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10.22.2012




the changing
face of retail
    BRUCE LEONARD
  MANAGING PRINCIPAL
WHO WE ARE                                                                           1




             WE ARE
             an uncommon collective of designers, brokers, architects, developers,
             planners, researchers, and creative thinkers. We are inspired by
             the desire to create distinctive places and meaningful brands.
             Whatever the challenge, our team of experts is ready to take it on
             with you – our collaborative ideology is our greatest differentiator.




             STREETSENSE.
WHO WE ARE                                                                                                2




   WE HAVE                                                                                   A SPARK.
              a knack for storytelling. For understanding the end users of a project and
              connecting with them on an emotional level at every opportunity – through
              brand, design, architecture, and location. Each of these elements works
              together and elevates the others, with measurable results.




 WE CREATE                                                                                   VALUE.
              brands and places people love. Through our comprehensive approach, we
              have a unique ability to identify, harvest, and grow places and brands that
              really resonate. We are a team of experts that, together, is consistently
              ahead of trends. We never play catch-up – neither should you.




 WE INSPIRE                                                                                  GREATNESS.
              our clients to think about things a little bit differently. Because we do.
              We approach every project in a thoughtful, unconventional way. Not for
              kicks, but because the changing world demands it. We are known for
              leading our clients down uncommon paths to uncommonly great success.




 WE DELIVER                                                                                  THE EDGE.
              your vision through our creativity. We do so by working in an environment
              that is collaborative and truly multi-disciplinary. We are better architects
              because we’re brokers. Better designers because we’re developers. And
              we’re not just tooting our own horn. Our work speaks for itself.
WHAT WE DO                                                                                                                               3




                                    architecture                        architectural design
                                                                        restaurant design

                               + Interior Design
                                                                        retail store design
                                                                        prototype development
                                                                        prototype adaptation
                                                                        construction documentation
                                                                        contract administration
                                                                        sustainability consulting
                                                                        3-D visualization
                                                                                                           PLANnING
                                                                                                            site + master planning

                                       Creative
                           naming                                                                           design guidelines
                         branding                                                                           site analysis
               logo development                                                                             streetscape + urban design



                                                                     WE DO
         environmental graphics                                                                             entitlements
                          signage                                                                           site signage + wayfinding
                        packaging                                                                           landscape design
                        marketing                                                                           community outreach
                   print collateral
                       advertising
                  public relations
               web development

                                                                                                     development
                     social media
                interactive media
                     photography
                                                                                                     feasibility studies
                                                      landlord rep
                                                        tenant rep   BROKERAGE+                      due diligence
                                                                                                     tenant coordination
                                                                     REAL ESTATE
                                      market research + analysis
                                                                                                     pro forma analysis
                                       custom demand modeling
                                                                                                     design + construction management
                                                 site assessment
                                                investment sales
                                               roll-out strategies
                                                                     STRATEGY                        value engineering
                                                                                                     advisory services
                                        merchandising strategies
five major factors affecting retail
   development moving forward

   we are in the perfect storm...
1   OVER SUPPLY OF MAJOR RETAIL BRANDS                                             5




                                   •	 Leading up to the downturn in 2008,
                                      Wall Street and the Investor Market were
                                      driving Retail Expansion
                                   •	 Many major retailers lost site of sound
                                      expansion strategies resulting in store
                                      cannibalization and dilution of brand
                                   •	 National retailers will be scaling back on
                                      new growth moving forward with some
                                      stores reducing the store count by 50%
2   MAJOR CHANGE IN CONSUMER BUYING PATTERNS                                      6




                                  •	 Post 2008 the Baby Boomers started
                                     to cut back to spending, particularly
                                     with respect to Goods and General
                                     Merchandise
                                  •	 The X&Y Generation is becoming a
                                     significant buying force focused on
                                     “Experience” over “Things”
                                  •	 National and Local Retailers are adjusting
                                     to the new buying patterns and trying to
                                     re-gain their footing...there will be some
                                     winners and losers
                                  •	 The retailer needs to figure out how to
                                     get into the pocket of the 25 year old,
                                     who has 10% of the buying power of their
                                     parents.
3   INTERNET SHOPPING INSURGENCE                                                    7




                                   •	 Leading up to 2008... Internet shopping
                                      was insignificant compared to the dollars
                                      spent in bricks and mortar retail...roughly
                                      3 to 8% of sales
                                   •	 According to recent studies...internet
                                      sales represent over 18% of total sales
                                      with the curve trending almost vertical
                                   •	 Many National Boxes and commodity
                                      retailers are seeing the relevance of their
                                      stores diminish...some will not survive
                                   •	 Specialty stores are trending towards
                                      “gallery” locations
                                   •	 We are just as the beginning of the
                                      internet’s influence on bricks and mortar
                                      shopping
DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS ARE SWITCHING TO
4   “URBAN” OVER “SUBURBAN”
                                                                                8




                                  •	 Both Boomers and X & Y’s are moving
                                     back into the city and retailers are
                                     following.
                                  •	 Urban markets are undeserved by most
                                     retail categories and represent the
                                     biggest opportunity for retail expansion
                                  •	 The customer wants to connect to the
                                     retailer, regain the sense of community.
                                  •	 Convenience is critical.
5   STRATEGY IS THE KEY TO SUCCESS                                                9




                                     •	 Location, location, location is now
                                        environment, environment, environment
                                     •	 Connecting the consumer to the retailer
                                        is key.
                                     •	 Not everyone who makes $80k/
                                        year wants the same thing. Pyscho-
                                        demographcs are more important than
                                        ever.
                                     •	 Live, work and play were words over the
                                        last 10 years. They must be executed
                                        perfectly going forward.
100 Years of Retail in America
100 YEARS OF RETAIL IN AMERICA                                                    10




