road back for this business, placing
 endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year
                                                           The purchase price represents a 149% pre-                                                                 an even more vital need on the corrective
  2006        .04     d.04       .33      d.13         .12 mium over EYE’s closing price the day be-                                                                 surgery franchise. We believe that most
  2007        .22     d.80      d.35      d.03       d.96 fore the deal was announced.                                                                               will want to lock in the gain, removing any
  2008        .22      .24       .15       .14         .75
  2009        .20      .23       .21       .21         .85 Things are not as clear-cut as they                                                                       uncertainty that the stock brings with it.
  2010        .24      .27       .25       .24       1.00 may initially seem, however. EYE stock                                                                     The issue is ranked 4 (Below Average) for
                                                           had been beaten up in the months leading                                                                  Safety and has a low Price Stability score.
   Cal-        QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAID              Full up to the announcement, as the economic                                                                    Andre J. Costanza        February 27, 2009
 endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year
                                                           malaise raised concerns about future                                                                        CASH POSITION            5-Year Av’g 9/30/08
  2005                                                     demand for corrective eye surgeries. That
  2006           NO CASH DIVIDENDS                                                                                                                                       Current Assets to Current Liabilities:             194%             116%
                                                           said, the current bid represents a 12% dis-                                                                   Cash & Equiv’s to Current Liabilities:              21%              14%
  2007               BEING PAID                            count to the stock’s 52-week high price, a
  2008                                                                                                                                                                   Working Capital to Sales:                           23%              25%
  2009                                                     target we envision the issue surpassing by
(A) Diluted EPS. Excludes nonrecurring gain/                      count.                                                                                                                            Company’s Financial Strength                C++
(losses): ’04, ($2.03); ’06, $1.06; ’07, ($2.26).                 (B) Includes intangibles. In ’07: $1.938 billion                                                                                  Stock’s Price Stability                       5
Next earnings report due early May. Quarterly                     or $31.97 a share.                                                                                                                Price Growth Persistence                     45
figures may not add due to changes in share                       (C) In millions.                                                                                                                  Earnings Predictability                       5
© 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind.
THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part                                      To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046.
of it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
AFFYMETRIX INC. NDQ-AFFX                                                                  RECENT
                                                                                           PRICE             3.13 P/E NMF(Trailing: NMF) RELATIVE NMF DIV’D
                                                                                                                  RATIO   Median: NMF P/E RATIO       YLD                                                        Nil         VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              LINE            172
 TIMELINESS          4   Raised 2/13/09            High:
                                                   Low:
                                                               17.6
                                                                8.1
                                                                          97.6
                                                                          11.8
                                                                                    163.5
                                                                                     42.3
                                                                                                  74.6
                                                                                                  14.0
                                                                                                             41.9
                                                                                                             13.8
                                                                                                                         29.9
                                                                                                                         16.3
                                                                                                                                     38.2
                                                                                                                                     23.2
                                                                                                                                                59.7
                                                                                                                                                33.9
                                                                                                                                                            48.0
                                                                                                                                                            17.5
                                                                                                                                                                        32.0
                                                                                                                                                                        20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                    23.8
                                                                                                                                                                                     2.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                    4.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                    2.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Target Price Range
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2012 2013 2014
 SAFETY              4   Lowered 10/24/08           LEGENDS
                                                          18.0 x ″Cash Flow″ p sh                                                                                                                                                                  64
 TECHNICAL           1   Raised 2/27/09           . . . . Relative Price Strength
                                                  2-for-1 split 8/00                                                                                                                                                                               48
 BETA 1.25 (1.00 = Market)                        Options: Yes                                                                                                                                                                                     40
                                                    Shaded area: prior recession
       2012-14 PROJECTIONS                        Latest recession began 12/07                                                                                                                                                                     32
                   Ann’l Total                                                                                                                                                                                                                     24
       Price  Gain   Return                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20
 High   14 (+345%) 45%
 Low     9 (+190%) 30%                                                                                                                                                                                                                             16
 Insider Decisions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 12
            A   M   J    J   A   S    O   N   D
 to Buy     1   0   0    1   0   0    0   0   0                                                                                                                                                                                                    8
 Options    0   0   0    0   0   0    0   0   0                                                                                                                                                                                                    6
 to Sell    0   0   0    0   0   0    0   0   0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       % TOT. RETURN 1/09
 Institutional Decisions                                                                                                                                                                                                      THIS    VL ARITH.
              1Q2008      2Q2008       3Q2008                                                                                                                                                                                STOCK     INDEX
                                                  Percent       90                                                                                                                                                   1 yr.    -84.1    -39.3
  to Buy         94         115           73      shares        60
  to Sell        79          68           92                                                                                                                                                                         3 yr.    -91.7    -36.6
                                                  traded        30
  Hld’s(000) 73739       68089        66935                                                                                                                                                                          5 yr.    -89.8    -18.3
 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010                                                                                                                             © VALUE LINE PUB., INC.    12-14
       --           --           --         .27      .43       1.13       1.85        3.51        3.88       4.95        5.06        5.62        5.47       5.23        5.36        4.55           4.35     4.60     Revenues per sh                5.55
       --           --           --        d.24     d.44       d.45       d.36        d.76        d.32        .35         .86        1.19        1.28        .43         .82         .15            .35      .65     ‘‘Cash Flow’’ per sh           1.25
       --           --           --        d.41     d.50       d.56       d.51        d.98        d.61       d.03         .40         .74         .84       d.03         .34        d.47           d.30      Nil     Earnings per sh A                .55
       --           --           --          --       --         --         --          --          --         --          --          --          --         --          --          --            Nil      Nil     Div’ds Decl’d per sh             Nil
       --           --           --         .08      .35        .36        .30         .45         .58        .42         .21         .36         .60       1.17         .40         .20            .25      .25     Cap’l Spending per sh           .35
       --           --           --        2.50     2.00       1.45       2.51        2.57        2.22       2.31        2.78        4.05        7.73       8.14        8.65        4.30           4.00     4.05     Book Value per sh              5.25
       --           --           --       45.07    45.57      46.03      52.37       57.14       58.01      58.50       59.45       61.59       67.22      67.92       69.22       70.50          71.00    71.75     Common Shs Outst’g B          74.00
       --           --           --          --       --         --         --          --          --         --        57.7        41.7        55.0         --        75.1          --     Bold figures are        Avg Ann’l P/E Ratio            21.0
       --           --           --          --       --         --         --          --          --         --        3.29        2.20        2.93         --        3.99          --       Value Line            Relative P/E Ratio             1.40
                                                                                                                                                                                                estimates
       --           --           --          --       --         --         --          --          --         --          --          --          --         --          --          --                             Avg Ann’l Div’d Yield            Nil
 CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 9/30/08                                          96.9       200.8       224.9      289.9       300.8       346.0      367.6       355.3       371.3       320.3            310       330    Revenues ($mill)                410
 Total Debt $436.3 mill. Due in 5 Yrs Nil                                 NMF         NMF         NMF      12.7%       18.8%       24.7%      25.6%        7.3%       14.4%        3.5%           7.5%     13.5%     Operating Margin             25.0%
 LT Debt $436.3 mill.       LT Interest $12.0 mill.                        6.5        10.7        16.3       22.0        26.7        25.7       28.2        31.1        32.1        43.0           46.0      48.0    Depreciation ($mill)           52.0
 Incl. $120 mill. of 3⁄4% 2033 notes, convertible at a
 price of $31.01 a share, and $316.3 million of                          d23.1       d54.0       d34.8       d1.6        24.2        47.6       57.5        d2.1        24.5       d32.2          d21.0        Nil   Net Profit ($mill)             40.0
 31⁄2% 2038 notes, conv. at $30.12.                                         --          --          --         --      10.2%        6.5%       8.1%           --      27.0%           --           NMF      NMF      Income Tax Rate              25.0%
                                        (41% of Cap’l)                    NMF         NMF         NMF        NMF        8.0%       13.8%      15.6%        NMF         6.6%         NMF            NMF      NMF      Net Profit Margin             9.8%
 Leases, Uncapitalized: Annual rentals $10.7 mill.                       228.7       418.3       372.7      371.7       192.8       226.3      345.6       290.3       583.1       420.8            425       455    Working Cap’l ($mill)           510
 No Defined Pension Plan                                                 155.0       380.1       375.0      377.2       120.0       120.0      120.0       120.0       436.3       316.3            315       315    Long-Term Debt ($mill)         315
 Pfd Stock None
                                                                         131.3       147.1       129.0      134.9       165.1       249.2      519.8       553.0       598.4       303.7            285       290    Shr. Equity ($mill)             390
 Common Stock 70,202,630 shs.                                             NMF         NMF         NMF       1.6%       11.5%       14.4%       9.1%        NMF         2.5%         NMF            NMF      NMF      Return on Total Cap’l         5.5%
 as of 10/31/08                                                           NMF         NMF         NMF        NMF       14.7%       19.1%      11.1%        NMF         4.1%         NMF            NMF      NMF      Return on Shr. Equity        10.5%
 MARKET CAP: $225 million (Small Cap)                                     NMF         NMF         NMF        NMF       14.7%       19.1%      11.1%        NMF         4.1%         NMF            NMF      NMF      Retained to Com Eq           10.5%
 CURRENT POSITION 2006         2007 9/30/08                               NMF           --          --         --          --          --         --          --          --          --             Nil       Nil   All Div’ds to Net Prof           Nil
    ($MILL.)
