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The Critical Trends in Digital 
Media 
By Eric Picard, CEO of Rare Crowds 
Built around my deck – 5 Important Memes for the Digital Advertising Industry: 
http://www.slideshare.net/ericpicard/
History of Digital Advertising 
1990 2000 2014 
1991 
“Public” Birth of 
The World Wide Web 
1994 
First Clickable 
Banner Ad 
1997 
• Pop Up Ads 
• Paid Search 
1998 
Ad Networks 1.0 
(e.g. Value Click, 
Advertising.com) 
2002 
• Behavioral Targeting 
• Google AdWords 
2003 
AdExchanges 
2005 
• Dynamic Creative 
• AdNetworks 2.0 
2007 
Demand-Side Platform 
and Real-Time Biddiing 
2004-2006 
Video and Mobile Point Solutions 
(e.g. Tremor, Millennial, YuMe) 
2010 
Data Management 
Platforms 
2012 
Programmatic Direct 
1995 
• Ad Servers 
• Rich Media Ads Emerge 
2013 
Native Ads
MEDIA FRAGMENTATION 
3
Huge and Fragmented Ecosystem 
Worldwide – Approximately 6,000 Advertisers account for >80% of all ad spending 
(~5,000 in US account for >90% of US ad spending) 
Most of the WW ad spend controlled by 5 major agency holding companies (6 with Dentsu) 
Omnicom WPP Interpublic Publicis Havas 
Hundreds of vendors across thousands of implementations, and thousands of internal IT 
solutions – few of which communicate with each other 
Media ownership rolls up to approximately 60 companies WW – with thousands of holdings 
American Media Inc. Belo Corporation Bertelsmann AG Cablevision CanWest Global 
Citadel Broadcasting Clear Channel Comcast Community Newsp. CBS 
Copley Press Cox Enterprises Cumulus Media Dow Jones Corp. Emmis 
Fisher Freedom Gannett General Electric Hachette Filapacchi 
Hollinger Journal Register Knight Ridder Landmark Lee Enterprises 
Liberty Media Lin TV Corp. McClatchy McGraw-Hill Media General 
Meredith Corp. Morris News World News Corp New York Times 
Primedia Pulitzer Reed Elsevier Rogers Scripps 
Sinclair Standard Radio Stephens Media Time Warner Tribune Company 
Advance Publications 
Cisneros 
Corus Entertainment 
Entercom 
Hearst 
Liberty Group 
Media News Group 
Pearson 
Sony Corporation 
Viacom Vivendi Universal Vulcan Inc. Walt Disney Washington Post Young Broadcasting 
4
Number of Media Types (1700 – 2005) 
5
Number of Websites 
6
Number of Blogs (03-07) 
7
Internet User Growth 
8
Media Fragmentation Changes Power Base 
6,000 
Advertisers 6 
9,000 
Advertisers 
Agencies 
Millions 
Publishers 
1977 
2012 
Hundreds 
Publishers 
9 
>500,000 
Advertisers 
>400,000 
Publishers 
Google 
Search & GDN 
1 
Google 
$750B 
$6B
AUTOMATION IS THE FUTURE 
10
Manual Buy/Sell Process for premium 
Reporting & 
Analytics 
Associate Media 
Buyer 
Media 
Planning & 
Buying 
Workflow 
Ad Operations 
Campaign 
Management 
& Trafficking 
Workflow 
Billing & 
Reconcilliation 
Inventory 
Availability & 
Reservations 
(Sales Tools) 
Campaign 
Management 
Workflow 
Reporting Billing 
Media 
Research 
Tools 
Media Buyer Associate Media 
Buyer Ad Operations Billing Coordinator 
Sales Executive 
Sales Planner 
1 
2 
3 
3 
5 
7 
Account Manager 
6 
8 
1. Buyer decides what 
web sites to buy 
2. Buyer and Seller 
negotiate deal 
3. Hand off to internal 
teams for workflow 
4. Buyer ad ops sends 
ads to publisher 
5. Seller ad ops inputs 
ads 
6. Buyer reviews 
results, compares 
reports, compiles 
7. Seller sends bill to 
buyer 
8. Buyer reconciles the 
bill and pays 
4 
11
How Impressions are Bought in RTB 
It works on a auction based model (think ebay). Each party 
makes their bid, the highest bid wins, and pays $0.01 more than 
the next highest bidder. 
