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Agenda for Day 5



                   Presentation of Cases by Participants



                   Discussions on Issues Raised


                   Lunch Break


                   Session on current regulations in Bangladesh



                   IMaCS’ Recommendations to Banks


                                                                        IM aCS 2010
                                                                  Printed 11-M ay-11
                          For Classroom discussion only                       Page 1
Regulatory framework: Banks

    Minimum Capital         • Tk. 200 crore


                            • 10%
  Capital adequacy ratio
                            • 5% Core Capital

                            • Not more than % of capital in a bank may be acquired
       Ownership              without the approval of the Bangladesh Bank.


   Foreign ownership        • Up to xx%


                            • 365 days (in case of asset financing) , 180 days (in
       Provisioning           case of loans and other exposures)

  Availability of deposit
  insurance facility for    • Yes
        depositors
                                                                                           IM aCS 2010
                                                                                     Printed 11-M ay-11
                            For Classroom discussion only                                        Page 2
Categories of Loans


                      Continuous
                        Loan                              If any uncertainty or
                                                          doubt arises in respect
                                                          of recovery of          any
                                                          Continuous             Loan,
                                                          Demand Loan or Fixed
       Short-term
       Agricultural   Categories                 Demand   Term Loan, the same
        and Micro      of Loans                   Loan
                                                          will    have      to       be
          Credit
                                                          classified on the basis
                                                          of qualitative judgment

                                                          be it classifiable or not
                                                          on the basis of
                      Fixed Term
                         Loan                             objective criteria

                                                                                         IM aCS 2010
                                                                                   Printed 11-M ay-11
                        For Classroom discussion only                                          Page 3
Loan Classification


   Past due/overdue   • If not repaid/renewed within the fixed expiry date for repayment will be
                        treated as past due/overdue from the following day of the expiry date


    Special Mention   • A Continuous Loan/Demand loan/Term Loan which will remain
                        overdue for a period of 90 days or more, will be put into the "Special
       Account          Mention Account(SMA)"


                      • Sub-standard if it remains past due/overdue for 6 months or beyond but
     Sub-standard       less than 9 months.




       Doubtful       • `Doubtful' if for 9 months or beyond but less than 12 months




       Bad-Debt       • Bad-Debt' if for 12months or beyond



                                                                                                         IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                   Printed 11-M ay-11
                      For Classroom discussion only                                                            Page 4
Provisioning Norms …1

                  Classified Continuous, Demand and Fixed Term Loans
Sub-standard                                                                    20%
Doubtful                                                                        50%

Bad/Loss                                                                       100%



 Provision in respect of Short-term Agricultural and Micro-Credits is to be maintained
                                  at the following rates
All credits except 'Bad/Loss'(i.e. 'Doubtful', 'Sub-standard', irregular and   5%
regular credit accounts)
'Bad/Loss'                                                                     100%




                                                                                               IM aCS 2010
                                                                                         Printed 11-M ay-11
                                     For Classroom discussion only                                   Page 5
Provisioning Norms…2

                   Banks will be required to maintain General Provision
All unclassified loans (other than loans under Consumer                          1%
Financing and Special Mention Account
Unclassified amount for Consumer Financing whereas it has to                     5%
be maintained @ 2% on the unclassified amount for (i) Housing Finance and (ii)
Loans for Professionals to set up business under Consumer Financing Scheme.
Outstanding amount of loans kept in the 'Special Mention                         5%
Account' (SMA) after netting off the amount of Interest Suspense.




                                                                                            IM aCS 2010
                                                                                      Printed 11-M ay-11
                                    For Classroom discussion only                                 Page 6
Agenda for Day 5



                   Presentation of Cases by Participants



                   Discussions on Issues Raised


                   Lunch Break


                   Session on current regulations in Bangladesh



                   IMaCS’ Recommendations to Banks


                                                                        IM aCS 2010
                                                                  Printed 11-M ay-11
                          For Classroom discussion only                       Page 7
Governance framework for Risk Management

                                    Organization structure
                                    with well defined roles
                                     and responsibilities




           Review of existing
         policies, processes and                                Formulation of policies,
                                                                processes and formation
              systems and
                                                                of different committees
        modifications if required




               Robust reporting and                           Monitor execution
             analysis infrastructure for                   through periodic reviews
                 early warnings or                         done by these committees
                 monitoring trends