 Cash Assets         237.2    494.4   579.4                             BUSINESS: Affymetrix Inc. is a leading genomics company that                                 tech. companies, as well as academic research centers and clinical
 Receivables          77.8     81.6    63.5                             manufactures tools that enable the large-scale analysis of the hu-                           reference labs. ’07 R&D; $72.7 mill. Has 1,140 employees. Off./dir.
 Inventory (Avg Cst)  46.5     42.9    46.4                             man genome. The company’s GeneChip technology is intended to                                 own 2.5% of com; FMR Corp., 14.6%; T. Rowe Price, 10.4%;
 Other                22.4     48.2    23.5
 Current Assets      383.9    667.1   712.8                             simplify, accelerate, and reduce the cost of analyzing genetic                               PrimeCap Mgmt., 8.2% (4/08 Proxy). Chairman & CEO: Stephen P.
 Accts Payable        62.9     61.5    15.0                             variability (both sequence and expression) and lead to new op-                               Fodor, Ph.D. Pres.: Kevin M. King. Inc.: Del. Addr.: 3380 Central
 Debt Due               --        --     --                             portunities in disease mgmt. Products are used by pharm. and bio-                            Expressway, Santa Clara, CA 95051. Tel.: 408-731-5000.
 Other                30.7     22.5    57.6
 Current Liab.        93.6     84.0    72.6                             The recently concluded year was                                                              margins that exceed 60% to merely break
                                                                        clearly a very difficult one for Af-                                                         even. We don’t expect either threshold to
 ANNUAL RATES Past                            Past Est’d ’05-’07        fymetrix, as reflected by the untimely                                                       be achieved in 2009, until possibly the last
 of change (per sh) 10 Yrs.                   5 Yrs.  to ’12-’14
 Revenues            31.5%                     5.5%        .5%          stock’s price chart above. Market-share                                                      quarter. Indeed, management’s revenue
 ‘‘Cash Flow’’            --                       --    6.0%           losses hurt revenues, and this problem                                                       guidance for the March quarter is only
 Earnings                  --                      --    5.5%           was exacerbated by a progressively deeper                                                    $72–$75 million; it declined to provide
 Dividends                 --                      --        Nil
 Book Value          14.0%                    28.0%     -6.0%           retrenchment by pharma and academic                                                          guidance for the full year, which we think
                                                                        end users. In all, year-over-year top-line                                                   is prudent, considering the extraordinarily
  Cal-   QUARTERLY REVENUES ($ mill.)   Full                            comparisons deteriorated dramatically in                                                     low visibility across the board. We are
 endar Mar.31 Jun. 30 Sep. 30 Dec. 31 Year                              2008’s second half, tumbling 20.8% and                                                       leaving our estimate for the year at a loss
 2006     86.4    80.1    84.6 104.2 355.3                              27.0% in the third and fourth quarters,                                                      of $0.30 per share.
 2007     80.4    88.3    95.0 107.6 371.3                              respectively; the decline was a relatively                                                   A reasonably healthy balance sheet
 2008     79.6    86.9    75.2     78.6 320.3                           modest 1.3% in the initial six months. Not                                                   suggests that the company has stay-
 2009     75.0    77.0    78.0     80.0 310
 2010     80.0    82.0    83.0     85.0 330                             surprisingly, the operating margin also                                                      ing power . . . Affymetrix paid down debt
                                                                        collapsed, dragging the per-share loss for                                                   by $120 million in 2008. It also executed
  Cal-      EARNINGS PER SHAREA         Full                            the full year to $0.47, well below the $0.34                                                 three small acquisitions, which provide the
 endar Mar.31 Jun. 30 Sep. 30 Dec. 31 Year
                                                                        earned in the previous year. That said, we                                                   opportunity to both generate sales syner-
 2006    .03    d.15    d.06      .15   d.03                            would note that the company reported a                                                       gies and penetrate new markets. Still,
 2007   d.01     .05     .10      .20    .34                            full-year loss of $4.49 a share, which in-                                                   cash totaled almost $400 million at the
 2008   d.02    d.04    d.18    d.23    d.47
 2009   d.15 d.10 d.03 d.02             d.30                            cludes substantial one-time charges for                                                      end of the year. This should give manage-
 2010   d.05 d.02        .02     .05 Nil                                goodwill impairment and restructuring.                                                       ment the time to improve its product offer-
                                                                        The genomics concern’s bottom line                                                           ings; it recently launched the GeneTitan
  Cal-    QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAID      Full                            will probably stay in negative terri-                                                        System, an integrated platform that auto-
 endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year
                                                                        tory this year. The business trends evi-                                                     mates customer workflow from target
 2005                                                                   dent in 2008 were clearly not encouraging,                                                   preparation to array processing to results.
 2006      NO CASH DIVIDENDS                                            and neither is the prevailing economic en-                                                   . . . and AFFX stock offers patient in-
 2007         BEING PAID                                                vironment. Affymetrix needs quarterly                                                        vestors wide price recovery potential.
 2008
 2009                                                                   revenues of at least $80 million and gross                                                   George Rho                February 27, 2009
(A) Fully diluted earnings. Excludes nonrecur- (B) In millions, adjusted for a stock split.                                                                                                         Company’s Financial Strength                    B
ring losses: ’03, $0.17; 05, 24¢; ’06, 17¢; ’07,                                                                                                                                                    Stock’s Price Stability                        20
17¢; ’08, $4.02. Next earnings report due late                                                                                                                                                      Price Growth Persistence                       10
April.                                                                                                                                                                                              Earnings Predictability                        20
© 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind.
THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part                                      To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046.
of it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009
Value Line Sample Feb 2009

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Value Line Sample Feb 2009

  • 1. Part 3 ISSUE 1 THE ALUE LINE Ratings Pages 100-242 File in the binder in order of ® & issue number, removing Investment Survey Reports previous issue bearing the same number. www.valueline.com February 27, 2009 PAGE PAGE ESPECIALLY NOTEWORTHY: AUTO & TRUCK INDUSTRY .............. 101 Public Service Enterprise Group ..... 164 Daimler AG ....................................... 102 ★ SCANA Corp. .................................... 165 This week, we welcome three new com- Federal Signal Corp. ........................ 103 Southern Co. ..................................... 166 panies to the Medical Supplies Indus- Ford Motor ........................................ 104 TECO Energy, Inc. ............................ 167 try in our Investment Survey: Natus General Motors ................................. 105 UIL Holdings Corp. .......................... 168 Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (ADR) .......... 106 Medical Inc., Masimo Corp., and Navistar International Corp. ........... 107 MEDICAL SUPPLIES Volcano Corp., on pages 216, 211, and Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (ADR) ......... 108 INDUSTRY ............................................. 169 231, respectively. Oshkosh Corp. ................................. 109 ★ Abaxis, Inc. ....................................... 170 PACCAR, Inc. ..................................... 110 Advanced Medical Optics, Inc. ........ 171 Timely Wright Medical shares (page Tata Motors Ltd. ................................ 111 Affymetrix, Inc. ................................. 172 Toyota Motor Corp. (ADR) ................ 112 Alcon Inc. .......................................... 173 233) stand out as a solid investment, Wabash National Corp. ..................... 113 Align Technology, Inc. ...................... 174 given that the company’s orthopedic ★ Amer. Medical Systems Hldgs, Inc. . 175 products are in growing demand from PRECISION INSTRUMENT ★★ AmerisourceBergen Corp ................. 176 a baby-boom generation that insists on INDUSTRY ............................................. 114 ★ AngioDynamics, Inc. ........................ 177 Agilent Technologies, Inc. ................. 115 ★★ Bard (C.R.), Inc. ................................ 178 prolonging its active lifestyle. Analogic Corp. ................................... 116 ★★ Baxter International, Inc. ................ 179 ★ Axsys Technologies, Inc. ................... 117 Beckman Coulter, Inc. ...................... 180 Top-ranked C.R. Bard stock (page 178) Bruker Corporation ........................... 118 ★★ Becton, Dickinson & Co ................... 181 is an attractive option during this pe- Checkpoint Systems .......................... 119 ★ Bio-Rad Labs, ‘A’ ............................... 182 riod of economic misery, thanks to its Cognex Co. ........................................ 120 Boston Scientific ............................... 183 non-cyclical nature and strong earn- Coherent, Inc. ................................... 121 Cardinal Health, Inc. ....................... 184 ★ Dionex Corp. ..................................... 122 Cepheid ............................................. 185 ings potential. Eastman Kodak ................................ 123 Charles River Laboratories Int’l ..... 186 FARO Technologies, Inc. .................. 124 CONMED Corp. ................................ 187 Stryker Corp. shares are an appeal- FEI Company .................................... 125 Cooper Companies, Inc. (The) .......... 188 ing choice for both the near term and GSI Group, Inc. ................................. 126 Covidien Ltd. .................................... 189 long haul, partly due to strong finances Hutchinson Technology .................... 127 CryoLife, Inc. .................................... 190 II-VI Inc. ........................................... 128 Cutera Inc. ........................................ 191 which position Stryker well when con- ★ K-Tron International, Inc. ............... 129 ★★ Cyberonics, Inc. ................................ 192 summating acquisitions at deeply dis- KLA-Tencor Corp. ............................. 130 ★ Dentsply International .................... 193 counted prices. See our report on page Keithley Instruments, Inc. .............. 131 ★★ Edwards Lifesciences Corp. ............. 194 228. ★ MTS Systems Corp. .......................... 132 ev3 Inc. .............................................. 195 Mettler-Toledo Int’l .......................... 133 ★ Genomic Health ................................ 196 Becton Dickinson stock (page 181) ★ Millipore Corp. .................................. 134 ★★ Haemonetics Corp. ........................... 197 National Instruments Corp. ............ 135 Hill-Rom Holdings, Inc. ................... 198 exhibits potent long-term rebound po- Newport Corp. .................................. 136 Hologic, Inc. ...................................... 199 tential in comparison with its histori- ★ OSI Systems Inc. .............................. 137 IDEXX Labs ...................................... 200 cal averages. This is an opportunity Orbotech Ltd. .................................... 138 ★ Illumina, Inc. .................................... 201 that shouldn’t be passed up given the PerkinElmer, Inc. ............................. 139 ★ Immucor Inc. ..................................... 202 Rofin-Sinar Technologies, Inc. ......... 140 ★ Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp. 203 equity’s excellent credentials (top- Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. .......... 141 Intuitive Surgical Inc. ...................... 204 ranked for both Safety and Timeliness). Tollgrade Communications .............. 142 ★ Invacare ............................................ 205 Varian, Inc. ....................................... 143 Inverness Medical Innovations, Inc. 206 Tollgrade shares may be of interest to Veeco Instruments, Inc .................... 144 ★★ Johnson & Johnson .......................... 207 the venturesome, given the likely pros- Waters Corp. ..................................... 145 Kinetic Concepts Inc. ....................... 208 ★ Woodward Governor Company ........ 146 LCA-Vision Inc. ................................ 209 pect of a higher bid by an avid suitor. Zygo Corp. ......................................... 147 ★ Life Technologies Corp. .................... 210 See our take on its future on page 142. Masimo Corp. ..................................... 211 ELECTRIC UTILITY (EAST) ★★ McKesson Corp. ................................ 212 INDUSTRY ............................................. 148 Medical Action Industries ................ 213 Allegheny Energy Corp. ................... 149 ★ Medtronic, Inc. .................................. 214 ★ CH Energy Group ............................. 150 ★★ Meridian Bioscience, Inc. ................. 215 Central Vermont Public Service ...... 151 Natus Medical Inc. ........................... 216 ★★ Thoratec Corp. .................................. 229 ★ Consolidated Edison ......................... 152 ★ NuVasive, Inc. ................................... 217 ★ Varian Medical Systems, Inc. .......... 230 Constellation Energy Group, Inc. .... 153 Omnicell Inc. ..................................... 218 ★ Volcano Corp. .................................... 231 Dominion Resources, Inc. ................ 154 Osteotech, Inc. .................................. 219 West Pharmaceutical Services ........ 232 Duke Energy Corp. ........................... 155 ★ Owens & Minor, Inc. ........................ 220 ★ Wright Medical Group ...................... 233 ★ Exelon Corp. ..................................... 156 Palomar Medical Technologies Inc. . 221 Zimmer Holdings, Inc. ..................... 234 ★ FPL Group, Inc. ................................ 157 Patterson Companies ....................... 222 ZOLL Medical Corp. ......................... 235 ★ FirstEnergy Corp. ............................ 158 ★★ ResMed, Inc. ..................................... 223 ★ Northeast Utilities ........................... 159 ★ St. Jude Medical ............................... 224 SUPPLEMENTARY REPORTS .......... 242 ★ NSTAR .............................................. 160 ★ Schein (Henry), Inc. ......................... 225 PPL Corp. .......................................... 161 SonoSite, Inc. .................................... 226 ★★ Rank 1 (Highest) for Timeliness. Pepco Holdings, Inc. ......................... 162 ★ STERIS Corp. ................................... 227 ★ Rank 2 (Above Average). ★ Progress Energy ............................... 163 ★ Stryker Corp. .................................... 228 In three parts: Part 1 is the Summary & Index. Part 2 is Selection & Opinion. This is Part 3, Ratings & Reports. Volume LXIV, No. 27 Published weekly by VALUE LINE PUBLISHING, INC. 220 East 42nd Street, New York, NY 10017-5891 © 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind. THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for each subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part of this publication may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product. See back cover for important disclosures.
