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Solar Grid Parity
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    Slideshow designed by John Farrell, Director
 Energy Self-Reliant States and Communities program
Solar Grid Parity


                =

cost of solar
                =   grid electricity price
Cost of Solar


                =

cost of solar
                =   grid electricity price
Cost of solar ($/W)




$6.40   $5.20     $3.75


                U.S. Average
                 (mid-2011)
Cost of solar ($/W)




$6.40   $5.20     $3.75


                U.S. Average
                 (mid-2011)
Cost of solar ($/W)
Cost of Solar
          Type               Residential

      Cost per Watt            $6.40       Levelized
         Location            Minneapolis
                                             Cost
                                                   per k Wh
       Project life           25 years     0 .37
Interest, Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh




 Output (kWh/kW/year)          1,250
Cost of Solar
          Type               Residential

      Cost per Watt            $6.40       Levelized
         Location            Los Angeles
                                             Cost
                                                    p er k Wh
       Project life           25 years      0 .31
Interest, Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh




 Output (kWh/kW/year)          1,500
Cost of Solar
          Type               Residential

      Cost per Watt            $6.40       Levelized
         Location            Minneapolis
                                             Cost
                                                   per k Wh
Interest,Project life
          Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh
                              25 years     0 .37
Interest, Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh




 Output (kWh/kW/year)          1,250
Cost of Solar
          Type               Residential

      Cost per Watt            $6.40       Levelized
         Location            Minneapolis
                                             Cost
                                                   per k Wh
Interest,Project life
          Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh
                              20 years     0 .43
Interest, Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh




 Output (kWh/kW/year)          1,250
Cost of Solar
          Type               Residential

      Cost per Watt            $6.40       Levelized
         Location            Minneapolis
                                             Cost
                                                   per k Wh
Interest,Project life
          Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh
                              25 years     0 .37
Interest, Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh




 Output (kWh/kW/year)          1,250
Cost of Solar
          Type               Residential

      Cost per Watt            $4.40       Levelized
         Location            Minneapolis
                                             Cost
                                                   p er k Wh
Interest,Project life
          Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh
                              25 years     0 .25
Interest, Maintenance, etc   $0.16/kWh




 Output (kWh/kW/year)          1,250
Cost of Solar (Sensitivity)
                          Sunnier     Shorter
             Defaults                             Lower cost
                          location    project


             $6.40/W     $6.40/W      $6.40/W      $4.40/W


            Minneapolis Los Angeles Minneapolis   Minneapolis


             25 years     25 years    20 years     25 years


Levelized
               $0.37       $0.31       $0.43         $0.25
  Cost
Cost of Solar




Levelized cost of solar installed at $4.40/Watt
Grid Electricity Price


                =

cost of solar
                =   grid electricity price
Grid Electricity Price

                   Existing
                 Power Plant
                           per k Wh
                   0 .04


    6/1/1970
Grid Electricity Price

                                     Existing
                                   Power Plant
                                             per k Wh
                                     0 .04


            6/1/1970




Amortized power plant = new power plant
Grid Electricity Price

                                    Market Price
                                     Referant
                                                per k Wh
                                         0.12




OK for utility-scale solar (wholesale)
Grid Electricity Price

                             Retail Price

                                  va ries




For on-site solar (retail)
Grid Electricity Price




Average residential retail rate (Feb. 2011, EIA)
Solar Grid Parity



                                               50% or better




                                               95% to 105%



               2011: 1 state                  150% or more


Ratio of solar cost to average residential retail rate
Solar Grid Parity



                                               50% or better




                                               95% to 105%



               2016: 3 states                 150% or more


Ratio of solar cost to average residential retail rate
Solar Grid Parity


    57 million people
                                               50% or better




                                               95% to 105%



               2016: 3 states                 150% or more


Ratio of solar cost to average residential retail rate

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Solar Grid Parity 101

  • 1. Solar Grid Parity Coming soon Slideshow designed by John Farrell, Director Energy Self-Reliant States and Communities program
  • 2. Solar Grid Parity = cost of solar = grid electricity price
  • 3. Cost of Solar = cost of solar = grid electricity price
  • 4. Cost of solar ($/W) $6.40 $5.20 $3.75 U.S. Average (mid-2011)
  • 5. Cost of solar ($/W) $6.40 $5.20 $3.75 U.S. Average (mid-2011)
  • 7. Cost of Solar Type Residential Cost per Watt $6.40 Levelized Location Minneapolis Cost per k Wh Project life 25 years 0 .37 Interest, Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh Output (kWh/kW/year) 1,250
  • 8. Cost of Solar Type Residential Cost per Watt $6.40 Levelized Location Los Angeles Cost p er k Wh Project life 25 years 0 .31 Interest, Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh Output (kWh/kW/year) 1,500
  • 9. Cost of Solar Type Residential Cost per Watt $6.40 Levelized Location Minneapolis Cost per k Wh Interest,Project life Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh 25 years 0 .37 Interest, Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh Output (kWh/kW/year) 1,250
  • 10. Cost of Solar Type Residential Cost per Watt $6.40 Levelized Location Minneapolis Cost per k Wh Interest,Project life Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh 20 years 0 .43 Interest, Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh Output (kWh/kW/year) 1,250
  • 11. Cost of Solar Type Residential Cost per Watt $6.40 Levelized Location Minneapolis Cost per k Wh Interest,Project life Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh 25 years 0 .37 Interest, Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh Output (kWh/kW/year) 1,250
  • 12. Cost of Solar Type Residential Cost per Watt $4.40 Levelized Location Minneapolis Cost p er k Wh Interest,Project life Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh 25 years 0 .25 Interest, Maintenance, etc $0.16/kWh Output (kWh/kW/year) 1,250
  • 13. Cost of Solar (Sensitivity) Sunnier Shorter Defaults Lower cost location project $6.40/W $6.40/W $6.40/W $4.40/W Minneapolis Los Angeles Minneapolis Minneapolis 25 years 25 years 20 years 25 years Levelized $0.37 $0.31 $0.43 $0.25 Cost
  • 14. Cost of Solar Levelized cost of solar installed at $4.40/Watt
  • 15. Grid Electricity Price = cost of solar = grid electricity price
  • 16. Grid Electricity Price Existing Power Plant per k Wh 0 .04 6/1/1970
  • 17. Grid Electricity Price Existing Power Plant per k Wh 0 .04 6/1/1970 Amortized power plant = new power plant
  • 18. Grid Electricity Price Market Price Referant per k Wh 0.12 OK for utility-scale solar (wholesale)
  • 19. Grid Electricity Price Retail Price va ries For on-site solar (retail)
  • 20. Grid Electricity Price Average residential retail rate (Feb. 2011, EIA)
  • 21. Solar Grid Parity 50% or better 95% to 105% 2011: 1 state 150% or more Ratio of solar cost to average residential retail rate
  • 22. Solar Grid Parity 50% or better 95% to 105% 2016: 3 states 150% or more Ratio of solar cost to average residential retail rate
  • 23. Solar Grid Parity 57 million people 50% or better 95% to 105% 2016: 3 states 150% or more Ratio of solar cost to average residential retail rate