                                                                                                 IM aCS 2010
                                                                                           Printed 11-M ay-11
                                For Classroom discussion only                                          Page 8
Risk Management Process and Tools


                                  Post Sanction Pre
     Pre Sanction                                               Post disbursement                  Default
                                    disbursement

                                                                  DP report and stock
         Appraisal                                                      audits
                                     Execution of all                                           Special Mention
                                       documents                   Monitoring report            Accounts report

   Assessment through                                             Branch Compliance
      rating models                                                   Certificate

                                       Meeting pre                   Loan Review
                                       disbursement                   Mechanism                  NPA reporting
    Prudential exposure                 conditions
          limits                                                   Re-rating of large
                                                                   accounts annually


   Evaluate decoupling of         Evaluate possibility of                                   Sector wise, product wise
                                                                Sector wise, product wise
origination and assessment /   setting up a centralized legal                                 NPA and SMA rating
                                                                    rating migrations
         credit rating                      cell

                                                                                                                         IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                   Printed 11-M ay-11
                                               For Classroom discussion only                                                   Page 9
Policy for Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process :
Objectives

   Enunciate Bank’s overall risk philosophy
   Define acceptable risk measurement methodologies including risk mitigation
   mechanisms
   Ability to assess capital adequacy to ensure
       Compliance with Bangladesh Bank guidelines
       Adequate capital as buffer to ensure business stability simultaneously with rapid growth
   Provide better internal governance environment and facilitate proactive Capital
   Budgeting
   Define organization structure and responsibilities for effective internal assessment
   process including reporting mechanisms
   Ensure continued validity and relevance of risk assessment methodologies through
   periodical internal audit
                                                                                                        IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                  Printed 11-M ay-11
                                   For Classroom discussion only                                             Page 10
ICAAP framework

                     Identification of                RMD, CRMC, ORMC & ALM Cell
                     all material risks               Based on materiality



   Oversight       Reporting of risks           Measurement and            Measurement methodology aligned with RBI
                   assessed
  process and                                    reporting of all          guidelines
                    Reporting of CRAR
   structure                                    the material risks          Scenarios sensitized to bank’s profile
                   Actions




                   Additional Capital for        Capital cushion
  Strategy for                                                             Required to manage unexpected scenarios
                   normal growth                     based on
ensuring capital    Additional capital for        understanding            Stress testing framework to provide a measure of
   adequacy                                                                capital cushion
                   increased risks               of implicit risks
                     Linking capital
                     requirements to
                                                    Additional Capital for normal growth
                       the level of
                          Risks                     Additional capital for increased risks
                                                                                                                          IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                    Printed 11-M ay-11
                                             For Classroom discussion only                                                     Page 11
Capital Planning

                                     Stress test results
                                    indicate a breach in
                                      tolerance levels
               Expected asset
                                                                    Planned
              growth with the
             same portfolio mix                                   investments




                                                                         Notional capital
   Strategy to acquire
                                        Additional                       cushion for risks
    riskier assets for
                                                                         not mentioned in
      higher target                      Capital                       Pillar I and could be
  profitability or entry               Requirement                      based on the stress
     into new areas
                                                                             test results


                                                                                                     IM aCS 2010
                                                                                               Printed 11-M ay-11
                                  For Classroom discussion only                                           Page 12
Importance of Risk Based Pricing


    Aligns the incentive for a bank to balance risk with return

    Pricing is a tool to maintain proactive provisioning

    Necessary for value creation and preservation

    Building block for credit risk management




                                                                        IM aCS 2010
                                                                  Printed 11-M ay-11
                         For Classroom discussion only                       Page 13
Pre-requisites for “Risk Pricing” credit - A Bank must have the
capability to generate...


      History of risk score of borrowers


      Information on defaults associated with the risk score
      of borrowers


      Loss given default


      Variance in loss given default

                                                                        IM aCS 2010
                                                                  Printed 11-M ay-11
                           For Classroom discussion only                     Page 14
Computing Risk Premia - Expected Loss

                                          Probability of             Loss Given
                                          Default (PD)              Default (LGD)

                                     Borrower     PD           Collateral   LGD
                                     Risk Score                Type
                                     1            .05%         1            5%
                                     2            -            2            -
               Exposure
Expected                             3            -            3            -
                at
 Loss                          x                           x
(EL)       =    Default
               (EAD)
                                     4            -            4            -
                                     5            10%          5            20%
                                     6            -            6            -
                                     7            -            7            -
                                     8            -            8            -
                                     9            -            9            -
                                     10           100%         10           75%


                                                                                          IM aCS 2010
                                                                                    Printed 11-M ay-11
                          For Classroom discussion only                                        Page 15
Present status in many banks - How mis-pricing of risk is
 harmful.