  • 2. February 27, 2009 ECONOMIC SERIES 100 Value Line’s estimates of sales and earnings growth for individual com- deflator will advance about 2.0% per year on the average. The corporate panies are derived by correlating sales, earnings, and dividends to ap- income tax rate will be around 35%. Long-term interest rates on high- propriate components or subcomponents of the Gross Domestic Product, grade corporate bonds are projected to be about 6.3% in the years 2012- presented below. A more detailed forecast appears periodically in Selec- 2014. We expect the Federal Reserve to pursue neutral-to-fairly accom- tion & Opinion. modative policies except in years in which the economy is overheating. Based on these assumptions, the Gross Domestic Product will average HYPOTHESIZED ECONOMIC $16,728 billion in the years 2012-2014, a level that is about 17% above ENVIRONMENT 3 TO 5 YEARS HENCE the estimated 2008 total of $14,281 billion. The hypothesized 2012-2014 economic environment into which earnings are forecast is as follows: Unemployment will average 6.5% of the na- Things may turn out differently. But in the absence of knowledge of the tional labor force. There will be no major war in progress at that time. future, we use the above assumptions, which appear to be most plau- Industrial production will be expanding about 4.0% per year. Inflation sible. Thus we are able to apply a common economic environment to all will continue to be modest. Prices as measured by the broad-based GDP stocks for the purpose of measuring relative growth potential. THESE ARE THE NATIONAL INCOME SERIES TO WHICH VALUE LINE SALES, EARNINGS, AND DIVIDEND ESTIMATES ARE CORRELATED ANNUAL STATISTICS 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008* 2009* 2010* 2012-14* Gross Domestic Product ($Bill.) 8747 9268 9817 10128 10470 10961 11686 12422 13178 13808 14281 14097 14569 16728 Real GDP (2000 Chained $Bill.) 9067 9470 9817 9891 10049 10301 10676 10990 11295 11524 11671 11414 11700 12847 Total Consumption ($Bill.) 6126 6439 6739 6910 7099 7295 7561 7792 8029 8253 8276 8196 8442 9163 Nonresidential Fixed Investment ($Bill.) 1038 1133 1232 1180 1072 1082 1144 1226 1318 1383 1408 1215 1300 1794 Industrial Prod. (% Change, Annualized) 5.9 4.4 4.4 -3.4 -0.3 0.6 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.7 -1.7 -3.5 2.5 4.0 Housing Starts (Mill. Units) 1.62 1.65 1.57 1.60 1.71 1.85 1.95 2.07 1.81 1.34 0.90 0.56 0.95 1.80 Total Light Vehicle Sales (Mill. Units) 15.5 16.9 17.4 17.1 16.8 16.6 16.9 17.0 16.5 16.1 13.1 10.5 12.7 16.0 Personal Savings Rate (%) 4.3 2.4 2.4 1.8 2.4 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.7 5.6 4.2 3.0 National Unemployment Rate (%) 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.8 5.8 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6 5.8 8.4 8.9 6.5 AAA Corp Bond Rate (%) 6.5 7.0 7.6 7.1 6.5 5.7 5.6 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.2 6.3 10-Year Treasury Note Rate (%) 5.3 5.6 6.0 5.0 4.6 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.8 4.6 3.7 2.8 3.4 4.8 3-Month Treasury Bill Rate (%) 4.8 4.6 5.8 3.4 1.6 1.0 1.4 3.1 4.7 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.8 4.0 ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE Real GDP 4.2 4.4 3.7 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.6 2.9 2.8 2.0 1.3 -2.2 2.5 3.3 GDP Deflator 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.4 1.7 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.2 2.7 2.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 Consumer Price Index 1.5 2.2 3.4 2.8 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.8 -0.7 2.3 3.0 QUARTERLY ANNUALIZED RATES 2008 2009 2010 1st 2nd 3rd 4th* 1st* 2nd* 3rd* 4th* 1st* 2nd* 3rd* 4th* Gross Domestic Product ($Bill.) 14151 14294 14413 14265 14147 14026 14068 14148 14272 14403 14650 14951 Real GDP (2000 Chained $Bill.) 11646 11727 11712 11599 11451 11364 11393 11449 11514 11586 11785 11915 Total Consumption ($Bill.) 8316 8341 8261 8187 8146 8166 8207 8267 8329 8391 8450 8600 Nonresidential Fixed Investment ($Bill.) 1423 1432 1426 1352 1290 1228 1179 1164 1178 1198 1300 1525 Industrial Production (% Change, Annualized) 0.4 -3.1 -8.9 -11.5 -10.0 -4.0 -1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.8 2.4 Housing Starts (Mill. Units) 1.05 1.02 0.88 0.66 0.50 0.52 0.55 0.65 0.75 0.90 1.00 1.10 Total Light Vehicle Sales (Mill. Units) 15.2 14.1 12.9 10.3 9.5 10.0 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 12.8 13.0 *Estimated Arnold Bernhard, Founder (1901-1987) Jean Bernhard Buttner, Chairman & CEO Samuel Eisenstadt, Research Chairman Reuben Gregg Brewer, Research Director Harvey S. Katz, Managing Editor Theresa Brophy, Assoc. Research Director Morton L. Siegel, Assoc. Research Director David M. Reimer, Asst. Research Director Charles Clark, Assoc. Research Director Jeremy J. Butler, Asst. Research Director Robert Mitkowski, Jr., Assoc. Research Director Mario Ferro, Asst. Research Director Harold Levine, Director, Statistical Services George A. Niemond, Assoc. Research Director Alan G. House, Asst. Research Director Senior Industry Analyst-Specialists: Matthew E. Spencer Information Technology: Statistics: Analysts: Damon Churchwell Garrett Sussman Shawn Cohen, Chief Information Officer Brandon Cheatham, Stat. Research Asst. David R. Cohen Andre J. Costanza Mary Beth Wiedenkeller Tamika Messam, Quantitative Analyst Paul E. Debbas Iason Dalavagas Irina Zaydvarg, Statistics Clerk William G. Ferguson Erik M. Manning Computer Services: Ian Gendler Douglas G. Maurer Junior Analysts: Hassan Davis, Director, Applications & Develop. Robert M. Greene Lester Ratcliff John D. Burke Donna Webb, Production Control Manager Data Administration: Frederick L. Harris, III Adam Rosner Michael Ratty Ayako Tokunaga, Senior Programmer/Analyst Mila Grayevsky, Senior Database Analyst Justin Hellman Simon R. Shoucair Michael J. Shea James Hammargren, Senior Programmer/Analyst Curtis R. Clarke, Manager, Equity Data Div. Kenneth A. Nugent Michael G. Swietnicki Terry Yu, Senior Software Development/Support Edith Barnor, Database Analyst George I. H. Rho Christopher T. Wells Larry David, Supervisor, Computer Operations Dana Jones, Database Analyst Sigourney B. Romaine George Moy, Dir., Internet Infrastructure/Ntwrks Patrick G. O’Connor, Supervisor, Quality Ctrl. Randy Shrikishun Analysts: Shannon Egerton, Tech Support Frantz Goodridge, Research Assistant Craig Sirois Sharif Abdou Desmond Eng, Tech Support Clive Russell, Research Assistant Warren Thorpe Kevin Downing Bill Mandra, Software Development Manager Bryan J. Fong Richard Gallagher Production: Senior Analysts: Jerry W. Gray Jr. LeShane W. Lilly, Production Manager Erik A. Antonson William Kuo Michael Manchess, Production Coordinator J. Susan Ferrara Nira Maharaj Warren Tabachnick, Production Editor Jerome H. Kaplan Michael F. Napoli Tom Nikic Joel Schwed Jason A. Smith Orly Seidman Nils C. Van Liew Dominic B. Silva © 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind. THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber's own, non-commercial, internal use. No part of it To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046. may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