Bid 
Which bid will win the impression? 
Bid Amount #1 $.50 
Bid Amount #2 $.65 
Bid Amount #3 
(Winning Bid) 
$.80 
Price Paid $.66
REVENUE DRIVERS FOR 
PROGRAMMATIC ADOPTION
Publisher revenue against inventory 
14 
Hand Sold 
Sponsorships 
Hand Sold Premium Inventory 
Hand Sold Audience Targeted Inventory 
Targeted Inventory sold via Ad Exchanges 
Remnant “Wholesale” Inventory sold to Ad Networks 
Inventory Packages are made up of inventory from 
each layer in the ‘layer cake’.
Purchase Funnel to Display Advertising Volume & CPM 
Low CPM High CPM 
Category 
Awareness 
Brand 
Awareness 
Brand 
Consideration 
Brand 
Preference 
Purchase 
Intent 
Purchase 
Customer 
Retention 
Customer 
Advocacy 
High Imp. Volume Low Imp. Volume 
15
Brand vs. DR by inventory and revenue 
$$$ 
$$ 
¢ 
Brand 
DR 
Brand 
DR Paid Search 
DR 
Inventory allocation of Online Advertising 
within the purchase funnel 
Ball Size Represents Proportional Revenue 
16
Advertising Ecosystem Impression / Dollar Flow 
5% 
* Includes: Ad Networks, SSPs, Private Exchanges, and Ad Rep Firms 
** Includes: Media Agencies, Creative Agencies, Trading Desks 
*** Includes: Ad Exchanges and DSPs 
This slide represents Display, Video, Mobile – based on Rare Crowds Analysis of Marketplace 
FLOW OF ADVERTISING IMPRESSIONS (US) 
Note: Ad Servers, Yield Management Systems, 
Analytics, DMPs, etc… Take out about 8-10% of spend 
in total as they pass through the ecosystem 
20% 
ADVERTISER 
AUDIENCE 
Agency** 
Keeps 
5-25% 
Large 
Publisher 
(Direct 
Reserved 
“Premium”) 
Keeps 
75-95% 
Large pub 
(Remnant) 
Keeps 
40-80% 
Publisher 
Aggregator* 
Keep 
10-80% 
(May include 
multiple 
vendors) 
Small-Med 
Publishers 
Keeps 
20-60% 
65% 
25% 
20% 
25% 
25% 
Percent impressions 
40% 
35% 
40% 
35% 
Ad spend 
100% 
Exchanges, 
DSPs *** 
Keeps 
10-20% 
(may include 
multiple 
vendors) 
FLOW OF AD SPEND (US) 
Percent Dollars Captured (in yellow) 
25% 
5% 
Per Impression Price Drops 
17
INFRASTRUCTURE AND ECOSYSTEM 
COMPLEXITY 
18
Consolidation must happen 
19 
Hundreds of vendors in the ad tech ecosystem 
• Each sector has significant number of competitors 
• Probably not enough ecosystem scale to support more than 3 vendors per 
category 
• Consolidation will happen quickly once it starts 
Ultimately there will be a handful of platform ‘stacks’ 
• One will be Google 
• The others will be some subset or consolidated mix of the following: 
• Yahoo 
• MediaMath 
• Adobe 
• IBM 
• AppNexus 
• AOL 
• Facebook 
• Amazon 
• SAS 
• SalesForce.com 
• Experian 
• Accenture 
• Ebay 
• Rubicon Project 
• Pubmatic 
• Etc…
20 
Agencies 
Buy Side 
Technologies 
Liquidity 
Pools 
(exchange 
types) 
Supply Aggregators 
(Networks types) 
Sell Side 
Tech 
P 
U 
B 
L 
I 
S 
H 
E 
R 
S 
M 
a 
r 
k 
e 
t 
e 
r 
s
21
22
Key Technology Players in the Market 
Buy Side Ad Servers DSPs / Buying Tools Exchanges SSPs / Selling Tools Pub Side Ad Servers
The Google Stack 
Ad Networks 
Ad Sense 
AdMob 
Mobile 
Publishers 
DFP 
DFA Google 
Ad 
Words 
AdSense 
Advertisers 
Ad 
Agencies 
Data 
Companies 
Other 
Vendors 
Other 
vendors 
24 
AdMeld 
/ EDA 
Invite 
Media / 
DCLK Bid 
Manager 
Google 
Display 
Network 
Google / Doubleclick Ad Exchange
We're just at the beginning of the digital revolution 
• Tablets may be the biggest driver we have ever seen of transition from 
consumption of media (especially print) to digital delivery 
• Connected Televisions are another huge driver of digital consumption 
• This includes Xbox, Roku and other set top boxes 
• Different media are good at different things, we’re still trying to determine what 
new media types are good at 
• Traditional media companies have intentionally slowed adoption of digital 
because they get so much more money per ‘impression’ in traditional media 
• The floodgates are opening up, and traditional media companies are embracing 
digital completely 
• The world is moving toward a programmatic media future! 
