Contenu connexe Similaire à Predictable Projects in an Unpredictable World (20) Predictable Projects in an Unpredictable World1. © 2009 Silver Streak Partners LLC all rights reserved
Predictable Projects
in an Unpredictable World
John Farnbach
Silver Streak Partners LLC
john@silverstreakpartners.com
Dynamic Resource Management
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The Orthodoxy of the Plan
Plan your work and
Work your plan
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Orchestrates task interactions well...
Deterministic Planning
… But planning can’t eliminate variance.
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Cost of Predictability
Predictability
Variance
Inflexibility
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Deterministic planning doesn’t work
in an unpredictable world.
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Wait a Minute!!
Shorter and more dependable??
Schedule stretch
Dependable
Deterministic
DRM
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Project Management
Tasks: reasonable best case
All will not complete on time
Buffers: critical resource
Track buffer consumption
Strive to save buffers, but use when neededStrive to save buffers, but use when needed
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Resource Tracking
Rebalance
Gold
Blue
New
Project
%Buffer/schedule
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DRM makes schedules shorter and
more predictable.
How do you plan a DRM project?
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Measurable Tasks
Underestimate effort
Status biased by hope
Realistic estimates
Unbiased status
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Placing Buffers
Fewer is better
Statistical aggregation
Less confusion
Multiple buffers?
Buffer external deliverables
Specific risks
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Sizing Buffers
Resource
management
Project priority
Business forecast
Project & planning
Technical risk
Planning variance
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DRM takes careful attention to planning
What are the problems?
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Multi-Tasking
Multi-tasking
Uni-tasking
Amy?
Gold
Blue
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Pitfalls
Buffer addiction
Plan responsibly
Old management habits
New performance model
Respect for buffers
Squandering buffers
Resist unmerited work
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John Farnbach
john@silverstreakpartners.com
Silver Streak Partners LLC
www.silverstreakpartners.com
Blog: http://silverstreakpartners.com/BetterNPD/
Questions & Discussion