Assessment of how a selection of megatrends will affect Public Services in the near future. (short version)

1. The impact of megatrends on Western governments(short version) Frederic De Meyer Institute for Future Insights

2. Agenda What exactly is a megatrends? How megatrends will affect Western governments? Challenges and opportunities for Western governments (selection of trends) Key questions

3. ...in a nutshell... One hurricane is not a trend, it’s an event... An increasing number of hurricanes in the US is a trend, not necessarily a megatrend A worldwide increase in number and intensity of hurricanes would be a megatrend And the consequences might trigger new (mega)trends

4. my ‘rules of thumb’ long-lasting amplifying cause disruptive shift have a global impact ... almost feel inevitable (not prone to change of taste or mood, lobby)

5. Megatrends on my watch list

6. Agenda What exactly is a megatrends? How megatrends will affect Western governments? Challenges and opportunities for Western governments (selection of trends) Key questions

7. Megatrends impact on Public Sector Push Global decentralized enterprise Governments new Partners Technology: Pervasive Technology Technology: GRIN Technologies Demographics: Urbanization Environment: Energy dependency Demographics: Global mobility Demographics: GenY Environment: Global Warming Demographics: Ageing Population Geopolitics: Rising power of East Geopolitics: Globalization 3.0 Geopolitics: Global Grid Geopolitics: Market State Crowdsourcing, open innovation, ... Decline of the West? Do work differently or do different work? New investments, reduce threat New education Active monitoring; reduce threat Talent gap; new wave of immigration Efficient health care provisioning; who will take lead? Ensure livable megacities Who owns the data?

8. Agenda What exactly is a megatrends? How megatrends will affect Western governments? Challenges and opportunities for Western governments (selection of trends) Key questions

10. The war for natural resources might impoverish Western countries

13. While GenY is in favor of working for the Public Sector, they are demanding specific working environment, are public insitutions prepared?

15. Introducing new business models of public service delivery.SOURCE: Ramon Costa www.pgpsi.com

17. Macro-economic impact (GDP overall might decrease, but wouldn’t be dramatic?);

20. Reputation management, opportunity to attract new key talents.Facebook relationships map:

22. Balance choices of investments both internally and in the economy;

23. Find alternatives for energy dependency from unstable countries;

24. Find budgets for investments;

26. Become leader in developing, innovating and export of sustainability projects;

27. Innovating public services;

28. Cost and risk controll (energy dependency).www.lowtechmagazine.com www.businessinsider.com

29. Agenda What exactly is a megatrends? How megatrends will affect Western governments? Challenges and opportunities for Western governments (selection of trends) Key questions

30. how to deal with megatrends in your public service? What is the impact of global grid on our economy? Should we fear or embrace it? What is our position vs the Market State? Should we partner with private sector? DO we have a roadmap to become sustainability innovation leader? Can we improve internal efficiency with crowdsourcing? How should we use Social Networks to increase reputation and attract top talents? How Can we benefit from the rising middle class in the emerging countries? Will new business models create alternatives for public services? Will we become obsolete or should we be pro-active? Are we dependent on key skills that might become scarce in the future? How to fill the gap with GenY or ageing workers? How should we react to increasing investments from emerging countries? Can we turn this into our benefit? Notes:

31. frederic de meyer founder the institute for future insights -helping you anticipate the future- Keynote speech at the start of your strategic planning session - or your industry event; Eye opening workshops for internal planning purposes; Discussions on ways to innovate for the future; Contact: ifi.frederic@gmail.com (BE)+32 471 63 95 35 www.fredericdemeyer.com twitter: @fdemeyer get in touch on Linkedin