  • 3. ABAXIS, INC. NDQ-ABAX RECENT PRICE 17.25 P/E 27.0(Trailing: NMF) RELATIVE 2.31 DIV’D RATIO Median: 30.3 P/E RATIO YLD Nil VALUE LINE 170 TIMELINESS 2 Raised 2/13/09 High: Low: 3.8 1.1 8.3 1.4 11.0 4.1 6.3 2.3 7.0 2.5 21.9 3.2 23.8 10.9 18.9 7.5 26.8 16.2 40.0 16.9 38.1 10.2 19.5 13.2 Target Price Range 2012 2013 2014 SAFETY 3 New 2/29/08 LEGENDS 22.0 x ″Cash Flow″ p sh TECHNICAL 2 Raised 2/6/09 . . . . Relative Price Strength Options: Yes 80 BETA 1.30 (1.00 = Market) Shaded area: prior recession 60 Latest recession began 12/07 50 2012-14 PROJECTIONS 40 Ann’l Total Price Gain Return 30 High 40 (+130%) 24% 25 Low 25 (+45%) 10% 20 Insider Decisions 15 A M J J A S O N D to Buy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Options 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 to Sell 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 7.5 % TOT. RETURN 1/09 Institutional Decisions THIS VL ARITH. 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 STOCK INDEX Percent 45 1 yr. -51.4 -39.3 to Buy 90 71 57 shares 30 to Sell 50 56 56 3 yr. -20.6 -36.6 traded 15 Hld’s(000) 20686 21957 21008 5 yr. -16.7 -18.3 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 © VALUE LINE PUB., INC. 12-14 .19 .17 .30 .61 1.00 1.03 1.48 1.83 1.87 2.07 2.40 2.65 3.42 4.07 4.63 4.95 5.85 6.45 Sales per sh A 9.35 d1.33 d1.36 d.56 d.45 d.30 d.28 .00 .08 .18 .17 1.32 .34 .48 .60 .74 .75 .95 1.05 ‘‘Cash Flow’’ per sh 1.50 d1.43 d1.24 d.65 d.59 d.44 d.31 d.05 d.09 .02 .02 1.16 .22 .35 .46 .56 .59 .75 .85 Earnings per sh B 1.25 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil Nil Div’ds Decl’d per sh Nil .27 .19 .06 .08 .05 .07 .13 .37 .05 .07 .07 .13 .16 .14 .17 .20 .20 .25 Cap’l Spending per sh .30 1.60 1.67 1.09 .79 .39 .30 .46 .76 .84 1.00 2.80 3.10 3.53 4.14 4.82 5.70 6.30 7.35 Book Value per sh 10.85 6.26 6.26 9.86 11.89 12.19 12.96 15.70 16.10 16.34 16.82 19.52 19.89 20.14 21.21 21.71 22.00 22.25 22.50 Common Shs Outst’g C 23.00 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- NMF NMF 11.0 NMF 41.8 46.5 46.4 Bold figures are Avg Ann’l P/E Ratio 25.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- NMF NMF .63 NMF 2.23 2.51 2.46 Value Line Relative P/E Ratio 1.65 estimates -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Avg Ann’l Div’d Yield Nil CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 12/31/08 23.2 29.5 30.6 34.8 46.9 52.8 68.9 86.2 100.6 109 130 145 Sales ($mill) A 215 .2% 4.9% 10.5% 9.2% 13.7% 17.0% 18.7% 19.8% 21.1% 21.5% 22.5% 23.0% Operating Margin 24.0% Total Debt None .7 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 Depreciation ($mill) 6.0 Leases, Uncapitalized Annual rentals $4.4 mill. d.6 .2 1.3 1.6 24.0 4.9 7.5 10.1 12.5 13.0 16.5 19.0 Net Profit ($mill) 28.0 -- 10.0% 1.2% .3% -- 34.1% 35.1% 37.6% 36.9% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0% Income Tax Rate 36.0% No Defined Benfit Pension Plan NMF .6% 4.3% 4.7% 51.3% 9.2% 10.8% 11.7% 12.4% 11.9% 12.7% 13.1% Net Profit Margin 13.0% 4.0 7.2 13.3 17.9 25.9 38.8 49.7 74.6 52.5 110 135 160 Working Cap’l ($mill) 275 Preferred Stock None .9 1.5 1.0 .5 -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil Nil Long-Term Debt ($mill) Nil Common Stock 21,899,000 shares 7.2 15.5 20.7 25.4 54.6 61.7 71.0 87.8 104.6 125 140 165 Shr. Equity ($mill) 250 NMF 1.7% 6.3% 6.6% 44.1% 7.9% 10.5% 11.5% 11.9% 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% Return on Total Cap’l 11.0% NMF 1.2% 6.3% 6.4% 44.0% 7.9% 10.5% 11.5% 11.9% 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% Return on Shr. Equity 11.0% MARKET CAP: $375 million (Small Cap) NMF NMF 9.5% 7.0% 44.0% 7.9% 10.5% 11.5% 11.9% 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% Retained to Com Eq 11.0% CURRENT POSITION 2006 2007 12/31/08 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil Nil All Div’ds to Net Prof Nil ($MILL.) Cash Assets 45.2 24.2 74.6 BUSINESS: Abaxis, Inc. develops, manufacturers, and markets market accounts for roughly 70% of total sales. About 85% of sales Receivables 16.9 20.9 21.6 portable blood analysis systems for use in veterinary or human are domestic. Has 265 employees. Off. & dir. own 6.6% of common Inventory (FIFO) 14.8 18.7 17.1 patient-care settings to provide clinicians with blood constituent stock; Next Century Growth Investors, 8.1%; Brown Capital Mgmt., Other 10.4 2.8 4.7 Current Assets 87.3 66.6 118.0 measurements. The company markets its primary product, a blood 7.4% (9/08 Proxy). Chairman, CEO & President: Clinton H. Sever- Accts Payable 6.5 6.4 5.9 analysis system, for veterinary use under the VetScan name and in son. Incorporated: CA. Address: 3240 Whipple Road, Union City, Debt Due -- -- -- the human medical market under the Piccolo name. The veterinary CA 94587. Telephone: (510) 675-6500. Internet: www.abaxis.com. Other 6.2 7.7 6.9 Current Liab. 12.7 14.1 12.8 Abaxis is facing a difficult market en- the deeper portfolio will help offset some of vironment. The portable blood analysis the macroeconomic concerns and enable ANNUAL RATES Past Past Est’d ’05-’07 systems maker came up a bit short of ex- Abaxis to post 10%-15% share-net growth of change (per sh) 10 Yrs. 5 Yrs. to ’12-’14 Sales 20.5% 16.0% 13.0% pectations in the third quarter (fiscal year in the fourth quarter and a 25%-30% ‘‘Cash Flow’’ - - 33.0% 14.0% ends March 31st) reporting an uninspiring bottom-line advance in fiscal 2009. Earnings -- - - 16.0% share-earnings advance of a penny over Wall Street seems to agree. In a rela- Dividends -- -- Nil Book Value 18.5% 37.0% 15.0% the prior year. Although medical market tively down market, Abaxis shares have Fiscal Full sales improved 19%, overall top-line increased over 20% in value since our No- Year QUARTERLY SALES ($ mill.) A Fiscal growth was muted as demand for vember report and are now favorably Begins Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Mar.31 