25

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The Critical Trends in Online Advertising: MIMA Summit 2014

  • 1. The Critical Trends in Digital Media By Eric Picard, CEO of Rare Crowds Built around my deck – 5 Important Memes for the Digital Advertising Industry: http://www.slideshare.net/ericpicard/
  • 2. History of Digital Advertising 1990 2000 2014 1991 “Public” Birth of The World Wide Web 1994 First Clickable Banner Ad 1997 • Pop Up Ads • Paid Search 1998 Ad Networks 1.0 (e.g. Value Click, Advertising.com) 2002 • Behavioral Targeting • Google AdWords 2003 AdExchanges 2005 • Dynamic Creative • AdNetworks 2.0 2007 Demand-Side Platform and Real-Time Biddiing 2004-2006 Video and Mobile Point Solutions (e.g. Tremor, Millennial, YuMe) 2010 Data Management Platforms 2012 Programmatic Direct 1995 • Ad Servers • Rich Media Ads Emerge 2013 Native Ads
  • 4. Huge and Fragmented Ecosystem Worldwide – Approximately 6,000 Advertisers account for >80% of all ad spending (~5,000 in US account for >90% of US ad spending) Most of the WW ad spend controlled by 5 major agency holding companies (6 with Dentsu) Omnicom WPP Interpublic Publicis Havas Hundreds of vendors across thousands of implementations, and thousands of internal IT solutions – few of which communicate with each other Media ownership rolls up to approximately 60 companies WW – with thousands of holdings American Media Inc. Belo Corporation Bertelsmann AG Cablevision CanWest Global Citadel Broadcasting Clear Channel Comcast Community Newsp. CBS Copley Press Cox Enterprises Cumulus Media Dow Jones Corp. Emmis Fisher Freedom Gannett General Electric Hachette Filapacchi Hollinger Journal Register Knight Ridder Landmark Lee Enterprises Liberty Media Lin TV Corp. McClatchy McGraw-Hill Media General Meredith Corp. Morris News World News Corp New York Times Primedia Pulitzer Reed Elsevier Rogers Scripps Sinclair Standard Radio Stephens Media Time Warner Tribune Company Advance Publications Cisneros Corus Entertainment Entercom Hearst Liberty Group Media News Group Pearson Sony Corporation Viacom Vivendi Universal Vulcan Inc. Walt Disney Washington Post Young Broadcasting 4
  • 5. Number of Media Types (1700 – 2005) 5
  • 7. Number of Blogs (03-07) 7
  • 9. Media Fragmentation Changes Power Base 6,000 Advertisers 6 9,000 Advertisers Agencies Millions Publishers 1977 2012 Hundreds Publishers 9 >500,000 Advertisers >400,000 Publishers Google Search & GDN 1 Google $750B $6B
  • 10. AUTOMATION IS THE FUTURE 10
  • 11. Manual Buy/Sell Process for premium Reporting & Analytics Associate Media Buyer Media Planning & Buying Workflow Ad Operations Campaign Management & Trafficking Workflow Billing & Reconcilliation Inventory Availability & Reservations (Sales Tools) Campaign Management Workflow Reporting Billing Media Research Tools Media Buyer Associate Media Buyer Ad Operations Billing Coordinator Sales Executive Sales Planner 1 2 3 3 5 7 Account Manager 6 8 1. Buyer decides what web sites to buy 2. Buyer and Seller negotiate deal 3. Hand off to internal teams for workflow 4. Buyer ad ops sends ads to publisher 5. Seller ad ops inputs ads 6. Buyer reviews results, compares reports, compiles 7. Seller sends bill to buyer 8. Buyer reconciles the bill and pays 4 11
  • 12. How Impressions are Bought in RTB It works on a auction based model (think ebay). Each party makes their bid, the highest bid wins, and pays $0.01 more than the next highest bidder. Bid Which bid will win the impression? Bid Amount #1 $.50 Bid Amount #2 $.65 Bid Amount #3 (Winning Bid) $.80 Price Paid $.66
  • 13. REVENUE DRIVERS FOR PROGRAMMATIC ADOPTION
  • 14. Publisher revenue against inventory 14 Hand Sold Sponsorships Hand Sold Premium Inventory Hand Sold Audience Targeted Inventory Targeted Inventory sold via Ad Exchanges Remnant “Wholesale” Inventory sold to Ad Networks Inventory Packages are made up of inventory from each layer in the ‘layer cake’.