                               Risk-based
     The cross-subsidy         pricing                               •   Good credit risks
                                                                         subsidising the poor
Interest rate %
                                                                         credit risk accounts
                                      Subsidy
                “Bad risks”                                          •   Threat of
                under-priced                 Bank
                                             pricing                     disintermediation leaves
                                                                         banks with poor credit
                                                                         risk accounts
 Good credits
 overpriced
                AAA
                                                                     •   Already beginning to
                               BBB        Risk                           happen in most markets



                                                                                                      IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                Printed 11-M ay-11
                                     For Classroom discussion only                                         Page 16
Risk Based Pricing - An example

                                         Client: XYZ
                                     Risk Grading                                 B+
         I     Loan Size (Tk. Crore)                                              100
         II    Tenor (Years)                                                        5
         III   Probability of Default                                             2%
         IV    Loss Given Default                                                50%
         V     Hurdle Rate on Equity (Share holder Expectation)                  16%
         VI    Capital as % of funded assets                                      8%
         VII   Cost of Funds for 5 Yr Tenor (From FTP)                         5.50%

   1   Cost of Funds                                                   5.50%
                                                                                        Risk Adjusted
   2   Cost of Operation                                               1.00%            Pricing
                                                                                        (1+2+3+4)
   3   Return on Capital (I*V*VI) (Loan Size %)                        1.28%            =
   4   Expected Loss (III*IV)                                          1.00%            8.78 %



                                                                                                       IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                 Printed 11-M ay-11
                                       For Classroom discussion only                                        Page 17
RAROC is gaining popularity as it links investor aspirations to
Management goals

     Shareholders demand optimum risk-adjusted return on their risk capital



     Banks’ activities are increasingly arranged along business unit lines to improve
     focus


     Bank Management is able to allocate scarce capital among business units based on
     their potential risk-adjusted performance




    Performance Measurement                              Capital Allocation

     Performance Budgeting                               Lending decision


                                                                                              IM aCS 2010
                                                                                        Printed 11-M ay-11
                                  For Classroom discussion only                                    Page 18
5 steps to RAROC of a loan/ business line/ portfolio

  STEP 1: Calculate Net Interest Earned

  STEP 2: Calculate Expected Loss


  STEP 3: Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread


  STEP 4: Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that activity


  STEP 5: Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4




                                                                               IM aCS 2010
                                                                         Printed 11-M ay-11
                                For Classroom discussion only                       Page 19
RAROC: Step 1 of 5



STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned
                                                                           Net Interest earned = (Interest Rate –
STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss                                             Interest Expenses) x Amount of Loan

STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread

                                                                           1.Interest rate is market determined on which
STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti
                                                             vity
                                                                           the banker has limited control

STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4

                                                                           2.Interest expense depends on bank’s cost of
                                                                           funds and is given by ALM




                                                                                                                                IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                          Printed 11-M ay-11
                                                              For Classroom discussion only                                          Page 20
RAROC: Step 2 of 5



                                                                            Expected Loss = Probability of Default
                                                                            x Loss Given Default x Amount of loan
STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned
                                                                            1.Probability of Default can be derived from
STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss                                              transition matrix

STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread
                                                                            2. Loss given default is the proportion of
STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti
                                                             vity           money lost after recoveries on a defaulted
                                                                            account
STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4


                                                                                                         -




                                                                                 STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4
                                                                                                                                            IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                                      Printed 11-M ay-11
                                                            For Classroom discussion only                                                        Page 21
RAROC: Step 3 of 5



                                                                            Risk Adjusted Spread *=
                                                                            Net Interest Earned (Step 1)
STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned
                                                                            Less: Expected Loss (Step 2)
STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss
                                                                            Less: Administrative Expenses
STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread
                                                                            Add: Non-interest income
STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti
                                                             vity           This is similar to risk-based pricing , but
                                                                            RAROC goes a step further
STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4



                                                                              * The spread is in absolute amount




                                                                                                                                IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                          Printed 11-M ay-11
                                                            For Classroom discussion only                                            Page 22
RAROC: Step 4 of 5




STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned
                                                                            Capital Allocated *= Standard Risk
                                                                            Weight (of an asset) x Minimum
STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss                                              Regulatory capital x Loan amount

STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread

                                                                            *Capital allocated may be Regulatory Capital
STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti
                                                             vity



STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4




                                                                                                                           IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                     Printed 11-M ay-11
                                                            For Classroom discussion only                                       Page 23
RAROC: Step 5 of 5


                                                                                 RAROC =

                                                                                        Risk-Adjusted Spread (Step 3)
STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned
                                                                                         Risk Capital (Step 4)
STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss


STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread
                                                                             If the RAROC is higher than the “Hurdle
STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti
                                                             vity
                                                              activity       rate” a loan is acceptable in terms of
                                                                             risk/return
STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4




                                                                                                                              IM aCS 2010
                                                                                                                        Printed 11-M ay-11
                                                             For Classroom discussion only                                         Page 24
Credit Risk framework under Basel II

                                                                 Align regulatory capital
                      Credit Risk                                more closely with economic
                                                                 capital


                            Measurement

         Standardised
                                                 IRB Method
         Method

           Regulatory
       Supervisory Risk                           Foundation
       weights and Credit Risk
       Mitigation
                                                  Advanced                  Economic Capital



                                                                                               IM aCS 2010
                                                                                         Printed 11-M ay-11
                                 For Classroom discussion only                                      Page 25
Ownership and policy review

    The policy would be reviewed regularly to incorporate
       Additional material risks as and when they arise and are measurable
       Changes in risk measurement methodology based on regulatory
       directives or implementation of various tools
    Reporting by different functions and levels
    Risk Management Department would review and maintain the policy




                                                                                   IM aCS 2010
                                                                             Printed 11-M ay-11
                              For Classroom discussion only                             Page 26
Recommendations for Systems supporting credit process

    Risk Management Solution to be used for capturing origination data
    Sanction process workflow to be automated based on defined rules
    Credit rating to be automated and centralized
    User profiles to avoid conflicts of interest and decouple rating from
    origination
    Capture data for rejected loan application and make it available in a
    centralized manner
    Collateral management can be done using Risk Management Solution



                                                                                  IM aCS 2010
                                                                            Printed 11-M ay-11
                            For Classroom discussion only                              Page 27
DISCUSSIONS




                                      IM aCS 2010
                                Printed 11-M ay-11
For Classroom discussion only              Page 28
All the contents of the presentation are confidential and
should not be published, reproduced or circulated without the
   written consent of IFC, Bangladesh Bank and IMaCS.



                                                                      IM aCS 2010
                                                                Printed 11-M ay-11
                        For Classroom discussion only                      Page 29

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RMPG Learning Series CRM Workshop Day 5