Year veterinary products fell due to the more ranked for Timeliness. The stock does not 2006 20.4 21.0 22.0 22.8 86.2 discretionary nature of this business. We stand out for 3- to 5-year appreciation 2007 22.9 25.3 25.7 26.7 100.6 suspect that the veterinary franchise will potential, however, as the run-up has dis- 2008 24.6 27.7 27.0 29.7 109 remain under pressure until there is evi- counted a noticeable portion of the share- 2009 28.0 33.5 33.5 35.0 130 2010 31.0 36.5 37.5 40.0 145 dence of an economic turnaround. price gains we envision out to 2012-2014. Fiscal Full The benefits of product introductions The company possesses the means to Year EARNINGS PER SHARE AB Fiscal should help ease the pain a bit, improve its growth prospects, how- Begins Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Mar.31 Year though. Abaxis recently rolled out the ever. Abaxis is debt-free, has a healthy 2006 .10 .10 .13 .13 .46 VetScan VSpro Coagulation Analyzer and cash reserve, and generates good cash 2007 .14 .13 .14 .15 .56 the VetScan Canine Heartworm Rapid flow. We believe that management would 2008 .12 .15 .15 .17 .59 2009 .14 .18 .20 .23 .75 test. We are especially intrigued by the be wise to use the acquisition market to 2010 .16 .20 .23 .26 .85 latter, which is likely to be the first in a expand its medical business, as this opera- series of rapid, lateral-flow tests. The tion offers far greater growth potential Cal- QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAID Full heartworm market is estimated to be than the veterinary segment, but accounts endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year valued at more than $70 million per year. for only one-quarter of total sales. That 2005 Meanwhile, the company continues to gain said, long-term investors may want to wait 2006 NO CASH DIVIDENDS traction with its medical segment with the until plans are put in place before commit- 2007 BEING PAID FDA, waiving CLIA status for two addi- ting funds. 2008 2009 tional point-of-care test panels. We think Andre J. Costanza February 27, 2009 (A) Fiscal years end March 31st of the follow- (C) In millions. Company’s Financial Strength B+ ing year. Stock’s Price Stability 20 (B) Diluted earnings. Next earnings report due Price Growth Persistence 85 early May. Earnings Predictability 35 © 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind. THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046. of it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
  • 4. ADVANCED MEDICAL NYSE-EYE RECENT PRICE 21.91 P/E 28.1(Trailing: NMF) RELATIVE 2.40 DIV’D RATIO Median: 37.8 P/E RATIO YLD Nil VALUE LINE 171 TIMELINESS – Suspended 1/23/09 High: Low: 12.4 7.7 20.7 11.3 43.7 20.0 44.5 32.0 52.9 33.9 44.0 23.4 24.9 2.9 22.0 6.4 Target Price Range 2012 2013 2014 SAFETY 4 Lowered 11/28/08 LEGENDS 7.0 x ″Cash Flow″ p sh 64 TECHNICAL – Suspended 1/23/09 . . . . Relative Price Strength Options: Yes 48 BETA 1.15 (1.00 = Market) Shaded area: prior recession 40 Latest recession began 12/07 2012-14 PROJECTIONS 32 Ann’l Total 24 Price Gain Return 20 High 30 (+35%) 8% Low 17 (-20%) -6% 16 Insider Decisions 12 A M J J A S O N D to Buy 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 8 Options 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 to Sell 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 % TOT. RETURN 1/09 Institutional Decisions THIS VL ARITH. 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 STOCK INDEX Percent 60 1 yr. 4.6 -39.3 to Buy 100 90 69 shares 40 to Sell 87 89 88 3 yr. -50.7 -36.6 traded 20 Hld’s(000) 75784 72142 67465 5 yr. -4.0 -18.3 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 © VALUE LINE PUB., INC. 12-14 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 18.74 20.47 20.02 13.57 16.76 17.99 19.20 19.20 20.50 Sales per sh 24.00 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.45 .88 d.81 d5.92 1.46 .69 2.60 2.75 2.95 ‘‘Cash Flow’’ per sh 3.60 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- .90 .35 d1.62 d8.28 .12 d.96 .75 .85 1.00 Earnings per sh A 1.55 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil Div’ds Decl’d per sh Nil -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- .76 .67 .65 .50 .67 .75 .70 .75 .80 Cap’l Spending per sh .95 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 2.29 3.17 7.45 14.89 12.03 9.87 10.75 11.65 12.75 Book Value per sh B 17.20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 28.72 29.38 37.07 67.83 59.51 60.64 61.40 61.75 62.00 Common Shs Outst’g C 62.50 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 11.3 45.4 -- -- NMF NMF 23.2 Bold figures are Avg Ann’l P/E Ratio 14.5 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- .62 2.59 -- -- NMF NMF 1.43 Value Line Relative P/E Ratio .95 estimates -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Avg Ann’l Div’d Yield Nil CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 9/30/08 -- -- -- 538.1 601.5 742.1 920.7 997.5 1090.8 1180 1185 1270 Sales ($mill) 1500 -- -- -- 15.5% 12.5% 7.6% NMF 21.8% 11.5% 22.0% 23.0% 23.0% Operating Margin 23.5% Total Debt $1545.5 mill. Due in 5 Yrs $18.0 mill. -- -- -- 15.7 15.5 23.6 51.6 70.6 99.2 114 116 118 Depreciation ($mill) 125 LT Debt $1541.0 mill. LT Interest $70.0 mill. (70% of Capital) -- -- -- 25.9 10.4 d53.8 d453.2 16.5 d57.4 46.0 55.0 65.0 Net Profit ($mill) 100 -- -- -- 41.9% 40.0% -- -- 65.6% NMF 38.5% 39.0% 39.5% Income Tax Rate 40.0% -- -- -- 4.8% 1.7% NMF NMF 1.7% NMF 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% Net Profit Margin 6.7% Pension Assets-12/07 $10.1 bill. Oblig. $20.7 bill. -- -- -- 166.3 137.2 182.9 218.9 260.6 180.5 210 290 350 Working Cap’l ($mill) 525 -- -- -- 277.6 233.6 550.6 500.0 851.1 1543.2 1450 1400 1325 Long-Term Debt ($mill) 1000 Preferred Stock None -- -- -- 65.7 93.2 276.3 1010.1 716.0 598.7 660 720 790 Shr. Equity ($mill) 1075 Common Stock 61,281,853 shares -- -- -- 9.6% 6.9% NMF NMF 1.9% NMF 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% Return on Total Cap’l 6.5% -- -- -- 39.4% 11.1% NMF NMF 2.3% NMF 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% Return on Shr. Equity 9.5% MARKET CAP: $1.3 billion (Mid Cap) -- -- -- 39.4% 11.1% NMF NMF 2.3% NMF 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% Retained to Com Eq 9.5% CURRENT POSITION 2006 2007 9/30/08 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil All Div’ds to Net Prof Nil ($MILL.) Cash Assets 34.5 34.5 35.0 BUSINESS: Advanced Medical Optics, Inc. provides a full range of ticians, ophthalmologists, and retailers, as