  • 15. Purchase Funnel to Display Advertising Volume & CPM Low CPM High CPM Category Awareness Brand Awareness Brand Consideration Brand Preference Purchase Intent Purchase Customer Retention Customer Advocacy High Imp. Volume Low Imp. Volume 15
  • 16. Brand vs. DR by inventory and revenue $$$ $$ ¢ Brand DR Brand DR Paid Search DR Inventory allocation of Online Advertising within the purchase funnel Ball Size Represents Proportional Revenue 16
  • 17. Advertising Ecosystem Impression / Dollar Flow 5% * Includes: Ad Networks, SSPs, Private Exchanges, and Ad Rep Firms ** Includes: Media Agencies, Creative Agencies, Trading Desks *** Includes: Ad Exchanges and DSPs This slide represents Display, Video, Mobile – based on Rare Crowds Analysis of Marketplace FLOW OF ADVERTISING IMPRESSIONS (US) Note: Ad Servers, Yield Management Systems, Analytics, DMPs, etc… Take out about 8-10% of spend in total as they pass through the ecosystem 20% ADVERTISER AUDIENCE Agency** Keeps 5-25% Large Publisher (Direct Reserved “Premium”) Keeps 75-95% Large pub (Remnant) Keeps 40-80% Publisher Aggregator* Keep 10-80% (May include multiple vendors) Small-Med Publishers Keeps 20-60% 65% 25% 20% 25% 25% Percent impressions 40% 35% 40% 35% Ad spend 100% Exchanges, DSPs *** Keeps 10-20% (may include multiple vendors) FLOW OF AD SPEND (US) Percent Dollars Captured (in yellow) 25% 5% Per Impression Price Drops 17
  • 19. Consolidation must happen 19 Hundreds of vendors in the ad tech ecosystem • Each sector has significant number of competitors • Probably not enough ecosystem scale to support more than 3 vendors per category • Consolidation will happen quickly once it starts Ultimately there will be a handful of platform ‘stacks’ • One will be Google • The others will be some subset or consolidated mix of the following: • Yahoo • MediaMath • Adobe • IBM • AppNexus • AOL • Facebook • Amazon • SAS • SalesForce.com • Experian • Accenture • Ebay • Rubicon Project • Pubmatic • Etc…
  • 20. 20 Agencies Buy Side Technologies Liquidity Pools (exchange types) Supply Aggregators (Networks types) Sell Side Tech P U B L I S H E R S M a r k e t e r s
  • 21. 21
  • 22. 22
  • 23. Key Technology Players in the Market Buy Side Ad Servers DSPs / Buying Tools Exchanges SSPs / Selling Tools Pub Side Ad Servers
  • 24. The Google Stack Ad Networks Ad Sense AdMob Mobile Publishers DFP DFA Google Ad Words AdSense Advertisers Ad Agencies Data Companies Other Vendors Other vendors 24 AdMeld / EDA Invite Media / DCLK Bid Manager Google Display Network Google / Doubleclick Ad Exchange
  • 25. We're just at the beginning of the digital revolution • Tablets may be the biggest driver we have ever seen of transition from consumption of media (especially print) to digital delivery • Connected Televisions are another huge driver of digital consumption • This includes Xbox, Roku and other set top boxes • Different media are good at different things, we’re still trying to determine what new media types are good at • Traditional media companies have intentionally slowed adoption of digital because they get so much more money per ‘impression’ in traditional media • The floodgates are opening up, and traditional media companies are embracing digital completely • The world is moving toward a programmatic media future! 25