  • 1. Agenda for Day 5 Presentation of Cases by Participants Discussions on Issues Raised Lunch Break Session on current regulations in Bangladesh IMaCS’ Recommendations to Banks IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 1
  • 2. Regulatory framework: Banks Minimum Capital • Tk. 200 crore • 10% Capital adequacy ratio • 5% Core Capital • Not more than % of capital in a bank may be acquired Ownership without the approval of the Bangladesh Bank. Foreign ownership • Up to xx% • 365 days (in case of asset financing) , 180 days (in Provisioning case of loans and other exposures) Availability of deposit insurance facility for • Yes depositors IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 2
  • 3. Categories of Loans Continuous Loan If any uncertainty or doubt arises in respect of recovery of any Continuous Loan, Demand Loan or Fixed Short-term Agricultural Categories Demand Term Loan, the same and Micro of Loans Loan will have to be Credit classified on the basis of qualitative judgment be it classifiable or not on the basis of Fixed Term Loan objective criteria IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 3
  • 4. Loan Classification Past due/overdue • If not repaid/renewed within the fixed expiry date for repayment will be treated as past due/overdue from the following day of the expiry date Special Mention • A Continuous Loan/Demand loan/Term Loan which will remain overdue for a period of 90 days or more, will be put into the "Special Account Mention Account(SMA)" • Sub-standard if it remains past due/overdue for 6 months or beyond but Sub-standard less than 9 months. Doubtful • `Doubtful' if for 9 months or beyond but less than 12 months Bad-Debt • Bad-Debt' if for 12months or beyond IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 4
  • 5. Provisioning Norms …1 Classified Continuous, Demand and Fixed Term Loans Sub-standard 20% Doubtful 50% Bad/Loss 100% Provision in respect of Short-term Agricultural and Micro-Credits is to be maintained at the following rates All credits except 'Bad/Loss'(i.e. 'Doubtful', 'Sub-standard', irregular and 5% regular credit accounts) 'Bad/Loss' 100% IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 5
  • 6. Provisioning Norms…2 Banks will be required to maintain General Provision All unclassified loans (other than loans under Consumer 1% Financing and Special Mention Account Unclassified amount for Consumer Financing whereas it has to 5% be maintained @ 2% on the unclassified amount for (i) Housing Finance and (ii) Loans for Professionals to set up business under Consumer Financing Scheme. Outstanding amount of loans kept in the 'Special Mention 5% Account' (SMA) after netting off the amount of Interest Suspense. IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 6
  • 7. Agenda for Day 5 Presentation of Cases by Participants Discussions on Issues Raised Lunch Break Session on current regulations in Bangladesh IMaCS’ Recommendations to Banks IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 7
  • 8. Governance framework for Risk Management Organization structure with well defined roles and responsibilities Review of existing policies, processes and Formulation of policies, processes and formation systems and of different committees modifications if required Robust reporting and Monitor execution analysis infrastructure for through periodic reviews early warnings or done by these committees monitoring trends IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 8
  • 9. Risk Management Process and Tools Post Sanction Pre Pre Sanction Post disbursement Default disbursement DP report and stock Appraisal audits Execution of all Special Mention documents Monitoring report Accounts report Assessment through Branch Compliance rating models Certificate Meeting pre Loan Review disbursement Mechanism NPA reporting Prudential exposure conditions limits Re-rating of large accounts annually Evaluate decoupling of Evaluate possibility of Sector wise, product wise Sector wise, product wise origination and assessment / setting up a centralized legal NPA and SMA rating rating migrations credit rating cell IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 9
  • 10. Policy for Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process : Objectives Enunciate Bank’s overall risk philosophy Define acceptable risk measurement methodologies including risk mitigation mechanisms Ability to assess capital adequacy to ensure Compliance with Bangladesh Bank guidelines Adequate capital as buffer to ensure business stability simultaneously with rapid growth Provide better internal governance environment and facilitate proactive Capital Budgeting Define organization structure and responsibilities for effective internal assessment process including reporting mechanisms Ensure continued validity and relevance of risk assessment methodologies through periodical internal audit IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 10
  • 11. ICAAP framework Identification of RMD, CRMC, ORMC & ALM Cell all material risks Based on materiality Oversight Reporting of risks Measurement and Measurement methodology aligned with RBI assessed process and reporting of all guidelines Reporting of CRAR structure the material risks Scenarios sensitized to bank’s profile Actions Additional Capital for Capital cushion Strategy for Required to manage unexpected scenarios normal growth based on ensuring capital Additional capital for understanding Stress testing framework to provide a measure of adequacy capital cushion increased risks of implicit risks Linking capital requirements to Additional Capital for normal growth the level of Risks Additional capital for increased risks IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 11
  • 12. Capital Planning Stress test results indicate a breach in tolerance levels Expected asset Planned growth with the same portfolio mix investments Notional capital Strategy to acquire Additional cushion for risks riskier assets for not mentioned in higher target Capital Pillar I and could be profitability or entry Requirement based on the stress into new areas test results IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 12
  • 13. Importance of Risk Based Pricing Aligns the incentive for a bank to balance risk with return Pricing is a tool to maintain proactive provisioning Necessary for value creation and preservation Building block for credit risk management IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 13
  • 14. Pre-requisites for “Risk Pricing” credit - A Bank must have the capability to generate... History of risk score of borrowers Information on defaults associated with the risk score of borrowers Loss given default Variance in loss given default IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 14