                   Shopping Center Growth Curves
                          100 YEARS OF RETAIL IN AMERICA


    Growth       Downtowns       Malls                     Lifestyle/Mixed Use
                                           Power
   Over-Heated
                                           Centers
    Moderate

      Slow

    No Growth

                  1900 - 1960      1985      1995          2005     2012-Future
ALL CATEGORIES STILL MAINTAIN THEIR RELEVANCE...                 11
SOME MORE THAN OTHERS




     POWER CENTER           SPECIALTY CENTER       PLACEMAKING
Thank you

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The Changing Face of Retail

  • 1. 10.22.2012 the changing face of retail BRUCE LEONARD MANAGING PRINCIPAL
  • 2. WHO WE ARE 1 WE ARE an uncommon collective of designers, brokers, architects, developers, planners, researchers, and creative thinkers. We are inspired by the desire to create distinctive places and meaningful brands. Whatever the challenge, our team of experts is ready to take it on with you – our collaborative ideology is our greatest differentiator. STREETSENSE.
  • 3. WHO WE ARE 2 WE HAVE A SPARK. a knack for storytelling. For understanding the end users of a project and connecting with them on an emotional level at every opportunity – through brand, design, architecture, and location. Each of these elements works together and elevates the others, with measurable results. WE CREATE VALUE. brands and places people love. Through our comprehensive approach, we have a unique ability to identify, harvest, and grow places and brands that really resonate. We are a team of experts that, together, is consistently ahead of trends. We never play catch-up – neither should you. WE INSPIRE GREATNESS. our clients to think about things a little bit differently. Because we do. We approach every project in a thoughtful, unconventional way. Not for kicks, but because the changing world demands it. We are known for leading our clients down uncommon paths to uncommonly great success. WE DELIVER THE EDGE. your vision through our creativity. We do so by working in an environment that is collaborative and truly multi-disciplinary. We are better architects because we’re brokers. Better designers because we’re developers. And we’re not just tooting our own horn. Our work speaks for itself.
  • 4. WHAT WE DO 3 architecture architectural design restaurant design + Interior Design retail store design prototype development prototype adaptation construction documentation contract administration sustainability consulting 3-D visualization PLANnING site + master planning Creative naming design guidelines branding site analysis logo development streetscape + urban design WE DO environmental graphics entitlements signage site signage + wayfinding packaging landscape design marketing community outreach print collateral advertising public relations web development development social media interactive media photography feasibility studies landlord rep tenant rep BROKERAGE+ due diligence tenant coordination REAL ESTATE market research + analysis pro forma analysis custom demand modeling design + construction management site assessment investment sales roll-out strategies STRATEGY value engineering advisory services merchandising strategies
  • 5. five major factors affecting retail development moving forward we are in the perfect storm...
  • 6. 1 OVER SUPPLY OF MAJOR RETAIL BRANDS 5 • Leading up to the downturn in 2008, Wall Street and the Investor Market were driving Retail Expansion • Many major retailers lost site of sound expansion strategies resulting in store cannibalization and dilution of brand • National retailers will be scaling back on new growth moving forward with some stores reducing the store count by 50%
  • 7. 2 MAJOR CHANGE IN CONSUMER BUYING PATTERNS 6 • Post 2008 the Baby Boomers started to cut back to spending, particularly with respect to Goods and General Merchandise • The X&Y Generation is becoming a significant buying force focused on “Experience” over “Things” • National and Local Retailers are adjusting to the new buying patterns and trying to re-gain their footing...there will be some winners and losers • The retailer needs to figure out how to get into the pocket of the 25 year old, who has 10% of the buying power of their parents.
  • 8. 3 INTERNET SHOPPING INSURGENCE 7 • Leading up to 2008... Internet shopping was insignificant compared to the dollars spent in bricks and mortar retail...roughly 3 to 8% of sales • According to recent studies...internet sales represent over 18% of total sales with the curve trending almost vertical • Many National Boxes and commodity retailers are seeing the relevance of their stores diminish...some will not survive • Specialty stores are trending towards “gallery” locations • We are just as the beginning of the internet’s influence on bricks and mortar shopping
  • 9. DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS ARE SWITCHING TO 4 “URBAN” OVER “SUBURBAN” 8 • Both Boomers and X & Y’s are moving back into the city and retailers are following. • Urban markets are undeserved by most retail categories and represent the biggest opportunity for retail expansion • The customer wants to connect to the retailer, regain the sense of community. • Convenience is critical.
  • 10. 5 STRATEGY IS THE KEY TO SUCCESS 9 • Location, location, location is now environment, environment, environment • Connecting the consumer to the retailer is key. • Not everyone who makes $80k/ year wants the same thing. Pyscho- demographcs are more important than ever. • Live, work and play were words over the last 10 years. They must be executed perfectly going forward.
  • 11. 100 Years of Retail in America 100 YEARS OF RETAIL IN AMERICA 10 Shopping Center Growth Curves 100 YEARS OF RETAIL IN AMERICA Growth Downtowns Malls Lifestyle/Mixed Use Power Over-Heated Centers Moderate Slow No Growth 1900 - 1960 1985 1995 2005 2012-Future
  • 12. ALL CATEGORIES STILL MAINTAIN THEIR RELEVANCE... 11 SOME MORE THAN OTHERS POWER CENTER SPECIALTY CENTER PLACEMAKING