well as clinics and am- Receivables 232.4 250.0 251.6 advanced refractive technologies and support to help deliver op- bulatory surgical centers worldwide. Has roughly 4,100 employees. Inventory (FIFO) 127.5 160.3 192.6 timal vision and lifestyle experiences. It operates three business Officers & Directors own 19.2% of common stock; ValueAct Capital Other 83.7 78.3 65.4 Current Assets 478.1 523.1 544.6 segments; the cataract/implant line, the laser vision correction busi- Mgmt., 14.5% (5/08). Chairman, CEO, & President: James V. Accts Payable 53.9 88.4 64.2 ness, and the contact lens care component. With products available Mazzo. Address: 1700 E. St. Andrew Place, Santa Ana, CA 92705. Debt Due -- 64.5 4.5 in more than 60 countries, it serves eye surgeons, optometrists, op- Telephone: (714) 247-8200. Internet: http://www.amo-inc.com. Other 163.6 189.7 183.2 Current Liab. 217.5 342.6 It looks as though Advanced Medical 251.9 2012-2014, absent the takeover. Indeed, Optics may be nearing its final days the pipeline recently got news that the ANNUAL RATES Past Past Est’d ’05-’07 in our Survey. The eye care solutions pro- FDA recently approved Advanced’s Tecnis of change (per sh) 10 Yrs. 5 Yrs. to ’12-’14 Sales -- -3.0% 6.0% vider, agreed to be bought by medical Multifocal Intraocular implantable lens. ‘‘Cash Flow’’ -- -- NMF device maker Abbott Laboratories in Janu- Those who had bought the stock a few Earnings -- -- NMF ary for roughly $2.8 billion, including the years back may question the sale. Dividends -- -- Nil Book Value - - 40.0% 5.0% assumption of more than $1.5 billion in Still, most will probably want to sign debt. Specifically, EYE shareholders are off on the agreement that is currently Cal- QUARTERLY SALES ($ mill.) Full slated to receive $22 in cash for each com- on the table. EYE stock has been ex- endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year mon share owned. The deal looks to be tremely volatile, making the recovery we 2006 238.2 257.0 258.6 243.7 997.5 moving along smoothly, recently clearing are projecting dubious. Not only are the 2007 251.7 261.3 273.2 304.6 1090.8 U.S. antitrust regulations, but is still prospects of the corrective surgery busi- 2008 303.7 320.5 275.6 280.2 1180 awaiting European and shareholder ap- ness in question, but it is important to 2009 285 310 285 305 1185 2010 305 325 310 330 1270 proval. If all goes well, we expect the deal keep the earlier mishap with the compa- to close by the end of the first quarter. ny’s solution line in mind. It is likely to be Cal- EARNINGS PER SHARE A Full The price tag appears to be attractive. a long road back for this business, placing endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year The purchase price represents a 149% pre- an even more vital need on the corrective 2006 .04 d.04 .33 d.13 .12 mium over EYE’s closing price the day be- surgery franchise. We believe that most 2007 .22 d.80 d.35 d.03 d.96 fore the deal was announced. will want to lock in the gain, removing any 2008 .22 .24 .15 .14 .75 2009 .20 .23 .21 .21 .85 Things are not as clear-cut as they uncertainty that the stock brings with it. 2010 .24 .27 .25 .24 1.00 may initially seem, however. EYE stock The issue is ranked 4 (Below Average) for had been beaten up in the months leading Safety and has a low Price Stability score. Cal- QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAID Full up to the announcement, as the economic Andre J. Costanza February 27, 2009 endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year malaise raised concerns about future CASH POSITION 5-Year Av’g 9/30/08 2005 demand for corrective eye surgeries. That 2006 NO CASH DIVIDENDS Current Assets to Current Liabilities: 194% 116% said, the current bid represents a 12% dis- Cash & Equiv’s to Current Liabilities: 21% 14% 2007 BEING PAID count to the stock’s 52-week high price, a 2008 Working Capital to Sales: 23% 25% 2009 target we envision the issue surpassing by (A) Diluted EPS. Excludes nonrecurring gain/ count. Company’s Financial Strength C++ (losses): ’04, ($2.03); ’06, $1.06; ’07, ($2.26). (B) Includes intangibles. In ’07: $1.938 billion Stock’s Price Stability 5 Next earnings report due early May. Quarterly or $31.97 a share. Price Growth Persistence 45 figures may not add due to changes in share (C) In millions. Earnings Predictability 5 © 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind. THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046. of it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.
  • 5. AFFYMETRIX INC. NDQ-AFFX RECENT PRICE 3.13 P/E NMF(Trailing: NMF) RELATIVE NMF DIV’D RATIO Median: NMF P/E RATIO YLD Nil VALUE LINE 172 TIMELINESS 4 Raised 2/13/09 High: Low: 17.6 8.1 97.6 11.8 163.5 42.3 74.6 14.0 41.9 13.8 29.9 16.3 38.2 23.2 59.7 33.9 48.0 17.5 32.0 20.0 23.8 2.0 4.2 2.9 Target Price Range 2012 2013 2014 SAFETY 4 Lowered 10/24/08 LEGENDS 18.0 x ″Cash Flow″ p sh 64 TECHNICAL 1 Raised 2/27/09 . . . . Relative Price Strength 2-for-1 split 8/00 48 BETA 1.25 (1.00 = Market) Options: Yes 40 Shaded area: prior recession 2012-14 PROJECTIONS Latest recession began 12/07 32 Ann’l Total 24 Price Gain Return 20 High 14 (+345%) 45% Low 9 (+190%) 30% 16 Insider Decisions 12 A M J J A S O N D to Buy 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 8 Options 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 to Sell 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 % TOT. RETURN 1/09 Institutional Decisions THIS VL ARITH. 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 STOCK INDEX Percent 90 1 yr. -84.1 -39.3 to Buy 94 115 73 shares 60 to Sell 79 68 92 3 yr. -91.7 -36.6 traded 30 Hld’s(000) 73739 68089 66935 5 yr. -89.8 -18.3 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 © VALUE LINE PUB., INC. 12-14 -- -- -- .27 .43 1.13 1.85 3.51 3.88 4.95 5.06 5.62 5.47 5.23 5.36 4.55 4.35 4.60 Revenues per sh 5.55 -- -- -- d.24 d.44 d.45 d.36 d.76 d.32 .35 .86 1.19 1.28 .43 .82 .15 .35 .65 ‘‘Cash Flow’’ per sh 1.25 -- -- -- d.41 d.50 d.56 d.51 d.98 d.61 d.03 .40 .74 .84 d.03 .34 d.47 d.30 Nil Earnings per sh A .55 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil Div’ds Decl’d per sh Nil -- -- -- .08 .35 .36 .30 .45 .58 .42 .21 .36 .60 1.17 .40 .20 .25 .25 Cap’l Spending per sh .35 -- -- -- 2.50 2.00 1.45 2.51 2.57 2.22 2.31 2.78 4.05 7.73 8.14 8.65 4.30 4.00 4.05 Book Value per sh 5.25 -- -- -- 45.07 45.57 46.03 52.37 57.14 58.01 58.50 59.45 61.59 67.22 67.92 69.22 70.50 71.00 71.75 Common Shs Outst’g B 74.00 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 57.7 41.7 55.0 -- 75.1 -- Bold figures are Avg Ann’l P/E Ratio 21.