  • 15. Computing Risk Premia - Expected Loss Probability of Loss Given Default (PD) Default (LGD) Borrower PD Collateral LGD Risk Score Type 1 .05% 1 5% 2 - 2 - Exposure Expected 3 - 3 - at Loss x x (EL) = Default (EAD) 4 - 4 - 5 10% 5 20% 6 - 6 - 7 - 7 - 8 - 8 - 9 - 9 - 10 100% 10 75% IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 15
  • 16. Present status in many banks - How mis-pricing of risk is harmful. Risk-based The cross-subsidy pricing • Good credit risks subsidising the poor Interest rate % credit risk accounts Subsidy “Bad risks” • Threat of under-priced Bank pricing disintermediation leaves banks with poor credit risk accounts Good credits overpriced AAA • Already beginning to BBB Risk happen in most markets IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 16
  • 17. Risk Based Pricing - An example Client: XYZ Risk Grading B+ I Loan Size (Tk. Crore) 100 II Tenor (Years) 5 III Probability of Default 2% IV Loss Given Default 50% V Hurdle Rate on Equity (Share holder Expectation) 16% VI Capital as % of funded assets 8% VII Cost of Funds for 5 Yr Tenor (From FTP) 5.50% 1 Cost of Funds 5.50% Risk Adjusted 2 Cost of Operation 1.00% Pricing (1+2+3+4) 3 Return on Capital (I*V*VI) (Loan Size %) 1.28% = 4 Expected Loss (III*IV) 1.00% 8.78 % IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 17
  • 18. RAROC is gaining popularity as it links investor aspirations to Management goals Shareholders demand optimum risk-adjusted return on their risk capital Banks’ activities are increasingly arranged along business unit lines to improve focus Bank Management is able to allocate scarce capital among business units based on their potential risk-adjusted performance Performance Measurement Capital Allocation Performance Budgeting Lending decision IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 18
  • 19. 5 steps to RAROC of a loan/ business line/ portfolio STEP 1: Calculate Net Interest Earned STEP 2: Calculate Expected Loss STEP 3: Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread STEP 4: Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that activity STEP 5: Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 19
  • 20. RAROC: Step 1 of 5 STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned Net Interest earned = (Interest Rate – STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss Interest Expenses) x Amount of Loan STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread 1.Interest rate is market determined on which STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti vity the banker has limited control STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 2.Interest expense depends on bank’s cost of funds and is given by ALM IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 20
  • 21. RAROC: Step 2 of 5 Expected Loss = Probability of Default x Loss Given Default x Amount of loan STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned 1.Probability of Default can be derived from STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss transition matrix STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread 2. Loss given default is the proportion of STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti vity money lost after recoveries on a defaulted account STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 - STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 21
  • 22. RAROC: Step 3 of 5 Risk Adjusted Spread *= Net Interest Earned (Step 1) STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned Less: Expected Loss (Step 2) STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss Less: Administrative Expenses STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread Add: Non-interest income STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti vity This is similar to risk-based pricing , but RAROC goes a step further STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 * The spread is in absolute amount IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 22
  • 23. RAROC: Step 4 of 5 STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned Capital Allocated *= Standard Risk Weight (of an asset) x Minimum STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss Regulatory capital x Loan amount STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread *Capital allocated may be Regulatory Capital STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti vity STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 23
  • 24. RAROC: Step 5 of 5 RAROC = Risk-Adjusted Spread (Step 3) STEP 1 Calculate Net Interest Earned Risk Capital (Step 4) STEP 2 Calculate Expected Loss STEP 3 Calculate the Risk-Adjusted Spread If the RAROC is higher than the “Hurdle STEP 4 Calculate the Risk Capital to be allocated for that acti vity activity rate” a loan is acceptable in terms of risk/return STEP 5 Calculate RAROC from inputs of Step 3 and 4 IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 24
  • 25. Credit Risk framework under Basel II Align regulatory capital Credit Risk more closely with economic capital Measurement Standardised IRB Method Method Regulatory Supervisory Risk Foundation weights and Credit Risk Mitigation Advanced Economic Capital IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 25
  • 26. Ownership and policy review The policy would be reviewed regularly to incorporate Additional material risks as and when they arise and are measurable Changes in risk measurement methodology based on regulatory directives or implementation of various tools Reporting by different functions and levels Risk Management Department would review and maintain the policy IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 26
  • 27. Recommendations for Systems supporting credit process Risk Management Solution to be used for capturing origination data Sanction process workflow to be automated based on defined rules Credit rating to be automated and centralized User profiles to avoid conflicts of interest and decouple rating from origination Capture data for rejected loan application and make it available in a centralized manner Collateral management can be done using Risk Management Solution IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 27
  • 28. DISCUSSIONS IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 28
  • 29. All the contents of the presentation are confidential and should not be published, reproduced or circulated without the written consent of IFC, Bangladesh Bank and IMaCS. IM aCS 2010 Printed 11-M ay-11 For Classroom discussion only Page 29