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.29 2.20 2.93 -- 3.99 -- Value Line Relative P/E Ratio 1.40 estimates -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Avg Ann’l Div’d Yield Nil CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 9/30/08 96.9 200.8 224.9 289.9 300.8 346.0 367.6 355.3 371.3 320.3 310 330 Revenues ($mill) 410 Total Debt $436.3 mill. Due in 5 Yrs Nil NMF NMF NMF 12.7% 18.8% 24.7% 25.6% 7.3% 14.4% 3.5% 7.5% 13.5% Operating Margin 25.0% LT Debt $436.3 mill. LT Interest $12.0 mill. 6.5 10.7 16.3 22.0 26.7 25.7 28.2 31.1 32.1 43.0 46.0 48.0 Depreciation ($mill) 52.0 Incl. $120 mill. of 3⁄4% 2033 notes, convertible at a price of $31.01 a share, and $316.3 million of d23.1 d54.0 d34.8 d1.6 24.2 47.6 57.5 d2.1 24.5 d32.2 d21.0 Nil Net Profit ($mill) 40.0 31⁄2% 2038 notes, conv. at $30.12. -- -- -- -- 10.2% 6.5% 8.1% -- 27.0% -- NMF NMF Income Tax Rate 25.0% (41% of Cap’l) NMF NMF NMF NMF 8.0% 13.8% 15.6% NMF 6.6% NMF NMF NMF Net Profit Margin 9.8% Leases, Uncapitalized: Annual rentals $10.7 mill. 228.7 418.3 372.7 371.7 192.8 226.3 345.6 290.3 583.1 420.8 425 455 Working Cap’l ($mill) 510 No Defined Pension Plan 155.0 380.1 375.0 377.2 120.0 120.0 120.0 120.0 436.3 316.3 315 315 Long-Term Debt ($mill) 315 Pfd Stock None 131.3 147.1 129.0 134.9 165.1 249.2 519.8 553.0 598.4 303.7 285 290 Shr. Equity ($mill) 390 Common Stock 70,202,630 shs. NMF NMF NMF 1.6% 11.5% 14.4% 9.1% NMF 2.5% NMF NMF NMF Return on Total Cap’l 5.5% as of 10/31/08 NMF NMF NMF NMF 14.7% 19.1% 11.1% NMF 4.1% NMF NMF NMF Return on Shr. Equity 10.5% MARKET CAP: $225 million (Small Cap) NMF NMF NMF NMF 14.7% 19.1% 11.1% NMF 4.1% NMF NMF NMF Retained to Com Eq 10.5% CURRENT POSITION 2006 2007 9/30/08 NMF -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Nil Nil All Div’ds to Net Prof Nil ($MILL.) Cash Assets 237.2 494.4 579.4 BUSINESS: Affymetrix Inc. is a leading genomics company that tech. companies, as well as academic research centers and clinical Receivables 77.8 81.6 63.5 manufactures tools that enable the large-scale analysis of the hu- reference labs. ’07 R&D; $72.7 mill. Has 1,140 employees. Off./dir. Inventory (Avg Cst) 46.5 42.9 46.4 man genome. The company’s GeneChip technology is intended to own 2.5% of com; FMR Corp., 14.6%; T. Rowe Price, 10.4%; Other 22.4 48.2 23.5 Current Assets 383.9 667.1 712.8 simplify, accelerate, and reduce the cost of analyzing genetic PrimeCap Mgmt., 8.2% (4/08 Proxy). Chairman & CEO: Stephen P. Accts Payable 62.9 61.5 15.0 variability (both sequence and expression) and lead to new op- Fodor, Ph.D. Pres.: Kevin M. King. Inc.: Del. Addr.: 3380 Central Debt Due -- -- -- portunities in disease mgmt. Products are used by pharm. and bio- Expressway, Santa Clara, CA 95051. Tel.: 408-731-5000. Other 30.7 22.5 57.6 Current Liab. 93.6 84.0 72.6 The recently concluded year was margins that exceed 60% to merely break clearly a very difficult one for Af- even. We don’t expect either threshold to ANNUAL RATES Past Past Est’d ’05-’07 fymetrix, as reflected by the untimely be achieved in 2009, until possibly the last of change (per sh) 10 Yrs. 5 Yrs. to ’12-’14 Revenues 31.5% 5.5% .5% stock’s price chart above. Market-share quarter. Indeed, management’s revenue ‘‘Cash Flow’’ -- -- 6.0% losses hurt revenues, and this problem guidance for the March quarter is only Earnings -- -- 5.5% was exacerbated by a progressively deeper $72–$75 million; it declined to provide Dividends -- -- Nil Book Value 14.0% 28.0% -6.0% retrenchment by pharma and academic guidance for the full year, which we think end users. In all, year-over-year top-line is prudent, considering the extraordinarily Cal- QUARTERLY REVENUES ($ mill.) Full comparisons deteriorated dramatically in low visibility across the board. We are endar Mar.31 Jun. 30 Sep. 30 Dec. 31 Year 2008’s second half, tumbling 20.8% and leaving our estimate for the year at a loss 2006 86.4 80.1 84.6 104.2 355.3 27.0% in the third and fourth quarters, of $0.30 per share. 2007 80.4 88.3 95.0 107.6 371.3 respectively; the decline was a relatively A reasonably healthy balance sheet 2008 79.6 86.9 75.2 78.6 320.3 modest 1.3% in the initial six months. Not suggests that the company has stay- 2009 75.0 77.0 78.0 80.0 310 2010 80.0 82.0 83.0 85.0 330 surprisingly, the operating margin also ing power . . . Affymetrix paid down debt collapsed, dragging the per-share loss for by $120 million in 2008. It also executed Cal- EARNINGS PER SHAREA Full the full year to $0.47, well below the $0.34 three small acquisitions, which provide the endar Mar.31 Jun. 30 Sep. 30 Dec. 31 Year earned in the previous year. That said, we opportunity to both generate sales syner- 2006 .03 d.15 d.06 .15 d.03 would note that the company reported a gies and penetrate new markets. Still, 2007 d.01 .05 .10 .20 .34 full-year loss of $4.49 a share, which in- cash totaled almost $400 million at the 2008 d.02 d.04 d.18 d.23 d.47 2009 d.15 d.10 d.03 d.02 d.30 cludes substantial one-time charges for end of the year. This should give manage- 2010 d.05 d.02 .02 .05 Nil goodwill impairment and restructuring. ment the time to improve its product offer- The genomics concern’s bottom line ings; it recently launched the GeneTitan Cal- QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAID Full will probably stay in negative terri- System, an integrated platform that auto- endar Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31 Year tory this year. The business trends evi- mates customer workflow from target 2005 dent in 2008 were clearly not encouraging, preparation to array processing to results. 2006 NO CASH DIVIDENDS and neither is the prevailing economic en- . . . and AFFX stock offers patient in- 2007 BEING PAID vironment. Affymetrix needs quarterly vestors wide price recovery potential. 2008 2009 revenues of at least $80 million and gross George Rho February 27, 2009 (A) Fully diluted earnings. Excludes nonrecur- (B) In millions, adjusted for a stock split. Company’s Financial Strength B ring losses: ’03, $0.17; 05, 24¢; ’06, 17¢; ’07, Stock’s Price Stability 20 17¢; ’08, $4.02. Next earnings report due late Price Growth Persistence 10 April. Earnings Predictability 20 © 2009, Value Line Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind. THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscriber’s own, non-commercial, internal use. No part To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046. of it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product.